Emmanuel Farhi
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HÉLÈNE REY London Business School Regent’S Park, London NW1 4SA Tel: +44 207 000 8412 E-Mail: [email protected]
HÉLÈNE REY London Business School Regent’s Park, London NW1 4SA Tel: +44 207 000 8412 E-mail: [email protected] PERSONAL Married. One daughter, born 2006. ACADEMIC POSITIONS 2007- London Business School, Professor of Economics. Academic Director of the AQR Asset Management Institute at London Business School (since 2015). 2006-2007 Princeton University , Economics Department, Woodrow Wilson School and Bendheim Center for Finance, Professor of Economics and International Affairs. 2000-2006 Princeton University, Economics Department, Woodrow Wilson School and Bendheim Center for Finance, Assistant Professor of Economics and International Affairs 1997-2000 London School of Economics and Political Science, Lecturer OTHER 2014- Member of the Haut Conseil de Stabilité Financière (French Macroprudential Authority) 2010-2014 Member of the Board of the Autorité de Contrôle Prudentiel (French regulatory authority for banks and insurance companies). Founding Chair of the scientific committee of the ACP. 2010-2012 Member of the Conseil d’Analyse Economique (non partisan Council of economic Advisors to the French Prime Minister) 2012- Member of the Commission Economique de la Nation (non partisan Council of economic Advisors to the French Finance Minister) Visiting Positions April 2014 University of Chicago, visiting Professor, Becker Friedman Institute. Sept-Dec. 2013 Science Po, visiting Professor Sept-June 07 London Business School, Visiting Professor March 04 & Apr. 05 Northwestern, Visiting Assistant Professor Jan-July 2003 CERAS and Ecole des Ponts, Paris, Visiting Professor Sept-Dec. 2002 IMF Research Department, Resident Scholar Jan.-June 2000 Berkeley, Visiting Assistant Professor Sept.-Dec. 1999 NBER/Harvard, Visiting Assistant Professor April 1999 Institute for International Economic Studies, Stockholm, Visiting Scholar EDUCATION 1998 London School of Economics, Ph.D. -
Reforming the International Monetary System Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)
This report presents a set of concrete proposals of increasing ambition for the reform of the international monetary system. The proposals aim at improving the international provision of liquidity in order to limit the effects of individual and systemic crises and decrease their frequency. The recommendations outlined in this Reforming the report include: • Develop alternatives to US Treasuries as the dominant reserve asset, including the issuance of mutually guaranteed European bonds and (in the more distant future) the development of a ISBN 978-1-907142-41-3 International yuan bond market. • Make permanent the temporary swap agreements that were put in place between central banks during the crisis. Establish a star- shaped structure of swap lines centred on the IMF. Monetary System • Strengthen and expand existing IMF liquidity facilities. On the funding side, expand the IMF’s existing financing mechanisms and allow the IMF to borrow directly on the markets. • Establish a foreign exchange reserve pooling mechanism with the IMF, providing participating countries with access to additional liquidity and, incidentally, allowing reserves to be recycled into productive investments. To limit moral hazard, the report proposes to set up specific surveillance indicators to monitor “international funding risks” associated with increased insurance provision. The report discusses the role of the special drawing rights (SDR) and the prospects for turning this unit of account into a true international currency, arguing that it would not solve the fundamental problems of the international monetary system. The report also reviews the conditions under which emerging market economies may use temporary capital controls to counteract excessive and volatile capital flows. -
Why Has CEO Pay Increased So Much?
