ESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee Fifty-Third Session 24-25 February
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Bishop Jane Alexander and the Rev. Patrick Stephens
Learning through Lent A PWRDF resource by Bishop Jane Alexander and the Rev. Patrick Stephens 2021 Table of Contents Introduction, Lent 2019 .......................................................................................................3 Easter Garden Activity Plan ................................................................................................4 Creation is our story Ash Wednesday to Saturday: February 17–Fevbruary 20 ..........................................6 Creation: A relationship of respect e First Week of Lent: February 22_February 27 ....................................................14 Who we are and how we are called e Second Week of Lent: March 1–March 6 ............................................................26 Water and re: life in the balance e ird Week of Lent: March 8–March 13 .............................................................42 One world, one faith, many nations e Fourth Week of Lent: March 15–March 20 .........................................................54 Incarnation and redemption: a natural connection e Fih Week of Lent: March 22–March 27 ............................................................66 A personal commitment to creation discipleship Holy Week to Easter: March 29–April 4 .....................................................................78 How to read this resource ON PAPER ON A SCREEN IN AN EMAIL Download and print the PWRDF story links are Subscribe at PDF. Links to PWRDF also embedded within the pwrdf.org/Lent2021 to stories are included for text of the reection and receive an email every your reference. will take you directly to morning, Story links are our website. embedded in the text. Introduction Welcome to PWRDF’s 2021 Lent resource, “Creation care: climate action,” prepared as part of our three-year education focus of the same name. While COVID-19 has swept climate change concerns from the headlines over the past year, PWRDF partners around the world and here in Canada, continue to address the impacts of a changing climate on the communities they serve. -
Efforts for Emergency Observation Mapping in Manila Observatory
Efforts for Emergency Observation Mapping in Manila Observatory: Development of a Typhoon Impact Estimation System (TIES) focusing on Economic Flood Loss of Urban Poor Communities in Metro Manila UN-SPIDER International Conference on Space-based Technologies for Disaster Risk Reduction – “Enhancing Disaster Preparedness for Effective Emergency Response” Session 4: Demonstrating Advances in Earth Observation to Build Back Better September 25, 2018 Ma. Flordeliza P. Del Castillo Manila Observatory EMERGENCY OBSERVATION MAPPING IN MANILA OBSERVATORY • Typhoon Reports • Sentinel Asia Data Analysis Node (2011-present) • Flood loss estimation for urban poor households in Metro Manila (2016-present) 1. Regional Climate Systems (RCS) – Hazard analysis (Rainfall and typhoon forecast) 2. Instrumentation and Efforts before typhoon arrives Technology Development – Automated Weather Stations 3. Geomatics for Environment and Development – Mapping and integration of Hazard, Exposure and Vulnerability layers Observing from space and also from the ground. Efforts during typhoon event Now, incorporating exposure and vulnerability variables Efforts after a typhoon event Data Analysis Node (Post- Disaster Event) Image Source: Secretariat of Sentinel Asia Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency, Sentinel Asia Annual Report 2016 MO Emergency Observation (EO) and Mapping Protocol (15 October 2018) Step 1: Step 2: Step 3: Establish the Apply for EMERGENCY Elevate status to LOCATION/COVERAGE of OBSERVATION to International Disaster EOR Sentinel Asia (SA) Charter (IDC) by ADRC Step 6: Step 5: Step 4: Upload maps in MO, SA MAP Download images & IDC websites PRODUCTION Emergency Observation Mapping Work • December 2011 – T.S. Washi “Sendong” • August 2012 – Southwest Monsoon Flood “Habagat” • ” Emergency Observation Mapping Work • December 2011 – T.S. Washi “Sendong” • August 2012 – Southwest Monsoon Flood “Habagat” • December 2012 – Bopha “Pablo” • August 2013 – Southwest Monsoon Flood and T.S. -
Situation Update 1
