Eye on the World Aug. 14, 2021
This compilation of material for “Eye on the World” is presented as a service to the Churches of God. The views stated in the material are those of the writers or sources quoted by the writers, and do not necessarily reflect the views of the members of the Church of God Big Sandy. The following articles were posted at churchofgodbigsandy.com for the weekend of Aug. 14, 2021.
Compiled by Dave Havir Luke 21:34-36—“But take heed to yourselves, lest your souls be weighed down with self-indulgence, and drunkenness, or the anxieties of this life, and that day come on you suddenly, like a falling trap; for it will come on all dwellers on the face of the whole earth. But beware of slumbering; and every moment pray that you may be fully strengthened to escape from all these coming evils, and to take your stand in the presence of the Son of Man” (Weymouth New Testament).
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An article by Benjamin Brimelow titled “A Shadowy Fight Between Israel and Iran Is at Risk of Becoming a Bigger War; Here’s How Their Militaries Stack Up” was posted at businessinsider.com on Aug. 8, 2021. Following is the article. ______
Last week, two civilian crew members aboard the oil tanker Mercer Street were killed when so-called suicide drones detonated above its bridge as it sailed in the Arabian Sea. The vessel is registered in Liberia and owned by a Japanese firm, but it is managed by the London-based company Zodiac Maritime, which is owned by Israeli billionaire Eyal Ofer. It is the first time civilians have been killed in a shadowy battle between Israel and Iran. Israeli, US, and UK officials have blamed Tehran, which has denied involvement. On Friday, the US military said the drones used were “nearly identical” to oth- ers used by Iran in the past. The deaths, coming amid ongoing tensions and political uncertainty after elections in Israel and Iran, have raised concerns that this could escalate into an overt war between two of the region’s most capable militaries. 2 of 38 / Eye on the World • Aug. 14, 2021 Churchofgodbigsandy.com
Iran has responded to the accusations by saying that it “will respond promptly and strongly to any possible adventure,” while Israel’s defense minister on Thursday said Israel was “at a point where we need to take military action against Iran.” Quality vs. quantity On paper, Iran’s military has a number of advantages over Israel, particular- ly in the size of its military. Iran’s population of 84 million is much larger than the roughly 9 million peo- ple in Israel, allowing Iran to field an active-duty force of 525,000 troops, compared to Israel’s 170,000. Iran, which relies on irregular and asymmetric warfare on land and at sea, has invested heavily in its paramilitary forces; the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy together comprise over a million troops, while Israel has only a few thousand comparable forces. Iran also has a larger Navy, more tanks and armored vehicles, and greater access to fuel. But Israel has a qualitative edge. Iran has been prevented from buying the best foreign equipment by international sanctions, which have also inhibited Iran’s development of a defense industrial base. Iran’s tank force, for instance, is mostly T-72s and Iranian copies of the T-54 and T-55, which are widely considered inferior to the Israeli Defense Force’s Merkava Mark IV, which is seen as one of the best-armored tanks in service and has com- pletely modern electronics, including the Trophy Active Protection System. Iran’s domestically designed tanks, like those of the Zulfiqar series and the new Karrar MBT, are also either based on outdated designs or hindered by Iran’s industrial limitations. Iran’s Navy is larger and is modernizing but still has shortcomings. Israel’s Navy, thanks to a robust domestic defense industry and access to US and European suppliers, has advanced missiles and vessels, including submarines with air-independent propulsion