Florida Housing Coalition Hurricane Member Update Webinar May 1, 2020 Sponsored by Fannie Mae AGENDA

• COVID-19 Updates • NOAA, National Hurricane Center, and National Weather Service: Preparing for Hurricane Season COVID-19 SHIP Frequently Asked Questions New Content on Topics Including: • File Documentation • Technical Revisions • Rental Assistance • Mortgage Assistance • Foreclosure Counseling • Reporting COVID SHIP Assistance FAQ File Documentation Question Upcoming COVID-19 Trainings “Implementing Effective Rental Assistance Programs with Federal and State Resources” May 13 at 10:00 am https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/7291419462613166863

“COVID-19 SHIP Rent Assistance Implementation" May 18 at 2:00 pm https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/7691296448631153675

“COVID-19 SHIP Mortgage Assistance Implementation" May 20 at 2:00 pm https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/620374553799087627 Recent COVID-19 Trainings Recordings: • Emergency SHIP Assistance for Renters https://vimeo.com/403418248 • Helping Homeowners with COVID-19 SHIP Emergency Assistance https://vimeo.com/407646578 • Assisting Homeless and Special Needs Populations through COVID-19 https://vimeo.com/405609513 • Virtual SHIP https://vimeo.com/410260129 NOAA, National Hurricane Center, and National Weather Service: Preparing for Hurricane Season

Andrew Latto NHC Hurricane Specialist [email protected]

Regarding evacuations and planning: • https://www.weather.gov/wrn/2020-hurricane- evacuation Regarding Evacuations and Planning Regarding evacuations and planning: • https://www.weather.gov/wrn/2020-hurricane-evacuation Upcoming Training

May 8 Hurricane Member Update Fannie Mae’s Disaster Recovery Network offering COVID-related Assistance https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/156125558113766923

May 15 Hurricane Member Update “Keep Safe” Enterprise Community Partners Publication on Housing Mitigation in Coastal Communities https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/1278338802468504331 Webinars Replace Workshops Preparing for the SHIP Monitor

May 21 at 2 pm https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/2930146117267720203

May 26 at 2 pm https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/6562858868160656651

May 27 at 2 pm https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/3224951572953691403 Technical Assistance is Available

Available Daily: 1 (800) 677-4548

Options for Further Assistance Include: Phone and Email consultation Site Visits

Register at www.flhousing.org for: Workshops Webinars Thank you!

Gladys Cook Michael Chaney [email protected] [email protected] HURRICANE HAZARDS Andrew Latto, National Hurricane Center Who Does What in Providing Services to Our Marine Partners? Where were the nation’s most powerful hurricanes five days before landfall?

Labor Day, Camille, & Michael did not exist!

Andrew Where were the nation’s most powerful hurricanes three days before landfall? Where were the nation’s most powerful hurricanes three days before landfall?

Labor Day 40 mph Where were the nation’s most powerful hurricanes three days before landfall?

Labor Day (1935) 40 mph

Camille 65 mph Where were the nation’s most powerful hurricanes three days before landfall?

Labor Day 40 mph Andrew 50 mph

Camille 65 mph Where were the nation’s most powerful hurricanes three days before landfall?

All tropical storms! All rapidly strengthened!!

Labor Day 40 mph Andrew 50 mph Michael 50 mph Camille 65 mph TROPICAL CYCLONE HAZARDS What do you know?

QUIZ QUESTION Which hazard has the greatest potential for large loss of life?

A. Wind B. Rain induced flooding C. Tornadoes D. Storm Surge WATER IS WHAT KILLS!

U.S. Tropical Cyclone Fatalities Water accounts for about 1963-2012 90% of the direct deaths

Rain Storm 27% Surge 49% Surf 6%

Offshore 6%

Wind 8% Tornado 3% Other 1% Rappaport 2014 FLOOD RELATED VEHICLE FATALITIES

• During the 2016-18 seasons, more 2016-18 U.S. Tropical Cyclone than half the U.S. tropical cyclone Water Related Fatalities water-related fatalities were vehicle related!

Vehicle Other Related INDIRECT FATALITIES Indirect Fatalities Longer-Term Impacts Longer-Term Impacts

Most frequent factors: cardiovascular, loss of electricity, vehicle accident, and evacuation TROPICAL CYCLONE HAZARDS Surge. Wind. Flood. Tornadoes. Waves.