SITUATION UPDATE 1 1. HIGHLIGHTS a. The combination of weather systems (Tropical Storms LINFA and NANGKA, and the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone combined with cold air) affected the Lower Mekong Region. This resulted in widespread flooding and landslides in multiple provinces of Cambodia, Lao PDR, and Viet Nam. b. Severe Tropical Storm SAUDEL is forecasted to hit Central Viet Nam on 25 October 2020. This will be the third tropical cyclone to impact the central provinces within three consecutive weeks. c. The floods, landslides, storms, and winds in Central Viet Nam affected an estimated 801K people, 160K houses, 112.8K hectares of land damaged or destroyed, 42 commune health stations (Quang Tri: 32; Quang Ngai: 5; Quang Nam: 4; and one regional clinic), 362 educational institutions, 14.7 km of roads, and the loss of 462K livestock (cattle and poultry). About 26.3 km of coastal landslide was also reported. Casualties were also reported (111 dead and 22 missing*). *highest number reported as of 21 October 2020 source: VNDMA d. The Government of Viet Nam identified several humanitarian needs: 6,500 tons of rice**, 5.5 tons of dried food, 20,000 boxes of instant noodles, medicines, disinfectants, and search and rescue equipment. **the Government of Viet Nam will shoulder rice provision e. The UN Resident Coordinator in Viet Nam provided a report summarising sectoral needs for Education, Food Security, Health & Nutrition, Protection & Gener, Shelter, and Water, Sanitation and Hygiene. f. Viet Nam Disaster Management Authority (VNDMA) has organised response missions to the affected provinces. It has also maintained close coordination with its partners. -
Appendix 8: Damages Caused by Natural Disasters
Building Disaster and Climate Resilient Cities in ASEAN Draft Finnal Report APPENDIX 8: DAMAGES CAUSED BY NATURAL DISASTERS A8.1 Flood & Typhoon Table A8.1.1 Record of Flood & Typhoon (Cambodia) Place Date Damage Cambodia Flood Aug 1999 The flash floods, triggered by torrential rains during the first week of August, caused significant damage in the provinces of Sihanoukville, Koh Kong and Kam Pot. As of 10 August, four people were killed, some 8,000 people were left homeless, and 200 meters of railroads were washed away. More than 12,000 hectares of rice paddies were flooded in Kam Pot province alone. Floods Nov 1999 Continued torrential rains during October and early November caused flash floods and affected five southern provinces: Takeo, Kandal, Kampong Speu, Phnom Penh Municipality and Pursat. The report indicates that the floods affected 21,334 families and around 9,900 ha of rice field. IFRC's situation report dated 9 November stated that 3,561 houses are damaged/destroyed. So far, there has been no report of casualties. Flood Aug 2000 The second floods has caused serious damages on provinces in the North, the East and the South, especially in Takeo Province. Three provinces along Mekong River (Stung Treng, Kratie and Kompong Cham) and Municipality of Phnom Penh have declared the state of emergency. 121,000 families have been affected, more than 170 people were killed, and some $10 million in rice crops has been destroyed. Immediate needs include food, shelter, and the repair or replacement of homes, household items, and sanitation facilities as water levels in the Delta continue to fall. -
7 the Analysis of Storm Surge in Manila Bay, the Philippines
INTERNATIONAL HYDROGRAPHIC REVIEW MAY 2019 THE ANALYSIS OF STORM SURGE IN MANILA BAY, THE PHILIPPINES By Commander C. S. Luma-ang Hydrography Branch, National Mapping and Resource Information Authority, (Philippines) Abstract In 2013, Typhoon Haiyan produced a storm surge over seven metres in San Pedro Bay in the Philippines that killed approximately 6,300 people. The event created significant public awareness on storm surges and exposed the lack of records and historical research in the Philippines. This study investigated the tidal height records during intense cyclone activities in 2016 and 2017 to provide accurate information about storm surge development in the largest and most populated coastal area in the country – Manila Bay. The results of this investigation indicated that there are consistencies in the characteristics of tropical cyclones that produce larger storm surges. The results also show that actual storm surge heights are generally smaller than predicted height values. Résumé En 2013, le typhon Haiyan a provoqué une onde de tempête de plus de sept mètres dans la Baie de San Pedro aux Philippines, faisant près de 6 300 victimes. Cet événement a provoqué une importante sensibilisation du public envers les ondes de tempête et a mis en évidence le manque d’archives et de recherches historiques aux Philippines. La présente étude a examiné les enregistrements des hauteurs des marées au cours d’activités cycloniques intenses en 2016 et 2017 afin de fournir des informations précises sur le développement d’ondes de tempête dans la zone côtière la plus étendue et la plus peuplée du pays, la Baie de Manille. -
