MUSSELBURGH WARD PROFILE
November 2017
Contents Introduction and Sources ...... 3 The Musselburgh Area ...... 4 Population ...... 5 Ethnicity and Diversity ...... 5 Household Composition ...... 7 Deprivation in the Area ...... 8 Income and Employment ...... 11 Employment Patterns in the Musselburgh Area ...... 11 Economic Activity in the Musselburgh area ...... 14 How is the ward coping financially? ...... 17 Education and Training ...... 21 Education and Training among adults ...... 21 Education and Training for children and young people ...... 23 School Leavers ...... 28 Health and Social Care ...... 29 Illness, Mortality and Hospital Admissions ...... 30 Maternity and Child Health ...... 32 Young People’s Attitudes to Health ...... 33 Care and Social Care ...... 34 Older people ...... 35 Neighbourhood and Place ...... 37 Improving the Area ...... 39 Local High Streets ...... 40 Leisure, Learning and Sport ...... 41 Participating in Decisions ...... 42 Housing ...... 43 Housing type and size...... 44 Housing Tenure ...... 45 Housing Supply ...... 46 Housing Quality ...... 48 Homelessness ...... 49 Crime and Safety ...... 50 Reported Crimes in the ward ...... 51 Fear of Crime ...... 53 Anti‐Social Behaviour ...... 54 Fire incidences across the ward ...... 55 Transport and Travel ...... 56 Access Deprivation ...... 58 Environment ...... 60 Air Quality and pollution ...... 62 Local Environmental Concerns ...... 62 Young People and the Environment ...... 63 Perceptions of East Lothian Council & Satisfaction with Services ...... 64 Table of Figures ...... 66
2 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 Introduction and Sources This profile is one of six ward area profiles prepared to support the work of the East Lothian Partnership and compliment the East Lothian Profile. It has been compiled in consideration of the priorities identified in the East Lothian Single Outcome Agreement to assist local partnerships and service providers to better understand the needs of their local areas. In preparing this profile every attempt has been made to use the most recent information publically available for each theme and therefore the information here has come from a variety of sources including :‐ - National Records of Scotland (NRS) – population estimates and projections http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk - East Lothian Residents Survey 2017 commissioned by East Lothian Council cover a range of issues including quality of life, community cohesion, social attitudes, community safety and satisfaction with services. - Scotland’s Census 2011 ‐ http://www.scotlandscensus.gov.uk/en/ with comparison data from the 2001 census ‐ www.scrol.gov.uk - Scottish Neighbourhood Statistics – www.sns.gov.uk part of the Scottish Governments on‐going programme to improve the availability, consistency and accessibility of small area statistics in Scotland - Community Health and Well‐being Profiles – produced by the Scottish Public Health Observatory (ScotPHO) and comprising 61 indicators of health and wider determinants of health www.scotpho.org.uk/profiles - Scottish Schools Online ‐ www.ltscotland.org.uk/scottishschoolsonline/ - Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD) – provides an analysis of the SIMD 2016 http://www.gov.scot/Topics/Statistics/SIMD - East Lothian Council ‐ Information provided by relevant Departments - CACI Paycheck 2012 ‐ http://www.caci.co.uk/paycheck.aspx. - NOMIS ‐ a service provided by the Office for National Statistics, ONS, to give free access to the most detailed and up‐to‐date UK labour market statistics from official sources www.nomisweb.co.uk - Student Evaluation of Experience Survey – a yearly survey of all P6 and S2 pupils at Local Authority schools, East Lothian Council (combined P6 and S2 results) - Lothian and Borders Police – Measuring our Performance www.lbp.police.uk/freedom‐ of‐information/pl_performance.asp - Lothian and Borders Fire and Rescue Service ‐ Local Fire and Rescue Plan for East Lothian 2016 www.lbfire.org.uk - Local Incomes and Poverty in Scotland – 2013 report from the Income Modeling Project carried out by Heriot Watt University http://www.improvementservice.org.uk/ - Hands‐Up Survey – Sustran’s annual Scotland wide survey of how pupils travel to school
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 3 The Musselburgh Area The Musselburgh Ward is situated at the western end of East Lothian. It includes the town of Musselburgh, which is the largest settlement in East Lothian.
Figure 1 ‐ Ward Map (Local Government Boundary Commission for Scotland)
PLEASE NOTE ‐ Throughout this profile a number of different sources have been used to gather statistical information, which each use different boundaries and area definitions. In this report; Intermediate zones (also known as Intermediate Geographies) are also used to present variations within the ward. In this case Musselburgh is divided into the Fisherrow zone (covering Goosegreen and the North section of Fisherrow), Inveresk zone (covering the Stoneybank to Inveresk areas), Musselburgh zone (covering the Windsor Park to Stoneybank areas), Musselburgh West zone (covering the Newhailes and Whitehill areas), the Wallyford and Whitecraig zone and the Levenhall and Rigley Hill zone (covering the Ash Lagoons and Ravensheugh) Data zones are the smallest geographic areas at which data is collected and analysed. There are 27 data zones across the Musselburgh area
4 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 Population 19,551 people live in the Musselburgh ward, which accounts for 18.8% of the county’s population.
HEADLINES – Population 18.8% of East Lothian’s population live in the Musselburgh area There are also proportionally more people aged 16‐64 living in the ward than there are across East Lothian and Scotland 6% of the Musselburgh ward use a language other than English at home Musselburgh ward has a higher proportion of single adults (under and over 65) when compared to East Lothian
Population Distribution Wallyford and the surrounding area has been ceded to Tranent, Wallyford and Macmerry ward accounting for a loss of 6,500 residents In the Musselburgh ward 46.9% of the population are male and 53.1% are female There are also proportionally more people aged 16‐64 living in the ward than there are across East Lothian Figure 2 ‐ Age Distribution (National Records of Scotland 2016 mid‐year estimates)
Musselburgh Ward East Lothian Scotland % of the population (0‐15) 16.4% 18.2% 16.9% % of the population that are (16‐64) 64.9% 62.2% 64.6% % of the population that are 65 or over 18.7% 19.6% 18.5%
Ethnicity and Diversity The results from the 2011 Census in Scotland show that East Lothian is becoming more ethnically and religiously diverse, with an increasing number of people who live in East Lothian being born outside of the UK. According to the 2011 Census:‐ In East Lothian 84 % of the population were born in Scotland (compared to 83% of residents across the country as a whole); In East Lothian the proportion of the population born outside the UK rose from 3% to 5.3% between 2001 and 2011. Much of this rise can be attributed to new arrivals from the EU accession states including Poland, Lithuania, Romania, Latvia and others.
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 5 Figure 2 ‐ Length of residence in the UK (Scotland’s Census 2011) Length of residence in Musselburgh Musselburgh East Lothian Scotland the UK East & Carberry West Born in UK 92% 94% 95% 93% Less than 2 years 3% 1% 1% 2% 2‐5 years 2% 1% 1% 2% 5‐10 years 1% 1% 1% 1% 10 or more 2% 3% 3% 3% 85% of the population within the Musselburgh area were born in Scotland (above average for East Lothian and Scotland) ; 8% were born elsewhere in the UK; 7% were born in another part of the world – in line with the rest of Scotland
At the time of the 2011 Census 4% of people in Scotland were from minority ethnic groups – double that recorded in the 2001 census. 1.7% of the East Lothian population were from Black Minority Ethnic Groups including Asian, African Black Caribbean and Mixed Ethnic backgrounds (compared to 0.7% in 2001). In the Musselburgh East ward the percentage of the population from minority ethnic groups is 3.4% and this drops to 2.1% in the Musselburgh West ward. However, both are higher than the East Lothian average. 84.3% of people in Musselburgh East ward identified themselves as White Scottish– similar to the rate for Scotland as a whole. In the Musselburgh West ward 88.3% of people identified as White Scottish, notably above average for the area. Figure 3 ‐ Ethnic identity (Scotland’s Census 2011) Minority Ethnic Ethnic Group White Scottish White Other Groups Musselburgh East & Carberry 84.3% 12.3% 3.4% Musselburgh West 88.3% 9.6% 2.1% East Lothian 85.6% 12.7% 1.7% Scotland 84.0% 12.1% 4.0%
90% of all people (aged 3 and over) living in the area reported that they were very competent in using the English language, however more than 1% reported that they did not speak English well or did not speak English at all.
