A Survey of Likely 2011 Municipal Voters in Denver Prepared by RBI Strategies and Research Survey Conducted March 21 – March 22, 2011 N=400; Margin of Error Is ±4.9%
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
A Survey of Likely 2011 Municipal Voters in Denver Prepared by RBI Strategies and Research Survey Conducted March 21 – March 22, 2011 N=400; Margin of error is ±4.9% ONLY SPEAK WITH NAME ON LIST VOL. = Volunteered * indicates responses totaled 0.4% or less Screen Hello, may I please speak with (NAME ON LIST)? My name is __________ from __________, a public opinion polling firm. We’re not selling anything. We are conducting a survey about some issues people have been talking about lately. It will take only a few minutes and all responses will be anonymous and used only for research purposes. 1. To start, are you 18 years or older and registered to vote at your current address in Denver? Yes CONTINUE No TERMINATE DK/NA/REFUSED TERMINATE 2. As you may know, there will be an election this May for a number of local offices here in Denver including Mayor and City Council as well as several other local offices. How likely would you say it is that you will vote in that election? Is it… (READ LIST) Absolutely certain 68% Very likely 21 Probably 11 Not too likely TERMINATE Not likely at all TERMINATE DK/NA/REFUSED TERMINATE Mood of the Electorate 3. To start, would you say things here in Denver are generally heading in the right direction or are things off on the wrong track? (IF UNSURE:) Well, would you say you lean towards right direction or wrong track? Right direction 50% TOTAL RIGHT DIRECTION: 65% Lean right direction 16 Wrong track 15 TOTAL WRONG TRACK: 24% Lean wrong track 9 -- Unsure (VOL.) 9 REFUSED - DK/NA 2 Favorability and Familiarity Now, I’m going to read you a list of some public figures you may have heard of and I’d like you to tell me whether you have a favorable of unfavorable opinion of that person. If you don’t recognize the name or if you recognize the name but do not have an opinion, please just say so and we will move to the next name. (IF FAVORABLE/UNFAVORABLE:) Is that very <favorable/unfavorable> or only somewhat? |--------------HARD NAME ID-------------| |----------------------SOFT NAME ID----------------------| Hard Soft TOTAL TOTAL Very SW SW Very No Don’t DK/ Name Name ROTATE ALL Fav Fav Unf Unf Opin Recg REF FAV UNFAV ID ID 4. John Hickenlooper 77% 13% 90% 99% 46 32 6 7 9 1 - 5. Wellington Webb 64% 17% 81% 94% 27 38 9 8 13 5 1 6. Federico Peña 59% 19% 78% 94% 24 35 10 9 16 7 * 7. Chris Romer 40% 11% 51% 80% 15 25 6 6 29 20 - 8. James Mejia 26% 6% 32% 61% 10 16 4 1 29 39 1 9. Michael Hancock 22% 4% 26% 55% 7 15 3 1 29 44 2 10. Bill Vidal 21% 4% 25% 58% 6 15 2 2 33 39 3 11. Doug Linkhart 21% 9% 30% 60% 9 12 3 6 30 38 3 12. Carol Boigon 19% 11% 30% 63% 6 13 6 5 33 37 1 13. Theresa Spahn 6% 4% 10% 41% 2 5 2 2 31 55 4 Most Important Issue 14. Changing directions for a moment, what is the most important issue you would like to see the next Mayor of Denver work on? Is it… (READ LIST AND ROTATE) Economy and jobs 37% Improving education in Denver 25 Balancing the city budget 17 Transportation and transit issues 5 Improving delivery of basic city services 5 Something else (READ LAST) 6 -- Unsure (VOL.) 2 REFUSED * DK/NA 2 Horserace 15. If the election for Mayor of Denver were held today and the candidates were (ROTATE:) Carol Boigon Michael Hancock Doug Linkhart James Mejia Chris Romer Theresa Spahn …for whom would you vote? Or would you vote for a different candidate? (IF UNDECIDED:) Well, who would you say you are leaning towards? Romer 17% TOTAL ROMER: 22% Lean Romer 5 Mejia 6 TOTAL MEJIA: 10% Lean Mejia 4 Hancock 8 TOTAL HANCOCK: 9% Lean Hancock 2 Linkhart 6 TOTAL LINKHART: 7% Lean Linkhart 2 Boigon 4 TOTAL BOIGON: 5% Lean Boigon 1 Spahn 2 TOTAL SPAHN: 2% Lean Spahn 1 Other 4 TOTAL OTHER: 5% Lean other 2 -- Hard undecided (VOL.) 24 REFUSED 1 DK/NA 16 Demographics I only have a few questions left for statistical purposes. 16. Which of the following age groups do you fall into? (READ LIST) 18-34 9% 35-44 14 45-54 17 55-64 26 65+ 33 -- REFUSED 2 DK/NA 1 17. Would you please tell me if you or one of your immediate family members is from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? Hispanic 12% Not Hispanic 86 -- Unsure (VOL.) - REFUSED 1 DK/NA 2 18. How would you describe your race? (READ LIST) White/Caucasian 81% White non-Hispanic: 77% Black/African-American 8 Hispanic/Latino 7 Hispanic or Latino: 12% Asian * Other 3 -- REFUSED 1 DK/NA 1 19. Are you or is anyone in your household a member of a labor union? Yes 9% None 89 -- Unsure (VOL.) 1 REFUSED - DK/NA 1 That concludes our survey. Thank you VERY MUCH for your time. CODE THE FOLLOWING 20. CODE GENDER Male 45% Female 55 21. CODE OFF YEAR VOTE HISTORY 0 of 4 9% 1 of 4 18 2 of 4 20 3 of 4 18 4 of 4 36 22. CODE COUNCIL DISTRICT 1 9% 2 9 3 4 4 12 5 12 6 12 7 8 8 9 9 6 10 11 11 9 23. CODE REGISTERED PARTY Democrat 59% Republican 22 Unaffiliated / Other 20 .