Samrand Development (Pty) Ltd C2562/01Fs Proposed
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SAMRAND DEVELOPMENT (PTY) LTD C2562/01FS PROPOSED FILLING STATION DEVELOPMENT TO BE LOCATED ON ERVEN 1 AND 2, KOSMOSDAL EXTENSION 104 CENTURION, PRETORIA FEASIBILITY STUDY FEBRUARY 2019 REPORT SHEET PROJECT TITLE: PROPOSED FILLING STATION ON ERVEN 1 AND 2 KOSMOSDAL EXTENSION 104, CENTURION, PRETORIA FEASIBILITY STUDY PREPARED FOR: SAMRAND DEVELOPMENT (PTY) LTD PREPARED BY: CIVIL CONCEPTS (PTY) LTD PROJECT TEAM: MM GOUNDEN TRAFFIC ENGINEER WA KHAN TECHNOLOGIST Copy Date Done By Checked Approved V1 DRAFT 1 01/11/2018 WA KHAN MM Gounden MM Gounden V1 DRAFT 2 05/11/2018 WA KHAN MM Gounden MM Gounden V1 DRAFT 3 06/01/2019 WA KHAN MM Gounden MM Gounden V1 19/02/2019 WA KHAN MM Gounden MM Gounden DECLARATION I certify that this study has been prepared under my immediate supervision and that I have experience and training in the field of traffic and transportation engineering. Signed: Name: MM Gounden Qualification: BSc Eng (Civil) Registration Number: ECSA 2013 0143 TABLE OF CONTENTS PAGE EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 INTRODUCTION .............................................................................................................. 1 1.1 Background .................................................................................................. 1 1.2 Locality ........................................................................................................ 1 1.3 Methodology ................................................................................................. 2 2 PROPOSED FILLING STATION .......................................................................................... 3 2.1 Access ......................................................................................................... 3 2.2 Services ....................................................................................................... 3 3 IMPACT ON EXISTING SITES ............................................................................................ 4 3.1 Introduction ................................................................................................. 4 3.2 Competitor Sites ............................................................................................ 4 3.3 Catchment Markets ...................................................................................... 11 3.4 Future Development Traffic............................................................................ 11 3.5 Shared Traffic Volumes ................................................................................. 13 3.6 Future Road Network .................................................................................... 15 3.7 Moving Market Factor between Filling Stations ................................................... 15 4 ESTIMATED SALES ........................................................................................................ 17 4.1 Introduction ............................................................................................... 17 4.2 Traffic Demand ........................................................................................... 17 4.3 Average Fill ................................................................................................ 20 4.4 Interception Rate – Passing Traffic .................................................................. 20 4.5 Full Trading Days in a Month .......................................................................... 23 4.6 Expected Monthly Sales ................................................................................. 23 5 FEASIBILITY OF THE PROPOSED FILLING STATION AND IMPACT ON SURROUNDING SITES26 6 OTHER TRAFFIC ENGINEERING CONSIDERATIONS AT A FILLING STATION ..................... 27 6.1 Impact of Traffic Flow past the Site - Road Safety .............................................. 27 6.2 Delivery Path .............................................................................................. 27 7 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS ...................................................................... 28 7.1 Conclusions ................................................................................................ 28 7.2 Recommendations ....................................................................................... 