Humanitarian Civil-Military Coordination for Asia and the Pacific
REGIONAL CONSULTATIVE GROUP HUMANITARIAN CIVIL-MILITARY COORDINATION FOR ASIA AND THE PACIFIC HUMANITARIAN CIVIL-MILITARY COORDINATION IN EMERGENCIES: TOWARDS A PREDICTABLE MODEL FOREWORD The Regional Consultative Group (RCG) on Humanitarian This revised publication was produced through Civil-Military Coordination (CMCoord) for Asia and collaboration between the ASEAN Coordinating Centre for the Pacific is a key forum for supporting and elevating Humanitarian Assistance on disaster response, the United coordination, building relationships, and sharing learning Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs to enhance and strengthen emergency response. When – Regional Office for Asia and the Pacific, the Australian the RCG was formed in 2014, it was tasked with improving Civil-Military Centre and Humanitarian Advisory Group. awareness and enhancing the predictability of CMCoord Expert practitioners and researchers contributed their mechanisms, and their respective functions, during large- time to ensure the information is accurate and accessible. scale disaster response. As a result, the RCG initiated Like the initial version, the publication will be regularly the development of the first version of Humanitarian updated to reflect operational environments accurately. Civil-Military Coordination in Emergencies: Towards a Predictable Model, which focused on explaining the As the current Chair of the RCG, we recognize that effective legislation, coordination mechanisms, approach to and humanitarian CMCoord enables timely, efficient and leadership of disaster management in the five most effective response, and we appreciate every investment disaster-prone countries in Asia: Bangladesh, Nepal, and effort of the relevant individuals, governments and Indonesia, Myanmar and the Philippines. The publication organizations in the revision of this publication. We trust was launched in 2017, and soon became a key reference for that it will receive due attention and support future the CMCoord community. -
News Release
NEWS RELEASE January 27th, 2016 Weathernews Looks Back at 2015: A Year of Storms Powerful Typhoons Occurred with Changing Patterns in El Niño Years Weathernews Inc. (Chiba, Japan; Chihito Kusabiraki/CEO) has analyzed the unusually frequent occurrence of tropical cyclones in the western north Pacific Ocean last year. Last month, Typhoon Melor became the last of typhoon of 2015, a year that saw the occurrence of at least one tropical storm every month. Among the twenty-seven named storms seen in 2015, eighteen of them were full-fledged typhoons. This is thought to be the influence of the current El Niño phenomenon which started after summer of 2014, and is one of the strongest ever El Niño events on record. This El Niño event is peaking now, and is expected to dissipate by summer of 2016. Based on past El Niño years that peaked near the end of the year and dissipated in the spring/summer of the following years, tropical cyclones in the dissipating year tend to be fewer and weaker. Weathernews continues to monitor and forecast the development of tropical cyclones that can have a major impact on people. 2015 Typhoon Season: El Niño Event Leads to First Time on Record for Monthly Development of Tropical Cyclones Tropical cyclones occurred in every month of the year in 2015. Four occurred in the winter when tropical cyclones typically do not occur. Three cyclones existed simultaneously in July (see Figure 1). This Nangka became the fastest pace of tropical cyclone generation in recorded history. The Linfa previous record was set in January to Chan-hom November 1965, for eleven months consecutive development of tropical cyclones. -
Hong Kong Observatory, 134A Nathan Road, Kowloon, Hong Kong
