Nahost/Nordafrika-WebMonitor Nr. 05/2020

SWP-Informationsservices Jürgen Rogalski, 21.01.2020

Der Nahost/Nordafrika-WebMonitor ist ein unentgeltliches, kompaktes Informationsprodukt mit aus- gewählten Hinweisen auf aktuelle Stellungnahmen, Dokumente und Analysen zu allen (außen-) poli- tisch relevanten Fragen und Entwicklungen der Region. Bei allen Titeln gibt es einen Link, meistens di- rekt zum Volltext. Grundlage der Erstellung ist ein überwiegend festgelegtes Set an Quellen: Webseiten, Blogs, Zeitschriften etc. Der Auswahl-Fokus liegt neben Dokumenten auf wissenschaftlichen bzw. wis- senschaftlich basierten Beiträgen. Neben Titeln mit konkretem Länder- bzw. Regionalbezug werden auch solche berücksichtigt, deren Thematik relevant ist für die Region. Der WebMonitor wird i.d.R. ein- bis zweimal wöchentlich erstellt, nicht aber bei Abwesenheit des Bearbeiters.

Inhaltsverzeichnis

> Israel / Palästina ...... 2 > Palästina ...... 3 > Israel ...... 4 > Israel / Libanon ...... 5 > Libanon ...... 6 > Östlicher Mittelmeerraum: Erdgas ...... 6 > Syrien...... 8 > Irak ...... 9 > Jordanien ...... 10 > Golfstaaten / Golfregion ...... 10 > Katar ...... 10 > VAE ...... 11 > Saudi-Arabien ...... 11 > Jemen ...... 11 > Oman...... 12 > Iran ...... 13 > Ägypten ...... 18 > Ägypten / Nilanrainer ...... 19 > Libyen ...... 19 > Libyen / Tunesien / Algerien ...... 22 > Tunesien ...... 22 > Marokko ...... 22 > EU - Mittelmeerraum / MENA-Region / Afrika: Migrationspolitik / Flüchtlinge ...... 23 > D - MENA-Region ...... 24 > UK - MENA-Region ...... 24 > USA - MENA-Region ...... 24 > Russland - MENA-Region ...... 24 > VR China - MENA-Region ...... 25 > Internationale Beziehungen / Geopolitik ...... 25 > Protestbewegungen / Umbruch / politischer Wandel (MENA-Region) ...... 25 > Menschenrechte (global) ...... 26 > Terrorismus / Jihadismus / -bekämpfung ...... 26 > Drohnen / Einsatz von Drohnen (militärisch) ...... 26 > Wirtschaft / Entwicklung (global) ...... 27

> Israel / Palästina

Middle East (Israel/Palestine) Open Debate [21.01.2020] What's in Blue/UNSC, 20.01.2020 https://www.whatsinblue.org/2020/01/middle-east-israel-palestine.php

Germany’s response to the Joint Communication of UN Human Rights Commissioners ... [betr. BT-Resolution: Resisting the BDS Movement with Determination - Combating Anti- semitism / Der BDS-Bewegung entschlossen entgegentreten - Permanent Mission of the Federal Republic of Germany to the UN-Office in Geneva, 14.01.2020, 3 S. Antisemitismus bekämpfen] https://spcommreports.ohchr.org/TMResultsBase/DownLoadFile?gId=35109 Zum Hintergrund: https://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/vereinte-nationen-uno-ruegt-antisemitis- mus-beschluss-des-bundestags-a-1293375.html BT-Resolution: http://dipbt.bundestag.de/extrakt/ba/WP19/2482/248201.html

>>>

Settlement Report Inhalt u.a.: - Bennett Announces 7 New “Nature Reserves” in Area C of West Back (Partially on Private Palestinian Land) as Part of Ever-Expanding Annexation Drive - Settlers Are Pushing Israel to Police Palestinian Construction in Areas A & B FMEP, 17.01.2020, ca. 10 S. https://fmep.org/resource/settlement-report-january-17-2020/

Naftali Bennett’s declaration of national parks in the West Bank is another step toward an- nulling the Oslo Accords Emek Shaveh, 17.01.2020, 1 S. https://alt-arch.org/en/parks-in-the-west-bank/

Agribusiness as Usual - Agricultural Technology and the Israeli Occupation Who Profits, 01.2020, 60 S. https://whoprofits.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/Agribusiness-as-Usual-2020.pdf Kurzinformation: https://whoprofits.org/report/agribusiness-as-usual/ > WAO

>>>

The Israeli-Palestinian Conflict in 2020: What are the Possible Paths Ahead? - Without pro- gress toward a comprehensive solution, we may see unilateral measures and rising tensions Hesham Youssef USIP, 14.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.usip.org/publications/2020/01/israeli-palestinian-conflict-2020-what-are- possible-paths-ahead

Israel-Germany-Palestine History and Responsibilities [Themenschwerpunkt] Inhalt u.a.: - Germany and Israel: Changing Dynamics of a Complex Relationship / Alexandra Senfft - Germany’s Choice: Balanced Injustice or Bias Toward International Law/ Nabeel Kassis - The Holocaust and the Nakba: Memory, National Identity and Jewish-Arab Partnership / Alon Confino - Germany, Israel, Palestine: An Edgy Triangular Relationship / Raif Hussein - Putting the Controversy About BDS in Germany into Perspective / Muriel Asseburg - Israel – Germany – Palestine / Moshe Zuckermann - The Role of German Political Foundations in Israel and the Palestinian Territory / Katharina Konarek - A Personal Perspective on Germany's Role toward a Resolution of the Palestinian- Israeli Conflict / Bernard Sabella - Israeli-German-Palestinian Peacebuilding in an Age of Ignorance and Apathy / Julia Chaitin - Israel-Germany-Palestine: A “Two-Sided Triangle?” / Mohammed Abu-Zaid - The EU: A Lesson for Israelis and Palestinians? / Elie Barnavi - The (West) German Perspective on Israel: A History of Projection / Marianne Zepp ... In: Palestine - Israel Journal of Politics, Economics and Culture, Vol. 24 (2019), No. 3. Übersicht und (z.T.) Volltexte: https://www.pij.org/journal/98

