Commuter Rail System Ridership Trends
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COMMUTER RAIL SYSTEM RIDERSHIP TRENDS July 2011 Prepared by the Division of Strategic Capital Planning/Grants Development September 2011 COMMUTER RAIL RIDERSHIP TRENDS July 2011 I. OVERVIEW Reported system ridership (including free senior and Circuit Permit trips) in July 2011 decreased 0.1% compared to the same time period in 2010. July 2011 had one less weekday and one additional Sunday/Holiday when compared to July 2010. After adjusting for calendar differences, system ridership increased 1.3% when compared to July 2010. Year-to-date ridership was 0.6% higher than the same time period in 2010. System Ridership July (in 000s) Percent Change 2009 2010 2011 09vs11 10vs11 Reported 7,071 6,774 6,733 -4.8% -0.6% Free Trips 325 342 379 16.6% 10.7% Total (Reported & Free) 7,396 7,116 7,112 -3.9% -0.1% Free Trips & Calendar-Adjusted 7,222 7,154 7,250 0.4% 1.3% May-July (Last 3 months) 21,284 21,064 21,356 0.3% 1.4% January-July (Year-to-Date) 48,247 47,400 47,665 -1.2% 0.6% Last 12 Months 84,402 81,437 81,658 -3.3% 0.3% P:\RIDE\Rprt_xls\[SYSTRIDE.xls]tables formatted 4 text Figure 1 (below) presents system ridership adjusted for calendar differences by month since 2001. The twelve-month rolling average is included to display the underlying trend in passenger use. Figure 1: Calendar-Adjusted System Ridership (in thousands) 8,500 8,000 7,500 7,000 6,500 6,000 5,500 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Calendar-Adjusted 12-Month Rolling Average Table 1 and Figure 2 (pg. 2) present calendar-adjusted monthly ridership totals for the Metra system. Table 1 Metra System Passenger Trips by Month (Adjusted for free trips & calendar differences) Passenger Trips (in 000's) Year-to-Year Percent Change 2008 2009 2010 2011 08 vs. 09 09 vs. 10 10 vs. 11 January 7,711 6,848 6,649 6,586 -11.2% -2.9% -0.9% February 6,293 6,602 6,366 6,344 4.9% -3.6% -0.3% March 6,639 6,848 6,676 6,739 3.2% -2.5% 0.9% April 7,007 6,682 6,667 6,741 -4.6% -0.2% 1.1% May 7,252 6,817 6,811 6,886 -6.0% -0.1% 1.1% June 7,633 7,134 7,195 7,304 -6.5% 0.9% 1.5% July 7,992 7,222 7,154 7,250 -9.6% -0.9% 1.3% August 7,577 7,154 7,143 -5.6% -0.1% September 7,374 6,846 6,795 -7.2% -0.8% October 7,528 6,999 7,050 -7.0% 0.7% November 6,987 6,765 6,737 -3.2% -0.4% December 6,684 6,337 6,174 -5.2% -2.6% Annual Total 86,677 82,254 81,416 47,850 -5.1% -1.0% -- Figure 2: System Ridership Adjusted for free trips & calendar differences 8,500 8,000 7,500 7,000 6,500 Thousands 6,000 5,500 5,000 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2008 2009 2010 2011 Note: On February 1, 2008, Metra raised fares 10 percent. Due to the fact that Ten-Ride tickets are good for a year from date of purchase, in January 2008, many riders purchased multiple Ten-Ride tickets (stockpiled the tickets) in order to defer the fare increase until their pre-purchased tickets were depleted. Rides on Ten-Ride tickets are applied to the month that the ticket was purchased, which creates a marked increase in the month before the fare increase occurs (January 2008), followed by a sharp decline in the following 2-3 months (February - May 2008). -2- II. RIDERSHIP INFLUENCES Many different factors influence day-to-day and year-to-year ridership trends. Some factors are within Metra’s control, such as service improvements, new stations, and marketing promotions. However, many more factors (such as weather, gas prices and the economy) that are outside of Metra’s direct control can influence ridership in a positive or negative manner. The following pages detail some of the factors believed to have influenced recent changes in year-to-year Metra ridership levels. Calendar Differences – As shown on the table (below), July 2011 had one less weekday and one additional Sunday/holiday when compared to July 2010. Weekday Saturday Sunday/Holiday All Days 2010 2011 Diff 2010 2011 Diff 2010 2011 Diff 2010 2011 Diff Jan 20 21 1 5 4 -1 6 6 0 31 31 0 Feb 2019-144045128280 Mar 2323044044031310 Apr 2221-145144030300 May 20 21 1 5 4 -1 6 6 0 31 31 0 Jun 2222044044030300 Jul 2120-155056131310 YEAR-TO-DATE 148 147 -1 31 30 -1 33 35 2 212 212 0 Line Upgrades/Extensions and Service Enhancements BNSF - Major construction to accommodate the Belmont Road Grade Separation project near the Belmont Station in Downers Grove started in July 2010 and required the BNSF Line to be reduced from three tracks to two tracks near the Belmont Station. On July 12, 2010 the train schedule