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Situation Update No. 7 M 7.4 Earthquake & Tsunami

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Situation Update No. 7 M 7.4 Earthquake & Tsunami SITUATION UPDATE NO. 7 M 7.4 EARTHQUAKE & TSUNAMI No. 7 Sulawesi, Indonesia Friday, 5 October 2018, 19:00 hrs (UTC+7) This Situation Update is provided by the AHA Centre for use by the ASEAN Member States and relevant stakeholders. The information presented is collected from various sources, including but not limited to, ASEAN Member States’ government agencies, UN, IFRC, NGOs and news agencies. SITUATION UPDATE 1 1. HIGHLIGHTS a. The cascading events on 28 September 2018 are characteristic of a catastrophic disaster scenario where major earthquakes triggered near-field tsunami, major liquefaction, and landslides, which resulted in direct damages, impacts, and constrained humanitarian access (AHA Centre). Updated information on disaster damages and impacts are available in Section 3. b. Based on the Letter D/01853/10/10/2018/16 from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MoFA) sent to the AHA Centre on 3 October 2018, it can be informed that Government of Indonesia has decided to receive, for the time being, assistance as follows: i. Air transportations (preferably C-130 or alike). ii. Tents (shelter kits) iii. Water treatment iv. Electric generators v. Financial donation from the foreign government should be channelled through National Board for the Disaster Relief (BNPB, sic). It is suggested that the financial donation from the Red Cross and NGOs be addressed to the Palang Merah Indonesia (Indonesian Red Cross). c. AHA Centre facilitated a Coordination Meeting for Diplomatic Missions and Humanitarian Partners on 5 October 2018 at AHA Centre Office, Graha BNPB 13th Floor, 1000-1200 hrs. The meeting was chaired by representatives from National Disaster Management Authority (BNPB) and Ministry of Social Affairs. Key summary from the coordination meeting is as follows: i. BNPB stresses that offer of assistance can be made through MoFA or AHA Centre, for further deliberation by Task Force for International Assistance. ii. BNPB informed that all international assistance (teams and relief items) must be directed to Balikpapan Sepinggan Airport (BPN), with CIQP facilities and teams presence there. AHA Centre and ASEAN-ERAT is also stationed at the BPN airport to support BNPB, Ministry of Health, Custom Office, Immigration Office, and National Agency of Drug and Food Control (BPOM) on facilitating the incoming international assistance. Halim Perdana Kusuma Airport (Jakarta) and Sultan Hassanudin Airport (Makassar) are used as logistic hubs strictly for domestic / in-country relief items and teams. iii. Operational contact points at Balikpapan and Palu will be shared to those who received acceptance from Government of Indonesia. iv. Humanitarian partners with in-country resources, capabilities, and equipment or procuring locally are advised to mobilised the relief items from Jakarta or Makassar. Partners are expected to shoulder all relief items mobilisation cost. v. BNPB also informed that a USD bank account has been opened to receive international donations, as can be found below. BNPB advised partners who have donated to inform Ministry of Foreign Affairs (Mr. Ronny P. Yuliantoro at [email protected]). Bank : Bank Negara Indonesia (BNI) Bank account : RPL 175 BNPB PDHLN PALU Account number : 75520903-8 SWIFT Code : BNINIDJA Branch : Bank Negara Indonesia (BNI) KCU Harmoni SITUATION UPDATE 2 vi. Humanitarian partners are requested to respect the decision of Government of Indonesia on limiting presence of foreign humanitarian workers in the affected areas. Permission will be given to operators / technicians of specific equipment brought from outside of the country, e.g. water treatment facilities, at a certain period of time. International humanitarian partners with local partners out on the ground may mobilise surge capacity from outside the country only to be stationed at Jakarta (or headquarter) and not to the affected areas. vii. BNPB stresses that humanitarian partners must send the following documents, together with a cover letter regarding the mobilization of relief items, to BNPB ([email protected] and cc to [email protected]) before mobilising any items or teams: - Donation Certificate - Packing list - Invoice - Manifest viii. As per guidance from the BNPB, for the time being, AHA Centre will not hold a coordination meeting, hence humanitarian partners are requested to wait for the letter of acceptance made by BNPB as basis for their operations. For follow up on the offer of assistance, humanitarian partners are requested to link up with the AHA Centre to reduce the coordination burden to the BNPB. d. AHA Centre had also facilitated a Coordination Meeting with Defence Attaches of States dispatching their military assets to support the