Regional Weather Inference and Forecast Friday, 21 July 2017 Issue

ादेिशक मौसम पूवानुमान के Regional Weather Forecasting Centre ादेिशक मौसम के Regional Meteorological Centre भारत मौसम िवान िवभाग India Meteorological Department नागपुर Nagpur

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Regional Weather Inference And Forecast Friday, 21 July 2017 Morning Issue Time : 11.30 Hrs. IST Meteorological Analysis (Based on 0830 Hrs IST Observations) Weather Watch :- Heavy rainfall occured at isolated places over East Madhya Pradesh. Heavy rainfall occured at isolated places over Chhattisgarh and West Madhya Pradesh. Thunderstorm observed at isolated places over Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Vidarbha. Very light to moderate rainfall occurred at most places over Madhya Pradesh and at many places over Chhattisgarh, and Vidarbha.

Monsoon Watch :- Monsoon been active over Madhya Pradesh.

Inference:- The low pressure area over northern parts of west Madhya Pradesh & neighbourhood persists and The associated upper air cyclonic circulation now extends upto 3.6 Km above mean sea level. A fresh low pressure area lies over south Gujarat region & neighbourhood with associated upper air cyclonic circulation extending upto 7.6 Km above mean sea level. The axis of monsoon trough at mean sea level now passes through centre of low pressure area over south Gujarat region & neighbourhood, center of low pressure area over northern parts of west Madhya Pradesh & neighbourhood, Sidhi, Daltongunj, Burdwan, Digha and thence eastsoutheastwards to North¬East Bay of Bengal and extends upto 1.5 Km above mean sea level. The off¬shore trough at mean sea level from north Maharashtra coast to north Kerala coast persists. The east¬west shear zone roughly along Latitude 23.0°N persists and now seen between 3.1 5.8 Km above mean sea level. The upper air cyclonic circulation over central parts of Rajasthan & neighbourhood extending upto 1.5 Km above mean sea level has become less marked.

------Old Terminal Building, DBAI Airport, Sonegaon, Nagpur - 440005 Tel. No. : 91-712-2282157, 2288544 Fax. No. : 91-712-2282157 ादेिशक मौसम पूवानुमान के Regional Weather Forecasting Centre ादेिशक मौसम के Regional Meteorological Centre भारत मौसम िवान िवभाग India Meteorological Department नागपुर Nagpur

Sheopur recorded the highest maximum temparature of 36.4 degree celsius. Damoh recorded the Lowest minimum temperature of 19.6 degree celsius. Chief amount of rainfall in cms are :- Madhya Pradesh:- JABALPUR-NEW--AWS -- 12; KHATEGAON -- 11; NUSRULGUNJ-ARG LAKHNADON -- 10each; BHOPAL-AWS-ARG THANDLA -- 9each; ICHHAWAR PICHHORE ASHTA-ARG PETLAWAD DINDORI- AWS -- 8each; DEPALPUR SEHORE-AWS UMARIA-AWS MALANJKHAND GHANSORE KATNI-AWS -- 7each; JAWAD -- 6; KURWAI BAGLI DEWAS-AWS BADNAWAR BUDHNI SARDARPUR RAISEN-AWS UJJAIN-AWS PACHMARHI KANNOD-ARG CHICHOLI MANDLA-AWS REWA-AWS KHAJURAHO KHURAI DEORI -- 5each; GANJBASODA JAORA BHAINSDEHI SONKATCH TONKHURD CHACHODA KHIRKIYA-ARG RAJGARH HOSHANGBAD-AWS GARHAKOTA SIDHI-AWS SAGAR-AWS -- 4each; HANUMANA JHABUA-AWS KHACHROD NARSINGARH BADNAGAR DHAR-AWS GAUTAMPURA THIKRI RATLAM-AWS SHUJALPUR SHEGAON NALKHEDA -- 3; GADARWARA PANNA-AWS MAIHAR GUDH AJAIGARH REHLI BICHHIA -- 2each; KOTMA ANUPPUR-AWS NOWGONG LANJI CHINDWARA-AWS KARELI BALAGHAT-AWS WARASEONI SINGRAULI-AWS SOHAGPUR-AWS HARDA-AWS ISAGARH KOLARAS NALCHHA SUVASARA ATNER MULTAI HARDA-AWS CHANDERI BHABHRA KHILCHIPUR BARWAHA SEODHA(SEONDHA) TARANA MANASA SALWANI%SILVANI SHAJAPUR-AWS MHOW -- 2each; AGAR KARERA SUSNER LAHAR DABRA INDORE-AWS JABOT SAILANA GUNA-AWS MAHIDPUR SHEOPUR-AWS BIAORA VIDISHA-AWS MAHESHWAR HARSUD-ARG -- 1each;

