CHAPTER 10 AFTER SUPER-DUPER TUESDAY Once
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1996 Republican Party Primary Election March 12, 1996
Texas Secretary of State Antonio O. Garza, Jr. Race Summary Report Unofficial Election Tabulation 1996 Republican Party Primary Election March 12, 1996 President/Vice President Precincts Reporting 8,179 Total Precincts 8,179 Percent Reporting100.0% Vote Total % of Vote Early Voting % of Early Vote Delegates Lamar Alexander 18,615 1.8% 11,432 5.0% Patrick J. 'Pat' Buchanan 217,778 21.4% 45,954 20.2% Charles E. Collins 628 0.1% 153 0.1% Bob Dole 566,658 55.6% 126,645 55.8% Susan Ducey 1,123 0.1% 295 0.1% Steve Forbes 130,787 12.8% 27,206 12.0% Phil Gramm 19,176 1.9% 4,094 1.8% Alan L. Keyes 41,697 4.1% 5,192 2.3% Mary 'France' LeTulle 651 0.1% 196 0.1% Richard G. Lugar 2,219 0.2% 866 0.4% Morry Taylor 454 0.0% 124 0.1% Uncommitted 18,903 1.9% 4,963 2.2% Vote Total 1,018,689 227,120 Voter Registration 9,698,506 % VR Voting 10.5 % % Voting Early 2.3 % U. S. Senator Precincts Reporting 8,179 Total Precincts 8,179 Percent Reporting100.0% Vote Total % of Vote Early Voting % of Early Vote Phil Gramm - Incumbent 837,417 85.0% 185,875 83.9% Henry C. (Hank) Grover 71,780 7.3% 17,312 7.8% David Young 75,976 7.7% 18,392 8.3% Vote Total 985,173 221,579 Voter Registration 9,698,506 % VR Voting 10.2 % % Voting Early 2.3 % 02/03/1998 04:16 pm Page 1 of 45 Texas Secretary of State Antonio O. -
Congressional Directory TEXAS
252 Congressional Directory TEXAS TEXAS (Population 2000, 20,851,820) SENATORS PHIL GRAMM, Republican, of College Station, TX; born in Fort Benning, GA, July 8, 1942, son of Sergeant and Mrs. Kenneth M. Gramm; education: B.B.A. and Ph.D., economics, Univer- sity of Georgia, Athens, 1961–67; professor of economics, Texas A&M University, College Sta- tion, 1967–78; author of several books including: ‘‘The Evolution of Modern Demand Theory’’ and ‘‘The Economics of Mineral Extraction’’; Episcopalian; married Dr. Wendy Lee Gramm, of Waialua, HI, 1970; two sons: Marshall and Jeff; coauthor of the Gramm-Latta I Budget, the Gramm-Latta II Omnibus Reconciliation Act, the Gramm-Rudman-Hollings balanced budget bill and the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Financial Services Act; committees: ranking member, Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs; Budget; Finance; elected to the U.S. House of Representatives as a Democrat in 1978, 1980 and 1982; resigned from the House on January 5, 1983, upon being denied a seat on the House Budget Committee; reelected as a Republican in a special election on February 12, 1983; chairman, Republican Senate Steering Committee, 1997–2001; elected chairman, National Republican Senatorial Committee for the 1991–92 term, and reelected for the 1993–94 term; elected to the U.S. Senate on November 6, 1984; reelected to each suc- ceeding Senate term. Office Listings http://www.senate.gov/senator/gramm.html 370 Russell Senate Office Building, Washington, DC 20510–4302 .......................... (202) 224–2934 Chief of Staff.—Ruth Cymber. Legislative Director.—Steve McMillin. Press Secretary.—Lawrence A. Neal. State Director.—Phil Wilson. Suite 1500, 2323 Bryan, Dallas, TX 75201 ................................................................ -
CHAPTER 8 FLORIDA Florida First Emerged on the Presidential
CHAPTER 8 FLORIDA Florida first emerged on the presidential primary scene in 1988, when it was one of the southern states that participated in the first-ever Super Tuesday. Four years later, in 1992, Florida was propelled to the front rank of important primary states when the news media selected it for the final showdown between Governor Bill Clinton of Arkansas and former- U.S. Senator Paul Tsongas of Massachusetts. In the 1992 race for the Democratic nomination for president, Paul Tsongas got off to a fast start by winning the New Hampshire primary. Tsongas next won the Maryland primary, but that same day Bill Clinton swept to victory in the southern state of Georgia. The two candidates thus were running neck and