I
i I fE PJVERBEND— rated Resource Plan (X ONFE
BUZZARD (Annal Report) --4
October 15, 2013
Public DEC 2013 IRP TABLE OF CONTENTS
PACE
ABBREVIATIONS 2
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 4
2. SYSTEM OVERVIEW 10
3. ELECTRiC LOAD FORECAST 13
4. ENERGY EFFICIENCY ANI) DEMANI) Sll)E MANAGEMENT 15
5. RENEWABLE ENERGY REQUIREMENTS 17
6. SCREENING OF GENERATION ALTERNAI1VES 22
7. RESERVE CRITERIA 23
8. EVALUATION AND DEVELOPMENT OF THE RESOURCE PLAN 25
9. SHORT TERM ACTION PLAN 38
APPEN1)IX A: QUANTI’I’ATlVE ANA LYSIS 43
APPENDIX B: I)UKE ENERGY CAROLINAS OWN El) GLNERAI’ION 52 APPENDIX C: ELECTRIC i,OAD FORECAST 64 APPENDIX I): ENERGY EFFiCiENCY AND I)EMANI) SIDE MANAGEMENT 74 APPENI)EX F: FUEL SUPPLY 93
APPEN1)IX F: SCREENING OF GENERATION ALTERNA’IiVES 95
APPENDIX G: ENVIRONMENTAL COMPLIANCE 102
APPENDIX II: NON-Ul1L1tY GENERATION ANI) WHOLESALE 110
APPENDIX I: TRANSMISSION PLANNEI) OR tiNDER CONSTRUCI1ON 130
APPENI)IX J: ECONOMIC I)EVELOPMENT 134
APPENDiX K: CROSS-REFERENCEFO 2013 IRP 135
ATTACIIMFN’I’: NC REPS COMPLIANCE PLAN 136 ABBREVIATIONS
CAIR Clean Air Interstate Rule CAMR Clean Air Mercur Rule CC Combined Cycle CCR Coal Combustion Residuals CECPCN Certificate of EnvironmentalCompatibilityand Public Convenience and Necessity CFI, Compact Fluorescent Light bulbs CO Carbon Dioxide COD Commercial Operation Date COL Combined Construction and Operating License COWICS Carolinas Offshore Wind IntegrationCase Study CPCN Certificate of Public Convenience and Necessity CSAPR Cross State Air Pollution Rule CT Combustion Turbine DC l)irect Current DEC Duke Energy Carolinas I)EP l)uke Energ) Progress DOE Department of Energy DSM Demand Side Management EE Energy Efficiency EIA Energy Information Administration EPA Eiwironmental Protection Agenc) EPRI Electric Power Research Institute FERC Federal Energy Regulatory Commission FGD Flue Gas Desulfurization FLG Federal Loan Guarantee GHG Greenhouse Gas IIVAC Heating. Ventilation and Air Conditioning IGCC Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle IRP Integrated Resource Plan IS Interruptible Service JDA Joint Dispatch Agreement LCR‘Fable Load. Capacity. and Reserve Margin Fable LEED Leadership in Energ) and Environmental Design MACI Maximum Achievable Control Technology MATS Mercur’ Air Toxics Standard NAAQS National Ambient Air QuaIit Standards NC North Carolina NCDAQ North Carolina Division of Air Quality NCEMC North Carolina Electric MembershipCorporation NCMPAI North Carolina Municipal Poer Agency l NCUC North Carolina Utilities Commission
7 ABBREVIATIONS CONT.
NERC North American Electric Reliability Corp NO Nitrogen Oxide NPDES National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System NRC Nuclear ReguIator Commission NSPS Ne Source Performance Standard PD Power Delivery PEV Plug-In Electric Vehicles PMPA Piedmont Municipal Power Agency PPA Purchase Power Agreement PPI3 Parts Per Billion PSD Prevention of Significant Deterioration PV Photooltaic PVDG Solar Photovoltaic Distributed Generation Program PVRR Present Value Revenue Requirements QF Qualifying Facility RCRA Resource Conservation Recovery Act REC Renewable Energy Certificates REPS Renewable Energy and Energ Efficiency Portfolio Standard
I RFP Request for Proposal RIM Rate Impact MeasLire RPS Renewable Portfolio Standard SC South Carolina SCPSC South Carolina Public Service Commission SCR Selective Catalytic Reduction SEPA Southeastern Power Administration SERC SERC Reliability Corporation SG Standby Generation SIP State Implementation Plan SO Sulfur Dioxide TAG Technology Assessment Guide TRC Total Resource Cost The Company Duke Energy Carolinas ‘[he Plan I)uke Energ Carolinas Annual Plan LICT Utilit) Cost test VACAR VirginialCarolinas VAR Volt Ampere Reactive
3 I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Each year L)ukeEnergy Carolinas (DEC or the Company) is required by both the North Carolina Utilities Commission (NCUC’)and the South Carol lila Public Service Commission (SCPSC) to submit a planning document to ensure that it can reliably and af’lbrdahiy meet the energy needs ol its cusWrners well into the future.
This year, in addition to providing a traditional standalone Base Case resource plan within the 2013 Integrated Resource Plan (1RP) Update, the Company has also developed an alternative Joint Planning Scenario that examines tile henelits of a coordinated energy and capacity expansion plan with I)uke Energy Progress (DEP).
DEC does not currently have tile regulatory approvals required to implement this joint plan, however this scenario simply begins to examine the potential benefits that would accrue to customers once T)EC and I)EP coordinate new resource additions between the companies. Ally benefits that would accrue from new jointly planned resources would be in addition to the current merger savings already being realized through the Joint I)ispatch Agreement (JI)A) and fuel procurement activities associated with existing generation resources.
Increased Energy Efficiency/Demand Side Management
I)uke Energy continues to expand its portfolio of energy efficiency products and services — offering customers more ways to take control of their energy usage and save money.
T)EC’s Energy Efficiency (EE) programs encourage customers to save electricity by installing high-efficiency measures and/or changing tile way they use their electricity.
I)EC also offers a variety of Demand Side Management (DSM) programs that signal customers to reduce electricity use during select peak hours as specified by the Company.
• Energy Eliciency programs and [)emand Side Management, combined with the use of renewable energy resources are expected to meet approximately one third of the projected growth in customer demand over the next 15 years. This equates to over 2,400 MW of new energy efficiency, demand side management and renewable resources or the eq ii ivalent of three large natural gas—generation flueii ities.
• Aggressive marketing and increased adoption of energy efficiency programs reduce the
annual forecast demand growth from I .9 to 1.5%.
4 • DEC will continue to seek Commission approval to implement new DSM and EE programs that are cost effective and consistent with DECs forecasted resource needs over the planning horizon.
Growth of Renewable Energy and Solar Resources
The Company continues to purchase renewable energy on behalf of our customers and make investments that support our delivery of clean. reliable and alfordahie electricity.
DEC’s strategy to comply with the North Carolina Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Portfolio Standard (NC REPS) is to develop a diverse portfhlio of cost-effective renewable resources including long—term Purchase Power Agreements (PPAs), utility—owned generation, and energy efficiency.
I)EC is committed to meeting the requirements established under the NC REPS and to procuring renewable energy in a way that minimizes costs for customers. The Company remains on target to meet these standards within the cost caps established under NC REPS. The Base Case also assumes the addition of future SC. renewable resources that could be driven by regulatory mandates or market-based threes.
Solar energy is an important part of the energy future for the Carolinas. As the net price olsolar technologies including tax incentives continues to decrease. customer use of solar continues to increase.
• The growth of solar energy has been spurred by several factors, including stale and federal subsidies that are expected to be in place through 201 5 and 201 7, respectively.
• Substantial tax subsidies and declining costs make solar energy the Company’s primary renewable resource projected within the NC REPS compliance plan.
• The Company’s plan currently prq)ects that by the end ot the planning horizon, the Company will have met over 700 MW of peak demand through solar resources - the equivalent of one large natural gas facility.
Retiring Older, Less Efficient Coal Units
Duke Energy Carolinas is investing in a brighter energy future lhr its more than 2.4 million customers in North and South Carolina. The Company has built some of the cleanest, most efficient natural gas plants to replace aging, less efficient generation facilities in order to provide essential
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is is Natural Gas: Meeting Future Customer Demand
Modernizing the power plant fleet is an important investment in the Carolinas’ environment and its Future. Because the Company continues to retire older, less efficient coal plants, new incremental resources must be added to the I)EC system. New resources are also required to keep up with increasing customer demand.
Aher accounting for the previously-discussed impacts of [)EC’s EL, DSM and renewable resources, the Company projects it will meet its customers’ remaining requirements with a combination of natural gas and nuclear resources.
‘Fhe2013 IRP identifies the need fi)r new natural gas plants that are economic, highly efficient and reliable. The following natural gas resources are included in the plan for the 2014 through 2028 planning horizon:
• 2015 — Convert a 170 MW coal unit to natural gas at the Lee Steam Station in S.C. • 2017— Construct a new 680 MW natural gas CC generation facility • 2019— Procure or construct 843 MW of natural gas CC generation • 2022 — Procure or construct 403 MW of simple cycle combustion turbines (Ci’s)
Nuc’ear Generation
1)uke Energy Carolinas believes nuclear generation is important for the long-term benefits of its customers — today and in the future. ‘l’he2013 [RP continues to support new nuclear generation as a carbon—free,cost—effectiveoption within the Company’s resource portfolio.
• W.S. Lee Nuclear Station, Cherokee, S.C. — DEC continues to pursue nuclear expansion options at the proposed site. Currently a new and updated site-specific seismic analysis is being conducted at the request of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission. Completion of this report delays licensing and pushes the project completion date to 2024.
• V.C’. Summer Nuclear Plant, Fairfield. S.C. - [)iscussions also continue with Santee Cooper to possibly purchase an interest in two units under construction at the V.C. Summer Nuclear Plant in Fairfield County. S.C. in the 201 8 through 2020 timeframe.
‘I’hetable below illustrates the Companys optimal Base Case resource plan that includes the gas and nuclear additions described above. As discussed, in addition to these traditional resources. the Base Case also includes approximately 2,400 MW of EL, DSM and renewable resources.
7 Table 1-A DFC Base Case
Duke Energy Carolinas Resource Plan Base Case
Year I j Resource — MW 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 - - onn 2022 - 2023 . - 2024 2025 2026 2027 - -
2028 - - Nate fable inc-ndcs both designated and undesignated capacity additions
One Company: The Benefits of Shared Capacity
DEC also examines a Joint Planning Scenario which shows the impact of capacity sharing between DEC and DEP. This exercise starts by combining the future load obligations of the two companies and combining the existing and projected resources from both [)EC’s and DEP’s independent Base Case plans. [-lowever, rather than maintaining utility-specific individual minimum reserve margins, the Joint Planning Scenario simply ensures that the combined system maintains adequate reserves when viewed in the aggregate.
The sharing of capacity between the systems defers the need tbr new additions of generation. If [)EC and l)EP receive the appropriate regulatory approvals to allow for the sharing of resources, the Joint Planning Scenario illustrates how benefits would accrue to both companies customers by delaying investment in new generation.
Federal Regulations and Future Market Conditions
With the information and data currently available, the 2013 IRP is a best projection of what the Company’s energy portfolio will look like 15 years from now. This projection can change and will change depending on changing load forecasts, energy prices, new environmental regulations and other outside factors.
8 Environmental Focus Scenario
What if there is an aggressive new carbon tax in 10years’? Or additional new government mandates are required ol electric utilities? The Company has created an l.nviromnental Focus Scenario that factors in significant increases in EF and renewable resources that would influence the plan ii regulatory, legislative, or market conditions changed from todays base assumptions to support such increases. This scenario examines how the amount of traditional supply—sideresources would change if future market conditions andlor state and federal regulations resulted in higher levels of energy ef1ciency and renewable resources.
*****************
The following chapters give an overview of the inputs incorporated into the 2013 IRP. Chapter 8 provides insight into the planning process itself and reviews the results of the Base Case resource plan as well as the two alternative scenarios developed in this planning cycle. Finally, the appendices to this document give even greater detail and specifics regarding the input development and analytic process that produced the resource plans contained in this year’s IRP filing.
9
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The [)uke Energy (‘aroIinas spring 2013 forecast provides projections of the energy and peak demand needs fbr its service area. The forecast covers the time period of 2014 thmugh 2028 and represents the needs of the retail classes and the wholesale buyers with whom [)EC has a contractual obligation to serve.
Long—termelectricity usage is determined by economic and demographic trends. The 2013 spring forecast was developed using industry-standard linear regression techniques, which relate electricity usage to such variables as income, electricity prices and the industrial production index along with weather and population. 1)EC has used regression analysis since 1979 and this technique has yielded consistently reasonable results over the years.
‘l’heeconomic projections used in the spring 2013 tbrecast are obtained from Moody’s Analytics, a nationally recognized economic forecasting firm, and inclLideeconomic tbrecasts br the slates of North Carolina and South Carolina.
The retail forecast consists of the three major classes: residential, commercial and industrial.
The residential class sales forecast is comprised of two projections. The first is the number of residential customers, which is driven by population. 1he second is energy usage per customer, which is driven by weather, regional economic and demographic trends, electricity price and appliance efficiencies. i’he usage per customer forecast is essentially flat through much of the forecast horizon, so most growth is primarily due to customer increases. The projected growth rate of residential sales in the spring 2013 Ibrecast from 2014-2028 is 1.2% annually.
Commercial electricity usage changes with the level of regional economic activity, such as personal income or commercial employment, and the impact of weather. The three largest sectors in the commercial class are olbices, education and retail. Commercial is expected to be the fastest growing class, with a projected sales growth rate of 1.8%.
The industrial class tbrecast is impacted by the level of manufhcturing output, exchange rates, electric prices and weather. The long—termstructural decline that has occurred in the textile industry is expected to moderate in the forecast horizon, with an overall projected sales decline of I.2%, compared to an average decline of 7.2% from 1997—2012. In the other industrial sector, several industries such as autos, rubber and plastics and primary metals, are projected to show strong growth. Overall, other industrial sales are expected to grow 0.9% over the forecast horizon. Including all industrial classes, the overall sales growth rate of the total industrial class is 0.6% over the Ibrecast horizon.
13 Including the impacts of DEC’s FE programs, the projected average annual growth rate from 2014 through 2028 is 1.5% tbr summer peak. 1.5% for winter peak and 1.5% fhr energy. Ihese groth rates represent a 4,164 MW increase in capacity and 20,826 MWh increase in energy by 2028.
Compared to the spring 2012 forecast, the spring 2013 Ibrecast reflects lower growth, due to a slightly slower economic outlook. For example, the growth rate of the summer peak afler all adjustments in the spring 2012 ibrecast is 1.7% versus 1.5% in the new forecast.
The load tbrecast projection tbr energy and capacity including the impacts of EE that was utilized in the 2013 IRP is shown in Table 3-A.
Table 3-A Load Forecast with Energy Efficiency Programs
YEAR SUMMER ENERGY (MW) (CWh) 2014 18,332 92,943 2015 18,691 94,721 2016 19,053 96,475 2017 19,398 98,226 2018 19,741 100,032 2019 20,117 101,678 2020 20,359 102,948 2021 20,598 104,187 2022 20,848 105,469 2023 21,104 106,748 2024 21,378 108,089 2025 21,643 109,418 2026 21,922 110,825
2027 22,209 112,294 2028 22,496 113,769 i.ote: Table 8-C differs from thesevalues due to a 150 MW firm sale in 2014 and a 47 MW Piedmont Municipal Power Aoenc (PMPA) hacksand contract through 2020
A detailed discussion of the electric load forecast is provided in Appendix C.
‘4 4. ENERGY EFFICIENCY AND DEMAND SII)E MANAGEMENT
I)EC is committedto making sure electricity remains available, reliable and affordable and that it is produced in an environmentally sound manner and, therefore, advocates a balanced solution to meeting future energy needs in the Carolinas. That balance includes a strong commitment to demand side management and energy efficiency.
Since 2009, I)EC has been actively developing and implementing new I)SM and EF programs throughout its North Carolina and South Carolina service areas to help customers reduce their electricity demands. DEC’s [)SM and hE plan was designed to be flexible, with programs being evaluated on an ongoing basis so that program refinements and budget adjustments can he made in a timely fashion to maximize benefits and cost-effectiveness. Initiatives are aimed at helping all customer classes and market segments use energy more wisely. The potential for new technologies and new delivery options is also reviewed on an ongoing basis in order to provide customers with access to a comprehensive and current portfOlio of programs.
DEC’s EE programs encourage customers to save electricity by installing high efficiency measures and/or changing the way they use their existing electrical equipment, [)EC evaluates the cost- effectiveness of DSM!EE programs from the perspective of program participants, non-participants, all customers as a whole and total utility spending using the ibur California Standard Practice tests (i.e., Participant Test, Rate Impact Measure (RIM) Test, Total Resource Cost (‘l’RC) Test and Utility Cost Test (UCI’), respectively) to ensure the programs can he provided at a lower cost than building supply-side alternatives. The use of multiple tests can ensure the development of a reasonable set of programs and indicate the likelihood that customers will participate. DEC will continue to seek Commission approval to implement DSM and EE programs that are cost—effective and consistent with DEC’s forecasted resource needs over the planning horizon. DEC currently has approval from the NCUC and SCPSC to offer a large variety of EL and 1)SM programs and measures to help reduce electricity consumption across all types of customers and end-uses.
[‘or IRP purposes, these EL-based demand and energy savings are treated as a reduction to the load forecast, which also serves to reduce the associated need to build new supply-side generation, transmission and distribution facilities. DEC also offers a variety of DSM (or demand response) programs that signal customers to reduce electricity use during select peak hours as specified by the Company. [he IRP treats these “dispatchable” types of programs as a resource option that can he dispatched to meet system capacity needs during periods of peak demand.
‘to better understand the long-term hE savings potential. DEC commissioned an update to the 2011 market potential study performed by Forefront Economics Inc. for the purpose of estimating the achievable potential fOr EE on an annual basis over a 20-year forecast period. ‘[he results of the market potential study are suitable for integrated resource planning purposes and use in long-range
15
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of by as Hydrogenerationremainsa valuableand significantpart of the generatingfleet for the Carolinas. Thepotentialforadditionalhydrogenerationon a commerciallyviablescaleis limitedandthe cost and feasibilityarc highly site-specific. Giventhese constraints,hydro is not includedin the more detailedevaluationsbut may be consideredwhensite opportunitiesare evidencedand the potential is identified. DECwill continueto evaluatehydroopportunitieson a case-by-casebasisand will includeitas a resourceoptionif appropriate.
In general, the Company expects a mix of resources will ultimately be used for meeting renewabletargets,with the specificsof that mix determinedin largepart by policydevelopments over the coming five to ten years. Costs for all the resources discussed above are highly dependentupon future subsidies, or lack thereof, and the Company’s procurementefibrts will vary accordingly. Furthermore,the Company values portfolio diversificationfrom a resource perspective,particularlyin lightof the varyingproductionprofilesof the resourcesin question.
Further Details on Compliance with NC REPS
A moredetaileddiscussionof the Company’splans to comply with the NC REPSrequirements can be found in the Company’s NC REPS Compliance Plan (Compliance Plan), which is providedas an Attachmentto this document
Details of that Compliance Plan are not duplicated hcre, although it is important to note that various details of the NC REPS law have impacts on the amount of energy and capacity that the Company projects to obtain from renewable resources to help meet the Company’s long- term resource needs. For instance,NC REPS contains several detailed parameters, including technology-specificset-aside requirements for solar, swine waste and poultry waste resources; capabilities to utilize EE savings and unbundled REC purchases from in-state or out-of-state resources and RECs derived from thermal (non-electrical) energy; and a statutory spending limit to protect customers from cost increases stemming from renewable energy procurement or development. Each of these features of NC REPS has implications on the amount of renewableenergy and capacity the Company forecasts to obtain over the planning horizon of this IRP. Additional details on NC REPS compliance can be found in the Company’s CompliancePlan.
The Company continues to see an increasingamount of alternative energy resources in the transmissionand distributionqueues. These resources are mostly solar resources,due to the combinationof federaland state subsidiesto encouragesolar development. This combinationof incentiveshas ledsolarto be the primaryrenewableresourceprojectedin the Company’sNC REPS CompliancePlan. Withstate incentivesscheduledto end in 2015and federalincentivesscheduled to be reducedinthe sametimeperiod,the exactamountof solarthat will ultimatelybe developedis highlyuncertain. If tax incentiveswere to be extendedor significantadditionalcost reductionsin
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10
in a 8. EVALUATION AND DEVELOPMENT OF THE RESOURCE PLAN
To meet the ftiture needs of DEC’s customers, it is necessary for the Company to adequately understand the load and resource balance. For each year of the planning horizon, 1)EC develops a load forecast of energy sales and peak demand. ‘E’odetermine total resources needed, the Company considers the load obligation plus a 14.5% minimum planning reserve margin. ‘Ihe projected capability of existing resources, including generating units, FE and [)SM, renewable resources and purchased power contracts, is measured against the total resource need. Any deficit in future years will be met by a mix of additional resources that reliably and cost-effectively meet the load obligation while complying with all environmental and regulatory obligations. It should he noted that DEC considers the non-firm energy purchases and sales associated with the iDA with 1)EP in the development of its independent l3ase Case resource plan and two alternative scenarios to be discussed later in this chapter and in Appendix A.
Figure 8-A represents a simplified overview of the resource planning process. Appendix A of the Company’s 2013 1RP provides a detailed discussion of the development ol the resource plan.
Figure 8-A Simplified IRP Process
Portfolio Development Resource Plan Data Inputs &Detailed “Quantitative” f Analysist “Qualitative” • Load Forecast • Generation Alternative • Fuel Diversity • Fuel Price Forecasts Screening • Environmental • Existing Generation • Expansion Plan Modeling Footprint • Energy Efficiency • Minimization of Revenue • Flexibility • Demand Response Requirements • Rate Impact • Renewable Resources • New Generation • Environmental Legislation
25 DEC performed its expansion plan modeling under Base Case assumptions that were updated as compared to its 2012 IRP. In addition to an updated Base Case expansion plan, DEC also considered an Environmental Focus Scenario that includes a greater amount of renewable resources and EE, as well as changes to other assumptions, such as fuel and 2CO prices. Finally, DEC and I)EP examined the potential benefits of sharing capacity as represented in a common Joint Planning Scenario.
Data Inputs
DEC utilizes updated data to develop its resource plan. For the 2013 FRP,data inputs such as load forecast, EE and DSM, fuel prices, projected 2CO prices, individual plant operating and cost information, and future resource information were updated. These data inputs were developed and provided by company subject matter experts and/or based upon vendor studies, where available. Furthennore, DEC and DEP benefitted from the combined experience of both utilities’ subject matter experts by utilizing best practices from each utility in the development of their respective IRP inputs. Where appropriate, common data inputs were applied.
As expected, certain data elements and issues have a larger impact on the plan than others. Any changes in these elements may result in a noticeable impact to the plan, and as such, these elements are closely monitored. Some of the most consequential data elements are listed below. A detailed discussion of each of these data elements has been presented throughout this document and is examined in more detail in the appendices to this document.
• Load Forecast • EE/DSM • Renewable Resource Projections • Fuel Costs • Technology Costs and Operating Characteristics • Environmental Legislation • Nuclear Issues
Generation Alternative Screening
DEC reviews generation resource alternatives on a technical and economic basis. Resources also must he demonstrated to be commercially available lhr utility scale operations. The resources that are thund both technically and economically’viable are then passed to the detailed analysis process further analysis.
26
resource
reserves
resources, required represents
and
Company’s
methods
Resource
DEC Base
Scenario Requirements In with determine
expansion
1’he input Portfolio [he
the
Load portfolio
DEP.
Case
produced an step
2013
gap. and
were
fbr between
objective
De3’eloplneiIt Plans
the
a
and designated planning
to
2012 non-firm
IRP,
However,
1)EC
thus,
development derive and best
analyzed.
Resource an
a
IRP
is updated
mix
I)EC
to the
Base of models
environmentally
resource
energy
meet
resource
filing
of’
selecting
and resource
the and
Case Balance
capacity
and Base
and
DetaikdA its
Base
and
only
DEP portlolios
along
detailed load
detailed
additions
Case
plan does
a
Chart
Case commitment
additions
robust where
sound obligation
with
analysis
not
resource
iialysis analysis
production
shown incorporates
or
and take
an
appropriate. plan
complying resource frr
lnvironmental
EE
into will
27
plan the
between
plus in
phase
that
Chart
resources (oiupanys
costing
account
determine utilizing
plans.
required
minimizes
the
utilizes
with
the
8—B
‘I’his JDA models.
all
the companies. ‘[his
Focus
do
consistent
the illustrates
stale
reserves. the
short—
plan
sharing
between
not the inlomation
step most and
Scenario
The
represents meet and
Present
in
of federal assumptions the
goal
robust The long—term
the
DEC
capacity the
resource
and
ol compile(I
[RP existing Value
regulations.
required
plan an
the
and a process
Joint
between update modeling
resource to
and DEP need
of
generating
in
meet load Planning
Revenue
analytic the
utilizes
that
to
which I)EC plans is
data
and this the to is Chart 8-B DEC Load Resource Balance
27 DEC- Load Resource Balance 26
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
• Existing Resources • Designated Resources (mci Uprates) I Non-traditional Resources (DSM, Renewable) D Resource Gap
Cumulative Resource Additions to Meet Load Obligation and Reserve Margin (MW)
Year 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 ResourceNeed - - 37 317 573 941 1,172 1,425
Year 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 Resource Need 1,682 1,935 2,218 2,463 2,753 3,064 3,358
Tables 8-C and 8-D present the Load, Capacity and Reserves tables fhr the Base Case analysis that was completed for DEC’s 2013 IRP.
