Hurricane Michael
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Tropical Cyclone Report for Hurricane Ivan
Tropical Cyclone Report Hurricane Ivan 2-24 September 2004 Stacy R. Stewart National Hurricane Center 16 December 2004 Updated 27 May 2005 to revise damage estimate Updated 11 August 2011 to revise damage estimate Ivan was a classical, long-lived Cape Verde hurricane that reached Category 5 strength three times on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale (SSHS). It was also the strongest hurricane on record that far south east of the Lesser Antilles. Ivan caused considerable damage and loss of life as it passed through the Caribbean Sea. a. Synoptic History Ivan developed from a large tropical wave that moved off the west coast of Africa on 31 August. Although the wave was accompanied by a surface pressure system and an impressive upper-level outflow pattern, associated convection was limited and not well organized. However, by early on 1 September, convective banding began to develop around the low-level center and Dvorak satellite classifications were initiated later that day. Favorable upper-level outflow and low shear environment was conducive for the formation of vigorous deep convection to develop and persist near the center, and it is estimated that a tropical depression formed around 1800 UTC 2 September. Figure 1 depicts the “best track” of the tropical cyclone’s path. The wind and pressure histories are shown in Figs. 2a and 3a, respectively. Table 1 is a listing of the best track positions and intensities. Despite a relatively low latitude (9.7o N), development continued and it is estimated that the cyclone became Tropical Storm Ivan just 12 h later at 0600 UTC 3 September. -
CMOS Bulletin SCMO Volume 38 No. 6 December 2010
ISSN 1195-8898 . CMOS Canadian Meteorological BULLETIN and Oceanographic Society SCMO La Société canadienne de météorologie et December / décembre 2010 Vol.38 No.6 d'océanographie Hurricane IGOR Track with Sea Surface Temperatures Trajectoire de l’ouragan IGOR et les températures de surface de la mer Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society Société canadienne de météorologie et d’océanographie ....from the President’s Desk CMOS Bulletin SCMO Volume 38 No.6 Friends and colleagues: December 2010 — décembre 2010 Canada’s Federal Inside / En Bref Science and Technology (S&T) from the President’s desk / Allocution du président Strategy, as by/par David Fissel page 197 introduced by the present government Cover page description in 2007, provides a Description de la page couverture page 198 framework for Canada’s S&T Highlights of Recent CMOS Meetings page 199 policies. The 2009 Articles government policy Note 1 update speaks of What I Want to Do in Canada “... making Canada a by Doug Wallace page 200 leader in S&T and David Fissel research and a Ode to a Mackerel Sky by Chris Murphy page 202 CMOS President source of Président de la SCMO entrepreneurial The Canadian Societies for the Geophysical Sciences innovation and creativity” through our Science and (CSGS): Present and Potential Future Expansion Technology programs. As well as the substantial economic by David Fissel page 202 benefits realized from S&T, it was stated that “new Summer 2010: Wettest on the Canadian knowledge and technologies will help us meet many of the Prairies in 60 Years! challenges of the 21st century - from preserving the quality by Ray Garrett and Madhav Khandekar page 204 of the environment to enhancing our health, protecting our safety and security, and managing our energy and natural Census of Marine Life Report page 208 resources”. -
A Rapid Forecasting and Mapping System of Storm Surge and Coastal Flooding
AUGUST 2020 Y A N G E T A L . 1663 A Rapid Forecasting and Mapping System of Storm Surge and Coastal Flooding KUN YANG,VLADIMIR A. PARAMYGIN, AND Y. PETER SHENG Department of Civil and Coastal Engineering, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida (Manuscript received 16 July 2019, in final form 2 March 2020) ABSTRACT A prototype of an efficient and accurate rapid forecasting and mapping system (RFMS) of storm surge is presented. Given a storm advisory from the National Hurricane Center, the RFMS can generate a coastal inundation map on a high-resolution grid in 1 min (reference system Intel Core i7–3770K). The foundation of the RFMS is a storm surge database consisting of high-resolution simulations of 490 