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Gascoyne FAST FACTS 2017

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Gascoyne FAST FACTS 2017 Gascoyne FAST FACTS 2017 Population As illustrated in figure 1, since 2001 the Gascoyne has exhibited significant depopulation, experiencing a net 4.3% decrease. Although there has been notable population growth between the With a population of approximately 10,000 people in 2015, the years 2007 and 2014 (6.1%), the Gascoyne has experienced a Gascoyne has the lowest estimated resident population of all the recent 0.2% population decrease between 2014 and 2015. regions in Western Australia. 10600 7000 10400 6000 10200 5000 10000 9800 4000 9600 3000 2005 9400 9200 2000 2015 9000 Population 1000 8800 Population 0 Carnarvon Exmouth Shark Bay Upper Gascoyne Year Local Government Area Figure 2: Estimated Resident Population for the Gascoyne’s Local Government Figure 1: Estimated Gascoyne Resident Population 2001 – 2015 (source: Australian Areas (source: ABS). Bureau of Statistics (ABS)). Gascoyne Fast Facts 2017 1 Age Structure The Shire of Carnarvon is the most populated of the Gascoyne’s 4 local government areas with a population of just over 6,000 in 2015. 10.00 9.00 As displayed in figure 2, the population in the Shire of Carnarvon has 8.00 remained fairly static between 2005 and 2015. 7.00 6.00 5.00 The greatest local population increase from 2005 to 2015 was 4.00 in the Shire of Exmouth (15.9%). 3.00 The local government area experiencing the greatest 2.00 Population (%) Population 1.00 population decrease from 2005 to 2015 was the Shire of 0.00 Upper Gascoyne (-20.5%). Shark Bay has experienced recent (2014 – 2015) population growth (1.4%), greater than the growth for Western Australia Age Cohort (1.3%) for the same time period. Gascoyne Western Australia In 2011, Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people made up Figure 3: 2015 Age profiles for the Gascoyne region and Western Australia (source: approximately 14.8% of the Gascoyne’s population, which is ABS). significantly higher than the 3.1% that makes up the Western Australian population. The Shires of Upper Gascoyne (56.2%) and As highlighted in figure 3, the Gascoyne has a slightly greater Carnarvon (19.2%) had the greatest proportion of Aboriginal and representation of residents aged 0 – 9, making up 14.9% of the total Torres Strait Islander residents. population compared to the 14% that makes up Western Australia’s. This is indicative of a greater presence of younger families in the Gascoyne region. There is a significant underrepresentation of the younger working class demographic (aged 15 – 29), possibly due to outmigration as the younger working-class residents seek greater education and employment prospects. The demography is skewed towards the older working class (aged 55 – 69). Although there appears to be an underrepresentation of the population aged 80 and over in the Gascoyne, between 2011 and 2015, the proportion of residents aged 80 and over increased by 9.7%. Gascoyne Fast Facts 2017 2 Significant depopulation by age cohort between 2011 and 2015 South West – 4.3% included: Great Southern – 3.7% Wheatbelt – 3.7% The proportion of residents aged 10-14 years decreased by Pilbara – 3.1% 1.7% The proportion of residents aged 60 – 64 decreased by 1.6%. Although the Gascoyne has the smallest regional labour force of the State’s nine regions, between 2010/11 and 2014/15, the Gascoyne’s Unemployment and Labour Force labour force increased by 13.5%. In 2014/15, the local government areas made the following contributions to the Gascoyne’s labour 12% force: 10% Shire of Carnarvon – 60.1% 8% Shire of Exmouth – 27.1% 6% Shire of Shark Bay – 9.9% 4% Shire of Upper Gascoyne – 2.9%. 2% Unemployment Rate Unemployment 0% Economy 95-96 96-97 97-98 98-99 99-00 00-01 01-02 02-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 94-95 The estimated Gross Regional Product of the Gascoyne in 2014/15 Financial Year was $775 million, representing 0.3% of the Gross State Product. This Gascoyne Western Australia gives the Gascoyne’s GRP an average annual growth rate of 8.1% Figure 4: Unemployment Rate 1994 – 2015 (source: Department of Employment; between 2004/05 and 2014/15. ABS & DRD). The top four industry share contributions to Gascoyne GRP in As illustrated in figure 4, unemployment rates in the Gascoyne have 2014/15 were: remained slightly above Western Australia’s. Since 2011/12 unemployment rates in the Gascoyne have significantly risen, Mining 16.2% peaking at 10.3% in 2013/14. The unemployment rate has dropped Construction 16.1% to 8.9% in 2014/15, however is still the second highest in the State Transport, postal and warehousing 11.0% after the Kimberly region. Agriculture, forestry and fishing 8.1%. Kimberley – 12.9% The following sectors experienced the greatest industry share Gascoyne – 8.9% average annual growth rate between 2012/13 and 2014/15: Peel – 7.4% Mid West – 7.1% Construction (1.4%) Goldfields-Esperance – 5.3% Transport, postal and warehousing (1.4%) Gascoyne Fast Facts 2017 3 Public administration and admin (1.1%). In 2015/16 the Gascoyne generated approximately $29 million in residential building approvals, making up 0.4% of the total residential It is also notable that despite national consolidation of the agriculture, approval value in Western Australia. forestry and fishing (AFF) sector, the AFF industry share contribution to Gascoyne GRP increased by 1.4% from 2012/13 to 2014/15. 