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> Palästina

What’s behind Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh's foreign tour? Entsar Abu Jahal Al Monitor, 17.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2020/01/hamas-international-diplomacy- truce-talks.html

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> Israel

Israel opens natural gas pipeline to MFA Israel, 15.01.2020 https://mfa.gov.il/MFA/PressRoom/2020/Pages/Israel-opens-natural-gas-pipeline-to- Egypt-15-January-2020.aspx Siehe auch: https://mfa.gov.il/MFA/PressRoom/2020/Pages/PM-Netanyahu-s-remarks-at-the-start- of-the-weekly-Cabinet-meeting-19-January-2020.aspx

>>>

2019 Democracy Index IDI, 07.01.2020, ca. 5 S. https://en.idi.org.il/articles/29494

>>>

Palestinian citizens in Israel expect to get 15 seats in Knesset Daoud Kuttab Al Monitor, 16.01.2010, ca. 2 S. https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2020/01/israel-elections-arab-joint-list- knesset-palestinian-votes.html

Israel’s economy victim of political gridlock Danny Zaken Al Monitor, 15.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2020/01/israel-elections-government- finance-ministry-state-deficit.html

The Widening Military–political Gap in Israel - Former Chiefs of Staff Fight for Princi- ples of Statism Yoram Peri SWP Comment, 01.2020, 4 S. Übersicht und Download: http://bit.ly/SWP20C02 > WAO

>>>

Under Mediterranean Skies: Channels for Deepening Israel-Egypt Relations Ofir Winter "On January 15, 2020, Minister of Energy Yuval Steinitz and his Egyptian counterpart, Tarek el-Molla, announced that natural gas began to flow from Israel to Egypt. The joint announce- ment marks a milestone in relations between the countries ..." INSS, 21.01.2020, 4 S. https://www.inss.org.il/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/No.-1252.pdf

The “Democratic Bloc” of the Eastern Med Cements Its Friendship George N. Tzogopoulos "2020 is expected to be another year of fruitful cooperation for Israel, Greece, and Cyprus, which are working together to counter rising instability caused by Turkey. Their recent agreement to commit to the construction of the EastMed pipeline opens a new chapter in a friendship ..." BESA, 20.01.2020, 3 S. https://besacenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/1413-The-Democratic-Bloc-of-the- Eastern-Med-Cements-Its-Friendship-Tzogopoulos-final.pdf

The Leviathan Natural Gas Field Could Be a Game-Changer for Israel-EU Relations Frank Musmar BESA, 19.01.2020, 2 S. https://besacenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/1411-EU-Gas-Dependency-Mus- mar-final.pdf

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> Israel / Libanon

PM Netanyahu commends countries that, today, recognized Hezbollah as a terrorist orga- nization MFA Israel, 20.01.2020 https://mfa.gov.il/MFA/PressRoom/2020/Pages/PM-Netanyahu-commends-countries- that-recognized-Hezbollah-as-a-terrorist-organization-20-January-2020.aspx

>>>

Lebanon's Political-Economic Crisis: Ramifications for Israel Tomer Fadlon, Sason Hadad, Elisheva Simon INSS, 16.01.2020, 4 S. https://www.inss.org.il/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/No.-1251.pdf

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> Libanon

Hezbollah Has Prepared for This Moment for Decades - The Lebanese Militant Group Could Star in Iran’s Response to the Soleimani Strike Brian Katz FA (online), 14.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-states/2020-01-14/hezbollah-has-pre- pared-moment-decades

Are Strained U.S.-Lebanon Relations Under Trump Creating an Opening for Russia? Giorgio Cafiero WPR, 14.01.2020, 5 S. Preview: https://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/28467/are-strained-u-s-lebanon-relations- under-trump-creating-an-opening-for-russia > Volltext für SWP auf Anfrage von mir!

Precarious Chronotopes in Beirut: a comparative spatio-temporal analysis of Rafic Hariri’s grave and nightclub B018 Judith Naeff In: Contemporary Levant (online first), 01.2020, 13 S. Abstract und Download (open access): https://doi.org/10.1080/20581831.2020.1710677

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> Östlicher Mittelmeerraum: Erdgas

Turkey: Statement by the Spokesperson on the announcement of a new drilling oper- ation EEAS, 18.01.2020 https://eeas.europa.eu/headquarters/headquarters-homepage/73190/turkey-statement- spokesperson-announcement-new-drilling-operation_en

Israel opens natural gas pipeline to Egypt MFA Israel, 15.01.2020 https://mfa.gov.il/MFA/PressRoom/2020/Pages/Israel-opens-natural-gas-pipeline-to- Egypt-15-January-2020.aspx Siehe auch: https://mfa.gov.il/MFA/PressRoom/2020/Pages/PM-Netanyahu-s-remarks-at-the-start- of-the-weekly-Cabinet-meeting-19-January-2020.aspx

>>>

An Unsettled Mediterranean - Interview Marc Pierini "... explains Turkish and European maneuvers in Libya and in the seas near Greece and Cy- prus. ..." Diwan, 20.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://carnegie-mec.org/diwan/80835

Egypt unruffled by EastMed pipeline project Hagar Hosny "Now that Cyprus, Greece and Israel have agreed to build a subsea pipeline to supply Europe with natural gas, officials are downplaying its potential impact on Egypt's ambition to be- come a regional energy hub. ..." Al Monitor, 20.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2020/01/egypt-israel-greece-cyprus-east- med-pipeline-gas-deals-worry.html

Under Mediterranean Skies: Channels for Deepening Israel-Egypt Relations Ofir Winter "On January 15, 2020, Minister of Energy Yuval Steinitz and his Egyptian counterpart, Tarek el-Molla, announced that natural gas began to flow from Israel to Egypt. The joint announce- ment marks a milestone in relations between the countries ..." INSS, 21.01.2020, 4 S. https://www.inss.org.il/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/No.-1252.pdf

Turkey’s westward energy shift Brenda Shaffer MEI, 15.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.mei.edu/publications/turkeys-westward-energy-shift