Why Has CEO Pay Increased So Much? Xavier Gabaix and Augustin Landier MIT and NBER, NYU Stern February 14, 2006∗ Preliminary and incomplete — Please do not circulate Abstract This paper develops a simple competitive model of CEO pay. It appears to explain much of the rise in CEO compensation in the US economy, without assuming managerial entrenchment, mishandling of options, or theft. CEOs have observable managerial talent and are matched to assets in a competitive assignment model. The marginal impact of a CEO’s talent is assumed to increase with the value of the assets under his control. Under very general assumptions, using results from extreme value theory, the model determines the level of CEO pay across firms and over time, and the pay-sensitivity relations. We predict that the level of CEO compensation should increase one for one with the average market capitalization of large firms in the economy. Therefore, the eight-fold increase of CEO pay between 1980 and 2000 can be fully attributed to the increase in market capitalization of large US companies. The model predicts the cross-section Cobb-Douglass relation between pay and firm size and can be used to study other large changes at the top of the income distribution, and offers a benchmark for calibratable corporate finance. ∗[email protected], [email protected]. For helpful comments, we thank David Yermack and seminar participants at MIT. 1 1Introduction This paper proposes a neoclassical model of equilibrium CEO compensation. It is simple, tractable, calibratable. CEOs have observable managerial talent and are matched to firms competitively. -
Optimal Illiquidity∗
Optimal Illiquidity∗ John Beshears, James J. Choi, Christopher Clayton, Christopher Harris, David Laibson, Brigitte C. Madrian April 22, 2020 Abstract We calculate the socially optimal level of illiquidity in an economy pop- ulated by households with taste shocks and present bias (Amador, Werning, and Angeletos 2006). The government chooses mandatory contributions to respective spending/savings accounts, each with a different pre-retirement withdrawal penalty. Penalties collected by the government are redistributed through the tax system. When naive households have heterogeneous present bias, the social optimum is well approximated by a three-account system: (i) a completely liquid account, (ii) a completely illiquid account, and (iii) an account with an 10% early withdrawal penalty. In some ways this resem- ' bles the U.S. system, which includes completely liquid accounts, completely illiquid Social Security and 401(k)/IRA accounts with a 10% early withdrawal penalty. The social optimum is also well approximated by an even simpler two-account system—(i) a completely liquid account and (ii) a completely illiq- uid account—which is the most common retirement system in the world today. * The project described received funding from the TIAA Institute and Wharton School’s Pension Research Council/Boettner Center. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent official views of the TIAA Institute or Wharton School’s Pension Research Council/Boettner Center. The authors gratefully acknowledge additional financial support from the Eric M. Mindich Fund for Research on the Foundations of Human Behavior, the National Institute on Aging (P30AG034532), and the Social Security Administration. The views expressed in this paper are not endorsed by NIA, SSA, or any federal government agency. -
Reporter NATIONAL BUREAU of ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NBER Reporter NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH Reporter OnLine at: www.nber.org/reporter 2012 Number 1 Program Report IN THIS ISSUE Program Report The Changing Focus of Public Public Economics 1 Economics Research, 1980–2010 Research Summaries Private Health Insurance Markets 7 Transfer of Knowledge across Countries 10 Raj Chetty and Amy Finkelstein* Inflation Forecasting 13 Wealth After Retirement 16 The NBER’s Program on Public Economics (PE) has covered a very wide range of topics since the last program report six years ago. Rather than NBER Profiles 19 attempting to summarize the entire corpus of work that has been done by Conferences 21 this program in the past few years, this report provides a bird’s eye view NBER News 25 of some of the major changes in the field from two perspectives. First, we Program and Working Group Meetings 29 quantify the main trends in public finance research at the NBER over the Bureau Books 35 last thirty years, drawing on statistics from the database of NBER Working Papers. Second, we qualitatively summarize some of the emerging themes of recent research, both in terms of topics and methods. A Statistical Perspective The Public Economics Program began as the Business Taxation and Finance Program, which held its first meeting under the direction of David Bradford in December 1977. It was renamed the Taxation Program in 1980, to reflect the broader research interests of its affiliated researchers. To recog- nize the importance of expenditure as well as tax research, the program was renamed “Public Economics” in 1991, when James Poterba succeeded David Bradford as Program Director. -
Macroeconomic Crises Since 1870
