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Overview of the Record Breaking 2005 Atlantic Hurricane Season Overview of the Record Breaking 2005

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Overview of the Record Breaking 2005 Atlantic Hurricane Season Overview of the Record Breaking 2005 NationalNational HurricaneHurricane ConferenceConference OverviewOverview ofof thethe RecordRecord BreakingBreaking 20052005 AtlanticAtlantic HurricaneHurricane SeasonSeason AprilApril 12,12, 20062006 MaxMax MayfieldMayfield andand StaffStaff NATIONALNATIONAL HURRICANEHURRICANE CENTERCENTER 2005 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON STATISTICS MIN. MAX. DIRECT U.S. NAME DATES PRESS WINDS DAMAGE (MB) (MPH) DEATHS ($ million) TS ARLENE 8 - 13 JUN 989 70 1 minor TS BRET 28 - 30 JUN 1002 40 1 H CINDY 3 - 7 JUL 991 75 1 320 H DENNIS 4 - 13 JUL 930 150 (4) 42 2230 H EMILY 11 - 21 JUL 929 160 (5) 6 minor TS FRANKLIN 21 - 29 JUL 997 70 TS GERT 23 - 25 JUL 1005 45 TS HARVEY 2 - 8 AUG 994 65 H IRENE 4 - 18 AUG 970 105 (2) TS JOSE 22 - 23 AUG 998 60 6 H KATRINA 23 - 30 AUG 902 175 (5) 1200 75000 TS LEE 28 AUG - 2 SEP 1006 40 H MARIA 1 - 10 SEP 962 115 (3) H NATE 5 - 10 SEP 979 90 (1) 2005 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON STATISTICS MIN. MAX. DIRECT U.S. NAME DATES PRESS WINDS DAMAGE (MB) (MPH) DEATHS ($ million) H OPHELIA 6 - 17 SEP 976 85 (1) 1 70 H PHILIPPE 17 - 24 SEP 985 80 (1) H RITA 18 - 26 SEP 895 180 (5) 7 10000 H STAN 1 - 5 OCT 977 80 (1) 80 ST UNNAMED 4 - 5 OCT 997 50 TS TAMMY 5 - 6 OCT 1001 50 minor H VINCE 8 - 11 OCT 988 75 (1) H WILMA 15 - 25 OCT 882 185 (5) 22 16800 TS ALPHA 22 - 24 OCT 998 50 26 H BETA 26 - 31 OCT 962 115 (3) TS GAMMA 14 - 21 NOV 1002 50 37 TS DELTA 22 - 28 NOV 980 70 H EPSILON 29 NOV - 8 DEC 981 85 TS ZETA 30 DEC - 6 JAN 994 65 SEASONSEASON HIGHLIGHTSHIGHLIGHTS •• MostMost activeactive AtlanticAtlantic hurricanehurricane seasonseason ofof recordrecord --28 28 stormsstormsdeveloped developed includingincluding 2727 namednamed tropicaltropical stormsstorms andand oneone subtropicalsubtropical storm.storm. ThisThis breaksbreaks thethe oldold recordrecord ofof 2121 setset inin 1933.1933. •• FifteenFifteentropical tropical stormsstorms becamebecame hurricaneshurricanes,, breakingbreaking thethe recordrecord ofof 1212 setset inin 1969.1969. •• SevenSevenof of thethe hurricaneshurricanes becamebecame majormajor hurricanes hurricanes.. ThisThis includedincluded thethe firstfirst timetime thatthat fourfour CategoryCategory 55 hurhurricanesricanes hadhad beenbeen observedobserved inin aa singlesingle AtlanticAtlantic seasonseason andand thethe firstfirst timetime thatthat fourfour majormajor hurricaneshurricanes hithit thethe UnitedUnited StatesStates inin oneone season.season. •• HurricaneHurricane WilmaWilmahad had thethe lowestlowest minimumminimum centralcentral pressurepressure everever observedobserved inin anan AtlanticAtlantic hurricanehurricane --882 882 mbmb.. TheThe centralcentral pressurepressure ofof WilmaWilma fellfell 8888 mbmb in in 1212 hours.hours. •• TheThe “Accumulated“Accumulated CycloneCyclone Energy”Energy” ( (ACE)ACE) forfor thethe seasonseason waswas 