<<

17 2013 Photo by NASA / Rex Features (1568628a) Features / Rex NASA by Photo Global : Between cooperation and competition by Gerald Stang

Rapid economic development and increasing inter- What exactly are the ? national trade are leading to a more crowded interna- tional stage and raising new challenges in the ‘global Security analysts generally identify four domains as commons’ – those domains that are not under the global commons: high seas, airspace, control or of any state but are open for use and, now, . From a security perspective, by countries, companies and individuals from around the primary concern is safeguarding ‘access’ to these the world. Their management involves increasingly domains for commercial and military reasons. complex processes to accommodate and integrate the interests and responsibilities of states, international It is important to highlight that this language differs organisations and a host of non-state actors. from the discourse on commons developed by envi- ronmental analysts: their arguments focus on dam- Shared rules regarding the usage of - and access to age to the ‘condition’ of the commons from overuse - the global commons encourage their peaceful and by actors who do not have to pay direct costs. They use. Over the last seven decades, the US worry about the depletion of shared such as has led in the creation of a liberal international order fish stocks, or the damage to shared domains which has attempted to define these rules in such a such as or the atmosphere. way as to make it easier and more beneficial to join the order and follow the rules than it does to operate A third strand of analysis looks not at the need for outside of (or undermine) it. With the rise of non- ­‘access’ to or preservation of the ‘condition’ of the Western, less liberal powers - particularly China - commons, but at the capacity of the commons to questions must be asked regarding the durability of provide ‘global public ’. As there is no accepted the existing processes for managing the global com- definition of a global (a functioning trad- mons, along with the potential for developing effec- ing system, peace, clean , electricity, the , tive new processes that can address new threats and and many other things are often included), it may be challenges. The EU is uniquely positioned to play an wiser to focus on the four global commons relevant to important role in giving value to existing multilateral security analysts mentioned above. frameworks and in developing new ones for interna- tional cooperation in these domains. But with a mul- While there are major differences between the ‘access’ titude of competing interests among stakeholders, views of security analysts and the ‘condition’ views of much work remains to be done. environmentalists, both are concerned about how the

European Union Institute for Security Studies April 2013 1 rules for use of the commons are set and enforced. Territorial disputes exist in places like the South In today’s interconnected world, any limitations on China Sea, but relate to historical disagree- access to the commons would be highly disruptive. ments rather than conflict over rules of sea ­access. Militaries rely on access to the commons to pursue Normally, no state has an interest in disrupting sea security goals in domains outside their sovereign con- trade. Even in times of crisis, while individual states trol. Economic actors rely on the commons to trade may wish to deny their opponents access to certain and conduct business. Changes to the condition of regions, they are unlikely to harm their own inter- the commons can therefore disrupt commerce and ests by disrupting traffic on the world’s . security, not to mention the status of the global envi- ronment. Each of the four commons discussed below Environmental ‘condition’ issues in the sea commons possesses unique attributes and poses unique chal- are disconnected from ‘access’ issues. No ­single in- lenges for international cooperation and governance. ternational or body addresses , or the various challenges in the melting Sea Arctic. A confusing patchwork of sea basin coop- eration groupings, regional management As the primary avenue for international commerce ­organisations and pollution monitoring ­agreements since ancient times, norms for access to and pas- is in place. The integrated marine policy of the EU sage on the seas have developed and evolved over recognizes the need to improve governance of the many years. Only in recent decades, however, have seas while avoiding treaty congestion. While no there been agreed regulatory frameworks and in- unifying treaty or body to manage maritime issues stitutions to manage them. The UN Convention is likely to appear, years of patient discussion in a on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), first initiated in variety of venues (of the type that the EU excels at) 1956 though not legally in force until 1994, is the may lead to greater coherence and cooperation in primary international treaty regarding the sea, lay- managing environmental threats. ing out rules for ­territorial boundaries (22km from ), management and the rights of states Air within their exclusive economic zones (370km from shore). The ­International Tribunal for the Law of the International air travel requires the use of national Sea (ITLOS),­ created by UNCLOS, has the power to airspace for continuous transit and involves de- resolve disputes by States Parties. Except for the US, tailed agreements that define transit rights. The UN most countries and all global powers - including the ­International Civil Aviation Organisation, established EU-27 - have signed and ratified UNCLOS. The UN in 1947, is the leading institution for ­regulating air International ­Migratory Organization (IMO), created travel. All EU countries are members, while the EU in 1948, regulates international shipping and rulings has observer status. on safety, environmental and technical cooperation issues (the EU has observer status). As with at sea, any potential disruption of access to the air commons is likely to come from As the world’s only global sea power, the United non-state actors. While terrorist events can disrupt States has historically seen itself as the protector of air traffic, however, intergovernmental cooperation free movement on the seas. With 11 carrier groups between national police and security agencies is well ( has one, rarely used) and hundreds of naval established. Any systemic threat to the air commons bases and allied ports throughout the globe, the US appears so unlikely that some security analysts do has a naval footprint that dwarfs all its allies and com- not even include air as a one of the commons. petitors. While countries such as Iran and China may be uncomfortable with US capacity to deny others Also like the sea commons, issues of management access to the sea, US support for the creation and re- of environmental ‘condition’ are disconnected from spect of transparent international regulations for use ‘access’ issues. The accumulation of greenhouse of the sea (which they adhere to themselves despite gases is a form of pollution of the atmosphere, but not having ratified UNCLOS), has allowed for the sta- the alarm stems from their effects on the ble management of access to the seas. Except for the rather than from the risk that the atmosphere may disruptive (but still rare) threat of piracy, access to the become unbreathable or inaccessible. The EU is a seas is generally a smooth and well-regulated process. global leader on change, with the world’s The massive and relatively effective, if ad hoc, global most comprehensive scheme and response to the localised piracy problem off the coast intense efforts to regulate and limit emissions. The of Somalia (for which the EU launched ­Atalanta, its Union has set the tone at the international level own anti-piracy mission under the CSDP) highlight- but has been unable to win agreement for an in- ed the world’s impressive capacity to handle disrup- ternal carbon or stronger emissions targets from tions of this type. ­external partners.