optimal storms generated by a robust storm surge modeling system, Curvilinear-Grid Hydrodynamics in 3D (CH3D-SSMS). The RFMS uses an efficient quick kriging interpolation scheme to interpolate the surge response from the storm surge database, which considers tens of thousands of combinations of five landfall parameters of storms: central pressure deficit, radius to maximum wind, forward speed, heading direction, and landfall location. The RFMS is applied to southwest Florida using data from Hurricane Charley in 2004 and Hurricane Irma in 2017, and to the Florida Panhandle using data from Hurricane Michael in 2018 and validated with observed high water mark data. The RFMS results agree well with observation and direct simulation of the high-resolution CH3D- SSMS. The RFMS can be used for real-time forecasting during a hurricane or ‘‘what-if’’ scenarios for miti- gation planning and preparedness training, or to produce a probabilistic flood map. -
Chapter 6: Everglades Research and Evaluation
2020 South Florida Environmental Report – Volume I Chapter 6 1 Chapter 6: 2 Everglades Research and Evaluation 3 Edited by Fred Sklar 4 SUMMARY 5 This chapter summarizes Water Year 2019 (WY2019; May 1, 2018–April 30, 2019) hydrology in the 6 Everglades Protection Area (EPA), followed by an overview of key Everglades studies on wildlife, plants, 7 the ecosystem, and landscapes (Table 6-1). Programs of study are based on the short-term operational needs 8 and long-term restoration goals of the South Florida Water Management District (SFWMD or District), 9 including large-scale and regional hydrologic needs in relation to regulation schedules, permitting, 10 Everglades Forever Act (Section 373.4592, Florida Statutes [F.S.]) mandates, and the Comprehensive 11 Everglades Restoration Plan (CERP). In addition, the Decomp Physical Model (DPM) research is discussed 12 in Appendix 6-1 of this volume. 13 Table 6-1. WY2019 Everglades research findings in relation to operational mandates. Hydrology Projects Findings Mandates a Across most of the Everglades, water depths began WY2019 just below average historic stages. Well above average late dry season rainfall raised stages quickly and depths peaked earlier than normal. Most areas within the Everglades Water Conservation Areas (WCAs) fell below average depths by the ROS Hydrologic Patterns for WY2019 end of the wet season. Dry season depths and recession rates MFL in the WCAs were largely not conducive for optimal wading bird foraging. The stage and recession rate in Everglades National Park (ENP) were closer to optimal, and higher numbers of nesting wading birds were noted there. -
10R.3 the Tornado Outbreak Across the North Florida Panhandle in Association with Hurricane Ivan
10R.3 The Tornado Outbreak across the North Florida Panhandle in association with Hurricane Ivan Andrew I. Watson* Michael A. Jamski T.J. Turnage NOAA/National Weather Service Tallahassee, Florida Joshua R.Bowen Meteorology Department Florida State University Tallahassee, Florida Jason C. Kelley WJHG-TV Panama City, Florida 1. INTRODUCTION their mobile homes were destroyed near Blountstown, Florida. Hurricane Ivan made landfall early on the morning of 16 September 2004, just west of Overall, there were 24 tornadoes reported Gulf Shores, Alabama as a category 3 across the National Weather Service (NWS) hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Tallahassee forecast area. The office issued Scale. Approximately 117 tornadoes were 130 tornado warnings from the afternoon of 15 reported associated with Ivan across the September until just after daybreak on 16 southeast United States. Eight people were September. killed and 17 were injured by tornadoes (Storm Data 2004; Stewart 2004). The most The paper examines the convective cells significant tornadoes occurred as hurricane within the rain bands of hurricane Ivan, which Ivan approached the Florida Gulf coast on the produced these tornadoes across the Florida afternoon and evening of 15 September. Panhandle, Big Bend, and southwest Georgia. The structure of the tornadic and non-tornadic The intense outer rain bands of Ivan supercells is examined for clues on how to produced numerous supercells over portions better warn for these types of storms. This of the Florida Panhandle, Big Bend, southwest study will focus on the short-term predictability Georgia, and Gulf coastal waters. In turn, of these dangerous storms, and will these supercells spawned dozens of investigate the problem of how to reduce the tornadoes. -