The “Democratic Bloc” of the Eastern Med Cements Its Friendship George N. Tzogopoulos "2020 is expected to be another year of fruitful cooperation for Israel, Greece, and Cyprus, which are working together to counter rising instability caused by Turkey. Their recent agreement to commit to the construction of the EastMed pipeline opens a new chapter in a friendship ..." BESA, 20.01.2020, 3 S. https://besacenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/1413-The-Democratic-Bloc-of-the- Eastern-Med-Cements-Its-Friendship-Tzogopoulos-final.pdf

The Leviathan Natural Gas Field Could Be a Game-Changer for Israel-EU Relations Frank Musmar BESA, 19.01.2020, 2 S. https://besacenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/1411-EU-Gas-Dependency-Mus- mar-final.pdf

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> Syrien

Arria-formula Meeting on Syria Chemical Weapons What's in Blue/UNSC, 20.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.whatsinblue.org/2020/01/arria-formula-meeting-on-syria-chemical-weap- ons.php

Syria: Bachelet condemns continued killings and displacements despite ‘ceasefire’ UN-OHCHR, 17.01.2020 https://www.ohchr.org/en/NewsEvents/Pages/DisplayNews.aspx?NewsID=25473&LangI D=E

Syrian Arab Republic: Recent Developments in Northwestern Syria - Situation Report No. 6 UN-OCHA, 16.01.2020, 9 S. https://reliefweb.int/sites/reliefweb.int/files/resources/nw_syria_sitrep6_20200115.pdf

“They have erased the dreams of my children”: children’s rights in the Syrian Arab Re- public - Conference Room Paper of the Independent International Commission of Inquiry on the Syrian Arab Republic UN-OHCHR, 13.01.2020, 24 S. https://www.ohchr.org/Documents/HRBodies/HRCouncil/CoISyria/A_HRC_43_CRP.6_EN. docx

>>>

Inside Idlib’s bombed-out hospitals and clinics The New Humanitarian, 13.01.2020, ca. 5 S. http://www.thenewhumanitarian.org/photo-feature/202-/1/13/Syria-Idlib-ceasefire- healthcare-hospitals

Druze protests in Syria's Suweida fly in the face of regime strategy - Assad's ploy to act as a defender of Syria's minorities looks shaky as currency collapse hits all communities Khaled Yacoub Oweis The National, 21.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.thenational.ae/world/druze-protests-in-syria-s-suweida-fly-in-the-face-of- regime-strategy-1.966998

Syrian currency collapse prompts rare criticism of regime - Assad revives Soviet-style laws against undermining confidence in the economy as pressure mounts on the lira Khaled Yacoub Oweis The National, 20.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.thenational.ae/world/syrian-currency-collapse-prompts-rare-criticism-of- regime-1.966447

>>>

Russia Aims to Limit Escalation with Iran to Protect its Interests in Syria

DGAP, 15.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://dgap.org/en/research/publications/russiaAndrá s Rá cz -aims-limit-escalation-iran-protect-its- interests-syria-0

Syria’s Kurdish Forces Hold Back the Tides - But Without a Political Solution, War and Trauma Will Rush Right Back In Gayle Tzemach Lemmon FA (online), 15.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-states/2020-01-15/syrias-kurdish-forces- hold-back-tides

ﺗﻔﺎﺻﯿﻞ اﻻﻧﺘﺸﺎر اﻟﻌﺴﻜﺮي اﻹﯾﺮاﻧﻲ ﻓﻲ ﺟﻨﻮب ﺳﻮرﯾﺔ اﻟﺘﻮزع واﻻﺳﺘﺮاﺗﯿﺠﯿﺎت اﻟﻨﻘﯿﺐ رﺷﯿﺪ ﺣﻮراﻧﻲ Toran Center, 16.01.2019, 18 S. ﺗﻔﺎﺻﯿﻞ-اﻻﻧﺘﺸﺎر-اﻟﻌﺴﻜﺮي-اﻹﯾﺮاﻧﻲ-ﻓﻲ-ﺟﻨﻮب-/http://torancenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/01 pdf.ﺳﻮرﯾﺔ-اﻟﺘﻮزع-واﻻﺳﺘﺮاﺗﯿﺠﯿﺎت

The Internal Structure of Harakat Nour al-Din al-Zinki Aymenn Jawad Al-Tamimi's Blog, 11.01.2020, ca. 2 S. http://www.aymennjawad.org/2020/01/the-internal-structure-of-harakat-nour-al-din-al

The History of Harakat Nour al-Din al-Zinki: Interview Aymenn Jawad Al-Tamimi's Blog, 11.01.2020, ca. 5 S. http://www.aymennjawad.org/2019/10/the-history-of-harakat-nour-al-din-al-zinki

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> Irak

Grand Ayatollah Ali Al-Sistani Counters Muqtada Al-Sadr's Call For Anti-U.S. March, Warns Against 'Those Seeking To Exploit Protests To Achieve Certain Goals' MEMRI, 15.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.memri.org/reports/grand-ayatollah-ali-al-sistani-counters-muqtada-al- sadrs-call-anti-us-march-warns-against

Iraqi populist cleric backs down from anti-US action Khaled Yacoub Oweis, Mina Aldroubi The National, 16.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.thenational.ae/world/iraqi-populist-cleric-backs-down-from-anti-us-action- 1.965188

Soleimani, The Jihadis, And The Christians Alberto M. Fernandez MEMRI, 15.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.memri.org/reports/soleimani-jihadis-and-christians

Iraqi Kurdistan president: 'We are not scared of Iran, but we respect Iran' Amberin Zaman Al Monitor, 16.01.2010, ca. 2 S. https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2020/01/iraq-kurdistan-region-president- nechirvan-barzani-iran.html

A Decade of U.S. and Iranian Policy Towards Iraq Will Shape 2020 Dlawer Ala’Aldeen Fikra Forum, 16.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/fikraforum/view/a-decade-of-u.s.-and-iranian-po- licy-towards-iraq-will-shape-2020

L’Irak, champ clos de l’affrontement entre Washington et Téhéran Matthieu Rey Orient XXI, 21.01.2020, ca. 3 S. https://orientxxi.info/magazine/l-irak-champ-clos-de-l-affrontement-entre-washington-et- teheran,3551

