Asia Frontier Capital (AFC)
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Asia Frontier Capital (AFC) - March 2014 Newsletter In this Issue "I'm a great believer in luck, and I find the harder I work the more I have of it." AFC Roadshow - Thomas Jefferson Website Translation The end of March 2014 marks a very important milestone for the AFC Asia Frontier Fund as it AFC Asia Frontier Fund officially passed its two year track record. The fund has been under the direction of CEO and - Manager Comment Fund Manager Thomas Hugger since inception and continues to generate excellent returns AFC Vietnam for investors. The final scorecard has seen a return of +25.5% since inception in combination Fund - Manager with a low monthly volatility profile (11.3%) and a low correlation with global (0.29) as well as emerging market (0.26) MSCI indices. Whilst the AFC team is indeed pleased to have this Comment track record on display to reinforce our investment approach it does not change the Country Snapshot: underlying factors in frontier markets across Asia that will drive growth in the years to Sri Lanka come. That being said we do hope however that this milestone gives additional confidence to individual as well as institutional investors who may still be sitting on the sidelines Travel Report: considering an investment. Sri Lanka Country Report: On a more recent performance related note the AFC Asia Frontier Fund and AFC Vietnam Sri Lanka Fund have generated strong results this month returning +2.7% and +2.2% respectively. This brings the YTD performance of the AFC Asia Frontier Fund to +12.1% and +16.1% for the AFC How to Invest Vietnam. During the same period the MSCI World Index, MSCI Frontier Markets Index and Fund MSCI Emerging Markets Index have returned +0.8%, +5.5% and -0.8% respectively. Factsheets: Upcoming AFC Roadshow AFC Asia Frontier Fund In the next few months AFC's team will be travelling the world to meet with new and existing investors. If you will be in any of the below locations and have an interest in AFC Asia meeting with our funds team do be in touch with our Marketing Director Stephen Friel at Frontier Fund [email protected]. (non-US) rd th AFC Vietnam Fund UK: London 23 - 25 April Thomas Hugger Investor Switzerland: Geneva 28th April Thomas Hugger Presentations: Switzerland: Zurich 29th - 30th April Thomas Hugger AFC Asia Frontier Fund Presentation Switzerland: Basle 30th April Thomas Hugger (English) AFC Asia Frontier USA: Washington, D.C. 5th May Thomas Hugger Fund Presentation (Chinese) USA: New York/Boston 6th - 7th May Thomas Hugger AFC Vietnam Fund Presentation USA: Open for invitation 8th May Thomas Hugger (English) Canada: Toronto 9th May Thomas Hugger Downloaded from www.hvst.com by IP address 192.168.176.10 on 10/02/2021 USA: San Francisco/ 12th - 13th May Thomas Hugger Los Angeles Las Vegas 13th - 16th May Thomas Hugger (SALT Conference) Hong Kong 6th - 9th May Andreas Vogelsanger Andreas Vogelsanger Vietnam: Ho Chi Minh 17th - 20th June & AFC Team Switzerland: Zurich 14th - 16th July Andreas Vogelsanger Switzerland: Geneva 17th - 18th July Andreas Vogelsanger AFC's Website has been Translated! AFC has begun adding a summarized version of its website into as many regional and international languages as we can to have our online presence be more representative of the regions in which we invest as well as the origins of our investors! Click the links below to see the languages we have translated so far: Asia Non Asia Dutch — Nederlands ال عرب ية — Arabic Simplified Chinese — 中文简体 Finnish — Suomi Traditional Chinese — 中文繁體 French — Français Japanese — 日本語 German — Deutsch Khmer — 徶羶ߒមែរ Italian — Italiano Mongolian — Монгол улсын Russian — ру́сский язы́к Sinhala — ස䦂හල Slovene — Slovenščina Thai — ภาษาไทย Spanish — Español Vietnamese — Việt Swiss German — Züritüütsch Ukrainian — українська мова If you speak a regional or local language that we do not currently have translated be sure to be in touch with Stephen Friel [email protected] if you would like us to include your native tongue. At the moment we are particularly looking for Burmese, Dhivehi, Dzongkha, Japanese, Korean, Kurdish, Lao, Nepali, Persian, Polish, Portuguese, Swedish, Tagalog, and Turkish as well as other global languages! AFC Asia Frontier Fund - Manager Comment AFC Asia Frontier Fund (AAFF) USD A-shares gained +2.7% in March 2014 in line with the MSCI Frontier Markets Asia Index (+2.9%) and outperformed the MSCI Frontier Index (+1.6%) as well as the MSCI World Index (+0.1%). This month represents an important milestone for our flagship fund as we sailed passed the two year track record to deliver +12.1% to investors Downloaded from www.hvst.com by IP address 192.168.176.10 on 10/02/2021 YTD in 2014 and +25.5% since inception. The year ahead is also looking positive as the fund returns have been strong