1,557 people in the Musselburgh wards (aged 3 years or over) use a language other than English at home. This equates to 6% of the population, the highest percentage across East Lothian. Of these people:
6 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017
Figure 4 ‐ Proficiency in English (Scotland’s Census 2011) 13% reports using Proficiency in English Language ‐ Musselburgh Area Scots language (below 1% 0% the East Lothian 9% Speaks English very average of 17%); well 1% report using Gaelic; Speaks English well 18% report using Polish; Does not speak English well 3% report using British Does not speak English Sign Language. at all 90%
Household Composition Figure 6 ‐ Household Composition (East Lothian Residents survey 2017)
Household Composition
Musselburgh East Lothian
22% 22% 21% 22% 15% 15% 16% 12% 10% 10% 11% 7% 5% 4% 5% 2%
Single adult Single adult Two adults Two adults Three adults One parent Two parent Other under 65 over 65 years both under at least one all over 16 family with family with years 65 years aged over 65 years children at children at years least one least one under 16 under 16
Figure 6 shows that the Musselburgh ward has a higher proportion of single adults (under and over 65) when compared to East Lothian However there are proportionally fewer two parent families with children and three adults all over 16 years, when compared to East Lothian
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 7 Deprivation in the ward
The Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD) The SIMD is a tool used by the Scottish Government to identify concentrations of deprivation across Scotland in a consistent manner. It does this by dividing the country into 6,976 data zones (average 767 people per data zone). These data zones are then ranked against key measures of deprivation – income, education, crime, health, employment, geographic access and housing – as well as by overall deprivation. It is important to note that the SIMD only identifies concentrations of deprivation. Therefore not all people who are deprived live in a data zone highlighted by the SIMD, and not all people living within an identified data zone are deprived.
The Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD)16 is calculated based upon the 2011 data zone boundaries. These data zones are based on the 2011 Census and were introduced in November 2014. 2011 Data zone boundaries differ from the 2001 Data zones which were used for previous SIMD editions. Therefore, direct comparisons of indicators between 2016 and previous years are not possible. SIMD 12 (the previous SIMD) was based on a total of 6,505 data zones compared to SIMD 16 which is based on 6,976 data zones. SIMD 16 is based on 132 data zones in East Lothian compared to 120 in SIMD 12. SIMD 2016 identifies 6 data zones in East Lothian that are ranked within the 20% most deprived in Scotland.
HEADLINES – Deprivation in the ward
None of the Musselburgh data zones are within the 20% most deprived in Scotland 6 data zones are within the 20% most deprived in East Lothian, 6 of which are within the 10% most deprived in East Lothian 4 data zones are within the 20 % least deprived in East Lothian and Scotland , 3 of which are within the 10% least deprived in East Lothian and Scotland
The map (Error! Reference source not found.7) shows all of the data zones in the Musselburgh ward and illustrates their ranking out of the 132 data zones in East Lothian. It can be used to identify geographic clusters of relative deprivation in the ward.
8 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 Figure 5 ‐ Deprivation in the Musselburgh Ward (East Lothian Council)
The Table (Figure 8) below further illustrates the relative spread of deprivation, by showing the 2012 Scottish rank (out of 6,505 data zones), the 2016 Scottish rank out of 6,976 data zones and the East Lothian rank out of 132 data zones.
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 9 Data zones in Musselburgh – ranked by overall deprivation Figure 8 ‐ SIMD ranking for data zones in the Musselburgh area (www.sns.gov.uk/Simd/) East Lothian Data zone 2016 2012 Rank No. Data zone Name Rank Rank 2016 S01008187 Goosegreen / Fisherrow Links 1437 1705 8 S01008195 Macbeth Moir Rd / Moir Cr 1460 1025 9 S01008188 Dalrymple Lo / Mansfield 1491 2017 11 S01008196 Delta Dr / Galt Av / Battlefield Dr 1639 1931 15 S01008190 Edenhall / Pinkie Terr 1770 1346 17 S01008192 Wanless Ct / Windsor Pk / Loretto 1998 3150 21 S01008185 Fisherrow / Beach Ln / Brunton 2349 2266 28 S01008182 New St / North High St / Prommenade 2519 2853 34 S01008171 Stoneybank Cr / Monktonhall Terr 2635 2456 36 S01008191 Park Gr / Pinkie Farm 2663 2247 38 S01008177 Olivebank / Eskview 2737 3110 40 S01008175 Eskview Terr / Haugh 2853 2914 43 S01008184 North High St / Eskside West / Hercus Lo 2974 2032 44 S01008186 Millhill / Eskside East 3164 3492 50 S01008194 Levenhall 3175 4365 51 S01008189 Rothesay Pl / Park Ln 3617 4341 55 S01008193 Linkfield Rd / Woodside 3667 3836 56 S01008172 Mucklets / Mayfield Cr 3893 3404 61 S01008174 Stoneybank Terr / Whitehill Dr 4087 4461 68 S01008183 West Holmes Gdns / Market St 4267 4285 71 S01008178 Stoneyhill 4573 4805 83 S01008173 Whitehill / Stoneyhill Sch 5090 4618 92 S01008170 Monktonhall 5280 5308 97 S01008176 Inveresk / Eskmills / Lewisvale 5593 5704 106 S01008181 Newhailles Cr / Edinburgh Rd 6435 6358 119 S01008180 Newhailles Rd / Clayknowes / Newhailles House 6557 6063 123 S01008179 Denholms 6645 5961 125
None of the data zones fall within the 20% most deprived in Scotland 6 data zones are within the 20% most deprived in East Lothian, 6 of which are within the 10% most deprived in East Lothian 4 data zones are within the 20 % least deprived in East Lothian and Scotland , 3 of which are within the 10% least deprived in East Lothian and Scotland
10 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 Income and Employment Although East Lothian is generally considered to be an area of high employment and general affluence there is considerable variation in economic activity, unemployment and the financial position of households between and within East Lothian’s wards. This section concentrates on income and employment figures across the ward in relation to East Lothian averages as well people’s perceptions of their own financial position.
HEADLINES – Income and Employment 10% of the population of the working age population of the Musselburgh ward is considered to be employment deprived, compared to East Lothian (8.5%) and Scotland (10.8%) The proportion of the population considered to be employment deprived in the ward ranges from 2% to 17% 12% of the population of the working age population of the Musselburgh ward is considered to be income deprived The proportion of the population considered to be income deprived in the ward ranges from 1% to 22% 7.2% of the Musselburgh ward claimed universal credit in December 2016 which is the highest rate in East Lothian
Employment Patterns in the Musselburgh Area 12,680 (64.9% )of people in the Musselburgh ward are aged 16‐64 (compared to 62.2% across East Lothian) 2,213 (11.3%)of people in the Musselburgh ward are aged 16‐24 years (compared to 10.3% across East Lothian) 7,830 (40%) of people in the Musselburgh ward are aged 50 years and over (compared to 41% across East Lothian) (National Records of Scotland, 2016 mid‐year estimates)
Rates of employment across industry sectors are generally the same in the Musselburgh area as across the rest of East Lothian however:‐ In Musselburgh East ward more people work in ‘Wholesale and Retail Trade and Repairs’ than the East Lothian average – 18% compared to 14% In Musselburgh West ward a higher percentage of people work within Financial and insurance activities than across East Lothian as a whole – 10% compared to 7%.
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 11 Figure 9 ‐ Employment by Industry Category (Scotland’s Census 2011)
Industry of Employment 15% 15% Human health and social work activities 15% 15% 9% 7% Education 8% 8% 8% Public administration and defence, compulsory social 7% 7% security 7% 3% 4% Administrative and support service activities 4% 4% 6% 5% Professional, scientific and technical activities 6% 5% 1% 1% Real estate activities 1% 1% 10% 6% Financial and insurance activities 7% 5% 2% 2% Information and communication 2% 3% 5% 7% Accommodation and food service activities 5% 6% 5% 5% Transport and storage 4% 5% 15% Wholesale and retail trade, repair of motor vehicles and 18% 14% motorcycles 15% 7% 9% Construction 8% 8% 0% Water supply, sewerage, waste management and 1% 1% remediation activities 1% 1% 1% Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply 2% 1% 5% 5% Manufacturing 5% 8% 0% 0% Mining and quarrying 0% 1% 0% 1% Agriculture, forestry and fishing 2% 2% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% Musselburgh West Musselburgh East & Carberry East Lothian Scotland
There are more significant differences across employment sectors as shown in Figure 10. For example, in Whitecraig 8% of the working age population are employed in associate professional and technical occupations, compared to 11% in Wallyford and 13% across East Lothian.