neck when they faced off against one another in Florida on the second Tuesday in March. Although located in the South and one of the states that seceded from the Union during the American Civil War, Florida is not considered a typical southern state by voting-behavior analysts. The major reason for this is the large number of former northern voters who have moved to South Florida, either to retire or to enjoy the outdoor lifestyle of one of the fastest-growing states in the nation. These former northerners were viewed as ripe targets for the Paul Tsongas campaign. His heavy Massachusetts accent would not sound quite so strange to them, and his New Hampshire and Maryland primary victories already had demonstrated his strong appeal to people from the northern part of the nation. Furthermore, in the 1988 presidential elec- tion, Florida had voted for Democratic presidential candidate Michael Dukakis, like Tsongas a Greek from Massachusetts. -
("DSCC") Files This Complaint Seeking an Immediate Investigation by the 7
COMPLAINT BEFORE THE FEDERAL ELECTION CBHMISSIOAl INTRODUCTXON - 1 The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee ("DSCC") 7-_. J _j. c files this complaint seeking an immediate investigation by the 7 c; a > Federal Election Commission into the illegal spending A* practices of the National Republican Senatorial Campaign Committee (WRSCIt). As the public record shows, and an investigation will confirm, the NRSC and a series of ostensibly nonprofit, nonpartisan groups have undertaken a significant and sustained effort to funnel "soft money101 into federal elections in violation of the Federal Election Campaign Act of 1971, as amended or "the Act"), 2 U.S.C. 5s 431 et seq., and the Federal Election Commission (peFECt)Regulations, 11 C.F.R. 85 100.1 & sea. 'The term "aoft money" as ueed in this Complaint means funds,that would not be lawful for use in connection with any federal election (e.g., corporate or labor organization treasury funds, contributions in excess of the relevant contribution limit for federal elections). THE FACTS IN TBIS CABE On November 24, 1992, the state of Georgia held a unique runoff election for the office of United States Senator. Georgia law provided for a runoff if no candidate in the regularly scheduled November 3 general election received in excess of 50 percent of the vote. The 1992 runoff in Georg a was a hotly contested race between the Democratic incumbent Wyche Fowler, and his Republican opponent, Paul Coverdell. The Republicans presented this election as a %ust-win81 election. Exhibit 1. The Republicans were so intent on victory that Senator Dole announced he was willing to give up his seat on the Senate Agriculture Committee for Coverdell, if necessary. -
Congressional Record United States Th of America PROCEEDINGS and DEBATES of the 104 CONGRESS, FIRST SESSION
E PL UR UM IB N U U S Congressional Record United States th of America PROCEEDINGS AND DEBATES OF THE 104 CONGRESS, FIRST SESSION Vol. 141 WASHINGTON, FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 29, 1995 No. 154 Senate (Legislative day of Monday, September 25, 1995) The Senate met at 9 a.m., on the ex- DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE, JUS- Mr. President, I intend to be brief, piration of the recess, and was called to TICE, AND STATE, THE JUDICI- and I note the presence of the Senator order by the President pro tempore ARY, AND RELATED AGENCIES from North Dakota here on the floor. I [Mr. THURMOND]. APPROPRIATIONS ACT, 1996 know that he needs at least 10 minutes The PRESIDENT pro tempore. The of the 30 minutes for this side. I just want to recap the situation as PRAYER clerk will report the pending bill. The assistant legislative clerk read I see this amendment. First of all, Mr. The Chaplain, Dr. Lloyd John as follows: President, the choice is clear here what Ogilvie, offered the following prayer: A bill (H.R. 2076) making appropriations we are talking about. The question is Let us pray: for the Department of Commerce, Justice, whether we will auction this spectrum off, which, according to experts, the Lord of history, God of Abraham and and State, the Judiciary and related agen- value is between $300 and $700 million, Israel, we praise You for answered cies for the fiscal year ending September 30, 1996, and for other purposes. or it will be granted to a very large and prayer for peace in the Middle East very powerful corporation in America manifested in the historic peace treaty The Senate resumed consideration of for considerably less money. -
