Integration of Capital Markets in the European Union
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www.pwc.com/financialservices Capital Markets Union: Integration of Capital Markets in the European Union September 2015 2 PwC Capital Markets Union Contents Preamble 03 Executive Summary 04 Introduction to the Capital Markets Union 08 Why a Capital Markets Union in Europe? 08 A Capital Markets Union to support the real economy by 2019 10 A report to assess market-based development and integration 10 Section 1: Market-based financing is underdeveloped 12 1.1 The EU is dominated by loan-based finance 13 1.2 There is room to increase the depth of capital markets for NFCs 15 1.3 Lack of alternative ways of financing 18 1.4 Securitisation as a compromise to bank loans 21 1.5 A heterogeneous and concentrated capital market 24 Section 2: The integration of capital markets is already underway 28 2.1 Indicators based on prices 28 2.1.1 Stock markets are showing signs of convergence 28 2.1.2 The crisis has hindered bond market convergence 31 2.1.3 The loan market is highly fragmented 33 2.2 Indicators based on economic decisions of agents 35 2.2.1 Increased capital flows within the EU confirm increased integration 36 2.2.2 Financial hubs are evidence of capital markets integration 38 2.2.3 Home-biased capital markets need further integration 40 Section 3: Barriers to the Capital Markets Union 42 3.1 Impediments to market-based finance 42 3.2 Impediments to integration 46 Section 4: Observations and conclusion 50 Appendix 54 Appendix 1: Bibliography 55 Appendix 2: Additional figures 57 Appendix 3: List of tables and figures 67 PwC Capital Markets Union 3 Preamble Our report focuses on the objectives of the European Commission’s initiative to develop a Capital Markets Union Our goal with this report is to offer analysis We then provide an overview of the and evidence which can be helpful to structure of capital markets, with an policymakers and firms alike as they analysis of the level of integration, seeking consider the near term changes proposed to identify the main blockages preventing in the Commission’s 2015 action plan for further integration. We then offer a CMU, as well as the opportunities which observations on measures that could be further policy measures could unlock. (and in some cases are being) considered to ease integration. PwC, by virtue of its work and roles within the financial services industry, has A Capital Markets Union certainly offers experience relevant to the debates taking the potential to foster higher levels of place in Europe about the direction, scope, sustainable economic growth in the EU. ambitions and priorities for a Capital We hope that our report will be useful to Markets Union. support the prioritisation that should be set to reach this important objective. Achieving a Capital Markets Union is an ambitious initiative. In this report, we Brian Polk start by examining the current levels of PwC UK integration of EU capital markets. 4 PwC Capital Markets Union Executive Summary Capital Markets Union (CMU) is the European Commission’s plan to diversify and improve access to funding of businesses in the real economy, thereby supporting higher levels of economic growth and job creation across the EU. The CMU aims to foster stronger, of the integration of capital markets GDP, debt securities 220%, and listed shares sustainable economic growth by: in EU countries by looking at various 115%. creating deeper and more integrated metrics. Third, we aim to identify barriers capital markets in the European Union preventing the development of market- NFCs need capital markets with greater (EU); removing barriers to cross-border based finance and the integration of capital depth. The debt market is mainly dominated investments; increasing competition markets across the EU. Fourth, we provide by government issuance (45% of total and reducing costs of raising capital; a set of observations aimed at addressing debt securities) while NFCs’ issuance of and improving access to financing for the barriers identified. debt remains limited, representing 7.6% of businesses, especially for Small and total debt securities. Monetary Financial Medium-sized Enterprises (SMEs). To achieve a true CMU, two different but Institutions (MFIs) are seen as contributors complementary approaches need to be to the depth of the loan market rather than More efficient capital markets would pursued: first, the CMU should foster the to the debt and equity markets. NFCs’ access improve the allocation of capital and development of market-based sources of to finance depends on their relative size. thereby also foster economic growth. financing; and second, it should promote Small NFCs mostly rely on a single owner Better integrated markets and diversified the increased integration of capital or a family and entrepreneurs, whereas funding sources would also increase markets by removing barriers to cross- larger NFCs tend to finance themselves on economic resilience by improving the border transactions. Our report and its the capital markets using public issuance diversity of investment funding sources. recommendations