12 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 In Whitecraig, the most common occupational category for employment is skilled trade occupations (at 19%) – possibly reflecting the higher proportion of people in this area who work within the construction trade. This compares to 13% across East Lothian. There are significantly less people in Wallyford and Whitecraig working as Managers, Directors and Senior Officials (7%) and in Professional Occupations (8%) than across East Lothian (10% and 16% respectively). Figure 10 ‐ Employment across Occupational Groups (Scotland’s Census 2011)
Employment by Occupational Category
9% 13% Elementary occupations 10% 12% 6% 7% Process, plant and machine operatives 6% 8% 11% 12% Sales and customer service occupations 9% 9% 9% 13% Caring, leisure and other service occupations 11% 10% 11% 13% Skilled trades occupations 13% 13% 16% 12% Administrative and secretarial occupations 12% 11% 13% 11% Associate professional and technical occupations 13% 13% 16% 16% Professional occupations 16% 17% 9% 7% Managers, directors and senior officials 10% 8% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
Musselburgh West Musselburgh East and Carberry East Lothian Scotland
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 13 Economic Activity in the Musselburgh area Figure 11 shows that in the 2011 Census, rates of economic activity across East Lothian were higher than across Scotland overall. The latest figures on economic activity available at a ward level (2011) indicate that rates of economic activity in the Musselburgh area are generally comparable to East Lothian rates. Figure 11 ‐ Rates of Economic Activity (Scotland’s Census 2011) 2011 rates of Economic Activity Musselburgh Musselburgh East Lothian Scotland East West % of the working age population who 69% 73% 71% 69% were ‘Economically Active’ % of the working age population who 36% 43% 40% 40% were employed full‐time % of the working age population who 15% 15% 15% 13% were employed part‐time % of the working age population who 5% 4% 4% 5% were unemployed % of the working age population who 7% 7% 9% 7% were Self Employed Of those who were Economically Inactive :‐ % of the working age population who 12% 15% 16% 15% were Retired % of the working age population who 9% 4% 4% 6% were studying % of the working age population looking 3% 3% 3% 4% after home / family % of the working age population long 5% 3% 4% 5% term sick / disabled
In Musselburgh West there is a higher than average percentage of the population who are economically active. This is further reflected in fact that 43% of those who are economically active in the area work full time, compared to 40% across East Lothian and Scotland as a whole. In Musselburgh East however there is a significantly lower percentage of the population who were in full time employment and higher rates of unemployment. Although there is a notable difference in the number of people who are self employed in the Musselburgh Area (7%) compared to East Lothian as a whole (9%) this rate is in line with the Scottish average. Since 2001 there has been a change in the pattern of economic activity across East Lothian – with a decrease in full‐time employment, rising unemployment and fewer working age people choosing to be economically inactive to look after home/family. In the Musselburgh area this pattern is clearly evident – since the 2001 census there has been a 4% drop in full‐time employment across the area and a 2% rise in part‐time employment. There has also been an increase in the percentage of those who are economically inactive undertaking study, particularly in the Musselburgh East ward, however, this is may be due to the increased population of students from Queen Margret University living in the area.
14 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 Employment Deprivation The SIMD Employment Domain includes four indicators that act as proxies for levels of unemployment or employment deprivation: Working Age Unemployment Claimant Count averaged over 12 months; Working Age Incapacity Benefit claimants, men aged under 65, women aged under 60; Working Age Severe Disablement Allowance claimants; Working Age Compulsory New Deal participants ‐ New Deal for the under 25s and New Deal for the 25+ not included in the unemployment claimant count
10% of the population of the working age population of the ward is considered to be employment deprived, compared to East Lothian (8.5%) and Scotland (10.8%) The proportion of the population considered to be employment deprived in the ward does however range from 2% to 17%
Figure 12 ‐ Employment Deprivation (www.sns.gov.uk/Simd/)
% % Employme Employme Employme Employme nt nt Data zone nt domain nt domain Deprived Deprived No. Data zone name 2016 rank 2012 rank 2016 2012 S01008187 Goosegreen / Fisherrow Links 1437 1705 16% 21% S01008195 Macbeth Moir Rd / Moir Cr 1460 1025 14% 20% S01008188 Dalrymple Lo / Mansfield 1491 2017 17% 14% S01008196 Delta Dr / Galt Av / Battlefield Dr 1639 1931 16% 8% S01008190 Edenhall / Pinkie Terr 1770 1346 12% 10% S01008192 Wanless Ct / Windsor Pk / Loretto 1998 3150 13% 18% S01008185 Fisherrow / Beach Ln / Brunton 2349 2266 15% 13% S01008182 New St / North High St / Prommenade 2519 2853 12% 18% S01008171 Stoneybank Cr / Monktonhall Terr 2635 2456 13% 14% S01008191 Park Gr / Pinkie Farm 2663 2247 9% 8% S01008177 Olivebank / Eskview 2737 3110 11% 16% S01008175 Eskview Terr / Haugh 2853 2914 10% 16% North High St / Eskside West / Hercus S01008184 Lo 2974 2032 11% 25% S01008186 Millhill / Eskside East 3164 3492 9% 24% S01008194 Levenhall 3175 4365 10% 14% S01008189 Rothesay Pl / Park Ln 3617 4341 9% 12% S01008193 Linkfield Rd / Woodside 3667 3836 8% 9% S01008172 Mucklets / Mayfield Cr 3893 3404 8% 6% S01008174 Stoneybank Terr / Whitehill Dr 4087 4461 10% 9% S01008183 West Holmes Gdns / Market St 4267 4285 7% 17% S01008178 Stoneyhill 4573 4805 8% 8% S01008173 Whitehill / Stoneyhill Sch 5090 4618 5% 6% S01008170 Monktonhall 5280 5308 4% 6%
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 15 S01008176 Inveresk / Eskmills / Lewisvale 5593 5704 5% 13% S01008181 Newhailles Cr / Edinburgh Rd 6435 6358 3% 10% Newhailles Rd / Clayknowes / S01008180 Newhailles House 6557 6063 3% 4% S01008179 Denholms 6645 5961 2% 2%
Universal Credit Universal Credit supports people who are on a low income or out of work. Its aim is to ensure that people are better off in work than on benefits. Universal Credit gives support to people to prepare for work, move into work, or earn more. It is the recipient’s responsibility to do everything they can to find work or increase their earnings.
Universal Credit replaces:
Income‐based Jobseeker’s Allowance Income‐related Employment and Support Allowance Income Support Working Tax Credit Child Tax Credit Housing Benefit
7.2% of the Musselburgh ward claimed universal credit in December 2016 which is the highest rate in East Lothian
Figure 13 ‐ % of the working age population on Universal Credit (DWP 2016)
% of the working age population on Universal Credit (Dec 2016)
7.2%
East Lothian 5.3% average (4.7%) 4.8%
3.2% 3.7%
1.7%
North Berwick Dunbar & East Haddington & Preston Seton Tranent, Musselburgh Coastal Linton Lammermuir Gosford Wallyford & Macmerry
16 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 How is the ward coping financially? Estimated household income varies across the ward, with a gap of £566.86 per week between the most affluent and least data zones. 9 (out of 27) of the Musselburgh data zones have median, or middle of the range, household incomes above the East Lothian data zone average Figure 14 ‐ Median gross household Income (Stastics.govt.Scot 2017)
Musselburgh datazones median gross income
£1,200.00 £992.18 £1,000.00 £800.00 £638.85 £600.00£425.32 £400.00 £589.21 £200.00 £0.00 S01008188 S01008184 S01008182 S01008185 S01008171 S01008186 S01008177 S01008196 S01008189 S01008172 S01008187 S01008190 S01008175 S01008195 S01008192 S01008178 S01008191 S01008183 S01008193 S01008194 S01008181 S01008174 S01008173 S01008176 S01008170 S01008180 S01008179
Musselburgh datazones median gross income East Lothian datazones median gross income Scotland datazones median gross income
East Lothian Residents Survey (2017) asked: ‘How would you say your household is currently managing financially?’ Figure 15 ‐ How households are managing financially (East Lothian Residents Survey 2017)
How well would you say your household is managing financially?
Musselburgh East Lothian
80% 70%
28% 19% 1% 1% 0%0% 0% 0% by
quite know
some well/ well
Refused alright financial
managing
Getting Managing trouble very/ financial Don't very have difficulties/ deep Not In the Musselburgh ward people were more likely to say that they were ‘managing quite well’ or ‘managing very well’ compared to East Lothian as a whole (80% compared to 70%)
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 17 Figure 16 – Household Savings (East Lothian Residents Survey 2017)
Household Savings
Musselburgh East Lothian 47% 36% 33% 27% 17% 19% 13% 4% 5% 0% 0% 0%
No savings Yes savings Less than £1,000 £1,000 or more Don't Know Refused
Residents were asked if they or their partner had total savings or investments worth £1,000 or more 17% of residents reported that they had no savings, compared with 19% for East Lothian
Income Deprivation The SIMD Employment Domain is based on the following factors: Income Support and Income‐ based Employment Support Allowance claimants (16‐59); Job Seekers Allowance and Guaranteed Pension Credit Claimants (all ages); Universal Credit claimants with no employment marker; number of children in JSA, IS or ESA households; number of adults and children dependent on adults in receipt of Tax Credits
12% of the population of the working age population of the Musselburgh ward is considered to be income deprived The proportion of the population that is income deprived in the ward is higher than for East Lothian as a whole (9.8%) and lower than the figure for Scotland (12.3%) The proportion of the population considered to be income deprived in the ward ranges from 1% to 22% There are 3 data zones within the 10% most deprived in Scotland There are 3 data zones within the 10% least deprived in Scotland
18 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 Figure 17 – Income deprivation (www.sns.gov.uk/Simd/)
Income Income % % domain domain Income income 2016 2012 Deprived Deprived Data zone Data zone name rank rank 2016 2012 S01008195 Macbeth Moir Rd / Moir Cr 1233 988 22% 25% S01008188 Dalrymple Lo / Mansfield 1236 1669 22% 19% S01008187 Goosegreen / Fisherrow Links 1316 1474 21% 21% S01008196 Delta Dr / Galt Av / Battlefield Dr 1600 1501 19% 21% S01008190 Edenhall / Pinkie Terr 1658 1512 18% 20% S01008192 Wanless Ct / Windsor Pk / Loretto 1899 3278 17% 11% S01008185 Fisherrow / Beach Ln / Brunton 2213 1820 15% 18% S01008182 New St / North High St / Prommenade 2376 2742 15% 14% S01008191 Park Gr / Pinkie Farm 2380 1615 15% 20% S01008171 Stoneybank Cr / Monktonhall Terr 2571 2765 14% 14% S01008184 North High St / Eskside West / Hercus Lo 2781 2062 13% 17% S01008186 Millhill / Eskside East 3075 3856 12% 9% S01008194 Levenhall 3093 4135 11% 8% S01008177 Olivebank / Eskview 3227 3110 11% 12% S01008183 West Holmes Gdns / Market St 3316 3724 11% 10% S01008189 Rothesay Pl / Park Ln 3335 3625 10% 10% S01008175 Eskview Terr / Haugh 3431 2787 10% 14% S01008172 Mucklets / Mayfield Cr 3689 3182 9% 12% S01008193 Linkfield Rd / Woodside 3937 3439 8% 11% S01008178 Stoneyhill 3986 4262 8% 8% S01008174 Stoneybank Terr / Whitehill Dr 4200 4160 8% 8% S01008173 Whitehill / Stoneyhill Sch 4993 3852 5% 9% S01008170 Monktonhall 5057 5025 5% 5% S01008176 Inveresk / Eskmills / Lewisvale 5421 5341 4% 5% S01008181 Newhailles Cr / Edinburgh Rd 6657 6164 2% 2% S01008179 Denholms 6697 6165 2% 2% S01008180 Newhailles Rd / Clayknowes / Newhailles House 6725 6094 1% 3%
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 19 Percentage of children in poverty The percentage of children in poverty relates to the number of children living in families in receipt of Child Tax Credit (CTC) whose reported income is less than 60 per cent of the median UK income or in receipt of Income Support (IS) or (Income‐Based) Job Seekers Allowance (JSA), divided by the total number of children in the area aged under 20 years (determined by Child Benefit data).