28 Table 8-C Load, Capacity and Reserves Table - Summer
Summer Projections of Load, Capacity, and Reserves for Duke Energy Carolinas 2013 Annual Plan
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2026 2026 2027 2028
Load Forecast 1 Duke System Peak 18,490 18,922 19,375 19,827 20.278 20.764 21,114 21417 21.776 22,143 22.488 22,862 23,240 23.613 23.974 2FirmSale 150 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 Cumulative New EE programs (111) (184) (275) (382) ç490) (600) (708) (819) (929) (1.040) (1.110) (1.219) (1.318) (1,404> (1.477)
4 Adjusted Duke System Peak 18,529 18.738 19,100 19,445 19,788 20,164 20,406 20,598 20,848 21,104 21,378 21,643 21,922 22,209 22,496
Existing and Designated Resources 5 Generalrng Capacity 20,366 20.386 20.218 20,218 20,263 20,263 20.263 20,259 20.259 20,259 20,259 20,259 20.259 20.259 20,259 6 Designated Additions / Uprates 20.3 202 0 45 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 Retirements / Derates 0 (370> 0 0 0 0 (4) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
8 Cumulative Generating Capacity 20,386 20,218 20,218 20,263 20.263 20,263 20,259 20,259 20,259 20,259 20,259 N 20,259 20,259 20,259 20,259 ‘C Purchase Contracts 9 Cumulative Purchase Contracts 251 238 230 227 227 169 166 79 66 56 46 46 46 45 25
Undesignated Future Resources 10 Nuclear 0 0 0 0 66 0 66 0 0 0 1,117 0 1,117 0 0 11 Fossil 0 0 0 680 0 843 0 0 403 0 0 0 0 0 0
Renewables 12 Cumulative Renewables Capacity 185 287 316 340 425 519 572 626 668 718 760 818 847 866 921
13 Cumulative Production Capacity 20,823 20,744 20,764 21,510 21,661 22,540 22,653 22,619 23,051 23.091 24,240 24,298 25,444 25,462 25,497
Demand Side Management (DSM) 14 Cumulative DSM Capacity 911 1,010 1,068 1,118 1169 1,196 1,196 1,196 1,196 1,196 1,196 1,196 1,196 1,196 1,196
15 Cumulative Capacity WI DSM 21,733 21,754 21,832 22.628 22,830 23,736 23,848 23,815 24,246 24,287 25,435 25,493 26,640 26,658 26,692
Reserves wi DSM 16 Generating Reserves 3.204 3.016 2.732 3,183 3,042 3.572 3.442 3,217 3,399 3,183 4.057 3.850 4,718 4,448 4.196 17 Reserve % Margin 17.3% 16.1% 14.3% 16.4% 15.4% 17.7% 16.9% 15.6% 16.3% 15.1% 19.0% 17.8% 21.5% 20.0% 18.7% Table 8-fl Load, Capacity and Reserves Table — Winter
Winter Projections of Load, Capacity and Reserves for Duke Energy Carolinas 2013 Annual Plan
13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 21/22 22/23 23/24 24/25 25/26 26/27 27/28
Load Fore cast I Duke System Peak 17,717 18,177 18,595 19,000 19.410 1 9,818 20,165 20,463 20,803 21,150 21,510 21866 22,234 22,589 22,938 Firm Sale 2 25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 Cumulative New EE Programs (64) (123) (194) (276) (397) (486) (572) (661) (748) (837) (923) (1,013) (1,094) (1,164> (1.225)
Adjusted 4 Duke System Peak 17.678 18,053 18.401 18.724 19,013 19,332 19,593 19,802 20,054 20,313 20,588 20,853 21,140 21,425 21.713
Existing and Designated Resources Generating 5 Capacity 21.927 21.219 21,239 21,071 21,071 21.116 21,116 21,116 21,112 21,112 21.1/2 21,112 21.112 21,112 21,112 6 Designated Additions / Uprates 2 20 202 0 45 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 Retirements I Derates (710> 0 (370) 0 0 0 0 (4) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
8 Cumulative Generating Capacity 21.219 21,239 21,071 21,071 21,116 21,116 21,116 21,112 21,112 21.112 21,112 21,112 21,112 21,112 21,112
Purchase Contracts 9 Purchase Cumulative Contracts 229 216 210 210 210 152 149 56 43 33 23 23 23 23 23
Undesignated Future Resources 10 Nuclear 0 0 0 0 0 66 0 66 0 0 0 1,117 0 1.117 0 Fossil 11 0 0 0 0 711 0 875 0 0 443 0 0 0 0 0
Renewabies 12 Cumulative Renewables Capacity 62 112 119 127 134 168 214 221 234 238 252 260 270 268 263
13 Cumulative Production Capacity 21,509 21,567 21,400 22,119 22,171 23,088 23,131 23,107 23,550 23,544 23,548 24,673 24,683 25.797 25,793
Demand Side Management (DSM) 14 Cumulative DSM Capacity 561 584 604 626 649 649 649 649 649 649 649 649 649 649 649
15 Cumulative Capacity w/ DSM 22.070 22.151 22,004 22,745 22,820 23,737 23,780 23.756 24,199 24,193 24,197 25,322 25.332 26.446 26,442
Reserves w!DSM 16 Generating Reserves 4.392 4.098 3.603 4,021 3,807 4,405 4,187 3.954 4,145 3.880 3,610 4,469 4,191 5,021 4.729 17 % Reserve Margin 24.8°/a 22.7°A 19.6% 21.5°/a 20.0% 22.8% 21.4% 20.0% 20.7% 19.1% 17.5% 21.4% 19.8% 23.4% 21.8%
(0.
9.
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7.
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an
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and
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DEC
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lowing
and
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dates
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for
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Nantahala
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and
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subject MW
which
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load
summer
peak
by’
to
he
associated
shown
are
Reserves
Duke
the NCMPAI
through
service
June
sale
included
additions
agreement
capacity
reflecting Carolinas
Cogeneration
ratio
energy
demand
nimbered
and
Duke
the
conversion
to
including
and
hydra
and
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in
from
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review
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planning
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in
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selected
with
25
in
other
increase
be
the
in
tbr
firm
capacity.
designated
20 in
lbr
available end
with
submitted
MW
to
included
2024
of
Carolinas
on
2012-20
1998.
the
purchased
14—2t)
Marshall
of
47
Partners
QF match
capacity All
horiton.
of
operating
an
2015
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DEP)
winter
to
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due
MW
and
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values
ongoing
programs
and
meet 17
energy
capacit
in the
additions,
Steam
to
represents
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an
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31
sale.
total
available
capacit for
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timeframe
load
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are
Capacity,
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basis.
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Summer
capacity
(does
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units
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and
is
including
Duke
planned
which
uprates
included
the
from
the
capacit
minimum
except
for
market
scheduled
not
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and
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winter
10
Nuclear
for
Energ
all
on
PIIRPA
began
include
FERC’
total
uprates,
at
3
and
Nantahimla.
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Catawba
where
the
in
for power
from
Catawba.
peak
2020
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2 Summer
Carolinas
to
the
facility
retirement
for
demand
Qualifying
Energy Reserves
MW.
coal
shown
tune
be
retirements
of
mitigation
summer
licence
Nuclear
repaired
that
Nantahala
McGuire,
to
1998
in
reserve
Proiections
Carolinas
as
response
natural
and
2018
year.
date
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renewal
peak
Facilities.
and
Station
Percent.
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PMPA
and
in
Table
margin
and
for
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and
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of
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derates
programs)
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nuclear
2020
that
of
are
less
Oconee.
in
starts
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2015
Steam
assumed
year
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to
on
facilities.
service.
(170
Station.
to MW).
16.
17.
15.
14.
13.
1
II.
2.
The
Miniminn
Reserve
Sum Cumulative
Sum
Also
Cumulative
Addition
Addition
Addition Capacity
New
renewable
and
difference
of
of
includes
fossil
DEC
h
lines
lines
Margin
of
of
of680 must
target
l)ecemher
fuel
Demand 403
843
solar.
8
13
standard
a
between
through he
- compliance
=
and
resources
planning
MW
MW
MW
Assumptions
(Cumulative on—line
hiomass.
14
Side
I
of
oFC’omhined
Advanced
beginning
to
lines
I
Combustion
2
resere
by
he
Management
economically
plan
hvdro
iune
4
included
and
Capacity—Ssteni
Combined
fbr
in
margin
I
and
15
(‘vcle to
201
South
of
Turbine
in
wind
be
programs
8
available
selected
is Load,
included
capacit
Carolina
Ccle
14.5%
resources
capacit
Peak
to
including
units
capacity
Capacity,
in
iii
32
meet
as
available
2017
to
{)emand)/Sstem
a
in
in
placehulder
meet
load
2022
2019
for
(based
load
1’C
and
the
capacit)
control
and
winter
on
minimum
REPS
to
the
for
reflect
Reserves
Peak
and
compliance
peak
need
the
DSDR
planning
Demand
ofthat
determined
a
summer
possible
year.
Table
reser
peak
state
in
e
of
2012
margin
or
cont.
that
kderal
[RP) year The following charts illustrate both the current and Forecastedcapacity by fuel type for the DEC system, as projected by the Base Case expansion plan. As demonstrated in Chart 8-E, the capacity mix for the DEC system changes with the passage of time. In 2028, the Base Case projects that DEC will have a smaller reliance on coal and a higher reliance on gas—firedresources, nuclear, renewable resources and EE as compared to the current state. Gas price projections continue to make natural gas an attractive resource for future capacity needs.
Chart 8-E I)uke Energy Carolinas Capacity by Fuel Type — Base Case’
2014 Duke Energy Carolinas Capacity 2028 Duke Energy Carolinas Capacity Base Case Base Case
DSM Renewables ER 4% 0.8% j 5% Purchases “\ 1%
A detailed discussion of the assumptions, inputs and analytics used in the development of the Base Case is contained within Appendix A.
Environmental Focus Scenario l)EC also developed an Environmental [octis Scenario that includes aspirational EE targets, as well as contributions from renewable resources at levels approximately twice the level considered in the Base Case resource plan. This scenario illustrates the amount of traditional supply-side resources that would be eliminated or deferred if future market conditions and/or state and federal regulations resulted in higher levels of efficiency and renewable resoui’ces.
The supply-side resources were analyzed in light of the higher EE contributions and accounting for additional renewable resources. The Environmental Focus Scenario also assumed higher carbon prices
In 2021. the REPS compliance plan of 12.5°/bis comprised ofapproximatel 25% Energy Efflcienc3. 25% purchases of out—of—stateRECs. 5-10% from RE.Qsnot associated ith electrical energ (including animal waste resources), and the balance from purchases of rene able electricity.
33
mix.
resources.
i’he
as
of
locus
The
The
resource
Table
with
annual
and
Note.
doubling
projected
2028 2026
2027 2025
2023
2024
202!
2022 2021)
2019
2018
‘s’earT
•
•
•
•
following
Environmental
increase
slightly
Fables
the
Scenario,
8-F
Cl’
1)elay contribution
Increase
Incremental
Duke
incremental
plan:
Base
represent
resource
Natural
the
by
lower
Energy
in
in
charts
Case
the
renewable
DEC
thus
FE
in
the
only
Environniental
FE
fuel
Base
(‘arolinas
Focus
gas
expansion
additions
undesiiznated
increase
and
need
to
F
in
illustrate
increasing
Environmental
of
2022 peak) - - -
- -
prices
CC
Case
renewable
724
for
resources Scenario
Resource
and
moves
in
by
the
resources
reflected
both
MW
due
plan.
renewable
the
2028
nuclear
new
Focus
to
the
by
results
resources
beyond
impact
as
.1
Plan
from
declining
CC
Focus
I
2028
current
compared
in
208
Scenario
“w
capacity
the resource - - - -
-
in
energy
that
through
2028
Scenario
the
Environmental
and
reduce
demand
those
ftllowing
to
2028
34
timell’ame
expansion
resources
is
Ibrecasted
from
the
still
no
the
haseload
for
Base changes
20
economically
Company’s
2027
2028
changes
2026
2025 2023
2024
2021
2020
2022
2019
2018
Year
fissil
I
of
9
plan.
Case
capacity
Focus
to
to
1,857 Duke
the
resources
2022
fuels.
Base
and
Chart
Environmental
as
Scenario
Energy
MW
compared
(‘use
by
reliance
including
selected
Table
8-G
fuel
build
have
nameplate
Carolinas
Resrnwce
expansion
demonstrates
type
plan
8-F
on on - - - - -
-
Focus
to
occurred
aspirational
in
coal,
fbr
the
below
the
the
Resource
Scenario
the
(734
Base
system
in
Environmental
plan
hydro
pror
represents
1)EC’
the
MW
Case
years
Plan
EE
contrasted
capacity
and
impacts
system.
goals. MW - - - - -
-
CT the Chart 8-C Duke Energy Carolinas Capacity by Fuel Type — Environmental Focus Scenario
2014 Duke Energy Carolinas Capacity 2028 Duke Energy Carolinas Capacity Environmental Focus Scenario Environmental Focus Scenario RenewabIe FE EE DSM 08% 05% Renewjbies Purchses 4% \ 6% 1% OSM 4%- 2jrchases
Joint Planning Scenario
A Joint Planning Scenario that begins to explore the potential for DEC and l)EP to share firm capacity between the companies was also developed. The Ibcus of this scenario is to illustrate the potential for the utilities to collectively defer generation investment by utilizing each other’s capacity when available and by jointly owning new capacity. This plan does not address the specific implementation methods or issues required to implement shared capacity. Rather, this scenario illustrates the benefits of joint planning between DEC and DEP with the understanding that the actual execution of capacity sharing would require separate regulatory proceedings and approvals.
Table 8-LI below represents the annual non-renewable incremental additions reflected in the Joint Planning Scenario system expansion plan for the combined DEC and DEP Base Cases as compared to the Joint Planning Scenario. The plan contains the undesignated additions for I)EC and DEP over the planning horizon.
35 Table 8-H DEC and DEP Joint Planning Scenario
Duk I-in’pr (mimi and Duke Fmrj Pnigre’ l)uke 1ner (‘andinas and Duke Energy I’nignss lla,i- (use (‘onibint-dkesourre Plans Joint Planning Scenaiiu Rnsourre Plan Vear Resaune MW \tar Resnwte MW
2014 - 2014 - -
2015 — - 21)15 - -
20(6 2(1)6 - -
20)7 20(7 - - 2018 2(1)8 20(9 2019 202)) 202)) 0, C 202! 202! 2622 2022
2023 I 21)23 21)2-I 2024 2025 2026
2027 - - ‘!t 2028 -
The following charts illustrate both the current and forecasted energy and capacity by fuel type for the l)EC system, as projected by the Joint Planning Scenario. In this Joint Planning Scenario, the Companies continue to rely upon nuclear, C1’ and coal resources, hut the reliance on natural gas CC resources increases due to the favorable natural gas prices. The Companies’ renewable energy aiid EE impacts continue to grow over time, as also reflected in the Base Cases.
Chart 8-1 DEC and DEP Capacity by Fuel Type — Joint Planning Scenario
2014 Duke Energy Carolinas and Duke Energy Progress 2028 Duke Energy Carolinas and Duke Energy Progress Capacity - Joint Planning Scenario Capacity- Renewables EE Joint Planning Scenario DSM 1.0% 05% Rc-newab)es 00 DIM 5%\ 3%
Purhoses
36 Chart 8-J DEC and DEP Energy by Fuel Type — Joint Planning Scenario
2014 Duke Energy Carolinas and Duke Energy Progress 2028 Duke Energy Carolnas and Duke Energy Progress Energy - Joint Planning Scenario Energy - 1ont Planning Scenario
P,se EE Renewables Rnnewab’es 1% yurchases rydro
2%
37 9. SHORT-TFRM ACTION IThAN
The Company’s Short-Term Action Plan, which identifies accomplishments in the past year and actions to he taken over the next live years, is summarizedbelow:
• Take actions to ensure capacity needs beginning in 2017 are 2met. As discussed later in this chapter, DEC issued a Request for Proposals (RFP) to address the 2017 capacity need. After evaluating multiple bids including a self-build option, the Company has determined the most economic alternative to meet the 201 7 need is to construct a new natural gas combined cycle facility at the Lee Steam Station site in Anderson County S.C.
• Retire older coal generation. Buck Steam Station tJnits 3 and 4 were retired in May
2011. Chffside Units I through 4 and Dan River Units I and 2 were retired in October 2011 and April 2012, respectively, in advance of the initial testing of new generation at those locations. The remaining tin-scrubbed coal units at Buck and Riverbend were retired in April 2013, nearly two years earlier than previously planned. The retirement of Lee Steam Station is currently planned for April 2015 to correspond with the compliance requirements of the Mercury and Air Toxics Standard. Duke Energy Carolinas also retired 350 MWs of its older CTs in October 2012.
• Continue to execute the Company’s FE and I)SM plan, which includes a diverse portfolio of EE and l)SM programs, and continue on-going collaborative work to develop and implement additional cost-effective EE and DSM products and services.
• Continue to seek enhancements to the Company’s DSM/EE portfolio by: (1) adding new or expanding existing programs to include additional measures, (2) program modifications to account for changing market conditions and new measurement and veritication (M&V) results and (3) other FE research and development pilots.
• Completed construction of the new Dan River Combined Cycle unit. The unit was operational December 2012. The 620 MW natural gas-tired CC generating station achieves high operational flexibility and high thermal efficiency while utilizing state-of- the-art environmental control technology to minimize plant emissions.
• Completed construction of the 825 MW Cliffside Unit 6, at the existing Cliffside Steam Station. As of December 2012, Cliffside Unit 6 began commercial operation.
• Move fbrward with the conversion of Lee Steam Station Unit 3 from coal to natural gas fuel.
2 Whilethereisa slightcapacit)needin2016. the Compan will continue to monitor that small need and take action asnecessary.
38
timeframe.
> Continue
dew
coal
of
Lee
>
>
and
The
and
The
The
Environmental has 201
Lee
analysis
(published
and
for
update
accuracy
for
In
concluding
environmental
Lnvironmental
(NRC)
The
License well
acquisition
respectively.
Carolina
share
Steam
DEC
lopment
unit
April
5.
planning.
favorable NRC
moved
Nuclear
Company
risk
Company
Company
Company
as
in
Eastern
to
of
continues
the
Station
the
multiple
fhr
will
reduction (COL)
Preliminary
pursue
the
and
2012,
in
issuance Electric
the as
Lee
fourth
of
W.S.
in
that
historical
two
delay
regulatory
financing
NUREG-2
will
will
South
Conmiercial this
United
Compatibility
While
submitted Unit
Nuclear
report
continues
and
Impact
the
the
regulatory
to
1,100
the
quarter
Lee
continue
and
in
continue capacity
Lee
of
explore
3
option
an
NRC
Carolina,
engineering
new
NCUC’s
is
shown
the
was
load
options
IH
Gas
units
environmental
efforts
COl.
States
site-specific
Statement
reflected
115
of
an
to
(Lee)
staff
resource Lee
tor
approvals.
Operation
to
filed
forecasting V.C.
is
201
to
the
application
being
in
issuance
and
evaluate to
assess
as
still
are
at
pursue
new
(CEUS)
COL.
January
4
evaluation
subsequently
potential
Nuclear
well
he
the
September
and
Summer
in
ongoing.
Public
has
39
subject
available
lbr
decisions
nuclear
cost-effective
the
federal
opportunities
seismic
as
converted
available
[)ate
until
report
Completion
the
been
the
within
2012).
2013
pursue
for
Convenience
Seismic
on
to
for
nuclear
(COD)
second
of
and
optimal
a
Lee
generating
for
analysis
24, successful
to
I)ec.
completed
L)uke
Combined
by
requested a
the
DEC’s
other
This
federal,
to
state
the
the
joint
Nuclear
2009.
considering
to
natural
2011
for from
quarter
Source
station.
of
12,
Nuclear summer
Energy
negatively
time
relevant
benefit
level.
to
ownership
Lee
and the
future
2007.
capacity
state
completion
incorporate
IRP
a
Construction
I)uke
The
and
gas
plant
to
Nuclear
new
2016.
Necessity
planning
Carolinas
Characterization
from
The
peaks
Regulatory
and
regulatory
was
the
before
tile
NRC
load
more
A
impacts
Energy
site-specific
in
in
local plan
economies
Accordingly, share
prospects
supplement
a
the
of
Unit
the
I)ecernher
of
demand
reasonable
the
the
issued
perspective,
detailed
(CECPCN)
2018
IRP
shows
and
Certificate
tax discussions
approvals.
201
the Carolinas
of
Commission summer
new
1
to
as
incentives
Operating
the
and
7
schedule
fbr
its
of
2024.
seismic
a
Central
to
and
a
model
project
to
retired
2011,
South
scale
2020,
Drafi
1)EC
basis
joint
5.9%
2028
peak
for
the
the
of
its
to as A which Table
represent summarization •
•
• • • 9-A. the Continue
regulatory Continue Continue agreements (CSAPR)
as operational Continue Continue
resources.
appropriate. unhundled cumulative change MATS. Capacity ownership to to and to of is
to to actions. RE(’s Additionally, impacts
within monitor the projected
the evaluate
examine PPAs totals. investigate pursue retirements the
and/or Coal capacity from new
the have associated energy—related existing market sales Combustion wind, to
1)uke ozone the
occur.
been REC
resource the and agreements benefits solar Energy National options
additions future
with signed
purchase
and
The PV, changes statutory Residuals existing balancing
potential of values
environmental
solar with Ambient
fbi’ fbi’ 40 joint are agreements renewable new thermal
for developers presented shown and and capacity authority opportunities the t’itle, nuclear Air potential regulatory Base for and Quality the have control generation as renewable
generation of hydroelectric planning Case area. incremental
Cross—State solar environmental been Standard activities.
for
requirements
in PV, executed the and and resources, wholesale resources. 2013 landfill facilities. values (NAAQS). procure Air pursue regulations fbr
IRP
Pollution
and gas
I)SM in
ower purchases
capacity, appl’opriate is
the
shown and resulting and year
sales
wind
Rule such
EE of’
as in in Table 9-A DEC Short-Term Action Plan
Duke Energy Carolinas Short-Term Action Plan
Renewable Resources (CiuimlativeNanplate MW)
(21 Year Retitnnts Additions Solar Bitiniass/Hvdro FE DSM °
2014 12 MW Nuc 0 294 62 I I 1 91 1 170 MW Lee NG Conx 2015 370 MW Lee 1-3 Coal 20 MW Nuc 0 519 69 184 1010 2016 0 569 77 275 1068 45 MW Nuc 2017 68OMWCC’ 0 609 84 382 1118 2018 66MWVCSunmer 0 730 118 490 1169 Notes (I) Includes 77MW ofnuclear uprates
(2) Capacity is shossii in nameplate ratings For planning purposes. sond presents a lSo contribution to peak and solar has a 40 contribution to peak (3) Bionss includes ssone and poultrs contracts (4) Includes impacts ofurid irxdemizution
[)EC RFP Activity
Supply-Side
As determined in the Base Case, DEC”s first significant capacity need is in 2017. [)EC recogiiized the need for near-term capacity in its 2012 IRP which indicated a need ibr approximately 700 MW of capacity in the 2016 tirneframe. ‘l’hroughout the IRP analysis this need was met by a generic CC. Concurrent with the IRP analysis, DEC issued a RFP fbr capacity and energy on October 26, 2012. The RFP was for up to 700 MW of dispatchable, non-peaking capacity and energy available by either June 1,2016 or June 1,2017.
On November 27, 2012, DEC received multiple proposals from twelve companies including a DEC selthuild bid for the construction of a natural gas combined cycle fcility at the existing Lee Steam Station site in Anderson County, S.C. ‘[‘liebids were reviewed for compliance with RFP guidelines and were ranked economically to determine the least cost options. ‘l’he initial economic analysis identified the short—listedbidders to continue proposal discussions. In late February 2013, DEC notified the short—listedbidders to provide refreshed proposals to meet capacity needs beginning June 2017.
Refreshed proposals received on May 29, 2013 were ranked economically and modeled utilizing detailed production cost modeling techniques. The results of detailed analysis including PROSYM
41
Renewable
No
the
production
renewable
Lee
CC
cost
Enerp
selt-huild
energy
modeling,
RFPs
proposal
along
have
to
been
he with
the
issued
all
least—cost
other
since
42
fixed
option
the
and
filing
of
variable
the
ol’
l)LC
refreshed
revenue
s
2012
proposals.
IRP.
requirements. indicated AflEN DIX A: QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS
This appendix provides an overview of the Company’s quantitative analysis of resource options available to meet customers’ future energy needs in the Base Case and for an Environmental Focus Scenario that reflects increased C02 cost, FE and renewables. The future resource needs were optimized based on DEC and DEP independently. However the benefits of jointly planning on a system basis for the Base Case and Environmental Focus Scenario were also presented.
A. Overview of Analytical Process
The analytical process consists of tour steps:
1. Assess resource needs 2, Identit’ and screen resource options for further consideration 3. 1)evelop portfolio configurations 4. Perform portfolio analysis
I. Assess Resource Needs
The required load and generation resource balance needed to meet future customer demands was assessed as outlined below:
• Customer load peak and energy forecast — identified future customer aggregate demands to determine system peak demands and developed the corresponding energy load shape
• Existing supply-side resources — summarized each existing generation resource’s operating characteristics including unit capability, potential operational constraints and life expectancy
• Operating parameters — determined operational requirements including target planning reserve margins and other regulatory considerations
Customer load growth, the expiration of purchased power contracts and additional asset retirements result in significant resource needs to meet energy and peak demands. The following assumptions impacted the 2013 resource plan:
• In the Base Case, the summer peak demand and energy growth after the impact of energy efliciency averaged 1.5% through 202g. In the Fnvironmental Focus Scenario afier the
impact of energy efficiency, summer peak demand growth averaged 1.3% and energy
growth averaged 1.2% over the next 15 years
• Retirement of an additional 350 MW of old fleet combustion turbines and 710 MW of older coal units since the 2012 IRP filing
• Retirement of an additional 370 MW at Lee Steam Station by April 2015
43
quantitative
Based Supply-Side Resource
analysis
basis capabilities,
The
options
diverse
from
capacity
based Ihe
2.
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
• •
•
•
•
Company
is
IRP
its
on
on
Renewable Peaking/Intermediate
Renewable
Peaking/Intermediate
Baseload
Baseload
Baseload
Baseload
shown
Compliance
Technical
Reasonableness
Long-run
IdentiJj’
A
Continued
are
mix
phase.
EE/DSM
needs.
Options
the
existing process
14.5%
analysis
initially
with
of
results
in
compared
technologies
aiid An
—
— —2
The
Appendix
minimum
reliability
feasibility the
—
680
843 operational
evaluated
132
Collaborative
EE/1)SM
as
screened
with
25
overview
x
1
Screen
of Company
50
most
potential
1,117
MW MW
MW
MW
of
the
MW
all
cost
capacity
F. planning —
—
lèderal
Purchase
screening and
cost-effective Resource
— MW
—
program
based
FE,
and
2
2
reliability
of
403
805
parameters
Solar
supply-side
developed
On-shore
x
x
commercial
and
resources
Nuclear
I
I
fuel
E)SM
MW
MW
on
Combined
Advanced
and
options
reserve
PV
cost-effectiveness
of
experience,
the
analysis,
Options
sources
of state —
—
V.
and
Wind
4
2
units
thilowing
existing
EE
options
screened
resource
C.
x
x
margin
within
availability
requirements
supply—side
7FA.05
7FA.05
Combined
and
Summer
Cycle
44
for
(gas,
(API
the
generation
l)SM
the
Further
being
for
options
ft)llowing
their
on attributes:
(Inlet
000) coal.
CR
CTs
most
the
Nuclear
technical
screening.
options
in
Cycle
selected
options
respective
planning
nuclear
Chiller
the
to
Consideration
recent
portlblio
meet
technologies
marketplace
(Inlet
(API000)
for
basis
to
and
for
and
market
horizon
future
Supply-side
consideration
meet
fttel
Chiller
Fired)
inclusion
and
renewable).
capacity
types
potential
customer
a
were
and
levelized
options
and
in
Fired)
included
within
needs:
the
study,
Supply-side
energy
operational
economic
portfolio
reflect
the
in
input
IRP
anci
the a Energy Efficiency and Demand-Side Management
FE and DSM programs continue to be an important part of Duke Energy Carolinas’ system mix. The Company considered both DSM and FE programs in the 1RP analysis. As described in Appendix D, EE and I)SM measures are compared to generation alternatives to identiI’ cost- effective EE and DSM programs.
