Mb Group Credit Profile

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Mb Group Credit Profile MB GROUP CREDIT PROFILE Update as at 30 September 2020 AGENDA 1. MB Group today 2. 1Q/3M FY21 Results 3. Funding & Treasury 3.1 Funding: structure & evolution 3.2 Treasury: structure & evolution Annex 1. 12m figures as at June 20 MEDIOBANCA AT A GLANCE MB Group today Section 1 Revenues1 RWAs1 Key financial information1 Revenues: €2.5bn CETI : 16.1%, Tot. Cap: 18.8% Net profit: €600m Moody’s rating 3 Baa1 WM WM 10% ROTE adj: 10% S&P rating 3 : BBB 23% Consumer 3 CIB 25% C/I ratio: 47% Fitch rating : BBB- CIB Consumer 42% 4 23% 43% Total assets: €79bn DPS: €0 Other Loan book: €47bn Stated payout: 0% Other 23% 11% TFA: €64bn Loan/funding ratio: 85% No. of staff: 4.9k Market cap.3: €5.4bn Revenues (€m) Net profit (€m) ROTE adjusted2 2,525 2,513 2,419 Net profit 10% 10% 10% 2,196 adj.: 887 864 823 750 One-off 8% includ. Covid 600 June17 June 18 June19 June20 June17 June18 June 19 June 20 June17 June18 June19 June 20 1) Figures referred to FY20 period (June-end 2020 annual period) 3 2) Excluding items stemming from Covid emergency, systemic fund provisions, impairments on equity stakes and securities, and other positive/negative one-off items 3) As at 29 October 2020 4) In accordance with ECB guidance on Covid crisis AN INTEGRATED BUSINESS MODEL… MB Group today Section 1 HIGH SYNERGIC BUSINESS Capital light Wealth Corporate & Labour intensive Fee driver Fee driver Recurrent Management Inv.Banking Cyclical REALLOCATION OPPORTUNITY DIVERSIFICATION OPPORTUNITY EPS/DPS accretive Principal Capital intensive Revenue driver Consumer NII driver Source of capital Investing Banking Anti-cyclical HIGH RETURN BUSINESS 4 …BASED ON STRONG POSITIONING IN SPECIALIZED, HIGH MARGIN BUSINESS… MB Group today Section 1 WEALTH MANAGEMENT - ROAC 19% CONSUMER BANKING - ROAC 31% A reputable player in Affluent & Private “Compass: top Italian consumer credit operator” Affluent: CheBanca! on top of digital-technological frontier, sustainable and innovative offer Distribution and scoring built in 50 years Cost-efficient, strong credit risk assessment, Private: gathering UNHWI/HNWI, synergic with mid pricing margin driven corporate business, benchmark in private markets Countercyclical business Selected competences in alternative & traditional AM CIB - ROAC 13% PRINCIPAL INVESTING - ROAC 18% “The leading Italian IB, established role in Southern EU” “13% stake in Ass.Generali” Client driven, highly specialized, cyclical business Cost-efficient, strong credit risk assessment, Revenues, EPS, DPS stabilizer ~45% revenues from outside Italy Cost-tax free investment Leveraging MMA presence in France Potential source of capital Specialty Finance: from green field to sizable WHERE MEDIOBANCA IS NOT PRESENT CIB: large FICC business to be heavily restructured, problematic sectors such as ITA small business, shipping, real estate development RETAIL: large and oversized traditional retail branches network, legacy IT/CRM system 5 ROAC refers to 12M June 20 figures SUPPORTED BY A STRONG A&L STRUCTURE… MB Group today Section 1 Specialty Balance sheet as at 30 September 2020 Finance PB deposits 4% Mortgages Total: €81.9bn 15% 22% Retail Other Large deposits Leasing 12% corporate 28% 4% 35% €46.8bn Private €56.7bn Banking ECB 7% 11% Bonds to Loans/ institutional Consumer Loans Funding: 22% lending 57% Funding Bonds 28% 83% to retail 69% 12% CET11: 16.2% Total Capital: 18.8% Leverage Ratio1: 9.3% BB govies 36% Treasury Liquidity Net NSFR: 109%, LCR (end-of period): 164% 39% assets Treasury Treasury €15bn 34% €15bn liabilities 15% NPLs/loans: 4.2% gross, 1.9% net NPLs coverage: 57% Equity 12% Equity Inv. 5% Bad loans/loans: 1.0% gross, 0.2% net Corporate Bad loans coverage: 82% Client & bonds 14% other Assets Liabilities 8% Trading book 3% Loans : 43% corporate, 57% retail; ~80% Italy, ~20% non-domestic Funding: 55% from retail investors (12% bonds to retail, 28% retail deposits and 15% PB deposits) 1) CET1 FL: 14.6%; Leverage ratio FL: 7.4% 6 …WITH A LOW RISK PROFILE REAFFIRMED MB Group today Section 1 Loans under moratoria well below Italian average, Stage 2 high coverage, stage 3 aligned to EU averages Total granted moratoria Stage 2 loans Stage 3 loans % of loans¹ % of loans2 % of loans2 22.0% 25% 20.0% 3% 10.3% 15.0% 20% outstanding 3.8% 3.4% 10.0% 12.0% 10% 15% coverage 5.0% 53% 60.0% 0.0% 8% 45% 47% 50.0% 5.6% 10% -5.0%6% coverage 40.0% 11.3% -10.0%4% 5% 8.2% 6.4% -15.0%2% 4.3% 3.4% 6.5% 30.0% MB Listed ITA All ITA banks 0% -20.0%0% 20.0% banks MB EU avg. IT avg. MB EU avg. IT avg. MB: buffers well over SREP and MREL requirements MB: liquidity and funding ratios at strong levels 193% >800bps buffer 42.4% MREL liabilities 2x 4 >650bps fully