Chhattisgarh :- Kusumi -- 11; Pathalgaon -- 8; Wadrafnagar -- 6; Jashpurnagar Surajpur -- 5each; Katghora Pandaria -- 4each; Bharatpur Kunkuri Odgi Mainpat Shivarinarayan Kartala Korba Kawardha -- 3each; Manendragarh Jaijaipur Berla -- 2each; Pakhanjur Bhaiyathan Rajpur Ambikapur Sakti Bilaspur Khairagarh Rajnandgaon Bemetara Simga -- 1each;

Vidarbha :- Malkapur -- 6; Salekasa -- 3; Bhandara Deori Malegaon Chihkali Chikhaldara Daryapur -- 2each; Bhiwapur Mauda Hingna Nagpur(AP) Amgaon Tirora Goregaon Gondia Etapalli Joiti Saoli Karanjalad Mangrulpir Risod Sindhakhedraja Lonar Dharni Dhamangaon rly Chandur rly Nandgaonkhandeshwar Murtizapur Balapur -- 1each;

Weather Forecast for next 5 days * valid upto 0830 Hrs IST of 26 July 2017 Meteorological Sub-division wise detailed 5 days rainfall forecast is given in Table 1.

No significant change in maximum and minimum temparatures over Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha & Chhattisgarh during next 2 days.

Outlook for subsequent two days from 26 July 2017 to 28 July 2017 RA/TSH Very likely to occur at many places over Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha and Chhattisgarh.

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Weather Warnings for next 5 days * valid upto 0830 Hrs IST of 26 July 2017

Heavy to very heavy rainfall very lilely at isolated places over West Madhya 21-Jul-2017 Pradesh. Heavy rainfall very likely at isolated places over East Madhya (Day 1) Pradesh.

22-Jul-2017 Heavy rainfall very likely to occur at isolated places over West Madhya Pradesh. (Day 2)

23-Jul-2017 No warning (Day 3)

24-Jul-2017 No warning (Day 4) 25-Jul-2017 No warning (Day 5)

* The Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day Legend : Warning Probability of WARNING (TAKE ACTION) UnlikelyOccurence <(%) 25 ALERT (BE PREPARED) Likely 25 - 50 WATCH (BE UPDATED) Very Likely 50 - 75 NO WARNING (NO Most Likely > 75 ACTION)

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Table 1

5 Day Rainfall Forecast

Outlook for next two days valid 21-Jul 22-Jul 23-Jul 24-Jul 25-Jul Met Sub- from 0830 hrs division IST of 26-Jul to Today Sat Sun Mon Tue 0830 hrs IST of 28-Jul

West Madhya WS WS FWS SCT SCT FWS Pradesh

East Madhya WS FWS FWS SCT SCT FWS Pradesh

Vidarbha FWS SCT SCT SCT SCT FWS

Chattisgarh FWS SCT SCT SCT SCT FWS

Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day Legend : % Station Reporting Rainfall 76 - 100 WS Widespread / Most Places 51-75 FWS Fairly Widespread / Many Places 26-50 SCT Scattered / A Few Places 1-25 ISOL Isolated No Rain DRY Dry

------Old Terminal Building, DBAI Airport, Sonegaon, Nagpur - 440005 Tel. No. : 91-712-2282157, 2288544 Fax. No. : 91-712-2282157