PLOS ONE RESEARCH ARTICLE When does risk outweigh reward? Identifying potential scoring strategies with netball's new two-point rule Aaron S. FoxID*, Lyndell Bruce Centre for Sport Research, School of Exercise and Nutrition Sciences, Deakin University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia *
[email protected] a1111111111 a1111111111 a1111111111 Abstract a1111111111 a1111111111 Changing rules to promote scoring through more `high-risk' play has become common in team sports. Australia's national netball league (i.e. Suncorp Super Netball) has recently taken this approach±introducing a two-point shooting rule. Teams will be awarded two- points for shots made from an `outer circle' 3.0m-4.9m from the goal in the final five minutes of quarters. We sought to answer a series of questions regarding the implementation and OPEN ACCESS potential strategies surrounding the two-point rule in Suncorp Super Netball. We used video Citation: Fox AS, Bruce L (2020) When does risk outweigh reward? Identifying potential scoring coded data from the 2018 Suncorp Super Netball season to identify the total number of strategies with netball's new two-point rule. PLoS made and missed shots from different distances across the season. We also used shooting ONE 15(11): e0242716. https://doi.org/10.1371/ statistics from recent Fast5 Netball World Series (a competition with a two-point shooting journal.pone.0242716 rule already in place) as a comparator. The reward of two-points is relatively well-aligned to Editor: Caroline Sunderland, Nottingham Trent the relative risk of missing shots from the proposed outer versus inner circle (2.22 [1.98, University, UNITED KINGDOM 2.48 95% CIs]) based on existing shooting data from Suncorp Super Netball teams.