TheThe NextNext WirelessWireless GenerationGeneration

JoaoJoao SchwarzSchwarz DaDa SilvaSilva EuropeanEuropean CommissionCommission DGDG INFSOINFSO http://www.cordis.lu/ist/ka4/mobile/index.htm

WSI-Workshop Brussels, 12 December 2000 OutlineOutline

• European Co-ordinated approach

• The Next Wireless Generation Challenge

• The Future FP6 Co-ordinatedCo-ordinated approachapproach toto R&DR&D

• Bringing together the efforts of many projects covering the whole spectrum of wireless issues, and interacting with the real world – from radio access to backbone network – from terrestrial to satellite – from public to private – from enabling technologies to services and applications !Articulation with Policy EuropeanEuropean R&D:R&D: thethe bestbest frameworkframework forfor novelnovel ideasideas

• UMTS – From concept to reality (10 years of work) • Broadband Wireless – Developing the HiperLAN family – Systems • First steps towards – Re-configurable Radio – Convergence of Mobile Communications and Broadcasting UMTS:UMTS: aa longlong termterm commitmentcommitment • R&D • UMTS idea launched by the Commission back in 1989 • Standardisation • Input from R&D projects - Key ETSI decision • Policy • Input to WARC ’92 • UMTS Task Force and UMTS Forum • UMTS Decision • CEPT Mandates • WRC 2000 and follow-up ImplementationImplementation ofof UMTSUMTS DecisionDecision MS Probable No. Licenses Probable Method Austria 4 A(706M€) Belgium 4 A Denmark 4 CB Finland 4 CB(0B€) ProceedsFrance of Licensing estimated 4 to be CB(19.6B€) of the order of Germany150 6 BEuros A (50.8B€) Greece 3 A Ireland 5 CB Italy 5 CB+A (12.15B€) Luxembourg 2 to 3 likely TBD Netherlands 5 A (2.7B€) Portugal 4 CB (400M€) Spain 4 CB(500M€) Sweden 4 CB UK 5 A (38.5B€) Investment in UMTS infrastructure estimated to be of the order of 200+BEuros (from 1.5 to 7 BEuros/network for 70 networks) Overall investment ~1.6 the infrastructure Market value for mobile services ≈ 8 to 10 times the value of infrastructure TheThe NextNext WirelessWireless GenerationGeneration

WirelessWireless IPIP Satellite S-UMTS Broadband SocietySociety Broadband W-LAN DVB-S Bluetooth Satellite/HAPS Personal DVB-T DECT Area Networks IR DAB UMTS ++ Body LANs Indoor Broadcasting UMTS Broadband WFA GPRS/EDGE MBS 60 MWS Local Area Networks GSM MBS 40 xMDS Cellular Quasi-Cellular Wireless Local Loop TheThe NextNext WirelessWireless Generation:Generation: WhatWhat itit shouldshould NOTNOT bebe justjust about...about...

Higher data rates More Capacity More Licensed Spectrum Public Cellular systems Technology push Mobile Systems beyond IMT-2000 Wireless Technologies for

Adaptive Array Vehicular IMT-2000 Wireless Entrance Link 4G System Syst. ( 4th Generation ) IMT-2000 4G

Mobility Pedestrian

Micro Cell Wireless Access Multi-mode Terminal Macro Cell Optical Wireless LAN Entrance Link Stationary by Software Radio

0.1 1 10 100 Major Technical Issue Data Rate (Mbit/s) Ultra High Bitrate Reduce Required High Frequency High Output Power Output Power ! (High Propagation Loss) TheThe NextNext WirelessWireless GenerationGeneration

Σ User as the focus couldcould be...be... User no longer “owned” by anyone – the users, or their smart agents, will select at each instant the best system meeting the required the service and privacy performance, – user support in a mobile aware context with the provision of advanced timing and location based services, across all user environments

Σ “Integration” of cellular, broadcasting and WLAN systems

– from heterogeneous, hierarchical, competing but complementary, broadband networks (public and private, operator driven or ad-hoc)

– to personal area and ad hoc networks

Σ The disappearing terminal

Σ Impact of a 1g terminal in the next 10 years

Σ Spectrum efficiency

Σ More intensive use of unlicensed bands

Σ Unlimited address space FullyFully IPv6-basedIPv6-based IPv6IPv6

Addressing is the most visible capability of IPv6. Despite strict rationing, current IPv4 address space is rapidly being depleted.

IPv6 has 128 bits of address space, pushing the theoretical limit of unique IPv6 nodes to about 340 billion billion billion billion unique addresses!

Other significant capabilities of IPv6 include meeting the critical business requirements for scalable network architectures, improved security and data integrity, integrated quality of service (QoS), automatic configuration, data multicasting, and more efficient network route aggregation at the global backbone level. FromFrom WPAN’sWPAN’s toto WWAN’sWWAN’s Convergence 60GHz 1000 piconets, scatternets

5GHz

100 HIPERLAN/2 802.11a WLAN 2.4GHz HIPERLAN/1 802.11b 10 Ultrawideband HomeRF UMTS PAN 1 Bluetooth EDGE GPRS Space/Time coding 0,1 HSCD

Max data rate (Mbps) Max data rate Cellular

0,01 Time NetworksNetworks ofof wirelesswireless devicesdevices

Ad hoc networks of a myriad of smart devices, wireless sensors and actuators embedded in numerous distributed devices, appliances as well as in living beings, capable of monitoring and interacting with the physical world TheThe DisappearingDisappearing TerminalTerminal

• Mix of Human to Computer to Device • Hidden RF and Processor components • Wearable devices • Multi-modal Interaction – Speech - Mics, Sound – Vision - Cameras – Location - Privacy issues – Hybrid Reality - – Writing - Stylus/Pad • A communicating SIM in the wallet • Power saving technologies TheThe ISTIST inin FP6FP6 • Concentration of EU collaborative R&D efforts for building critical mass in strategic areas and for strengthening European competitiveness • Forward-looking and higher-risks research • Rapid responsiveness to emerging needs and significant built-inflexibility • Strong articulation between R&D activities and EU policies • Combination of European Research Area instruments into integrated exploratory and Targeted Initiatives – Dynamic Road Map built on industry-academia consensus – Co-ordination mechanism between stakeholders – Integration of activities necessary to achieve objectives – Budget up to 300M€

A role for WWRF? InIn Conclusion...Conclusion... • An unprecedented opportunity was created in the context of EU R&D (eg UMTS) – Less than 60 MEuro of EU R&D funding • In 10 years time the wireless landscape will change dramatically Scarcity of spectrum resources Explosive growth of M2M Proliferation of competing information services, “Chaotic” development of heterogeneous networks Ensuring Quality of Service, reliability and privacy across multiple networks Re-configurable technologies and their Regulatory Implications