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Executive Summary
WHEN GUN POINT JOINS THE TRADE Executive Summary When Gun Point Joins The Trade (Ketika Moncong Senjata Ikut Berniaga) Military Business Involvement in Bojonegoro, Boven Digoel dan Poso RESEARCH TEAM COMMISSION FOR DISAPPEARANCES AND VICTIMS OF VIOLENCE (KONTRAS) 2004 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY KontraS Jl. Borobudur No. 14 Menteng Jakarta 10320 Indonesia Phone : +62 21 392 6983 fax : +62 21 392 6821 email : [email protected] web : www.kontras.org 2 Commission for Disappearances and Victims of Violence (KONTRAS) WHEN GUN POINT JOINS THE TRADE Kontras At A Glance KONTRAS, which was formed on 20 March 1998, is a task force established by a number of civil society organizations and community leaders. This task force was originally named KIP-HAM in 1996. As a commission whose work was to monitor Human Rights issues, KIP-HAM received many reports and inputs from the community, both victims’ community and others who dared to express their aspiration regarding human rights issues that took place in their regions. In the beginning, KIP-HAM only received reports through phone communication but the public gradually grew brave in delivering their reports directly to KIP-HAM secretariat. In several meetings with victims’ community, there was an idea to form an entity that deals specifically with cases of forced disappearances as a response to continuous violent practices that had claimed many victims. The idea was thrown in by one of the victims’ mothers named Ibu Tuti Koto. It was finally agreed that a commission would be established to deal with cases of disappearances and victims of violence under the name of Kontras. -
Price Forecast June 30, 2015 Contents
Resource Evaluation & Advisory Price forecast June 30, 2015 Contents Canadian price forecast 1 International price forecast 5 Global outlook 6 Western Canada royalty comparison 8 Pricing philosophy 11 Glossary 12 Canadian domestic price forecast Forecast commentary Andrew Botterill Senior Manager, Resource Evaluation & Advisory “Everything is in a state of fl ux, including status quo” - Robert Byrne As industry adjusts to the “new normal” we have analyzed This narrowing has been most notable on the heavy oil in our last two forecasts, activities in the energy sector side, where diff erentials have decreased more than 30 per are beginning to demonstrate a cautious, but optimistic cent compared with where they were in summer 2014. view of the future. While not anticipating $100 oil in the With greater than 60 per cent of Canadian production near term, these views show an expectation industry will being from oil sands (CAPP 2015 forecast report) the bring a more focused approach to North American oil narrowing of heavy diff erentials is welcome news to much development within the coming 12 to 18 months. of the sector. In recent weeks, the WTI to heavy diff erential has been narrower than we have seen recently as In recent weeks, Canadian-received oil prices have been production from some projects was shut-in due to wildfi res stronger relative to the beginning of the year, with daily in northern Alberta. The shut-in production has since been WTI settlements hovering around $60/bbl USD and brought back on-stream, which has slowed the narrowing Canadian Light settlements greater than $70/bbl CAD. -
GCC Oil Exporters and the Future of the Dollar Forthcoming in New Political Economy
Title: GCC Oil Exporters and the Future of the Dollar Forthcoming in New Political Economy Author: Bessma Momani- Assistant Professor University of Waterloo and Senior Fellow, Centre for International Governance and Innovation Bio: Dr. Bessma Momani is Assistant Professor at the University of Waterloo and a Senior Fellow at the Centre for International Governance and Innovation. Dr. Momani has written on the US Middle East Free Trade Area, Euro-Med initiative, economic integration of the GCC, EU-GCC free trade agreement, economic liberalization in Egypt, and extensively on the International Monetary Fund. In addition to three monographs, her articles have appeared in World Economics, International Journal, Review of