Transport Package
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CPIR Transport Strategy Development Appendix A – Camborne Pool Redruth Transport Package May 2017 Camborne Pool Redruth Transport Package Assignment Model Validation Report August 2011 Cornwall Council Camborne291073 ITD Pool ITW Redruth3 B P:\Southampton\ITW\Projects\291073 cpr 2011\wp\CPR BFFB LMVR noFig AppAD RevB comp doc Transport Package 12 August 2011 Assignment Model Validation Report August 2011 Cornwall Council A3 Carrick House, Pydar Street, Truro, TR1 1EB Mott MacDonald, Stoneham Place, Stoneham Lane, Southampton SO50 9NW, United Kingdom T +44(0) 23 8062 8800 F +44(0) 23 8062 8801, W www.mottmac.com Camborne Pool Redruth Transport Package Issue and revision record Revision Date Originator Checker Approver Description A June 2011 GS NG IJ First Draft B August 2011 GS IJ IJ Final This document is issued for the party which commissioned it We accept no responsibility for the consequences of this and for specific purposes connected with the above-captioned document being relied upon by any other party, or being used project only. It should not be relied upon by any other party or for any other purpose, or containing any error or omission which used for any other purpose. is due to an error or omission in data supplied to us by other parties This document contains confidential information and proprietary intellectual property. It should not be shown to other parties without consent from us and from the party which commissioned it. Mott MacDonald, Stoneham Place, Stoneham Lane, Southampton SO50 9NW, United Kingdom T +44(0) 23 8062 8800 F +44(0) 23 8062 8801, W www.mottmac.com Camborne Pool Redruth Transport Package Content Chapter Title Page 1. Introduction 1 1.1 Background ________________________________________________________________________ 1 1.2 Project Location _____________________________________________________________________ 1 1.3 Purpose of this Report ________________________________________________________________ 1 2. 2005 Highway Model Description 4 2.1 Introduction ________________________________________________________________________ 4 2.2 Network Description__________________________________________________________________ 4 2.3 Zoning System ______________________________________________________________________ 4 3. 2005 Trip Matrix Building 7 3.1 Introduction ________________________________________________________________________ 7 3.2 Matrix Estimation ___________________________________________________________________ 10 4. 2005 Base Year Assignment 15 5. 2005 SATURN Model Calibration and Validation 16 5.1 Introduction _______________________________________________________________________ 16 5.2 Validation Criteria___________________________________________________________________ 16 5.3 Calibration Results__________________________________________________________________ 16 5.4 Flow Validation_____________________________________________________________________ 17 5.5 Journey Time Validation _____________________________________________________________ 31 6. 2005 Public Transport Model 34 6.1 Model Network _____________________________________________________________________ 34 6.2 Matrices __________________________________________________________________________ 36 6.2.1 Rail Trip matrices ___________________________________________________________________ 36 6.2.2 Rail Fares matrices _________________________________________________________________ 38 6.2.3 Bus Trip Matrices ___________________________________________________________________ 38 6.3 Public Transport Assignment __________________________________________________________ 39 6.4 Rail validation______________________________________________________________________ 39 6.5 Bus validation______________________________________________________________________ 39 7. 2010 Highway Model Update 41 7.1 Introduction _______________________________________________________________________ 41 7.2 Updated Highway Model Network ______________________________________________________ 41 7.3 Updated Trip Matrices _______________________________________________________________ 43 7.3.1 Introduction _______________________________________________________________________ 43 7.3.2 Car Matrices_______________________________________________________________________ 44 7.3.3 Goods Vehicle Matrices ______________________________________________________________ 46 7.4 Traffic Data________________________________________________________________________ 47 7.5 2010 Traffic Model Assignment ________________________________________________________ 47 7.6 2010 Calibration and Validation Results _________________________________________________ 48 7.6.1 Calibration and Validation Locations ____________________________________________________ 48 7.6.2 Validation Criteria___________________________________________________________________ 51 291073/ITD/ITW/3/B 12 August 2011 P:\Southampton\ITW\Projects\291073 cpr 2011\wp\CPR_BFFB_LMVR_noFig_AppAD_RevB_comp.doc Camborne Pool Redruth Transport Package 7.6.3 Calibration Results__________________________________________________________________ 51 7.6.4 AM Peak Validation Results___________________________________________________________ 64 7.7 Interpeak Validation Results __________________________________________________________ 67 7.8 PM Peak Validation Results___________________________________________________________ 70 8. 