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> Jordanien

Jordanians press case against importing Israeli gas Mohammad Ersan Al Monitor, 17.01.2010, ca. 2 S. https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2020/01/jordan-parliament-end-israel-gas- agreement-opposition.html

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> Golfstaaten / Golfregion

The Arab Gulf Should Reach Out to Iran Dina Fakoussa DGAP, 15.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://dgap.org/en/research/publications/arab-gulf-should-reach-out-iran

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> Katar

Qatar: Statement by the Spokesperson on the changes in exit visas for domestic workers EEAS, 19.01.2020 https://eeas.europa.eu/headquarters/headquarters-homepage/73192/qatar-statement- spokesperson-changes-exit-visas-domestic-workers_en

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> VAE

The Battle for Libya: The UAE Calls the Shots James M. Dorsey BESA, 20.01.2020, 3 S. https://besacenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/1412-The-Battle-for-Libya-Dorsey- final.pdf

UAE Public Wary of War With Iran, Though Most Prefer the United States David Pollock, Shaina Katz Fikra Forum, 15.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/fikraforum/view/uae-public-wary-of-war-with- iran-though-most-prefer-the-united-states

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> Saudi-Arabien

The Saudi Aramco IPO: Strategic Significance Shmuel Even, Tomer Fadlon, Yoel Guzansky INSS, 16.01.2020, 4 S. https://www.inss.org.il/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/No.-1250.pdf

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> Jemen

Despite ‘Quietest Week’ Since Start of Yemen Conflict, Access Constraints Hinder Hu- manitarian Aid for 6.7 Million People, Top Officials Warn Security Council UNSC, 16.01.2020, ca. 3 S. https://www.un.org/press/en/2020/sc14082.doc.htm Meeting Record (19 S.): https://undocs.org/en/S/PV.8704

Yemen: Statement by the Spokesperson on the deadly attack on government forces in Marib EEAS, 19.01.2020 https://eeas.europa.eu/headquarters/headquarters-homepage/73198/yemen-statement- spokesperson-deadly-attack-government-forces-marib_en

>>>

"WE DID NOT KNOW IF WE WOULD DIE FROM BULLETS OR HUNGER” - Civilian Harm and Local Protection Measures in Yemen CIVIC, 01.2020, 44 S. https://civiliansinconflict.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/YEMEN_BulletsorHunger_FI- NAL_PROOF.pdf > WAO

Liminality. Ritual Performance, Identity and Conflict Prevention in the Highlands of Yemen BarʿaUlrike as Stohrer an Expression of der nonverbalen Kommunikation zwischen sozialen Gruppen im Jemen ist. ..." CARPO,"... nimmt 20.01.2020, das performative 32 S. Genre barʿa in den Blick, welches eines der wichtigsten Mittel https://carpo-bonn.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/carpo_study_08.pdf > WAO

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> Oman

The Death of a Temperate Leader in an Intemperate Region William J. Burns "Sultan Qaboos bin Said, who died on Friday, brought Oman into the modern age and made the Iran deal possible. ..." The Atlantic, 13.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/01/sultan-qaboos-oman/604807/

Oman’s New Sultan Needs to Take Bold Economic Steps John Sfakianakis "The country is in a good regional position, but the economy is at a crossroads. ..." Chatham House, 16.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.chathamhouse.org/expert/comment/oman-s-new-sultan-needs-take-bold- economic-steps

In Oman, Sultan Qaboos Leaves a Legacy of Nonalignment. Can It Survive? Frida Ghitis WPR, 16.01.2020, 5 S. Preview: https://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/28475/in-oman-sultan-qaboos-leaves-a- legacy-of-nonalignment-can-it-survive > Volltext für SWP auf Anfrage von mir!

Israel Will Miss Sultan Qaboos of Oman Edy Cohen BESA, 17.01.2020, 2 S. https://besacenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/1410-Israel-and-Sultan-Qaboos-of- Oman-Cohen-final.pdf

After Qaboos: The future of Oman and Gulf geopolitics Cinzia Bianco "The fractious context of the Gulf means Oman’s new ruler could soon find himself seeking to emulate his predecessor and championing regional diplomatic dialogue ..." ECFR, 14.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.ecfr.eu/article/commentary_after_qaboos_the_future_of_oman_and_gulf_geop olitics

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> Iran

Designation of IRGC Commander Shahvarpour for Gross Human Rights Violations During Protests US DoS, 18.01.2020 https://www.state.gov/designation-of-irgc-commander-shahvarpour-for-gross-human- rights-violations-during-protests/ Zum Hintergrund: https://www.thenational.ae/world/mena/us-sanctions-iranian-general-who-cracked- down-on-arabs-in-troubled-region-1.966481

This Week in Iran Policy, January 13–17 US DoS, 17.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.state.gov/this-week-in-iran-policy-january-13-17/

Iran: High Representative/Vice-President Josep Borrell met with Foreign Minister of Iran Javad Zarif EEAS, 16.01.2020 https://eeas.europa.eu/headquarters/headquarters-homepage/73081/iran-high- representativevice-president-josep-borrell-met-foreign-minister-iran-javad-zarif_en

Statement by University Students in Tehran Protesting Downing of Flight 752 Jadaliyya, 13.01.2020, ca.2 S. https://www.jadaliyya.com/Details/40488/Statement-by-University-Students-in-Tehran- Protesting-Downing-of-Flight-752

>>> Iran: JCPOA - Kommentare und Analysen

Behind Rouhani’s Uranium Enrichment Claim Elana DeLozier "His troubling numbers could be accurate given Iran’s past JCPOA violations and large num- ber of operational centrifuges. ..." WINEP, 17.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/behind-rouhanis-uranium-en- richment-claim

The EU and the ongoing US-Iran crisis

MEI, 16.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.mei.edu/publications/euPrzemysław Osiewicz -and-ongoing-us-iran-crisis

Europe Is Creating an Opportunity for Iran Talks, and Washington Should Take It

WINEP, 17.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policyCharles Thépaut and Elana DeLozier -analysis/view/europe-is-creating-an-oppor- tunity-for-iran-talks-and-washington-should-take