systems. Israel’s air force is larger than Iran’s and has long been regarded as one of the best in the world. The IAF’s primary fighting force consists of 66 F-15s, 175 F-16s, and at least 27 F-35 stealth fighters. The IAF expects to get another 23 F-35s by 2024 and plans to have 75 in total. In comparison, the backbone of Iran’s air force (IRIAF) is 63 F-4s and 26 F- 14s, all of which are aging and suffer from lack of spare parts. (Iran is the only country that operates the US-made F-14.) Iran does have about 59 Chinese and Russian models—including 19 MiG-29s and 23 Su-24s from Russia and 17 F-7s from China—but the IRIAF’s domes- tic fighters are copies of US jets from the 1960s. Nuclear weapons Israel and Iran’s conventional forces may not be the only ones used in a conflict. Israel is believed to have at least 90 nuclear warheads and enough plutoni- Churchofgodbigsandy.com Eye on the World • Aug. 14, 2021 / 3 of 38 um for 100 or 200 more weapons. It can deliver those weapons by aircraft or with missiles. (Israel has one of the region’s most advanced missile arsenals.) Israel’s Jericho III intermediate-range ballistic missile is believed to have a range between 3,000 miles and 4,000 miles. Israel can likely also launch nuclear-armed cruise missiles from its Dolphin-class submarines, which are believed to operate near the Persian Gulf. Iran pursued nuclear capabilities in the late 1980s and early 1990s, and while Tehran says it doesn’t seek nuclear weapons now, its recent enrichment activ- ity has raised questions about its true aims. (Israeli officials frequently accuse Iran of being weeks or months away from producing nuclear weapons.) A 2015 deal signed by Iran and five Western countries would have limited Iran’s nuclear activity in exchange for sanctions relief. President Donald Trump unilaterally withdrew from the accord in 2018 and took a hardline approach to Iran, including additional sanctions. Iran, blaming the US for reneging on the agreement, has since begun violating it. Iran also continues to improve its missile arsenal, with at least 18 models of cruise and ballistic missiles with ranges from 200 miles to 2,000 miles that are either operational or in development. Iran has already launched missiles at targets in Saudi Arabia and at US military bases in Iraq. A regional war US Air Force Lt. Gen. Steven Basham and other US Air Force members arriv- ing in Israel for Juniper Falcon, July 23, 2021. Israel also has another advantage that Iran does not: allies. The US and Israel have an extremely close relationship, cooperating on military and intel- ligence issues—especially Iran. The two countries hold two alternating biennial exercises, Juniper Cobra and Juniper Falcon. The most recent Juniper Falcon exercise concluded last week. “The US has a long-standing and steadfast commitment to the people of Israel and their right to self-defense,” Lt. Gen. Steven Basham, deputy com- mander of US Air Forces in Europe and Africa, said at the exercise. Israel may also receive tacit support from Arab Gulf states like Saudi Arabia and the UAE, both of which are extremely wary of Iran. Iran has a network of proxies, most notably the Lebanese group Hezbollah, which has operations across the region and around the world. These forces don’t have the capabilities of Israel or its partners but could still have an effect on a conflict. Israel regularly strikes Hezbollah targets in Syria, and the US has launched strikes against Iranian-backed militias in Iraq. A war between Israel and Iran, then, is highly likely to spill over into other parts of the region and world. The consequences of such escalation may restrain both sides. 4 of 38 / Eye on the World • Aug. 14, 2021 Churchofgodbigsandy.com
That means the shadow war will likely continue, with both countries relying on their intelligence services, airpower, and naval forces to hit each other’s assets at sea and on land when there is an opportunity to do so without sparking a broader conflict.
