A Case Study of Christian Conservatives and Conflict
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THE PSYCHOLOGICAL DYNAMICS OF GROUP-BASED CONSIDERATIONS ON PARTISANSHIP: A CASE STUDY OF CHRISTIAN CONSERVATIVES AND CONFLICT IN THE REPUBLICAN PARTY DISSERTATION Presented in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree Doctor of Philosophy in the Graduate School of The Ohio State University By Erin Stamatia McAdams, B.A., M.A. **** The Ohio State University 2009 Dissertation Committee: Approved by Professor Herbert F. Weisberg, Advisor Professor Paul Allen Beck _____________________________ Professor Kathleen M. McGraw Advisor Graduate Program in Political Science © Copyright by Erin Stamatia McAdams 2009 ABSTRACT Although party identification is generally long-lasting and stable, alterations to partisanship do occur. Because partisanship is a form of social identification, the social groups that comprise political parties serve as meaningful reference points for individuals. This study thus investigates the psychological dynamics underlying the ways in which group-based considerations shape partisanship to better understand the conditions under which individuals become disaffected with their own party – particularly to the extent that they potentially defect. Specifically, the project examines the conditions under which affect toward subgroups translates to affect toward the political party, thus shaping attitudes toward its presidential primary candidates, partisan identity and the strength of partisanship. The primary proposition of this study is that party images – or their perceptions of subgroup influence on the party – condition these effects, particularly for those who are not members of the subgroup in question. In other words, affective and cognitive reactions to these groups interact such that those who perceive that a negatively evaluated group is “taking over” the party should cause some partisans to weaken their attachments. This project utilizes the conflict occurring within the Republican Party‟s coalition as the result of the mobilization of Christian conservatives into its base as a case study. ii Over past 30 years, the core of the Republican Party has altered substantially. Once dominated by economic conservatives, the GOP has experienced considerable growth in its Christian conservative constituency. Although this group‟s financial and electoral support has provided many short-term gains for the party, some have questioned whether the inclusion of this group may have negative, long-term consequences for the party – as the increasing influence of Christian conservatives on the party may alienate the traditional core of the party and cause them to defect. Relying on data obtained from an original mail survey of registered voters in Franklin County, Ohio, during the 2008 presidential campaign, the project finds that the perception that Christian conservatives are too influential on the GOP does condition this relationship for non-evangelical Republicans‟ partisan attitudes and feelings toward its presidential primary candidates. These perceptions of influence also directly shape the strength of their partisan identity and determine whether they weaken their partisanship over the course of the 2008 campaign. iii FOR JUSTIN my monkey, my love and for my parents RONALD AND IRENE McADAMS who encouraged me to reach for “high apple pie, in the sky” hopes iv ACKNOWLEDGMENTS This dissertation would not have been possible without a substantial amount of support from a variety of individuals. However, no single person has challenged – and encouraged – me on this project more than my advisor, Herbert Weisberg, who has taught me the true meaning of being a scholar. Since the start of my graduate career, he has offered invaluable intellectual and professional advice – and he still continues to do so. I am indebted to him for regularly meeting with me, which he offered even despite his busy schedule as department chair. On this project especially, he provided excellent guidance on both methodological and substantive issues and yet gave me enough latitude to explore my own ideas. His dedication, patience and professional example have helped me to become a better scholar and person, and I remain deeply fortunate to have encountered such a wonderful teacher, role model and friend. Every student should be so lucky as to have a mentor such as him! And I offer countless and very sincere thanks to him for his enduring support of my research, of my career and of me. I also owe a great deal of gratitude to my committee members Paul Beck and Kathleen McGraw for their guidance on this project. Both challenged me to move beyond my intellectual “comfort zone,” particularly with regard to the foundations of this v research. They helped to shape the initial ideas of