European Union Institute for Security Studies April 2013 2 Space Cyberspace More than a thousand orbiting satellites facilitate Cyberspace differs from the other commons be- communications in both the military and the civilian cause it is not a physical domain and because of the spheres, regulated by a mix of UN guidelines, bilater- preponderant role of the private sector in both the al Cold War agreements and industry standards. The ­infrastructure and the management of the domain. UN International Union (ITU) All of the physical nodes of the internet also exist allocates radio spectrum and satellite orbits and de- within states and are subject to national law, rather velops international technical standards. Established than existing physically outside of national control as in 1869, the ITU has almost universal membership for the other commons. among existing states, including all EU countries - though not the EU itself. The American and security-related roots of the inter- net are reflected in how technical internet standards The 1967 , signed by all space- are managed. The Internet Corporation for Assigned faring nations, provides the minimal framework for Names and Numbers (ICANN), a private non-profit activities in space, banning weapons of mass destruc- entity under contract with the US , has tion and preventing states from claims to celestial ensured the coordination of internet addresses and bodies. The Treaty does not establish infrastructure registries since 1998. While ICANN operations have for coordination, and consultation among party states been stable - and their inclusive governance style has is ad hoc. Following China’s destruction of one of its won imitators for handling technical issues - many own satellites in 2007, there has been increasing con- countries prefer a formal international body to man- cern about protection of satellites from attack. During age technical internet issues. the later stages of the Cold War, the US and the USSR tacitly agreed to a moratorium on testing anti-satellite The ITU has been suggested as a neutral management weapons (ASAT) - but there are no binding rules in body, but this idea has been resisted by most Western place. states. Interestingly, non-Western states are pushing for international management of the internet within The satellite’s destruction also created a debris cloud a framework that provides individual countries with which could have damaged other satellites or space- rights and roles, rather than leaving it to the non- craft. Unlike the sea and air domains, the problem of profit sector to decide how the internet works. All debris management in space indicates an overlap be- EU-27 countries are members of the ITU and, fol- tween ‘access’ and ‘condition’ issues. While access to lowing a European Parliament deliberation, voted space has previously been limited to a small number as a bloc against the measures granting more power of states, the increasing role of new actors (including to the ITU, concerned over states wishing to regu- from the private sector) suggests that the creation of late, control, and limit internet use. The UN Internet comprehensive and binding regulations for the space ­Governance Forum (IGF) has become the leading commons may become more difficult. multi-stakeholder platform for states and other actors to debate internet governance. The EU has pushed to become a key actor in space matters, working with the Regardless of the ICANN/ITU issue, states can filter (ESA) - an intergovernmental body - on Galileo, and censor within their territories, and for the time ­Europe’s civilian satellite system. In an being, efforts to protect against cyber attacks remain effort to get ahead of the curve and manage uncer- within the national sphere. Cyberspace allows for the tainty, the European Council approved a voluntary spread of information, creating pressures for transpar- Code of Conduct for Outer Space Activities in late ency in both democratic and non-democratic states. 2008 (revised in 2010) to address both space opera- Discussions on the management of cyberspace, there- tions and space debris. It has only limited operational fore, have become connected with those on the power requirements but develops important cooperation, of states to control information. consultation, and notification mechanisms. To make it more palatable to the US and other states, it is not Finally, although there is no environmental constitu- binding and has no enforcement mechanism. As with ency for cyberspace, there are constituencies of us- many efforts in multilateral regulation of the global ers and providers - private and public - who play a commons, the US has been hesitant to agree to the similar role in pushing for the protection of certain Code for fear of diminishing its own freedom of ma- conditions in cyberspace. Unlike for sea and air do- noeuvre. It may be an important step, however, in mains, therefore, there is overlap between ‘access’ and setting the groundwork for future space cooperation ‘condition’ discussants. if the EU can follow up on the Code’s development with diplomatic action by bringing other space-faring With worries about Cold War-style espionage and cy- countries on board. ber conflict between states, cyber security problems

