2.0 CONSUMPTION and SAVING 4 B This Chapter Presents the Income
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Chapter 17: Consumption 1
11/6/2013 Keynes’s conjectures Chapter 17: Consumption 1. 0 < MPC < 1 2. Average propensity to consume (APC) falls as income rises. (APC = C/Y ) 3. Income is the main determinant of consumption. CHAPTER 17 Consumption 0 CHAPTER 17 Consumption 1 The Keynesian consumption function The Keynesian consumption function As income rises, consumers save a bigger C C fraction of their income, so APC falls. CCcY CCcY c c = MPC = slope of the 1 CC consumption APC c C function YY slope = APC Y Y CHAPTER 17 Consumption 2 CHAPTER 17 Consumption 3 Early empirical successes: Problems for the Results from early studies Keynesian consumption function . Households with higher incomes: . Based on the Keynesian consumption function, . consume more, MPC > 0 economists predicted that C would grow more . save more, MPC < 1 slowly than Y over time. save a larger fraction of their income, . This prediction did not come true: APC as Y . As incomes grew, APC did not fall, . Very strong correlation between income and and C grew at the same rate as income. consumption: . Simon Kuznets showed that C/Y was income seemed to be the main very stable in long time series data. determinant of consumption CHAPTER 17 Consumption 4 CHAPTER 17 Consumption 5 1 11/6/2013 The Consumption Puzzle Irving Fisher and Intertemporal Choice . The basis for much subsequent work on Consumption function consumption. C from long time series data (constant APC ) . Assumes consumer is forward-looking and chooses consumption for the present and future to maximize lifetime satisfaction. Consumption function . Consumer’s choices are subject to an from cross-sectional intertemporal budget constraint, household data a measure of the total resources available for (falling APC ) present and future consumption. -
Shopping Enjoyment and Obsessive-Compulsive Buying
European Journal of Business and Management www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online) DOI: 10.7176/EJBM Vol.11, No.3, 2019 Young Buyers: Shopping Enjoyment and Obsessive-Compulsive Buying Ayaz Samo 1 Hamid Shaikh 2 Maqsood Bhutto 3 Fiza Rani 3 Fayaz Samo 2* Tahseen Bhutto 2 1.School of Business Administration, Shah Abdul Latif University, Khairpur, Sindh, Pakistan 2.School of Business Administration, Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, Dalian, China 3.Sukkur Institute of Business Administration, Sindh, Pakistan Abstract The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the relationship between hedonic shopping motivations and obsessive- compulsive shopping behavior from youngsters’ perspective. The study is based on the survey of 615 young Chinese buyers (mean age=24) and analyzed through Structural Equation Modelling (SEM). The findings show that adventure seeking, gratification seeking, and idea shopping have a positive effect on obsessive-compulsive buying, whereas role shopping and value shopping have a negative effect on obsessive-compulsive buying. However, social shopping is found to be insignificant to obsessive-compulsive buying. The study has a number of implications. Marketers should display more information about latest trends and fashions, as young buyers are found to shop for ideas and information. Managers should design the layouts with more exciting and impressive features, as these buyers are found to shop for adventure and gratification. Salesmen should take greater care into consideration while offering them to buy products such as gifts, souvenir etc. for their dear ones, as these buyers are less likely to enjoy buying for others. Moreover, business managers should less rely on discount promotions, as this consumer segment is found to be less likely to shop for discounts and bargains. -
What Role Does Consumer Sentiment Play in the U.S. Economy?
