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Table of Contents Sponsors and Partner Organizations ........................................................Inside front cover Menti Codes for Speaker Questions ................................................................................... 2 Welcome Message, Dr David Rousseau, ISSS President ................................................. 3 Conference Schedule .......................................................................................................... 5 Plenary Speakers .............................................................................................................. 19 Plenary Abstracts ............................................................................................................... 25 List of Abstracts ................................................................................................................. 29 Presentation/Paper Abstracts ............................................................................................ 37 Poster Abstracts................................................................................................................. 87 Workshop Abstracts ........................................................................................................... 91 Location Maps..................................................................................................................100 ISBN: 978-1-906740-16-0 Copyright ISSS 2018 Monday Plenary/Speaker Menti Code David Rousseau 64 77 16 Gary Roedler 54 57 60 Wayne Wakeland 33 61 83 Tuesday Plenary/Speaker Menti Code Mike Watson 30 94 75 Charles Keating 84 62 74 Javier Calvo 61 71 82 William Schindel 42 56 80 Wednesday Plenary/Speaker Menti Code Tom McDermott 62 93 8 John Vodonick 28 99 40 Debora Hammond 99 92 98 Thursday Plenary/Speaker Menti Code Rika Preiser 90 36 15 Martin Zwick 23 24 98 Peter Niewiarowski 93 85 11 Linda Holbeche 92 62 78 Friday Plenary/Speaker Menti Code Workshops Report-back 78 61 30 AGM + President's wrap up 74 33 54 Peter Tuddenham: Incoming Presidential 19 87 79 Address 2 Welcome to ISSS 2018 Dear Colleagues, Welcome to ISSS2018 Corvallis at Oregon State University. Welcome also to our partners and collaborators from INCOSE, MITRE, ISEE Systems, Systems Journal, Argonne National Laboratory, IFSR, Systems Dynamics Society, Bertalanffy Centre for the Study of Systems Science, and the College of Exploration. This year’s conference will explore foundational discoveries about the nature of complex systems. These insights are now arising from research in a spectrum of systems disciplines, delivering new understandings in areas such as biology, complexity, politics, ethics, aesthetics, business studies, engineering and general systems theory. We will also look to the future, anticipating and planning for how these insights could drive convergence across the spectrum of systems traditions. Such a convergence has the potential to: • enhance our capability for multi-, inter- and transdisciplinary working; • advance the perspectives, insights and methods of the systemologists and others who will help us address the social and personal challenges of globalization, the Anthropocene and the Fourth Industrial Revolution; and • bring new opportunities to enhance the potential and wellbeing of individuals and communities. The complexity of the systems we undertake to establish or curate is increasing without limit, and globally systems are rapidly becoming more interconnected and interdependent. This radically increases the risks of instability, insecurity, and critical failures for the projects we undertake and the communities that they aim to serve. However, we are also seeing rapid advances in the systems disciplines, and these insights may be pivotal for generating insight, opportunity and coherence as we co-create a resilient and evolvable society. ISSS2018 offers the opportunity for a wide diversity of systemologists and others to explore common interests and challenges, learn from each other, align and consolidate progress, and gather inspiration, collaborators and momentum for future work in the systems sciences. To facilitate this the morning programme is organized into themes, with Monday providing an overview of the current systems landscape from the perspective of the ISSS, industry and academia, Tuesday on systems principles in Engineering and Practice, Wednesday on systems principles in Society and Culture, Thursday on systems principles in Science and Business, and Friday on building a prioritised research agenda and forming teams for future research in the systems sciences. A special feature of the program design is that, in response to member requests, we have reserved the last plenary slots of Monday and Wednesday morning