78 BAVI AUG : ,- HAISHEN JANGMI SEP AUG 6 KUJIRA MAYSAK SEP SEP HAGUPIT AUG DOLPHIN SEP /1 CHAN-HOM OCT TD.. MEKKHALA AUG TD.. AUG AUG ATSANI Hong Kong HIGOS NOV AUG DOLPHIN() 2012 SEP : 78 HAISHEN() 2010 NURI ,- /1 BAVI() 2008 SEP JUN JANGMI CHAN-HOM() 2014 NANGKA HIGOS(2007) VONGFONG AUG ()2005 OCT OCT AUG MAY HAGUPIT() 2004 + AUG SINLAKU AUG AUG TD.. JUL MEKKHALA VAMCO ()2006 6 NOV MAYSAK() 2009 AUG * + NANGKA() 2016 AUG TD.. KUJIRA() 2013 SAUDEL SINLAKU() 2003 OCT JUL 45 SEP NOUL OCT JUL GONI() 2019 SEP NURI(2002) ;< OCT JUN MOLAVE * OCT LINFA SAUDEL(2017) OCT 45 LINFA() 2015 OCT GONI OCT ;< NOV MOLAVE(2018) ETAU OCT NOV NOUL(2011) ETAU() 2021 SEP NOV VAMCO() 2022 ATSANI() 2020 NOV OCT KROVANH(2023) DEC KROVANH DEC VONGFONG(2001) MAY 二零二零年 熱帶氣旋 TROPICAL CYCLONES IN 2020 2 二零二一年七月出版 Published July 2021 香港天文台編製 香港九龍彌敦道134A Prepared by: Hong Kong Observatory, 134A Nathan Road, Kowloon, Hong Kong © 版權所有。未經香港天文台台長同意,不得翻印本刊物任何部分內容。 © Copyright reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced without the permission of the Director of the Hong Kong Observatory. 知識產權公告 Intellectual Property Rights Notice All contents contained in this publication, 本刊物的所有內容,包括但不限於所有 including but not limited to all data, maps, 資料、地圖、文本、圖像、圖畫、圖片、 text, graphics, drawings, diagrams, 照片、影像,以及數據或其他資料的匯編 photographs, videos and compilation of data or other materials (the “Materials”) are (下稱「資料」),均受知識產權保護。資 subject to the intellectual property rights 料的知識產權由香港特別行政區政府 which are either owned by the Government of (下稱「政府」)擁有,或經資料的知識產 the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (the “Government”) or have been licensed to 權擁有人授予政府,為本刊物預期的所 the Government by the intellectual property 有目的而處理該等資料。任何人如欲使 rights’ owner(s) of the Materials to deal with 用資料用作非商業用途,均須遵守《香港 such Materials for all the purposes contemplated in this publication. -
Towards Predicting Rice Loss Due to Typhoons in the Philippines S
The International Archives of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences, Volume XLII-4/W19, 2019 PhilGEOS x GeoAdvances 2019, 14–15 November 2019, Manila, Philippines TOWARDS PREDICTING RICE LOSS DUE TO TYPHOONS IN THE PHILIPPINES S. Boeke1,4, M.J.C. van den Homberg1, A. Teklesadik, 1 J. L. D. Fabila 2, D. Riquet 3, M. Alimardani 4 1 510, an initiative of the Netherlands Red Cross 2 Philippine Red Cross 3 German Red Cross 4 Tilburg University Commission IV KEY WORDS: Typhoons, Philippines, Machine Learning, impact-based forecasting, rice loss ABSTRACT: Reliable predictions of the impact of natural hazards turning into a disaster is important for better targeting humanitarian response as well as for triggering early action. Open data and machine learning can be used to predict loss and damage to the houses and livelihoods of affected people. This research focuses on agricultural loss, more specifically rice loss in the Philippines due to typhoons. Regression and binary classification algorithms are trained using feature selection methods to find the most important explanatory features. Both geographical data from every province, and typhoon specific features of 11 historical typhoons are used as input. The percentage of lost rice area is considered as the output, with an average value of 7.1%. As for the regression task, the support vector regressor performed best with a Mean Absolute Error of 6.83 percentage points. For the classification model, thresholds of 20%, 30% and 40% are tested in order to find the best performing model. These thresholds represent different levels of lost rice fields for triggering anticipatory action towards farmers. -
During the Past Several Days, the MJO Remained Active, with the Enhanced Convective Phase Propagating Over the Eastern Pacific and Western Hemisphere
During the past several days, the MJO remained active, with the enhanced convective phase propagating over the eastern Pacific and Western Hemisphere. The amplitude of the RMM index decreased slightly, but remained highly amplified in Phase-7. A very robust and highly amplified Wave-1 asymmetry continued in the upper level velocity potential field, which is reflected by a robust MJO signal in the CPC index. Three tropical cyclones developed over the central Pacific. Tropical Storm Ela developed near 15N and 140W and quickly weakened while moving northwestward well east of Hawaii. A pair of tropical depressions, One-C and Two-C, developed southwest and south of Hawaii, respectively. These storms are forecast to move generally