Dealing with the New Giants: Rethinking the Role of Pension Funds
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Dealing with the New Giants: Rethinking the Role of Pension Funds Geneva Reports on the World Economy 8 International Center for Monetary and Banking Studies (ICMB) International Center for Monetary and Banking Studies 11 A Avenue de la Paix 1202 Geneva Switzerland Tel (41 22) 734 9548 Fax (41 22) 733 3853 Tebsite: www.icmb.ch © July 2006 International Center for Monetar y and Banking Studies Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) Centre for Economic Policy Research 90-98 Goswell Road London EC1V 7RR RH Tel: +44 (0)20 7878 2900 Fax: +44 (0)20 7878 2999 Email: [email protected] Tebsite: www.cepr.org British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Librar y ISBN: 1 898128 94 4 Dealing with the New Giants: Rethinking the Role of Pension Funds Geneva Reports on the World Economy 8 Tito Boeri Bocconi University and Fondazione Rodolfo Debenedetti and CEPR Lans Bovenberg Netspar and Tilburg University and CEPR Benoît Coeuré École Polytechnique, Paris Andrew Roberts Merrill Lynch International ICMB INTERNATIONAL CENTER FOR MONETARY AND BANKING STUDIES CIMB CENTRE INTERNATIONAL D’ETUDES MONETAIRES ET BANCAIRES International Center for Monetary and Banking Studies (ICMB) The International Center for Monetary and Banking Studies was created in 1973 as an inde- pendent, non-profit foundation. It is associated with Geneva s Graduate Institute of International Studies. Its aim is to foster exchange of views between the financial sector, cen- tral banks and academics on issues of common interest. It is financed through grants from banks, financial institutions and central banks. The Center sponsors international conferences, public lectures, original resear ch and publi- cations. It has earned a solid reputation in the Swiss and international banking community where it is known for its contribution to bridging the gap between theor y and practice in the field of international banking and finance. In association with CEPR, the Center launched a new series of Geneva Reports on the Wloia Economy in 1999. The seven subsequent volumes have attracted considerable interest among practitioners, policy-makers and scholars working on the reform of international financial architecture. The ICMB is non-partisan and does not take any view on policy . Its publications, including the present report, reflect the opinions of the authors, not of ICMB or of any of its spon - soring institutions. President of the Foundation Board Tommaso Padoa-Schioppa Director Charles Wvmilpw Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) The Centre for Economic Policy Resear ch is a network of almost 700 Resear ch Fellows and Affiliates, based primarily in European universities. The Centre coordinates the resear ch activities of its Fellows and Affiliates and communicates the results to the public and private sectors. CEPR is an entrepreneur , developing resear ch initiatives with the producers, con - sumers and sponsors of resear ch. Established in 1983, CEPR is a European economics research organization with uniquely wide-ranging scope and activities. CEPR is a registered educational charity . Institutional (core) finance for the Centre is pro - vided by major grants from the Economic and Social Resear ch Council, under which an ESRC Resource Centre operates within CEPR. The Centre is also supported by the European Central Bank, the Bank of England, 32 national central banks and 41 companies. None of these organizations gives prior review to the Centre s publications, nor do they necessarily endorse the views expressed therein. The Centre is pluralist and non-partisan, bringing economic resear ch to bear on the analy - sis of medium- and long-run policy questions. CEPR resear ch may include views on policy , but the Executive Committee of the Centre does not give prior review to its publications, and the Centre takes no institutional policy positions. The opinions expressed in this report are those of the authors and not those of the Centre for Economic Policy Resear ch. Chair of the Board Guillermo de la Dehesa President Richard Portes Chief Executive Officer Stephen Yeo Research Director Mathias Dewatripont Policy Director Richard Baldwin About the Authors Tito Boeoi is currently Professor of Economics at Bocconi University , Milan and acts as Scientific Director of the Fondazione Rodolfo Debenedetti (www .frdb.org). He is research fellow at CEPR, IZA and Igier-Bocconi. His field of research is labour economics, redistributive policies and political economics. His papers have been published in the American Economic Review, the Glronal of Economic Perspectives, Economic Policy, the European Economic Review, the Glronal of Labour Economics, and the NBER