11302-04_Barro_rev.qxd 9/12/08 1:04 PM Page 255 ROBERT J. BARRO Harvard University JOSÉ F. URSÚA Harvard University Macroeconomic Crises since 1870 ABSTRACT We build on Angus Maddison’s data by assembling inter- national time series from before 1914 on real per capita personal consumer expenditure, C, and by improving the GDP data. We have full annual data on C for twenty-four countries and GDP for thirty-six. For samples starting at 1870, we apply a peak-to-trough method to isolate economic crises, defined as cumulative declines in C or GDP of at least 10 percent. We find 95 crises for C 1 and 152 for GDP, implying disaster probabilities of 3 ⁄2 percent a year, with 1 mean size of 21–22 percent and average duration of 3 ⁄2 years. Simulation of a Lucas-tree model with i.i.d. shocks and Epstein-Zin-Weil preferences accords with the observed average equity premium of around 7 percent on levered equity, using a coefficient of relative risk aversion of 3.5. This result is robust to several perturbations, except for limiting the sample to nonwar crises. n earlier study by Barro used Thomas Rietz’s insight on rare eco- Anomic disasters to explain the equity premium puzzle introduced by Rajnish Mehra and Edward Prescott.1 Key parameters were the probability p of disaster and the distribution of disaster sizes b. Because large macro- economic disasters are rare, pinning down p and the b distribution from historical data requires long time series for many countries, along with the assumption of rough parameter stability over time and across countries. -
Generatiaon NEXT 25 Economists Under 45 Who Are Shaping the Way We Think About the Global Economy
Generatiaon NEXT 25 economists under 45 who are shaping the way we think about the global economy e asked you, our readers, and assorted international economists and journal editors to tell us which economists under 45 will have the most influence in the coming decades on our under- standing of the global economy. F&D researcher Carmen Rollins gathered information from Wscores of sources to compile this—by no means exhaustive—list of economists to keep an eye on. Nicholas Bloom, 41, British, Stanford University, uses quantitative research to measure and explain management Amy Finkelstein, 40, American, practices across firms and countries. He also researches the MIT, researches the impact of pub- causes and consequences of uncertainty and studies innova- lic policy on health care systems, tion and information technology. government intervention in health insurance markets, and market failures. Raj Chetty, 35, Indian and American, Harvard University, received his Ph.D. at age 23. He Kristin Forbes, 44, American, Bank of England and MIT, combines empirical evidence has held positions in both academia and the U.S. and U.K. eco- and economic theory to research nomic policy sphere, where she applies her research to policy how to improve government pol- questions related to international macroeconomics and finance. icy decisions in areas such as tax policy, unemployment insurance, education, and equal- Roland Fryer, 37, American, Harvard, focuses on the ity of opportunity. social and political economics of race and inequality in the United States. His research investigates economic disparity through the development of new economic theory and the Melissa Dell, 31, American, Harvard, examines poverty and implementation of randomized experiments. -
Rare Disasters and Exchange Rates
NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES RARE DISASTERS AND EXCHANGE RATES Emmanuel Farhi Xavier Gabaix Working Paper 13805 http://www.nber.org/papers/w13805 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 February 2008 For helpful comments, we thank Andy Atkeson, David Backus, Robert Barro, Daniel Cohen, Alex Edmans, Christian Julliard, Pat and Tim Kehoe, Raj Mehra, Emi Nakamura, Eric van Wincoop, and seminar participants at Boston University, Dartmouth, LBS, LSE, Minneapolis Fed, NBER, New York Fed, NYU, UBC, and the University of Virginia. Gabaix thanks the NSF for support. The views expressed herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. NBER working papers are circulated for discussion and comment purposes. They have not been peer- reviewed or been subject to the review by the NBER Board of Directors that accompanies official NBER publications. © 2008 by Emmanuel Farhi and Xavier Gabaix. All rights reserved. Short sections of text, not to exceed two paragraphs, may be quoted without explicit permission provided that full credit, including © notice, is given to the source. Rare Disasters and Exchange Rates Emmanuel Farhi and Xavier Gabaix NBER Working Paper No. 13805 February 2008 JEL No. E43,E44,F31,G12,G15 ABSTRACT We propose a new model of exchange rates, which yields a theory of the forward premium puzzle. Our explanation combines two ingredients: the possibility of rare economic disasters, and an asset view of the exchange rate. Our model is frictionless, has complete markets, and works for an arbitrary number of countries. -
Empirical Analyses in Finance and Macroeconomics
Empirical Analyses in Finance and Macroeconomics The Harvard community has made this article openly available. Please share how this access benefits you. Your story matters Citable link http://nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:40050093 Terms of Use This article was downloaded from Harvard University’s DASH repository, and is made available under the terms and conditions applicable to Other Posted Material, as set forth at http:// nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:dash.current.terms-of- use#LAA Empirical Analyses in Finance and Macroeconomics A dissertation presented by Yueran Ma to The Department of Economics in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in the subject of Business Economics Harvard University Cambridge, Massachusetts April 2018 c 2018 Yueran Ma All rights reserved. Dissertation Advisors: Author: Professor Andrei Shleifer Yueran Ma Professor Edward Glaeser Empirical Analyses in Finance and Macroeconomics Abstract This thesis has three essays which are empirical studies at the intersection of finance and macroeconomics. The topics include low interest rates and financial markets, debt contracts and corporate borrowing constraints, and expectations in finance and macro. The essays hope to provide empirical evidence, using diverse approaches, to better understand the connections as well as differences between classic theories and economic activities in practice. iii Contents Abstract . iii Acknowledgments . xii Introduction 1 1 Low Interest Rates and Risk Taking: Evidence from Individual Investment Deci- sions 3 1.1 Introduction . .3 1.2 Benchmark Experiment . .8 1.2.1 Experiment Design and Sample Description . .9 1.2.2 Results . 