Democratic Change Commission
Report of the Democratic Change Commission Prepared by the DNC Office of Party Affairs and Delegate Selection as staff to the Democratic Change Commission For more information contact: Democratic National Committee 430 South Capitol Street, S.E. Washington, DC 20003 www.democrats.org Report of the Democratic Change Commission TABLE OF CONTENTS Letter of Transmittal ..................................................................................................................1 Introduction and Background ...................................................................................................3 Creation of the Democratic Change Commission DNC Authority over the Delegate Selection Process History of the Democratic Presidential Nominating Process ’72-‘08 Republican Action on their Presidential Nominating Process Commission Meeting Summaries ............................................................................................13 June 2009 Meeting October 2009 Meeting Findings and Recommendations ..............................................................................................17 Timing of the 2012 Presidential Nominating Calendar Reducing Unpledged Delegates Caucuses Appendix ....................................................................................................................................23 Democratic Change Commission Membership Roster Resolution Establishing the Democratic Change Commission Commission Rules of Procedure Public Comments Concerning Change Commission Issues Acknowledgements Report -
The Invisible Primary and the 1996 Presidential Nomination
The Invisible Primary and the 1996 Presidential Nomination Thomas R. Marshall, University of Texas at Arlington The 1996 presidential nominations process will not begin with the first state primaries and caucuses. By January 1996 the candidates had already spent millions of dollars and thousands of days campaigning during the "in visible primary." The 1996 nominations race features several new prac tices—such as the front-loading of delegate-selection events, and the re- emergence of Washington insiders as the early GOP leaders. For the first time since 1964 the Democrat Party did not face a spirited nominations race. This article reviews the prenomination season for the 1996 presidential race with evidence available by early January 1996. Public Opinion Public opinion remained relatively stable during the 1995 "invisible primary," just as it typically has in recent presidential contests.1 Heavy spending in key primary and caucus states, debates among the candidates, and the entry and exit of candidates all failed to move public opinion polls during 1995. In the absence of saturation media coverage and media labeling of "winners" and "losers" in the early caucuses and primaries, few dramatic poll shifts appeared. The Republicans Throughout 1995, the Gallup Poll reported only slight changes in the first-choice preferences of self-identified Republicans and independents leaning Republicans. Between April 1995 and January 1996, front-runner Bob Dole’s support varied only from a low of 45 percent to a high of 51 percent. Support for Senator Phil Gramm varied only from a low of seven percent to a high of 13 percent. -
Senator Dole FR: Kerry
