China AI Development Report 2018
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
China AI Development Report 2018 China Institute for Science and Technology Policy at Tsinghua University China Institute for Science and Technology Policy at Tsinghua University Add: School of Public Policy & Management, Tsinghua University, Haidian, Beijing, 100084, China Tel: +861062797212 July 2018 E-mail: [email protected] Website: http://cistp.sppm.tsinghua.edu.cn/ 清华大学 中 国 科 技 政 策 研究中 心 China Institute for Science and Technology Policy at Tsinghua University Contents FOREWORD ..........................................................................................01 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ...........................................................................03 1. AI: Concept, Methods and Data .........................................................08 1.1 Concept of AI ................................................................................................................09 1.2 Research Methods and Data .......................................................................................09 2. AI S&T Output and Talent ..................................................................12 2.1 AI Paper Output ................................................................................................ 13 2.1.1 Paper Output: World and China .........................................................................13 2.1.2 High-impact Papers: World and China ..............................................................20 2.1.3 Paper Citation: World and China .......................................................................25 2.2 AI Patent Output ............................................................................................... 28 2.2.1 Global AI Patent Output .....................................................................................28 2.2.2 China's AI Patent Output ....................................................................................32 2.3 AI Talent ........................................................................................................... 33 2.3.1 Global AI Talent Distribution .............................................................................33 2.3.2 China's AI Talent Distribution ............................................................................41 3. AI Industry Development and Market Applications ............................45 3.1 AI Enterprise Distribution ................................................................................. 46 3.1.1 Regional Distribution of Chinese AI Enterprises ...............................................46 3.1.2 Establishment Time of Chinese AI Enterprises .................................................48 3.1.3 Specialized Areas of Chinese AI Enterprises ......................................................49 3.2 AI Industry Investment ..................................................................................... 50 3.2.1 Investment and Financing Scale of China's AI Industry ...................................50 3.2.2 Regional Differences of AI Industry Investment and Financing in China .........51 3.2.3 Investment and Financing Round Changes in China's AI Industry ..................52 3.3 Structure and Scale of The AI Market ................................................................ 52 3.3.1 Structure of China's AI Market ...........................................................................52 3.3.2 Scale of China's AI Market ..................................................................................53 3.4 AI Industry Standards ....................................................................................... 53 3.4.1 International AI Standards .................................................................................53 3.4.2 Chinese AI Standards ..........................................................................................54 3.5 AI Products and Applications ............................................................................ 54 3.5.1 AI-Powered Devices ............................................................................................54 3.5.2 Industry Applications of AI .................................................................................57 4. AI Development Strategy and Policy Environment ............................61 4.1 International AI Strategy and Policy ................................................................. 62 4.1.1 Key AI Policy Initiatives in Major Countries and Regions ..................................62 4.1.2 Key AI Research and Application Areas in Major Countries and Regions.........64 4.1.3 AI Policy Advancement Agencies in Major Countries and Regions ..................67 4.2 China’s National AI Policy ................................................................................. 70 4.2.1 China’s National AI Policy Trend ........................................................................70 4.2.2 Evolution of China's National AI Policy Themes ...............................................72 4.2.3 Citation Network Analysis of China's National AI Policy...................................77 4.3 China's Provincial-level AI Policy ...................................................................... 78 4.3.1 Number of Provincial-level AI Policy Documents .............................................78 4.3.2 Citation Relationship of Provincial-level AI Policies .........................................81 4.3.3 Theme Analysis of National and Provincial-level AI Policies ............................82 5. Public Perception and General Impact of AI ......................................85 5.1 Public Perception of AI ..................................................................................... 86 5.1.1 Survey of Public Perception of AI .......................................................................86 5.1.2 Differences in Public Interest in AI .....................................................................88 5.1.3 Public Attitudes towards AI ................................................................................91 5.2 General Impact of AI on Society ........................................................................ 92 5.2.1 AI's Impact On Education and Employment .....................................................93 5.2.2 AI's Impact on Privacy and Security ..................................................................94 5.2.3 AI's Impact on Social Equality ............................................................................94 5.3 Survey of China's AI Education ......................................................................... 95 5.3.1 Current Situation of China's AI Education Development .................................95 5.3.2 Questionnaire on AI Education ..........................................................................97 6. Reflection and Outlook ...................................................................103 6.1 Summary and Reflection ..........................................................................................104 6.2 Research Limitations and Prospect ..........................................................................106 Appendix 1: List of Main AI Conferences ..............................................108 Appendix 2: Category Description .......................................................108 Appendix 3: Two Dimensions of AI Enterprise Identification ...............109 Appendix 4: AI Standards and Norms ..................................................110 Appendix 5: AI Policy Data Sources .....................................................111 Working Group and Acknowledgement ..............................................112 About the Sponsoring Organizations ..................................................114 China AI Development Report 2018 FOREWORD Artificial intelligence (AI) has gradually become While AI has penetrated all aspects of society, a reality from a sci-fi dream along with the production and everyday life, opinions still vary as approaching of the Fourth Industrial Revolution. to the definition of AI and its current development Since the idea was put forward for the first time and future direction. Governments, the public and in 1956, AI has experienced ups and downs the business community have all shown a strong in its development. It is not until the second interest in this emerging technology. Domestic decade of the 21st century, with the confluence and overseas research institutes have also paid of breakthroughs in core algorithms, rapid close attention to China’s AI development and improvement of computing capabilities and the published various research reports, but their views availability of massive amounts of digital data, that and observations and even some basic facts they AI has finally taken a leap forward and grabbed cited were not entirely objective and less than worldwide attention. After AlphaGo's victory over comprehensive. In view of this, China Institute for Go player Lee Sedol in 2016, however, the global Science and Technology Policy (CISTP) at Tsinghua excitement about AI has been mixed with concerns University, Government Documents Center at about its negative implications. Nonetheless, it is Tsinghua University School of Public Policy and obvious that countries around the world have seen Management (SPPM-GDC) and Chinese Institute AI as a critical arena of international competition of Engineering Development Strategies (CIEDS), and are rolling AI initiatives to secure a favorable together with Clarivate Analytics, ScientistIn,