despite continued instability in the BRICs as well as other emerging markets. As we discussed in last month's newsletter (here) the fund's correlation to global markets since inception has been incredibly low and has even become negative since tapering was first announced and caused a shockwave to world markets. Whilst low correlation of your portfolio holdings is a key source of diversification benefits it does not take a rocket scientist to realize that this is best combined by allocating to assets that have good returns also. In March, the best performing indexes within the AAFF universe were the Hanoi Index in Vietnam (+7.6%) whilst the Ho Chi Minh Index (+0.9%) remained relatively flat. The fund's portfolio in Vietnam (+1.6%) appreciated as our small and mid-cap holdings listed in both Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh began an upward trend. These stocks still remain at attractive prices as they maintain low valuations relative to regional peers and other domestically listed large caps. Other markets such as Pakistan (+5.3%) and Laos (+1.9%) also had a positive month as market sentiment saw a rally hold for the month end. AAFF holdings in Pakistan outperformed significantly (+20.5%) as key consumer stocks saw a significant upward movement. The poorest performing markets were Bangladesh (-5.4%), which saw a consolidation due to profit taking, and Iraq (-1.8%) was also put under selling pressure. Despite this negative performance by the broader indexes AAFF stocks in Bangladesh (-0.8%) and Iraq (+1.0%) held their ground through the downturn as the fund's consumer focused stocks remained resilient in the face of negative market movements. When looking at the fund track record since inception, the consumer sector focus remains one of the key reasons for not only the continued outperformance but also lower volatility of returns. This month the top-performing portfolio stocks were a Pakistani consumer goods company (+59.2%), followed by an Iraqi agriculture company (+25.2%), a Mongolian consumer goods company (+22.9%) and a Pakistani beverage company (+17.7%). In March we added to existing positions in Bangladesh, Iraq, Mongolia, Myanmar, Pakistan, Papua New Guinea, Sri Lanka and Vietnam and reduced one position in Mongolia. The fund now also has one company from the Maldives after reclassifying one of our Sri Lankan listed tourism holdings that derives the majority of its revenue from this market. We sold one Mongolian coal mining company completely and added a new Mongolian service company as well as Pakistani media company. As of 31st March 2014, the portfolio was invested in 122 shares, 1 closed-end fund (with 22.2% discount to NAV), 1 GDR (with 63.9% discount) and held 8.7% in cash. The two biggest stock positions are a junior copper mine in Mongolia (4.5%) and a pharmaceutical company in Bangladesh (4.4%). The countries with the largest asset allocation include Vietnam (19.8%), Pakistan (16.9%) and Bangladesh (15.5%). The sectors with the largest allocation of assets are consumer goods (42.1%) and materials (13.6%). The weighted average trailing portfolio P/E ratio (only companies with profit) was 15.44x, the weighted average P/B ratio was 1.53x and the dividend yield was 3.71%. Factsheet AFC Asia Frontier Fund - March 2014 Factsheet AFC Asia Frontier Fund (non-US) - March 2014 AFC Asia Frontier Fund Presentation (English) AFC Asia Frontier Fund Presentation (Chinese-Traditional) AFC Asia Frontier Fund Presentation(Chinese-Simplified) AFC Vietnam Fund - Manager Comment In March the AFC Vietnam Fund (AVF) gained +2.2%. March started in the same manner as February ended with speculative buying in stocks where foreign ownership limit (FOL) was reached and rumors of an imminent rise in those limits pushed up prices. The rumors continued to build as markets went up and then soured quickly in the following days as the same market participants became skeptical that the change in FOL would happen anytime Downloaded from www.hvst.com by IP address 192.168.176.10 on 10/02/2021 soon. Welcome to the world of sophisticated investing! From a long term prospective this is a small blip on the radar and has no serious consequence to Vietnam’s prospects, however, in terms of index comparison to the portfolio this gave us some minor headaches as our strategy does not actively target speculative bets from the rumor mill. As mentioned last month there should be some market consolidation as we move into the next stages of this bull market and this will be an excellent opportunity to allocate new capital to undervalued companies. In last month’s newsletter (click here) we explained why our portfolio structure should hold its ground with more stability during a correction. We were given the opportunity to illustrate this fact during a meaningful correction in the last few days of the month.