The economy is mired in recession. Consumer spending is weak, investment in plant and equipment is lethargic, and firms are hesitant to hire unemployed workers, given bleak forecasts of demand for final products. Monetary policy has lowered short-term interest rates and long rates have followed suit, but consumers and businesses resist borrowing. The condi- tions seem ripe for a recovery, but still the economy has not taken off as expected. What is the missing ingredient? Consumer confidence. Once the mood of consumers shifts toward the optimistic, shoppers will buy, firms will hire, and the engine of growth will rev up again. All eyes are on the widely publicized measures of consumer confidence (or consumer sentiment), waiting for the telltale uptick that will propel us into the longed-for expansion. Just as we appear to be headed for a "double-dipper," the mood swing occurs: the indexes of consumer confi- dence register 20-point increases, and the nation surges into a prolonged period of healthy growth. oes the U.S. economy really behave as this fictional account describes? Can a shift in sentiment drive the economy out of D recession and back into good health? Does a lack of consumer confidence drag the economy into recession? What causes large swings in consumer confidence? This article will try to answer these questions and to determine consumer confidence’s role in the workings of the U.S. economy. ]effre9 C. Fuhrer I. What Is Consumer Sentitnent? Senior Econotnist, Federal Reserve Consumer sentiment, or consumer confidence, is both an economic Bank of Boston. -
Education Policy and Friedmanomics: Free Market Ideology and Its Impact
Education Policy and Friedmanomics: Free Market Ideology and Its Impact on School Reform Thomas J. Fiala Department of Teacher Education Arkansas State University Deborah Duncan Owens Department of Teacher Education Arkansas State University April 23, 2010 Paper presented at the 68th Annual National Conference of the Midwest Political Science Association Chicago, Illinois 2 ABSTRACT The purpose of this paper is to examine the impact of neoliberal ideology, and in particular, the economic and social theories of Milton Friedman on education policy. The paper takes a critical theoretical approach in that ultimately the paper is an ideological critique of conservative thought and action that impacts twenty-first century education reform. Using primary and secondary documents, the paper takes an historical approach to begin understanding how Friedman’s free market ideas helped bring together disparate conservative groups, and how these groups became united in influencing contemporary education reform. The paper thus considers the extent to which free market theory becomes the essence of contemporary education policy. The result of this critical and historical anaysis gives needed additional insights into the complex ideological underpinnings of education policy in America. The conclusion of this paper brings into question the efficacy and appropriateness of free market theory to guide education policy and the use of vouchers and choice, and by extension testing and merit-based pay, as free market panaceas to solving the challenges schools face in the United States. Administrators, teachers, education policy makers, and those citizens concerned about education in the U.S. need to be cautious in adhering to the idea that the unfettered free market can or should drive education reform in the United States. -
AP Macroeconomics: Vocabulary 1. Aggregate Spending (GDP)
AP Macroeconomics: Vocabulary 1. Aggregate Spending (GDP): The sum of all spending from four sectors of the economy. GDP = C+I+G+Xn 2. Aggregate Income (AI) :The sum of all income earned by suppliers of resources in the economy. AI=GDP 3. Nominal GDP: the value of current production at the current prices 4. Real GDP: the value of current production, but using prices from a fixed point in time 5. Base year: the year that serves as a reference point for constructing a price index and comparing real values over time. 6. Price index: a measure of the average level of prices in a market basket for a given year, when compared to the prices in a reference (or base) year. 7. Market Basket: a collection of goods and services used to represent what is consumed in the economy 8. GDP price deflator: the price index that measures the average price level of the goods and services that make up GDP. 9. Real rate of interest: the percentage increase in purchasing power that a borrower pays a lender. 10. Expected (anticipated) inflation: the inflation expected in a future time period. This expected inflation is added to the real interest rate to compensate for lost purchasing power. 11. Nominal rate of interest: the percentage increase in money that the borrower pays the lender and is equal to the real rate plus the expected inflation. 12. Business cycle: the periodic rise and fall (in four phases) of economic activity 13. Expansion: a period where real GDP is growing. 14. Peak: the top of a business cycle where an expansion has ended. -
Consumption Growth Parallels Income Growth: Some New Evidence
