Royal Ordnance Site, Bishopton
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Royal Ordnance Site, Bishopton Public Transport Study CONSULTING Royal Ordnance Site, Bishopton Public Transport Study JMP CONSULTING CENTRUM HOUSE, 38 Queen Street, GLASGOW G1 3DX T 0141 221 4030 F 0141 221 4050 E [email protected] W www.jmp.co.uk Job no. Prepared by Verified Approved by Status Issue no. Date B063017 CJY GJB GJB Final 1 17.09.07 Birminhgam Brighton Bristol Edinburgh Glasgow Leeds Lichfield Liverpool London Manchester Newcastle CONSULTING Royal Ordnance Site, Bishopton Public Transport Study Contents Amendment Record This document has been issued and amended as follows: Status/Revision Issue Number Date Approved By Working Draft 1 25.01.2006 Draft 2 17.02.2006 Draft 3 21.02.2006 Draft 4 02.03.2006 Final 1 18.04.2006 Post-EIP 1 15.08.2007 Post-EIP 2 17.09.2007 Birminhgam Brighton Bristol Edinburgh Glasgow Leeds Lichfield Liverpool London Manchester Newcastle CONSULTING Contents 1 Introduction 1 Background 1 Scope of Work 1 The Proposed Development 2 Structure of Report 2 2 Public Transport Provision 3 Rail 3 Proposed Improvements to the Rail Network 4 Rail Park and Ride 5 Local Bus Services 6 3 Demand for Public Transport 12 The Transport Assessment 12 Trip Generation 12 Trip Distribution 16 Mode Share 18 Full Development Trip Patterns 25 Mitigated Travel Demand 26 4 Providing Access by Public Transport 29 Bus Services - Key Requirements 29 Bus Network Proposals 29 Services Linking Bishopton and Erskine 32 Services to Glasgow 34 Other Proposals 35 Financial Assessment 36 Proposals – Rail Park and Ride 37 Park & Ride Design Statement 39 Impact on Rail Patronage 40 5 Summary and Conclusions 43 Existing Public Transport Services 43 Forecasting 43 Rail Park and Ride 45 Birminhgam Brighton Bristol Edinburgh Glasgow Leeds Lichfield Liverpool London Manchester Newcastle CONSULTING Appendices Appendix A Rail Station Interview Survey Appendix B Accessibility Mapping Appendix C Travel to Work Maps Appendix D Bus Timetable Information Appendix E Phased Implementation of Bus Services Appendix F Phase 1 Masterplan Birminhgam Brighton Bristol Edinburgh Glasgow Leeds Lichfield Liverpool London Manchester Newcastle CONSULTING Tables and Figures T 1.1 Proposed Development Construction Stages 2 F 2.1 Bus Routes in Bishopton 9 T 2.1 Bishopton commuter destinations by all modes 10 T 2.2 Bishopton commuter destinations by train 10 T 2.3 Bishopton commuter destinations by bus 11 T 3.1 Residential People Trip Generation (Peak) 12 T 3.2 Residential People Trip Generation (Off Peak) 12 T 3.3 Employment People Trip Rates 13 T 3.4 Employment People Trip Generation 13 T 3.5 Education People Trip Generation 14 T 3.6 Number of Secondary School Pupils 15 T 3.7 Food Store People Trip Generation 15 T 3.8 Residential Trip Composition 15 T 3.9 Employment Trip Composition 16 T 3.10 People Trip Generation (Off-site Movements) 16 T 3.11 Distance Travelled to Work by Bishopton Residents 17 T 3.12 Council Area of Residence and Workplace (`1999-2002) 17 T 3.13 Proposed Residential Development – Trip Distribution (two-way) 17 T 3.14 Distance Travelled to Work in Bishopton / Inchinnan 18 T 3.15 Council Area of Residence and Workplace (`1999-2002) 18 T 3.16 Proposed Employment Development People Trip Distribution 19 T 3.17 Student Trip Distribution 19 T 3.18 Mode Share by Distance Travelled to Work by Bishopton Residents 19 T 3.19 Residential AM Peak trip Distribution by Mode 20 T 3.20 Residential PM Peak Trip Distribution by Mode 20 T 3.21 Residential Off Peak Trip Distribution by Mode 21 T 3.22 Mode Share by Distance Travelled to Work in Bishopton 21 T 3.23 Employment Development – AM Peak Trip Distribution by Modes 22 T 3.24 Employment Development – PM Peak Trip Distribution by Mode 23 T 3.24 Employment Development – PM Peak Trip Distribution by Mode 23 T 3.25 Employment Development –Off Peak Trip Distribution by Mode 24 T 3.26 Student Trips Modal Split by Place of Study 24 T 3.27 Modal Split by Place of Study – AM Peak 24 T 3.28 Modal Split By Place of Study – PM Peak 25 T 3.29 Modal Split By Place of Study – Off Peak 25 Birminhgam Brighton Bristol Edinburgh Glasgow Leeds Lichfield Liverpool London Manchester Newcastle CONSULTING T 3.30 Combined Total Bus Trips AM Peak 26 T 3.31 Combined Total Bus Trips PM Peak 27 T 3.32 Combined Total Bus Trips Off Peak 28 F4.1 Proposed Bus Services on Completion of Development 31 T 4.1 Allocation of Demand to Bus Services 33 T 4.2 Additional Demand – Bishopton and Bishopton – Erskine Services 33 T 4.3 Additional Demand – Service 23 Bishopton – Erskine - Glasgow 35 T 4.4 Additional Demand – Linwood, Houston, Bridge of Weir 35 T 4.5 Financial Performance of Enhanced Bus Services 36 T 4.6 Financial Support for Enhanced Bus Services 37 F 4.2 Illustrative layout of the Station Road Corridor 41 F 4.3 Public Transport Interchange Arrangement 42 T 5.1 Financial Support for Enhanced Bus Services 45 Birminhgam Brighton Bristol Edinburgh Glasgow Leeds Lichfield Liverpool London Manchester Newcastle CONSULTING 1 Introduction Background 1.1 The purpose of this study is to develop proposals for public transport to serve the proposed development on the former Royal Ordnance site to the south west of the railway line at Bishopton. 