In the [3ase Case, the Company modeled the program costs associated with FE and DSM based on a combination of both internal company expectations and projections based on infbrma(ion from the 2013 update of the Company’s 2011 market potential study. In the DEC and DEP merger settlement agreement, the Company agreed to aspire to a more aggressive implementation of FE throughout the planning horizon, and the impacts of this goal were incorporated in the Environmental Focus Scenario. The program costs used for this analysis leveraged the Company’s internal projections tbr the first five years. in the longer term, updated market potential study data incorporating the impacts of customer participation rates over the range ol potential programs.
3. Develop Portfolio configurations l’he Company conducted a screening analysis using a simulation model to identify the most attractive capacity options under the expected load profile for both the Base Case and Environmental Focus Scenario. The set of basic inputs included:
• 2CO price starting in 2020 increasing throughout the planning horizon
Base Case - 17 s/ton in 2020 increasing to 33 $/ton by 2028 Environmental Focus Scenario - 20 S/ton in 2020 increasing to 45 S/ton by 2028;
• Coal, natural gas and fuel oil
Short-term: Based on the market observations Long—term: Based on the Company’s fundamental fuel price projections For the Environmental Focus Scenario, the Company’s fundamental fuel price projection incorporated the impact of ditierent 2C0 EE and renewable 1-equirements consistent with that scenario ,
• Availability and operating and maintenance cost for both new and existing generation
• Compliance with current and potential environmental regulations,
• Financial updates including cost of capital, escalation and discount rates
• System operational needs for load ramping, and spinning reserves
45 The projected load and generation resource need incorporating the impacts of EE and [)SM.
- I’he Base Case reflects FE savings projections based on the updated market potential study at the end ol the planning horizon
l’he Environmental Focus Scenario assumes lull compliance with the Duke Energy-Progress Energy merger settlement agreement with the cumulative FE achievements since 2009 counted toward the cumulative settlement agreement impacts
Compliance with NC REPS requirements and a placeholder renewable requirement for South Carolina that could represent a federal or state program starting in 201 8
.r The Environmental [ocus Scenario reflects a doubling of the amount of renewables included in the Base Case by 2028
4. Perform Portfolio ,4,,a!vsis
For the Base Case and Environmental Focus Scenario, the optimal portfolios were developed for I)EC without the benefit of sharing capacity with DEP. To demonstrate the value of sharing capacity with [)EP, a Joint Planning Scenario was developed that examined how the combined plans of DEC and DEP would change if a 14.5% minimum planning reserve niargin was applied at the combined system level rather than the individual company level.
An overview of the specific details of the optimal portiblios for both the Base Case and Environmental Focus Scenario without the benefit of sharing capacity with L)EP is shown in Table A-I below.
46
renewables,
requirements
amount
need
The
dependent
two
expansion
1
Even
cycle
Case
V.C’.
in
‘l’he
Focus
5-year
Table
2024
Environmental
additional
of
first
Summer
and
though
generation
Note:
r
Scenario.
the
of
planning
Total
A-I
and
resource
Total
Total
Environmental
renewable
model.
on
Advanced
This
the
2028
2027 2025
2026 2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016 2014
2015
associated
shared
Nuclear
2026.
arriving
Nuclear
CCs
CTs
table
DEC
scenarios
Environmental
was
horizon.
In
need
Focus
addition
includes
V.C.
resources
selected
These
Optimal
CC
at
Station
with
was
commercially
Focus
66
66
in
However, Summer
Scenario
of
onl’
2019
nuclear
MW
MW(V.C.
higher 843
to
determined
as
this
in
by
1,II7MW(N) l,II7MW(N) 403
680MW(CC)
Portfolios
significant
Scenario,
new.
Focus
the
2,366
2018
1,523
MW(AdvCC)
(V.C.
2028.
403
to
IRP,
Nuclear
MW
EE
incorporates
Base
most
because undesignated
2022.
resources
MW
and
Scenario
MW
acceptable
MW
and
Summer
SummerN)
The
(CT)
to
the
the
economical
levels
2020
In
he
increased
was
Optimal
of
impact
optimized
procurement
addition,
in
were
47
the
resources.
and
present
a
N)
of
selected
2017
terms
more
higher
FE,
of
the
1
selected
cost resource Portfolios
these
66
66
the
in
portfolios
1)SM
addition
with
value
aggressive
Environmental
and
CO 2
associated
MW
both
MW(V.C.
843
2022
of
additions
1,II7MW(N)
1.II7MW(N)
680MW(CC)
Santec
economically
and
to
incorporated
2,366
aiiy
MW
1,523
price
of
the
(VC.
CT
of
meet
included
revenue
renewable
Base
the
portion
(Adv
FE
need
projection.
MW
Cooper.
MW
with
Summer
Summer
allowed
this
W.
portfolio
Case
Focus
was
CC’)
doubling
need.
5.9%
S.
requirements
in
utilizing
of
resources,
Lee
delayed
for
the
and
N)
N)
increased
V.C.
ownership
and
In
a
Nuclear
Base
Environmental
the
deferral
both
the
doubles
Summer
beyond
amount
combined
Case
(PVRR)
the
capacity
revenue
Station
of
in
Base
and
the
the
the
the
of is through 2028 is $2 billion more than the Base Case even with deferral of the advanced CC’and CT resources.
An evaluation was performed comparing the DEC and [)EP optimally selected Base Case porttoiios to a combined .Joint Planning Scenario where existing and future capacity resources conic! he shared between DEC and DEP to meet a minimum 14.5% planning reserve margin. In this Joint Planning Scenario. sharing the W.S. Lee nuclear station on a load ratio basis with 1)EP vas the best economic selection. ‘fable A-2 shows the total incremental natural gas and nuclear capacity needed to meet the projected minimum planning reserve margin between 2014 and 2028 for 1)FC and DEP if separately planned. The total of these two combined resource requirements is then compared to the amount of resources needed if l)EC and DEP were to jointly plan.
Table A-2 Comparison of Base Case Portfolio to Joint Planning Scenario
DEC l(ote ( one ll99) 2(114 21)15 21)16 2(117 2019 2019 2(121) 21(21 2022 21(23 21(24 2(125 2026 21)27 2028
(unnUni!s 6813 843 403 ‘nuclear J 66 66 1117 3117
D6P Bane Coon,(MW) 2014 2015 2016 20)7 2(110 2(119 21(20 2021 21(22 2(123 2024 2025 j 2026 2(127 2(129
Gun Loito 843 843 843 401
Nuclear 46 46
DEC & DEl’ (‘onthjoe,l Bone Cane (51W) 680 112 1686 132 843 1248 1117 1117 403
Combined Bone Cone Rcnerve Mmin 17.7% 17.7% 160% 166% 15.7% 18,6% 172% 16.6% 18.0% 16.8% 18.6% 17.8% lg.4% 19.1% 17.4%
joint Ploonitin, (‘one (MW} 792 843 112 1246 843 403 1117 1137 loin! P!oonin (‘one Renerve ‘nIoniin 17,7% 37.7% 160% 14.6% 15.7% 16.1% 14.8% 35.3% 15.6% 15.6% 174% 16.6% 18.3% 36.855 15.2%
A comparison of the DEC and [)EP Combined Base Case resource requirements to the Joint Planning Scenario requirements illustrates the ability to defer CC and C”!’resources over the 2014 through 2028 planning horizon. Consequently, the Joint Planning Scenario also results in a lower overall reserve margin. This is confirmed by a review of the reserve margins for the Combined
Base Case as compared to the Joint Planning Scenario, which averaged 17.6% and 16.0%, respectively, from the first resource need in 201 7 through 2028. ‘l’he lower reserve margin in the Joint Planning Scenario indicates that DEC and DEP are more efficiently and economically meeting capacity needs. This is reflected in a total PVRR savings of $0.4 billion for the Joint Planning Scenario as compared to the l3ase Case through 2028.
48
Nuclear
completion accident.
specific
recommendations
impacts Source
‘I’here
20
ownership
outstanding
Scenario
DEP working discussing
been
DEC generation.
shared Nuclear
br ‘[he
Energy
10%
‘l’he
as
B.
12,
well
resource
2.
3.
quantitative
Base
ownership
signed.
and
were
the
are
Characterization
among
were
New
V.C. deferral
‘[‘he
The
as
Environmental
Corporation
the
Quantitative
seismic
site-specific
the
[he
by
described
towards
NRC
several
In [)EP
planning
the
interest
Case
also
need
of’
commercial
l)EC.
results
schedule The
April
Base
ability
additions
selected.
Summer
nuclear
Any
commercial
the
the
on
issued
analysis
of
interest
illustrated
idea
analysis
and
challenges fbr
a
Case
of’ a
2012,
participation
in new
parties.
above.
new of
br
However
final
load
to
is
analysis
new
the
V.C.
of
Analysis
Environmental
tbr
a
this
generation
in to
the
in
Focus
and
jointly
generation
request
model
sharing
seismic
the
in
to
items
ratio
Near—Term
decision
discussions
2018
resulted
he
NRC
generation
analysis
tenns longer
Summer
the
incorporate
with
Environmental
‘Ibis
NRC
that
better
implementing
the
Scenario.
basis.
and
(published
Summary
new
plan
and
for
in
issuance
new
and
have
analysis
the
results term.
Company
staff
is in
in
the
resources
information
show
continued
matched
2020
Units
nuclear
several
currently
with
baseload
selected
the
‘[‘ask
ability
‘T’he
with
in
Focus
impacted
V.C.
subsequently
the
201
in
In
next
that
of
and
2
is
benefits
as
[)EP
Santee
new
Force
the
I
positive
Summer
the
and
continues
units
7
key
the
with
not
to ocus
NUREG-2
Scenario
over
this
demonstration
generation
several
as
the to
have
letter
1
new
Central the jointly
49
3,
5-year provides
Lee
takeaways
expected
meet
review
an
at
load need
Cooper Scenario
the
of
addition
the
schedule
not
requested
benefits
CEUS
V.C.
project
to
co-ownership
Nuclear
economic
2014
months.
ownership to
analyses
growth
the
is
operating
plan
planning
and
115
reconciled
of
resources
consider
best
Summer concerning
customer hefbre
minimum
seismic
show that
of
through
Eastern
in
is
insights
for of’
as
fbr
COL.
met
premised
January
DEC
and
the
If
customer
represented
the impact
resource
support
the
horizon,
power
optimal
is
l)uke
January
the
Lee with
differences
lbr
of
between
Units
model
expected
Lee
to
United
2028
Company’s
from
savings
Completion
reserve
the
the
update
benefits
2012).
new
Nuclear
near—term
CC
Nuclear
on
reactor
Energy
100%
2
benefits.
potential
Lee
planning
port(b
a
for
the
is
201
successful
States
and
construction 5.9%
generation
multiple
in
underway.
to
by
the
margin
Nuclear
the
4.
[‘ukushinia
Work
and
of’
the
licensees
be was ownership
3.
in
lios
lhcility.
customers.
allowing
Lee
decision—
ownership
of
(CEUS)
regional
This
Rase
2024
acquisition
shared no
horizon.
The The
Joint
that
to
on
parties
the
Nuclear
requirement.
resolution
contract
facility
procure
a
parties
parties
negatively
Case
risk
However,
recognize
new
and
regarding
In
Planning
new
between
1)ai—ichi
Seismic
nuclear
making
For
of
March
allows
in
l)uke
to
2026
with
site-
site-
of
Lee
and
Lee
has
the the
are are
an
he
of a
Assuming
is One
interest
generation
energy
significant operating
decision
impacts
haseload Lee
low economics
The
based
2014. however,
dependent
proceedings
considering
site
of
before the
petition NRC’s
‘when
Confidence
Appeals
reactors
reactors
has
In specific
1)uke
approximately
remanded
addition,
expiration
Nuclear
production
ol’the
specific
PVRR
reasonable
on
Energy
Waste
the
of
output
necessary”
analysis
to
concerning
of
and
current
operating
seismic
generation
this
license of
VU.
to
regional
major
part
NRC.
suspend
supporting
on
results
any
all
should
facilities
Rule
the
assist
actions,
waste
renew
the
Confidence
determination
Carolinas
of
of
the
of
Summer
cost
options
assurance
N
was
schedules,
6
potential
benefits
a
for
analysis
approximately
T)istrict
On
DEC’s and
RU
and
presented
plant’s
million
the
Waste
license
confidence
nuclear
continue
and
final
the
seeking
if
Oconee
insufficient
were
but
August
Company
new
issued
remanding
that
existing
operating
for
carbon-free
and
has
decisions
of
generation
has
must
license.
Confidence
utility
expires.
will
of
tons
retirement
selected
spent
nuclear
this
resolving
planning
having
moved
extends
sharing
a
to
in
an
Nuclear
7,
not
Columbia
second
proceedings
he
move
delay
the
is
nuclear
2012,
of
updated
as
to
spent
20,000
fuel
not
licenses
yet
resolved
it
In
in
CO 2 additional
economically, IRP
the
it
were
Waste
support
generation.
to
Lee
only
portfolio
considers
forward.
all can
expected response
with
the
Lee
determined
license
Station
of’
the
Rule
commercial
fuel
the
analysis
for
generation
Nuclear
pending
GWh.
extended
Waste
Circuit
to safely
Oconee
waste
NRC
conlidence
COL
of
L)EP, to
NRC
in
can
its
DEC
final
until
existing
extension
nuclear
support
new
expires.
representing
findings
The
to
seeking
to
50
Confidence
he
confidence
be
issued
It were
issuance
As
Stations,
fur
reactor
license
DEC
impact
issued
and
they
a
the
the
Nuclear
is
nuclear
to
stored
safely
operation
NRC
is
course
important
such,
further
2052
generation
is
reactors.
issuance
based
remand
[)EP
Court’s
retired
would
an
At
a
procures
that
for
central
issuance
issuance,
second
licensing
expects
a
stored
on-site
until
order
the
and
this
over
to
it
this
of
by
decision
Station
the
issues,
Rule
on
proceedings.
date
also
is
capture
resulting
in
action,
license
to
of
decision,
2028 time, remand
to
second
a
plant.
permanent
On
on
2,500
important
license
is
fhr
this
the
its at
note
the
the
in
1
of
ft)r
serve
and
proceedings
5-year
the
which
the
June
nuclear
as
2010
at
the
(from
the
agency’s
future.
issue
Lee
Lee vacating
load
the
renewal
(2)
that
Oconee
MW
lower
(3)
petition
reduction
least
quarter
compared
is
extension.
as
Lee
Company
8,
numerous
Nuclear
planning
Nuclear
long-term
aIlirm
it
could
all
appropriately
replacement
while
to
ratio
to
storage
The
a
2012,
plants
of
Nuclear
will
60
system
2013
be
licensing
start
In
ability
proceedings
capacity
Nuclear
the
pending
stating 2016.
years
Court
ing
resolved
share
include
V.C.
2033,
not
in
the
Unit
C’OL.
fur
to
will
baseline).
horizon,
to
has
CO 2
updated
that
CO 2
benefits parties
COL.
to
issue
60
U.S. after
new
examine
Summer
held
Accordingly,
that:
of’
reviews
be
carbon-free
not 1
Station
the
and
license
completion
the
addressed,
emissions
generic years
to
Ilowever,
footprint. in
the
available
Court
pending
a
nuclear licenses
made
2024.
that
current (1)
August
but
annual
filed ageiicy
of
Waste
power
‘[his
I
afler
O%
new
and
is
and
it
the
the
the
the
or
of
is
a
a a
business
practical
practice
resource The
new
illustrates
Company’s
nuclear
requires
planning
plan
to
that
reflect
generation
is
for
the
planning
DLX’
the
framework
improved
mOSt
Company
to
to
appropriate
the
continue
process
future
is
information
to
truly
achieve
must
to
resource
an
resource
study
evolving
he
material
and
dynamic
portfolio.
the
plan
changing
options
process
system
at
and
this
and
circumstances.
adaptable
that
reductions
point
make
can
in
never
time.
adjustments
to
in
changing
CO 2
he
However,
Consequently.
considered
emissions,
as
conditions.
necessary
good
it
complete.
must
business
a
strong
‘[his
and add _____
APPENDIX B: DUKE ENERGY CAROLINAS OWNED GENERATION
Duke Fnergy Carolinas generation portfolio includes a balanced mix of resources with different operating and fuel characteristics. This mix is designed to provide energy at the lowest reasonable cost to meet the Companys obligation to serve its customers. [)uke Energy Carolinas-owned generation, as well as purchased power, is evaluated on a real-time basis in order to select and dispatch the lowest-cost resources to meet system load requirements. In 2012, Duke Energy Carolinas’ nuclear and coal-flred generating units met the vast majority of customer needs by providing 62°/o and 3 1%, respectively, of l)uke Energy Carolinas’ energy from generation. Ilydroelectric generation, Combustion Turbine generation, Combined Cycle generation, solar generation, long term PPAs, and economical purchases from the wholesale market supplied the remainder.
The tables below list the Duke F.nergy Carolinas’ plants in service in North Carolina (NC) and South Carolina (SC) with plant statistics, and the system’s total generating capability.
Existing Generating Units and Ratings All Generating Unit Ratings are as of January 1, 2013
Coal Unit Winter Summer Location Fuel Type Resource Type (MW) (MW)
Allen 1 167 162 Belmont, NC. Coal Intermediate Allen 2 167 162 Belmont,N.C. Coal Intermediate Allen 3 270 261 Belmont, NC. Coal Intermediate Allen 4 282 276 Belmont, NC. Coal Intermediate Allen 5 275 266 Belmont, NC. Coal Intermediate
Belews Creek 1 1135 11lO Belews Creek, NC. Coal Base
Belews Creek 2 I 135 1I 10 Belews Creek, NC. Coal I3ase Cliffside 5 556 552 Cliflside, N.C. Coal Base Cliffside 6 825 825 Cliffside, N.C. Coal Base
Lee I 100 100 Pelzer, S.C. Coal Peaking Lee 2 102 100 Pelzer, S.C. Coal Peaking Lee 3 170 170 Pelzer. S.C. Coal Peaking
Marshall 1 380 380 Terrell, NC. Coal Intermediate Marshall 2 380 380 Terrell, NC. Coal Intermediate Marshall 3 658 658 Tenell, NC. Coal Base Marshall 4 660 660 Terrell, NC. Coal Base Total NC 6.890 6,802 Total SC 372 370 ‘lotal Coal 7,262 7,172
52 Combustion Turbines
Unit Winter Summer Location Fuel Fype Resource (MW) (MW) Lee 7C 41 41 Pelzer, S.C. Natural Gas/Oil-Fired Peaking Lee 8C 41 41 Pelzer, S.C. Natural Gas/Oil-Fired Peaking
Lincoln 1 93 79.2 Stanley, NC. Natural Gas/Oil-Fired Peaking Lincoln 2 93 79.2 Stanley, NC. Natural Gas/Oil-Fired Peaking Lincoln 3 93 79.2 Stanley. NC. Natural Gas/Oil-Fired Peaking Lincoln 4 93 79.2 Stanley, N.C. Natural Gas/Oil-Fired Peaking Lincoln 5 93 79.2 Stanley, N.C. Natural Gas/Oil-Fired Peaking Lincoln 6 93 79.2 Stanley, NC’. Natural (las/Oil-Fired Peaking Lincoln 7 93 79.2 Stanley, NC. Natural Gas/Oil-Fired Peaking Lincoln 8 93 79.2 Stanley, N.C. Natural Gas/Oil-Fired Peaking Lincoln 9 93 79.2 Stanley, NC. Natural Gas/Oil-Fired Peaking Lincoln 10 93 79.2 Stanley, N.C. Natural Gas/Oil-Fired Peaking
Lincoln 11 93 79.2 Stanley, N.C. Natural Gas/Oil-Fired Peaking Lincoln 12 93 79.2 Stanley, .C. Natural Gas/Oil-Fired Peaking Lincoln 13 93 79.2 Stanley, N.C. Natural Gas/Oil-Fired Peaking Lincoln 14 93 79.2 Stanley, N.C. Natural Gas/Oil-Fired Peaking
Lincoln 15 93 79.2 Stanley, NC. Natural Gas/Oil-Fired Peaking Lincoln 16 93 79.2 Stanley, N.C. Natural Gas/Oil-Fired Peaking
Mill Creek 1 92.4 74.42 Blacksburg, S.C. Natural Gas/Oil-Fired Peaking Mill Creek 2 92.4 74.42 Blacksburg, S.C. Natural Gas/Oil-Fired Peaking Mill Creek 3 92.4 74.42 Blacksburg, S.C. Natural Gas/Oil-Fired Peaking Mill Creek 4 92.4 74.42 Blacksburg, S.C. Natural Gas/C)il-Fired Peaking Mill Creek 5 92.4 74.42 Blacksburg, S.C. Natural Gas/Oil-Fired Peaking Mill Creek 6 92.4 74.42 Blacksburg, S.C. Natural Gas/Oil-Fired Peaking Mill Creek 7 92.4 74.42 Blacksburg, S.C. Natural Gas/Oil-Fired Peaking Mill Creek 8 92.4 74.42 Blacksburg, S.C. Natural Gas/Oil-Fired Peaking
Rockingham 1 179 165 Rockingham, NC. Natural Gas/Oil-Fired Peaking Rockingham 2 179 165 Rockingharn, NC. Natural Gas/Oil-Fired Peaking Rockingham 3 179 165 Rockingharn, NC. Natural (las/Oil-Fired Peaking Rockingham 4 179 165 Rockingham, NC. Natural (las/Oil-Fired Peaking Rockingharn 5 179 165 Rockingham, N.C’. Natural Gas/Oil-Fired Peaking Total NC 2,383 2,092 Total SC 821.2 677.4 Total CT 3,204 2,770
53
Total
Bad
Jocassee
Bad Bad
Jocassec
Bad
Jocassee
Jocassee
Total
Dan Dan
Dan
Buck
Buck Buck
Dan
Creek
Creek Creek
Creek
River
River River
Pump
River
Buck
CTCC
CTCC
Stor
CTCC
CTI2 CT]]
SilO
4
2
3
4
CT9
3
2 ST7 CT8
I
Unit
I
I
Winter
2,140
(MW)
340
340 340
Winter
340
(MW)
195
195
1,280
195
195
640
300
640
300
170
170
170
170
Summer
Summer
2,140
(MW)
Pumped
(MW)
1
340 340
340
340
Combined
195
195
195 195
620
290
620 290
,240
1
165
165
165
65
54
Storage
Salisbury,
Salisbury. Salisbury,
Cycle
Salem,
Salem,
Salem.
Salem,
Salem,
Salem,
Salem,
Salem,
Eden,
Eden.
Eden,
Location
Location
NC.
NC.
S.C.
NC.
SC’. S.C.
S.C.
S.C.
S.C. S.C.
S.C.
NC.
N.C. N.C.
Pumped
Pumped
Pumped
Pumped
Pumped
Pumped
Pumped
Pumped
Natural
Natural
Natural Natural
Natural
Natural
Fuel
Fuel
Type
Storage
Storage Storage
Storage
Storage
Storage
Storage
Storage
Type
Gas
Gas
Gas
(las
Gas
Gas
Peaking
Resource
Peaking
Peaking
Peaking
Peaking Peaking Peaking
Peaking
Resource
IYP
Base
Base
Base
Base
Base Base
Gaston
Gaston Gaston
Gaston
Fishing
Franklin Fishing Dearborn
Franklin
Fishing
Dearborn Dearborn Cowans
Fishing C’owans
Fishing
Cowans Cedar
Cowans Cedar
Cedar
Cedar
Bridgewater
Biyson Bridgewater
Bryson Bridgewater
99
99
99
99
Bear
99
99
Islands
Islands
Islands
Islands
Islands
Islands
Creek
Creek
Creek
Creek
Cliff
Shoals
Shoals
Shoals
Shoals
Creek Creek
Creek City
Creek
(‘reek
City
Ford
Ford
Ford
Ford
Unit
6
4
2
5 3
4
5 3 2
3 4
2
3
2
3
2
1
2 2
3
4
6
1 1
1 3
1 5 2
1
1
1
I
1
Winter
(MW)
81.3
81.3
81.3 0.48
81
9.45
0.6
9.5
9.5
6.4
1.5
1 1
1
14
1.6
1
14 14
1)
15
15 15 1
0
15
0
8 I
0
I
I
0
0
.6
.6
.6
1
5
1
.3
Summer
(MW)
81
81.3
81.3 0.48
8
9.45
0.6
9.5
9.5
6.4
1
1.6
I 1
I 14
0 14 14 15 1
1.6
15
15
0
0
15
8 15
0
I
1 I
0
0
.5
.6
.6
I
I
.3
.3
Hydro
Tuckasegee,
Tuckasegee,
Blackshurg.
Blackshurg,
Blackshurg,
Blacksburg,
Great Morganton,N.C.
Great
Great
Great
Great Great Morganton,
Great Morganton,
Great Great
Blackshurg,
Great Blackshurg,
Blacksburg,
Great
Blacksburg,
Blackshurg,
Blackshurg,
Franklin,
Franklin,
Whittier,
Whittier,
Stanley,
Stanley,
Stanley,
Stanley,
Location
Falls, Falls, Falls,
Falls, Falls,
Falls,
Falls,
Falls.
Falls,
Falls,
Falls,
NC’.
N.C. N.C.
N.C.
NC.
N.C.
N.C.
N.C.
S.C. N
S.C.
S.C.
S.C. S.C. NC.
S.C. S.C.
S.C.
S.C. S.C.
S.C. S.C.
S.C.
S.C.
S.C.
NC.
N.C. S.C.
S.C.
S.C.
S.C.
S.C.
S.C.
.U.