was adjusted because some express trains would no longer be able to pass local trains in the area, since the third passing track would be unavailable. It is anticipated that the third passing track will be restored in late September 2011. Additional weekday schedule changes were made to make run times more accurately reflect actual operating conditions, resulting in more reliable service. In addition to the weekday changes, several outbound weekend trains were changed to depart 10 minutes later than the previous schedule, which created a more consistent schedule. Union Pacific North - From August 22 to October 2, 2010, a substantially revised schedule was operated on the UP-N Line. This schedule was introduced to accommodate the upcoming bridge-replacement project between the Rogers Park and Clybourn Stations. The new schedule had the same number of trains in both directions, but virtually all trains in the peak periods, and many in off-peak periods and weekends, offered altered arrival and departure times from both terminals and intermediate stations. In addition, the station-stop patterns of many of the trains were changed, which in particular affected riders going to and from intermediate stations. A decision was made to re-evaluate the bridge project, and the line reverted to its original schedule on October 3, 2010. Metra will resume work in September 2011 on the major project to replace 22 aging bridges along the Union Pacific North Line on the north side of Chicago, as well as to build a completely new Ravenswood Station. Unlike last summer, when Metra tried to operate inbound and outbound UP North -3- trains on a single track in the construction zone, the new plan calls for maintaining the existing two-track operation. Rock Island District -- On April 3, 2011, Metra opened a new station on the Rock Island District Line at 35th Street just east of the Dan Ryan Expressway, serving the Bronzeville neighborhood, Illinois Institute of Technology (IIT), and U.S. Cellular Field. The new 35th St. / “Lou” Jones Station also provides convenient connections with the CTA Red and Green Lines. The opening of the new station required a new timetable, so the opportunity was taken to make some adjustments to the train schedule to better reflect actual operating conditions, resulting in more reliable service. Ten inbound and 20 outbound trains received schedule adjustments of one to five minutes to arrival or departure times at LaSalle Street, while two train times were altered by 10 and 13 minutes. One additional inbound PM reverse-peak train from Blue Island was added to the schedule to allow another train from Joliet to run express from Blue Island and arrive 16 minutes earlier than previously scheduled. Metra also has increased service on game days to accommodate White Sox fans. For weekday afternoon games, an extra outbound train leaves LaSalle Street Station after the final out. For weekday evening games, Train 531 (departing LaSalle St. at 11:15 p.m.) has more cars, and an extra outbound all-stop train operates about 30 minutes after the last out. For weekend games, an inbound extra train arrives at the station about an hour before the first pitch, and an outbound extra operates about 30 minutes after the final out. Roadway Construction Projects Congress Parkway Bridge Reconstruction Project – In April 2010, the Illinois Department of Transportation began the reconstruction of the Congress Parkway Bridge over the Chicago River. The eastbound section of the bridge will be rehabilitated between April 2010 and late September 2011, and the westbound section of the bridge will be rehabilitated during Winter 2011-2012. It is anticipated that all inbound and outbound lanes will be opened by May 2012. The following ramps have also been closed as of April 2010 as part of the project: southbound Wacker and northbound Franklin Street to westbound Congress and eastbound Kennedy and northbound Dan Ryan Expressways to eastbound Congress. Wacker Drive Reconstruction Project – In April 2010, the Chicago Department of Transportation began the reconstruction of the upper and lower levels of Wacker Drive between Randolph Street and Congress Parkway. During this project, Lower Wacker will be reduced to one lane in each direction and the Congress Parkway- Wacker Drive ramp will be closed until December 2012. Viaduct reconstruction of Upper Wacker Drive began in January 2011 at Randolph Street and will head south, resulting in intersection and block closings through the end of 2012.