Hurricane Michael's Wildfire Implications
HURRICANE MICHAEL’S WILDFIRE IMPLICATIONS Hurricane Michael made landfall at Mexico Beach, Florida as a Category 4 hurricane on October 10, 2018. After hitting Mexico Beach, Hurricane Michael continued into Georgia as a Category 3 hurricane. Winds of 155 miles per hour left a path of destruction across a landscape primarily known for endless tree farms. A ‘pickup stick’ disaster of trees were left in the wake of the storm resulting in a fuel loading exceeding 20 times the normal fuel loading for this region of Florida and Georgia. Seventy-two million tons of trees between Florida and the Georgia border alone were downed by the storm. The fuel loading created in Hurricane Michael’s wake has left Florida unsure of the next steps and well aware of the high potential for dangerous fires. Firefighters should be aware of the issues that they may face on assignment to Florida and Georgia as no options exist to remove the trees coupled with the inability to use heavy equipment for line construction and the extreme risk to the wildland-urban interface. “On April 4th a wildfire, caused by fire escaping from a burning debris pile, quickly grew and resulted in evacuations. Officials are worried that the fire could be the start to a particularly dangerous fire season for the state. "Even a normal fire season in the Panhandle could be catastrophic because of all the fuel," Florida Forest Service Director Jim Karels said Monday, according to the Tampa Bay Times.” For the full story on this wildfire click here: https://www.tampabay.com/breaking- news/hurricane-michael-debris-fuels-500-acre-wildfire-in-florida-panhandle-20190401/ The fuels on the ground currently mean that Florida will not face normal fire behavior or seasons, firefighters not familiar with these fuel types under normal conditions should use caution and obtain a full picture of fire potential and tactics before engaging. -
Hurricane Irma Storm Review
Hurricane Irma Storm Review November 11, 2018 At Duke Energy Florida, we power more than 4 million lives Service territory includes: . Service to 1.8 million retail customers in 35 counties . 13,000 square miles . More than 5,100 miles of transmission lines and 32,000 miles of distribution lines . Owns and operates nearly 9,500 MWs of generating capacity . 76.2% gas, 21% coal, 3% renewable, 0.2%oil, 2,400 MWs Purchased Power. 2 Storm Preparedness Activities Operational preparation is a year-round activity Coordination with County EOC Officials . Transmission & Distribution Systems Inspected and . Structured Engagement and Information Maintained Sharing Before, During and After Hurricane . Storm Organizations Drilled & Prepared . Coordination with county EOC priorities . Internal and External Resource Needs Secured . Public Communications and Outreach . Response Plan Tested and Continuously Improved Storm Restoration Organization Transmission Hurricane Distribution System Preparedness System Local Governmental Coordination 3 Hurricane Irma – Resources & Logistics Resources . 12,528 Total Resources . 1,553 pre-staged in Perry, Georgia . 91 line and vegetation vendors from 25 states . Duke Energy Carolinas and Midwest crews as well as resources from Texas, New York, Louisiana, Colorado, Illinois, Oklahoma, Minnesota, Maine and Canada . 26 independent basecamps, parking/staging sites Mutual Assistance . Largest mobilization in DEF history . Mutual Assistance Agreements, executed between DEF and other utilities, ensure that resources can be timely dispatched and fairly apportioned. Southeastern Electric Exchange coordinates Mutual Assistance 4 5. Individual homes RESTORATION 3. Critical Infrastructure 2. Substations 1. Transmission Lines 4. High-density neighborhoods 5 Hurricane Irma- Restoration Irma’s track northward up the Florida peninsula Restoration Summary resulted in a broad swath of hurricane and tropical Customers Peak Customers Outage storm force winds. -
Background Hurricane Katrina