Fuel
Ilydro
[lydro Hydro
Ilydro Ilydro Hydro
I Hydro
Hydro Hydro
Hydro
Hydro
Hydro Hydro Hydro
Hydro
Hydro
Hydro Hydro
Hydro Hydro
1-lydro Hydro
Hydro Hydro
Hydro
[—lydro
Hydro Ilydro
Hydro
Hydro
Hydro Hydro
Hydro
lydro
Type
Peaking Peaking
Peaking Peaking
Peaking Peaking Peaking
Peaking Peaking
Peaking Peaking
Peaking Peaking Peaking
Peaking Peaking
Peaking
Peaking Peaking Resource
Peaking Peaking
Peaking
Peaking Peaking Peaking
Peaking Peaking
Peaking
Peaking
Peaking Peaking
Peaking
Peaking
Peaking Iyp
Rocky Rocky
Rocky
Rocky Nantahala
Rhodhiss Rhodhiss
Rhodhiss Queens
Oxford
Oxford
Mountain
Mountain
Mountain
Mission
Mountain Mission
Mission 1.ookout
Lookout
Lookout Great
Keowee
Great
Great
Keowee Great
Great
Great
Great
Great
Falls
FaIls
Falls
Falls
Falls
Creek
Creek Falls
Creek
Falls
Creek Falls
Creek
Shoals
Shoals
Shoals
Island
Island
Island Island
Unit
4
2
3
3
2
2
4
3
2
2
3
3
I
2 2
I 1
I
I
8 6 4
1
5
7
1 3
2
I 1
1
Winter
(MW)
1
I
9.5
0.6
9.3
20 9.3
9.3
20
50
1
76
76
0
.44
0 14
0 14
9 17
0
1.5
0
0
0
0
3 0
3
0
3
3
7
Summer
(MW)
Hydro
I I
9.5
0.6
9.3
9.3
20 9.3
20
50
76
76
0 .44
17
0 0 17 14
14
9
0
1.5
0
0
0
0
3
3
0
0
3
3
56
cont.
Mount
Mount Mount
Mount
Great
Great
Great
Great
Statesville,
Great
Great
Statesville, Great
Statesville, Great
Great
Great
Great
Great
Rhodhiss,
Rhodhiss,
Rhodhiss,
Conover,
Conover,
Murphy,
Murphy,
Murphy,
Topton,
Topton,
Seneca,
Seneca,
Location
Falls,
Falls, Falls,
Falls,
Holly,
holly,
Holly,
Holly.
Falls,
Falls, Falls,
Falls,
Falls,
Falls,
Falls, Falls,
NC’.
N.C.
S.C.
S.C.
N.C.
N.C.
N.C.
N.C.
N.C.
N.C.
NC’.
NC.
NC. N.C.
N.C.
S.C.
S.C.
SC’.
S.C.
S.C.
S.C.
SC’.
S.C.
S.C.
S.C.
S.C.
S.C.
N.C.
N.C.
NC.
N.C.
Fuel
Hydro
Hydro I
Hydro
Hydro
Hydro
Hydro Hydro
Hydro
Ilydro Hydro
Hydro
Hydro
Flydro Flydro
[-Jydro Hydro
Flydro
Hydro Hydro
Ilydro Hydro
1-lydro
ilydro Hydro
[Tydro Hydro
l-{ydro
Flydro Hydro
1-lydro
lydro
Type
Peaking Peaking
Peaking Peaking
[‘caking Peaking
Peaking
Peaking Peaking Peaking Peaking
Peaking
Peaking
Peaking Peaking Peaking
Peaking Peaking Peaking
Peaking
Resource
Peaking Peaking
Peaking Peaking
Peaking
Peaking
Peaking Peaking
Peaking
Peaking
Peaking yp Hydro cont.
Unit Winter Summer Location Fuel Type Resource (MW) (MW) jyp Rocky (‘reek 5 0 0 Great Falls, S.C. 1-lydro Peaking Rocky Creek 6 0 0 Great Falls, S.C. [lydro Peaking Rocky Creek 7 0 0 Great Falls, S.C. [Tydro Peaking Rocky Creek 8 0 0 Great Falls, S.C. Hydro Peaking
Tuxedo 1 3.2 3.2 Flat Rock, N.C. Ilydro Peaking Tuxedo 2 3.2 3.2 Flat Rock, NC, Hydro Peaking
Tennessee Creek 1 9.8 9.8 Tuckasegee, N.C. Hydro Peaking
Thorpe I 19.7 19.7 Tuckasegee, N.C. Hydro Peaking
Tuckasegee 1 2.5 2.5 Tuckasegee, N.C. Hydro Peaking
Wateree 1 17 17 Ridgeway, S.C. Hydro Peaking Wateree 2 17 17 Ridgeway, S.C. Hydro Peaking Wateree 3 17 17 Ridgeway, . C. Hydro Peaking Wateree 4 17 17 Ridgeway, S.C. Hydro Peaking Wateree 5 17 17 Ridgeway, S.C. Flydro Peaking
Wylie 1 18 18 FortMill,S.C. Hydro Peaking Wylie 2 18 18 Fort Mill, S.C. Hydro Peaking Wylie 3 18 18 Fort Mill, S.C. Hydro Peaking Wylie 4 18 18 Fort Mill, S.C. Kydro Peaking Total NC 623.97 623.97 Total SC 465.4 465.4 Total Kydro 1,089.37 1,089.37
Solai
Winter Summer Location Fuel Type Resource Type (MW) (MW) NC Solar 8.43 8.43 NC’. Solar Intermediate Total Solar 8.43 8.43
57 Nuclear
Unit Winter Summer Location Fuel Type Resource (MW) (MW) Iyp McGuire 1 1156 1129 Huntersville, NC’. Nuclear Base
McGuire 2 1156 I 129 Huntersville, N.( Nuclear Base
Catawba 1 1163 1129 York, s.C. Nuclear Base
Catawhu 2 1163 1129 York, S.C’. Nuclear Base
C)conee I 865 846 Seneca, S.C. Nuclear Base C)conee 2 865 846 Seneca, SC’. Nuclear Base Oconee 3 865 846 Seneca, S.C. Nuclear Base Total NC 2,312 2,258 Total SC 4,921 4,796 Total Nuclear 7,233 7,054
Total Generation Capability
Winter Capacity (MW) Summer Capacity (MW) TOTAL DEC SYSTEM - NC. 13,497 13,025 TOTAL DEC SYSTEM - S.C. 8,720 8,449 TOTAL I)EC SYSTEM 22,217 21,473
Note a: Unit infbrmation is pro ided by State.hut resourcesare dispatchedon a sstem—widebasis.
Note b: Suniiner and inter capabilitydoes not take into account reductions due to future environmental emission controls.
Note C: Catawba (.inits I and 2 capacit reflects 100% of the stations capabilits. and does not factor in the North Carolina Municipal Power Agenc ill’s (NCMPA#I) decision to sell or utilize its 832 MW retained ownership in Catawha.
Noted: ‘I’heCatasha units multipleownersand theireffective ownership percentages arc: (atawba Owner Percent Of Ownership Duke Energy Carolinas 19.246% NorthCamlina ElectricMembership 30754%
Corporation(NCEMC) NCMPA#l 37,5% PMPA 12.5%
58
Note
Units resource
for
Note
Oconee3
Oconee
Oconee
McGuire McGuire
Catawba
McGuire
McGuire
the
b:
a:
and
Joint
The
Unit
I.
plan
mit
Ratings
2
I
1
2
2
I’
Exchange I uprate Liprate
a
section. capacit
effective
Agreement
Apr
Jan2017
Oct
Jan2017
Oct
Jan
Jan
Jan
Date
represented
as
2017
2014 2013
2013
2013
2015
Planned
ofJanuary
for
Catawba
in
Uprates
Winter
this
I,
201
(40%)
table
and 1
6.0 11.6
6.0
6.0
13
13
8
1
3
.6
59
MW 1
McGuire.
capacity
is
the
total
reflected
The
Summer
operating
adjusted
32.5
32.5
20
29
29
15
15
15
in
Existing
MW
capacity
values
Generating
addition
are
utilized
and
in
is
the
not adjusted Retirements
Unit & Plant Name Location Capacit’,(MW) FuelType Expected Summer Retirement Date Buck 3 Sahshur,’, NC. 75 Coal RETIREE) 4a Buck Salishui-’,.NC. 38 Coal RETIREI) Cli1ide la (‘hiliode. NC. 38 Coal RFTIRE[)
Cliflide 2” (‘lifliode.NC. 38 Coal RETIRET) Clifide 3” (Ii0ide. N C 61 Coal RETIRED Cliide 4” (‘liPiode.NC. 61 Coal RETIREE)
Dan Riser I” Eden. NC. 67 Coal RETIRED
Dan Riser 2” Eden. NC. 67 Coal RETIRED Dan Riser 3’ Eden. NC. 142 Coal RETIRED Buzzard Roost 6C” (‘0pp. S.C. 22 Combustion Turbine RETIRED Buzzard Roost 57C Chappels. S.C. 22 Combustion Turbine RETIRED Buzzard Roost 8C” Chappels. S.C. 22 Combu.stionTurbine RETIRED Buzzard Roost 9C’ Chappels. S.C. 22 Combustion Turbine RETIRED Buzzard Roost bC’ Chappels. S.C. 18 Combustion Turbine RETIRED
Buzzard Roost I IC” Chappels. S.C. 18 (‘ombustion Turbine RETIRED Buzzard Roost l2C” Chappels. S.C. 18 Combustion Turbine RET[RED Chappels, 18 Buzzard Roost 1IC S.C. Combustion Turbine RETIREE) (Shappels. S. 18 Buzzard Roost I4C” C. Combustion Turbine RETIRED SCb Chappels. Buzzard Roost I S.C. IS CombLLstion Turbine RET[RED Riverbend SC” Mt l1oH. N C. 0 Combustion [iwbine RETIRED Riverbend 9Ch Mt. [loll’,. NC. 22 Combustion Turbine RETIRED
Riverbend i0C Mt. Holly.N C 22 Combustion I’urbine RETIREE) Mt. Holk. NC. 20 Combustion Turbine RETIRED Ri’erbend I 5IC Buck 57C Spencer. NC. 25 Combustion Turbine RETIRED Buck 8C” Spencer. NC. 25 Combustion Turbine RETIRED Buck 9C” Spencer, NC. 12 Combustion Turbine RETERE[) Dan River 4Ct Edei. NC. 0 Combustion Turbine RETIRED Dan Riser 55C Eden. NC. 24 Combustion Turbine RETIRE[) Dan Riser 6C” Eden. NC. 24 Combustion Turbine RETIRED Riserbend 4’ Mi. holly, NC. 94 Coal RETIRED Riserbend ‘ Mt. [loll’,, NC’. 94 Coal RETiRED Riverhend 6” Mi. Holly. NC. 133 Coal RETIRED
Riserbencl7” Mt. Holls, N C. 133 Coal RETIRED
F3ucks” Spencer N.C. 128 Coal RETIREE)
Buck 6” Spencer. NC. 128 Coal RETIRE[)
Lee I” Peir. S.C. 100 Coal 4/15/20 5 Lee 2 PeIir. S.C. 100 (‘oal 4/15/2015
Lee 3” Pelzer. S.C. 170 Coal /1/2015
Total 2,037 MW
60
Note
Note
Note Note
\jte
e:
d:
c:
a:
h:
Ihe
I,ee replacement
retirement
Retirement
the
The
coii
Steam
decismn
old
ersion
a
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was
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retirement
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and
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the
retired
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gas
61
Riverbend
remaining
unit
were
as
indicated
is
in
accelerated
planned
6
units.
the
&
7
NCUC
earb
in
tbr
the
in
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on
table.
2009
Order
April
o12()
based
in
1.
IS.
2013.
Docket
on
derates.
The
No.
original
E-7.
aailabilit
Sub
e’ipected
790. of Operating License Renewal
Planned Operating License Renewal
Original Operating Date of Extended Operating Plant & Unit Name Location License Expiration Approval License Expiration
Catawba Unit I York, SC 12/6/2024 12/5/2003 12/5/2043
Catawba Unit 2 York, SC 2/24/2026 12/5/2003 12/5/2043
McGuire Unit I Iluntersville, NC 6/12/202! 12/5/2003 6/12/2041 McGuire Unit 2 Huntersville, NC 3/3/2023 12/5/2003 3/3/2043
Oconee Unit 1 Seneca, SC 2/6/2013 5/23/2000 2/6/2033 Oconee Unit 2 Seneca, SC 10/6/2013 5/23/2000 10/6/2033
Oconee Unit 3 Seneca, SC 7/19/20 14 5/23/2000 7/19/2034 Bad Creek (PS)(1-4) Salem, SC N/A 8/1/1 977 7//31/2027 Jocassee (PS) (1-4) Salem, SC N/A 9/1/1966 8/31/2016 C’owans Ford (1-4) Stanley, NC 8/31/2008 Pending 8/31/2064 (Est) Keowee (1&2) Seneca. SC N/A 9/1/1966 8/31/2016 Rhodhiss (1-3) Rhodhiss, NC 8/31/2008 Pending 8/31/2064 (Est) Bridge Water (1-3) Morganton, NC 8/31/2008 Pending 8/31/2064 (Est) Oxford (1&2) Conover, NC 8/31/2008 Pending 8/31/2064 (Est) Lookout Shoals (1-3) Statesville. XC 8/31/2008 Pending 8/31/2064 (Est) Mountain Island (1-4) Mount Holly, NC 8/3 1/2008 Pending 8/31/2064 (Est) Wylie(l-4) Fort Mill, SC 8/31/2008 Pending 8/31/2064(Est)
Fishing Creek ( 1-5) Great Falls, SC 8/31/2008 Pending 8/31/2064 (Est) Great Falls (1-8) Great Falls, SC 8/3 1/2008 Pending 8/31/2064 (Est)
Dearborn ( I-3) Great Falls, SC 8/3 1/2008 Pending 8/3 1/2064 (Est) Rocky Creek (1-8) Great Falls, SC 8/31/2008 Pending 8/31/2064 (Est) Cedar Creek (1-3) Great Falls, SC 8/31/2008 Pending 8/31/2064 (Est) Wateree (1-5) Ridgeway, SC 8/31/2008 Pending 8/31/2064 (Est) Gaston Shoals (3-6) Blacksburg, SC 12/31/1993 6/1/1996 5/3 1/2036
Tuxedo ( I&2) Flat Rock, NC N/A N/A N/A Ninety Nine (1-6) Blackshurg, Sc, 12/3 1/1993 6/1/1996 5/31/2036
Cedar Cliff(1) luckasegee, NC Ii3 1/2006 5/1/201 I 4/30/2041 Bear Creek (1) l’uckasegee, NC 1/31/2006 5/1/2011 4/30/2041
lennessee Creek ( I) luckasegee, NC 1/31/2006 5/1/201 1 4/30/2041 Nantahala (1) Topton, NC 2/28/2006 2/1/20 12 1/31/2042
62 Planned Operating License Renewal cont.
()riginal Operating Date of Extended (.)perating Plain & Unit Name Location License Expiration Approval License Expiration Queens Creek (1) Tupton, NC 9/30/200! 3/1/2002 2/29/2032
Thorpe (I) luckasegee. NC 1/31/2006 5/1/20! 1 4/30/2041
Tuckasegee ( I) ‘[uckasegee, NC 1/31/2006 5/1/201 I 4/30/204! Bryson City (l&2) Whittier, NC 7/31/2005 7/1/2011 6/30/2041 Franklin (1&2) Franklin, NC 7/31/2005 9/1/2011 8/31/2041
Mission (1-3) Murphy, NC 7/3 1/2005 10/1/201 I 9/30/204 I
63 API[NDIX C: ELECTRIC LOAD FORECAST
MethodoIoy
The 1)uke Energy Carolinas’ spring 2013 forecast provides projections of the energy and peak demand needs for its service area. The forecast covers the time period of 2014 through 2028 and represent the needs of the lollowing customer classes:
• Residential • Commercial • Industrial • Other Retail • Wholesale
Long-term electricity usage is determined by economic and demographic trends. The spring 2013 forecast was developed using industry-standard linear regression techniques, which relate electricity usage to such variables as income, electricity prices, industrial production index along with weather and population. DEC has used regression analysis since 1979 and this technique has yielded consistently reasonable resu Its over the years.
[he economic projections used in the spring 2013 ibrecast are obtained from Moody’s Analytics, a nationally recognized economic fbreeasting firm, and include economic forecasts fbr the states of North Carolina and South Carolina.
The retail forecast consists of the three major classes: residential, commercial and industrial.
The residential class sales forecast is comprised of two proiections. ‘l’he first is the number of residential customers, which is driven by population. [he second is energy usage per customer, which is driven by weather, regional economic and demographic trends, electric price and appliance efficiencies. The usage per customer threcast is essentially flat through much of the forecast horizon, SO most growth is primarily due to customer increases. ‘[he projected growth rate of residential sales in the spring 2013 forecast from 20 14-2028 is 1.2%.
Commercial electricity usage changes with the level of regional economic activity, such as personal income or commercial employment, and the impact of weather. ‘[he three largest sectors in the Commercial class are offices, education and retail. Commercial is expected to he the fastest growing class, with a projected sales growth rate of 1.8%.
The industrial class forecast is impacted by the level of manufacturing output, exchange rates, electric prices and weather. The long term structural decline that has occurred in the ‘I’extileindustry is expected to moderate in the forecast horizon, with an overall projected sales decline of 1.2%,
64 compared to an average decline of 7.2% from 1997-2012 in the Other Industrial sector, several industries such as autos, rubber & plastics and primary metals are projected to show strong growth. Overall, other industrial sales are expected to grow 0.9% over the forecast horizon. Including all industrial classes, the overall sales growth rate of the total industrial class is 0.6% over the forecast horizon.
County population projections are obtained from the North Carolina Office of State Budget and Management as well as the South Carolina Budget and Control Board. These are then used to derive the total population forecast for the 51 counties that comprise the DEC service area.
Weather impacts are incorporated into the models by using Fleating Degree Days and Cooling
Degree Days with a base temperature of 65 degrees. The forecast of degree days is based on a 10- year average, which is updated every year.
Peak demands are forecasted by an econometric model where the key variables are:
• Degree Hours from 1pm - 5pm on Day of Peak • Minimum Morning Degree Hours on Day of Peak • Annual Weather Adjusted Sales
Assumptions
The primary long-term drivers of electricity growth are economic and demographic factors. The table below includes the historical and projected average annual growth rates of several key drivers from DEC’s spring 2013 forecast.
1992-2012 2012-2032 Real Gi)P 2.9% 3.0% Real Income 3.1% 2.8% Population 1.6% 1.0%
In addition to economic and demographic trends, the Ibrecast also incorporates the expected impacts of utility sponsored energy efficient programs, as well as projected effects of electric vehicles and solar technology.
The residential fbrecast also uses the Energy lnfhrmation Administration (EIA) appliance efficiency and saturation projections by Census regions, in an effbrt to more fully reflect the ongoing naturally occurring energy efficiency trends as well as government mandates. The utility-sponsored EE programs are over and above the naturally occurring trend.
65 Wholesale
Table C—Ibelow contains iniormation concerning E)EC’s wholesale contracts. [he description tull indicates that the Company provides all of the needs of’ the wholesale customer. Partial’ refers to those customers where DEC only provides some of the customers needs. ‘Fixed’ refers to a constant load shape.
For resource planning purposes, the contracts below are assumed to he renewed through the end of the planning horiion unless there is definitive knowledge the contract will not he renewed. The values in the table are net MW, i.e. they reflect projected loads after the buyer’s own generation has been subtracted.
66 Table C-I Wholesale Contracts
Wholesale Contracts Commitment (MW) Customer Product Term 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Concord Partial Requirements 2009-2018 167 169 172 174 177 180 212 215 217 220 l)allas Partial Requirements 2009-2028 11 11 11 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 I)ue Vv’est Partial Requirements 2009-2018 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Forest (‘itv Partial Requirements 2009-2028 18 18 19 19 19 20 20 20 21 21 (ircenv’ood Full Requirements 2010-2018 53 53 54 55 56 57 58 58 59 60 I Iiihlands Full Requirements 2010-2029 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 Kings Mountain Partial Requirements 2009-2018 21 21 21 22 22 22 30 30 30 31 I ock hart Partial Requirements 2009-2018 50 50 51 52 54 75 76 77 78 Prosperity Partial Requirements 2009-2028 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 Western Carolina Full Requirements 2010-2021 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 Blue Ridge FMC I nil Requirements 2010-2031 225 229 233 237 241 245 249 253 257 261 Central Partial Requirements 2013-2030 120 244 374 509 649 793 900 918 936 953 I lay wood LMC Full Requirements 2009-2021 23 23 23 24 24 24 25 25 25 26 NC! MC Fixed Load Shape 2009-2038 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 NCEMC Backstand 1985-2043 95 116 116 116 116 116 116 116 116 116 Piedmoni FMC Full Requirements 2010-2031 87 88 89 90 92 93 94 96 97 99 PMPA Baekstand 2014-2020 0 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 Rutherfbrd I MC Partial Requirements 2010-203 I 185 189 204 208 212 217 221 226 230 235 Historical Values
Two major events occurred in the past decade that significantly impacted DEC sales. One was the recession of 2008-2009, which was the most severe since the Great Depression. ilie second is the
ongoing re—structuring of the textile industry, which began in the late I990s. The average growth rate in retail sales from 1997-2007, excluding textiles, was 2.2%. From 2007- 20 12, the average growth has been -0.1 %, primarily due to the effects of the recession. In Tables C-2 & C-3 below the history of DEC customers and sales are shown. The values in Table C-3 are not weather adjusted.
Table C-2 Retail Customers (Thousands, Annual Average) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Residential 1,872 1,901 1,935 1,972 2,016 2,052 2,059 2,072 2,081 2,092 Commercial 307 313 319 325 331 334 333 334 336 339 Industrial 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 Other II 12 13 13 13 14 14 14 14 14 R)tal 2,198 2,234 2,275 2,317 2,368 2,407 2,413 2,427 2,439 2,452
Table C-3
Electricity Sales (GWh Sold - Years Ended December 31) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Residential 23,947 25,150 26,108 25,816 27,459 27,335 27,273 30,049 28,323 26,279 Commercial 24,355 25,204 25,679 26,030 27,433 27,288 26,977 27,968 27,593 27,476 Industrial 24,764 25,209 25,495 24,535 23,948 22,634 19,204 20,618 20,783 20,978 Other 270 269 269 271 278 284 287 287 287 290 Total Retail 73,336 75,833 77,550 76,653 79,118 77,541 73,741 78,922 76,985 75,022 Wholesale 1,448 1,542 1,580 1,694 2,454 3,525 3,788 5,166 4,866 5,176 Total System 74,784 77,374 79,130 78,347 81,572 81,066 77,528 84,088 81,851 80,199
68 Results
A tabulation of the utility’s Ibrecasts for a 15—yearperiod, including peak loads for summer and winter seasons of each year and annual energy forecasts, both with and without the impact of’utility— sponsored EL programs are shown below in Fables C-4 and C-6.
Load duration curves, with and without utihly—sponsoredEL programs, follow fables C-4 and C-6, and are shown as Charts C-5 and C’-7.
‘Ihe values in these tahies reflect the loads that I)uke Energy Carolinas is contractually obligated to provide and cover the period from 2014 to 2028.
The lorecast of the needs of the retail and wholesale customer classes from 2014—2028,not including the impact of [)[C EL programs, projects a compound annual growth rate of I.9% in the summer peak demand, while winter peaks are forecasted to grow at 1.9%. The forecasted compound annual growth rate for energy is 1.9% helbre energy efficiency program impacts are subtracted. if the impacts of l)EC LE programs are included, the projected compound annual growth rate lbr the summer peak demand is 1.5%, while winter peaks are forecasted to grow at a rate of 1.5%. The forecasted compound annual growth rate for energy is 1.5% afler the impacts of EL are subtracted.
As a note, all of the loads and energy in the tables and charts below are at the generator.
69
and
Note.
Table
Load
a
47
Table
MW
YEAR
2028
2027
2026
2025
2024 2023
2022
2021
2019
2020
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014 Forecast
C-4
8-C
PMPA
differs
hacksiand
without
from
these
SUMMER
contract
24,017
23,655
23,280
22,901
22,525 22,143
21,776
21,417
21,067 20,717
20,231
19,780
19,328 18,875
(MW)
18,443
alues
Energy
through
due
to
Efficiency
a
2020
70
150
MW
WINTER
23,015
22,660
22,299
21,925 21,563
20,495
21,195 20,842
20,143
19,376
19,789
18,961
18,553
17,718 (MW)
18,132
fim
Programs
sale
in
20
4
ENERGY
122,243
120,327
1
112,522 110,634
116,405
114,471
108,749
106,904 105,027
102,773
100,356
(GWh)
98,023
93,566
95,762 18,371 ______
Chart C-5 Load Duration Curve without Energy Efficiency Programs
24,000
22,500
21,000
19,500
18,000
16,5O0
15,000 d c:,_—•-
10,500
9,000 -______
7,500 “I’h’
6,000
4,500 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Percent of Hours
-2O13 2018 2023 —2028
and
Note:
Table
Load
a
47
Table
YEAR
2028
2027 2026
2025
2024
2022
2023
2020
2021
2019
2016
2017
2015 2014
MW
Forecast
C-6
8-C
PMPA
differs
hackstand
from
with
SUMMER
22,209
22,496
21,922
21,643
21,378
21,104
20,848
20,359
these 20,598
20,117
19298
19,741
19,053
(MW)
18,691 18,332
Energy
contract
values
throuh
due
Efficiency
to
a
2020.
72
150
WINTER
21,790
21,496
21,206
20,913
20,640
20,093
20,359
MW
19,834
19,304
19,571
18,979 18,685 (MW)
18,359
17,654
18,009
Programs
firm
sale
in
2014
ENERGY
113,769
112,294
110,825
108,089
109,418 104,187
106,748
105,469
102,948
100,032
101,678
(GWh)
98,226
96,475
92,943 94,721 Chart C-7 Load Duration Curve with Energy Efficiency Programs
24,000
22,500
21,000
19,500
18,000 I o 16,500 a ci 15,000
13,500 M w 12,000
10,500
9,000
7,500
6,000
4,500 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Percent of Hours
—2013 2018 —2023 —2028 APPENDiX D: ENERGY EFFICIENCY AND DEMANI) SIDE MANAGEMENT
Current Energy Efficiency and Demand-Side Management Programs
In May 2007, I)EC filed its application for approval of Energy Efficiency and Demand Side Management programs under its save-a-walt initiative. The Company received the final order for approval ftwthese programs from the NCUC in July 2010 and from the Public Service Commission of South Carolina (PSCSC) in May 2009.
E)FC uses EE and DSM programs to help manage customer demand in an efficient, cost-effective manner. These programs can vary’greatly in their dispatch characteristics, size and duration of load response, certainty of load response, and level and frequency of customer participation. In general, programs are offered in two primary categories: EE programs that reduce energy consumption and DSM programs that reduce peak demand (demand-side management or demand response programs and certain rate structure programs). Following are the EE and DSM programs currently available through DEC.
• Residential Energy Assessments Program • Low Income Energy Efficiency and Weatherization Assistance Program • Residential Neighborhood Program • Energy Efficiency Education Program for Schools • Residential Smart Program • Appliance Recycling Program • My Home Energy Report • Residential Retrofit Pilot Program (‘Closedto New Participants) • Smart Energy Now (SEN) Pilot (On/vAvailable in NC • Smart $aver’ for Non-Residential CListomers • Power Manager’ • Interruptible Power Service (Closed to New Participants,) • Standby Generator Control (‘Closedto New Participants) • PowerShare’
A new portfilio tiling with essentially the same set of programs was made in March 2013 in N.C. and Aug. 2013 in S.C. Pending approval of this new portiilio, a revised set of programs will he included in the 2014 IRP.