this dissertation into fruition and also provided a great deal of thoughtful feedback on this project. Many individuals at Ohio State have also helped to shape my graduate career. I am thankful for the tutelage of Jan Box-Steffensmeier and Alan Wiseman, who helped me to develop critical skills in research and teaching. I also thank Larry Baum and Wayne DeYoung for helping me to understand the pedagogical and practical aspects of teaching political science, Bill Miller and Josh Morris for their generous assistance in printing surveys, and the front office staff for their kind support on administrative matters. I thank the Graduate School at Ohio State for providing partial financial support for my data collection through an Alumni Grant for Graduate Research and Scholarship. Of course, this dissertation would not have been possible if I had not been inspired to become a political scientist in the first place. My undergraduate experiences at Allegheny College made me realize my aspiration to become a scholar and teacher, and I continue to strive to be as intellectually stimulating, challenging and encouraging to my students as these professors were to me: Irwin Gertzog, Michael Maniates and Eric Pallant. I would also like to thank my colleague and friend Anand Sokhey, with whom I collaborated on the research for this project and who generously included my survey questions on the post-convention and election waves of this panel study. Although not our first collaborative research effort – and hopefully, not our last – this was the most fun. I am also grateful to have many friendships that were invaluable to provide the sanity – and often, moments of insanity – needed to complete this project. I offer many vi sincere thanks to Nicoleta Bazgan, Roman and Madeline Ivanchenko, Danielle Langfield, Patricia Mendez, Dag Mossige, Amanda Rosen, Anita Saha, Konstantin Vössing, Srdjan Vucetic, Mark Vuchenich and Lorenzo Zambernardi. Few individuals are as blessed to have family members who support you as unconditionally as I have. In particular, my parents, Ronald and Irene McAdams, have provided both financial and emotional support throughout my career. They instilled in me a love for American politics and history, a respect for the educational experience and the strength to accomplish my many dreams. They – as well as my sister, Stephanie – have encouraged me at each stage throughout graduate school, praising every minor accomplishment and comforting every setback. The constant love and support from them have helped me to move many “rubber tree plants” throughout my life, and this experience has been no different. I am eternally grateful to them for their support. Finally, and most importantly, I am indebted to my husband, Justin Earl Lance, without whom this research project literally would not have been successful. He stapled, folded and helped to stuff more than 10,000 surveys – without pay – over the course of this panel study. He read – and re-read – previous drafts of the project and spent endless hours discussing this research with me. But his support that led to the completion of this dissertation extends far beyond these tedious tasks. His encouragement carried me throughout each stage of this project, and his patience taught me the importance of believing – not just that I would finish this project – but in myself as well. His unwavering love and support render him the best husband, partner, colleague, officemate and friend that I could imagine. And for that, I am truly grateful. vii VITA July 11, 1977……………………………. Born – McKeesport, Pa. 1999……………………………………... B.A., magna cum laude, Political Science, Allegheny College 2004……………………………………... M.A., Political Science, The Ohio State University 2002 to 2009…………………………... Graduate Research and Teaching Associate, The Ohio State University PUBLICATIONS Weisberg, Herbert F., and Erin S. McAdams. “Change in the Components of the Electoral Decision: The Nature of Short-term Forces in Elections. Electoral Studies, forthcoming. FIELDS OF STUDY Major Field: Political Science viii TABLE OF CONTENTS Page Abstract…………………………………………………………………………….. ii Dedication………………………………………………………………………….. iv Acknowledgments………………………………………………………………….. v Vita…………………………………………………………………………………. vii List of Tables………………………………………………………………………... x List of Figures………………………………………………………………………. xii CHAPTERS: 1. Introduction………………………………………………………………… 1 2. A Psychological Theory of the Group-based Nature of Partisanship……….. 17 3. The Extent of Conflict within the Republican Party……………………….. 46 4. The Impact of Group-based Considerations on Partisan and Candidate Attitudes……………………………………………………………………. 71 5. The Consequences for Republicans‟ Strength of Partisanship……………... 111 6. Democrats‟ Attitudes toward the Republican Party………………………... 135 7. Conclusion………………………………………………………………….