Europe’s new gamble: Dispute resolution and the Iran nuclear deal Ellie Geranmayeh ECFR, 15.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.ecfr.eu/article/commentary_europes_new_gamble_dispute_resolu- tion_and_the_iran_nuclear_deal

Iran issues warnings after Europe triggers nuclear deal dispute mechanism "A European decision to trigger a dispute mechanism in the Iran nuclear deal has been re- ceived with defiance, rage and threats in Tehran. ..." Al Monitor, 15.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2020/01/iran-issue-warnings-europe- dispute-mechanism-nuclear-deal.html

What Europe’s Dispute about Iran’s Nuclear Program Means Jarrett Blanc "The British, French, and German foreign ministers have formally accused Iran of breaking the terms of the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, a step that could lead to sanctions. Are the Europe- ans preparing to pull the plug? ..." CEIP, 15.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://carnegieendowment.org/2020/01/15/what-europe-s-dispute-about-iran-s-nu- clear-program-means-pub-80808%20

The Iran Nuclear Deal at Four: A Requiem? "Prospects for the 2015 nuclear deal’s survival are dimming, as Washington tightens its sanctions, Tehran loosens its compliance, U.S.-Iranian clashes pick up in intensity and Euro- pean powers crack down on agreement breaches. Third-party mediation is likely required to stave off the accord’s demise. ..." ICG, 16.01.2020, 43 S. https://d2071andvip0wj.cloudfront.net/210-iran-nuclear-deal-at-four-a-requiem.pdf > WAO

Averting a new Iranian nuclear crisis Robert Einhorn Brookings, 01.2020, 8 S. https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/Einhorn_Policy2020_Avert- ing-a-new-Iranian-nuclear-crisis.pdf > WAO

What now for the Iran nuclear deal? Claire Mills U.K. Commons Briefing paper, 15.01.2020, 6 S. http://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/CBP-8792/CBP-8792.pdf

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

>>> Iran: Tötung von Soleimani und die Folgen / Konflikt mit den USA - Kommentare und Analysen

Event Recap: U.S. - Iranian Confrontation: Domestic, Regional and Global Implications Suzanne Maloney, Douglas A. Silliman, Joyce Karam, John Limbert MEPC, 17.01.2020, 1 S. +Video (2 Std.) https://mepc.org/hill-forums/us-iranian-confrontation-domestic-regional-and-global- implications

Iran, Iraq, and Lebanon after Soleimani - Event transcript Maryam Alemzadeh, David Siddhartha Patel, and Kelly Stedem Crown Center, 01.2010, 10 S. + Links https://www.brandeis.edu/crown/pdfs/crown-conversation-1.pdf

Mehr als Friedensrufer: die Rolle der Vereinten Nationen im Irankonflikt

DGAP, 16.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://dgap.org/de/forschung/publikationen/mehrCarina Böttcher, Gerrit Kurtz -als-friedensrufer-die-rolle-der-ver- einten-nationen-im-irankonflikt

How Might the Killing of Qassem Suleimani and Its Aftermath Affect Your Area of Expertise in the Coming Year? - Survey of experts Harith Hasan, Zaha Hassan, Ahmed Nagi, Kheder Khaddour, Mohanad Hage Ali Diwan, 16.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://carnegie-mec.org/diwan/80777

Ordinary Brother, Exceptional General - What Major General Soleimani’s Killing Means for the IRGC Maryam Alemzadeh FA (online), 14.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/iran/2020-01-15/ordinary-brother-exceptional- general

Hezbollah Has Prepared for This Moment for Decades - The Lebanese Militant Group Could Star in Iran’s Response to the Soleimani Strike Brian Katz FA (online), 14.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-states/2020-01-14/hezbollah-has-pre- pared-moment-decades

"Soleimani war - Interview Walter Posch bpb, 10.01.2020,kein ca. 2allmächtiger S. Strippenzieher" https://www.bpb.de/internationales/asien/iran/303280/interview-soleimani-war-kein- allmaechtiger-strippenzieher

How Qassem Soleimani Forced Back into the Middle East Ofira Seliktar BESA, 15.01.2020, 4 S. https://besacenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/1406-How-Qassem-Soleimani- Forced-Donald-Trump-Back-into-the-Middle-East-Seliktar-final.pdf

Washington’s Strategy in the Post-Soleimani Middle East Joe Macaron ACW, 15.01.2020, ca. 3 S. http://arabcenterdc.org/policy_analyses/washingtons-strategy-in-the-post-soleimani- middle-east/

Soleimani, The Jihadis, And The Christians Alberto M. Fernandez MEMRI, 15.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.memri.org/reports/soleimani-jihadis-and-christians

China Aims to Keep Iran Close but Not at Any Price Didi Kirsten Tatlow DGAP, 09.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://dgap.org/en/research/publications/china-aims-keep-iran-close-not-at-any-price

War Powers: An Overview Marcus Montgomery ACW, 15.01.2020, ca. 3 S. + Links http://arabcenterdc.org/congressional_corner/war-powers-an-overview/

ﻧﻈﺮﯾﺔ اﻟﺘﻮازن ﻣﻦ ﺧﻠﻒ اﻟﺒﺤﺎروواﻗﻊ اﻟﻌﻼﻗﺎت اﻷﻣﯿﺮﻛﯿﺔ-اﻹﯾﺮاﻧﯿﺔ ﻣﺤﻤﻮد اﻟﺒﺎزي Al Jazeera Centre for Studies, 16.01.2020, ca. 5 S. https://studies.aljazeera.net/ar/article/4540

اﻷﺳﺌﻠﺔ اﻟﺼﻌﺒﺔ …ﻣﻘﺘﻞ ﺳﻠﯿﻤﺎﻧﻲ ﺑﺎﺳﻞ ﺣﻔﺎر Idrak Center, 01.2010, 26 S. https://idraksy.net/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/soleimanis-killing-difficult-questi- ons.pdf