to provide opportunities for member networking. The afternoon programme is devoted to parallel tracks of SIG sessions and workshops. In response to member requests we have increased the number of workshops available.. One of these is a special workshop event to collect inputs from attendees for a systems science research programme, collecting inputs on challenges, urgent needs, and potential collaborators, leading up to the definition of a research agenda and formation of research teams on Friday morning. This special workshop will be repeated every day, and hopefully this will give everyone a chance to engage with it. Please come along and give your inputs 3 to this important initiative. A related event will take place on Monday afternoon, when there will be a facilitated conversation around the needs and challenges for “Systems Engineering of the Future”. We hope that you will enjoy the conference and the surroundings, and have a rich and fruitful experience at ISSS2018. David Rousseau Javier Calvo-Amodio President, ISSS (2017-2018) VP for Conferences, ISSS (2017-2018) 4 Conference Program and Schedule ISSS 2018 Sunday: July 22, 2018 – Pre-Conference Workshops REGISTRATION DESK OPEN 08:30 – 18:00 (Foyer – Kelley Engineering Center, Oregon State University, Corvallis) 09:00 – 17:30 Pre-conference Workshops Workshop 3308 Scientific & Philosophical Foundations for Systems Engineering and a Possible Basis for the Unification of Room: KEC 1001 Systems Science Kent D. Palmer; Kenneth Llloyd. 14:30 – 17:30 Workshops 1. 3300, 3401 and 3402 Knowledge Mapping for Literature Reviews: A Science of Conceptual Systems Approach Room: KEC 1005 Steven E. Wallis 2. 3340 Room: KEC1007 Nurturing Living Systems Awareness through Movement, Music, Creativity, and Play Widhalm, Barbara 18:00 – 21:00 Reception Evening Opening Reception in Kelley Engineering Center, Oregon State Campus. Tickets available at registration desk ($15). Monday: July 23, 2018 MORNING REGISTRATION DESK OPEN 08:00 – 18:00 (Foyer, CH2M Hill Alumni Center, 725 SW 26th Street, Corvallis) 07:45 to 08:45 ISSS Roundtable Discussion, Sue Gabriele (CH2M Hill, Room: Johnson Lounge). 08:00 to 08:45 Open Café, Open for Conversations before the plenaries each morning. (CH2M Hill, Cascade Ballroom) 09:00 Plenary Session (CH2M Hill Alumni Center, Cascade Ballroom) 09:00 Welcome and Announcements 09:15 WELCOME REMARKS Professor Cindy Sager, Vice President for Research at Oregon State University. 09:25 THE FUTURE OF SYSTEMOLOGY: CONVERGENCE, TRANSDISCIPLINARITY AND IMPACT Dr David Rousseau, current President of the ISSS, a Visiting Fellow in the Centre of Systems Studies in the University of Hull, and Scientific Council Member of the Bertalanffy Centre for the Study of Systems Science. 10:00 SHAPING SYSTEMS ENGINEERING FOR THE FUTURE Garry Roedler, current President of the International Council on Systems Engineering (INCOSE), and Fellow and Engineering Outreach Program Manager at Lockheed Martin. 10:45 – 11:15 Tea/Coffee and Poster Viewing (CH2M Hill Alumni Centre, Foyer) 11:15 SYSTEMS SCIENCE EDUCATION AND RESEARCH IN ACADEMIA: PAST, PRESENT, AND FUTURE Peter Roolf and Prof. Wayne Wakeland, current Director of the longest-running Systems Science PhD Programme in the history of the systems sciences. This programme has been ongoing for nearly five decades at Portland State University. Peter is a current PhD student in this programme. 12:00 NETWORKING OPPORTUNITY Facilitators: David Rousseau and Javier Calvo-Amodio 12:45 Lunch (CH2M Hill Alumni Centre, South Concourse Hallway) 6 13:45 to 15:15 Parallel Sessions – CH2M Hill Center 1 2 3 4 5 6 Willamette 115A Willamette 115B Trysting Tree Burlingham Elle Johnson Lounge SIG: Designing Educational SIG: Systems Engineering and SIG: Systems Psychology and SIG: Systems Pathology Workshop Workshop Systems Systems Modelling Mental Health Chair: Len R. Troncale Chair: Gary Chair: David Chair: Amber Elkins Chair: Sage Kittleman Chair: Pamela Buckle Metcalf Rousseau and Javier 3450 Calvo 3428 3446 3336 Motion Sickness as a 3359 A Proposed Methodology for Framework for Generating Towards Fractal Properties of Metaphor Handbook of 3478 Developing Systems Thinking Trade Spaces for Complexity Cognitive Processes in the Leonard, Allenna Systems Science Identifying the Lessons By and For Non- Allocation in Complex Systems Human Brain under the Metcalf, Gary Systems Science Experts Complexity Science Approach Research Agenda Bonilla, Farouk Harold 3441 Taylor, Seth; Calvo-Amodio, Lina, Ixchel Reyes; Contreras for the Future. Linking Lists of Javier; Well, Jay Troya, Teresa I.; Morales 3341 Reoccuring Human Metamoros, Oswaldo ; Rojas 3411 Vision for Knowledge-centric Systems Problems and This workshop is Ramirez, Jorge A.; Moreno Learning with Nature's Integrated Systems