1.2 The station in the village of Bishopton is served by frequent electric trains on the line from Gourock, Greenock and Wemyss Bay to Glasgow. The railway station is the focal point for the few bus services serving the village. There is an hourly local bus service circulating around the village, an hourly service to Erskine and one peak period journey in each direction between Bishopton and Glasgow. There is no bus service on Greenock Road to the west of Bishopton. Hence, people living in the village are heavily dependent upon rail to provide access by public transport to destinations outside the immediate locality. 1.3 The analysis draws upon the Transport Assessment for the site to provide quantification of potential demand for travel by bus and rail. The Transport Assessment also provides a local and regional distribution of trips generated by the development. Scope of Work 1.4 In this study the output of the Transport Assessment is used to identify places that need to be linked with Bishopton by public transport and as a basis for quantifying demand for travel by bus. Proposals are developed for new or improved bus services to provide access for people living or working in the proposed development. Estimates are provided of the additional cost of introducing new or extended bus services, and forecasts are made of the additional patronage and revenue that will be generated. This provides the basis for an assessment of the financial sustainability of proposed bus services and an estimate of the level of financial support that will need to be provided. 1.5 This Public Transport Study used output from the Transport Assessment (second draft, March 2006) as a basis for forecasting demand for travel by public transport that will be generated by the proposed development. This document should therefore be read in conjunction with the Transport Assessment which has since been updated to an August 2007 version to reflect changes in access strategy and phasing, neither of which have any material impact on the public transport proposals developed in this study. It is also worth reinforcing that the scale of development and land use mix has not changed in terms of transport demand assumptions and so the total development figures used in the March 2006 report are consistent with those used in the August 2007 document. 1.6 The objective is to develop proposals for new or extended bus services that will become financially self-sustaining once demand is maximised on completion of development. Demand for bus services will build up over time as development proceeds. There will therefore be a need to provide financial support to bridge the gap between operating cost and revenue as demand builds up towards forecast levels. 1.7 A spreadsheet model has been developed for use in forecasting the additional demand and revenue that would result from the introduction of new or extended bus services during each phase of the proposed development. It is also used to provide estimates of the cost of operation of the proposed bus services. 1 Project Number : B063017 Ref : Updated PT Study Report; September 2007 The Proposed Development Form and Content of Development 1.8 The proposed development will predominantly consist of residential, employment, commercial and community facilities. The latest masterplan for Phase 1 of the development is included in Appendix F. Phasing of Development 1.9 It is proposed to construct the development in 6 Phases over a 14 year period, commencing in 2010. Table T1.1 indicates the proposed level of construction at each development stage based on the proposed phasing at August 2007 (previous phasing matrix values are shown in brackets in Table 1.1). Readers should note that detailed trip generation tables (and all of the tables that flow from them) that occur later in the report have not been updated to reflect the detailed changes to the phasing shown below. The view has been taken that since the overall development scale and mix is the same, the overall level of bus service provision would remain unchanged. 1.10 The total development mix and scale is as before and the tables below show the employment land areas in the appropriate timebands when the serviced plots would become available.