International Political Economy, Review of International Organizations, World Economy, Global Society, Middle East Review of International Affairs, New Political Economy, Canadian Journal of Political Science, and Asian Affairs. Abstract: Since the early 1970s, the oil-exporting states of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) led by Saudi Arabia, have played a key role in supporting the value of the US dollar by invoicing oil trade oil in dollars and by investing in US dollar reserves and securities. However, the United States‟ negative fiscal and current account positions have made many nervous about the sustainability of the US dollar as an international reserve currency. This article asks whether the GCC oil exporters will undermine the future of the dollar. Three factors are considered: the GCC‟s influence in changing the dollar-based invoicing of oil; emerging patterns in petrodollar recycling; and, the potential for diversification of GCC official reserves. The findings of this article suggest that despite some economic rationales in favour of loosening ties to the dollar, in the short term at least, the GCC will remain loyal to the dollar for political and security reasons. -
The Price of Oil Risk
The Price of Oil Risk Steven D. Baker,∗ Bryan R. Routledge,y [February 10, 2017] Abstract We solve a Pareto risk-sharing problem for two agents with heterogeneous re- cursive utility over two goods: oil, and a general consumption good. Using the optimal consumption allocation, we derive a pricing kernel and the price of oil and related futures contracts. This gives us insight into the dynamics of prices and risk premia. We compute portfolios that implement the optimal consumption policies, and demonstrate that large and variable open interest is a property of optimal risk-sharing. A numerical example of our model shows that rising open interest and falling oil risk premium are an outcome of the dynamic properties of the optimal risk sharing solution. ∗ McIntire School of Commerce, University of Virginia; [email protected]. y Tepper School of Business, Carnegie Mellon University; [email protected]. 1 Introduction The spot price of crude oil, and commodities in general, experienced a dramatic price increase in the summer of 2008. For oil, the spot price peaked in early July 2008 at $145.31 per barrel (see Figure 1). In real-terms, this price spike exceeded both of the OPEC price shocks of 1970's and has lasted much longer than the price spike at the time of the Iraq invasion of Kuwait in the summer of 1990. The run-up to the July 2008 price of oil begins around 2004. Buyuksahin, Haigh, Harris, Overdahl, and Robe (2011) and Hamilton and Wu (2014) identify a structural change in the behavior of oil prices around 2004. -
Exploration and Production
2006-2009 Triennium Work Report October 2009 WORKING COMMITTEE 1: EXPLORATION AND PRODUCTION Chair: Vladimir Yakushev Russia 1 TABLE OF CONTENTS Introduction SG 1.1 “Remaining conventional world gas resources and technological challenges for their development” report SG 1.2 “Difficult reservoirs and unconventional natural gas resources” report 2 INTRODUCTION Reliable natural gas supply becomes more and more important for world energy sector development. Especially this is visible in regions, where old and sophisticated gas infrastructure is a considerable part of regional industry and its stable work is necessary for successful economy development. In the same time such regions often are already poor by conventional gas reserves or have no more such reserves. And there is need for searching new sources of natural gas. This is challenge for exploration and production of natural gas requiring reviewing strategies of their development in near future. The most important questions are: how much gas still we can get from mature areas (and by what means), and how much gas we can get from difficult reservoirs and unconventional gas sources? From this point of view IGU Working Committee 1 (Exploration and Production of Natural Gas) has established for the triennium 2006-2009 two Study Groups: “Remaining conventional world gas resources and technological challenges for their development” and “Difficult reservoirs and unconventional natural gas resources”. The purposes for the first Group study were to make definition of such important term now using in gas industry like “mature area”, to show current situation with reserves and production in mature areas and forecast of future development, situation with modern technologies of produced gas monetization, Arctic gas prospects, special attention was paid to large Shtokman project. -
