Social status, war, medical knowledge, and the timing of life expectancy improvements among Germanic scholars over the fifteenth to nineteenth centuries.∗ Robert Stelter,† David de la Croix‡& Mikko Myrskyl¨a§ March 21, 2019 Abstract When did mortality start to decline, and among whom? We build a large new data set covering over five centuries to analyze the timing of mortality decline and the het- erogeneity in the pace of progress among scholars in the Holy Roman Empire. After having recovered from a strong seventeenth century mortality crisis, life expectancy started to increase already early in the eighteenth century, well before the Industrial Revolution. This fluctuation in mortality directly influenced life expectancy and the number of scholars and thus had important implications for the capacity for knowl- edge accumulation and diffusion. Members of scientific academies – an elite among the scholars – were among the first to benefit from the gains in life expectancy, suggesting that already 300 years ago higher social status conferred advantages that lower mor- tality. At the same time, the onset of mortality improvements among scholars in the medical profession was delayed. Both, the advance and the lag in mortality, vanished during the nineteenth century. Keywords: Mortality dynamics, differential mortality, Holy Roman Empire, Knowl- edge accumulation JEL Classification numbers: J11, I12, N30, I20, J24 ∗We present the acknowledgments at the end of the paper. †Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, E-Mail:
[email protected], Phone: + 49 381 2081 204, corresponding author. ‡IRES, UCLouvain and CEPR, London. Email:
[email protected]. §Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, University of Helsinki.