Figure 18 ‐ Concentrations of Child Poverty (www.endchildpoverty.org.uk/poverty‐in‐your‐area‐2016/)
Before After The latest child poverty data is Percentage of children in poverty Housing Housing segmented in accordance with the Oct to Dec 2015 (Old Wards) Costs Costs old wards boundaries. Musselburgh East and Carberry 17.7% 28.3% Fa'side 15.8% 25.1% Figure 19 shows that after housing Preston/Seton/Gosford 12.9% 20.9% costs, 28.3% of children in the Haddington & Lammermuir 11.5% 18.4% Musselburgh East ward and 15% of Musselburgh West 9.1% 15.0% people living in the Musselburgh Dunbar and East Linton 9.1% 14.8% West ward were identified as living in poverty, compared with 20.3% North Berwick Coastal 7.5% 12.2% for East Lothian. East Lothian 12.6% 20.3%
20 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 Education and Training Overall school attainment is good across East Lothian and the working age population are more highly qualified than the Scottish average. There are however issues relating to school leavers attaining and sustaining positive post‐school destinations. A key focus for East Lothian is early intervention, ensuring that all young people enter schooling equipped to learn and receive the support they need to reach their potential.
HEADLINES – Education and Training
Adults in Musselburgh East are more likely to have no formal qualifications than others across the area (29%), with the percentage rising to 38% in Whitecraig 5 data zones are within the 20% most deprived in East Lothian, 3 of which are within the 10% most deprived in East Lothian P1 pupils in the old Musselburgh East ward scored consistently lower than the East Lothian average for standardised PIPS scores The 2015/16 average standardised PIPS score for P1 pupils in the old Musselburgh West has risen by 8.4% since 2012/13 School attendance rates at both Primary and Secondary school are in line with East Lothian rates Pupils from Musselburgh East achieve poorer attainment levels at Secondary school 93.6% of school leavers from the Musselburgh West ward were initially assessed as having a ‘positive destination’ upon leaving school, higher than the 83.2% figure for Musselburgh East and the East Lothian rate of 92.9%
Education and Training among adults Figure 19 ‐ Qualifications among adults (Scotland’s Census 2011)
Highest Qualification Attained (all people aged 16 and over) 25% First or Higher degree, SVQ level 5, Professional 20% qualification 27% 26% 10% HND, HNC, RSA Higher Diploma, SVQ level 4, or 8% equivalent 9% 10% 16% Higher Grade, Advanced Higher, SVQ Level 3 or 16% equivalent 14% 14% 25% Standard Grade, Intermediate 1, Intermediate 2, SVQ 27% Level 1 or 2 or equivalent 25% 23% 25% 29% No formal qualifications 25% 27%
0% 10% 20% 30% Musselburgh West Musselburgh East and Carberry East Lothian Scotland
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 21 According to the 2011 census:‐ In the Musselburgh West ward 51% of working age people are qualified to SVQ Level 3 or higher, just above the rate across East Lothian as a whole, and 35% have undertaken some form of Higher or Further Education In the Musselburgh East ward 44% of working age people are qualified to SVQ Level 3 or higher, significantly lower than the rate across East Lothian as a whole, and 28% have undertaken Higher or Further Education People in the Musselburgh East ward were also more likely to have no formal qualifications than those in the Musselburgh West ward or elsewhere in East Lothian
Education, Skills and Training Domain The SIMD Education Domain includes indicators that measure both outcomes of education deprivation, such as lack of qualifications in children and adults, and causes of education deprivation such as absenteeism and lack of progression to further and higher education. The Education Domain gives an education deprivation rank using the following indicators: School pupil absences Pupil performance on SQA at stage 4 Working age people with no qualifications 17‐21 year olds enrolling into higher education People aged 16‐19 not in education, employment or training
5 data zones are within the 20% most deprived in East Lothian, 3 of which are within the 10% most deprived in East Lothian 3 data zones are within the 20% most deprived in Scotland 2 data zones are within the 10% least deprived in East Lothian and Scotland
Figure 20 ‐ SIMD Education, Skills and Training domain (www.sns.gov.uk/Simd/)
Education Education, domain 2016 domain 2012 East Lothian Data zone Data zone name rank rank Rank S01008195 Macbeth Moir Rd / Moir Cr 931 940 7 S01008187 Goosegreen / Fisherrow Links 935 1208 8 S01008190 Edenhall / Pinkie Terr 973 1597 10 S01008196 Delta Dr / Galt Av / Battlefield Dr 1473 1467 20 S01008191 Park Gr / Pinkie Farm 1734 1700 25 S01008192 Wanless Ct / Windsor Pk / Loretto 1808 2656 27 S01008188 Dalrymple Lo / Mansfield 1849 2183 28 S01008177 Olivebank / Eskview 2448 2709 37 S01008194 Levenhall 2461 4319 38 S01008175 Eskview Terr / Haugh 2564 3568 40 S01008185 Fisherrow / Beach Ln / Brunton 2720 3044 43 S01008182 New St / North High St / Prommenade 2736 3377 44 S01008189 Rothesay Pl / Park Ln 2924 4214 50 S01008193 Linkfield Rd / Woodside 3064 3758 53
22 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 S01008183 West Holmes Gdns / Market St 3648 4106 60 S01008171 Stoneybank Cr / Monktonhall Terr 3649 3512 61 S01008172 Mucklets / Mayfield Cr 3741 3787 63 S01008184 North High St / Eskside West / Hercus Lo 3799 3182 65 S01008178 Stoneyhill 3912 4297 68 S01008186 Millhill / Eskside East 4107 3591 73 S01008173 Whitehill / Stoneyhill Sch 4365 4853 79 S01008174 Stoneybank Terr / Whitehill Dr 4746 4639 86 S01008170 Monktonhall 4963 5532 92 S01008176 Inveresk / Eskmills / Lewisvale 5437 4518 98 S01008181 Newhailles Cr / Edinburgh Rd 5532 5510 100 Newhailles Rd / Clayknowes / Newhailles S01008180 House 6283 5553 111 S01008179 Denholms 6442 5790 115
Education and training for children and young people East Lothian Council uses the Early Development Instrument (EDI) 1to measure the ‘readiness to learn’ of children entering school across a number of developmental domains. East Lothian 5 yr olds: do relatively well in physical health and well‐being and cognitive/language development domains; score average in social competency; and score less well in emotional maturity, communications and general knowledge domains. Musselburgh has an almost identical pattern of scores to East Lothian as a whole in all domains of the EDI and compared well with all of the other cluster areas Language and Cognitive Development in Musselburgh increased in 2016 compared with 2012 Early Years Figure 21 – Early Development Instrument scores (Offord Centre for ChildStudies McMaster University, Hamilton, Canada/East Lothian Council 2016)
EDI mean scores for pupils in the Musselburgh school cluster
2016 East Lothian 2016 Musselburgh 2012 Musselburgh
9.1 8.9 8.8 8.9 8.6 8.4 8.5 8.3 8.4 8.2 8.2 8.1 8.0 8.0 7.8
Physical Health and Social Competence Emotional Maturity Language and Communication and Well Being Cognitive General Knowledge Development
1 The Early Development Instrument (EDI) is an internationally standardised tool developed in Canada. In 2012 East Lothian was the first local authority in Scotland to pilot the tool in partnership with the Scottish Collaboration for Public Health Research and Policy
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 23 In Primary 1 a standard assessment, the PIPS On‐Entry Baseline, is used to measure the abilities of new pupils in reading, writing and arithmetic. This assessment is carried out in the first month that the child is in Primary 1 and scores are standardised on a nationally representative sample to allow comparisons between children and classes and with the national average across Scotland. The overall Musselburgh score decreased in 2016/17 to a figure below the East Lothian average
Figure 22 ‐ P1 baseline scores compared across Musselburgh (East Lothian Council, Education Div.)
