PACIFIC FUNDSSM LARGE-CAP VALUE COMMENTARY SEPTEMBER 30, 2020 SUB-ADVISED BY ROTHSCHILD & CO ASSET MANAGEMENT US INC.
Class A Class C Advisor Class Ticker Fund Number Ticker Fund Number Ticker Fund Number PFAAX 118 PFVCX 318 PFVDX 018
Market Overview The third quarter of 2020 came to a close with U.S. equity supporting asset prices. There are also massive stimulus moves, indexes continuing to deliver positive returns. While returns both fiscal and monetary, happening around the globe, which were generally favorable for the quarter, the market’s positive are a positive for growth. The Federal Reserve (Fed) and momentum reversed course in September, as the majority of European Central Bank (ECB) balance sheets were up 64% U.S. equity indexes saw modest declines. For the quarter, year-over-year in the beginning of October to illustrate just large-cap stocks outperformed small-cap stocks and growth how significant the stimulus continues to be. stocks outperformed value stocks. The S&P 500® index returned 8.9% for the quarter, while the Russell 2000® Index Fund Performance returned 4.9%. The outperformance of growth over value was Pacific Funds Large-Cap Value (Advisor Class) returned greatest among large-cap stocks as the Russell 1000® Growth 6.23% versus the Russell 1000® Value Index return of 5.59%. Index returned 13.2% compared to 5.6% for the Russell 1000® For the period, the Fund outperformed the benchmark by Value Index. Among small-cap stocks, the Russell 2000® 64 basis points. Growth Index was up 7.2%, while the Russell 2000® Value Index rose 2.6% in comparison. Portfolio Review During the third quarter, many of the macro indicators inflected Consumer Discretionary, Materials, and Industrials were higher. The manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) leading sectors for the Fund during the quarter. Laggards continued to sit above critical thresholds, and unemployment included Energy, Real Estate, and Healthcare. Sector allocation levels migrated lower from the peak numbers hit this spring. was modestly negative, with tailwinds from underweights to These trends are not only supportive of an economic recovery, Information Technology and Real Estate being outpaced by the but also indicate that a corporate profit rebound should be headwinds from an underweight to Consumer Discretionary underway as well. While growth will remain challenged in 2020, and the Fund’s small cash position. Stock selection was strong the sequential improvements in earnings will likely translate and the primary driver of performance, with contributors in into a more constructive backdrop in 2021. Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, and Materials exceeding the effects of detractors in Healthcare, Energy, and Financials. While it is still early days in the economy’s recovery from the pandemic, there are many reasons to remain optimistic as we On a stock-specific basis, one of the Fund’s largest individual head into 2021. Though volatile, COVID-19 cases are generally contributors included Quanta Services, Inc., a specialized trending down, especially in geographies requiring mask-wearing contractor, whose shares outperformed, driven by an earnings and social-distancing precautions. Importantly, hospitals are report that saw better-than-expected free cash flow and the now better equipped to manage the virus, which is reducing announcement of a $500 million buyback. Shares also have both hospitalization and death rates around the world. No begun to re-rate, fueled by an exit from its struggling South doubt, controlling the virus is an important part of sustaining American business and growth from the recently announced the economic recovery. Additionally, our central bank and LUMA Energy JV award in Puerto Rico. Target Corporation federal government have pushed large amounts of capital and outperformed as the retailer reported results for the third liquidity into our economy and financial systems. This liquidity quarter that were much better than expected and reinforced is assisting individuals and businesses during the pandemic and the view that the company is a retail winner with enough
For performance data current to the most recent month-end, call Pacific Funds at (800) 722-2333 or go to PacificFunds.com/Performance. Performance data quoted represents past performance, which does not guarantee future results. Current performance may be lower or higher than the performance quoted. The investment return and principal value of an investment will fluctuate so that shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than the original cost.