285%285% ofof medianmedian –– the the highesthighestvalue value ofof recordrecord forfor anan AtlanticAtlantic hurricanehurricane season.season. SEASONSEASON HIGHLIGHTSHIGHLIGHTS •• SevenSeven landfallslandfalls inin thethe UnitedUnited StStates,ates, includingincluding HurricaneHurricane Cindy,Cindy, DennisDennis,, KatrinaKatrina,, RitaRita,, andand WilmaWilmaalong along withwith TropicalTropical StormsStorms ArleneArlene andand Tammy.Tammy. HurricaneHurricane OpheliaOphelia alsoalso struckstruck thethe NorthNorth CarolinaCarolina coast,coast, althoughalthough thethe centercenter stayedstayed justjust offshore.offshore. •• DeathDeath tolltoll nearnear 1400,1400, includingincluding aroundaround 12001200 fromfrom KatrinaKatrina inin thethe UnitedUnited StatesStates -- the the deadliestdeadliest U.U. S.S. huhurricanerricane sincesince thethe PalmPalm Beach-LakeBeach-Lake OkeechobeeOkeechobee hurricanehurricane ofof 1928.1928. AdditiAdditionally,onally, aa largelarge areaarea ofof disturbeddisturbed weatherweather affectingaffecting CentralCentral AmericaAmerica atat thethe timetime ofof HurricaneHurricane StanStan maymay havehave causedcaused 1000-20001000-2000 deaths.deaths. •• TotalTotal damagedamage toto propertyproperty inin thethe UnitedUnited StatesStates estimatedestimated nearnear $104$104 billionbillion -- the the costliestcostliest U.U. S.S. hurrihurricanecane seasonseason ofof record.record. KatrinaKatrina causedcaused estimatedestimated damagedamage ofof $75$75 billion,billion, mmakingaking itit thethe costliestcostliest singlesingle hurricanehurricane inin U.U. S.S. history.history. •• TrackTrack forecastforecast verificationverification indicatesindicates thatthat thethe averageaverage forecastforecast errorserrors forfor 12-7212-72 hrhr werewere nearnear recordrecord lowlow levels.levels. 6 7575 mphmph 991991 mbmb 5 HurricaneHurricane CindyCindy 3 33 -- 7 7 JulyJuly 20052005 WSRWSR--88D88D ShowsShows CindyCindy WasWas AA HurricaneHurricane NearNear LandfallLandfall 70-74 kt winds at 8000 ft suggests 65 kt at the surface HurricaneHurricane DennisDennis 44 -- 13 13 JulyJuly 20052005 150150 mphmph 930930 mbmb Hurricane Dennis Landfall DennisDennis TrackTrack ForecastsForecasts 12001200 UTCUTC 66 JulyJuly DennisDennis’’ss DamageDamage Jennifer Petrandis HurricaneHurricane KatrinaKatrina 2222 -- 30 30 AugustAugust 20052005 175175 mphmph 902902 mbmb ImagesImages ofof KatrinaKatrina August 23 August 24 August 25 August 26 August 27 August 28 August 29 SatelliteSatellite LifeLife CycleCycle ofof KatrinaKatrina New Orleans Interstate 10 17th Street Levee Breach Lakeview Orleans Parish Orleans Parish Orleans Parish St Rita’s Nursing Home, St Bernard Parish NOAA “SLOSH” Maximum Envelope of Water Composite of Category 4 Storms Moving N at 15 mph NOAA SLOSH Storm Surge Data First Provided to New Orleans Area in 1989. NOAA first provided guidance for forecasting storm surge along the open U.S. Gulf and east coasts from the precursor to SLOSH known as “SPLASH”, in 1972. Levee overtopping in Katrina Picture by Don McCrosky, Entergy’s Michoud Power Plant Manager Pre Katrina Post Click to edit Master title styleKatrina MainlandClick to edit