European Union Institute for Security Studies April 2013 3 are expected to grow worse and are unlikely to be Protecting the ‘condition’ of the commons will be the addressed through multilateral fora. Problems with most difficult challenge. Addressing these issues, espe- hackers of various types make problems of attribu- cially for sea and air, will require complex, long-term tion, response and coordination of policing very diffi- negotiations in multiple fora. In this field, involving cult. Cyber conflict involving states will ebb and flow the slow, behind the scenes work to push norms and along with the quality of the relationship between regulations, the EU can play an important role. Fail- those states and competing states will continue to test ures, such as with the attempted Copenhagen Accord each other’s cyber defences. on emissions, are to be expected as stakeholders come to grips with the collective costs What room for multilateral cooperation? associated with degradation of the global commons. Effective commons management works best if there Despite its positive role in creating today’s multilateral are binding , institutionalised management institutions in these domains (ITLOS, ICAO, ITU), as bodies, and real enforcement mechanisms. For those long as the sees itself as an independent challenges which are not addressed by legal UN and morally unique protector of the commons, the frameworks - such as air and sea pollution - an in- country will be reluctant to relinquish power to inter- creasingly complex set of stakeholders will struggle to national cooperative arrangements. Thus, any future develop rules and mechanisms for protecting the glo- multilateral agreements in the management of carbon bal commons. This struggle is not necessarily due to emissions, sea pollution and space debris entailing any disruptive effects from emerging powers planning financial costs and limitations of freedom to manoeu- to upset the norms of . No rising vre may well likely require both European initiative power, including China, has the capacity or declared and third parties’ involvement. interest to upset the existing approaches to commons management (however successful they may be) within The EU retains the power to convene and connect, the current liberal international order. However, the and to provide impetus in building institutions and multiple and competing interests of a widening array pursuing normative and non-binding advances - as of stakeholders, reluctant to pay the costs associated with the Code of Conduct for Outer Space Activities with protecting the commons, will continue to impact and efforts to streamline maritime cooperation - that on management efforts. can lead to the redefining of goals and interests by other stakeholders. As other regions gain strength, The effectiveness of different management mecha- however, it will be a challenge to ensure they join and nisms will depend on whether it is a period of ­crisis contribute to a rules-based order. The EU has lim- or not. The legally binding frameworks of ratified UN ited leverage to push China in various issues, but can treaties, while difficult to construct, provide respected help develop international institutions in such a way rules that can allow the world to manage crises and that limit the appeal of any attempt to disrupt exist- prevent conflict.Ad hoc and voluntary systems of regu- ing cooperative arrangements. This will increasingly lation, however, will be more easily rejected in times of involve both the language of ‘responsibilities’ - often crisis. Ensuring access to the global commons in nor- used by Western countries to pressure developing mal circumstances has become relatively smooth, with states to change their approaches to multilateral is- near-universal cooperation on agreed international sues - and the language of ‘rights’, which will stress frameworks. For the sea and air commons, UN organi- the entitlements of states and individuals to access sations are already mature and respected for handling and protection. issues of access. Efforts at managing access to space and cyberspace commons are less developed, but the idea of wide stakeholder involvement in finding coop- Gerald Stang is an Associate Fellow at the erative solutions seems well entrenched. EUISS. He specialises in strategic foresight and d­emocratisation in developing countries. Protecting access in times of conflict, however, be- comes an issue for states or coalitions of states to manage on their own. Ensuring the continued flow of trade through the Persian Gulf or the Malacca Straits in a potential conflict situation will require ­enforcement actions that rest only in the hands of states. Problems associated with crime and disruptive non-state actors (sea pirates, cyber pirates, terrorists) can be addressed with cooperative policing, but problems associated with conflict between states over access or use of the commons will require political solutions.

European Union Institute for Security Studies April 2013 4

QN-AK-13-017-2A-N | ISSN 2315-1110