THINGOE SOUTH ELECTORAL DIVISION PROFILE 2021 This Division comprises Barrow, and Rougham Wards in their entirety plus part of & Chevington, & and Moreton Hall Wards

www.suffolkobservatory.info

© Crown copyright and database rights 2021 Ordnance Survey 100023395

CONTENTS

▪ Demographic Profile: Age & Ethnicity ▪ Economy and Labour Market ▪ Schools & NEET ▪ Index of Multiple Deprivation ▪ Health ▪ Crime & Community Safety ▪ Additional Information ▪ Data Sources

3 ELECTORAL DIVISION PROFILES: AN INTRODUCTION

These profiles have been produced to support elected members, constituents and other interested parties in understanding the demographic, economic, social and educational profile of their neighbourhoods. We have used the latest data available at the time of publication.

Much more data is available from national and local sources than is captured here, but it is hoped that the profile will be a useful starting point for discussion, where local knowledge and experience can be used to flesh out and illuminate the information presented here.

The profile can be used to help look at some fundamental questions e.g. • Does the age profile of the population match or differ from the national profile? • Is there evidence of the ageing profile of the county in all the wards in the Division or just some? • How diverse is the community in terms of ethnicity? • What is the impact of deprivation on families and residents? • Does there seem to be a link between deprivation and school performance? • What is the breakdown of employment sectors in the area? • Is it a relatively healthy area compared to the rest of the district or county? • What sort of crime is prevalent in the community?

A vast amount of additional data is available on the Observatory

www.suffolkobservatory.info

The Suffolk Observatory is a free online resource that contains all Suffolk’s vital statistics; it is the one-stop-shop for information and intelligence about Suffolk. Through data, reports and maps, the Suffolk Observatory provides a comprehensive picture of the County. It is a great source for useful facts and figures that can be used for writing reports and presentations, informing strategic and business planning, preparing funding applications or supporting academic research. Data is presented around the key themes of population, children and young people, health and social care, housing, crime and community safety, deprivation, economy and employment and environment. All areas of the county are covered, right down to district, electoral division, ward and parish level, with information easily accessible in a variety of formats. You can also build your own reports for custom areas.

Technical Notes: 1. Where electoral divisions do not exactly match the boundaries at which the data is available (e.g. ward, Output Area or Lower Super Output Area), we have adopted a “best-fit” approach to produce a dataset. 2. District, county and national level data is provided where possible to provide a context for comparisons. Where possible we have used the most recent district boundaries for comparison purposes, but in some cases it has been necessary to use the pre-2019 districts.

4 DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE - AGE In mid-2019, the population of Thingoe South stood at 9,359, an increase of 4% since the 2011 Census. The age structure of the component wards and the division as a whole is set out below.

Thingoe Chedburgh & Whepstead & South Horringer Barrow Rougham Chevington Wickhambrook Division All Ages 9,359 2,617 2,495 2,374 1,432 441 0-4 370 87 110 85 71 17 5-9 565 160 169 137 76 23 10-14 592 173 167 156 70 26 15-19 466 151 122 127 45 21 20-24 338 106 90 91 45 6 25-29 305 64 90 89 57 5 30-34 426 98 124 105 85 14 35-39 472 151 126 106 69 20 40-44 494 148 140 129 58 19 45-49 653 194 193 159 75 32 50-54 776 225 186 197 128 40 55-59 690 169 163 181 136 41 60-64 625 159 157 160 116 33 65-69 619 144 163 170 105 37 70-74 735 212 184 174 118 47 75-79 545 164 127 159 71 24 80-84 368 103 104 78 61 22 85-89 191 64 44 45 30 8 90+ 129 45 36 26 16 6

90+ 85-89 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10%

England - females - males Thingoe South - females Thingoe South - males

▪ The age pyramid for Thingoe South shows a higher-than-average proportion of people in each age band over the age of 45. The division has a relatively elderly age profile. 5 ▪ The most common age group in Thingoe South is 50–54-year-olds, followed by people aged 70-74 and 55-59. ▪ There is a much lower than average number of people of working age, particularly 20–39- year-olds.

