Critique of Serious Astrology / Science, Magic, & Metascience Velikovsky
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the Skeptical Inquirer Critique of Serious Astrology / Science, Magic, & Metascience Velikovsky and China / Follow-ups on Ions, Hundredth Monkey VOL. XI NO. 3 / SPRING 1987 $5.00 Published by the Committee for the Scientific Investigation of Claims of the Paranormal Skeptical Inquirer _ THE SKEPTICAL INQUIRER is the official journal of the Committee for the Scientific Investigation of Claims of the Paranormal. Editor Kendrick Frazier. Editorial Board James E. Alcock, Martin Gardner, Ray Hyman, Philip J. (Class, Paul Kurtz, James Randi. Consulting Editors Isaac Asimov, William Sims Bainbridge, John R. Cole, Kenneth L. Feder, C. E. M. Hansel, E. C. Krupp, Andrew Neher, James E. Oberg, Robert Sheaffer, Steven N. Shore. Managing Editor Doris Hawley Doyle. Public Relations Andrea Szalanski (director), Barry Karr. Production Editor Kelli Sechrist. Business Manager Mary Rose Hays. Systems Programmer Richard Seymour. Typesetting Paul E. Loynes. Audio Technician Vance Vigrass. Librarian, Peter Kalshoven. Staff Norman Forney, Mary Beth Gehrman, Diane Gerard, Erin O'Hare, Alfreda Pidgeon, Andrea Sammarco, Lori Van Amburgh. Cartoonist Rob Pudim. The Committee for the Scientific Investigation of Claims of the Paranormal Paul Kurtz, Chairman; philosopher, State University of New York at Buffalo. Lee Nisbet, Special Projects Director. Mark Plummer, Acting Executive Director. Fellows of the Committee James E. Alcock, psychologist, York Univ., Toronto; Eduardo Amaldi, physicist, University of Rome, Italy. Isaac Asimov, biochemist, author; Irving Biederman, psychologist, SUNY at Buffalo; Brand Blanshard, philosopher, Yale; Mario Bunge, philosopher, McGill University; Bette Chambers, A.H.A.; John R. Cole, anthropologist. Institute for the Study of Human Issues; F. H. C. Crick, biophysicist, Salk Institute for Biological Studies, La Jolla, Calif.; L. Sprague de Camp, author, engineer; Bernard Dixon, science writer, consultant; Paul Edwards, philos opher, Editor, Encyclopedia of Philosophy, Antony Flew, philosopher, Reading Univ., U.K.; Andrew Fraknoi, astronomer, executive officer, Astronomical Society of the Pacific; editor of Mercury; Kendrick Frazier, science writer. Editor, THE SKEPTICAL INQUIRER; Yves Callfret, Exec. Secretary, I'Union Rationaliste; Martin Gardner, author, critic; Murray Gell-Mann, professor of physics, California Institute of Technology; Henry Gordon, magician, columnist, broadcaster, Toronto; Stephen Jay Gould, Museum of Comparative Zoology, Harvard Univ.; C. E. M. Hansel, psychologist, Univ. of Wales; Al Hibbs, scientist, Jet Propulsion Laboratory; Sidney Hook, prof, emeritus of philosophy, NYU; Ray Hyman, psychologist, Univ. of Oregon; Leon Jaroff, sciences editor. Time; Lawrence Jerome, science writer, engineer; Philip J. Klass, science writer, engineer; Marvin Kohl, philosopher, SUNY College at Fredonia; Edwin C. Krupp, astronomer, director, Griffith Observatory; Lawrence Kusche, science writer; Paul MacCready, scientist/engineer, AeroVironment, Inc., Monrovia, Calif.; David Marks, psychologist. University College London; William V. Mayer, biologist, University of Colorado, Boulder; David Morrison, professor of astronomy, University of Hawaii; Dorothy Nelkin, sociologist, Cornell University. Lee Nisbet, philosopher, Medaille College; James E. Oberg, science writer; Mark Plummer, lawyer, acting executive director, CSICOP, Buffalo, N.Y.; W. V. Quine, philosopher. Harvard Univ.; James Randi, magician, author; Carl Sagan, astronomer, Cornell Univ.; Evry Schatzman, President, French Physics Association; Thomas A. Sebeok, anthropologist, linguist, Indiana University; Robert Sheaffer, science writer; B. F. Skinner, psychologist, Harvard Univ.; Dick Smith, film producer, publisher, Terrey Hills, N.S.W., Australia; Robert Steiner, magician, author, El Cerrito, California; Stephen Toulmin, professor of social thought and philosophy, Univ. of Chicago; Marvin Zelen, statistician. Harvard Univ.; Marvin Zimmerman, philosopher, SUNY at Buffalo. (Affiliations given for identification only.) Manuscripts, letters, books for review, and editorial inquiries should be addressed to Kendrick Frazier, Editor, THE SKEPTICAL INQUIRER. 3025 Palo Alto Dr., N.E., Albuquerque, NM 87111. Subscriptions, change of address, and advertising should be addressed to: THE SKEPTICAL INQUIRER, Box 229, Buffalo, NY 14215-0229. Old address as well as new are necessary for change of subscriber's address, with six weeks advance notice. Inquiries from the media and the public about the work of the Committee should be made to Paul Kurtz, Chairman, CSICOP, Box 229, Buffalo, NY 14215-0229. Tel.: (716) 834-3222. Articles, reports, reviews, and letters published in THE SKEPTICAL INQUIRER represent the views and work of individual authors. Their publication does not necessarily constitute an endorsement by CSICOP or its members unless so stated. Copyright CI987 by the Committee for the Scientific Investigation of Claims of the Paranormal, 3159 Bailey Ave., Buffalo, NY 14215-0229. Subscription Rates: Individuals, libraries, and