Average Standardised PIPS scores at P1 baseline assessment for pupils living in Musselburgh 53.00 52.00 51.00 50.00 49.00 48.00 47.00 National Average score = 50 46.00 45.00 44.00 2012‐13 2013‐14 2014‐15 2015‐16 2016‐17
Maths Reading Phonics Musselburgh Total East Lothian Total
Primary and Secondary School Pupils There are 6 Local Authority primary schools within the Musselburgh area and 1 secondary school. Data supplied by East Lothian Council’s Education Division for pupils living within the ward during the 2015/16 school year shows that: 20.5% of Musselburgh East primary school pupils and 9.9% of Musselburgh West primary pupils have Additional Support Needs – compared to 17.6% for East Lothian 33.8% of Musselburgh East Secondary School pupils and 18.7% of Musselburgh West secondary pupils have Additional Support Needs – compared to 26.3% for East Lothian 0.7% of primary school aged pupils in the Musselburgh East ward and 1.3% of Musselburgh West are declared or assessed as disabled ‐ compared to 1.3% for East Lothian 4.6% of primary school aged pupils in the Musselburgh East ward and 2.7% of Musselburgh West are declared or assessed as disabled ‐ compared to 1.9% for East Lothian 16.2% of Primary School pupils living in the Musselburgh East ward and 9.1% of primary pupils in the Musselburgh West ward are registered for free school meals, compared to 9.9% for East Lothian 16.8% of secondary school pupils living in the Musselburgh East ward and 8.3% of Secondary pupils in the Musselburgh West ward are registered for free school meals, compared to 8.3% for East Lothian Primary attendance in Musselburgh East is 95.2% and 96.3% in Musselburgh West, compared to the East Lothian average of 96%
24 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 Primary Secondary attendance in Musselburgh is lower than the East Lothian rate Exclusion rates per 1,000 pupils in Musselburgh is lower for primaries and higher for secondaries when compared to the East Lothian rate School Attendance and Exclusion Rates 2015/16 Figure 23 ‐ Attendance and Exclusion rates (East Lothian Council, Education Div.) School East Attendance and Lothian East Lothian Exclusion Rates Musselburgh Primary Musselburgh Secondary 2015‐16 Primary Total Secondary Total School attendance 94.8% 95.5% 91% 91.6% Number of exclusions 13 109 76 429 Exclusions (rate per 1,000 pupils) 10 13.2 85.8 76.5 Number of Pupils excluded 7 65 42 216 Pupils excluded (rate per 1,000 pupils) 5.4 7.9 47.4 38.5 Number of ½ days education lost as a result of exclusion 56 445 394 2031 The Student Evaluation of Experience Survey is conducted each year with all pupils in P6 and S2 across East Lothian.
Figure 24 – Student Evaluation of Experience Survey (www.eastlothian.gov.uk) P6 S2 P6 S2 East 2015/16 Musselburgh Musselburgh East Lothian Lothian % of pupils agreeing that they enjoy 93 63.2 being at this school 94.5 94.2 % of pupils agreeing that they are 90.8 65.2 87.5 74.9 treated fairly in school % of pupils agreeing that they feel safe 98.1 91.2 93.7 92.8 and secure in school % of pupils agreeing that they contribute to decisions made in their 89.8 66.2 87.6 69.4 school % of pupils agreeing that the school 93.1 73.5 88.1 75.1 recognises their achievements in school % of pupils agreeing that the school recognises their achievements out of 81.9 41.2 70.9 43.7 school
East Lothian Council’s Community Learning and Development Services record that 114,574 Youth Work opportunities were taken up across East Lothian in 2012. 30,715 (or 27%) were provided across the Musselburgh area.
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 25 Attainment Musselburgh Grammar School has seen reasonably stable exam rates for pupils at the end of S4 over recent years however pupils living in Musselburgh East consistently perform below East Lothian averages while pupils living in Musselburgh West perform above East Lothian averages. In 2011/12 (as illustrated in Figure 25)
94% of S4 pupils living in Musselburgh East and 97% living in Musselburgh West were awarded English and Maths at Level 3 (Standard Grade Foundation level or equivalent) or better – compared to 96% across East Lothian 90% of S4 pupils living in Musselburgh East and 96% living in Musselburgh West achieved five or more awards at Level 3 (Standard Grade Foundation level or equivalent) or better compared to an East Lothian average of 96% 62% of S4 pupils living in Musselburgh East and 85% living in Musselburgh West achieved five or more awards at Level 4 (Standard Grade General level or equivalent) or better compared to an East Lothian average of 82% 17% of S4 pupils living in Musselburgh East and 82% living in Musselburgh West achieved five or more awards at Level 5 (Standard Grade Credit level or equivalent) or better compared to an East Lothian average of 38%
Figure 25 ‐ S4 Exam Results by ward of residence (East Lothian Council 2013)
% awarded English and Maths at Level 3 (Standard 94% Pupils living in 97% Musselburgh Grade Foundation level or equivalent) or better 96% East % achieving five or more awards at Level 3 (Standard 90% 96% Grade Foundation level or equivalent) or better 96% Pupils living in Musselburgh % achieving five or more awards at Level 4 (Standard 62% West 85% Grade General level or equivalent) or better 82% Pupils across % achieving five or more awards at Level 5 (Standard 17% East Lothian 82% Grade Credit level or equivalent) or better 38%
26 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 Figure 26 below, shows Staying on Rates2 to S5 and S6 at Musselburgh Grammar School. Figure 26 ‐ School Staying on Rates (www.ltscotland.org.uk/scottishschoonline)
76%75% 76%77% 80% 71%74%72% 68% 67% 59%61% 59% 60% 56% 54% 56% 47% 50% 50%
40%
20%
0% staying on to S5 staying on to S6 staying on to S5 staying on to S6 staying on to S5 staying on to S6 2009 2010 2011 Musselburgh Grammar School East Lothian Scotland
The percentage of pupils at Musselburgh Grammar staying on to S5 and S6 has been consistently lower over the last three years than average for East Lothian, and in many cases also lower than the Scottish average. Attainment levels for pupils from Musselburgh West who stayed on to S5 tended to exceed East Lothian averages in 2011/12. For those living in Musselburgh East however the percentage of pupils achieving at each level was less than half that of those living in Musselburgh West, despite in most cases being at the same school.
Figure 27 ‐ Attainment at S5 (East Lothian Council, Education Div.)
S5 Results by Ward of Musselburgh Musselburgh residence 2011/12 East Ward West Ward East Lothian
% of S5 pupils achieving 1 or more award at Level 6 (Higher 24% 52% 48% or equivalent) % of S5 pupils achieving 3 or 11% 33% 28% more awards at Level 6 (Higher or equivalent) % of S5 pupils achieving 5 or more awards at Level 6 (Higher 3% 13% 14% or equivalent)
2 S5 staying on rates are calculated as the S5 January roll divided by the previous year's S4 September roll and S6 staying on rates from the S4 September roll from two years previously
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 27 School Leavers School Leavers across the county are monitored to record their initial destination upon leaving school, in 2015/16: 92.9% of school leavers from the Musselburgh West ward were initially assessed as having a ‘positive destination’ upon leaving school, compared to 93.5% for East Lothian and 92.9% for Scotland 60% of school leavers living in the Musselburgh ward went straight into higher or further education on leaving school, compared to 61.2% for East Lothian and 66.1% for Scotland 1.4% of the Musselburgh West ward went into training, lower than the East Lothian and national figures 28.6% of pupils from the Musselburgh ward went straight into employment upon leaving school Figure 28 – Positive Destinations (East Lothian Council, Education Div.)
Positive Total Higher Further Voluntary Activity Destination Training Employment Positive Education Education Work Agreements 2015/16 Destinations
Musselburgh Ward 38.6% 21.4% 1.4% 28.6% 0.0% 2.9% 92.9% East Lothian 39.0% 22.2% 2.5% 28.3% 0.2% 1.4% 93.5% Scotland 38.3% 27.8% 3.8% 21.7% 0.4% 0.9% 92.9%
28 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 Health and Social Care Across East Lothian male and female life expectancies are significantly higher than the Scottish average, and have been rising steadily over time, leading to a growing older population in the area. There is however variation in life expectancy of almost 8 years between communities across the county – a clear indicator of the significant health inequalities that persist across East Lothian. This section focuses on a range of indicators which can be used to measure the health of a community, including illness and early deaths, child and maternal health, access to health services and the supports needed to enable people to maintain independent lives.