ETHNICITY 100%

90%

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70%

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%

Thingoe South Suffolk England

▪ According to the latest data (2011 Census), 98.5% (8,865) of the population of Thingoe South are white, one of the ten highest percentages for a division in Suffolk. ▪ There are 138 (1.5%) people of minority ethnic origin in the division. ▪ Thingoe South has lower proportions of minority ethnic groups than West Suffolk and Suffolk county.

Total Asian and Black and Other All minority White White British Mixed Asian Black Ethnic people ethnic British British Group population

Count Count % Count % Count % Count % Count % Count % Count % Thingoe South 9,003 8,865 98.5 8,554 95.0 60 0.7 42 0.5 20 0.2 16 0.2 138 1.5 West Suffolk 170,756 161,522 94.6 147,381 86.3 3,148 1.8 3,087 1.8 2,198 1.3 801 0.5 9,234 5.4 Suffolk 728,163 693,195 95.2 661,458 90.8 12,472 1.7 13,131 1.8 6,854 0.9 2,511 0.3 34,968 4.8 England 85.4 79.8 2.3 7.8 3.5 1.0 14.6

6 ECONOMY

There are 4,100 people employed in Thingoe South.

25%

20%

15%

10%

5%

0%

Thingoe South West Suffolk Suffolk England

▪ The key employment sectors in Thingoe South are wholesale, retail and motor trades, manufacturing and transport and storage, which between them account for almost 50% of jobs in the division. ▪ The proportion of employment in these three sectors in Thingoe South is much higher than the national average. ▪ Construction and professional, scientific and technical activities are also important employers in Thingoe South, each providing around 1 in 13 jobs in the division.

7 LABOUR MARKET

OUT-OF-WORK BENEFIT CLAIMANT RATE

7%

6%

5%

4%

3%

2%

1%

0%

Jul-18 Jul-19 Jul-20

Apr-18 Oct-18 Apr-19 Oct-19 Apr-20 Oct-20

Jan-18 Jun-18 Jan-19 Jun-19 Jan-20 Jun-20 Jan-21

Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20

Feb-18 Feb-19 Feb-20

Nov-18 Dec-18 Nov-19 Dec-19 Nov-20 Dec-20

Aug-18 Sep-18 Aug-19 Sep-19 Aug-20 Sep-20

May-18 May-19 May-20

Thingoe South West Suffolk Suffolk England

▪ Thingoe South saw a sharp increase in claimants of out-of-work benefits in the first half of 2020 as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, much like the rest of the county and England as a whole. ▪ Claimant unemployment levels in the division are consistently below those of the district, county and England as a whole. ▪ In percentage terms, approximately 3.4% of the working age population of Thingoe South are claiming out-of-work benefits in January 2021.

8 SCHOOLS

SCHOOL INFORMATION

Schools in the Division Average cohort size

at:

Latest Latest Ofsted Ofsted

Status Date

Academy

Foundation

KS2 (age KS2 11) (age KS4 16) (age KS5 18) Name Phase (age Stage 5) Barrow CEVCP School Primary LA 30 0 0 0 Outstanding 20/10/2011 Church of Primary AS 18 19 0 0 Inadequate 16/01/2019 England Primary School Park Primary Primary LA 33 14 0 0 Good 12/11/2010 School Rougham CofE Primary Primary AS 24 25 0 0 Inadequate* 19/01/2017 School Requires Sybil Andrews Academy Secondary AS 0 0 63 0 14/05/2019 improvement

Schools with catchments that overlap with the Division Average cohort size

at:

