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The 13Th Five-Year Plan – China’S Transformation and Integration with the World Economy

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The 13th Five-Year Plan – China’s transformation and integration with the world economy Opportunities for Chinese and foreign businesses October 2016 kpmg.com/cn b The 13th Five-Year Plan – China’s transformation and integration with the world economy: Opportunities for Chinese and foreign businesses Contents Foreword 2 1. Investment and the 13th FYP: A new phase, new approach and new opportunities 4 1.1 China’s new phase of development – and the new opportunities within 1.2 The 13th FYP: Development strategy and investment opportunities 1.3 The seven aspects of the Chinese economy: Opportunity for FDI and ODI in the 13th FYP period 2. Innovative economic structure and industrial upgrade: Opportunities in emerging 14 industries and advanced services 2.1 Biopharmaceuticals: Opportunities abound in market consolidation and technical cooperation 2.2 New materials: Graphene and other cutting-edge materials emerging as the new darlings of industry 2.3 High-end equipment: An expanded programme of innovation highlights new opportunities 2.4 The internet: A golden age approaches as big data is elevated to a national strategic priority 2.5 Technology services: Technology finance bursts to the forefront of the industry 3. Intensive industry and industrial transformation: Opportunities in the traditional 24 industrial and services sectors 3.1 Natural resources: Clean utilisation and market access 3.2 Chemicals: Higher safety and environmental standards 3.3 Metallurgy: The upgrade of local industry 3.4 Traditional equipment: Smart manufacturing and service-oriented manufacturing 3.5 Traditional services: Commercial logistics and ‘Internet Plus’ 4. Coordinated regional systems and geospatial optimisation: Opportunities 34 in trans-regional infrastructure, city cluster connectivity and urban-rural development 4.1 Major trans-regional infrastructure: The ‘3+1’ regional strategy 4.2 Inter-city infrastructure: The ‘20+1’ city clusters 4.3 New city infrastructure: New urbanisation and the birth of new small and medium-sized cities 4.4 Agricultural infrastructure: The ‘beautiful countryside’ and ‘new countryside’ 5. Green development and ‘ecology first’: Opportunities in environmental 46 services, green finance and green technology 5.1 Third-party environmental governance: Water, air and soil 5.2 Green finance: Green lending, bonds, insurance and funds 5.3 Green technology: New energy vehicles and green building materials © 2016 KPMG Huazhen LLP — a People’s Republic of China partnership, KPMG Advisory (China) Limited — a wholly foreign owned enterprise in China, and KPMG — a Hong Kong partnership, are member firms of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. b The 13th Five-Year Plan – China’s transformation and integration with the world economy: Opportunities for Chinese and foreign businesses The 13th Five-Year Plan – China’s transformation and integration with the world economy: Opportunities for Chinese and foreign businesses告 1 6. An inclusive society and a better quality of life: Opportunities in 54 high-end, ‘safe’ consumption and public services 6.1 High-end consumer goods: E-commerce and the revitalisation of luxury consumption 6.2 Food safety: Inspections and traceability 6.3 Healthcare: The ‘Healthy China’ action plan 6.4 Education: Private capital and the future of education 6.5 The coming wave of investment in senior care 6.6 Maternal & infant care: The ‘two-child policy’ 6.7 Community services: Smart community ecosystems and service sector innovation 6.8 Insurance: Reform and opportunity 7. An open outlook and global integration: Opportunities in traditional 70 equipment manufacturing, natural resources, project contracting and cross-border agriculture 7.1 Traditional manufacturing: International production capacity cooperation 7.2 Natural resources: ODI and overseas commodity bases 7.3 Project contracting: ‘Belt and Road’ and outbound infrastructure development 7.4 Agriculture and food: Overseas M&A, foreign equity investment, and the future of China’s agricultural industry 8. Mature economic institutions and institutional reform: Opportunities 80 in monopoly industries, strategic sectors and modern services 8.1 Natural gas: Upstream and downstream reforms 8.2 Oil and petrochemicals: Price reforms and market access 8.3 Electricity: Rebooting the reform agenda 8.4 Telecommunications: Basic telecoms services and private sector investment 8.5 Rail: Market-oriented reforms and new interest from private capital 8.6 Finance: Financial system reforms and new space for private capital 9. Conclusion: A new beginning, a new plan, a new vision 88 9.1 A new beginning: The first five years of the next phase of China’s development 9.2 A New plan: Accelerating transformation, deepening reform and comprehensively opening up 9.3 A New vision: Market-driven, rules-based, global integration Appendix: Overview of sectoral opportunities arising from policy shifts relating 92 to China’s transformation, industry upgrading and regional development © 2016 KPMG Huazhen LLP — a People’s Republic of China partnership, KPMG Advisory (China) Limited — a wholly foreign owned enterprise in China, and KPMG — a Hong Kong partnership, are member firms of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. 