This PDF is a selection from an out-of-print volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research Volume Title: National Saving and Economic Performance Volume Author/Editor: B. Douglas Bernheim and John B. Shoven, editors Volume Publisher: University of Chicago Press Volume ISBN: 0-226-04404-1 Volume URL: http://www.nber.org/books/bern91-2 Conference Date: January 6-7, 1989 Publication Date: January 1991 Chapter Title: Consumption Growth Parallels Income Growth: Some New Evidence Chapter Author: Christopher D. Carroll, Lawrence H. Summers Chapter URL: http://www.nber.org/chapters/c5995 Chapter pages in book: (p. 305 - 348) 10 Consumption Growth Parallels Income Growth: Some New Evidence Christopher D. Carroll and Lawrence H. Summers 10.1 Introduction The idea that consumers allocate their consumption over time so as to max- imize a stable individualistic utility function provides the basis for almost all modem work on the determinants of consumption and saving decisions. The celebrated life-cycle and permanent income hypotheses represent not so much alternative theories of consumption as alternative empirical strategies for fleshing out the same basic idea. While tests of particular implementations of these theories sometimes lead to statistical rejections, life-cycle/permanent income theories succeed in unifying a wide range of diverse phenomena. It is probably fair to accept Franc0 Modigliani’s ( 1980) characterization that “the Life Cycle Hypothesis has proved a very fruitful hypothesis, capable of inte- grating a large variety of facts concerning individual and aggregate saving behaviour.” This paper argues, however, that both permanent income and, to an only slightly lesser extent, life-cycle theories as they have come to be implemented in recent years are inconsistent with the grossest features of cross-country and cross-section data on consumption and income and income growth. -
Nine Lives of Neoliberalism
A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Plehwe, Dieter (Ed.); Slobodian, Quinn (Ed.); Mirowski, Philip (Ed.) Book — Published Version Nine Lives of Neoliberalism Provided in Cooperation with: WZB Berlin Social Science Center Suggested Citation: Plehwe, Dieter (Ed.); Slobodian, Quinn (Ed.); Mirowski, Philip (Ed.) (2020) : Nine Lives of Neoliberalism, ISBN 978-1-78873-255-0, Verso, London, New York, NY, https://www.versobooks.com/books/3075-nine-lives-of-neoliberalism This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/215796 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort Content Licence (especially Creative -
The Time Series Consumption Function Revisited
ALAN S. BLINDER Brookings Institution and Princeton University ANGUS DEATON Princeton University The Time Series Consumption Function Revisited THERELATIONSHIP between consumer spending and income is one of the oldest statistical regularitiesof macroeconomics-and one of the stur- diest. Like the aging movie star, it needs a little touching up now and again, but always seems to come bouncingback. A dozen yearsago, boththe theoreticalderivation and the econometric form of the aggregateconsumption function were considered settled. Most economists adheredto one of two ways of puttingFisher's theory of intertemporaloptimization into operation: Milton Friedman's per- manent income hypothesis (henceforth, PIH) or Franco Modigliani's life-cycle hypothesis (henceforth,LCH). ' Since each variantseemed to have sound theoretical underpinnings,and since the two had similar econometricforms that explainedthe data well and had similarimplica- tions for policy, there was not a greatdeal to quarrelabout. Perhapsthe most contentious empirical issue was the apparently large marginal This paperhas benefitedfrom the commentsand suggestionsof AlbertAndo, Whitney Newey, and members of the Brookings Panel and from seminar presentationsat the Universityof Warwick,Princeton University, and Johns Hopkins University.We thank Peter Rathjensand Lori Gruninfor researchassistance and the National Science Foun- dationfor financialsupport. 1. Milton Friedman, A Theory of the Consumption Function (Princeton University Press, 1957); Franco Modigliani and Richard Brumberg, -
Friedman's Monetary Framework
View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by Research Papers in Economics Friedman’s Monetary Framework: Some Lessons Ben S. Bernanke t is an honor and a pleasure to have this opportunity, on the anniversary of Milton and Rose Friedman’s popular classic, Free to Choose, to speak on I Milton Friedman’s monetary framework and his contributions to the theory and practice of monetary policy. About a year ago, I also had the honor, at a conference at the University of Chicago in honor of Milton’s ninetieth birthday, to discuss the contribution of Friedman’s classic 1963 work with Anna Schwartz, A Monetary History of the United States.1 I mention this earlier talk not only to indicate that I am ready and willing to praise Friedman’s contributions wherever and whenever anyone will give me a venue but also because of the critical influ- ence of A Monetary History on both Friedman’s own thought and on the views of a generation of monetary policymakers. In their Monetary History, Friedman and Schwartz reviewed nearly a cen- tury of American monetary experience in painstaking detail, providing an his- torical analysis that demonstrated the importance of monetary forces in the economy far more convincingly than any purely theoretical or even economet- ric analysis could ever do. Friedman’s close attention to the lessons of history for economic policy is an aspect of his approach to economics that I greatly admire. Milton has never been a big fan of government licensing of profession- als, but maybe he would make an exception in the case of monetary policy- makers. -
The Increasingly Libertarian Milton Friedman: an Ideological Profile