emergency response operations on 5 October 2018 at AHA Centre Office, Graha BNPB 13th Floor, 1400- 1500 hrs. Foreign militaries offering assistance have come to a consensus that they stand ready to support the relief efforts and will stand guided by Indonesian Armed Forces (TNI). e. As at 5 October 2018, Government of Indonesia had received offers of assistance from 29 countries and 102 international (non-government) organisations outside of Indonesia. The list of offers of assistance had been collated by MoFA and AHA Centre before forwarding to relevant authorities. The figure below indicate types of assistance offered and progress status of the offers. To date, the offer of assistance being kindly requested to stand down (around 33%) are mostly on the search and rescue capabilities, i.e. to this offering entity BNPB has issued a Letter B.077/BNPB/Pusdiklat PB/HK.10.05/10/2018 addressed to partners who are kindly requested to stand down. Figure 1 Types of Assistance Offered by International Organisastions and NGOs (left) and Status of Offers (right) (Consolidated by AHA Centre) SITUATION UPDATE 3 f. ASEAN Emergency Response and Assessment Team (ERAT) is currently in Palu City. ASEAN-ERAT has supported BNPB to setup a Joint Operations and Coordination Centre for International Assistance (JOCCIA) co-locate with BNPB’s National Assisting Post (Pospenas) at Rumah Jabatan Gubernur (-0.903385, 119.888468). g. A one-week post event analysis on the international assistance coordination is available in Section 7. 2. SUMMARY OF EVENTS, FORECAST AND ANTICIPATED RISK a. The cascading events on 28 September 2018 are catastrophic disaster scenario when major earthquakes triggered near- field tsunami, major liquefaction, and landslides, which resulted in direct damages, impacts, and constrained humanitarian access (AHA Centre). b. Due to constant threat of strong aftershocks, there are possibilities of landslides in mountainous/hilly areas and liquefaction in urban areas. The figure below shows number of moderate earthquakes in Palu area from USGS (left) and forecast of ground movement for September from PVMBG (central and right) (Figure 2). Humanitarian partners may wish to exercise caution in purple zone areas. Access to potentially affected areas of Sigi and Parigi Moutong may be limited due to the high risk of landslide resulting from possible extensive ground movement arising from the 308 aftershocks reported thus far. Figure 2 Anticipated risks due to aftershocks and potential landslide – geological setting of Sulawesi Island is exhibit on the left side. c. According to ASEAN Specialised Meteorological Centre’s sub-seasonal forecast between 1 Oct and 15 Oct 2018, above-average rainfall is predicted to develop around the equator and is expected to persist until the end of the 1st fortnight in October. Slightly warmer temperatures are also forecasted which will favor the breeding conditions of mosquito vectors, greatly increasing the risk of vector-borne transmission (Figure 3). These wetter conditions may lead to increased risk of mudslides in large ground movements especially in areas indicated in Figure 2. SITUATION UPDATE 4 Figure 3 Sub-seasonal Forecast for ASEAN (ASMC) d. According to the Agency for Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics (BMKG) the Palu Koro Fault is the biggest in Sulawesi. It spans across Sulawesi and divide the island into the east and west blocks. The event on 28 September was four times stronger than the fault movements in Sumatera (the inland fault). Since 1900s, Sulawesi have been hit by tsunami 19 times, the latest one brings the number up to 20 times. BMKG stated that until 5 October, 439 aftershocks were recorded. The biggest magnitude is M 5.9. The seismic activity is slowly decreasing. 3. ASSESSMENT OF DAMAGE, IMPACT, AND HUMANITARIAN NEEDS a. A revised estimation from the National Disaster Management Authority (BNPB) suggest that in total around 2.4 million people were exposed to earthquake intensity V MMI and above in nine cities/regencies in Central Sulawesi, i.e. in Banggai, Banggai Kepulauan, Donggala, Morowali, Palu, Parigi Moutong, Posos, Tojo Una-una, and Toli-toli. The estimation has taken into consideration the 2018 population projection by National Statistical Agency (BPS), see figure below. From this updated figure, the total population that exposed to earthquake intensity VI and above is around 616,684 in Palu city, Donggala, and Sigi regencies. Figure 4 Updated Number of Population Exposed to Earthquake Intensity V MMI and above (Modified from BNPB) SITUATION UPDATE 5 b. At this point, BNPB indicated that around 66,926 houses may have been damaged, with 98.9% (66,238) of them located in Central Sulawesi Province. BNPB also confirmed 688 houses damaged in West Sulawesi. There is no disaggregated data yet on the severity of the house damage. Note
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