This document is from the collections at the Dole Archives, University of Kansas http://dolearchives.ku.edu TO: Senator Dole FR: Kerry RE: Senator Gramm' s "Founding Member Me·eting" Monday, October 18 8:30 a.m. Mayflower Hotel *You will be meeting with approximately 70 big money donors to Phil Gramm in town for two days of speakers and events. *Senator McCain will be giving the group a tour of the Capitol on Sunday night. You are the first speaker on Monday. Others include Senators Simpson, Grassley, Hutchison, Mack and Bennett, Brent Scowcroft, and Congressman Armey. *They're looking for 5-10 minutes of informal remarks, followed by Q&A. Page 1 of 13 IJCT- 14- 1'3'33 12: HJ FRIJM FR!Et,ms UF F'H!L CiRHMM TO ~1d0d2243153 P . 02 This document is from the collections at the Dole Archives, University of Kansas GRhttp://dolearchives.ku.edu.. ~\lI\11 a '96 CO(vnv1rrTEE M E M 0 R A N D U M 1'0: Kerry FROM: Heather Hopkins DATE: October 14, 1993 RE: Senator Gramm's Founding Member Meeting Thank you for scheduling Senator Bob Dole as the breakfast speaker at Senator Grarnm's Founding Member Me~ting. I wanted to confirm the details: DATE: Monday, October 18, 1993 SITE: The Mayflower Hotel 1127 Connecticut Avenue, NW 202/347-3000 ROOM: The Chinese Room (On the lobby level, down the promenade) TIME: 8:30 a.m. - 9:00 a.m. Heather Hopkins or Ann Miller will meet Se nator Dole in the front lobby of the hotel. -
Fileprod-Prc-Dc\Peoplepress\Pew Projects
FOR RELEASE: MONDAY, JANUARY 29, 1996 FORBES DRAWS EVEN WITH DOLE IN NEW HAMPSHIRE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Andrew Kohut, Director Robert C. Toth, Senior Associate Kimberly Parker, Research Director Margaret Petrella, Survey Analyst Pew Research Center for The People & The Press 202/293-3126 http://www.people-press.org FORBES DRAWS EVEN WITH DOLE IN NEW HAMPSHIRE Political newcomer Steve Forbes has moved into a statistical tie with Bob Dole for top honors in the New Hampshire primary. A Pew Research Center poll of 543 likely voters taken January 25-28 finds the millionaire publisher leading the Senator 29% to 24%, but the lead is within the poll's margin of sampling error. Well behind the two front runners are Lamar Alexander (11%), Pat Buchanan (11%), and Phil Gramm (10%), all in a statistical tie for third place. All other candidates register less than 5% support. Despite the big margin that separates Forbes and Dole from the second tier of candidates, voter attitudes in New Hampshire are highly volatile. Only a tiny minority of respondents describe themselves as strong supporters of any of the candidates (Dole 6%, Forbes 7%, Alexander 2%, Gramm 2%, and Buchanan 5%). There is also widespread discontent among New Hampshire voters with the Republican field, which is currently working to Forbes's advantage. A 64% majority of likely voters gave the Republican candidates as a group a negative rating of fair or poor. Forbes leads Dole by a 30% to 22% margin among these disaffected voters, while Dole leads 32% to 26% among voters who view the Republican field as good or excellent overall. -
POLITICAL BRIEFINGS Below Is an Outline of Your Briefi
This document is from the collections at the Dole Archives, University of Kansas http://dolearchives.ku.edu October 9, 1992 MEMORANDUM TO THE LEADER FROM: JOHN DIAMANTAKIOU SUBJECT: POLITICAL BRIEFINGS Below is an outline of your briefing materials for your appearances in New England and New York. Enclosed for your perusal are: 1. Campaign briefing: • overview of race • biographical materials • Bills introduced in 102nd Congress 2. National Republican Senatorial Briefing 3. City Stop/District race overview 4. Governor's race brief (NH, VT) 5. Redistricting map/Congressional representation 6. NAFTA Brief 7. Republican National Committee Briefing 8. State Statistical Summary 9. State Committee/DFP supporter contact list 10. Clips (courtesy of the campaigns) 11. Political Media Recommendations (Clarkson also has a copy) Thank you. Page 1 of 62 This document is from the collections at the Dole Archives, University of Kansas http://dolearchives.ku.edu BOB DOLE KANSAS Wntteb ~tates ~enate OFFICE OF THE REPUBLICAN LEADER WASHINGTON, DC 20510-7020 OCTOBER 9, 1992 SENATOR: The Torkildsen campaign would like you to stress Peter's integrity, honesty and commitment to public