Soleimani’s Killing: The Regional Ripple Effects are Yet to Come Jessica White RUSI, 20.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://rusi.org/commentary/soleimanis-killing-regional-ripple-effects-are-yet-come

The Killing of Soleimani Will Not Stop Iranian Aggression Raphael G. Bouchnik-Chen "The killing by the US of Quds Force commander Qassem Soleimani will not temper Tehran’s intention to continue its aggressive regional policy, either directly or through its proxy or- ganizations. Israel would do well to continue the cautious policy that has characterized its surgical military strikes against Iran’s entrenchment in Syria. ..." BESA, 21.01.2020, 3 S. https://besacenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/1415-Soleimani-Killing-Wont-Stop- Iranian-Aggression-Bouchnik-English-final.pdf

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

>>> Iran: Sonstige Themen

Khamenei delivers Friday sermon after 8-year absence Al Monitor, 17.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2020/01/iran-khamenei-friday-sermon- missiles- iraq.html?utm_campaign=20200120&utm_source=sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_term =Daily%20Newsletter Vgl. Khamenei’s Rare Friday Sermon Reflects Four Pressing Concerns Mehdi Khalaji WINEP, 16.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/khameneis-rare-friday-ser- mon-reflects-four-pressing-concerns

The Latest on Iran’s Evolving Protests Garrett Nada; Maria J. Stephan USIP, 16.01.2020, ca. 2 S. + Links https://www.usip.org/publications/2020/01/latest-irans-evolving-protests

Iranians Turn Away from the Islamic Republic Ladan Boroumand "... The nature and depth of these social and cultural changes point to a historic process that is taking Iran toward becoming the first Muslim-majority society to weave into its spiritual, social, and intellectual fabric the principled separation of religion and the state characteris- tic of the liberal-democratic worldview. ..." In: Journal of Democracy, Volume 31, Number 1 (01.2020), S. 169-181. Abstract und Download: https://muse.jhu.edu/article/745963

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> Ägypten

The Working Group on Egypt’s Statement on the Death of Mustafa Kassem POMED, 16.01.2020, 1 S. https://pomed.org/the-working-group-on-egypts-statement-on-the-death-of-mustafa- kassem/

>>>

Egypt unruffled by EastMed pipeline project Hagar Hosny "Now that Cyprus, Greece and Israel have agreed to build a subsea pipeline to supply Europe with natural gas, officials are downplaying its potential impact on Egypt's ambition to be- come a regional energy hub. ..." Al Monitor, 20.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2020/01/egypt-israel-greece-cyprus-east- med-pipeline-gas-deals-worry.html

Hardened and Brittle: Egypt’s Authoritarian Fragility Timothy E. Kaldas TIMEP, 18.12.2019, ca. 3 S. https://timep.org/commentary/analysis/hardened-and-brittle--authoritarian-fragil- ity/

The Battle for Libya: The UAE Calls the Shots James M. Dorsey "Last week’s inauguration of a new Egyptian military base on the Red Sea was heavy with the symbolism of the rivalries shaping the future of the Middle East as well as north and east Africa. ..." BESA, 20.01.2020, 3 S. https://besacenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/1412-The-Battle-for-Libya-Dorsey- final.pdf

Buchhinweis/Neuerscheinung: Wall Talk - Graffiti of the Egyptian Revolution Sherif Boraie (ed.) AUC Press, 2020, 680 S. Übersicht und Bestellung: https://www.bloomsbury.com/uk/wall-talk-9789775864185/

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> Ägypten / Nilanrainer

Joint Statement of Egypt, Ethiopia, Sudan, the United States and the World Bank US DoT, 15.01.2020, 1 S. https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sm875

>>>

Despite US efforts, Ethiopia-Egypt dam spat holds strong Ayah Aman "A meeting in Washington produced agreement on some items to be included in a final ac- cord to fill and operate the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, but failed to resolve signifi- cant, long-standing sticking points between Egypt and Ethiopia. ..." Al Monitor, 20.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2020/01/egypt-ethiopia-us-gerd- agreement-washington-meeting-dispute.html

Nile River dam row: Egypt, Ethiopia and Sudan make draft deal BBC, 16.01.2020 https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-51133364

Egypt finds itself downstream without a paddle African Arguments, 15.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://africanarguments.org/2020/01/15/africa-insiders-egypt-ethiopia-gerd-down- stream-without-paddle/

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> Libyen

Berliner Libyen-Konferenz - Schlussfolgerungen der Konferenz BR, 19.01.2020, ca. 3 S. https://www.bundesregierung.de/breg-de/aktuelles/berliner-libyen-konferenz-1713832 Englische Version: https://www.bundesregierung.de/breg-en/news/the--conference-on-libya-1713882 Weitere Informationen: https://www.auswaertiges-amt.de/de/aussenpolitik/laender/libyen-node/libyen-konfe- renz/2294378

Berlin Conference on Libya: Joint Statement by the President of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, and the High Representative/Vice-President, Josep Borrell Fontelles EU, 19.01.2020 https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/statement_20_82

Secretary-General Urges Immediate Action to Avert Full-Scale Civil War in Libya, Warning about Risk of Regional Escalation, at International Conference UN, 19.01.2020 https://www.un.org/press/en/2020/sgsm19942.doc.htm

Acting Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov’s statement for the media on the outcome of the Ber- lin Conference on Libya, Berlin, January 19, 2020 MFA Russia, 19.01.2020 https://www.mid.ru/en/foreign_policy/news/-/asset_publisher/cKNonkJE02Bw/con- tent/id/4001846

Communique on the Libya Conference in Berlin AU, 19.01.2020 https://au.int/en/pressreleases/20200119/communique-libya-conference-berlin

ﻛﻠﻤﺔ اﻟﺴﯿﺪ أﺣﻤﺪ أﺑﻮ اﻟﻐﯿﻂ اﻷﻣﯿﻦ اﻟﻌﺎم ﻟﺠﺎﻣﻌﺔ اﻟﺪول اﻟﻌﺮﺑﯿﺔ أﻣﺎم ﻗﻤﺔ ﺑﺮﻟﯿﻦ ﺣﻮل ﻟﯿﺒﯿﺎ AL, 19.01.2020, 4 S. https://tinyurl.com/qrbt5zq