2010 Public Transport Model Update 74 8.1 Network Update ____________________________________________________________________ 74 8.2 Matrix Update______________________________________________________________________ 74 8.3 Model Validation____________________________________________________________________ 74 9. Conclusions 75 Appendices 76 Appendix A. Model Zoning System _______________________________________________________________ 77 Appendix B. Roadside Interview Matrix Building Methodology __________________________________________ 80 Appendix C. Comparison of 2005 prior and final matrices by sector ______________________________________ 84 Appendix D. Detailed 2005 Model Validation Results _________________________________________________ 88 Appendix E. Journey Time Validation Results 2005 _________________________________________________ 106 Appendix F. Matrix Estimation 2010 Base – Sector Analysis __________________________________________ 121 F.1. AM Peak_________________________________________________________________________ 121 F.2. Interpeak ________________________________________________________________________ 122 F.3. PM Peak_________________________________________________________________________ 123 Tables Table 3-1: Percentage of Traffic Interviewed at each RSI Site ____________________________________________ 7 Table 3-2: AM RSI Matrices by Journey Purposes _____________________________________________________ 9 Table 3-3: Interpeak RSI Matrices by Journey Purposes ________________________________________________ 9 Table 3-4: PM RSI Matrices by Journey Purposes _____________________________________________________ 9 Table 3-5: Final observed data purpose split ________________________________________________________ 10 Table 4-1: Generalised Cost Coefficients ___________________________________________________________ 15 Table 4-2: Convergence Criteria __________________________________________________________________ 15 Table 4-3: Achieved Convergence ________________________________________________________________ 15 Table 5-1: Assignment Validation - Acceptability Guidelines ____________________________________________ 16 Table 5-2: Flow Calibration Results (Counts used for Matrix Estimation) ___________________________________ 17 Table 5-3: Flow Validation Results (Validation Counts) ________________________________________________ 17 Table 5-4: East Hill AM Peak Validation ____________________________________________________________ 18 Table 5-5: East Hill Interpeak Peak Validation _______________________________________________________ 18 Table 5-6: East Hill PM Peak Validation ____________________________________________________________ 19 Table 5.7: AM Peak Light Vehicle Screenlines _______________________________________________________ 25 Table 5.8: AM Peak Heavy Vehicle Screenlines ______________________________________________________ 26 Table 5.9: Interpeak Light Vehicle Screenlines _______________________________________________________ 27 Table 5.10: Interpeak Heavy Vehicle Screenlines_____________________________________________________ 28 Table 5.11: PM Peak Light Vehicle Screenlines ______________________________________________________ 29 Table 5.12: PM Peak Heavy Vehicle Screenlines _____________________________________________________ 30 Table 5-13: Journey Time Survey Accuracy _________________________________________________________ 31 Table 5-14: AM Peak Journey Time Validation Results ________________________________________________ 32 Table 5-15: Interpeak Journey Time Validation Results ________________________________________________ 32 Table 5-16: PM Peak Journey Time Validation Results ________________________________________________ 32 291073/ITD/ITW/3/B 12 August 2011 P:\Southampton\ITW\Projects\291073 cpr 2011\wp\CPR_BFFB_LMVR_noFig_AppAD_RevB_comp.doc Camborne Pool Redruth Transport Package Table 6-1: Summary of Bus Routes _______________________________________________________________ 34 Table 6-2: Ticket Group by Journey Purpose – assumed spilts __________________________________________ 36 Table 6-3: Weekday and Weekend Spilt by