Energy Efficiency Programs
‘l’hese programs are typically non-dispatchable education or incentive programs. Energy and capacity savings are achieved by changing customer behavior or through the installation of more
74
below.
programs energy—efficient
•
energy
specialist
personalized about
home
occupants,
The
program.
customized
receives
The
Personalized The
Residential
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December
through
•
•
PER
Personalized
home
Residential
Energy
saving
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bill An
their
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and
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As
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mailed
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energy
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31,
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opportunities.
house and
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2012
201
offer
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where
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to
2012
as
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their
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Participants
Participants
Home
Report
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Assessments
and
customers
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12,902
or
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The
they are
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customers
their
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light
home
PER
complete
how
to
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Energy
reflected
energy
All
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provides
in—home PER
rrogram
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customer’s
(2)1
and
75
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Online
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are
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analyze
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Comparison
have
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(CFLs)
assessmcnl
asked
customers
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on
(MWh)
signed
two
(MWh)
24,493
printable
participants
3,547
Report
eflècts
Energy
information
total
home
customer
monthly
Savings
to
Savings
survey
variations:
explains
includes
and
as
their
complete
into
home
Report
an
in
those
designed
since
and
fiouse
document
home.
single
online.
incentive
I)EC’s
hills.
load
energy
complete
how
two
about
the
energy
completing
an
Call
Peak
Peak
inception
forecast
to
to
family
In
The
included separate
Online
Customers
their
practices.
(kW)
2,788
(EIEHC).
(kW)
help
addition,
improve
387
Demand
to
I)em
usage
their
program
participate
home,
dwellings
customers
it
and
and
Services
of
energy
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online
and
measures:
heating these
the
mailing
An
summarized
number
provides
pinpoint
customer
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receive
existing
survey
survey
(OLS)
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learn
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the
(1)
of a
•
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schools.
audits.
efliciency
The
and
program
Energy
The
flow
installation
Residential
the
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Low
receive
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begin
and
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cost
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immediately.
31,
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equipment
high
Income
curriculum
customer
install
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yet
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2012
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Neighhorhood
levels,
showerheads,
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Education
impact
been
to Efliciency
program
and
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repoi-t
the
reduce
Energy
check
or
implemented.
preserve
part
schools
as
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efficiency
Participants
Participants
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weatherization
Program
Home
well
21,293
14,047
is
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measures
Program
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for
Starter
Heating,
prepared
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and
as
through the
air
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educate
lesson
assist
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items
usage
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environment
leaks,
Kit.
76
such
Ventilation
for
explaining
and
measures.
targets
plans,
low
House
a
efficiency
Energy
students
Energy
through
included
Energy
Schools
examine
At
curriculum
as
Weatherization
(MWh)
income
(MWh)
20,732
7,506
the
CE’Ls,
energy
Call
low
Savings
Savings
for
energy
and
HoUSe
about
request
the
in
education.
insulation
Assistance
income
residential
the
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Air
provided
steps
sources
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future
Call
kit
Conditioning
and
of
Program
the
neighborhoods
the
Peak
to
Peak
levels,
program,
water
As
and
customers
Program
allow
to
of’
materials,
customer
(kW)
customer,
3,846
(kW)
of
793
Demand
Demand
kits
energy
public
keep
I)ec.
heater
review
the
(HVAC)
or
customers
31,
electric
assistance
with
and
customer
and
and
can
wraps,
the
appliances
for
2012
private
energy energy
take
energy
energy
filters
direct
COStS
low
this
also
in
to to
•
HV4C
The
heating
the
maintenance
‘[his
install Propei
directly
to
efficiency
business offered
The
Residential
conditioning
energy-efficient
The
Residential
1)ecernher
December
be
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property
residential
CFI..
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Smart
redeemed
CF’Ls
and
contractors
in
to
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Manager
As
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As
As
program
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program
CFLs
variety
of:
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visits
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31,
cards
permanent.
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2012
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and
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(HVAC
conditioning
is
of
the
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Program
Smart
and
is
designed
ways.
provide
will
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customer designed
and
Efficiency
Smart
a
home.
Participants
Participants
20,740,362
landlord—owned
web-based
Participants
dealers)
Saver® install
tune
Program
708,991
(CFLs)
(CFLs) The
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59,651
provides
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provide
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to
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77
incentives
Program
into
measures.
provides
each incentives
fixtures
has
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Energy Energy
—
the
ol
for
three
(MWh)
unit
892,622
Property
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(MWh)
fixtures.
16,041 retail
—
Schools
permanent
ordering
in
of
to
Savings
Savings
use
incentives
and
Residential
Savings
components:
to
the
this
residential
to
stores.
of
multi-family
the
home.
program
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customers
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Program
high—efliciency
tool
number
fixtures
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where
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customers
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and
deployments
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Demand
during
bulbs
Demand
CFLs
high-ef’ficiency
fin’
air
increase
installed.
who
the
were
builders
their
conditioners
free
managers
CELs
have
purchase
coupons
shipped
routine utilized
energy
been
and
and
air to
•
•
to
measures,
recommendations
‘The
‘Flie
the
My
E’his
freezers
Appliance
conditioner
been
Partnering
Tune
systems
and
identify
December
l)ecember
same
December
Home
purpose
program
heat
previously
is
and
a
and
geographic in
As
As
undertaking
As
pumps.
program
Seal
those
with
Energy
new
Recycling
and
have
of:
of
of
of:
31,
31,
assists
31,
Residential
this
Ilieasures
HVAC
homes
ollered
heat
customers
2012
2012
those
2012
tor
Residential
The
Report
to
program
area
residential
more
pump
more
Program
incentivize
and
units
dealers,
in
program
to
Appliance
any
Smart
Participants
efficient
Participants for
who
Participants
energy
tune
motivate
properly
is
37,383
1,990
of
Smart
replacement
to
23
the
could
customers
ups
DEC’s
is
Saver®
provide
households
efficient
program
designed
use
Recycling
and
customers
recycled.
$aver®
benefit
78
of
jurisdictions.
duct
Program
comparative
energy
systems
practices
in
Energy
Energy
pays
Energy
to
Program
sealing.
most
assessing
to
Program
(MWh)
to
(MWh)
(MWh)
increase
3,286
37,032
incentives
remove
in
better
1
in Savings
--
Savings
by 1
Savings
their
and
Tune
existing
usage
investing This
--
manage
their
participating
the
homes.
HVAC
old
to
anti
is
data efficiency
homes.
partially
energy
inefficient
a
Seal
Peak
Peak
and new
in
Peak
for
‘[‘he
new
(kW)
(kW)
7,835
(kW)
reduce
610
similar
in
program
[)emand
Demand
usage
Demand
3
oftset
program
of
DEC
energy
refrigerators
air
energy
and
the
residences
programs.
conditioning
and
also
efficiency
cost
provides
has
usage.
helps
of
and
not
air in
•
•
•
to
pumps, equipment
to
incentives
The
lighting,
new Smart
consumption
office
make
behavioral
The
Smart
[jecember
efficient
recommendations
assessing
more The
Residential
;.
he
ofiset
December
I)ecem
purpose
and
SEN
evaluated
Residential
efficient
space
these
Saver®
Energy
variable
As
high—efficiency
a
existing
As
As
their
her
may pilot
improvements
portion
are
modification.
of:
31,
of
of:
of:
Retrofit
located
infbrmation
31,2012
behavioral
3
eligible
on
energy
be
this
1,
for program
use
Now
2012
non—residential
201
frequency
a
Retrofit
of
paid
from
Non-Residential
program
case-by-case
of
the
2
in
(SEN)
Pilot
usage.
energy
for
for
Smart
the
Residential
My
air
Charlotte
higher
is
and
modifications,
In
Participants
by
other
incentives
Participants pilot
assessment.
conditioning
designed
Participants
Home
Program
702,215
order
is
Pilot
drives,
actionable
The
offsetting
in
to Energy
70
cost
94
establishments.
high-efficiency
basis
program
encourage
their
to
City
program
(Only
Energy
Retrofit
of
enable
to
food
Customers
as
through
(Closed
Now
energy—efficient
homes
Center
reduce
79 efficiency
equipment,
Available
part
they
a
is
Report
services
is
building
Energy
the
Energy
Pilot
portion
Pilot
of
also
designed
Capability
the
and
will through
energy
to
160,021
(MWh)
installation
(MWh)
equipment the
(MWh)
14,108
The
New
Program
Custom designed
4
Program
recommendations.
Program
in
to
Savings
I
high—efficiency
Savings
Prescriptive
be
0
and managers
program
of
N.C.)
encourage
consumption
Participants)
equipment.
community
to
provided
the
pmcess
program.
of
as
assist
to
high—efficiency’
provide
detennined
provides
cost
and
Summer
program:
Peak
Peak
the
residential
with
equipment.
occupants
motors,
engagement
1’he
within
of
2,649
(kW)
33,857
(kW)
installation
(kW)
recommendations
Demand
Demand
68
incentive
Capability
following
implementing
additional
by
the
high—efficiency
high—efficiency
the
equipment
to
customers
commercial
effectively
Company leading
Customer
payments
ol
types
energy
energy
the
for
of’
in
to in Non-Residential Smart Saver® rrogram Energy Savings Peak Demand As of: Participants (MWh) (kW) December 31, 2012 1,342,909 617,614 103,225 [
Deniand Side Maiuigemenl Programs
DEC’s current I)SM programs will he presented in two sections: I)ernand Response [)irect Load Control Programs and 1)emand Response Interruptible Programs and Related Rate Tarift.
Demand Response Direct Load Control Programs These programs can he dispatched by the utility and have the highest level of certainty. I)EC’s current direct load control curtailment programs arc:
• Power Managers’ - The Power Manager program is a residential direct load control program that allows [)EC, through the installation of load control devices at the customer’s premise, to remotely control residential central air conditioning.
Participants receive hilling credits during the hilling months of July through October in exchange for allowing DEC the right to cycle their central air conditioning systems and, additionally, to interrupt the central air conditioning when the Company has capacity needs.
The program provides DEC with the ability to reduce and shift peak loads, thereby enabling a corresponding deferral of new supply-side peaking generation and enhancing system reliability.
Participating customers ai-e impacted by (I ) the installation of load control equipment at their residence, (2) load control events which curtail the operation ol their air conditioning unit fbr a period of time each hour, and (3) the receipt of bill credits from [)EC in exchange for allowing DEC the ability to control their electric equipment.
Power Manager Statistics Summer Capability As of: Participants (MW)
December 3 I, 2012 185,043 280.4
The following table shows Power Manager program activations that were not fbr testing purposes from Jtine 1, 2011 through June 30, 2013.
80
•
shill
notification
interruptible
recuesting
‘liese
Demand
‘[he
specified
1,2011 so
reduce
Interruptible
load.
*
during
programs
clock
August
Ibllowing iir
June
July
July
Ju1y26,2012—2:3OPM
June
July July
July
July
July11,
July9,2012—1:3OPM
Response
curtailment
their
through
‘Timing.
Loud
and hours.
of
27,
level.
21,
29,
20,
29,
17,2012—2:3OPM
21,2011
13.
an
Start
2,
an
electrical
time—ofuse
2012—
Reduction
201
2011 201
2011
2011
2012—
interruption,
201
rely
table
Power
June event
—
frequency
1
1
Time
I Interruptible
—
—2:30
or — —2:30 —
— either
—
shows
2:30
1:30PM
2:30
2:30 2:30
30.
2:30
on 3:30
Service
i
loads
or
the
2013.
rates
rate
PM
PM
PM
PM
PM
PM
PM
after
on
PM
they
IS
and
clecruge
to
structure
program
with
the
(IS)
Power
specified
nature
receive receiving
Programs
August
customer’s
loud
price
June
July27,
July
Ju1y26,2012—6:OOPM
(North
June
July
July
July
July
July
July9,2012—5:OOPM
curtailment
Nllanagerk
ot
activations
reduction
a
21,2011
29,
20,
17,2012—5:00
29,
signals
13,
21,2011
11,2011—6:00
levels
the
penalty
2,
pricing
nd
Carolina
and
2012—4:00
201
81
2011
201
2012—
201
load
ability
Time
that
upon
1
1
‘a!
Related 1
— —5:0() —
— Activations
—
programs —
that
response
for
signals.
5:00
6:00
5:00
5:00
(he
5:00
6:00
Only)
provide
request
the
generu!or
to
were
PM
PM
PM PM
PM
PM
PM
PM
PM
Rate
PM
respond increment
-
depend
include:
not
Participants
an
[)uke
by
Structures
I
economic
fbr (N’linutes)
Duration
over
DEC.
210
210
to
150
150 210
210
150
150
150
150
150
testing on
150
Energy
of
the
a
customers’
demand
If
event
agree
utility—initiated
incentive
customers
PUPOSC5
Carolinas’
period Red
MW
contractually
exceeding
152
143 152
141
113
115
1
102
1
uction*
108 101
101
10
15
actions
to
Load
for
from
fail
reduce
fit!!
current
signal
to
June
afler
the
do
to or
•
option
emergency
option
based
PowerShare
and/or
1,2011
customers
and
the
to
The
Standby
transfer
•
*1111
Company.
*?fJJ.
following
July
therefore,
June
July
voluntary June
that
PowerShare
for
capacity
utility-initiated
load
PowerShare energy
through
Load
Load
12,
Cenerator
12,
1,2011
load
allows
Start
receive
electrical I,
only
Start
curtailed
Reduction
201
2011
2011
Rehieiion
table
transferred
December
cannot
is
The
curtailment
June
credits
option
option
Time
1
Time for
—
a
—1:00
payments
shows
generators
1:00
1:00
Voluntary
30,
non-residential
As
1:00
Mandatory:
loads
increased iv
Control
i.c
emergency
during
the
(PowerShare
‘hackfeed”
monthly
ihe
For
2013.
oF
PM
PM
31,
PM
to
PM
overage
SG
average
from
using
curtai
their
2012
for
program
(SC)
in
and
notification
events.
July
June
July
the
based
June
loud
this
generators.
lable
load
capacity
oil—site
events.
Participants
(i.e.,
eligible
(North
1)EC
SC
12.201
reduction
curtailment
12,
program
1,2011
reduction
IS
SC
Voluntary)
1,2011
End
activations
load
End
on
Participants
Activations export
Activations
2011
generators
Statistics
(ustorners
source
82
the
and/or
time
to
Time
Participants
Carolina
1
Time
(PowerShare
87 —6:00PM
—
‘at
—6:00 earn
—
at
do
amount
5:00
in
power)
5:00
of
11i’
the
to
not
and
that
program
energy,
this
additional
events
generalor’’
generator’’
their
PM
(PowerShare
PM
PM
Only)
operate
a
were
enrolled
emergency
of
into
combined
also
Summer
standby
(PowerShare
load
based
(Minutes)
not
Mandatory), Duration
-
consisting
(Minutes)
Duration
over
the
over
credits. in
receive
Participants
240
300
300
240
for
(MW)
parallel
they
44.0
may
the
DEC
the
on
Capability
generators
emergency
testing
only
Generator),
even!
event
the
agree
energy
also
system.
of
with
period.
CallOption).
Red
option
period
an
amount
MW
Red
purposes
MW
agree
Four
to
emergency
he
uction*
the
45
55
upon
uction*
156
133
credits
and
curtail
Load
Load
an
contractually
will
enrolled
Participating
options:
DEC
of
economic
economic
request
1mm
capacity
receive
for
during
system
only
June
the
an
in of
•
*111;’
•
*11W
July
June
July
June
PowerShare
‘[he
tor
the
transfer
ertbrrnance
capacity
PowerShare 1
The
load
tbr
Load
12,2011
12,
1,
testing
Start
1,2011
load
testing
Start
following
201
l?eth,eiion tollowing
1?ednc/ion
2011—
December
December3l,2012
to
curtailed
1
Time
credits
Time purposes —
— purposes
—
their
1:00
1:00
1:00
during
Voluntary:
1:00PM
As
is
As
Generator:
is
table
table
the
the
on—site
of:
PM
monthly
PM
31,
of:
during
PM
lowerShare 5
average
PowerShare
average
from
PowerShare
PowerShare
from
shows
monthly
shows
2012
generator)
July
June
June
events.
.luly
.June
/00(1
June
Enrolled
load
based
PowerShare
PowerShare
Participants
12,2011—5:00
,‘e1uetion
1, test
12,2011
I,
reduction
1,
1,2011
End
2011
End
201
Generator
2011
Participants
Mandatory
on
Participants
Generator
hours.
Mandatory
during
customers
83
Time
1
Time
through the
—
169
9 through
—
—5:00
at
ai
6:00
6:00
in
the
Generator
Mandatory
the
amount
Participants
utility—initiated
generator’’
this
Activations
generator’
PM
PM
PM
Activations
June
Statistics
PM
will
June
Statistics
emergency
{
JDuration
Summer
of
30,
Summer
he
30,
program
(Minutes)
(Minutes)
program
I)uration
over
load
notilied over
2013.
also
2013.
240
300
240
300
(MW)
(MW)
366.4
13.4
the
emergency
the
Capability
they
Capability
receive
even!
only
activations
event
activations
of
agree
ji’ioc1
Reduction*
pending
period
MW
Red
option
MW
energy
events
339
334
13
uction*
17
to
Load
Load
that
that
will
emergency
curtail
credits
were
and
were
receive
their
(i.e.
not
fbr 1101 itIfl’
August
July
July
July June2,
June
and
emergency
are
participation
ability
reduce
PS
Economic
PowerSharek
Load
The
fbr
that
program, or
Voluntary is will
particular
22,
21,2011
20,
1,2011
economic
provided.
5/5,
testing
Start
3,
set
applicable
201
also
l?eduction
be
following
2011
201
201
a to
and
December
paid
PS
1
limit
participate
1 Time
—
no
1
receive —2:00PM
—
purposes
event. Events. —
—
only events.
—
10/5
maintain
I
1:00
the
1:00
1:00
capacity
option
1
is
events
2:00
As
CallOption:
:00
for
table
the
The
when
posted
and
and
PM
of:
PM
PM
3
Economic AM average
Customers
PM
credits
PowerShare
Credits
1.
CallOption
from
PowerShare
in
statistics
and
it
shows do
PS
2012
its
benefit
has
the
PoerShare’
energy
not
can
June
1 loud
load
August
5/5.
July
July
July
when
June
June
selected.
are
customer
PowerSharek
double
This
Events
log
reduction
will
is
values
1,
by
credit
paid 22,
20,
21,2011—7:00
All
offers
2,
1,2011
recognized
2011
on
the
3.
Voluntary
End
Participants
DSM
a
2011
then
201 201 Voluntary
2011
options
count
for
84 to
to
minimum
Voluntary.
customer
for
Participants
through
fails
below
Time
four 6
al
1
1
a
0,
the
have
—8:00PM —9:00 — —
program
website the
—
load
5,
Voluntary
4:00
7:00
the
7:00
participation
load
generator”
to
include
10
for
Activations
the
represent
curtailed.
Statistics
June
participants
PM
and
PM
PM
PM
reduce of
agrees,
this
PM
available
to option
offers
are
Summer
100
30,
15 view
program
a
program
over
limit
obligated
respectively.
(Minutes)
Duration
2013.
kW
load
at
participation
to
options
Since (MW)
a
a
the
360
300
300 360 N/A
360 480
for
the
in
posted
participate
participating
Capability
of
during event
and
in
PowerShare 3
curtailment,
activations
live Company’s
this
to
accordance
to
jc’riod
no
energy
is
curtail
customers:
Reduction*
Emergency
Emergency MW
capacity
a
in
in
voluntary
16
4
2 2
2 2
customer
the
that
Load
PowerShareR
price
and
load
request,
Mandatory
event with
incentive
were
charges
PS
tbr
Events
during
and/or
event
0/5,
that
and
the
the
not to
programs The
table •
.
July
and Ill
emergency
The economic
economic
customers
same
participate
PowerSharek
below
br Fhe
Load
the
27,2012
testing
program
Start following
Reduciion
manner
capability
incorporates
December
Time purposes.
purposes
load
with events.
—
will
is
CallOption 1:00
As as
is
table
not
curtailment of
the
very
experience the
of:
3
PM PowerSha
these available
average
1,
PowerShare
from
shows
l)ecember
Company’s
Participants
201
flexible
programs
June
2
.luly 200:
load
PowerShare’
Ihr
each
re®CallOption considerably
reduction
27,
1,
load
customer
This
31,
2011
End
Participants
other
will
year.
2012—
projected CallOption
85
and
2012
new,
Time
through remain
“at
1
CallOption
curtailment
This
participation CallOption 9:00
the
high
participation
for more
generator•
Activations
June
PM
obligated Statistics
option
the
involvement
Summer
requests
summer
30,
otters. (Minutes)
program
Duration
potential until
over
will
201
480
to
(MW) levels
ihe
0.2
3.
January
of flmnction
curtail Capability
however, for
eve,?,
CallOption 2013.
activations
of
for load
period.
ReductiozJ
up
MW
load
1,
demand
essentially
2014.
to
0.2
curtailment
customers
during
Load
200
is
that
targeted
hours response
were
up in
Who
to the
not
lhr
of
at 5 DSM Program Participation and Capability
1Participation as 2013 Estimated Summer DSM Program Name of 12/31/12 IRP Capability (MW) 15 63 117 SG 87 40 PowerShare Mandatory 169 375 PowerShare Generator 9 14 PowerShare’ Voluntary 6 N/A PowerShare CallOption -- Level 0/5 0 0 -- Level 5/5 0 0 -- Level 10/5 0 0
-- Level 15/5 1 0 -- Level 200* 0 0 Power Manager 185,043 305 Total 185,378 851 R * PowerShare (illOption level 200 will he available for partici[xthon on I I 2014.
Rates using price signals • Residential Time-of-Use (including a Residential Water Heating rate) This category of rates for residential customers incorporates differential seasonal and time-of-day pricing that encourages customers to shift electricity usage from on-peak time periods to off-peak periods. In addition, there is a Residential Water Heating rate for offpeak water heating electricity use.
• General Service and Industrial Optional Time-of-Use rates This category of rates for general service and industrial customers incorporates differential seasonal and time-of-day pricing that encourages customers to use less electricity during on-peak time periods and more during off-peak periods.
• Hourly Pricing for Incremental Load This category of rates for general service and industrial customers incorporates prices that reflect DEC’s estimation of hourly marginal costs. In addition, a portion of the cuStomer’s bill is calculated under their embedded-cost rate. Customers on this rate can choose to modit’ their usage depending on hourly prices.
The projected impacts from these programs are included in the assessment of generation needs.
86 Summary and A
programs included
in
Future expanding for
this
EE
The and EE to programs conditions effectiveness capacity
on
and tests: program. focused
Ihe
new
addition,
measure
changing August
a
pilots.
and
year’s
•
energy
Company
analysis
level
Participant
portlblio
Utility
This customer systematic assessment Energy
and
EF
The
societal
implement in
DSM
primarily
additions,
along
of and
playing analysis
existing
the
2013
maintenance-based
and/or
and
Estimates
DEC the
values
pilot
Prospective market
(JCT
Cost
of
over
2014
measures.
Program
with uses
risks
Management filing
DSM
energy
impacts.
in
Test.
is
with
is
approach
energy
field.
on a
Test
to
compares of
SC.
programs and
continually
the
of
IRP.
the
wide the conditions
and
designed
with
the of help generation
programs
EE
an
program,
efficiency further,
(UCT),
Pending following
DSMore
DSMore
the
Screening
benefits
calculation This Program
variety
Included
costs
DSMore
essentially
energy the and
to
impacts
to
utility
and
test
energy
customer to
seeking
reduce and
to
DSM
or
Rate
include
approval
needs.
and of
of
provides
model
provide
program ensure
and
compares
prices. management
in
Information
new is
Opportunities
weather
employing
benefits
of of
Impact the this
does
a
measures efficiency
demand
energy
to
specific financial these
additional
measurement
to
identi1’ same
that
new
enhance
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89
EE peak Fully
puiposes
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load
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utility
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program Voltage-VAR
nature
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Company’s
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he Base Case Load Impacts of EF and DSM Programs EE Program Savings DSM Program Summer Peak MW Savings Total Summer Annual Summer Power Total Peak Year MWh Peak IS SG PowerShare Manager DSM MW Energy MW Savings 2013 435,988 40 117 40 389 305 851 891 2014 810,708 111 101 32 427 350 911 1,022 2015 1,271,350 184 96 29 459 399 983 1,167 2016 1,824,144 275 92 26 487 409 1,014 2017 2,436,079 382 87 24 515 411 1,037 2018 3,046,042 490 83 21 545 411 1,061_ 2019 3,654,035 600 83 2 — 545 — ,661 2020 4,260,057 708 83 2 — 545 — ,769 2021 4,864,109 819 83 2 545 11 — ,880 2022 5,466,189 929 83 2 545 ,990 2023 6,084,580 1,040 83 21 545 4 — 2,101 2024 6,682,978 1,110 83 545 4 1,061 2,171 2025 7,290,633 1,219 83 21 545 4 2,280 2026 7,801,137 1,318 83 21 545 4 1,061 2,379 2027 8,267,015 1,404 83 21 545 4 1,061 2,465 2028 8,683,743 1,477 83 21 545 4 1,061 2,538
[)EC’s approved FE plan is consistent with the requirement set Ihrth in the Clifliide Unit 6 CPCN Order to invest 1% of annual retail electricity revenues in FE and DSM programs, subject to the results of ongoing collaborative workshops and appropriate regulatory treatment.
However, pursuing FE and 1)SM initiatives is not expected to meet the incremental demand for electricity. [)EC still envisions the need to secure additional generation, as well as cost-effective renewable generation, hut the FE and DSM programs offered hy [)EC will address a significant portion of this need if such programs perform as expected.
EE Savings Variance since last IRP
The EE savings tbrecast of MWh energy is diiièrent from the forecast presented in the 2012 DEC IRP in the following ways:
• The 2013 IRP is based on an updated forecast of DEC’s 5 year planning horizon for the period of 2013-17.
• The 2013 IRP uses analysis performed by Forefront Economics, Inc. to estimate the long-range FE savings based on achievable potential rather than the straight line estimation used by E)EC in the 2012 IRP.
90 ‘[‘heimplementation of these two changes in methodology results in a base case MWh forecast that is higher than that presented in the 2012 [)EC’ IRP, however, the overall shape of the forecast changes froni a straight line expectation in 2012 to a curve that shows a gradual decrease in the amount of incremental achievable MWh beginning in about 2025.
High EE Savings Projection
[)EC also prepared a high Ll savings projection designed to meet the following Energy Efficiency Pertbrmance Targets for five years, as set forth in the December 8, 2011 Settlement Agreement between Environmental Defense Fund, the South Carolina Coastal (onservation League and Southern Alliance for Clean Energy, and Duke Energy Corporation, Progress Energy, Inc., and their public utility subsidiaries Duke Energy Carolinas LLC and Carolina Power & Light C’ompany, d/h/a Progress Energy Carolinas. Inc.
