Greka Energy Corporation Is an Independent Oil and Gas Producer with Operations in California and South Louisiana
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Equity Research March 5, 2002 Exploration & Production Greka Energy C. Van Levy (713) 650-2152 R. Michael Villarreal (713) 650-2010 Corporation Victor Ponce de Leon (713) 650-2035 Restructuring Plan Allows Charles R. Parkerson (713) 650-2155 Focus On Asphalt Plant Investment Conclusion Rating: STRONG BUY · Greka Energy announced an aggressive restructuring plan GRKA-OTC (3/4/2002): $7.04 on March 4. The company plans to sell less profitable, non- 52-week Range: $15.50-5.93 Shares Outstanding: 4.7 Million core E&P assets in Louisiana and California. The proceeds Float: 3.9 Million Shares will be used to enhance its most profitable asset, the Santa Market Capitalization: $33 Million Maria basin asphalt refinery. Dividend/Yield: Nil/Nil Fiscal Year Ends: December · To maximize profits, Greka will acquire and fill up the Book Value: $10.12 per Share plant with proximal, long-lived, crude oil reserves. In that 2001E ROE: NM vein, the first acquisition (Vintage Petroleum’s Cat Canyon LT Debt: $39 Million Preferred: Nil field) has been closed into escrow. The acquisition will Common Equity: $46 Million allow Greka to increase “equity” or company-owned throughput from 12% to 32%. Two additional properties have been identified and if consummated will increase plant Earnings per Share utilization above 80%. We maintain our Strong Buy rating 2000 ......................................................$1.77 2001E....................................................$0.51 and 12-month price target of $12 per share. 2002E....................................................$2.23 · Sale of non-core E&P assets—Greka plans to sell the 2003E....................................................$4.18 Potash and Manila Village fields in Louisiana and the P/E Ratio 2000 .......................................................4.0X Richfield East Dome Unit and PRC 91 fields in California. 2001E...................................................13.8X · Focus, focus, focus—Greka will close offices and sell 2002E.....................................................3.2X 2003E.....................................................1.7X assets in Jakarta and Colombia. Offices in Houston will be downsized. G&A expense is expected to decline. · Balance sheet strengthens—Company expects to garner $30-$35 million from asset sales. After restructuring, Greka believes it will have $25 million in debt and $10 Cash Flow per Share 2000 ......................................................$2.10 million of available liquidity. 2001E....................................................$2.07 2002E....................................................$3.45 · Maximize profitability—Greka will focus on increasing 2003E....................................................$6.08 throughput of asphalt plant with long-lived, equity P/CF Ratio controlled production. 2000 .......................................................3.4X · We are not changing our earnings and cash flow 2001E.....................................................3.4X 2002E.....................................................2.0X estimates at this time. 2003E.....................................................1.2X Company Description: Greka Energy Corporation is an independent oil and gas producer with operations in California and South Louisiana. The company also operates an asphalt plant in Santa Maria, California. 02-2634 © 2002 CIBC World Markets Inc., P.O. Box 500, 161 Bay Street, BCE Place, Toronto, Canada M5J 2S8 · (416) 594-7000 CIBC World Markets Corp., 417 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY 10016 · (212) 667-7000 (800) 999-6726 CIBC World Markets Greka Energy Corporation CIBC World Markets Corp., or one of its affiliated companies, makes a market in the securities of and has performed investment banking services for this company. This report is issued and approved for distribution by (i) in the US, CIBC World Markets Corp., a member of the NYSE and SIPC, (ii) in Canada, CIBC World Markets Inc., a member of the IDA and CIPF, (iii) in the UK, CIBC World Markets plc, which is regulated by the FSA, and (iv) in Australia, CIBC World Markets Australia Limited, a member of the Australian Stock Exchange and regulated by the ASIC. Any questions should be directed to your sales representative. 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All rights reserved. 2 Greka Energy Corporation CIBC World Markets Exhibit 1: Consolidated—Income Statement ($MM) 2000 2001E 2002E 2003E 1Q01 2Q01 3Q01 4Q01E 2001E Revenues: Oil & Gas Revenues $15.588 $15.465 $16.140 $20.816 $3.378 $5.068 $3.923 $3.096 $15.465 Refinery Revenues $33.479 $24.647 $36.412 $50.018 $3.611 $6.554 $9.389 $5.093 $24.647 Other $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 Total Revenues $49.067 $40.112 $52.552 $70.834 $6.989 $11.622 $13.312 $8.189 $40.112 Expenses: Operating Expenses $25.200 $21.391 $21.788 $23.184 $2.908 $5.602 $9.246 $3.635 $21.391 DD&A Expense $3.592 $3.761 $5.986 $9.296 $0.710 $1.079 $0.969 $1.003 $3.761 G&A Expense $6.699 $7.721 $7.600 $7.800 $2.031 $2.197 $1.593 $1.900 $7.721 Net Profit Sharing $0.495 $0.400 $1.098 $2.136 $0.100 $0.100 $0.100 $0.100 $0.400 Other Expense $1.882 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 Total Expense $37.868 $33.273 $36.472 $42.416 $5.749 $8.978 $11.908 $6.638 $33.273 Operating Income $11.199 $6.839 $16.080 $28.417 $1.240 $2.644 $1.404 $1.551 $6.839 EBITDA $14.791 $10.600 $22.066 $37.713 $1.950 $3.723 $2.373 $2.554 $10.600 EBITDA Per Share Basic $3.30 $2.31 $4.70 $8.03 $0.43 $0.82 $0.52 $0.54 $2.31 EBITDA Per Share Diluted $3.11 $2.18 $4.51 $7.70 $0.40 $0.77 $0.50 $0.52 $2.18 Other Expenses (Income): Equity Loss of Saba $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 Interest Expense (Income) $4.535 $4.263 $4.939 $7.549 $0.885 $1.004 $1.342 $1.032 $4.263 Loss on Sale of Canadian Properties $0.991 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 Other Expenses (Income) $0.000 ($3.601) $0.000 $0.000 ($0.680) ($0.213) ($2.708) $0.000 ($3.601) Total Other Expenses (Income) $5.527 $0.662 $4.939 $7.549 $0.205 $0.791 ($1.366) $1.032 $0.662 Minority Interest in Loss of Cons.