HEADLINES – Health and Social Care 87% of residents in the ward described their own health as ‘good’ or ‘fairly good’ in the 2017 East Lothian Residents Survey, compared to 82% for East Lothian 4 data zones are within the 20% most health deprived in East Lothian, 1 of which is within the 20% most health deprived in Scotland Musselburgh East intermediate zone had the highest rates in the ward for Teenage Pregnancies and women smoking during pregnancy. Musselburgh East also had the lowest rate in the ward for babies being exclusively breastfed at 6‐8 weeks and is below the average for East Lothian or Scotland In 2015 there were 3,571 people aged 65 and over living in the Musselburgh ward, (18.4% of the ward population). This demographic is estimated to increase to 4,698 in 2027 (21.7% of the ward population)
Across Scotland the average life expectancy for men is 76.6 years and for women it is 80.8 years. The average man in East Lothian however can expect to live to 78.2 years of age. The average woman in East Lothian can expect to live to 81.5 years of age In the Musselburgh area a person’s average life expectancy varies across zones:‐ Across the Musselburgh Area there is a difference in male life expectancy of 3.8 years – ranging from 75.2 in Musselburgh North to 79 in Musselburgh West For women there is a difference in life expectancy of just over 12 years across the Musselburgh area – ranging from 77.8 years in the Musselburgh East zone to 89.8 years in Musselburgh West
Figure 29 ‐ Life Expectancy by Intermediate zone (Community Health and Well‐being Profile 2016) Musselburgh Life Musselburgh Musseburgh Musselburgh Musselburgh intermediate East Expectancy North South East West overall Lothian Scotland Male 75.2 76 76.9 79 76.8 78.2 76.6 Female 81.3 82 77.8 89.8 82.7 81.5 80.8
Across the Musselburgh ward the majority of people (87%) described their own health as either Very Good or Good, compared with the overall East Lothian average of 82%
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 29 Figure 30 ‐ Self‐assessment of Health (Scotland’s Census 2011)
How would you currently rate your own health ?
Musselburgh East Lothian
87% 82%
5% 12% 9% 6%
Very Good/Good Fair Very Bad/Bad
12% of respondents in the ward reported that they had a long term mental health, illness problem or physical disability. This was lower than the rate reported across East Lothian (15%) Of those with a long term health problem or disability , the most prevalent conditions in the ward were mobility/disability (72%) compared to East Lothian (49%), mental health (24%) compared to East Lothian (12%), followed by heart disease (22%) compared to East Lothian (18%)
Illness, Mortality and Hospital Admissions Figure 31 shows that Musselburgh East has the highest rates in the ward for alcohol related hospital stays, patients with COPD and patients with heart disease Musselburgh North has the highest rates in the ward for drug related hospital stays and patients hospitalised with asthma Musselburgh West has the lowest rates in the ward in all categories with the exception of drug related hospital stays Figure 31 ‐ Hospital Admissions (ScotPHO – Community Health and Well‐being Profile 2016)
Hospital admissions per 100,000 Musselburgh Musselburgh Musselburgh Musselburgh East people (age standardised) North South East West Lothian
Alcohol‐related hospital stays 382.8 368.3 517.1 218.7 461.1 Drug‐related hospital stays 188 80.6 110 102.1 88.9
Patients hospitalised with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) 207.5 210.4 302.5 144.7 191.5
Patients hospitalised with coronary heart disease 411.2 357.5 506.5 294.1 376.1 Patients hospitalised with asthma 138.1 97.6 64.9 55 76.4
30 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 SIMD Health Domain The health domain identifies areas with a higher than expected level of ill health or mortality given the age‐sex profile of the population. The Health Domain gives a Health deprivation rank using the following indicators: Standardised Mortality Ratio Hospital Episodes Related to alcohol use Hospital Episodes Related to drug use Comparative Illness Factor Emergency admissions to hospital Proportion of population being prescribed drugs for anxiety, depression or psychosis Proportion of live single births of low birth weight
Musselburgh Data zones – ordered by Health Domain ranking Figure 32 ‐ SIMD Health Domain (www.sns.gov.uk/Simd/)
Health Health domain domain 2012 East Lothian DZ2011 Location 2016 rank rank Health Rank S01008188 Dalrymple Lo / Mansfield 1243 1364 2 S01008196 Delta Dr / Galt Av / Battlefield Dr 2119 3807 14 S01008187 Goosegreen / Fisherrow Links 2253 3067 17 S01008190 Edenhall / Pinkie Terr 2427 627 24 S01008195 Macbeth Moir Rd / Moir Cr 2585 1670 28 S01008184 North High St / Eskside West / Hercus Lo 2603 1989 29 S01008171 Stoneybank Cr / Monktonhall Terr 2641 2295 30 S01008192 Wanless Ct / Windsor Pk / Loretto 2706 3827 33 S01008185 Fisherrow / Beach Ln / Brunton 2801 1934 36 S01008177 Olivebank / Eskview 2841 2209 38 S01008186 Millhill / Eskside East 2848 2728 39 S01008182 New St / North High St / Prommenade 2879 2369 40 S01008175 Eskview Terr / Haugh 3033 2179 46 S01008191 Park Gr / Pinkie Farm 3362 3272 52 S01008189 Rothesay Pl / Park Ln 3818 3991 59 S01008193 Linkfield Rd / Woodside 3826 3013 60 S01008174 Stoneybank Terr / Whitehill Dr 3950 4562 63 S01008173 Whitehill / Stoneyhill Sch 4197 3651 66 S01008194 Levenhall 4523 4064 73 S01008172 Mucklets / Mayfield Cr 4592 4091 74 S01008183 West Holmes Gdns / Market St 4710 4193 78 S01008170 Monktonhall 5298 5301 93 S01008178 Stoneyhill 5803 4711 105 S01008176 Inveresk / Eskmills / Lewisvale 6133 5779 112 S01008179 Denholms 6359 5239 117 S01008181 Newhailles Cr / Edinburgh Rd 6510 5840 124 Newhailles Rd / Clayknowes / Newhailles S01008180 House 6782 5891 130
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 31 4 data zones are within the 20% most health deprived data zones in East Lothian, 1 of which is in the 10% most health deprived in East Lothian and the 20% most health deprived in Scotland 5 data zones in the ward are within the 20% least health deprived in Scotland, 4 of which are within the 10% least health deprived in Scotland
Early deaths3 across the ward are illustrated below in Figure 33. Figure 33 ‐ Early deaths per 100,000 people (ScotPHO – Community Health and Well‐being Profile 2016)
Early Deaths per 100,000 People
Early Deaths From Cancer Early Deaths From CHD
East Lothian 156.7 41.9
Musselburgh West 122.3 63.3
Musselburgh East 191 80.3
Musselburgh South 162.8 20.9
Musselburgh North 132.4 65.8
Musselburgh South has the lowest incidence of early death from coronary heart disease (CHD) in the ward, Musselburgh East has the highest Musselburgh West has the lowest incidence of early deaths from cancer in the ward, Musselburgh East has the highest
Maternity and Child Health The 2016 mid‐year population estimates indicate that there were 1,114 children aged 0 – 4 years living in the Musselburgh ward. Musselburgh West had the lowest rates in the ward for Teenage pregnancy rates (defined as births to mothers under 18), women smoking during pregnancy and low birth weight Musselburgh East had the highest rates in the ward for Teenage Pregnancies and women smoking during pregnancy
3 Early deaths are classified as deaths under the age of 75
32 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 Figure 34 ‐ Breastfeeding rates (ScotPHO – Community Health and Well‐being Profile 2016)
% of babies breastfed at 6‐8 weeks 38.0% 35.7% 35.3% 32.9% 26.8% 27.5%
Musselburgh Musselburgh Musselburgh Musselburgh East East Lothian Scotland West North South
As shown in Figure 35, Musselburgh East has the lowest rate in the ward for babies being exclusively breastfed at 6‐8 weeks and is below the average for East Lothian or Scotland Musselburgh West was the only intermediate zone in the ward higher than the East Lothian average (94.2%) for Immunisation uptake at 24 months (including MMR) Musselburgh North had the highest rates in the ward for Child dental health (children inspected getting a clear report) at Primary 1 (81.6%) and for Primary 7 (86.1%). Musselburgh South had the lowest rates in the ward 65.9% (Primary 1) and 65.6% (Primary 7). The East Lothian rates were 74% (Primary 1) and 76.6% (Primary 7) Young People’s Attitudes to Health In the 2016 Students Evaluation of Experience Survey: Musselburgh had the highest scores in the ward for P6 “People at school help me to make healthy choices” and for S2 “I have heard of the Well being indicators” Musselburgh had the lowest score in the ward for S2 “In school I can learn about healthy lifestyles” Figure 35 – Young People’s Attitudes to Health (SEE Survey Results 2015‐16)
SEE Survey Results ( Nov North East 2015‐16 Year Dunbar Haddington Musselburgh Berwick Prestonpans Tranent Lothian People at school S2 94.8% 79.6% 73.2% 75.8% 73.2% 77.0% 79.2% help me to make healthy choices P6 81.3% 84.4% 90.2% 88.3% 84.6% 85.8% 85.9% In school, I can S2 94.8% 98.1% 89.8% 90.5% 94.8% 97.3% 94.2% learn about healthy lifestyles P6 98.5% 90.9% 96.3% 95.5% 91.1% 93.1% 94.5% I am able to get information S2 82.5% 84.5% 84.1% 81.1% 81.7% 82.4% 82.7% about my health in East Lothian P6 92.6% 92.9% 88.4% 89.4% 84.6% 83.3% 88.4% I have heard of S2 47.9% 27.2% 54.4% 40.4% 48.6% 53.1% 46.6% the "Wellbeing Indicators" P6 55.4% 55.2% 68.3% 71.6% 67.7% 68.6% 64.6%
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 33 Care and Social Care According to the 2011 census: In Musselburgh East & Carberry ward 1,229 people (or 8.9% of the population) provide unpaid care to a friend or family member In Musselburgh West ward 1002 (or 9.6% of the population) provide unpaid care to a friend or family member Over ¼ of these carers in Musselburgh East & Carberry ward were providing more than 50 hours of care per week Figure 36 ‐ Hours of voluntary care provided (Scotland’s Census 2011) Number of voluntary hours provided by Carers 70% 60% 63% 54%
35% 29% 24% 20% 16% 17% 17%
0% % of carers who provides 1 % of carers who provides 20 % of carers who provides 50 to 19 hours unpaid care a to 49 hours unpaid care a or more hours unpaid care a week week week East Lothian Musselburgh East and Carberry Musselburgh West In the 2016 Students Evaluation of Experience Survey 45.2%% of P6 pupils and 21.9% of S2 pupils surveyed in the ward stated that they ‘regularly help to take care of someone in their family who is physically or mentally ill or has problems with drugs or alcohol’, compared to 35.4% (P6) and 25.4% (S2) for East Lothian. East Lothian Council’s Adult Wellbeing service monitors the number of people receiving home care. In 2016 an average of 22,239 hours of home care was provided each week to support people across East Lothian living in their own homes. 14.8% (3,296 hours) were within the Preston Seton Gosford ward. 364 (25.4%) of these people receiving home care cash each week in East Lothian reside in the old Musselburgh East and Musselburgh West wards.