PARTPART 33 IMPACTIMPACT OFOF HURRICANESHURRICANES ONON NEWNEW ORLEANSORLEANS ANDAND THETHE GULFGULF COASTCOAST 19001900--19981998 HURRICANEHURRICANE--CAUSEDCAUSED FLOODINGFLOODING OFOF NEWNEW ORLEANSORLEANS •• SinceSince 1559,1559, 172172 hurricaneshurricanes havehave struckstruck southernsouthern LouisianaLouisiana ((ShallatShallat,, 2000).2000). •• OfOf these,these, 3838 havehave causedcaused floodingflooding inin NewNew thethe OrleansOrleans area,area, usuallyusually viavia LakeLake PonchartrainPonchartrain.. •• SomeSome ofof thethe moremore notablenotable eventsevents havehave included:included: SomeSome ofof thethe moremore notablenotable eventsevents havehave included:included: 1812,1812, 1831,1831, 1860,1860, 1915,1915, 1947,1947, 1965,1965, 1969,1969, andand 20052005.. IsaacIsaac MonroeMonroe ClineCline USWS meteorologist Isaac Monroe Cline pioneered the study of tropical cyclones and hurricanes in the early 20th Century, by recording barometric pressures, storm surges, and wind velocities. •• Cline charted barometric gradients (right) and tracked the eyes of hurricanes as they approached landfall. This shows the event of Sept 29, 1915 hitting the New Orleans area. • Storm or tidal surges are caused by lifting of the oceanic surface by abnormal low atmospheric pressure beneath the eye of a hurricane. The faster the winds, the lower the pressure; and the greater the storm surge. At its peak, Hurricane Katrina caused a surge 53 feet high under its eye as it approached the Louisiana coast, triggering a storm surge advisory of 18 to 28 feet in New Orleans (image from USA Today). StormStorm SurgeSurge •• The surge effect is minimal in the open ocean, because the water falls back on itself •• As the storm makes landfall, water is lifted onto the continent, locally elevating the sea level, much like a tsunami, but with much higher winds Images from USA Today •• Cline showed that it was then northeast quadrant of a cyclonic event that produced the greatest storm surge, in accordance with the drop in barometric pressure. -
A FAILURE of INITIATIVE Final Report of the Select Bipartisan Committee to Investigate the Preparation for and Response to Hurricane Katrina
A FAILURE OF INITIATIVE Final Report of the Select Bipartisan Committee to Investigate the Preparation for and Response to Hurricane Katrina U.S. House of Representatives 4 A FAILURE OF INITIATIVE A FAILURE OF INITIATIVE Final Report of the Select Bipartisan Committee to Investigate the Preparation for and Response to Hurricane Katrina Union Calendar No. 00 109th Congress Report 2nd Session 000-000 A FAILURE OF INITIATIVE Final Report of the Select Bipartisan Committee to Investigate the Preparation for and Response to Hurricane Katrina Report by the Select Bipartisan Committee to Investigate the Preparation for and Response to Hurricane Katrina Available via the World Wide Web: http://www.gpoacess.gov/congress/index.html February 15, 2006. — Committed to the Committee of the Whole House on the State of the Union and ordered to be printed U. S. GOVERNMEN T PRINTING OFFICE Keeping America Informed I www.gpo.gov WASHINGTON 2 0 0 6 23950 PDF For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office Internet: bookstore.gpo.gov Phone: toll free (866) 512-1800; DC area (202) 512-1800 Fax: (202) 512-2250 Mail: Stop SSOP, Washington, DC 20402-0001 COVER PHOTO: FEMA, BACKGROUND PHOTO: NASA SELECT BIPARTISAN COMMITTEE TO INVESTIGATE THE PREPARATION FOR AND RESPONSE TO HURRICANE KATRINA TOM DAVIS, (VA) Chairman HAROLD ROGERS (KY) CHRISTOPHER SHAYS (CT) HENRY BONILLA (TX) STEVE BUYER (IN) SUE MYRICK (NC) MAC THORNBERRY (TX) KAY GRANGER (TX) CHARLES W. “CHIP” PICKERING (MS) BILL SHUSTER (PA) JEFF MILLER (FL) Members who participated at the invitation of the Select Committee CHARLIE MELANCON (LA) GENE TAYLOR (MS) WILLIAM J. -
Michael's Lessons to Be Remembered
Leon County Board of County Commissioners 301 South Monroe Street, Tallahassee, Florida (850) 606-5300 www.leoncountyfl.gov YOUR TURN Michael’s Lessons to be Remembered Vincent S. Long, Leon County Administrator Just four short months ago, Hurricane Michael made landfall as a high-end Category 4 hurricane – the strongest storm to strike the Florida Panhandle in recorded history. Michael devastated Florida's Forgotten Coast, roared through Georgia, claimed lives with floodwaters in Virginia, and even impacted areas in southwest Europe. While Leon County was spared Michael's catastrophic wind damage, flooding, and loss of life, you need only look to our still-recovering neighbors to know Michael cannot and should not be forgotten. Although the County's major recovery efforts have concluded, our work continues to ensure we remember every lesson learned from Michael. After each disaster, we listen to the citizens we serve and analyze