Latest Latest Ofsted Ofsted

Status Date

Academy

Foundation

KS2 (age KS2 11) (age KS4 16) (age KS5 18) Name Phase (age Stage 5) All Saints' CEVCP School, Primary LA 24 23 0 0 Outstanding 03/12/2010 Lawshall Cockfield CEVCP School Primary LA 11 9 0 0 Good 25/02/2020 CofE Primary Primary AC 30 27 0 0 Outstanding* 26/01/2009 Academy Hartest CofE Primary School Primary AS 10 4 0 0 Good* 01/02/2013 Rattlesden CofE Primary Primary AC 14 17 0 0 Good 18/10/2018 Academy Sexton's Manor Community Primary LA 29 11 0 0 Good 08/05/2014 Primary School County Secondary AC 0 0 248 126 Inadequate 17/01/2019 Upper School Horringer Court Middle Secondary AC 0 95 0 0 Good 14/02/2013 School King Edward VI CEVC Upper Secondary LA 0 0 276 201 Good 06/03/2019 School Ormiston Sudbury Academy Secondary AS 0 0 108 40 Good 06/06/2014 Thurston Community College Secondary LA 0 0 296 135 Good 23/03/2018 Westley Middle School Secondary AC 0 129 0 0 Good 19/06/2013

Academy Status key: AS = Academy Sponsored, AC = Academy Converter, LA = LA Maintained, F = Free *The latest full inspection judgement does not relate to the current school

9 SCHOOL ATTAINMENT

Foundation Stage Profile (reception) % pupils achieving Good Level of Development (GLD) 100%

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0% 2017 2018 2019 Barrow CEVCP School Great Whelnetham Church of England Primary School Ickworth Park Primary School Rougham CofE Primary School Suffolk National

▪ Foundation Stage attainment at schools in Thingoe South has been consistently above the national average over the past three years, with the exception of performance at Great Whelnetham Church of England Primary School in 2017.

10 Key Stage 2 (age 11) % pupils achieving the Expected Level or better in Reading, Writing and Mathematics

100%

90%

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70%

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10%

0% 2017 2018 2019 Great Whelnetham Church of England Primary School Ickworth Park Primary School Rougham CofE Primary School Suffolk National

▪ Key Stage 2 attainment in Thingoe South has generally been quite variable but generally close to the national average. ▪ Pupil attainment at Great Whelnetham Church of England Primary School was the highest of any school in the division in 2017 but declined in the subsequent two years and was 26 percentage points adrift of the national benchmark in 2019. Some fluctuations in attainment are to be expected at schools with small cohort sizes. ▪ Rougham Church of England Primary School has seen the opposite trend in KS2 attainment, with improvements year on year. Attainment at the school has remained slightly below the national average but the gap in 2019 was down to two percentage points. ▪ Pupil attainment at Ickworth Park Primary School was above the county and national benchmark in 2018 and 2019.

11 Key Stage 4 (GCSE) (age 16) % pupils achieving level 4-9 in English and Mathematics

70%

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0% 2017 2018 2019 Sybil Andrews Academy Suffolk National

▪ Sybil Andrews Academy opened in 2016 so the first cohort of students completed their GCSEs in 2019. ▪ Attainment at Sybil Andrews Academy in 2019 was below the county and national average, with 54% of pupils achieving level 4-9 in English and mathematics at the school compared to 65% nationally.

12 NEET % (NOT IN EDUCATION, EMPLOYMENT OR TRAINING)

6%

5%

4%

3%

2%

1%

0%

Thingoe South West Suffolk Suffolk

▪ In January 2021, 2% of 16–18-year-olds in Thingoe South were classified as NEET (where current activity is known). ▪ NEET levels in Thingoe South are consistently lower than the rate for West Suffolk and Suffolk.

13 INDEX OF MULTIPLE DEPRIVATION (IMD) 2019 (SEE MAP OVERLEAF)

The IMD combines a number of indicators, chosen to cover a range of economic, social and housing issues, into a single deprivation score for each small area in England. This allows each area to be ranked relative to one another according to their level of deprivation. Small areas (Lower Super Output Areas, average population 1,700) are most commonly described as being in 1 of 5 quintile bands. The bottom quintile represents the 20% of areas that are the most deprived in England; these are shaded pale yellow on the map. The top quintile represents the least deprived areas in England and is shaded dark blue. The Index is widely used to analyse patterns of deprivation, identify areas that would benefit from special initiatives or programmes and as a tool to determine eligibility for specific funding streams.