34 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 Figure 37 ‐ Hours of Home Care by client group (East Lothian Council 2017)
% of home care hours provided in the Musselburgh East and West wards
Musselburgh (East and West) East Lothian
47.8% 45.7% 40.1% 41.8%
9.9% 8.3% 2.2% 4.2%
Mental Health Physical Disabilities Older People Learning Disabilities
People with learning disabilities in the old Musselburgh East and West wards receive 47.8% of all home care hours provided People with Learning Disabilities however make up only 19.8% of those receiving home care, with each person receiving an average of 65.1 hours of support per week Older people receive 40.1% of the care hours, but make up 67.3% of the number of people benefiting from home care in the area, with each person receiving an average of 17.05 hours assistance per week
Older people Older people make up a growing segment of the population. The 2016 mid‐year population estimate shows that there are 3,655 people aged 65 years and over living in the Musselburgh ward, which is 18.7% of the ward population. 1,675 of them, or 8.6% of the total population of the ward, are aged 75 or over If the population in this ward grows in the same pattern as projected across East Lothian, then by 2027 there will be an estimated 4,698 people aged 65 and over living in this ward (21.7% of ward population). 2,441 (11.3% of the ward population) will be aged 75 or over Estimated increase in the Older Population in the Musselburgh Ward modelled on East Lothian wide projections Figure 38 ‐ Population Projections for Older People (National Records of Scotland) Musselburgh 2016 2017 2022 2027 65 and over 3,655 3,714 4,136 4,698 75 and over 1,675 1,786 2,113 2,441 65 and over % of ward population 18.7% 18.8% 20.0% 21.7% 75 and over % of ward population 8.6% 9.0% 10.2% 11.3%
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 35 Across East Lothian an estimated 7.4% of the population aged 65 and over suffers from dementia. Using these same population projections this means that by 2027 in the Musselburgh ward there will be 348 people aged 65 and over requiring support to cope with dementia. Day Centres are among the services across East Lothian that support older people to remain in their own homes for as long as possible by providing respite for families and carers and stimulating activities for individuals designed to help reduce social isolation and improve mental wellbeing. There is one Older People’s Day Centre in the Musselburgh area, the Hollies, offering Day Centre and Lunch Club facilities and providing support for approximately 120 people per week There are also two Lunch Clubs hosted within Sheltered Housing complexes that offer places to older people living in the local area: Mansfield Court, operating Monday to Friday provides 70 places per week; Brunton Court, operating Monday to Friday provides 50 meals per week There are also a range of other preventative services offered across the community including Sporting Memories groups, activities in sheltered housing complexes, seated exercise classes and Zumba gold programmes which provide informal support and social opportunities for older people. (East Lothian Council)
36 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 Neighbourhood and Place The rural nature of much of East Lothian means that the majority of the population live in geographically distinct towns and villages – each with their own strengths and differing needs. While each of the East Lothian wards is geographically clustered around one of six major towns it does mean that people across the county do have different levels of access to local services and facilities. These variations not only impact on local quality of life and the opportunities available to local residents but also on the strength and resilience of local communities, as how people feel about their own neighbourhoods can also influence how much they choose to become involved.
HEADLINES – Neighbourhood and Place The East Lothian Residents Survey 2017 shows that 97% of respondents in the Musselburgh ward thought that their neighbourhood was a good place to live In the Musselburgh ward road and pavement repairs, clean streets and Health services were considered to be the categories most in need of improvement The Weekly footfall rates per head of ward population are 0.41 visits per person, the highest in East Lothian There were 96,689 visits to the Musselburgh Library in 2015/16, 18.5% fewer than the previous year. PC Visits reduced by 19.5% to 11,351. WiFi Vists increased by 5.2% to 2,544 More people in the Musselburgh ward felt they could influence decisions in their local area when compared to East Lothian as a whole
The East Lothian Residents Survey (2017) showed that 97% of respondents in the Musselburgh ward thought that their neighbourhood was a very/fairly good place to live. Figure 39 ‐ Perception of their neighbourhood (East Lothian Residents Survey 2017)
How would you rate your neighbourhood as a place to live
Musselburgh East Lothian
74% 65%
32% 24%
2% 1%0% 1% 0% 0%
Very good Fairly good Fairly poor Very poor No opinion
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 37 The East Lothian Residents Survey (2017) asked people what the priorities were for making somewhere a good place to live. Figure 40 below shows the top 10 responses from people in the Musselburgh ward (from a list of 20) Figure 40 ‐ What makes somewhere a good place to live (East Lothian Residents Survey 2017)
Priorities for making somewhere a good place to live
Musselburgh East Lothian
70% Health services 61% 68% Affordable decent housing 47% 65% Jobs for local people 43% 55% Public transport 41% 54% Shopping facilities 37% 50% The level of crime 38% 46% Primary & Secondary Schools 47% 29% Sports and leisure facilities 17% 27% Sense of community 26% 8% Care for older people 16%
Health Services was identified as the most important priority by 70% of respondents , compared to 61% for East Lothian as a whole Affordable decent housing and jobs for local people also featured highly in the Musselburgh ward The East Lothian Residents’ Survey (2017) also asked people how they felt their neighbourhood had changed over the last 3 years Figure 41 ‐ Perceived change in local neighbourhoods (East Lothian Residents Survey 2017)
How has your neighbourhood changed over the last 3 years
Musselburgh East Lothian
76% 79%
10% 9% 9% 7% 4% 5%
Got a little/much better Stayed the same Got a little/much worse No opinion
10% of residents in the Musselburgh ward reported their neighbourhood had improved over the last 3 years, 76% felt it had stayed the same, although 9% thought it had got worse
38 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 Improving the Area The East Lothian Residents’ Survey (2017) asked ‘what most needs improving’ in your area. The graph below (Figure 42) shows the top 10 categories that people in the Musselburgh ward thought were in need of most improvement in their area, as chosen from a list of 29.
Figure 42 ‐ Neighbourhood Improvements (East Lothian Residents Survey 2017)
Thinking about your neighbourhood, which do you think needs most improving
East Lothian Musselburgh
2% Sense of community 3% 4% Care for older people 3% 7% Public transport 3% 8% Affordable decent housing 3% 7% Jobs for local people 4% 3% The level of crime 5% 4% Wage levels and local cost of living 5% 11% Health services 8% 6% Clean streets 12% 16% Road and pavement repairs 20%
In the Musselburgh ward the single highest scoring improvement, highlighted by 20% of respondents was the need for ‘Road and pavement repairs’, followed by clean streets (12%) and Health Services (8%).