28 REFERENCES ANNEXURES ANNEXURE A - LOCATIONS OF ADJACENT FILLING STATIONS WITHIN A 3.5 km RADIUS ANNEXURE B - SITE LAYOUT PLAN ANNEXURE C - TRAFFIC COUNT SURVEY DATA ANNEXURE D - SURVEY SHEETS ANNEXURE E - INTERCEPTION RATES GRAPH 6.2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This report analysed the feasibility of a proposed filling station on Erven 1 & 2 Kosmosdal Extension 102, Centurion, Pretoria. The proposed filling station will be located in the north-western quadrant of the Samrand Avenue / Rooihuiskraal Road (M37) junction. Calculations showed that the proposed development site is expected to pump out approximately 612 130 litres of fuel per month in its first year (2020), based on passing traffic volumes and the average fill per vehicle of its nearby competitors. The proposed filling station development will be serviced by two (2) accesses: A proposed marginal access (left-in, left-out only) off Samrand Avenue, the minimum distance from the centre line Samrand Avenue / Rooihuiskraal Road (M37) intersection to the bell mouth of left-in, left-out access will be 100m; and a second access to the proposed filling station will be provided as a full access off Rooihuiskraal Road (M37) at a distance of approximately 100m from the centre line Samrand Avenue / Rooihuiskraal Road (M37) intersection to the bell mouth of full access. This feasibility study was done by assessing the impact of the proposed filling station on nearby filling stations. The effect that the proposed filling station will have on the existing filling stations within a 3.5 km radius were considered. There are six (6) filling stations that fall within the 3.5 km radius and it was found that only one (1) of the existing filling station could be considered as competitor site. The other filling stations will not share traffic with the proposed development site due to physical barriers preventing traffic from travelling along the same routes to their origin-destination. The sales at the one (1) competitor site may decrease by a small margin as the proposed filling station may attract some of the customers from the existing filling station. The proposed filling station will generate a negligible number of new trips as a filling station is generally not a trip attractor. Samrand Phase 3 (Kosmosdal Extension 92) is a proposed mixed-use development taking place in the area that will consist of industrial park, offices and multi-level town houses. The proposed development will increase traffic volumes in the area over time, especially along Rooihuiskraal Road (M37) and Samrand Avenue, and will create a need for a new filling station in the area. In future, there will be changes to the road network. These changes include the extension of Samrand Avenue and Rietspruit Road westwards to intersect with future K71 and K73. There are planned provincial roads (K54 & K71) to west of the proposed development site and both runs in a north-south direction. These roads will intersect with the extension of Rietspruit Road and the extension of Samrand Avenue. 1 INTRODUCTION 1.1 Background Civil Concepts (Pty) Ltd was appointed by Samrand Development (Pty) Ltd to prepare a Feasibility Study (FS) for a proposed filling station development to be located in the north- western quadrant of the Samrand Avenue / Rooihuiskraal Road (M37) junction, on Erven 1 & 2 Kosmosdal Extension 102, Centurion, Pretoria. The anticipated opening year of the proposed filling station is 2020. The objective of this study is to determine the feasibility of locating a filling station on the subject site and to estimate the impact that the proposed filling station will have on the surrounding filling stations. 1.2 Locality The proposed filling station will be bordered by Samrand Avenue to the south and Rooihuiskraal Road (M37) to the east as shown in Figure 1.1 below. The locations of the existing filling stations within a 3.5 km radius of the proposed development site are shown in ANNEXURE A. PROPOSED FILLING STATION SITE Figure 1.1: Locality Plan 1 1.3 Methodology A feasibility study has to take the future income, accessibility, and its impact on surrounding filling stations into consideration. The following methodology has been used in the feasibility study: 1. Assess the impact of the proposed filling station on nearby filling stations; 2. Estimate sales of the proposed filling station using traffic count data and data from nearby filling stations; 3. Consider the feasibility of the site in terms of access to the site and impact of the development on the surrounding road network; and 4. Recommendations on the feasibility of the proposed filling station. 2 2 PROPOSED FILLING STATION 2.1 Access The proposed filling station development will be serviced by two (2) accesses. A proposed marginal access (left-in, left-out only) off Samrand Avenue and a proposed full access off Rooihuiskraal Road (M37). The proposed accesses to the filling station are positioned in accordance with the City Council of Pretoria’s “Guidelines for Access to Filling Stations in the Greater Pretoria Area (First Revision), March 2001” (refer to ANNEXURE B for the site layout plan). 2.1.1 Marginal Access off Samrand Avenue As per the Guidelines for Access to Filling Stations in the Greater Pretoria Area (First Revision), March 2001, Figure C2,