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An article titled “Black Market for Fake Vaccine Certificates Reaches New Peaks, While Delta Variant Keeps Spreading Globally” was posted at checkpoint.com on Aug. 10, 2021. Following are excerpts of the article. ______
Check Point Research continues to monitor the dark marketplace in which covid-19 Vaccine certifications are sold to anyone willing to pay. Prices have reduced, now ranging between $100-120. Darknet advertisements for covid- 19 vaccines have increased and groups advertising selling certificates contain sometimes up to 450K people. Fake ‘vaccine passport’ certificates on sale for $100-120. Majority of the fake certificates sold from European countries. Also on sale: The EU Digital covid certificate, CDC and NHS Covid vaccine cards and fake PCR covid-19 tests. Volume of advertisement groups and groups sizes publishing sellers mul- tiplied by hundreds percent since the beginning of 2021. Background The covid-19 pandemic is here and apparently never left, and furthermore- it seems it does not show signs of wearing off or slowing down. As of the beginning of August, there have been reports of 623K new cases daily, with 4.43B doses of vaccines given around the globe, which makes 15.4% of the world’s population fully vaccinated. While the time for summer vacations is here, people are seeking ways of get- ting to such vacations, and this becomes a very complicated task. In Singapore, government has decided to relax restrictions in 2 phases this month. Italy introduced a new digital health certificate, which allows holders to access cul- tural and gastronomic activities. Australia released details of its reopening plans, Japan extended its state of emergency in several cities, US remaining the Mexican and Canadian borders closed until at least the end of August and England sus- pended it’s quarantine policy for vaccinated travelers from the US and EU. Across all continents, it is obvious that covid vaccines are the key to this steel lock that refuses to remain free. However- vaccine skeptical population isn’t wearing down and continues to grow across continents, taking its toll and slow- ing the global effort to mass vaccinate the world’s population against the virus. France is one of the most vaccine-skeptical counties, and according to a recent survey, four in ten people in France said they definitely or probably won’t get Churchofgodbigsandy.com Eye on the World • Aug. 14, 2021 / 5 of 38 vaccinated against Covid-19. Germany saw a massive anti-vaccine movement and reports show that about a third of American adults are resisting the vaccine. On sale: Certificates for every country In our previous March report, we detailed how Check Point Research observed a trend of fake ‘vaccine passports’ certificated are being sold online across the Darknet for $250, and that Darknet adverts for covid vaccines spike to new levels. We have mostly presented certificates being sold from the US, UK and Germany. Currently our researchers spotted fake certificates from all around the world, where the majority are coming from Europe, with certificate fakes of the NHS cer- tificate, the EUDCC (EU Digital Covid Certificate), and other countries such as Greece, Netherlands, Italy, France and Switzerland related certifications. Furthermore we’ve seen examples of certificates for the US, Pakistan and Indonesia. Anti-vax movement is gaining momentum While previous reports showed sporadic, though expending, numbers of adver- tisements on the darknet, our researchers now see an exponent growth in volumes of followers and subscribers to groups and channels offering and advertising covid- 19 certifications and other means to bypass the need to physically get the vaccine, while “enjoy” the benefits of vaccinated population. (These benefits might include boarding planes, accessing cultural and crowded events, getting work etc.) The advertisements specifically state that the seller “provide registered vac- cine certificates . . . for all those who don’t want to take the vaccine.” Save the world from “poisonous vaccine” The channels we spotted offer the “service” and even detail it’s actual impact. They advertise: “With our cards you can travel and work.” The sellers often state that the certificates are ‘verified’ and invites the buy- ers to take simple steps in order to place an order. They advertise: “All you need to do is let us know what country are you from and what you want.” The sellers offers to contact them via Telegram, WhatsApp or email, and payments can be transferred through PayPal and Crypto currency (Bitcoin/ monero, doge coin and others). We’ve also seen many sellers that do not forget to state anti-vaccination statements like the following. “You don’t need to take the jab (vaccine) to have the certificate.” “We are here to save the world from this poisonous vaccine.” “Stay away from the vaccine and