16 1.3 Potential Mechanisms . -
A Theory of Pareto Distributions∗
A Theory of Pareto Distributions∗ François Geerolf y UCLA This version: August 2016. First version: April 2014. [Last Version] Abstract A strong empirical regularity is that firm size and top incomes follow a Pareto distribution. A large literature explains this regularity by appealing to the distri- bution of primitives, or by using dynamic “random growth” models. In contrast, I demonstrate that Pareto distributions can arise from production functions in static assignment models with complementarities, such as Garicano’s (2000) knowledge- based production hierarchies model. Under very limited assumptions on the dis- tribution of agents’ abilities, these models generate Pareto distributions for the span of control of CEOs and intermediary managers, and Zipf’s law for firm size. I confirm this prediction using French matched employer-employee administrative data. This novel justification of Pareto distributions sheds new light on why firm size and labor income are so heterogeneous despite small observable differences. In the model, Pareto distributions are the benchmark distributions that arise in the case of perfect homogeneity, while heterogeneity in primitives should be inferred from deviations from Pareto distributions. Keywords: Pareto Distributions, Zipf’s Law, Complementarities. JEL classification: D31, D33, D2, J31, L2 ∗I thank Daron Acemoğlu, Pol Antràs, Saki Bigio, Arnaud Costinot, Emmanuel Farhi, Xavier Gabaix, Guido Menzio, Adriana Lleras-Muney, Ezra Oberfield, Pierre-Olivier Weill, my discussant Thierry Mayer, and numerous seminar participants at the SED Meetings in Warsaw, the Bank of France Conference on “Granularity”, and at MIT, UC Berkeley, UCLA, UPenn, Polytechnique and TSE for valuable comments. Special thanks to Erzo Luttmer for his generous help on a previous draft of this paper. -
Interview: Emmanuel Farhi
INTERVIEW Emmanuel Farhi A young Emmanuel Farhi knew that his father, who passed away when Emmanuel was 10 years old, was an economist. But the boy never fully knew during his father’s lifetime just what an economist was. Three decades later, Farhi is one of the pre- eminent macroeconomists of his generation in both the United States and his native France. It was a roundabout journey: At age 16, he won first prize in the French national physics competition. Two years afterward, on the threshold of entering university, he attained the highest score in the nation on the entry exam for France’s elite engineering school, the École Polytechnique. But he turned it down for another coveted institution, the École Normale Supérieure in Paris, often called ENS. (Today, ENS is also the alma mater of numerous other notable French economists, including the University of California, Berkeley’s Emmanuel Saez, MIT’s Esther Duflo, Farhi’s Harvard colleague and frequent co-author Xavier Gabaix, and Thomas Piketty, author of the 2014 bestseller Capital in the Twenty-First Century.) At ENS, he planned at first to be a mathematician, but became drawn to economics instead. In his spare time, he read MIT professor Paul Samuelson’s classic EF: You’ve done research in a variety of areas, but a economics text. major part of your work has centered on the interna- “I think what drew me in particular was the abil- tional monetary system. What led you to those issues ity to model economic phenomena,” he says. “And and what do you find particularly interesting about I thought that was a powerful way of deeply under- them? standing these forces and how they were shaping the world.” Farhi: There is very little academic work on the topic At the urging of his mentor at ENS, an economist today. -
Econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible
A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) (Ed.) Periodical Part NBER Reporter Online, Volume 2010 NBER Reporter Online Provided in Cooperation with: National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), Cambridge, Mass. Suggested Citation: National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) (Ed.) (2010) : NBER Reporter Online, Volume 2010, NBER Reporter Online, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), Cambridge, MA This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/61993 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), you genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. may exercise further usage rights as specified in the indicated licence. www.econstor.eu NBER Reporter NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH Reporter OnLine at: www.nber.org/reporter 2010 Number 1 Program Report IN THIS ISSUE Program Report Economic Fluctuations and Growth Economic Fluctuations and Growth 1 Research Summaries Robert E.