MFC0668-0920W No bank guarantee • May lose value • Not FDIC insured 1 of 5 PACIFIC FUNDS LARGE-CAP VALUE COMMENTARY SEPTEMBER 30, 2020
scale to gain market share and compete with Walmart Inc. residual effects on municipalities and local businesses are still and Amazon. After reporting that same-store sales were up largely unknown. The unprecedented level of stimulus means 24%, driven by in-store sales up 11% and e-commerce sales up that our national debt is hitting new highs and will at some 195%, the company indicated that momentum has continued point need to be paid back. Lastly, the country continues to with same-store sales up more than 10% quarter-to-date. be affected by the controversial election, which adds a great Performance also was helped by PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM), deal of policy uncertainty. which is one of the largest homebuilders in the U.S. with In terms of equity markets, it has been a tricky environment broad exposure to various verticals (i.e., entry-level, active for many active managers. Factor volatility has increased, adult, trade-ups, etc.). PHM has benefited from the nesting and the market is experiencing intraweek swings between a trend against the pandemic backdrop and historically low preference for growth, value, and deep cyclicals. With the green mortgage rates. shoots of recovery in sight, an orientation toward companies Conversely, one of the Fund’s largest relative detractors that will experience the most positive year-over-year earnings included Hill-Rom Holdings, Inc., a global medical technology going forward is potentially underway. This is one of the many company, whose shares were weak following cautious reasons to believe that we could experience a shift in market commentary from management on the shape of the recovery leadership. During the past few years, the market has been in the second half of the year and on concerns about tough driven by narrow leadership dominated by technology (growth) fiscal year 2021 comparisons. EOG Resources, Inc., an energy stocks. Within the S&P 500 companies, the big-five tech company, also was a detractor and whose shares lagged, stocks currently represent 23% of the index. Such dominance driven by weakness in the broader Energy sector and surpasses even the nifty-fifty (the name given to the top 50 exposure to federal lands (a risk in the election). AbbVie, popular large-cap stocks on the New York Stock Exchange a biopharmaceutical company, underperformed, which may in the 1960s and 1970s) days. For small-cap stocks, there has have been driven in part by the threat of higher corporate also been extreme levels of outperformance coming from tax rates under a Biden administration and concerns over growth industries such as software, leading to unprecedented the aesthetics franchise as COVID-19 cases rose over the valuation metrics. summer. Management has commented that they have yet While we are not top-down investors, we believe there is an to see demand destruction driven by the latter. opportunity to see a rotation to companies that are levered to Market Outlook economic growth. Many also will look for signs of inflation or– in the case of the Financials sector, a steepening yield curve– While the pieces appear to be in place to support the to become more constructive on these neglected segments of rebound in economic growth and corporate earnings, risks the market. Within sectors such as Industrials and Consumer, remain. COVID-19 trends can be unpredictable, and we have there are opportunities to find attractively valued companies seen selective increases in cases globally as economies try with sustainable business models and earnings upside in 2020. to reopen. The timing of a vaccine is still not certain even That said, today’s technological innovation is hard to ignore though our healthcare industry set expectations for Spring and supports the case for growth stocks. The pandemic has 2021. Many of our major cities are still seeing the negative led to a transformation of the hypercloud. The online migration effects from mass dislocations in light of the pandemic. The
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has accelerated as businesses adapt to a new reality. Digital The equity market has experienced what feels like unprecedented payments are rapidly becoming dominant at the expense of extremes. Value stocks are trading at decade-low valuation cash payments. This migration to the cloud and online payments discounts to growth stocks. Small-cap stocks have meaningfully has made cybersecurity more critical than ever. As such, underperformed large cap stocks. Interest rates sit at these tailwinds are not going away, arguing for ownership generational lows, skewing the equity risk premium. As investors, of technology stocks. In these segments of the market, we remain steadfast in continuing to look for stocks that are identifying companies with competitive advantages and large attractively valued relative to their current and future cash-flow untapped addressable markets will be the keys to justifying generation. In addition, we also are staying especially mindful of rich valuation multiples. long-term business-model sustainability and growth potential as companies adapt to a COVID-19 and post-COVID-19 world.
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Advisor Class
T R T R Top-10 Holdings (%) S 3 M T 3 2 3 JPMorgan Chase & Co. 3.43
Verizon Communications Inc. 3.07