maintain the distinction or venture capital. This shows the difficulty between these two approaches. smaller NFCs have in diversifying their The CMU initiative also comprises various sources of funding. risks. Market volatility can increase Market-based finance is systemic risks, reduce the ability of small underdeveloped in Europe Alternatives to traditional methods of and local players to access finance and risk The EU is dominated by loan-based financing are limited. Alternatives to bank the weakening of investor protections in finance. More specifically, non-financial loans and large capital markets remain some places through the harmonisation corporations (NFCs) rely mostly on loans limited. Private equity and venture capital process. and have a limited role in the debt market, are still underdeveloped despite showing while EU households prefer banks when signs of recovery. While crowdfunding Our report seeks to assess development investing their assets. Loan liabilities in the is fast-growing, it remains a tiny market, and integration of EU capital markets. EU account for 212% of EU Gross Domestic focused mainly on the very early stages of We start by analysing the structure and size Product (GDP), assets of debt securities a company’s development. Private equity, of capital markets in Europe, highlighting are worth 171% of GDP, and listed shares venture capital, business angels and potential differences with other global issued in the EU represent 60% of GDP. By crowdfunding combined represent a mere regions. Second, we assess the degree contrast, in the US loans represent 147% of 0.5% of GDP. PwC Capital Markets Union 5 Securitisation has been in steady The integration of capital time. Even when taking into account decline. Securitisation allows loans and markets is already underway country specific risk, credit conditions other receivables to become tradable, We have measured the level of integration remain different from one country to and can therefore (indirectly) foster of capital markets by using two types of another. Other indicators, such as the the financing of firms, especially SMEs. indicators: those based on price and those evolution of credit market conditions Securitisation issuance, however, has not based on the economic decisions of agents. applied by banks to NFCs, do not follow recovered to its pre-crisis level mainly Below is a summary of our key findings. the same path across EU countries. because of the misuse associated with the Finally, SMEs’ access to finance remains subprime crisis and the use of alternatives, Stock markets are showing signs of particularly fragmented in that access to such as covered bonds. From 2001 to 2008, convergence. Stock market returns finance differs from one country to the the annual growth rate of securitisation of EU economies are showing signs of other. issuance was at 36.1 %, but decreased convergence. Correlations of stock market by 13.4% on average every year from returns for EU countries compared to Increasing capital flows within the 2009 until 2014. That said, regulatory returns of the benchmark country have EU confirm increased integration. changes are set to boost the securitisation increased over time, showing that stock Integration is reflected through the market by setting up regulations aimed markets are becoming increasingly internationalisation of the operations of at standardising and increasing the connected to each other. However, financial institutions. Among the top banks transparency of this type of products. distressed economies, such as Greece and in each country, all leading banks in the Spain, have shown decreased integration EU are headquartered in an EU country. EU capital markets are heterogeneous due to idiosyncratic issues such as Finally, the share of cross-border deals and concentrated. Capital markets in government insolvency. On the other side, value is increasing over time demonstrating the EU are concentrated in the largest countries such as the Czech Republic, that EU Member States are increasingly economies: the UK, France and Germany. Hungary, Slovakia, Estonia and Slovenia becoming interconnected and integrated. Reliance on capital markets for financing have shown increased convergence. varies enormously from one EU country Financial hubs provide evidence of to another. For instance, the use of listed Yield convergence has eased in the euro capital markets integration. Barriers shares is a common practice in Western area, but the crisis has hindered bond from capital flows have been sufficiently Europe, whereas debt securities are market convergence. Being part of the low to allow the specialisation of countries generally unavailable to firms in the least monetary union facilitates the convergence in terms of financial services, especially developed EU economies. process for the bond market. However, regarding the investment fund industry. the sovereign debt crisis has significantly Some countries, such as Luxembourg and A Capital Markets Union could be based slowed yield convergence in the euro area Ireland, have positioned themselves as on a series of specialist markets, with compared to the non-euro area.