>>>

XY - ungelöst - Libyen-Gipfel in Berlin Guido Steinberg Cicero, 20.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.cicero.de/aussenpolitik/libyen-gipfel-berlin-kanzlerin-merkel-europa- russland-t%C3%BCrkei-fluechtlinge

An Unsettled Mediterranean - Interview Marc Pierini "... explains Turkish and European maneuvers in Libya and in the seas near Greece and Cy- prus. ..." Diwan, 20.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://carnegie-mec.org/diwan/80835

The Battle for Libya: The UAE Calls the Shots James M. Dorsey BESA, 20.01.2020, 3 S. https://besacenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/1412-The-Battle-for-Libya-Dorsey- final.pdf

What Prospects for a Ceasefire in Libya? - Q&A Claudia Gazzini ICG, 18.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-north-africa/north-africa/libya/what-prospects- ceasefire-libya

How Italy was marginalised in Libya Mattia Giampaolo ECFR, 17.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.ecfr.eu/article/commentary_how_italy_was_marginalised_in_libya

How Russia and Turkey sidelined Europe on Libya Guney Yildiz MEI, 17.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.mei.edu/publications/how-russia-and-turkey-sidelined-europe-libya

Libye. Le fatal soutien de la Turquie Ali Bensaad Orient XXI, 20.01.2020, ca. 3 S. https://orientxxi.info/magazine/libye-le-fatal-soutien-turc,3558

Making the Most of the Berlin Conference on Libya

WINEP, 17.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policyBen Fishman and Charles Thépaut -analysis/view/making-the-most-of-the-ber- lin-conference-on-libya

How to repair Europe’s credibility in Libya Commentary Tarek Megerisi ECFR, 16.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.ecfr.eu/article/commentary_how_to_repair_europes_credibility_in_libya3

Europas letzte Chance? Jannis Grimm, Merin Abbass "Vor dem Libyen-Gipfel in Berlin sind die Erwartungen hoch, die Erfolgsaussichten nicht ganz so. Auf Deutschland kommt eine schwierige Aufgabe zu. ..." IPG Journal, 16.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.ipg-journal.de/regionen/naher-osten/artikel/detail/europas-letzte-chance- 4005/

Can Libya be turned around and become Russia's 'second Syria'? Marianna Belenkaya "Russia took an opportunity to mediate between the warring parties in Libya only to see Khalifa Hifter turn his back on Moscow's initiative — perhaps, just for now. ..." Al Monitor, 15.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2020/01/russia-libya-turkey-hifter- saraj.html

Turkey’s Growing Role in Libya: Motives, Background, and Responses ACW/ACRPS, 09.01.2020, ca. 2 S. http://arabcenterdc.org/policy_analyses/turkeys-growing-role-in-libya-motives-back- ground-and-responses/

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> Libyen / Tunesien / Algerien

اﻟﺮؤﯾﺘﺎن، اﻟﺠﺰاﺋﺮﯾﺔ واﻟﺘﻮﻧﺴﯿﺔ، ﻟﻸزﻣﺔ اﻟﻠﯿﺒﯿﺔ ﻣﻨﺼﻮر ﻟﺨﻀﺎري Al Jazeera Centre for Studies, 12.01.2020, ca. 10 S. https://studies.aljazeera.net/ar/article/4533

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> Tunesien

Tunisia goes into 'diplomatic coma' Hanen Jebli "Following the Turkish intervention in Libya and the Tunisian diplomatic silence in the face of the Libyan developments, Tunisians have launched a campaign calling on officials to break their silence and play an effective role in any mediation process aimed at putting an end to the Libyan conflict. ..." Al Monitor, 16.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2020/01/tunisians-president-libya-hifter- intervention-turkey-erdogan.html

Decentralisation: The Search for New Development Solutions in the Arab World’s Pe- ripheries Intissar Kherigi ARI/Chatham House, 01.2020, 10 S. https://www.arab-reform.net/wp-content/uploads/pdf/Arab_Reform_Initiative_en_decen- tralisation-the-search-for-new-development-solutions-in-the-arab-worlds-peripher- ies_8968.pdf > WAO

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> Marokko

Solidarity swells in Morocco after crackdown on free expression Sebastian Bouknight Al Monitor, 16.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2020/01/solidarity-swells-in-morocco-af- ter-crackdown-on-free-express.html

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> EU - Mittelmeerraum / MENA-Region / Afrika: Migrationspolitik / Flüchtlinge

Mediterranean Situation UNHCR-Themenseite mit ständig aktualisierten Informationen: http://data2.unhcr.org/en/situations/mediterranean

Kleine Anfrage der Fraktion der FDP AktuelleBT, 20.01.2020 humanitäre und migrationspolitische Situation in den Balkanstaaten Vorgang und Download (in Kürze): http://dipbt.bundestag.de/extrakt/ba/WP19/2580/258089.html

Finanzielle Lasten der Migrationspolitik umfassend offenlegen Antrag der Fraktion der AfD BT, 14.01.2020 Vorgang und Download: http://dipbt.bundestag.de/extrakt/ba/WP19/2576/257661.html

>>>

Migration und Sicherheit - Kurzdossier Inhalt u.a.: - Migration und Sicherheit – Leese https://www.bpb.de/gesellschaft/migration/kurzdossiers/302973/migrationeine Einführung / Matthias -und- sicherheitbpb, 01.2020, ca. 10 Beiträge

For Migrants and Refugees, Greece Has Become Hostile Territory Sarah Soul WPR, 15.01.2020, 11 S. Preview: https://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/28472/for-migrants-asylum-seekers-and- refugees-greece-is-hostile-territory > Volltext für SWP auf Anfrage von mir!

What is the EU’s role in implementation of the Global Compact for Migration? Lina Vosyliute "... examines the controversies surrounding the adoption of the United Nations Global Com- pact on Migration (GCM) and their impacts for the European Union. ..." CEPS, 12.2019, 20 S.

