INNOVATING TO REDUCE RISK Written Contributions – A – This publication is driven by input provided by the disaster risk community. The Global Facility of Disaster Risk and Recovery facilitated the development of the report, with funding from the UK Department of International Development. The World Bank Group does not guarantee the accuracy of the data in this work. The boundaries, colors, denominations, and other information shown on any map in this work do not imply any judgment on the part of the World Bank concerning the legal status of any territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries. Washington, D.C., June 2016 Editors: LFP Editorial Enterprises Designed by Miki Fernández Rocca (
[email protected]), Washington, D.C. © 2016 by the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank 1818 H Street, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20433, U.S.A. All rights reserved Manufactured in the United States of America. First printing June 2016 Table of Contents Preface 5 The Current State of Risk Information: Models & Platforms Past and Future Evolution of Catastrophe Models 8 Karen Clark (Karen Clark & Company) The Current State of Open Platforms and Software for Risk Modeling: Gaps, Data Issues, and Usability 13 James E. Daniell (Karlsruhe Institute of Technology) Visions for the Future: Model Interoperability 17 Andy Hughes, John Rees (British Geological Survey) Harnessing Innovation for Open Flood Risk Models and Data 21 Rob Lamb (JBA Trust, Lancaster University ) Toward Reducing Global Risk and Improving Resilience