Wind Waves / Rip Currents Tornadoes

Storm Surge Inland Flooding HURRICANE WINDS Saffir-Simpson Scale

SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE • Estimates wind damage

MAJOR HURRICANES

TROPICAL CATEGORY 1. CATEGORY 2. CATEGORY 3. CATEGORY 4. CATEGORY 5. STORM 74 – 95 mph 96 – 110 mph 111 – 129 mph 130 – 156 mph > 156 mph 39 – 73 mph (64 – 82 kt) (83 – 95 kt) (96 – 112 kt) (113 – 136 kt) (> 136 kt) (34 – 63 kt)

Debby Isaac Ike Katrina Charley Andrew (2012) (2012) (2008) (2005) (2004) (1992)

Allison Claudette Isabel Wilma Hugo Camille (2001) (2003) (2003) (2005) (1989) (1969) STORM SURGE Greatest potential for large loss of life.

Hurricane Sandy (2012) Hurricane Katrina (2005) 73 deaths 1200 deaths $65 billion damage $108 billion damage STORM SURGE Storm Surge vs Storm Tide

STORM SURGE An abnormal rise of water generated by a storm, over and above the predicted astronomical tide. STORM TIDE The water level rise due to the combination of storm surge and the astronomical tide. STORM SURGE HISTORY Waveland, Mississippi

Kimberly and David King STORM SURGE Factors Affecting Storm Surge

STORM SURGE FACTORS • Intensity Stronger storm = More storm surge • Size (Radius of Maximum Winds) Larger = More storm surge • Forward Speed Slower storm = Storm surge farther inland • Width and Slope of Shelf (Bathymetry) Gradual sloping shelf = More storm surge • Angle of Approach Alters focus of storm surge FRESHWATER FLOODING Flash Floods. Riverine Flooding.

Times Herald Mansfield Heliflight

US Army Corps of Engineers Reuters FRESHWATER FLOODING Hurricane Harvey (2017) – Houston, TX FRESHWATER FLOODING Interstate 10 – Houston, TX

Interstate 10 – West View FRESHWATER FLOODING TS Allison (2001) – Houston, TX

Interstate 10 – West View

Houston Chronicle FRESHWATER FLOODING Hurricane Irene (2011) – New York and Vermont

Photo courtesy of L. Gange, Mansfield Helifight

Prattsville, NY Damage (Jimmy Vielkind/Times Union) TORNADOES Landfalling hurricanes spawn tornadoes.

TORNADOES • 70% produce at least 1 tornado • 40% produce more than 3 tornadoes Sept 16,17,15, 2004 Tornado “outbreak” Hurricane Ivan (2004) – 117 Tornadoes TORNADOES Landfalling hurricanes spawn tornadoes.

Right Front TORNADOES Quadrant • Right front quadrant • Friction over land creates low-level wind conditions favorable for the development of tornadoes WAVES AND RIP CURRENTS Can occur when a storm is well offshore

WAVES & RIP CURRENTS • Swells from a large hurricane can affect beaches of the entire western Atlantic • Hurricane Bertha (2008) · Over 1500 rescues in Ocean City, MD · 3 people drowned along the NJ Coast • Hurricane Bill (2009) · 1 person died in Maine · 1 person died in Florida THE GOOD NEWS

Shrinking cone = more accurate track forecasts are being made

But, remember that the storm can deviate from the cone 33% of the time! MESSAGING CHALLENGES

Too much focus on category and/or storm intensity

“Just” a Tropical Storm

Alberto (94), Allison (01), Imelda (19) were minimal tropical storms that produced significant flood events. MESSAGING CHALLENGES Only a Category 1

Since 2010

In the U.S., Category 1 hurricanes* have caused:

175 direct deaths $105 billion

*Irene, Isaac, Sandy, Hermine, Matthew, Nate, Florence, Barry, and Dorian MESSAGING CHALLENGES Categories – Only Based on Wind

Michael, now a Category 1 hurricane, expected to strengthen

Category can be useful when storms are strengthening but make hazard communication more difficult when storms are weakening MESSAGING CHALLENGES Using “Downgraded” – No!!!

Keep Focus on Life-Threatening Hazards

Stay focused on hazards!!! MESSAGING CHALLENGES No Need to Focus on Storm Status

Great examples of keeping focus on impacts of developing and transitioning storms! HURRICANE HAZARDS Questions?