Macroeconomics Annual. He has published seven books with Oxford University Press and MIT Press. After obtaining his Ph.D. in Economics from New Vork University, Boeri was Senior Economist at the Organisation for Economic Co- operation and Development from 1987 to 1996. He was also consultant to the European Commission, International Monetar y Fund, the ILO, the W orld Bank and the Italian Government. Ians Bosen_eod obtained his Ph.D. in 1984 at the University of California, Berkeley. He started his working career as an economist at the International Monetary Fund in W ashington D.C (1985-1990), after which he worked at the Dutch Ministry of Economic Affairs in the Hague. He was Deputy Director of CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis (Centraal Planbureau) and became a Professor of Economics at T ilburg University in 1998, where he ser sba as Scientific Director of the Center for Economic Resear ch (CentER). In 2004, he won the Spinoza prize as the second social scientist. W ith the prize money , he founded Netspar (Network for Studies on Pensions, Aging and Retirement) in which various pension funds, insurance companies, public agencies and universi - ties participate. He is currently scientific director of Netspar . Lans Bovenberg has published extensively in the leading international journals on a wide variety of topics: public economics, tax policy, environmental econom- ics, institutional economics, pensions and aging, international macroeconomics and labour economics. He is one of the most cited Dutch economists in the inter- national academic literature. At the same time, he has been the most cited Dutch economist in policy-oriented journals aimed at practitioners and policy-makers for the past fifteen years. Benoît Croé teaches Macroeconomics and Economic Policy at École Polytechnique in Paris. His research has dealt with the international monetary sys- tem and with euro area economic policy. He is the co-author of Economie de l'Euro (La Découverte, 2002) and of Politique Economique (De Boeck, 2004) and he was nominated for best young French economist in 2005. Mr Coeuré is a graduate of École Polytechnique and of École Nationale de la Statistique et de lAdministration Économique, and he holds a post-graduate degree in Economic Policy from École des Hautes Etudes en Sciences Sociales and a BA in Japanese. He has been the chief economic adviser of the director of the French T reasury, and he is currently the deputy CEO of France's debt management agency, Agence France Trésor. v Anaoet Ro_eots has worked as a fixed-income strategist for the past fourteen years, starting his career at UBS. He has worked at Merrill L ynch since 1998 and in 2003 was appointed chief European fixed-income strategist. His specialties include generating trade strategies in European & UK fixed-income markets and the growing world of global inflation-linked bonds. He has also developed a spe - cial focus on the fixed-income implications of ongoing regulator y & asset alloca- tion changes in the global pensions/insurance arena, primarily within the US, EMU and UK. His development work on inflation-linked bonds has involved him directly with many of the major government issuers of the product. Contents List of Conference Participants fu List of Tables uff List of Figures uff List of Boxes uff Acknowledgements ufff Clobtloa ufs Executive Summary us . Ortiooh . 1.1 A taxonomy of pension funds 2 1.2 Assessing the potential 8 1.3 Two extreme scenarios .2 1.4 Key issues .3 2 Incoomationai asymmetoies ana tee omtimai oodaniwation oc mension crnas 2. 2.1 Pension fund organization and governance 21 2.2 Improving financial literacy 26 2.3 Integration of the pension fund industr y: fragmentation, portability and competition 00 2.4 Public compared with private pension funds 03 0 Ae-oishind mension crnas tite maohet-_asea soirtions 09 3.1 A slow switch to market-based valuations 40 3.2 Lengthening the duration of fixed-income portfolios 13 3.3 The scope for market innovations 22 3.4 Conclusions 24 1 Omtimai oish-seaoind 29 4.1 From occupational defined-benefit plans to collective defined-contribution schemes 60 4.2 Optimal risk-sharing through hybrid pension schemes 30 4.3 Tax treatment of pensions 40 4.4 Conclusions 77 2 Ia_oro maohets ana erman camitai 79 5.1 Funding and human capital in an ageing society 79 5.2 Longevity and human capital 5. 5.3 The labour market for elderly workers: the retirement process 50 5.4 Labour-market flexibility 87 5.5 Conclusions 6. Aiscrssion ana Rornata_ies 90 Session 1 60 Session 2 103 Session 3 109 Session 4 127 Endnotes .02 References .06 List of Conference Participants Ernst Baltensperger Professor, Department of Economics University of Bern, Bern Vít Bárta Adviser to Vice-Governor Czech National Bank, Prague Rémy Bersier Managing Director, Head