40000 35000 Mining 30000 In 2014/15 the Gascoyne generated approximately $133 million in 25000 mineral production. As highlighted in figure 5, the value of mining in 20000 the region has increased significantly since 2007/08, experiencing a 15000 113% increase. The local government areas with the highest ($'000)Value 10000 contribution to this sector in 2014/15 in the Gascoyne include: 5000 Shire of Carnarvon (64%; $84.4 million) 0 Shire of Shark Bay (36%; $47.5 million). 160.0 Year 140.0 Figure 6: Value of Residential Building Approvals in the Gascoyne 2000/01 – 2015/16 (source: ABS and DRD). 120.0 100.0 As illustrated in figure 6, residential building approvals in the 80.0 Gascoyne have historically fluctuated, declining significantly since 2011/12. This is consistent with the economic down turn following the 60.0 GFC and the general statewide trend of building decline at that time. Value ($'000)Value 40.0 Building activity has since made a significant recovery (2013/14 to 20.0 2015/16), consistent with the increasing construction industry share 0.0 contribution to Gascoyne GRP (refer to Economy). According to the Department of Training and Workforce Development, high rates of residential building approvals indicate Year strong economic performance as well as highlight future potential Figure 5: Value of Mineral Production in the Gascoyne 2002/03-2014/15 (source: population growth. Between 2013/14 and 2015/16, the value of Department of Mining and Petroleum). building approvals in the Gascoyne increased by 176%, revealing the Gascoyne’s capacity for future growth. Building and Construction The local government area’s share to Gascoyne residential building Gascoyne Fast Facts 2017 4 value in 2015/16 were: Gascoyne continues to capitalise on the region’s abundance of natural amenity and beautiful landscapes, the Department of Training Shire of Exmouth – 43.7% and Workforce Development predicts that the tourism sector will Shire of Carnarvon – 36.7% remain as one of the region’s leading growth industries. Shire of Upper Gascoyne – 15.1% Shire of Shark Bay – 4.5%. According to Tourism WA, the Shire of Carnarvon experienced the most visitors in 2014, followed by the Shire of Exmouth and the Shire Tourism of Shark Bay. At an industry value of $223 million in 2014, the Gascoyne’s tourism Agriculture industry is the region’s most valuable sector. In 2014, a much greater proportion (approximately 76%) of visitors (approximately 348,173) Horticulture to the Shires of Carnarvon, Exmouth and Shark Bay were domestic with only 24% international. The top international markets were to In 2015 the Gascoyne’s horticultural industry had an industry value Germany and the United Kingdom. of $72 million and produced 38,242 tonnes of fruit and vegetables. 250000 120000 200000 100000 80000 150000 60000 100000 40000 Value Value ($'000) Value Value ($'000) 50000 20000 0 0 Year Year Figure 7: Estimated Production Value of the Gascoyne’s Tourism Industry 2003 – Figure 8: Gascoyne Horticultural Production Industry Value (2003 – 2015) (source: 2014 (source: Tourism WA). Department of Agriculture and Food WA). As displayed in figure 7, the tourism production value has Figure 8 highlights the increase in horticultural activity following 2011. experienced a steady increase from 2011 – 2014 (22.8%). As the After peaking in 2012, the Gascoyne’s horticultural industry Gascoyne Fast Facts 2017 5 experienced a period of decline (2012 – 2013). Production value Fishing and Aquaculture recovered in 2014, however, severe Topical Cyclone Olwyn (2015), which hit Carnarvon’s horticultural precinct, destroyed large In 2014/15 fishing in the Gascoyne generated approximately $43 quantities of crops, hence leading to a decline in horticultural million, contributing 9% to Western Australia’s total fishing industry production value in 2015. value. This was the third highest regional contribution to State fishing The highest value commodities in 2015 were: after the Mid West and the Wheatbelt. Tomatoes (9,445 tonnes; $13M) 80,000 Cherry tomatoes (3800 tonnes; $12M) 70,000 Capsicums (excluding chillies) (2187 tonnes; $8M) 60,000 Melons (9101 tonnes; $8M) 50,000 Grapes (1102 tonnes; $4M). 40,000 30,000 20,000 The Gascoyne’s horticulture sector significantly contributes to Value ($'000) 10,000 Western Australia’s total production value of (2011/12): 0 Bananas (99.5%) Capsicums (excluding chillies) (62.0%) 1997/98 1998/99 1999/00 2000/01 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 Mangoes (47.4%) 1996/97 Year Tomatoes (43.5%) Melons (25%).
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