westward over the next several days, with only modest intensification. During the remainder of the Week-1 period, there is high confidence for additional tropical cyclogenesis over the eastern Pacific. The NHC is currently monitoring two disturbances, one south of Mexico, and the other west of 120E. During Week-2, the MJO and El Nino favor additional tropical cyclone formation over the eastern Pacific. Forecasts for above and below average rainfall were adjusted in this update to reflect the latest tropical cyclone track guidance and dynamical model consensus. The original discussion released on 7 July 2015 follows. --------------- The MJO remained active with a very high amplitude. The amplitude, on July 6th, was the highest July value on record at CPC, based on data going back to 1981. The enhanced convective phase is currently located over the Central Pacific, with both the CPC velocity potential index and the Wheeler-Hendon RMM based index indicating the same general geographic region for enhanced activity and eastward propagation. -
MASARYK UNIVERSITY BRNO Diploma Thesis
MASARYK UNIVERSITY BRNO FACULTY OF EDUCATION Diploma thesis Brno 2018 Supervisor: Author: doc. Mgr. Martin Adam, Ph.D. Bc. Lukáš Opavský MASARYK UNIVERSITY BRNO FACULTY OF EDUCATION DEPARTMENT OF ENGLISH LANGUAGE AND LITERATURE Presentation Sentences in Wikipedia: FSP Analysis Diploma thesis Brno 2018 Supervisor: Author: doc. Mgr. Martin Adam, Ph.D. Bc. Lukáš Opavský Declaration I declare that I have worked on this thesis independently, using only the primary and secondary sources listed in the bibliography. I agree with the placing of this thesis in the library of the Faculty of Education at the Masaryk University and with the access for academic purposes. Brno, 30th March 2018 …………………………………………. Bc. Lukáš Opavský Acknowledgements I would like to thank my supervisor, doc. Mgr. Martin Adam, Ph.D. for his kind help and constant guidance throughout my work. Bc. Lukáš Opavský OPAVSKÝ, Lukáš. Presentation Sentences in Wikipedia: FSP Analysis; Diploma Thesis. Brno: Masaryk University, Faculty of Education, English Language and Literature Department, 2018. XX p. Supervisor: doc. Mgr. Martin Adam, Ph.D. Annotation The purpose of this thesis is an analysis of a corpus comprising of opening sentences of articles collected from the online encyclopaedia Wikipedia. Four different quality categories from Wikipedia were chosen, from the total amount of eight, to ensure gathering of a representative sample, for each category there are fifty sentences, the total amount of the sentences altogether is, therefore, two hundred. The sentences will be analysed according to the Firabsian theory of functional sentence perspective in order to discriminate differences both between the quality categories and also within the categories. -
APPEAL Philippines Typhoon Goni and Vamco PHL202
ACT Alliance APPEAL PHL202 Appeal Target: US$ 1,912,033 Balance requested: US$ 1,912,033 Humanitarian Response to Typhoons Goni and Vamco Affected Communities Appeal target : USD1,766,003 Balance requested : USD1,154,820 Table of contents 0. Project Summary Sheet 1. BACKGROUND 1.1. Context 1.2. Needs 1.3. Capacity to Respond 1.4. Core Faith Values 2. PROJECT RATIONALE 2.1. Intervention Strategy and Theory of Change 2.2. Impact 2.3. Outcomes 2.4. Outputs 2.5. Preconditions / Assumptions 2.6. Risk Analysis 2.7. Sustainability / Exit Strategy 2.8. Building Capacity of National Members 3. PROJECT IMPLEMENTATION 3.1. ACT Code of Conduct 3.2. Implementation Approach 3.3. Project Stakeholders 3.4. Field Coordination 3.5. Project Management 3.6. Implementing Partners 3.7. Project Advocacy 3.8. Engaging Faith Leaders 4. PROJECT MONITORING 4.1. Project Monitoring 4.2. Safety and Security Plans 4.3. Knowledge Management 5. PROJECT ACCOUNTABILITY 5.1. Mainstreaming Cross-Cutting Issues 5.1.1. Participation Marker 5.1.2. Anti-terrorism / Corruption 5.2. Conflict Sensitivity / Do No Harm 5.3. Complaint Mechanism and Feedback 5.4. Communication and Visibility 6. PROJECT FINANCE 6.1. Consolidated budget 7. ANNEXES 7.1. ANNEX 1 – Simplified Workplan 7.2. ANNEX 2 – Summary of Needs Assessment (open template) 7.3. ANNEX 3 – Logical Framework (compulsory template) Mandatory 7.4. ANNEX 4 – Summary table (compulsory template) Mandatory PHL 202 – Humanitarian Response to Communities Affected by Typhoons Goni and Vamco Project Summary Sheet Project Title Humanitarian