2 The 13th Five-Year Plan – China’s transformation and integration with the world economy: Opportunities for Chinese and foreign businesses Foreword © 2016 KPMG Huazhen LLP — a People’s Republic of China partnership, KPMG Advisory (China) Limited — a wholly foreign owned enterprise in China, and KPMG — a Hong Kong partnership, are member firms of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. 2 The 13th Five-Year Plan – China’s transformation and integration with the world economy: Opportunities for Chinese and foreign businesses The 13th Five-Year Plan – China’s transformation and integration with the world economy: Opportunities for Chinese and foreign businesses告 3 KPMG’s Global China Practice (GCP) is pleased to release this businesses to invest in; it also offers outbound Chinese second report in our 13th Five-Year Plan (FYP) series. This report investors the opportunity to acquire resources and technology looks in more detail at the opportunities for Chinese and foreign abroad, and apply these to new businesses in the domestic businesses during the period from 2016-2020. market. In our first report,i we used the Proposal on Formulating the 2. China’s traditional monopolies, state-run utilities and public Thirteenth Five-Year Plan (2016-2020) on National Economic services are gradually becoming accessible to private and even and Social Development ii as a starting point for positing foreign investment. This opens new channels for foreign direct opportunities to invest along China’s ‘six narratives’ of investment (FDI) into China, and provides Chinese outbound development: Efficient China, Balanced China, Beautiful China, investors with the opportunity to form valuable synergies and Open China, Happy China and Transforming China. linkages between their domestic and overseas businesses. In this report, we take this analysis further by identifying 3. China will seek to promote broader, more bidirectional potential investment opportunities under each of the following openness, and build institutions and mechanisms that seven development priorities that underlie the Outline of encourage cooperation and are compatible with international the 13th Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social trade and investment rules. This will help promote the Development:iii orderly flow of factors of production both domestically and internationally, and lead to a more efficient allocation of 1. Developing an innovative economic structure and resources and more deeply integrated markets. As these accelerating industrial upgrading: Will bring opportunities for measures are implemented, they will better facilitate FDI and investment in emerging industries and advanced services outward direct investment (ODI). 2. Promoting industrial transformation: Will bring opportunities Supply-side structural reform is a key focus area in the 13th FYP for investment in the upgrade and transformation of around which other development-related initiatives will revolve. In traditional industrial and service sectors essence, the supply-side structural reforms have three major goals, 3. Establishing a new model of coordinated regional all of which also hint at significant opportunity for investment: development: Will bring opportunities for investment in and 1. Promote the upgrading of industrial structures in order to the operation and service of infrastructure in China expand the effective supply of mid-range and high-end goods 4. Advancing green development and putting ‘ecology first’: and services, and meet consumers’ increasingly sophisticated Will bring opportunities in environmental services, green and personalised material, cultural and environmental needs: finance and green technology This provides an opportunity for FDI into China’s advanced and emerging industries, and for ODI that seeks out advanced 5. Building a more inclusive society and improving quality of technology and best practices abroad for reintroduction into the life: Will bring opportunities in high-end,
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