60%

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10% % of population of % population by deprivation quintile residence of 0% Most deprived 20% Next most deprived Mid 20% Next least deprived Least deprived 20% 20% 20%

Thingoe South West Suffolk England

▪ The IMD 2019 shows that relative deprivation levels in Thingoe South are moderate to low, with no parts of the division among the most deprived 40% of areas in England. ▪ Of the four Lower Layer Super Output Areas (LSOA) comprising the division, two are ranked in the next least deprived 20% of areas in England (home to 51% of the population of the division as shown in the chart above) and the remaining two are in the mid quintile.

14 15 HEALTH

The local data used here is based on relatively small numbers. The confidence limits provide an indication of the reliability of the data. The 95% confidence intervals utilised on the chart provide a range within which there is 95% chance of the true result lying.

LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH 92 90 88 86 84 82 80 78 76 74 72 Thingoe South West Suffolk Suffolk England

Life expectancy at birth for males Life expectancy at birth for females

▪ Estimated life expectancy at birth for both males and females in Thingoe South is above the West Suffolk, Suffolk and England averages. ▪ The estimated figure for male life expectancy in the division is 81.9 years (80.9 across Suffolk), while for females it is almost 5 years longer, at 86.7 years (84.3 is the Suffolk average).

DEATHS, UNDER 75 YEARS, STANDARDISED MORTALITY RATIO 140

120

100

80

60

40

20

0 Deaths from all causes, Deaths from all cancers, Deaths from circulatory Deaths from causes under 75 years under 75 years disease, under 75 years considered preventable (all ages)

Thingoe South St Edmundsbury Suffolk England

▪ The estimates for rates of early deaths from all causes, cancers and circulatory disease and deaths from all causes considered preventable across all ages are significantly lower in Thingoe South than the district, county and national levels. ▪ The standardised mortality ratio data shown here means that for every 100 early deaths from all causes across England as a whole, there are an estimated 70 comparable deaths in Thingoe South. ▪ It should be noted that the confidence intervals around these data are particularly wide due to the small number of deaths at the local level.

16 CRIME & COMMUNITY SAFETY

80

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0 Thingoe South West Suffolk Suffolk England

Burglary Criminal damage and arson Drugs Public order Shoplifting Other theft Vehicle crime Violence and sexual offences Other

▪ Thingoe South has a much lower rate of crime compared to the district and county levels, with just under 32 crimes per 1,000 population recorded in the division in the year to the end of January 2021 compared to 67 per 1,000 residents across West Suffolk. ▪ Violence and sexual offences account for half of all recorded crimes in the division. ▪ The rates for all types of crime are lower than the district, county and national average.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

Parishes in Division Barrow Horringer with Ickworth Bradfield St. Clare Bradfield St. George Chedburgh Rede Chevington Denham Great Whelnetham Westley Whepstead

17 DATA SOURCES

Category Indicator Source

ONS 2019 mid-year population Quinary population table 2019 estimates

Demographic ONS 2019 mid-year population Population pyramid 2019 Profile estimates

Ethnicity 2011 ONS 2011 Census

ONS Business Register and Economy Employment by broad industrial sector 2019 Employment Survey via NOMIS Claimant count: The number of people claiming Jobseeker's Allowance plus those who claim Labour market DWP via NOMIS Universal Credit who are out of work (% 16-64 population) January 2018- February 2021 School information and attainment 2017-2019 Suffolk County Council Education % 16-18-year-olds NEET (Not in Employment, Suffolk County Council via the Education or Training) 2017-2021 Suffolk Observatory Ministry for Housing, Deprivation Index of Multiple Deprivation 2019 Communities and Local Government Health Life expectancy at birth 2013-2017 Public Health England Standardised mortality ratio for deaths from all causes, cancer and circulatory disease, (aged under 75), and death from causes considered Health preventable (all ages), 2013-2017. The Public Health England standardised mortality ratio is the ratio of observed deaths in the study group to expected deaths in the general population. Community Recorded crime rate per 1,000 resident Data.police.uk via the Suffolk Safety population February 2020 to January 2021 Observatory

For more data and information about Thingoe South Electoral Division, see the Suffolk Observatory www.suffolkobservatory.info

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