• An annual savings target of’ 1% of the previous year’s retail electricity sales beginning in 2015; and
• A cumulative savings target of 7% of retail electricity sales over the five year lime period of 2014 through 2018.
For the purposes of this IRP, the high FE savings prqjection is being treated as a resource planning sensitivity that will also serve as an aspirational target ft)r fljture FE plans and programs. The high FE savings projections are well beyond the level of savings attained by [)EC in the past and higher than the forecasted savings contained in the new market potential study. The effbrt to meet them will require a substantial expansion of DEC’s current Commission-approved FE portfolio. New programs and measures must he developed, approved by regulators, and implemented within the next few years. More importantly, significantly higher levels of customer participation must he generated. Additionally, flexibility will he required in operating existing programs in order to quickly adapt to changing market conditions, code and standard changes, consumer demands, and emerging technologies.
At this time there is too much uncertainty in the development of new technologies that will impact fttture programs and/or enhancements to existing programs, as well as in the ability to secure high levels of customer participation, to risk using the high FE savings projection in the base assumptions for developing the 2013 IRP. I lowever, the high FE savings forecast was included in the Environmental locus Scenario. DEC expects that as steps are made over time toward actually achieving higher levels of program participation and savings, then the FE savings forecast used for integrated resource planning purposes will continue to he revised in future lRPs to reflect the most realistic projection of EE savings.
9’ Programs Evaluated but Rejected
I)uke Energy Carolinas has not rejected any cost-ettective programs as a result of its EE and l)SM program screening.
Looking to the Future
• Grid Modernization (Smart Grid Impacts) I)uke Energy is pill-suing implementation of grid modernization throughout the enterprise with a vision ot creating a sustainable energy future fbr our customers and our business by being a leader of innovative approaches that will modernize the grid.
DEC is reviewing an Integrated Volt—VARControl (IVVC) project that will better manage the application and operation of voltage regulators (the Volt) and capacitors (the VAR) on the DEC distribution system. In general, the project tends to optimize the operation of these devices, resulting in a “t1atteniig” of the voltage profile across an entire circuit, starting at the substation and continuing out to the farthest endpoint on that circuit. This flattening of the voltage profile is accomplished by automating the substation level voltage regulation and capacitors, line capacitors and line voltage regulators while integrating them into a single control system. Ibis control system continuously monitors and operates the voltage regulators and capacitors to maintain the desired ‘flat” voltage profile. Once the system is operating with a relatively flat voltage profile across an entire circuit, the resulting circuit voltage at the substation can then he operated at a lower overall level. Lowering the circuit voltage at the substation results in an immediate reduction of system loading. Through application of IVVC and reduced system voltage, DEC is thereby reducing load and system demand.
The deployment of an IVVC program tbr DEC is anticipated to take approximately 5 years following project approval. This IVVC program is projected to i-educe future distribution system demand by 0.20% in 2015, 0.4% in 2016, 0.6% in 2017,0.8% in 2018 and 1.00% in 2019 and following years.
92 APPENDIX E: FUEL SUPPLY
[)uke Energy Carolinas’ current fuel usage consists primarily of coal and uranium. Oil and gas have traditionally been used fir peaking generation, hut natural gas has begun to 1ay a more important role in the fuel mix due to lower pricing and the addition of the Buck and Dan River Combined Cycle plants. These additions will further increase the importance of gas to the Company’s generation poiitolio, A brief overview and issues pertaining to each fuel type are discussed below.
Natural Gas Following a tumultuous year (2012) for North American gas producers, 2013 is signaling a return to market stability. Near term prices have recovered from their sub $2/MMBtu lows to settle into the $3.50 - $4.00 range. Inventories are hack in neutral territory, gas directed rig counts remain at 18 year lows and yet, the size of the low cost resource base continues to expand. Looking fbrward, the gas market is expected to remain relatively stable and the improving economic picture will allow the supply / demand balance to tighten and prices to continue to firm at sustainable levels. New gas demand from the power sector is likely to get a small boost between now and 2015 from coal retirements which are tied to the implementation of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) MATS rule covering mercury and acid gasses. This increase is expected to he followed by new demand in the industrial and LNG export sectors which both ramp up in the 201 6 — 2020 tirneframe.
The long term fundamental gas price outlook is little changed from the 2012 Ibrecast even though it includes higher overall demand. The North American gas resource picture is a story of unconventional gas production dominating the gas industry. Shale gas now accounts for about 38% of natural gas production today, rising to over hal I by 2019.
The US power sector still represents the largest area of potential new demand, hut growth is expected to be uneven. After absorbing about 8.8 hcfd of new gas demand tied to coal displacements in the power dispatch in 2012, higher gas prices have reversed the trend. Looking forward, direct price competition is expected between gas and coal on the margin. A 2015 bump in gas demand is expecled when EPA’s MATS rule goes into efThct and utilities retire a significant amount of coal (38 GW’s in this outlook).
Coal On average, the 2013 l)uke fundamental outlook fur coal prices is lower than the 2012 outlook, with the exception of Central Appalachian ((‘APP) sourced coal which is higher in the near-term primarily as a result of deterioration in mine productivity. Since 2008, Central Appalachian underground mine productivity (tons per man-hour) has declined by 28%, surfhce mine productivity by 23% this combination equates to roughly a $5 per ton increase in labor costs alone.
93 Coal consumed steam the
Nuclear while Exports in To in portfolio Washington
primarily thereafter. contracting Requirements requirements supplier,
deliveries
volatility. periods have
Due from Carolinas
higher using As
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or to • Small modular nuclear reactors (SMR) are generally defined as having capabilities of less than 300 MW. In 2012, U.S. Department of Energy (I)OE) solicited bids for companies to participate in a small modular reactor grant program intending to promote the accelerated commercialization of’ SMR tecimologies to help meet the nation’s economic energy security and climate change objectives.” The focus of the grant is the hrst-of-a-kmd engineering associated with NRC design certification and licensing effbrts in order to demonstrate the ability to achieve NRC design certification and licensing to support SMR plant deployment on a domestic site by 2022. The grant was awarded to Babcock & Wilcox (B&W) who will lead the effort in partnership with ‘[VA and Bechtel. It is estimated that this project may lead to the development of “plug and play” type nuclear reactor applications that are about one— third the size of current reactors. These are expected to become commercially available around 2022. Duke will he monitol’ing the progress of the SMR project for potential consideration and evaluation for future resource planning.
• Fuel Cells. although originally envisioned as being a competitor for combustion turbines and central power plants, are now targeted to mostly distributed power generation systems. The size of the distributed generation applications ranges from a few kW to tens of’MW in the long-term. Cost and perfiwmance issues have generally limited their application to niche markets and/or subsidized installations. While a medium level of research and development continues, this technology is not commercially available ft)r utility—scaleapplication.
• Poultry waste and swine waste digesters remain relatively expensive and are often faced with operational and/or permitting challenges. Research, development, and demonstration continue, hut these technologies remain generally too expensive or face obstacles that make them impractical energy choices outside of specific mandates calling ibr use of these technologies.
• Offshore wind, although demonstrated on a utility scale and commercially available, is not a widely applied technology and not easily permitted. This technology remains expensive and has yet to actually he constructed anywhere in the United States. Currently, the Cape Wind project in Massachusetts has been approved with assistance from the ièderal government hut has not begun construction. [he Company is a contributor to the l)OE—sponsorcd C’OWIC’S.
Economic Screening
[he C’ompany screens all technologies using relative dollar per kilowatt-year ($/kW-yr) versus capacity factor screening curves. The screening within each general class (Baseload,
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I0I APPENDIX state could generation description
Legislative regulations, Air Duke VERC, Duke As C:arolinas program, NO General by
‘[‘he 2012 in
the
approximately
a
Quality
charts
result
as
and
emissions
Energy
nation,
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including
C:
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achieved.
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in 2002
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influence
75%
show
actions
legislative in
2007
N
ENVIRONMENTAL
June
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required
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2009,
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Duke
NC as I)EC’ subject
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2000
state
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facilities.
Energy
for
legislation,
comnussions
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levels,
Carolinas
COMPLIANCE
Interstate
existing
Smokestacks
some Duke
the
those
102
actions.
Carolinas’
with
jurisdiction
trend
The
ol’
Energy
generation
required
which
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reduce
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Carolina
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in Chart C-i DEC NO Emssions
Duke Energy Carolinas Coal-Fired Plants Annual Nitrogen Oxides Emissions (tons) 180.000
160.000
140.000 A DSSIDi-S.
120.000 I..ci.aI
100.000
80.000
60.000
40.000
20.000
0 1995199619971998199920002001 200220032004200520062007200820920020112012 Overall reduction of 89% from 1997 to 2012 attributed to controls to meet Federal Requirements and NC Clean Air Legislation.
Chart C-2 I)EC 2SO Emissions
Duke Energy Carolinas Coal-Fired Plants Annual Sulfur Dioxide Emissions (tons) 350.000
300,000
250.000
200.000
150.000
100.000
50.000
1995199619971998199920002001 2002200320042005200620072008200920102011 2012
95 % Reduction from 2000 to 2012 attributed to scrubbers installed to meet NC Clean Air Legislation.
103
additional
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in I Mercury and Air Toxics Standard (‘M4TS)
In February 2008, the United States Court of Appeals for the 1)istrict of Columbia issued its opinion, vacating the Clean Air Mercury Rule (CAMR). EPA announced a proposed Utility Boiler Maximum Achievable Control Technology (MACI’) rule in March 2011 to replace the CAMR. The EPA published the final rule, known as the MATS, in the Federal Register on [:eL,rtiaiy 16, 2012, MATS regulates Hazardous Air Pollutants (HAP) and establishes unit—level emission limits or mercury, acid gases, and non—mercurymetals. and sets work practice standards fbr organics for coal and oil-lired electric generating units. Compliance with the emission limits will be required by April 16, 2015. Permitting authorities have the discretion to grant up to a 1-year compliance extension, on a case-by-case basis, to sources that are unable to install emission controls heibre the compliance deacllinc.
Numerous petitions for review of the final MATS rule have been filed with the United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia. Briefing in the case has been completed. Oral arguments have not been scheduled. A court decision in the case is not likely until the first quarter of 2014. Duke Energy Carolinas cannot predict the outcome of the litigation or how it might affect the MATS requirements as they apply to operations.
Based on the emission limits established by the MATS rule, compliance with the MA’FS rule has driven several tiriit retirements and will drive the retirement or fuel conversion of several more non- scrubbed coal-fired generating units in the Carolinas by April 2015. Compliance with MATS will also require various changes to units that have had emission controls added over the last several years to meet the emission requirements of the NC CSA.
National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS)
8 Hour Ozone Standard
In March 2008, EPA revised the 8 Flour Ozone Standard by lowering it from 84 to 75 parts per billion (ppb). In September of 2009, EPA announced a decision to reconsider the 75 pph standard in response to a court challenge from environmental groups and their own belief’ that a lower standard was us1ified. However, EPA announced in September 2011 that it would retain the 75 pph primary standard until it is reconsidered under the next 5-year review cycle. It could he mid- 2014 hethre the EPA proposes a revision to the 75 pph standard and mid—2015heibre it finalizes a new standard unless ongoing legal action results in a court ordered schedule requiring the Agency to act sooner.
On May 21, 2012 EPA finalized the area designations for the 2008 75 ppb 8-hour ozone standard. The Charlotte area, the only area in North Carolina designated nonattainment, is now classified as a “marginal” nonattainment area, which establishes l)ecemher 31, 2015 as its attainment date. For
105 marginal nonattainmentareas, states are not required to prepare an attainment demonstration. EPA in its final rule states that it perlbrmed an analysis that indicates that the majority of areas classified as marginal will be able to attain the 75 pph standard in 2015 due to fderal and state emission reduction programs already in place. If the Charlotte area’s air quality does not qualit’ it to be reclassified as attainment, the area can still qualify for the first of two possible one—yearextensions of the attainment date if it has no more than one exceedance of the standard in 201 5. Alternatively, should the Charlotte area not attain the standard by its attainment date and not qualify fbr all extension, it could be humped up to the next higher classification, which fbr Charlotte would he moderate. 1’hiswould require North Carolina to develop an attainment SFP to bring the Charlotte area into attainment with the standard by I.)ecember 31, 2018.
2SO Standards
On June 22, 2010 EPA established a 75 pph I-hour 2SO NAAQS and revoked the annual and 24- hour 2SO standards. EPA finalized initial nonattamment area designations in ‘113[)2013. No areas ill the Carolinas were designated nonattainment.
On February 6, 2013 the EPA released a document that updated its strategy for addressing all areas that it did not initially designate as nonattamment ill July 2013. ‘tile document indicated that EPA will allow states to use modeling or monitoring to evaluate the impact of large 2SO emitting sources relative to the 75 pph standard. The document also laid out a schedule k)r implementing the standard.
‘tile EPA plans on undertaking notice and comment rulemaking to codify the implementation requirements fhr the 75 pph standard. ‘[here is no schedule fbr EPA to propose or finalize the rulemaking, and the outcome of the rulemaking could be different from what EPA put forth in its February 6, 2013 document.
Particulate Mailer (PM) Staiidard
In September 2006, the EPA announced its decision to revise the 25PM NAAQS standard. ‘l’he daily standard was reduced from 65 3ug/in (micrograms per cubic meter) to 35 3ug/m The annual standard remained at 15 .3ug/m . EPA finalized designations ft)r the 2006 daily standard in October 2009, which did not include any nonattainment areas in the I)uke Energy Carolinas service territory. In February 2009, the D.C Circuit unanimously remanded to EPA the Agency’s decision to retain the annual 15 3ug/m primary s NAAQS and to equate the secondary PM NAAQS with the primary NAAQS. 2PM 2 5 EPA began undertaking new rulemaking to revise the standards consistent with the Court’s decision.
106 On designations
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This Gl-lGs.
coal
by
nonattainment
107 permitting emission
MWh
standard might
required
greenhouse
2011
that standard.
major
cycle
201 standard
June
to
what
Ilie
The NSPS
unit
rule
additional
PSD
8, of’
undertake
has lowered
facilities.
analysis
the
rule —
In
reduction
proposed
units.
1,
could stationary
with
guidelines
has to sets electricity
might
2013
authority.
for
May
directed
CAIR 2015.
permitting
for
are
develop
standards
gases.
directly
‘lhe
new the
the
meet
areas
new
not
the
Flie
and
2010,
SO2
air
constitute
a
and
Gl-lG initial
emission
in
electric
source
modification
known.
EPA
annual EPA
natural for
proposed generation.
The
the
Once the
the
quality
or
will
SO2
Since
the
driven
established requirements
the
existing
NOx NSPS
regulations proposed
application
attainment
Tailoring
to
plans
NC
and is
be
utility EPA
EPA
PM75
gas
re-propose
BACI’,
thresholds it
subject
data
emission required
emission
NSPS
CSA.
applies is NOx
and
electric
The
finalizes to that
finalized
steam not
standard standard
to
Rule
by
new
that date
finalize
of to
emissions
for
the
proposal
triggers
is known
It
make
only
EPA
Prevention
the to
BACT
is generating
an
to
reduction
generating reduction
will went
coal-fired CO2
in
potential
emission
unclear
what
submit
output-
75,000
rule
to
is
2020.
to
final
apply
in il area
PSD
with
new will
into
was
12
for
to
or by
is its carbon
establishing prospects It Water CWA
modifications Federal EPA The entrainment approach
withdrawn
The lakes, facilities November
plans,
Within intakes Steam requirements.
guidelines. In Administrator based (ELGs).
the EPA options regulatory
streams. proposed
is
September
proposed
highly
EPA
most
published
316(b)
by
tax
reservoirs,
Quality
etc,
on Electric
regulations
the
to
vary
with
the
establishes
lhr
The
including has will
recent
the
revisions
for comply
for
4, a
proposed options
unlikely
and
extended
I’he
cooling
carbon
enactment
in fbr
a
agreed
rule
2013. proposal
he
cooling
capability its
signed
some
and
Effluent design
stringency 2009,
steam existing
advances
passed
EPA
proposed
estuaries,
establishes
in
with
for
wastewater
By-product
tax
are aquatic
that
rule,
to
facilities
Section
IF
Water
date
the
purposes.
settlement intake
the
electric EPA
was
are
issue
by the
Guidelines o1
focused the
Facilities
of
legislation
proposed
EPA
of’
and rule,
one
rule the
highly
published any
oceans,
rule
pi-otection
Intake the
impingement
flow
announced
September
a
3
mortality
would
cost, effluent
113th 16(b)
on prelèrred final did
from
of
federal
best
Issues
is
primarily
agreement
to uncertain.
of’2
April
which
not
revisions Structures finalized
and
or
minimize
rule
mandating
of Congress
air
technology he
in
million
requirements
limitation provide
other
reduction the
propose 20, the
legislation
20,
pollution
due
by
plans
approach four
reqLnrements
on
Clean
2011. l’ederal
201
May
now
as
to
in
U.S.
are
impingement
gallons coal which
a
3.
the
reductions to
proposed,
mid—late
revisions O8
compliance
guidelines
available.
22, calls requirements
Water
listed
control
I.
waters
and
generating revise mandating
Steam
Register
nder
and
began
2014.
per
tbr
as
three
Act could
new
the
2014.
or
day
equipment
that
Electric
preferred initial the
the
in on
and
are
on
develop
On The may
current
deadline
on-site
alternatives.
(mgd)
GHG
January
EPA units,
reductions he
due
June technology—based, steam utilize
entrainment
April
If
EPA submittals,
necessitate
required
Effluent
to
required,
to
by
revision
or
7, emissions facility new
but
and
for
both
has at
electi-ic 3,
finalize
2013
19.
more
EPA.
2013.
some
standards
ash least
meeting
in
proposed
2013,
as
fish
Limitations
The
of
additions
with
cooling station
of
from
0110 modifications
transport
The
early
aquatic
25%
the
revisions eflluent or
the
Beyond
impingement
EPA’s
comments
the
in
the
rivers, establishing
eight
316(b)
consent
tbr
emissions
eight
details,
as that
of’
water
EPA
entrainment
for
organisms.
seven
water.
Guidelines
late
the
2014
preferred
regulatory
limitation
limits
would
streams,
existing
different
rule
intake
decree,
Acting
to
water
due 201
study
waste
the
and
or
The the
are
by
a
6.
be
to applicable to all steam electric generating units, including natural gas and nuclear—fueledgenerating fticilities. After the final rulemaking, effluent limitation guideline requirements will he included in a stations National Pollutant I)ischarge Elimination System (NPDFS) permit renewals. Portions of the rule would he implemented immediately after the efièctive date of the rule upon the renewal of’ wastewater discharge permits, while other portions of’ the rule will he implemented upon the renewal of the wastewater discharge permits after July, 2017. EPA expects that all facilities will he in compliance ith the rule by July 2022. ‘Ilie deadline to comply will depend upon each station’s permit renewal schedule. coal combustion Residuals
Following Tennessee Valley Authoritys (‘l’VA) Kingston ash (like failure in [)ecemher 2008, EPA began to assess the integrity of’ash dikes nationwide and to begin developing a rule to manage coal combustion residuals (CCR5). CCRs primarily include fly ash, bottom ash and Flue Gas Desulfurization (FOE)) byproducts (gypsum). Since the 2008 TVA dike failure, numerous ash dike inspections have been completed by EPA and an enormous amount of’input has been received by EPA as it developed proposed regulations. In June 2010, EPA published its proposed rule regarding CCRs. The proposed rule otièrs two options: 1) a hazardous waste classification under Resource Conservation Recoveiy Act (RCRA) Subtitle C; and 2) a non-hazardous waste classitication under RCRA Subtitle D, along with dam safety and alternative rules. l3oth options would require strict new requirements regarding the handling, disposal and potential re—useability of CCRs. The proposal will likely result in more conversions to dry handling of ash, more landfills, the closing 01’ lining of existing ash ponds and the addition of new wastewater treatment systems. Final regulations are not expected to he issued by EPA until 2014 or later. EPA’s regulatory classification of CCRs as hazardous or non-hazardous will he critical in developing plans for handling CCRs. Ilowever, under either option of the proposed rule, the impact to I)uke Energy Carolinas is likely to be significant. I3ased on a 2014 final rule date, compliance with new regulations is generally expected to begin around 2019.
109 APPFNDIX H: NON-UTILITY CENFRATION AND WHOLESALE
ibis appendix contains holesale sales contracts, firm wholesale purchased power contracts and non—utilitygeneration contracts.
110 Table 11.-i Wholesale Sales Contracts
Wholesale Contracts Commitment (MW)
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Customer Product Term 2013 2014 2015 177 180 212 215 217 220 Concord Partial Requirements 2009-2018 167 169 172 174 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 Dallas Partial Requirements 2009-2028 11 11 11 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1)ue West Partial Requirements 2009-2018 2 2 2 19 19 19 20 20 20 21 21 Forest City Partial Requirements 2009-2028 18 18 55 56 57 58 58 59 60 Greenwood Full Requirements 2010-2018 53 53 54 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 I liohlands Full Requirements 2010-2029 9 9 22 22 22 30 30 30 31 Kings Mountain Partial Requirements 2009-20! 8 21 21 21 51 52 53 54 75 76 77 78 I ockhart Partial Requirements 2009-201 8 50 50 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 Prosperit Partial Requirtments 2009-2028 2 2 2 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 Western Carolina Full Requirements 2010-2021 6 6
233 237 241 245 249 253 257 261 Blue Ridge FMC Full Requirements 2010-2031 225 229 509 649 793 900 918 936 953 Central Partial Requirements 2013-2030 120 244 374 23 24 24 24 25 25 25 26 I Iavwood I MC Full Requirements 2009-2021 23 23 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 NCFMC Fixed load Shape 2009-2038 72 72 116 116 116 116 116 116 116 NCEMC Baestand 1985-2043 95 116 116 89 90 92 93 94 96 97 99 Piedmont EMC Full Requirements 2010-2031 87 88 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 PMPA Baekstand 2014-2020 0 47 204 208 212 217 221 226 230 235 Rutherford FMC Partial Requirements 2010-2031 185 189 Table H-2 Firm Wholesale Purchased Power Contracts
Volume of Primary Summer Purchases Purchased Fuel Calacity Capacity (MWh) Power Contract jy (MW) Designation Location I’errn Jul 12-Jun 13
Cherokee County Gas 86 Peaking (iafThey SC 12/31/2020 650 627 Cogeneration Partners,_LLC_I
SEPA Ilydro 8 Peaking 12/31/2021 12,883 system
Note: The capacities shown are deIi ered to the [)EC’system and may differ from the contracted amount. Renewahies purchases are listed in the NC REPS Compliance Plan in the Attachment to this IRP.