The Impact of the U.S Fracking Boom on the Price of Oil and on Arab Oil Producers
The Impact of the U.S Fracking Boom on the Price of Oil and on Arab Oil Producers Lutz Kilian University of Michigan CEPR Background ● Shale oil production became possible because of technological innovation (horizontal drilling, hydraulic fracturing (fracking), microseismic imaging). ● The rapid expansion of U.S. shale oil production was stimulated by the high price of conventional crude oil after 2003, which made this new technology competitive. ● Since then efficiency gains in shale oil production have lowered its cost, allowing continued production at much lower oil prices. ● Because the price of oil has remained low since 2015, shale oil producers are experiencing increased operating losses and financial stress. The Role of Refineries ● Crude oil is being consumed by refineries that turn crude oil into refined products such as gasoline, diesel, heating oil, jet fuel and heavy fuel oil. ● Not all refineries are alike. Their technical configuration determines which type of crude oil they can process. ● Changing an existing configuration is costly. The Refining Industry in Transition A few years ago, the global refining industry expected a growing shortage of light sweet crude oil worldwide: 1. Refiners along the Texas Gulf Coast invested in new technology that allowed them to become the world leader in processing heavier crudes. This allowed them to process lower priced crudes imported from Saudi Arabia, Venezuela and Mexico. 2. Refiners along the East Coast began to shut down existing refineries for light sweet crude oil in anticipation of a growing shortage of light sweet crude oil. The Glut That No One Saw Coming After 2010 shale oil was shipped in ever increasing quantities from the interior of the country to the U.S. -
Königs-Und Fürstenhäuser Aktuelle Staatsführungen DYNASTIEN
GESCHICHTE und politische Bildung STAATSOBERHÄUPTER (bis 2019) Dynastien Bedeutende Herrscher und Regierungschefs europ.Staaten seit dem Mittelalter Königs-und Fürstenhäuser Aktuelle Staatsführungen DYNASTIEN Römisches Reich Hl. Römisches Reich Fränkisches Reich Bayern Preussen Frankreich Spanien Portugal Belgien Liechtenstein Luxemburg Monaco Niederlande Italien Großbritannien Dänemark Norwegen Schweden Österreich Polen Tschechien Ungarn Bulgarien Rumänien Serbien Kroatien Griechenland Russland Türkei Vorderer Orient Mittel-und Ostasien DYNASTIEN und ihre Begründer RÖMISCHES REICH 489- 1 v.Chr Julier Altrömisches Patriziergeschlecht aus Alba Longa, Stammvater Iulus, Gaius Iulius Caesar Julisch-claudische Dynastie: Augustus, Tiberius, Caligula, Claudius, Nero 69- 96 n.Ch Flavier Röm. Herrschergeschlecht aus Latium drei römische Kaiser: Vespasian, Titus, Domitian 96- 180 Adoptivkaiser u. Antonionische Dynastie Nerva, Trajan, Hadrian, Antoninus Pius, Mark Aurel, Commodus 193- 235 Severer Aus Nordafrika stammend Septimius Severus, Caracalla, Macrinus, Elagabal, Severus Alexander 293- 364 Constantiner (2.flavische Dynastie) Begründer: Constantius Chlorus Constantinus I., Konstantin I. der Große u.a. 364- 392 Valentinianische Dynastie Valentinian I., Valens, Gratian, Valentinian II. 379- 457 Theodosianische Dynastie Theodosius I.der Große, Honorius, Valentinian III.... 457- 515 Thrakische Dynastie Leo I., Majorian, Anthemius, Leo II., Julius Nepos, Zeno, Anastasius I. 518- 610 Justinianische Dynastie Justin I.,Justinian I.,Justin II.,Tiberios -
Enhancing the Resilience