Discuss this article at Journaltalk: http://journaltalk.net/articles/5820 ECON JOURNAL WATCH 11(1) January 2014: 81-96 The Increasingly Libertarian Milton Friedman: An Ideological Profile Lanny Ebenstein1 LINK TO ABSTRACT That Milton Friedman (1912–2006) grew more consistently, even stridently, libertarian over the course of the last 50 years of his long life has been noticed by several writers. Among these is Brian Doherty (2012), who published a book review whose title I also use for the present article, simply because it says it best.2 The present article is written as something of a follow-up to Dan Hammond’s recent ideological profile of Friedman (Hammond 2013), which I find highly admirable as far as it goes, but which leaves off how Friedman continued to grow more libertarian during the last several decades of his life. The “first Chicago school” and Milton Friedman to the late 1940s Although there are no hard-and-fast definitions, classical liberalism favors free trade among nations and a presumption of liberty in domestic issues. It advo- cates limited and efficient government, and low taxes. It was and has generally remained anti-imperialist, anti-interventionist, and socially tolerant. Such was the larger view of Jacob Viner, Frank Knight, Henry Simons, and other economists at the University of Chicago from the middle 1920s to middle 1940s. It was apparent 1. University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106. 2. Doherty (2013) also speaks of Friedman’s “later, more libertarian years.” VOLUME 11, NUMBER 1, JANUARY 2014 81 EBENSTEIN in this period that the federal government increasingly involved itself in the economy, and during the Great Depression the Chicago economists were almost unanimous in calling for stimulative monetary and fiscal policies and relief pro- grams (Davis 1971). -
Pragmatism As a Pillar of the New Developmentalism Pragmatismo Como Um Pilar Do Novo Desenvolvimentismo
Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, vol 40, nº 2, pp 376-397, April-June/2020 Pragmatism as a pillar of the New Developmentalism Pragmatismo como um pilar do Novo Desenvolvimentismo JOÃO PAIVA-SILVA*,** RESUMO: Os estudiosos do Novo Desenvolvimentismo geraram um corpo substancial de conhecimento sobre a transformação estrutural e as políticas que devem ser adotadas para promover sua conquista. No entanto, como é discutido neste artigo, o Novo Desenvolvi- mentismo, em contraste com o Neoliberalismo, carece de uma base filosófica sólida para legitimar as políticas que favorecem por outros motivos que não a capacidade de gerar prosperidade. Também se argumenta que os novos-desenvolvimentistas deveriam adotar explicitamente uma filosofia pragmática para se tornar uma alternativa mais séria a outras doutrinas da economia política. PALAVRAS-CHAVE: Filosofia econômica; história do pensamento econômico; desenvolvi- mento econômico; Novo Desenvolvimentismo; institucionalismo. ABSTRACT: The scholars of New Developmentalism have generated a substantial body of knowledge regarding structural transformation and the policies that should be adopted to foster its achievement. Nevertheless, as is argued in this paper, New Developmentalism, by contrast with Neoliberalism, lacks a strong philosophical foundation to legitimise the poli- cies it favours on grounds other than their ability to generate prosperity. It is also argued that new-developmentalists should explicitly adopt a pragmatic philosophy in order to be- come a more serious alternative to other political economy doctrines. KEYWORDS: Economic philosophy; history of economic thought; economic development; New Developmentalism; institutionalism. JEL Classification: A13; B5; O10. * Centre for African and Development Studies – Lisbon School of Economics and Management – Uni- versity of Lisbon, Lisboa/Portugal. -
Case, Fair and Oster Macroeconomics Chapter 8 – Aggregate Expenditure and Equilibrium Output Problem 1. Terminology A. MPC
Case, Fair and Oster Macroeconomics Chapter 8 – Aggregate Expenditure and Equilibrium Output Problem 1. Terminology a. MPC and the multiplier. Multiplier = 1 / (1.0 – MPC) b. Actual and planned investment. Divergence between the two means the economy is out of equilibrium, since the Keynesian equilibrium condition is PAE = GDP or PAE = Y. (PAE = Planned aggregate expenditure) Divergence is due to unplanned inventory changes (an increase in inventory may be due to failure to make anticipated sales, and will result in lower orders to supplying firms and hence to lower employment and GDP. c.Aggregate expenditure and Real GDP. If real aggregate expenditure is equal to real GDP, the economy is in Keynesian equilibrium. Note that the following two chapters always use real GDP, and we won't worry about inflation for these chapters. d.Aggregate output and aggregate income. The circular flow means these are the same thing, looked at from two different perspectives (seller and consumer). Problem 2. Republic of Yuck. Real GDP = 200 billion (note that this may not be an equilibrium value) Planned investment = 75 billion Consumption function : C = 0.75 Y (since 25 percent of income is saved, 75 percent is consumed) Simplest of all Keynesian models: Y = C + I Y = 0.75 Y + 75 Y - 0.75 Y = 75 (1 - .75) Y = 75 0.25Y = 75 multiply both sides by 4 Y = 4 * 75 = 300 billion Since the equilibrium GDP of 300 billion is higher than the actual GDP of 200 billion, we can forecast an increase in actual GDP (as long as the economy is not operating at capacity).