be safe while we continue this fight.” Tips for awareness The Darknet functions primarily as the black market of the Internet and is typically involved in transactions involving drugs, cyber-weapons, forgery and 6 of 38 / Eye on the World • Aug. 14, 2021 Churchofgodbigsandy.com more. We recommend people not to engage with sellers publishing on such groups or marketplaces published in the Darknet. Every country should internally manage a central repository of tests and vaccinated people, which can and should securely be shared between rele- vant authorized only bodies within the country. All ‘green passes’ and vaccination certificates should be managed and encrypted in a secured way by the relevant official bodies within each coun- try and allow a QR code to be scanned and authenticate it Countries should cooperate to share info regarding such data and create a secured repository with encryption keys, to allow people to roam using legit only certifications and to be able to detect forged and fake ones ★★★★★
“Eye on the World” comment: The following headlines involve articles that are considered international. The articles were not posted, but the headlines give the essence of the story. ______
Comments about Israel An article by Brady Knox titled “Israeli Defense Minister Says His Country Is Ready to Strike Iran” was posted at washingtonexaminer.com on Aug. 6, 2021. An article by Staff titled “First-Ever Texas-Israel Flights, Plus Historic Sa- vannah, Jewish Style” was posted at jpost.com on Aug. 9, 2021. An article by Jonathan Lis titled “Israel Sees Little Chance of Iran Under Raisi Returning to Nuclear Deal” was posted at haaretz.com on Aug. 11, 2021. An article by Anna Ahronheim titled “Israel, U.S. Air Force Hold First-of- Kind Aerial Drill” was posted at jpost.com on Aug. 11, 2021. An article by Zev Stub titled “China’s [Brand] Geely Looks to Dominate Israel’s Electric Car Market” was posted at jpost.com on Aug. 12, 2021. An article by Tzvi Joffre titled “Temple Mount Bridge [to the Mughrabi Gate] Tender Applicants Required to Promise Secrecy—Report” was posted at jpost.com on Aug. 12, 2021. Comments about Iran An article by Geoff LaMear titled “Biden Is Picking Up Where Trump Left Off on Iran, and It Won’t Go Any Better This Time Around” was posted at businessinsider.com on Aug. 10, 2021. An article by Walter Russell Mead titled “Iran Nukes the Case for a Biden Deal” was posted at wsj.com on Aug. 10, 2021. An article by Tzvi Joffre titled “Iran Fires Warning Shot at U.S. Drone Near Strait of Hormuz; Report” was posted at jpost.com on Aug. 12, 2021. Churchofgodbigsandy.com Eye on the World • Aug. 14, 2021 / 7 of 38
Comments about Saudi Arabia An article by Dan Murphy and Natasha Turak titled “Aramco [Saudi State Oil Giant] Posts Nearly 300% Leap in Second-Quarter Profit as Oil Demand Recovers” was posted at cnbc.com on Aug. 8, 2021. An article titled “Saudi Arabia to Allow in Vaccinated Umrah Pilgrims” was posted at bbc.com on Aug. 8, 2021. An article by Justin Vallejo titled “Joe Biden to Release Secret 9/11 Files on Saudi Arabia After Victims’ Families Disinvite Him From Memorial” was posted at independent.co.uk on Aug. 10, 2021. An article titled “Hundreds of Yemeni Professionals in Saudi Arabia Laid Off and Told to Go Home” was posted at middleeasteye.net on Aug. 11, 2021. Comments about Syria An article by Karwan Faidhi Dri titled “Syria’s Christian Population Re- duced by Two-Thirds Since 2011: [Assyrian Political] Party” was posted at rudaw.net on Aug. 9, 2021. Comments about Cuba An article by Humberto Fontova titled “Is Biden Resetting Obama’s Uncon- ditional Surrender to Castro?” was posted at townhall.com on Aug. 7, 2021. Comments about China An article by Jamie Bartlett titled “Chinese Censorship Is Coming” was posted at unherd.com on Aug. 9, 2021. An article by Larissa Rhyn and Katrin Buchenbacher titled “A Tweet [Criti- cizing Communist China] Cost Him His Doctorate [at the University of St. Gallen]: The Extent of China’s Influence on Swiss Universities” was posted at nzz.ch on Aug. 4, 2021. An article by John Hyatt titled “Why a Secretive Chinese Billionaire [Sun Guangxin] Bought 140,000 Acres of Land in Texas” was posted at forbes.com on Aug. 9, 2021. An article by Peter Hoskins titled “China Says Crackdown on Business to Go On for Years” was posted at bbc.com on Aug. 12, 2021. An article by Holly Chik titled “China Sends 70,000 Communist Party Workers to Help City [Yangzhou] Striken by Covid-19” was posted at scmp.com on Aug. 12, 2021. Comments about Russia An article titled “UN’s Bombshell Climate Change Report Forecasts Fire and Floods for Russia” was posted at themoscowtimes.com on Aug. 9, 2021. A Reuters article by Tom Balmforth and Maria Kiselyova titled “Russia, China Hold Large-Scale Joint Military Drills” was posted at reuters.com on Aug. 10, 2021. 8 of 38 / Eye on the World • Aug. 14, 2021 Churchofgodbigsandy.com