112 Table ‘Facility ‘Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility 4 5 6 2 1 9 8 3 11 7 10 Facility 12 14 13 21 20 17 16 15 19 18 25 24 23 22 29 32 31 27 26 34 28
41 35 30 H-3 33 40 39 42 37 36 44 43 38 46 45 48 47 50 49 51 54 53 56 55 52 Name
Non-Utility City/County NORTH
Generation Mecklenburg Mecklenburg Meclclenburg Mecklenburg Mount Mecklenburg Rockingham Durham- Henderson Henderson Henderson Henderson Rutherford Henderson Henderson Burlington Cleveland Alamance Alamance Cherokee Cleveland Cleveland Charlotte Alamance Alamance Alamance Alamance Charlotte Catawba Catawba Catawba Catawba Cabarrus Guilford Guilford Durham Orange Orange Guilford Orange Forsyth CAROUNA Lincoln Gaston Durham Orange Orange Orange Gaston Orange Iredell Iredell Macon Swain Holly Surry Polk NE State — NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC GENERATORS NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC
North Primary
Carolina Hydroelectric Hydroelectric Hydroelectric 113 Fuel (As of Type Other* Other* Other* Other* Biogas July Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Wind Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar 20131 Capacity (AC 20000.00 1750.00 4800.00 3500.00 5000.00 1600.00 4000.00 640,00 240.00 324.00 124.00 75.00 10.25 95.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 28.80 30.00 kW) 30.00 40.85 20.43 864 2.80 7.10 4.00 5.00 5.00 2.10 1.72 9.60 4.00 5.25 2.58 6.00 9.46 4.52 3.60 4.00 1.90 3.00 4.00 3.25 3.85 9.00 0.74 5.16 2.21 9.80 6.08 3.00 4.00 2.45 NA NA Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Designation 8aseload Baseload Baseload Baseload Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility
Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility94 Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility
57 53 59 61 60 64 62 65 63 67 66 Facility 68 69 72 70 71 75 76 74 73 78 80 79 77 81 82 83 84 86 87 85 89 91 88 92 90 95 93 97 96 98 99
100 102 103 101 104 108 107 103 106 110 112 109 111
Name
City/County
BessemerCitv
Mecklenburg
Mecklenburg
Mecklenburg
Mecklenburg Mecklenburg
Tobaccoville
Henderson
Mount
Greensboro Greensboro
Alamance
Alamance
Cleveland
Alamance Mount Mount Burlington Charlotte
HawRiver
Catawba
Charlotte Charlotte Durham
Ourham
Jackson
Durham Belmont Belmont Belmont
Orange Gastonia Orange
Orange Orange
Forsyth Durham Orange Orange
Orange
Mebane
Orange
Iredell
Gaston
Graham
Stokes
Hickory
Hickory
Swain
Surry Union Union
Elkin
Eden
Holly
RTP
Airy Airy
State
NC NC NC
NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC
NC NC NC NC NC
Primary
Hydroelectric
Fuel
114
Landfill
Type
Other5
Other5
Other5 Other5 Other5 Other5 Other* Other* Other* Other*
Others
Other* Other* Other* Others Others Other* Other* Others Other Solar Other* Solar Other Solar Other* Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar
Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar
Solar Solar Solar
Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar
Solar
Solar Solar
Gas
Capacity
(AC
1250.00
4000.00
440.00
1300.00
400.00 2250.00
1200.00 1590.00 1700.00 2000.00
1500.00 1750.00
500.00 350.00 100.00 440.00 350.00 550.00 600.00 260.82
800.00 100.00 16.40 859.00 800.00
600.00 800.00 kW) 750.00 15.00 210.00
378 3.00 700 6.45
5.00 2.00 6.00 5.00
4.00 3.00 4.16 3.00 4.88 0.74
1.85 3.00 4.94 2.40
3.00 7.50 8.00 N/A 2.63 3.00 6.00
8.00
Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Designation Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak
Saseload
Baseload Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility
Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility
113 114 Facility 116 115 117 118 119 121 120 122 123 125 124 126 128 127 129 130 131 133 132 134 135
136 137 138 140 139 141 142 143
144 145 146 14.8 147 149 150
151 152 153 155 154 156 158 157 159 160 162 161 163 164 167 168 165 166
Name
City/County
Mecklenburg
Rockingham Mecklenburg
Transylvania
Mecklenburg
Mecklenburg
Rutherford
Henderson
Henderson
Henderson Cleveland
Henderson
Charlotte
Cleveland
Cleveland
Cabarrus
Lexington Lexington Guilford
Catawba
Durham Caldwell Durham Davidson
Guilford Durham Durham
Durham Forsyth Orange orange
Forsyth Orange
Guilford Orange
Jackson
Forsyth Gaston Rowan Durham Durham Orange
Orange
Stokes Rowan Forsyth Iredell Stokes
Rowan Rowan Davie
Wake Wake
Rowan Surry
Union
State
NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC
Primary
Hydroelectric
Fuel 115
Landfill Landfill
Landfill
Type
Other*
Others Other*
Wind
Solar Solar
Solar
Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Wind Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Wind Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar
Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Gas Gas
Gas
Capacity
(AC
11500.00
1600.00 1600.00
420.00
169.00 1600.00
30.00
300.00 750.00 10.00
10.00
kW)
4.00 0.86
3.00
94.08
3.01 9.90
4.00 5.76 2.82 72.00 7.60 30.00 6.08 30.00 4.94 3.44 2.28 2.58 1.72 3.60
4.00 3.00 4.58 5.16 1.44 6.02 4.30
3.60 1.20 6.00 5.16 0.70 2.58 1.12 2.28 7.60
6.00 5.46
3.50 3.00 1.00 2.50 0.70
4.00 2.50
Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Designation
Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak
Baseload Baseload
Baseload
Baseload FacilityName City/County State PrimaryFuelType Capacity(ACkW) Designation
Facility 169 Jackson NC Solar 3.60 Intermediate/Peak Facility 170 GuHford NC Solar 6.72 Intermediate/Peak Facility 171 Cabarrus NC Solar 3.44 Intermediate/Peak Facility 172 Jackson NC Solar 4.41 Intermediate/Peak Facility 173 Wilkes NC Solar 2.76 Intermediate/Peak Facility 174 Forsyth NC Solar 2.23 Intermediate/Peak Facility 175 Mecklenburg NC Solar 2.15 Intermediate/Peak
Facility 176 Rockingharn NC - Solar 5000.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 177 Orange NC Solar 3.87 Intermediate/Peak Facility 178 Mecklenburg NC Solar 5.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 179 Cleveland NC Solar 4000.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 180 NC Solar 4.30 Intermediate/Peak Facility 181 Mecklenburg NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 182 Guilford NC Solar 2.58 Intermediate/Peak Facility 183 Iredell NC Solar 6.02 Intermediate/Peak Facility 184 Macon NC Solar 4.50 Intermediate/Peak Facility 185 Alexander NC Solar 0.70 Intermediate/Peak Facility 186 Orange NC Solar 3.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 187 Rockingham NC Solar 1.60 Intermediate/Peak Facility 188 Burke NC Solar 3.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 189 Alamance NC Solar 3.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 190 Catawba NC Solar 2.50 Intermediate/Peak Facility 191 Polk NC Solar 3.60 Intermediate/Peak Facility 192 Rockingham NC Solar 3.87 Intermediate/Peak Facility 193 Guilford NC Solar 3.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 194 Forsyth NC Solar 10.56 Intermediate/Peak Facility 195 Durham NC Other* 5500.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 196 Durham NC Other* 13400.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 197 Durham NC Other* 2250.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 198 Orange NC Solar 10.68 Intermediate/Peak Facility 199 Davidson NC Engine Dynamometer N/A Intermediate/Peak Facility200 Cherokee NC Solar 13.72 Intermediate/Peak Facility201 NC Solar 5.16 Intermediate/Peak Facility202 Orange NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility203 Macon NC Solar 8.60 Intermediate/Peak Facility204 Orange NC Solar 6.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility205 Mecklenburg NC Solar 3.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 206 Mecklenburg NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 207 Orange NC Solar 3.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 208 Orange NC Solar 3.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 209 Durham NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 210 Mecklenburg NC Solar 4.58 Intermediate/Peak Facility 211 Alamance NC Solar 5.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 212 Guilford NC Solar 4.80 Intermediate/Peak Facility 213 McDowell NC Solar 18.00 Intermediate/Peal’ Facility 214 Caldwell NC Solar 1.40 Intermediate/Peak Facility 215 Durham NC Solar 75.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 216 Durham NC Solar 52.90 Intermediate/Peal’ Facility 217 NC Solar 50.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 218 Durham NC Solar 30.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 219 Monroe NC Other* 400.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 220 Union NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 221 Durham NC Solar 2.16 Intermediate/Peak Facility 222 Guilford NC Solar 5.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 223 Durham NC Solar 5.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 224 Wake NC Solar 2.82 Intermediate/Peak
116 Facility Name City/County State Primary Fuel Type Capacity (ACkW) Designation
Facility 225 Henderson NC Solar - 4.90 Intermediate/Peak Facty 226 Mecklenburg NC Solar 2.85 Intermediate/Peak Facility 227 Charlotte NC 0ther 10000.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 228 Guilford NC Solar 14.40 Intermediate/Peak Facilty 229 Forsyth NC So ar 2.38 Intermediate/Peak Facity 230 McDowell NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 231 Alamance NC Solar 2.70 Intermediate/Peak Facility 232 Charlotte NC Other* 300.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 233 Burke NC Solar 24.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 234 Winston-Salem NC Other* 1800.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 235 Forsyth NC Solar 2.30 Intermediate/Peak Faclity 236 Catawba NC Solar 4.50 Intermediate/Peak Facility 237 Mecklenburg NC Solar 11.77 Intermediate/Peak Facility 238 Orange NC Solar 5.00 Intermediate/Peak Faculty 239 Orange NC Solar 5.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 240 Rowan NC Solar 82.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 241 Mecklenburg NC Solar 8.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 242 Henderson NC Solar 5.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 243 Guilford NC Solar 1.75 Intermediate/Peak Facility 244 Transylvania NC Solar 2.80 Intermediate/Peak Facility 245 Polk NC Solar 3.00 Intermediate/Peak FacIlity 246 Surrv NC Solar 10.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 247 Jackson NC Solar 2.58 Intermediate/Peak Facility 24.8 Cabarrus NC Landfill Gas 5000.00 Baseload Facility 249 Gaston NC Landfill Gas 4800.00 Baseload Facility 250 Guilford NC Solar 2.16 Intermediate/Peak Facility 251 Durham NC Solar 700.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 252 Greensboro NC Other* 125.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 253 Guilford NC Solar 0.86 Intermediate/Peak Facility 254 Orange NC Solar 6.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 255 Burke NC Solar 6.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 256 Henderson NC Solar 2.82 Intermediate/Peak Faclity 257 Cabarrus NC Solar 4.30 Intermediate/Peak Facility 258 Polk NC Solar 2.14 Intermediate/Peak Facility 259 Mecklenburg NC Solar 1.96 Intermediate/Peak Facility 260 Wilkes NC Solar 2.58 Intermediate/Peak Facility 261 Swain NC Solar 7.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 262 McDowell NC Solar 2.50 Intermediate/Peak Facility 263 Guilford NC Solar 4.16 Intermediate/Peak Facility 264 Orange NC Solar 1.64 Intermediate/Peak Facility 255 Durham NC Solar 307.43 Intermediate/Peak Facility 266 Catawba NC Solar 1.40 Intermediate/Peak IFacility 267 Mecklenburg NC Soar 1.72 Intermediate/Peak Facility 268 Polk NC Solar 2.15 Intermediate/Peak Facility 269 Guilford NC Solar 50.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 270 Macon NC Solar 4.30 Intermediate/Peak Facility 271 Lincoln NC Solar 0.70 Intermediate/Peak Facility 272 Cabarrus NC Solar 3.01 Intermediate/Peak Facility 273 Forsyth NC Solar 8.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 274 Rutherford NC Solar 2.58 Intermediate/Peak Facility 275 Orange NC Solar 4.20 Intermediate/Peak Facility 276 Orange NC Solar 3.15 Intermediate/Peak Facility 277 Alexander NC Hydroelectric 365.00 Baseload Facility 278 Forsyth NC Solar 14.80 Intermediate/Peak Facility 279 Gaston NC Hydroelectric 820.00 Baseload Facility 280 Guilford NC Solar 7.50 Intermediate/Peak
117 Facility Name City/County State Primary Fuel Type Capacity (ACkW) Designation
Facility 281 Wilkes NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 282 Cabarrus NC Solar 5.20 Intermediate/Peak Facility 283 Alamance NC Hydroelectric 1500.00 Baseload Facility 284 Alamance NC Solar 2.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 285 Durham NC Solar 3.01 Intermediate/Peak Facility 286 Orange NC Solar 3.30 Intermediate/Peak Facility 287 Orange NC Solar 7.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 288 Mecklenburg NC Engine Dynamometer N/A Intermediate/Peak Facility 289 Guilford NC Solar 108.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 290 Mecklenburg NC Solar 2.15 Intermediate/Peak Facility 291 Davidson NC Solar 1.29 Intermediate/Peak Facility 292 Durham NC Solar 3.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 293 Alamance NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 294 Lincoln NC Solar 2.15 Intermediate/Peak Facility 295 Orange NC Solar 3.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 296 Research Triangle Park NC Other* 10900.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 297 Mecklenburp NC Solar 790.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 298 Mecklenburg NC Solar 3.60 Intermediate/Peak Facility 299 Hickory NC Other* 1040.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 300 Rockingham NC Hydroelectric 500.00 Baseload Facility 301 Lincoln NC Solar 10.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 302 Henderson NC Solar 6.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 303 Henderson NC Solar 6.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 304 Orange NC Solar 9.17 Intermediate/Peak Facility 305 Orange NC Solar 5.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 306 Mecklenburg NC Solar 5.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 307 Polk NC Solar 5.16 Intermediate/Peak Facility 308 Surrv NC Solar 12.26 Intermediate/Peak Facility 309 Mecklenburg NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 310 Durham NC Solar 3.60 Intermediate/Peak Facility 311 Mecklenburg NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 312 Guilford NC Solar 2.50 Intermediate/Peak Facility 313 Macon NC Solar 3.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 314 Mecklenburg NC Solar 1.75 Intermediate/Peak Facility 315 Stokes NC Solar 2.58 Intermediate/Peak Facility 316 Polk NC Solar 6.65 Intermediate/Peak Facility 317 Alamance NC Solar 2.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 318 Alamance NC Solar 4.90 Intermediate/Peak Facility 319 Durham NC Solar 2.21 Intermediate/Peak Facility 320 Mecklenburg NC Solar 1.40 Intermediate/Peak Facility 321 Rockingham NC Solar 0.76 Intermediate/Peak Facility 322 Rockingham NC Solar 90.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 323 Jackson NC Solar 2.58 Intermediate/Peak Facility 324 Rutherford NC Solar 4.18 Intermediate/Peak Facility 325 Durham- NE NC Solar 2.21 Intermediate/Peak Facility 326 Iredell NC Solar 7.96 Intermediate/Peak Facility 327 Wilkes NC Solar 4.20 Intermediate/Peak Facility 328 Transylvania NC Solar 0.70 Intermediate/Peak Facility 329 Henderson NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 330 Durham NC Solar 2.48 Intermediate/Peak Facility 331 Durham NC Solar 1.25 Intermediate/Peak Facility 332 NC Solar 3.23 Intermediate/Peak Facility 333 Orange NC Solar 6.45 Intermediate/Peak Facility 334 NC Solar 3.60 Intermediate/Peak Facility 335 Alamance NC Solar 2.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 336 Jackson NC Solar 3.00 Intermediate/Peak
118 Facility Name City/County State Primary Fuel Type Capacity (ACkW) Designation
Facility 337 Orange NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 338 Durham NC Solar 3.00 Intermedate/Peak Facility 339 NC Solar 2.58 Intermediate/Peak Facility 340 Alamance NC Solar 324 Intermediate/Peak Facility 341 Rowan NC Solar 4.00 lntermedate/Peak Facility 342 Cherokee NC Solar 7.60 Intermediate/Peak Facility 343 Forsyth NC Solar 3.99 Intermediate/Peak Facility 344 Wake NC Solar 2.50 Intermediate/Peak Facility 345 Cabarrus NC Solar 9.80 Intermediate/Peak Facility 346 Henderson NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 347 Guilford NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 348 Orange NC Solar 9,80 Intermediate/Peak Fac ity 349 Orange NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facilty 350 Yadkin NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 351 Cleveland NC Wind 1.20 Intermediate/Peak Facility 352 Durham NC Solar 3.60 Intermediate/Peak Facility 353 Mecklenburg NC Solar 3.04 Intermediate/Peak Facility 354 Durham NC Solar 3.44 Intermediate/Peal’ Facility 355 Alamance NC Solar 2.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 356 Durham NC Solar 2.82 Intermediate/Peak Facility 357 Randolph NC Solar 2.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 358 Gui’ford NC Solar 2.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 359 Forsyth NC Solar 2.85 Intermediate/Peak Facility 360 Henderson NC Solar 6.45 Intermediate/Peak Facility 361 Forsyth NC Solar 2.85 Intermediate/Peak Facility 362 Henderson NC Solar 10.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 363 Orange NC Solar 7.80 Intermediate/Peak Facility 364 Polk NC Solar 4.32 Intermediate/Peak Facility 365 Henderson NC Solar 7.31 Intermediate/Peak Facility 366 Union NC Solar 3.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 367 Henderson NC Solar 2.58 Intermediate/Peak Facility 368 Iredell NC Solar 3.3 Intermediate/Peak Facility 369 Forsyth NC Solar 6.ct Intermediate/Peak Facility 370 Cabarrus NC Solar 4.30 Intermediate/Peak Facility 371 Cabarrus NC Solar 9.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 372 Wilkes NC Solar 4.73 Intermediate/Peak Facility 373 Catawba NC Solar 15.20 Intermediate/Peak Facility 374 Catawba NC Solar 6.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 375 Durham NC Solar 6.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 376 McDowell NC Solar 0.76 Intermediate/Peak Facility377 Forsyth NC Solar 5.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 378 Rutherfordton NC Solar 0.86 Intermediate/Peak Faciity 379 Stokes NC Solar 4.30 Intermediate/Peak Fachity 380 Mecklenburg NC Solar 5.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 381 Orange NC Solar 1.20 Intermediate/Peak Facility 382 Henderson NC Solar 2.28 Intermediate/Peak Facility 383 Rockingham NC Solar 4.30 Intermediate/Peak Facility 384 Burke NC Solar 2.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 383 orange NC Solar 2.58 Intermediate/Peak Facility 386 McDowell NC Solar 3.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 387 Stokes NC Solar 5. Intermediate/Peak Facility 388 Durham NC Solar 3.25 Intermediate/Peal’ Facility 389 Orange NC Solar 2.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 390 Macon NC Solar 1.44 Intermediate/Peak Facility 391 Macon NC Wind 1.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 392 lredell NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak
119 Facility Name City/County State Primary Fuel Type Capacity (ACkW) Designation
Facility 393 Surry NC Solar 4.60 !nterrnedate/Peak Facility 394 Hickory NC Other 500.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 395 Mecklenburg NC Solar 9.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 396 Charlotte NC Other* 200.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 397 Durham NC Other* 1000.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 398 Cherokee NC Solar 3.01 Intermediate/Peak Facility 399 McDowell NC Solar 3.57 Intermediate/Peak Facility400 Burke NC Solar 2.58 Intermediate/Peak Facility 401 Durham NC Solar 2.50 Intermediate/Peak Facility 402 Durham NC Solar 7.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 403 Guilford NC Solar 3.68 Intermediate/Peak Facility4o4 Rowan NC Solar 2.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility4os Durham NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Faci!ity4O6 Forsyth NC Solar 4.20 Intermediate/Peak Facility 407 Guilford NC Solar 35.48 Intermediate/Peak Facility 408 Alexander NC Solar 1.94 Intermediate/Peak Facility 409 Wake NC Solar 6.87 Intermediate/Peak Facility 410 Forsyth NC Solar 6.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 411 Gullford NC Solar 4.91 Intermediate/Peak Facility 412 Mecklenburg NC Solar 3.50 Intermediate/Peak Facility 413 Henderson NC Hydroelectric 6.00 Baseloari Facility 414 Wilkesboro NC Other* 600.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 415 Durham NC Solar 3.84 Intermediate/Peak Facility 416 Henderson NC Solar 2.50 Intermediate/Peak Facility 417 Forsyth NC Solar 2.58 Intermediate/Peak Facility 418 Cleveland NC Solar 135.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility4l9 Durham NC Solar 2.15 Intermediate/Peak Facility 420 Orange NC Solar 3.60 Intermediate/Peak Facility 421 Alamance NC Solar 2.10 Intermediate/Peak Facility 422 Mecklenburg NC Solar 6.75 Intermediate/Peak Facility 423 Orange NC Solar 5.00 Intermediate/Peek Facility 424 Orange NC Solar 2.40 Intermediate/Peak Facility 425 Orange NC Solar 5.56 Intermediate/Peak Facility 426 Rowan NC Solar 1.70 Intermediate/Pee Facility 427 Union NC Solar 2.94 Intermediate/Peak Facility 428 Guilforcl NC Solar 3.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 429 Davie NC Solar 7.85 Intermediate/Peak Facility 430 Orange NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 431 Durham NC Solar 5.16 Intermediate/Peak Facility 432 Guilford NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 433 Durham NC Solar 3.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 434 Davidson NC Solar 3.45 Intermediate/Peak Facility 435 Mecklenburg NC Solar 2.58 Intermediate/Pea Facility 436 Orange NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Pea Facility 437 Cleveland NC Solar 4.70 Intermediate/Pea Facility438 Mecklenburg NC Solar 3.50 Intermediate/Peak Facility 439 Mecklenburg NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 440 Iredell NC Solar 60.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 441 Wake NC Solar 2.21 Intermediate/Peak Facility 442 Randolph NC Solar 2.58 Intermediate/Peak Facility 443 Alamance NC Solar 2.40 Intermediate/Peak Facility 444 Forsyth NC Solar 3.15 Intermediate/Peak Facility 445 Henderson NC Solar 2.70 Intermediate/Peak Facility 446 Wake NC Solar 2.21 Intermediate/Peak Facility 447 Orange NC Solar 5.16 Intermediate/Peak Facility 448 Mecklenburg NC Solar 3.15 Intermediate/Peak
120 Facility Name City/County State Primary Fuel Type Capacity (ACkW) Designation
Facility44g Mecklenburg NC Solar 3.44 Intermediate/Peak Facility 450 Mecklenburg NC Solar 0.70 Intermediate/Peak Facility45l Surry NC Solar 1000.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 452 Rockingham NC Hydroelectric 1275.00 Baseload Facility 453 Rockingham NC Hydroelectric 951.00 Baseload Facility 454 Marion NC Other* 650.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility455 Hickory NC Olher* 500.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 456 Catawba NC Solar 8.17 Intermediate/Peak Facilty 457 Mecklenburg NC Solar 49.00 Intermediate/Peak bFaciiity4s8 Charlotte NC Other* 2200.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 459 Mecklenburg NC Solar 12.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 460 Hendersonville NC Other* 1000.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 461 Cabarrus NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 462 Concord NC Other* 2950.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 463 Rutherford NC Solar 1.96 Intermediate/Peak Facility 464 Mecklenburg NC Solar 5.76 Intermediate/Peak Facility 465 Orange NC Solar 1.32 Intermediate/Peak Facility 466 Yadkin NC Solar 7.80 Intermediate/Peak Facility 467 Yadkin NC Solar 7.10 Intermediate/Peak Facility 468 Mecklenburg NC Solar 1.89 Intermediate/Peak Facility 469 Jackson NC Solar 2.76 Intermediate/Peak Facility47o Yadkin NC Solar 6.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility47l Rutherford NC Solar 1.94 Intermediate/Peak Facility 472 Iredell NC Solar 2.80 Intermediate/Peak Facility 473 Davidson NC Solar 4.32 Intermediate/Peak Facility474 Durham NC Solar 3.23 Intermediate/Peak Facility475 Gaston NC Hydroelectric 1800.00 Baseload Facility476 Davie NC Solar 5000(X) Intermediate/Peak Facility 477 Durham NC Solar 3.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 478 Stokes NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility479 Greensboro NC Other 700.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 480 Greensboro NC Other* 2500.00 intermediate/Peak Facility4sl Greensboro NC Other* 1280.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 482 Durham NC Landfill Gas 3180.00 Baseload Facility483 Mecklenburg NC Solar 4.80 Intermediate/Peak Facility 484 Durham NC Solar 2.58 Intermediate/Peak Facility 485 Mecklenburg NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 486 Catawba NC Solar 5.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 487 Gaston NC Solar 635.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility48R Mecklenburg NC Solar 30.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 489 Winston-Salem NC Other* 400.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 490 Durham NC Solar 28.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 491 Concord NC Other* 680.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 492 Butner NC Other* 1250.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 493 Morganton NC Other* 200.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 494 Catawba NC Solar 135,00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 495 Orange NC Solar 3.60 Intermediate/Peak Facility 496 Union NC Solar 2.63 Intermediate/Peak Facility497 Cabarrus NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 498 Rowan NC Solar 10.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 499 Polk NC Hydroelectric 5500.00 Baseload Facility 500 Alamance NC Solar 221.76 Intermediate/Peak Facility 501 Orange NC Solar 18.48 Intermediate/Peak Facility 502 Orange NC Solar 18.48 Intermediate/Peak Facility 503 Davidson NC Solar 1500.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 504 Mecklenburg NC Solar 8.40 Intermediate/Peak
121 Facility Name City/County State Primary Fuel Type Capacity (Ac kW) Designation
Facility 505 Carrboro NC Other* 500.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 506 Chapel Hill NC Other* 1135.00 nterieda:e/Peak Facility 507 Chapel Hill NC Other* 500.00 .ntermediate/Peak Facility 508 Chapel Hill NC Other* 2000.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 509 Orange NC Solar 5.30 Intermediate/Peak Facility 510 Orange NC Solar 6.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 511 Hendersonville NC Other* 500.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 512 Fletcher NC Other* 1000.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 513 McDowell NC Solar 4.68 Intermediate/Peak Facility 514 Guilford NC Solar 3.01 Intermediate/Peak Facility 515 Macon NC Solar 1.92 Intermediate/Peak Facility 516 Orange NC Solar 3.78 Intermediate/Peak Facility 517 Rowan NC Solar 7.20 Intermediate/Peak Facility 518 Rowan NC Solar 5.60 Intermediate/Peak Facility 519 Alarriance NC Solar 2.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 520 Cabarrus NC Engine Dynamometer N/A Intermediate/Peak Facility 521 Durham NC Solar 4.30 Intermediate/Peak Facility 522 Guilford NC Solar 2.70 Intermediate/Peak Facility 523 Alamance NC Solar 3.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 524 Forsyth NC Solar 6.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 525 Durham NC Solar 3.36 Intermediate/Peak Facility 526 Rutherford NC Solar 5.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 527 Rutherford NC Solar 3.68 Intermediate/Peak Facility 528 Transylvania NC Solar 3.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 529 Rowan NC Solar 2.58 Intermediate/Peak Facility 530 Cleveland NC Hydroelectric 600.00 Baseload Facility 531 Winston-Salem NC Other* 750.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 532 Guilford NC Solar 1.80 Intermediate/Peak Facility 533 Jackson NC Solar 9.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 534 Mebane NC Other* 400.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 535 Matthews NC Other* 1450.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 536 Huntersville NC Others 3200.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 537 Mecklenburg NC Solar 33.12 Intermediate/Peak Facility 538 Mecklenburg NC Solar 52.47 Intermediate/Peak Facility 539 Jackson NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 540 Mecklenburg NC Solar 8.80 Intermediate/Peak Facility 541 Orange NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 542 Mecklenburg NC Solar 2.70 Intermediate/Peak Facility 543 Durham NC Solar 7.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 544 Mecklenburg NC Solar 7.60 Intermediate/Peak Facility 545 Mecklenburg NC Solar 4.10 Intermediate/Peak Facility 546 Orange NC Solar 1.20 Intermediate/Peak Facility 547 Davie NC Solar 9.88 Intermediate/Peak Facility 548 Mecklenburg NC Solar 2.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 549 Polk NC Solar 5.18 Intermediate/Peak Facility 550 Orange NC Solar 3.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 551 Orange NC Solar 1.71 Intermediate/Peak Facility 552 Durham NC Solar 1.20 Intermediate/Peak Facility 553 Polk NC Solar 1.72 Intermediate/Peak Facility 554 Mecklenburg NC Solar 18.06 Intermediate/Peak Facility 555 Henderson NC Solar 250 Intermediate/Peak Facility 556 RTP NC Other* 350.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 557 Forsyth NC Solar 1.94 Intermediate/Peak Facility 558 Randolph NC Solar 2.30 Intermediate/Peak Facility 559 Durham NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 500 Stanly NC Solar 5.17 Intermediate/Peak
122 Facility Name City/County State Primary Fuel Type Capacity (ACkW) Designation