loaded requirement 166% 165% 160% 164% LCR 109% 109% 16.2% 105% 103% 103% MREL req. NSFR 21.6% SREP req. 7.9%3 CET1 ratio (Sept20) MREL liabilities (% RWA, June20) Sept19 Dec19 Mar20 June20 Sept20 1) MB as at Sept.20. Source: Bank of Italy, as of 11 September 2020; ITA banks’ June20 results presentations, reports and pillar 3 2) Source: EBA Risk Dashboard – Data as of June 2020- %of loans (histogram) and coverage ratio (dots) 7 3) In March 2020 the ECB brought forward application of CRD V Article 105. This means that 75% of Mediobanca P2R (1.25%) is now met by CET1 instruments and the other 25% with Tier 2 instruments, bringing the SREP minimum CET1 requirement down from 8.25% to 7.94% 4) Sub stack at 20.2% vs 16.5% requirement BP19/23 STRATEGY, TARGETS CONFIRMED, NOW INCLUDING COVID IMPACT MB Group today Section 1 Shift to capital-light fee Revenue growth in a Enhanced return to business challenging environment shareholders Targeting industry-leading performance CET1 ratio progressively Revenues growth Earnings growth Profitability growth optimized at 13.5% throughout 2023 +4% CAGR1 +4% EPS CAGR1 ROTE23 @11% with a mix of cash dividend and share buyback CAPITAL MANAGEMENT POLICY DPS20 = 0, in accordance with ECB recommendation Dividend pay-out @70% in FY21, pending ECB guidance / authorization after end-Dec. 2020 Progressive optimization of CET1 to 13.5% confirmed by end-June 2023 as a mix of cash dividend and buybacks, the size and mix of which will be set annually depending on developments in the pandemic and Mediobanca stock price 8 1) 4YCAGR 19/23, including treasury shares cancellation (subject to ECB authorization) CSR/ESG PATH: DELIVERY COMMENCED, WELL ON TRACK MB Group today Section 1 FY20 non-financial performance Further ESG cornerstones set Several targets already reached, working to consolidate the remaining Employee competences enhanced with avg. training hours up 95% YoY (BPTarget23: 25%) in part to deal with Covid-19 emergency New Corporate Social Responsibility Committee at BoD level in addition Procedure adopted to reach targets for equal opportunities, including to the Group Sustainability specification in head-hunter mandates Management Committee AM: procedure started to include ESG criteria in investment evaluation (BPTarget23: 100% of new investments) CSR objectives included in the LTI €100m investments in outstanding Italian SMEs (BPtarget23: €700m) scheme as well as in BPlan23 ESG qualified products in clients’ portfolio up 20% (BPtarget23: up 30%) Group Sustainability Policy update €5.4m in FY20 for social/environmental proj. (BPtarget: €4m per year) MB Social Impact Fund: AUM up 29% (BPtarget23: up 20%) New Group Policy on Responsible Lending and Investing ESG bond issue: green and sustainable framework approved (BPtarget23: €500m) 36% of procurement exp. assessed with CSR criteria (BPtarget23: 40%) Customer satisfaction: CheBanca! CSI¹ in core segment² @74, NPS¹ @28 Materiality Matrix update (BPtarget23: 73 and 25) Energy: 93% from renewables (BPTarget23: lifted to 94%), CO2 down 6% (BPTarget23: revised to down 27%); hybrid cars: 13% (BPTarget23 : @90% of MB fleet) RAM Stable Climate Global Equities issued 1) CSI: Customer Satisfaction Index; NPS: Net Promoter Score 9 2) Core: Premier: clients with wealth between €100k and €5m AGENDA 1. MB Group today 2. 1Q/3M FY21 Results 3. Funding & Treasury 3.1 Funding: structure & evolution 3.2 Treasury: structure & evolution Annex 1. 12m figures as at June 20 1Q21: A POSITIVE START TO THE NEW FINANCIAL YEAR ALL BUSINESS SEGMENTS REACTING FAST 1Q/3M FY21 Results Section 2 Sound business recovery after lockdown, ahead of expectations and despite seasonality IB revenues picking up, pipeline rebuilding New loans in Consumer Banking back to 75% of pre-Covid levels, sufficient to offset loans expiring in 1Q WM: solid trend continuing in Affluent & Private segment Positive exit from moratoria in all business segments Consumer Banking: 90% of loans under moratoria have expired, ~90% of which have resumed regular payments Mortgages: 16% of loans under moratoria have expired, 85% of which have resumed regular payments Moratoria outstanding at MB Group halved to just 3% of loan book (€1.4bn), already provisioned Strong 1Q21 results Net profit up 4x QoQ to €200m, ROTE adjusted 9% CET1 at 16.2%1 (up 10bps QoQ), with 70% dividend payout2 accrued Revenues up 3% QoQ to €626m, driven by core revenues (NII+Fees up 9% QoQ) CIB rebounding (up 31%), solid trend in WM (up 4%), Consumer Banking holding up better than expected (down 2%) Cost of risk halved to 61 bps (141 bps in 4Q), Gross NPLs stable ~ 4% CSR/ESG strategy: delivery ongoing, with green bond issuance ahead of schedule 1) CET1 Phase-in. 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