Master subtitle style Mississippi U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Pre Katrina Post Katrina Click to edit Master title style Click to edit Master subtitle style U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey TheThe HancockHancock CountyCounty EOCEOC waswas floodedflooded withwith 22 feetfeet ofof KatrinaKatrina’’ss stormstorm surge.surge. Interstate 10 & SR 603, Waveland Waveland Debris Line Gulfport Biloxi Before and After Katrina: Mississippi Coast Before and After Katrina: Mississippi Coast Pre Ivan Dauphin Island, AL Post Ivan Click to edit Master title style Post Katrina Click to edit Master subtitle style U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey KatrinaKatrina TrackTrack ForecastsForecasts 12001200 UTCUTC 2424 AugustAugust KatrinaKatrina TrackTrack ForecastsForecasts 00000000 UTCUTC 2727 AugustAugust HURRICANE HOTLINE at NHC Andy Newman Andy Newman Michael Brown, former director of the Federal Michael Brown, former director of the Federal Emergency Emergency Management Agency updated on Management Agency reviews projected-Hurricane Dennis Hurricane Dennis track with Brock Long, Bill O’Brien tidal surge levels for the Gulf coast with Brock Long and and Rodney Rose, Saturday, July 9, 2005 HLT Matthew Green, Saturday, July 9, 2005. Melissa Ann Janssen/FEMA White House Photo FEMA Hurricane Liaison Team Leader Brock Long and President George W. Bush is handed a map by Deputy Chief NWS hydrometeorologist Keith Stellman keep FEMA of Staff Joe Hagin, center, during a video teleconference with and affected States informed. federal and state emergency management organizations on hurricane Katrina from his Crawford, Texas ranch on Sunday August 28, 2005. DopplerDoppler WindWind ProfileProfile -- 2828 AugAug 1725-18201725-1820 UTCUTC 12 km SW NE Flight Level 1 km DopplerDoppler WindWind ProfileProfile -- 2929 AugAug 1000-10401000-1040 UTCUTC 12 km W NE Flight Level 1 km DramaticDramatic 12-h12-h changechange inin KatrinaKatrina WindWind Profile:Profile: CAT5-CAT3CAT5-CAT3 14 8585 mphmph 976976 mbmb HurricaneHurricane OpheliaOphelia 66 -- 17 17 SeptemberSeptember 20052005 OpheliaOphelia TrackTrack ForecastsForecasts 12001200 UTCUTC 99 SeptemberSeptember 43 175175 mphmph 897897 mbmb HurricaneHurricane RitaRita 1818 -- 26 26 SeptemberSeptember 20052005 SatelliteSatellite LifeLife CycleCycle ofof RitaRita Hurricane Rita Passing the Florida Keys Hurricane Rita Landfall NASA NASA Holly Beach, LA University of New Orleans before Hurricane Rita after Pictures by Rob Perillo RitaRita TrackTrack ForecastsForecasts 12001200 UTCUTC 1919 SeptemberSeptember 175175 mphmph 882882 mbmb HurricaneHurricane WilmaWilma 1515 -- 25 25 OctoberOctober 20052005 SatelliteSatellite LifeLife CycleCycle ofof WilmaWilma WilmaWilma’’ss DamageDamage Key West Marathon Marathon Marathon WilmaWilma TrackTrack ForecastsForecasts 12001200 UTCUTC 1919 OctoberOctober HowHow werewere thethe forecasts?forecasts? Errors cut in half in 15 years No progress with intensity? HowHow dodo wewe changechange thethe outcome?outcome? JHTJHT WebsiteWebsite www.nhc.noaa.gov/jht/index.shtml .
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