all aspects of our emergency operations through comprehensive after-action reviews. Following both Hermine and Irma, these reviews identified 205 findings and 145 specific recommendations. I am proud to report that every recommendation and enhancement was in place before Michael, preparing the County to coordinate our largest disaster response and recovery effort ever. And because of this focus on learning from disasters, in 2018, FEMA and the Federal Alliance for Safe Homes named Leon County the nation's first #HurricaneStrong community. Building on this commitment to continuous improvement, I recently presented the Michael after-action report to the Board of County Commissioners, outlining another 83 findings and 68 recommendations to help us better prepare for future storms. -
A Florida Panhandle Record-Breaking Landfall—P
These conditions are consistent with the strong 1990s featured a weaker monsoon with OLR values climate link that occurs on multidecadal time scales in the Sahel region often well above 240 W m−2 (Fig. between Atlantic hurricane activity and the strength 4.21d). These multidecadal fluctuations in monsoon of the West African monsoon (Bell and Chelliah 2006). strength coincide with opposing phases (warm and Specifically, the current Atlantic high-activity era cold, respectively) of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscil- (Fig. 4.17b) has featured an enhanced monsoon with lation (AMO; Enfield and Mestas-Nuñez 1999; Bell total OLR values below 240 W m−2 in the Sahel region, and Chelliah 2006). whereas the low-activity period of the 1980s and early SIDEBAR 4.1: HURRICANE MICHAEL: A FLORIDA PANHANDLE RECORD-BREAKING LANDFALL—P. J. KLOTZBACH The 2018 Atlantic hurricane season was perhaps best kt (21 m sď) 24 hďMXMRXIRWM½IHEXEVEXISJ¯OX ¯ ORS[RJSVX[SWMKRM½GERXLYVVMGERIW°*PSVIRGIERH1MGLEIP° m sď) 24 hď from the time that it was named until the time it that brought death and destruction to the continental United made landfall near Mexico Beach, Florida. 7XEXIW8LMWWMHIFEVJSGYWIWSR1MGLEIP[LMGL[EW½VWXREQIH While the dynamic environment in the western Caribbean on 7 October and became only the fourth continental U.S. was only marginal for Michael’s development, the thermody- landfalling Category 5 hurricane on record just three days namic environment was much more conducive than normal. later (Beven et al. 2019). Michael’s meteorological history is SSTs averaged 1°–2°C warmer than normal, with anomalously discussed, followed by a discussion of the many meteorological high levels of upper ocean heat content along Michael’s track records the storm set in its relatively short lifetime. -
The Impact of Hurricane Michael on Longleaf Pine Habitats in Florida Nicole E
www.nature.com/scientificreports OPEN The impact of Hurricane Michael on longleaf pine habitats in Florida Nicole E. Zampieri1 ✉ , Stephanie Pau1 & Daniel K. Okamoto2 Global biodiversity hotspots (GBHs) are increasingly vulnerable to human stressors such as anthropogenic climate change, which will alter the ecology of these habitats, even where protected. The longleaf pine (Pinus palustris) ecosystem (LPE) of the North American Coastal Plain is a GBH where disturbances are integral for ecosystem maintenance. However, stronger storms due to climate change may be outside their historical norm. In this study, we estimate the extent of Florida LPE that was directly afected by Hurricane Michael in 2018, an unprecedented Category 5 storm. We then leveraged a unique data set in a Before-After study of four sites within this region. We used variable-area transects and generalized linear mixed-efects models to estimate tree densities and logistic regression to estimate mortality by size class. We found at least 28% of the global total remaining extent of LPE was afected in Florida alone. Mortality was highest in medium sized trees (30–45 cm dbh) and ranged from 4.6–15.4% at sites further from the storm center, but increased to 87.8% near the storm center. As the frequency and intensity of extreme events increases, management plans to mitigate climate change need to account for large-scale stochastic mortality events to preserve critical habitats. Ecological disturbances play an integral role in maintaining ecosystem structure and functioning1–3. Many eco- logical disturbances are expected to change with anthropogenic climate change4, altering the frequency, intensity, duration, and timing of events5.