UÜbersicht und Download: https://www.ceps.eu/ceps-publications/what-is-the-eus-role-in-implementation-of-the- global-compact-for-migration/

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> D - MENA-Region

Vereinbarte Debatte zur aktuellen Lage im Nahen und Mittleren Osten BT-Plenarprotokoll, 15.01.2020, S. 17357C - 17374D Übersicht und Downloads (Debatte und einzelne Reden): http://dipbt.bundestag.de/extrakt/ba/WP19/2577/257701.html

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> UK - MENA-Region

UK forces in the Middle East region Louisa Brooke-Holland U.K. Commons Briefing paper, 14.01.2020, 4 S. http://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/CBP-8794/CBP-8794.pdf

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> USA - MENA-Region

Washington’s Strategy in the Post-Soleimani Middle East Joe Macaron ACW, 15.01.2020, ca. 3 S. + Links http://arabcenterdc.org/policy_analyses/washingtons-strategy-in-the-post-soleimani- middle-east/

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> Russland - MENA-Region

Foreign Ministry’s answers to media questions for a news conference on Russia’s dip- lomatic performance in 2019 Betr. u.a.: Terrorism, Syria, Middle East settlement and the intra-Palestinian reconciliation, Persian Gulf, Libya, JCPOA MFA Russia, 17.01.2020, ca. 5 S. https://www.mid.ru/en/web/guest/mezdunarodnaa-informacionnaa-bezopasnost/-/as- set_publisher/UsCUTiw2pO53/content/id/3995958

>>>

Will Russian government shake-up impact Moscow’s Mideast policy? Maxim A. Suchkov Al Monitor, 15.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2020/01/russia-putin-government-resigna- tion-mideast.html

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> VR China - MENA-Region

Jonathan Fulton "ChinaIn der Ruhe braucht liegt einen das OstabilenÖ l Nahen Osten. Langfristig wird Washingtons erratisches Auf-

IPG Journal, 17.01.2020, ca. 2 S. tretenhttps://www.ipg den Einfluss-journal.de/rubriken/aussen der Volksrepublik stärken. -..."und-sicherheitspolitik/artikel/in-der-ruhe- liegt-das-oel-4002/

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> Internationale Beziehungen / Geopolitik

Von der Geopolitik zur Geoökonomie Stefan Mair In: Deutschland und die Welt 2030 (Lutz Meyer & Company GmbH), 2018, ca. 10 S. https://deutschland-und-die-welt-2030.de/de/beitrag/von-der-geopolitik-zur-geooekono- mie/

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> Protestbewegungen / Umbruch / politischer Wandel (MENA-Region)

Prospects for Democratic Change in the Arab World in 2020 Imad K. Harb, Khalil E. Jahshan, Sahar Khamis, Tamara Kharroub, Laurie King, Abdulwahab Al-Qassab - What are the prospects for the full success of the Sudanese and Algerian changes of 2019? - How likely is change from authoritarianism in Egypt in 2020? - How possible are prospects for political change in Iraq after more than three months of demonstrations? - Will street activism in Lebanon lead to the desired political change in that country? - Do we expect to see agitation for political change in Palestine? - How will technology affect prospects for change in the Arab world in 2020? Tamara Kharroub ACW, 14.01.2020, ca. 3 S. http://arabcenterdc.org/policy_analyses/prospects-for-democratic-change-in-the-arab- world-in-2020/

Fear and Learning in the Arab Uprisings Michele Dunne "... Among the most important lessons cited by protesters so far are these: Popular pressure for change must be massive and sustained to be effective; transition plans designed by the military—particularly proposals for quick elections—can be a trap; protesters should be wary of involvement by Arab state "frenemies"; and going forward requires moving beyond fear. ..." In: Journal of Democracy, Volume 31, Number 1 (01.2020), S. 182-192. Abstract und Download: https://muse.jhu.edu/article/745964

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> Menschenrechte (global)

Speech by HR/VP Josep Borrell at the European Parliament on the Annual report 2018 on human rights and democracy in the world and the EU's policy on the matter EEAS, 15.01.2020 https://eeas.europa.eu/headquarters/headquarters-homepage/73064/human- rightsdemocracy-speech-hrvp-josep-borrell-european-parliament-annual-report-2018- human_en Weitere Informationen: https://eeas.europa.eu/headquarters/headquarters-homepage/62179/human-rights-and- democracy-world-eu-annual-report-2018-adopted_fr 2018 Annual Report: https://www.consilium.europa.eu/media/39343/human-rights-2018-eu-annual-report- adopted.pdf

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> Terrorismus / Jihadismus / -bekämpfung

De-Radicalisation Program, PREVENT Strategy & The Islamic Theology Noor Dahri ITCT, 01.01.2020, 12 S. https://itct.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/De-Radicalisation-Program-PREVENT- Strategy-The-Islamic-Theology.pdf

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> Drohnen / Einsatz von Drohnen (militärisch)

Drone wars: Shining a spotlight on military drones Inhalt u.a.: - In the Frame: UK Media Coverage of drone targeted killing / Joanna Frew - Drones, targeted killing and the Soleimani Strike / Chris Cole Webseite: https://dronewars.net/

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> Wirtschaft / Entwicklung (global)

United Nations Report Finds Prospects for Economic Growth in 2020 Hinge on Reducing Trade Disputes, Uncertainty - One in Five Countries Will See Per Capita Incomes Stagnate or Decline This Year UN, 16.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.un.org/press/en/2020/eco322.doc.htm Vgl. World Economic Situation and Prospects 2020 UN, 01.2020, 236 S. https://www.un.org/development/desa/dpad/publication/world-economic-situation-and- prospectsUÜbersicht -und2020/ Downloads:

Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

Dieser WebMonitor wurde in Zusammenarbeit mit Pelican Mourad erstellt.

Mit den besten Grüßen,

Jürgen Rogalski

-- Jürgen Rogalski M.A.

Informationsservices Fachreferent Naher/Mittlerer Osten und Afrika Tel. +49 30 88007-318 [email protected]

Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik Deutsches Institut für Internationale Politik und Sicherheit Ludwigkirchplatz 3–4, 10719 Berlin www.swp-berlin.org facebook.com/StiftungWissenschaftundPolitik .com/SWPBerlin