service. They would like you to stay away from mentioning Congressman Mavroules' corruption charges. As a state legislator, Peter was a vocal opponent to then-Governor Dukakis' tax increases and will continue to be a tax-fighter on Capitol Hill. JOHN D. Page 2 of 62 This document is from the collections at the Dole Archives, University of Kansas http://dolearchives.ku.edu 10-01-1992 03: 28PM FROM TORK I LDSEN COt"iGRES'.3 1992 TO 12022243163 P.02 MEMORANDUM To: John Oiamantakiou From: Mike Armini Date: 10/1/92 Re! Torkildsen Campaign Background Themes and Issues: Peter is running as a fiscal conservative and a reformer. -
1992 TOW}I of KINCSTON Area Oftown 19.21 Sq
ANNUAL REPORT OF THE TOWN OFFICERS OF THE TOWN OF KINGSTON MASSACHUSETTS 1992 TOW}I OF KINCSTON Area ofTown 19.21 sq. rnilcs ANNUAL TOWN TIDDTING First Satord y in April ANNUAL TO\T'N ILECTION The Board did borrow moriey fo. closure of the landfilt and a Donion of lhe Second Si[urda] in April landfill has now been covered in accordonce rvith the reeulali;ns of rhe proleclion- MA Depaflment of Environmenlal Trash is now"coltected at the ttansfer station eith€r for recycling or for transfer to the SEMASS incineralor. POPULATION I992 TOWN CENSUS 9.028 In spile ofculbacks in srale and federal funding, the Seleilmen continue to pursue remedies lo the sewage-disposal probleirs that many honteoryners POPULT\TION | 990 FEDERAL CENSUS experience and lo pollution of Kin_qston Bay. Also in the interesl of public 9,045 safely, rhe Board is cooldinaling irs effons with lhose of lhe plynrouih and Duxbury nuilear advisory conrmilees lo monilor activilie5 al pilqrim Nucle:rr Stalion. Tr\X RATE FOR FY 1993 513.71 The Bodrd of Seleclmen is -srateful to the Town Administrator and lo t elected officials, town emptoyees, and lhe unpaid volunteers who ptovide thc Torvn's services faithfully and professionally. In spite oI the dismrying evenrs thal iave occasioned the suspension of rhe police chief and a police officer. the Selectmen are confident that the public is being well protecred and well seled by Acling Police Chief Wayne Cristani and the poiice ofllcers under bis direction. Clive W. Beastey, Chairman MODERATOR .,.......r........-'..-'..............-:.-..-.-.........Term Expires 1993 ':,: : TOWN CLERK ::.:. -
Prediction Markets
Wolfers.fm Page 37 Monday, June 8, 2009 3:12 PM Prediction Markets: The Collective Knowledge of Market Participants Justin Wolfers Associate Professor of Business and Public Policy Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania Philadelphia Prediction markets provide an information-aggregation technology applicable to a variety of topics, including political and financial risk. Because of the human idiosyncrasies identified by behavioral finance, prediction markets can fail, but historical data show them to be as accurate as traditional polling methodologies and far less expensive to establish and maintain. n this discussion, I will make three substantive Sports Prediction Markets. Interestingly, I claims about prediction markets. First, if mar- sports betting markets manifest many of the charac- kets really are efficient, as the efficient market teristics expected of an efficient market, and they hypothesis asserts, then the prices that come out of now allow participants to trade stock during the any market contain valuable information. To make game on the likelihood of a particular team winning. the case for this claim, I will use data from sports For example, Figure 1 shows real-time betting dur- betting markets. Second, prediction markets can be ing Game 6 of the 2003 National League Champion- used to track political risk, which can be a key factor ship Series (NLCS). This prediction market from driving investment performance. Third, prediction Intrade pays $1 if and only if the Chicago Cubs win markets can fail, so I will conclude my discussion this particular game. At the beginning of the game, by describing why prediction markets work and it looks as if the Cubs have about a 75 percent chance what causes them to fail.