(Periodicals postage paid in Seattle, WA) TIME-DATED MATERIAL — DO NOT DELAY News Special Issue Learn a little Welcome to our about Norwegian Kunnskap er makt. Education Issue! meteorites – Francis Bacon Read more on page 3 Read more on page 8 – 18 Norwegian American Weekly Vol. 124 No. 7 February 22, 2013 Established May 17, 1889 • Formerly Western Viking and Nordisk Tidende $1.50 per copy News in brief Find more at blog.norway.com Enhancing the resilience News The Norwegian Government has Norges Bank decided to cancel all Guinea’s debt to Norway, which amounts governor calls for to around NOK 100 million a more resilient (USD 17.2 million). Minister of International Development economy in Heikki Eidsvoll Holmås commented, “In August last year, face of Europe’s we cancelled NOK 42 million of financial crisis Guinea’s debt to Norway. I am glad that we can now cancel the rest. This means that this West STAFF COMPILATION African country can now use Norwegian American Weekly more of its income on schools and public health services without the heavy burden of debt.” In his annual address on Feb. (Ministry of Foreign Affairs) 14, Central Bank governor Øystein Olsen argued for ways to enhance Culture the Norwegian economy in light of In most of Norway, schools Europe’s financial suffering. are closed the week of Feb. “Norway’s oil and gas re- 18 for the winter break. Many sources provide an economic base Norwegian families will head that few other countries enjoy. In- up to their cottage this weekend, come levels are among the highest to enjoy the peak of the skiing in the world and the people of Nor- Photo: Ståle Andersen / Norges Bank season. -
Annual Report on Form 20-F ANNUAL REPORT /2012 Annual Report on Form 20-F
ANNUAL REPORT /2012 Annual Report on Form 20-F ANNUAL REPORT /2012 Annual Report on Form 20-F The Annual Report on Form 20-F is our SEC filing for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2012, as submitted to the US Securities and Exchange Commission. The complete edition of our Annual Report is available online at www.statoil.com/2012 © Statoil 2013 STATOIL ASA BOX 8500 NO-4035 STAVANGER NORWAY TELEPHONE: +47 51 99 00 00 www.statoil.com Cover photo: Ole Jørgen Bratland Annual report on Form 20-F Cover Page 1 1 Introduction 3 1.1 About the report 3 1.2 Key figures and highlights 4 2 Strategy and market overview 5 2.1 Our business environment 5 2.1.1 Market overview 5 2.1.2 Oil prices and refining margins 6 2.1.3 Natural gas prices 6 2.2 Our corporate strategy 7 2.3 Our technology 9 2.4 Group outlook 10 3 Business overview 11 3.1 Our history 11 3.2 Our business 12 3.3 Our competitive position 12 3.4 Corporate structure 13 3.5 Development and Production Norway (DPN) 14 3.5.1 DPN overview 14 3.5.2 Fields in production on the NCS 15 3.5.2.1 Operations North 17 3.5.2.2 Operations North Sea West 18 3.5.2.3 Operations North Sea East 19 3.5.2.4 Operations South 19 3.5.2.5 Partner-operated fields 20 3.5.3 Exploration on the NCS 20 3.5.4 Fields under development on the NCS 22 3.5.5 Decommissioning on the NCS 23 3.6 Development and Production International (DPI) 24 3.6.1 DPI overview 24 3.6.2 International production 25 3.6.2.1 North America 27 3.6.2.2 South America and sub-Saharan Africa 28 3.6.2.3 Middle East and North Africa 29 3.6.2.4 Europe and Asia -
Nordstream: an Economic and Market Analysis of the North European Pipeline Project
Riley, Nordstream: An Economic and Market Analysis of the North European Pipeline Project Nordstream: An Economic and Market Analysis of the North European Pipeline Project Professor Dr. Alan Riley, City Law School, City University, London & Associate Research Fellow, Centre for European Policy Studies, Brussels. 1.0 Introduction Most of the critical discussion in relation to the Nordstream project have focussed upon environmental concerns for example, the construction of the pipelines through the WWII munitions dumps in the Gulf of Finland.1 This paper takes a different approach. It instead examines the underlying economics and market context in which Nordstream will operate. It argues that the cost of Nordstream is already substantially more expensive than land based pipelines and that the costs of building the pipeline are likely to grow.2 As a consequence if the German domestic market remains substantially closed to competition German consumers particularly will face very high prices for Nordstream sourced gas. However, this paper argues that consumers are likely to be offered relief as a result of competition created by EU gas market liberalisation. The paper then argues that rather than consumers facing economic damage, it will instead be the shareholders in Nordstream, Gazprom, Gasuunie, EON and BASF who are likely to suffer3 The impact of gas market liberalisation will be to permit cheaper land based piped gas from alternative sources, for instance from the new British gas hub to flow into Germany and the rest of Europe undercutting Nordstream sourced gas and forcing Nordstream to exit the market. 