institutions, $20.00 a year; back issues, S5.00 each (vol. I, no. I through vol. 2, no. 2, $7.50 each). Postmaster: THE SKEPTICAL INQUIRER is published quarterly. Spring, Summer, Fall, and Winter. Printed in the U.S.A. Second-class postage paid at Buffalo, New York, and additional mailing offices. Send changes of address to THE SKEPTICAL INQUIRER, Box 229. Buffalo, NY 14215-0229. Skeptical Inquirer Journal of the Committee for the Scientific Investigation of Claims of the Paranormal Vol. XI, No. 3 ISSN 0194-6730 Spring 1987 ARTICLES 244 The Elusive Open Mind: Ten Years of Negative Research In Parapsy chology by Susan Blackmore 257 Does Astrology Need to Be True? Part 2: The Answer Is No by Geoffrey Dean 274 Magic, Science, and Metascience: Some Notes on Perception by Dorion Sagan 282 Velikovsky's Interpretation of the Evidence Offered by China In His Worlds In Collision by Henrietta W. Lo NEWS AND COMMENT 226 London Newspaper Investigates Uri Geller/ Gallup Youth Poll / Astrology a la Francaise / Psychic's Office in Museum Exhibit / Indian Skeptics Group / Dear Abby's Advice on "Psychic" NOTES OF A FRINGE-WATCHER 236 The Anomalies of Chip Arp by Martin Gardner PSYCHIC VIBRATIONS 239 What ever happened to ancient astronauts, Targ and Harary's Delphi Associates, and Cedric Allingham? by Robert Sheaffer BOOK REVIEWS Henry H. Bauer, The Enigma of Loch Ness (Edward Kelly) Randolfo Rafael Pozos, The Face on Mars: Evidence for a Lost Civiliza tion? (Jon Muller) 298 SOME RECENT BOOKS 299 ARTICLES OF NOTE FOLLOW-UP 303 Watson and the 'Hundredth Monkey Phenomenon' by Ron Amundson 305 Clearing the Air About Ions by James Rotton 311 FROM OUR READERS Letters from George P. Hansen, Robert A. Baker, John L. Krump, John E. Dodes, Paul D. Spudis, Stephen L. Gillett, Martin Gardner, Richard H. Hall, Philip J. Klass, Jim Moore, James V. McConnell, Robert Steiner, Walter Eeman, and J. Alan Johnson. ON THE COVER: Illustration by Kelli Sechrist. News and Comment London Newspaper Series on Uri Geller Reveals Long Record of Deception RI GELLER'S attempt to make a Some examples: Upublic comeback (SI. Winter 1986- • On a popular British television 87) through talk shows, media demon show hosted by Terry Wogan, Geller, to strations, and his new book The Geller the audience's astonishment, replicated a Effect (published initially in Britain and drawing he had earlier asked Wogan to Canada), was dealt a blow recently by make and conceal. Walker and Dale re publication in London of a newspaper port that in rehearsals for this "telepathy" series critically investigating his claims. trick Geller had been peeking. "There was The tone and content of the three a dress rehearsal for the telepathy trick articles published in the Mail on Sunday with myself and the props girl Patricia in October by investigative reporters Iain McGowan," John Richards, a member Walker and John Dale (see Articles of of the production staff, told them. "Uri Note, p. 302) are typified by the headline told her to draw a picture and said we on the first of the series: "Come on Mr. all must turn our backs. I wondered why Geller, who do you think you are fool he had asked me to turn away. So I ing!" looked round and saw Uri had turned "A three-month worldwide investiga slightly and was peeping at Patricia tion by The Mail on Sunday shows that through his fingers. He was definitely his claims do not stand up to scrutiny," watching her doing the drawing. I actu the reporters state, "and that he now ally saw him cheating." (Their italics.) seems to believe his own tricks." • On the Wogan show, Geller man Britain has a more freewheeling tradi aged to restart a broken watch. "After tion of daily journalism that allows mix the show," report Walker and Dale, "we of fact and comment (Geller is bluntly took the watch to expert horologist called "a huge confidence trick on a gulli William Turk. He said: 'I am not sur ble public" and "the ultimate 20th century prised Mr. Geller re-started this watch. huckster"), but it is the solid reporting There is nothing wrong with it. There that here puts Geller into such unflatter was a tiny piece of hair on the mechan ing light. ism, but if anyone shook it in their hands 226 THE SKEPTICAL INQUIRER, Vol. 11 |IAIN WALKER AND JOHN PALE EXPOSE THE Tfl£*BJj£HIND THE MAG1C| Come on Mr Geller who do you think it would probably start. It often happens menting. He is not commenting." with watches that have been unattended • Geller claims that his powers were for years.' " used by scientists at the Naval Ocean • The reporters tested the Geller claim Systems Center in tests to control dol that he can detect a diamond while flying phins. The center's spokeswoman said: over it at hundreds of feet. (This is part "We do not know Mr. Geller." of his new emphasis on consulting to mining • Geller claims that the Korean companies.) "We showed him 84 match Ministry for National Defence flew him boxes and asked him to find the one con to its demilitarized zone to locate tunnels taining diamond, gold, silver, oil, and bored by North Koreans. The Korean coal. He blanched and refused. 'I won't defense spokesman told the reporters: do anything—I don't want to fail.' " "Mr.