Facility561 Gaston NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Fac6ity 562 Forsyth NC Solar 430 Intermediate/Peak Facility563 Catawba NC Solar 300 Intermediate/Peak Facility564 Wilkes NC Solar 3.68 Intermediate/Peak Facility365 Rural Hall NC Other* 105000 Intermediate/Peak Facility566 Mecklenburg NC Solar 4.70 Intermediate/Peak Facility567 Jackson NC Solar 9.90 Intermediate/Peak Facility568 Franklin NC Solar 5.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility569 Mecklenburg NC Solar 2.50 Intermediate/Peak Facility570 Henderson NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 571 orange NC Solar ISO Intermediate/Peak Facility572 Guilford NC Solar 1.10 Intermediate/Peak Facility573 Guilford NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 574 Mecklenburg NC Solar 500 Intermediate/Peak Facility 575 Henderson NC Solar 0.76 Intermediate/Peak Facility576 Union NC Solar 1.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility577 Mecklenburg NC Solar 2.58 Intermediate/Peak Facility578 Alamance NC Solar 5.50 Intermediate/Peak Facility579 Stanly NC Solar 5.16 Intermediate/Peak Facility580 Union NC Solar 7.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 581 Union NC Solar 2.48 Intermediate/Peak Facility582 Macon NC Solar 5.94 Intermediate/Peak Facility583 Randolph NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 584 Rowan NC Solar 6.45 Intermediate/Peak Facility 585 Durham NC Solar 4.62 Intermediate/Peak Facility586 Wilkes NC Hydroelectric 200.00 Baseload Facility587 Iredell NC Solar 3.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 588 Iredell NC Engine Dynamometer N/A Intermediate/Peak Facility589 Henderson NC Solar 9.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 590 Iredell NC Solar 2.94 Intermediate/Peak Facility591 Transylvania NC Solar 3.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility592 Henderson NC Solar 3.44 Intermediate/Peak Facility 593 Forsyth NC LandfillGas 4750.00 Baseload Facility 594 Durham NC Solar 5.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 595 Mecklenburg NC Solar 4.73 Intermediate/Peak Facility 596 Mecklenburg NC Solar 10.80 Intermediate/Peak Facility 597 Alamance NC Solar 3.44 Intermediate/Peak Facility 598 Alamance NC Solar 2.40 Intermediate/Peak Facility 599 Rutherford NC Solar 3.60 Intermediate/Peak Facility 600 Alamance NC Solar 24.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 601 Orange NC Solar 2.58 Intermediate/Peak Facility602 Caswell NC Solar 2.82 Intermediate/Peak Facility 603 Mecklenburg NC Solar 20.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 604 Orange NC Solar 2.40 Intermediate/Peak Facility605 Guilford NC Solar 5.46 Intermediate/Peak Facility 606 Catawba NC Solar 2.58 Intermediate/Peak Facility607 McDowell NC Solar 1.02 Intermediate/Peak Facility 608 Durham NC Solar 3.50 Intermediate/Peak Facility 609 Cabarrus NC Solar 3.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 610 Orange NC Solar 2.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 611 Durham NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 612 Henderson NC Solar 5.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 613 Alexander NC Solar 2.58 Intermediate/Peak Facility 614 Mcdowell NC Solar 3.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility615 Guilford NC Solar 2.58 Intermediate/Peak Facility 616 Cabarrus NC Solar 4500.00 Intermediate/Peak
123 Facility Name City/County State Primary Fuel Type Capacity (AC kW) Designation
Facility517 Durham NC Solar 101.20 Intermediate/Peak Facility618 Guilford NC Solar 12.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility619 Forsyth NC Solar 10.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility620 Butner NC Other* 750.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility521 Davie NC Hydroelectric 1500.00 Baseload Facility622 Surry NC Solar 9.87 lnterrriediate/Peak Facility623 Forsyth NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility624 Surry NC Solar 5.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility625 Orange NC Solar 8.60 Intermediate/Peak Facility626 Durham NC Solar 3.66 Intermediate/Peak Facility627 Durham NC Solar 2.04 Intermediate/Peak Facility628 Burke NC Solar 3.04 Intermediate/Peak Facility629 Iredell NC Solar 1.51 Intermediate/Peak Facility630 Rockingham NC Solar 4.73 Intermediate/Peak Facility631 Lincoln NC Hydroelectric 750.00 Baseload Facility632 Catawba NC Solar 4.41 Intermediate/Peak Facility633 Chatham NC Solar 3.84 Intermediate/Peak Facility634 Mecklenburg NC Solar 2.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility635 Orange NC Solar 5.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility635 Orange NC Solar 5.17 Intermediate/Peak Facility637 Alamance NC Solar 2.85 Intermediate/Peak Facility638 Orange NC Solar 9.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility639 Durham NC Solar 1.50 Intermediate/Peak Facility640 Transylvania NC Solar 3.36 Intermediate/Peak Facility641 RTP NC Other* 1825.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility642 Rockingham NC Solar 9.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility643 Forsyth NC Solar 6.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility644 Guilford NC Solar 21.40 Intermediate/Peak Facility645 Davidson NC Solar 15500.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility646 Transylvania NC Solar 6.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility647 Macon NC Solar 6.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility648 Orange NC Solar 9.24 Intermediate/Peak Facility649 Chatham NC Solar 4.41 Intermediate/Peak Facility650 Wake NC Solar 2.21 Intermediate/Peak Facility651 Catawba NC Solar 4.76 Intermediate/Peak Facility652 Orange NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility653 Gaston NC Solar 1.14 Intermediate/Peak Facility654 Rockingham NC Solar 2.80 Intermediate/Peak Facility655 Swain NC Solar 5.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility656 Durham NC Solar 2.80 Intermediate/Peak Facility657 Durham NC Solar 5.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility658 Greensboro NC Other 750.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility659 Greensboro NC Other* 250.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility660 Alamance NC Solar 8.60 Intermediate/Peak Facility561 Guilford NC Solar 2.15 Intermediate/Peak Facility662 Randolph NC Solar 20.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility663 Randolph NC Solar 52.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility664 Guilford NC Solar 5.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 665 Guilford NC Solar 175,00 Intermediate/Peak Facility666 Orange NC Solar 0.74 Intermediate/Peak Facility667 Henderson NC Solar &Wind 5,00 Intermediate/Peak Facility668 Mecklenburg NC Solar 4.60 Intermediate/Peak Facility 669 Mecklenburg NC Solar 250.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility670 Catawbe NC Solar 4.70 Intermediate/Peak Facility671 Catawba NC Solar 4.70 Intermediate/Peak Facility672 Orange NC Solar 4,00 Intermediate/Peak
124 Facility Name City/County State Primary Fuel Type Capacity (ACkW) Designation
Facility 673 Durham NC Solar 2.28 Intermediate/Peak Facility 674 Polk NC Solar 6.IXI Intermediate/Peak Facility 675 Alamance NC Solar 1.90 Intermediate/Peak Facility 676 NC Solar 4.58 Intermediate/Peak Facility 677 Mecklenburg NC Solar 2.58 Intermediate/Peak Facility 678 Henderson NC Solar 1.94 Intermediate/Peak Facility 679 Union NC Solar 4.30 Intermediate/Peak Facility 680 Randolph NC Solar 3.98 Intermediate/Peak Facility 681 Cabarrus NC Solar 4.05 Intermediate/Peak Facility 682 Cabarrus NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 683 Swain NC Solar 2.52 Intermediate/Peak Facility 684 Rutherfordton NC Solar 2.80 Intermediate/Peak Facility 685 Orange NC Solar 5.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 686 Mecklenburg NC Solar 4.95 Intermediate/Peak Facility 687 Durham NC Solar 4.95 Intermediate/Peak Facility 688 Orange NC Solar 1.48 Intermediate/Peak Facility 689 Randolph NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 690 Orange NC Solar 9.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 691 Orange NC Solar 9.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 692 Gullford NC Solar 3.01 Intermediate/Peak Facility 693 Mecklenburg NC Solar 3.29 Intermediate/Peak Facility 694 Burke NC Solar 2.58 Intermediate/Peak Facility 695 Lincoln NC Solar 9.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 696 Orange NC Solar 3.80 Intermediate/Peak Facility 697 Rutherford NC Hydroelectric 3600.00 Baseload Facility 698 North Wilkesboro NC 5Other 1250.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 699 Jackson NC Solar 5.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 700 Valdese NC 5Other 600.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 701 Wilkesboro NC 5Other 750.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 702 Yadkinville NC 5Other 1200.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 703 Reidsville NC 5Other 750.00 Intermediate/Peak çlity 704 Mooresville NC Other 750.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 705 Brevard NC 5Other 1000.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 706 Guilford NC Solar 30.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 707 Cherokee NC 5Other 12500.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 708 Mecklenburg NC Solar 18.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 709 Durham NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 710 Catawba NC Solar 5000.00 Intermediate/Peak 155.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 711 - North Wilkesboro NC Other Facility 712 Mecklenburg NC Solar 4.80 Intermediate/Peak Facility 713 Union NC Solar 6.02 Intermediate/Peak Facility 714 Orange NC Solar 20.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 715 NC Landfill Gas 1059.00 Baseload Facility 716 Durham NC Solar 112.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 717 Durham NC Solar 51.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 718 Durham NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 719 Chatham NC Solar 2.70 Intermediate/Peak Facility 720 Salisbury NC 5Other 1500.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 721 Mecklenburg NC Solar 5.70 Intermediate/Peak Facility 722 Mecklenburg NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 723 Forsyth NC Solar 1.92 Intermediate/Peak Facility 724 MeckIenbur NC Solar 27.47 Intermediate/Peak Facility 725 Orange NC Solar 14.51 Intermediate/Peak Facility 726 Winston-Salem NC Others 3750.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 727 Winston-Salem NC Other 3000.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 728 Winston-Salem NC Other* 3000.00 Intermediate/Peak
125 Facility Name City/County State Primary Fuel Type Capacity (ACkW) Designation
Facility 729 Winston-Salem NC Other* 500.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 730 Rowan NC Solar 150.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 731 Rockingham NC Solar 2.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 732 Iredell NC Solar 1.40 Intermediate/Peak Facility 733 Cherokee NC Solar 8.20 Intermediate/Peak Facility 734 Orange NC Solar 4.32 Intermediate/Peak Facility 735 Watauga NC Landfill Gas 186.00 Baseload Facility 736 Davie NC Solar 0.70 Intermediate/Peak Facility 737 Winston-Salem NC Other* 2000.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 738 Wilkes NC Solar 2.85 Intermediate/Peak Facility 739 Elkin NC Other* 500.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 740 Polk NC Solar 5.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 741 Transylvania NC Solar 0.65 Intermediate/Peak Facility 742 Wilkes NC Wind 2.40 Intermediate/Peak Facility 743 Wilkes NC Landfill Gas 70.00 Baseload Facility 744 Guilford NC Solar 4.52 Intermediate/Peak Facility 745 Cleveland NC Solar 2.50 Intermediate/Peak Facility 746 Orange NC Solar 2.30 Intermediate/Peak Facility 747 Orange NC Solar 5.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 748 Mecklenburg NC Solar 2.41 Intermediate/Peak Facility 749 Macon NC Solar 3.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 750 Forsyth NC Solar 2.94 Intermediate/Peak Facility 751 Orange NC Solar 2.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 752 Guilford NC Solar 4.80 Intermediate/Peak Facility 753 Durham NC Solar 3.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 754 Jackson NC Solar 6.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 755 Orange NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 756 Guilford NC Solar 3.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 757 Forsyth NC Solar 3.30 Intermediate/Peak Facility 758 Forsyth NC Landfill Gas 2400.00 Baseload Facility 759 Mecklenburg NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 760 Union NC Solar 6.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 761 Davidson NC Solar 82.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 762 Transylvania NC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak
Note: Data pros ided in lahie [1-3reflects nameplate capacity for the facility.
126 Table H-4 Non-Utility Generation- South Caroliiia SOUTHCAROLINAGENERATORS
Facility Name City/County State Primary Fuel Type Capacity (kW) Designation
Facility 763 Cherokee SC Natural Gas 100000.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility764 Greenville SC Solar 21.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 755 Spartanburg SC Solar 15.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 766 SC Solar 0.76 Intermediate/Peak Facility 767 Anderson SC Solar 10.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 768 Greenville SC Hydroelectric 600.00 Baseload Facility 769 Laurens SC Hydroelectric 6300.00 Baseload Facility 770 Greenville SC Solar 1.94 Intermediate/Peak Facility 771 Pickens SC Solar 2.35 Intermediate/Peak Facility 772 Spartanburg SC Solar 94.08 Intermediate/Peak Facility 773 Spartanburg SC Solar 0.76 Intermediate/Peak Facility 774 Greenville SC Solar 2.15 Intermediate/Peak Facility 775 Spartanburg SC Solar 5.52 Intermediate/Peak Facility 776 Greenville SC Solar 1.68 Intermediate/Peak Facility 777 York SC Solar 2.80 Intermediate/Peak Facility 778 Lancaster SC Solar 5.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 779 Pickens SC Solar 11.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 780 Oconee SC Solar 3.60 Intermediate/Peak Facility 781 Greenville SC Solar 1.80 Intermediate/Peak Facility 782 Piclcens SC Solar 42.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 783 Laurens SC Solar 6.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 784 Greenville SC Solar 5.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 785 Greenwood SC Others 1500.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 786 Spartanburg SC Hydroelectric 1250.00 Baseload Facility 787 Pickens SC Solar 4.50 Intermediate/Peak Facility 788 Laurens SC Solar 0.76 Intermediate/Peak Facility 789 Greenville SC Solar 2.28 Intermediate/Peak Facility 790 Spartanburg SC Solar 3.01 Intermediate/Peak acuity 791 Greenwood SC Solar 2.76 Intermediate/Peak Facility 792 Spartanburg SC Solar 0.74 Intermediate/Peak Facility 793 Greenville SC Solar 2.53 Intermediate/Peak Facility 794 Spartanburg SC Solar 2.80 Intermediate/Peak Facility 795 SC Solar N/A Intermediate/Peak Facility 796 York SC Solar 2.85 Intermediate/Pea Facility 797 Pickens SC Solar 9.00 Intermediate/Pea Facility 798 Greenville SC Solar 0.76 Intermediate/Pea Facility 799 Oconee SC Solar 10.08 Intermediate/Pea Facility 800 Spartanburg SC Engine Dynamometer N/A Intermediate/Pea FacilitySOl Greenville SC Solar 29.83 Intermediate/Pea Facility 802 Greenville SC Solar 1(X).CXJ Intermediate/Pea Facility8o3 Greenville SC Solar 4.30 Intermediate/Pea Facility 804 Spartanburg SC Solar 2.15 Intermediate/Pea Facility 805 Laurens SC Solar 5.64 Intermediate/Pea Facility 806 Spartanburg SC Solar 3.00 Intermediate/Pea Facility 807 Spartanburg SC Landfill Gas 3200.00 Baseload Facility 808 Greenville SC Solar 30,10 Intermediate/Peak Facility 809 SC Solar 5.16 Intermediate/Peak Facility 810 Spartanburg SC Hydroelectric 1600.00 Baseload Facility811 Greenville SC Solar 49.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 812 Oconee SC Solar 56.70 Intermediate/Peak Facility 813 Greenville SC Solar 4.30 Intermediate/Pea Facility 814 York SC Solar 2.10 Intermediate/Pea Facility 815 Spartanburg SC Solar 0.76 Intermediate/Pea Facility 816 Spartanburg SC Solar 0.19 Intermediate/Peak Facility8l7 Oconee SC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 818 Laurens SC Solar 1.94 Intermediate/Pea Facility 819 Pickens SC Solar 1.05 Intermediate/Pea
127 Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility
Facility827 Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility
Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility
Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility
Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility
Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility
Facility
Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility
Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility Facility
Facility
821 820 822 823 Facility 824 825
826 828 829 831 830
833 832 834 835 836 837
839 838 840
842 841 843
844 845 846
848 847 849 850
851 852 853 854 855 856
857 858 859 860 861 862 863 864 865 866
868 867 869
870 871 872 873 874 875 876
Name
City/County
Spartanbur Spartanburg
Spartanburg Spartanburg
Spartanburg
Spartanburg
Spartanburg Greenville Greenville
Greenville Greenville Greenville
Greenville
Greenwood Greenville Spartanburg
Greenville
Spartanburg Greenville Spartanburg Anderson Spartanburg Spartanburg Spartanburg Greenville
Spartanburg Greenville
Greenville
Greenville Anderson Greenville
Greenville Anderson
Greenville Anderson
Greenville Anderson
Piclcens Pickens
Greenville Pickens Oconee Greenville Anderson Pickens
Greenville Greenville
Laurens Clinton
Laurens
Kershaw
Pickens
Chester
York
York
York
York
State
SC SC SC SC SC
SC SC SC SC
SC SC SC
SC SC SC SC SC
SC SC SC SC SC SC SC
SC
SC SC SC SC SC
SC SC SC SC SC SC
SC SC SC SC SC SC SC
SC SC SC SC SC SC
SC SC SC
SC SC SC SC SC
Primary
Fuel
Hydroelectric Hydroelectric Hydroelectric
Hydroelectric Hydroelectric
128 Landfill
Hydroelectric
Type
Other*
Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar
Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar
Solar Solar
0ther Solar Solar Solar Other* Solar Solar Solar Other* Solar
Solar
Solar Solar Solar
Solar Solar
Solar
Solar Gas Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar
Wind Solar Solar
Solar
Solar
Solar
Solar Solar
Solar Solar -
Capacity
(kWJ
1600.00
447.00 3500.00
2400.00 1500.00
2020.00 3300.00
15.60
1875.00
2432.00
541 4.84 1000.00 8.00
4.20 2.62
4.133 2.99
3.36 5.89 2.94
14.00 4.73 1.94
3.44 S00.O0
1.30
0.86 3.85 8.60
3.82 2.85
3.78 6.00
6.14 1.04 0.74
19.40 3.01 7.52
6.58
2.38
6.72 1.47
3.01 2.50
2.38
4.68 2.47 0.70
2.20 1.20
8.00
0.76 4.20
4.00 3.00
Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak Designation
Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak
intermediate/Peak
intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak Intermediate/Peak
Intermediate/Peak
Baseload
Baseload
Baseload Baseload
Baseload
Baseload
Baseload Facility Name City/County State Primary Fuel Type Capacity (kW) Designation
Facilty 877 Greenville SC Soar 5.26 Intermedate/Peak Facility 878 York SC Solar 2.50 Intermediate/Peak Faclity 879 York SC Solar 7.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility8so Spartanburg SC Solar 1.52 Intermedate/Peak Fac:11ty881 York SC Solar 8.09 Intermediate/Peak Facility 882 Greenville SC Solar 1.80 Intermediate/Peak Facility 883 Anderson SC Solar 2.14 Intermediate/Peak Facility 884 Greenville SC Solar 6.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 885 Greenville SC Solar 4.00 Intermediate/Peak Facility 885 Greenville SC Solar 2.10 Intermediate/Peak Facility 887 Anderson SC Solar 3.60 Intermediate/Peak
Note: Data proided iii Fable[1-4reflects nameplate capacity for the facility.
129 APPENDIX transmission This
the provides Table Table
Table
Rule
YEAR
Please
2014
transmission
(p)
be
no utility
appendix
fbr 1—2
R8-62: [-1:
1-2:
incorporated later
refer
Plans
infbrmation
the
lists
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five
or
than
system.
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construction
to
person
Antioch
for
Certilicates 425.
lists
years.
Duke/Progress the
DEC
the
For
line
September
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line
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Company’s
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pursuant projects
covered in
Transmission
The
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TRANSMISSION
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PROJECT
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FERC that
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of
information
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additions
Form
Mitigation has
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PLANNED
Carolina
planned
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line
compatibility
to
provide
reported
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130
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to
required lines
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to
Utility
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on
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pages
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and
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NCUC
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as
FERC
discusses
into
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422 carolina
Carolina.
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CONSTRUCTION
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in
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April,
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CAPACITY
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424, There
DEC
Duke transmission interconnections and
transmission identil’ plans and
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Transmission
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NERC
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available system any participation
tbllowing:
lines
and
131
including
used cost-effective
annual
and
South
161
Carolina.
the
requirements.
Reliability thermal
in
reliability.
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Corrective
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The
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transmission
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computer Standards Regional portfolio this
DEC audit participates audits conducted audit
in • transactions • neighboring •
the projects for and Assess use studies Ensure Ensure Guidelines problem—solution accordance groups’ simulation and — reliability requires of for [)EC
to need impact process Power included DEC projects inter—balancing of planning the the to the received to
for interconnected for that a provide the in resource purpose upcoming every NERC
on ensure DEC for transmission systems; a Delivery future enables
groups tests and improvement which with planned number Transmission interconnected transfer purposes and three “No the for data to
the transfer Reliability is
transmission planning alternatives provides requests to: evaluate Power authority peak and high demonstrate FERC Findings” optimization years Large of capability, supporting future system
of system. regional transtCr
season capability of economic Delivery for process. and Planning the Open Standards
for
transmission transfer transfer system’s area compliance and compliance
system from Small greatest
The as transmission and reliability the levels that transfer Access their process. well to is access the DEC Standards Power five- Company’s capability. capability Generator
expansion produce acceptable compliance its 132 to capability benefit respective audit as verify with with currently system Transmission transmission and capability compliance groups
to Delivery The team. resources service a NERC’ NERU ten-year for TPL—002—0.a interconnection satisfuctory and multi—year
and to annual Generator Power
improvements
to the audit
priority, to evaluates meet
upgrades coordinate and optimization compliance dollars and Reliability Reliability handle with and periods. of planning Tariff compliance reliability interconnection Delivery DEC generator scope,
work system the transfer and interconnection invested. all
and large (OAIT). Company’s analysis Procedures
‘l’he in transmission Standards. plan TPL— Standards. do with practices process
cost,
are May reliability; needs optimization capability. not
groups
firm interconnection filing and
used 003-Oa. NERC’
and 2011.
of adversely reliability. and The budget is and
as Transmission regional,
in certifications.
liming. meet also Specifically, requests also reservation the customers’
inputs
The Company Reliability
non-firm For process perform
0A1’T. to used NERC scope affect
fund both sub into The
l’he
are are
to Applicationof the practicesand proceduresdescribedabove have ensured DEC’s transmission systemis expectedto continueto providereliableserviceto its nativeload and firmtransmission customers.
133 ALLFNDlX Customers ordered development
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DUKE CAROLINAS ENERGY®
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136
15,
Energy
2013 REPS)
Carolinas
Plan
Portfolio
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EXHIBIT
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Contents 137
Resources
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and
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impact
and
139 138
140 140 141
141
142 145
148 145 145 146
147
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INTRODUCTION
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(NC State
33.8 renewable
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138
energy
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future.
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to:
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Year Year
NC
Company
Planning
crafled
evaluated,
cost
Sub
contracted
risks
to
Quali/i’ing
REPS cost
Rate
of
meet and
rates
I
AND
36. Company’s
and
that a
rates
plans
Period.
to prudent,
Capacity
OF
requirements.
its
represent
uncertainties procured,
approved across
comply
PROJECTED
it
for
Facilities,
NC
RENEWABLE represent
will
described
OF
or
Based
REPS
reasonable all
(Current)
meet
REPS General
and
with
5480 otherwise
6.630 6.280 5,630 2013
the
and/or facets
in
the on issued exist
Energy
annualized the
this
herein
its The requirements
COMPLIANCE
the
NC AVOII)ED of
annualized
developed
Commission’s
Requirement
General
across
plan Company
known its
RESOURCES
in procured
represent
REPS
Rates
145
compliance
Docket
with
avoided (Projected) the
Requirement
iniormation
4.940 obligation 5.480 5.150 2014 5.800
(cents within
a a various
avoided
continues
COST
sufficient
a
diversified
variety No.
reasonable
Plan
Order
PLAN
cost
per
requirements.
the
E-l00,
types
RATES
cost
over
of
rates
kWh)
compliance
to available
Establishing
during
resources
types
balance
carefully
of
rates
Sub the
(Projected)
and
proposed
resources
4940 5.150
5.480 2015 5.800
Planning
of
127
prudent the
in
at
Duke
of
renewable
the
monitor to Schedule Planning
Planning
(July
renewable
Standard
by
time
meet
and
Period.
Energy
plan
the
27,
the
of
opportunities
for its
Period.
Company
PP-N and Period
2011).
this
associated
Rates
Carolinas
resources
meeting General
energy
tiling,
(NC),
and
The and
As
in The Table
[neral Table
Note:
2015 represent
Wholesale Retail Total
Note: projected
Residential
Industrial
tables
The The
MWh
MWh
3:
4:
B.
the
MWh
Accts
MWh
number
Accts
MWh
Sales
actual
Sales
below
Accts
sales
sales
Sales
of
WHOLESALE
CUSTOMER PROJECTED
Retail
for
iumher Retail
reported
accounts
reflect
2013
of
and 2012
Sales
above
and
accounts
1,625,359
reported
the
253,030
2014,
5,069
(Actuals)
are
Wholesale
inclusion
for
respectively.
those
for above
ACCOUNTS
2012
Retail
SALES
54,555,907
58,562,512
TOTAL
4,006,605
applicable ear-end
are
(Actuals)
olthe
those
Year-end
and
2012.
1,634,116
to
258,407
AND
5,254
2013
applicable
REPS
Wholesale
Wholesale
and
NORTH
BY
146
compliance
YEAR-END
the
Number
CLASS
projected
to
the
cost
years Customers Customers
1,647,527
262960
5,263
2014 CAROLINA
number
caps
55,232,870
59161,845
of
3,928,975
2013-
2013
NUMBER
Customer
for
of
2015,
compliance
accounts
in
and
the
1,666,206
267,090
represent
5,256
2015
Compliance
fir
Accounts
OF
years
RETAIL
year-end
2013—
actual
2013
MWh
2015.
55,756,164
59,743,779
3,987,615
Plan.
through
AND 2014
sales
and
for
2012,
and C. PROJECTED ANNUAL COST CAP COMPARISON OF TOTAL AND INCREMENTAL COSTS, REPS RIDER AND FUEL COST IMPACT
Projected compliance costs tbr the Planning Period are presented in the cost tables below by calendar year. The cost cap data is based on the numberof accounts as reported above.
Table 5: Projected Annual Cost Caps and Fuel Related Cost Impact
2013 2014 2015
TotalprojectedREPScompliancecosts $ 32,969,472 $ 46,126,516 $ 50,567,253
Recoveredthroughthe FuelRider $ 24,690,757 $ 33,996,739 $ 35,985,121
Totalincrementalcosts (REPSRider) $ 8,278,714 $ 12,129,777 $ 14,582,132
TotalIncludingGRTandRegulatoryFee $ 8,575,016 $ 12,563,910 $ 15,104,036
ProjectedAnnualCostCaps (REPSRider) $ 63,600,083 $ 64,543,124 $ 106,425,364
147
IBECIN
T
otal
Solar
CONFIDENTIALI
Duke
RE
C
Energy
Duke
Piwchases
Resurce
Energy
Carolinas’
Supi
Carolinas,
Renewable
(signed
EXHIBIT
LLC’s
148
Resource
contracts)
2013
A
REPS
DnrtEn
Procurement
Compliance
from
Plan
3 rd
Estimated
Parties RECa_____
Totil
Swir
RE
CPurchase
Rsource
SuDl1r
149
2C
20 20 20
20
ic
10
Diuahc
Cønt!act
Yars
Y.ax Yai Yai
Iai Yar
Y13
Estind RECs
*
lEND
Indicates
T
oilHIro
CONFIDENTIALI
bundle
Purchases
purchase
Resour
of
R[Cs
Sulier
and
energy,
as
Hydro
opposed
flectnc
150
to
RE(’-only
Ronrs
Duzahx
Contract
purchase.
I
2C13
Estizmt1
2C14
REC 2C15
Smart
Appliance
My
Residential
Energy
Smart
Low
Residential
Home
Income
Saver®
Saver®
Efficiency
Energy
Recycle
Duke
Neighborhood
Energy
Energy
for
for
Forecasted
Non.Res
Report
Residential
Education
Assessments
Energy
Efficiency
Duke
Low
Customers
Program
Energy
Customers
Carolinas,
Annual
and
Income
Planning
Weatherization
for
Energy
Carolinas,
Program
Schools
Non
LLC’s
Period
Residential_Programs
Efficiency
Residential
Assistance
2013,
EXHIBIT
EE
LLC’s
151
Programs
Impacts
2014,
Programs
Sub
Sub
2013
2015
Total
Total
Total
B
for
REPS
the
(MWh)
and
REPS
414,346
213,697
213,697
200,650
101,110
30,429 48,562
Projected
8,454
5,318 4,935
Compliance
1,842
2013
Compliance
T715
REPS
316,200
223,834
223,834
92,366
34,868
37,080
7,655
5,297
1,508 4,116
1,842
Plan
Impacts
330,885
235,026
235,026
95,858
34,868
39,667
3,061
7,017
5,297
4,116 1,832