1 Lips, Possible Environmental` Impacts of the Nordstream Project (2007) Presentation at the Nordstream Project Conference, (February 2007) Vilnius. -
Plain Language in the Norwegian Financial Services
Plain Language Association International’s 11th conference Improving Customer Relationships September 21-23, 2017 University of Graz, Austria hosted by Klarsprache.at Copyright of this presentation belongs to the presenter www.plainlanguagenetwork.org Plain Language in the Norwegian financial sector Graz, 22nd September 2017 Gry Nergård, Consumer Policy Director www.finansnorge.no Introduction • Gry Nergård • Lawyer • Consumer Policy Director, Finance Norway • Former Norwegian Consumer Ombudsman www.finansnorge.no 3 Our members: • Finance Norway is the industry • Savings banks organisation for the financial • Commercial banks industry in Norway. • Life insurers • We represent about 240 financial • Non-life insurers companies with around 50,000 • Savings bank foundations employees. • Mortgage companies • Financial conglomerates • Other financial companies www.finansnorge.no Changes in the retirement pension system www.finansnorge.no The P-word www.finansnorge.no What is difficult? • Summer 2016: questionaire to 1000 consumers • Confirmed: • Economical terms are incomprehensible to most people. • In plain language: they are totaly not understandable! www.finansnorge.no Finance Norway’s Plain Language Project Main goals • Better information to consumers about retirement pension • Better choices – better pensions • Reduce capasity and costs in costumer relations • Better language culture in the companies • Reputation and trust www.finansnorge.no Working methode • Steering group • Working grpup • Bilateral cooperation between each company -
The Impact of the Decline in Oil Prices on the Economics, Politics and Oil Industry of Venezuela
THE IMPACT OF THE DECLINE IN OIL PRICES ON THE ECONOMICS, POLITICS AND OIL INDUSTRY OF VENEZUELA By Francisco Monaldi SEPTEMBER 2015 B | CHAPTER NAME ABOUT THE CENTER ON GLOBAL ENERGY POLICY The Center on Global Energy Policy provides independent, balanced, data-driven analysis to help policymakers navigate the complex world of energy. We approach energy as an economic, security, and environmental concern. And we draw on the resources of a world-class institution, faculty with real-world experience, and a location in the world’s finance and media capital. Visit us atenergypolicy. columbia.edu facebook.com/ColumbiaUEnergy twitter.com/ColumbiaUEnergy ABOUT THE SCHOOL OF INTERNATIONAL AND PUBLIC AFFAIRS SIPA’s mission is to empower people to serve the global public interest. Our goal is to foster economic growth, sustainable development, social progress, and democratic governance by educating public policy professionals, producing policy-related research, and conveying the results to the world. Based in New York City, with a student body that is 50 percent international and educational partners in cities around the world, SIPA is the most global of public policy schools. For more information, please visit www.sipa.columbia.edu THE IMPACT OF THE DECLINE IN OIL PRICES ON THE ECONOMICS, POLITICS AND OIL INDUSTRY OF VENEZUELA By Francisco Monaldi* SEPTEMBER 2015 *Francisco Monaldi is Baker Institute Fellow in Latin American Energy Policy and Adjunct Professor of Energy Economics at Rice University, Belfer Center Associate in Geopolitics of Energy at the Harvard Kennedy School, Professor at the Instituto de Estudios Superiores de Administracion (IESA) in Caracas, Venezuela, and Founding Director of IESA’s Center on Energy and the Environment.