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 39 Local High Streets Each of East Lothian’s wards is centred around a main town which is expected to provide retail and other key services to the community. Vacancy rates (measured as a percentage of available retail units in the area) are a key indicator of the ‘health’ of local High Streets. Figure 43 ‐ Town Centre Vacancy Rates (East Lothian Council)
Town centre vacancy rates
Musselburgh East Lothian
15.0% 11.0% 9.7% 7.8% 7.0% 7.3% 7.8% 8.1% 6.7% 6.5% 6.7% 5.9%
2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Vacancy rates decreased in Musselburgh, from a high of 15% in 2008/09 to a low of 6.7% in 2012/13 The most recent figure shows the Musselburgh vacancy rate to be lower than the East Lothian average for the first time Figure 44 – Weekly Town Centre Footfall (East Lothian Council)
Weekly Town Centre Footfall 2015/16 12000 9550 10000 9130 7650 8000 6520 8230 6000 4000 2000 0 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Dunbar Haddington Musselburgh North Berwick Prestonpans Tranent
Pedestrian counts are undertaken annually in each town centre to establish weekly footfall rates for East Lothian’s High Streets. The observations are November based and are not reflective of seasonal differences. Weekly footfall on Musselburgh High St. has increased by 26.2% since 2014/15. The Weekly footfall rates per head of ward population are 0.41 visits per person, the highest in East Lothian.
40 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 Leisure, Learning and Sport Musselburgh Library visits: There were 96,689 physical visits to the library in 2015/16, 9.1% lower than the previous year There were 11,351 PC visits in 2015/16, 19.5% lower than the previous year There were 2,544 WiFi visits in 2015/16, 5.2% higher than the previous year
Figure 45 ‐ Annual Library visits (East Lothian Council)
Annual Library Visits (Musselburgh)
Wi‐Fi Sessions PC Sessions Physical Visits 109,018 106,373 96,689
14,391 14,094 11,351 1,671 2,683 2,544
2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Musselburgh Sports Centre, run by Enjoy Leisure on behalf of East Lothian Council, provides a range of sports and recreation facilities for the community. Figure 46 – Access to Leisure Card Users (East Lothian Council)
Access to Leisure Card Users (2015/16)
Musselburgh Sports Centre East Lothian 38.3% 36.8%
21.2% 19.7%
In 2015/16 there were 232,418 visits made to the Musselburgh Sports Centre, accounting for 19.2% of all visits to Enjoy Leisure sports centres across East Lothian 7.3% of all visits to the centre were made by Access to Leisure Card users. Disable people and children of disabled accounted for 59.5% of all access to leisure card users compared to 56.4% for East Lothian as whole
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 41 Participating in Decisions The East Lothian Residents Survey (2017) asked how people felt about their ability to be involved in decisions that affect their local area. Figure 47 ‐ Involvement in Local Decision Making (East Lothian Residents Survey 2017)
% agreeing with the statements
Musselburgh East Lothian
51% 38%
20% 19%
I can influence decisions affecting my local area I would like to be more involved in the decisions my Council makes that affect my local area
More people in the Musselburgh ward felt they could influence decisions in their local area when compared to East Lothian as a whole.
In the Student Evaluation of Experience Survey 2015‐16, 89.4% of the ward’s P6 pupils (87.6% East Lothian) and 69.2% of S2 pupils (69.4% East Lothian) felt that they could contribute to decisions made in their school.
42 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 Housing Housing is a basic requirement for all, at the heart of our everyday lives, and housing issues are complex. A lack of affordable housing is a key challenge for East Lothian and meeting the need for affordable housing by maximising opportunities to increase the supply of affordable housing is a priority across the county.
HEADLINES – Housing In 2015 there were 9,535 dwellings in the Musselburgh ward, which is 20.6% of the total number of dwellings in East Lothian The Musselburgh ward has an average data zone dwelling density of 26.6per hectare compared to an East Lothian ward average of 16.2 In 2013 28% of East Lothian Council’s housing stock was in the old Musselburgh ward In 2012 the median sale price for houses in both wards is significantly below the median East Lothian price of £167,000 In Musselburgh Town Centre 14.8% of private households are assessed as living in fuel poverty and 1.2% as living in extreme fuel poverty
The Musselburgh ward has an average data zone dwelling density of 26.6 per hectare compared to an East Lothian ward average of 16.2. This ranges from 3.4 in Newhailes Rd/ Clayknowes/ Newhailes House to 67.49 in West Holmes Gdns/Market St. (2015 Statistics.govt.scot) The Scottish Government’s Urban Rural Classification system provides a standard way of defining different urban and rural settings and measuring the percentage of the population living within each. Figure 48 below shows the distribution of households across the old ward compared to that across East Lothian. Figure 48 ‐ Population by Urban / Rural Classification (National Records of Scotland)
% of the population by urban/rural classification (2013/14)
Musselburgh East and Carberry Ward Musselburgh West Ward East Lothian
99.0% 89.3%
23.4% 24.0% 15.0% 23.1% 11.7% 10.7% 0%0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1.0% 0% 0% 2.8%
Large urban Other urban Accessible small Remote small Accessible rural Remote rural towns towns
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 43 The vast majority of the population are classified as living in a Large Urban area ‐ settlements of over 125,000 people – due to the town’s proximity to Edinburgh 10.7% of the population of Musselburgh East are classed as living in Accessible rural areas – areas with a population of less than 3,000 people, and within a 30 minute drive time of a settlement of 10,000 or more Housing type and size In 2015, there were 9,535 dwellings in the Musselburgh ward, equal to 20.6% of the total number of dwellings across East Lothian 206 (2.2%) of these were vacant dwellings 35 (0.4%) were second or holiday homes Flats are the most common form of housing in the Musselburgh area, far more common than throughout East Lothian as a whole. Figure 49 ‐ Types of Housing (National Records of Scotland)
Type of Housing (2014)
East Lothian Musselburgh
28% Flat 51%
27% Terrace 23%
23% Semidetached 18%
22% Detached 8%
Council tax bands are based on the value of the dwelling (from band A with the lowest value to band H having the highest value). Proportionally in Musselburgh, there are more houses in bands A‐C, than in East Lothian and Scotland Figure 50 ‐ Dwellings by Council Tax band (National Records of Scotland)
% of Dwellings by Council Tax Band 2015 Select Below Band A‐C Band D‐E Band F‐H Musselburgh 64.9% 26.2% 8.9% East Lothian 54.5% 25.8% 19.8% Scotland 60.7% 26.5% 12.8%
44 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 Figure 51 ‐ Number of Rooms per Residence (National Records of Scotland)
Rooms per Dwelling (2014)
Musselburgh East Lothian 55% 50% 47% 36%
9% 3%
1‐3 rooms 4‐6 rooms 7+ rooms
In Musselburgh a larger proportion of houses consist of 1‐3 rooms when compared to East Lothian as a whole. Housing Tenure Tenure patterns across the ward are broadly similar to those found across East Lothian, as shown in Figure 52 however: There is a slightly higher rate of owner occupation in Musselburgh West, and a significantly lower rate in Musselburgh East 42% of households are renting their home in Musselburgh East – with 32% renting from the Council or other social landlords compared to 23% across East Lothian overall Figure 52 ‐ Housing Tenure (East Lothian Council 2013)
Housing Tenure 69% % Owner Occupied 58% 67% 3% % Housing Association homes 7% 5%
12% % Private Rental Sector 10% 10% 15% % Rented from the Council 25% 18%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Musselburgh West Musselburgh East East Lothian
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 45 Council and other Social Housing The Council’s housing stock has declined from a base of 16,000 in the early 1980’s to 8405 in 2013. At March 2013 East Lothian Council had 2375 homes in the Musselburgh area: 1862 in Musselburgh 308 in Wallyford 190 in Whitecriag 15 in Oldcraighall This represents 28% of the total East Lothian Council housing stock at this time. At the same time East Lothian Council records show that there were 2280 housing association homes across the county. Of these 575 (25%) are in the Musselburgh area: 359 in Musselburgh 173 in Wallyford 43 in Whitecraig
64% of the properties available for social rental in the Musselburgh area are in the Musselburgh East ward. Housing Supply East Lothian is one of the fastest growing areas in Scotland and its population is projected to grow to over 128,000 in the next 20 years. Along with this increase in population there will clearly also be an increased need for housing in the area. The East Lothian Residents’ Survey (2011) showed that 30% of people in Musselburgh West and 10% in Musselburgh East think that access to ‘affordable, decent housing’ needs to be improved in their area (compared to 12% across East Lothian as a whole). House Prices and Affordability Nationally the housing market has been in overall decline since the peak of 2007; however the market in East Lothian would appear to have shown greater recovery with house prices in East Lothian among the most expensive across Scotland. ESPC4 data shows that: There were 745 homes bought/sold in East Lothian in 2012 174 of these (or 23%) were in the Musselburgh area In 2012 the median sale price in the Musselburgh East ward (i.e. the price the middle value house sold across the ward) was £125,000 In 2012 the median sale price in the Musselburgh West ward (i.e. the price the middle value house sold across the ward) was £137,500 In Musselburgh East the median sale price for houses of all sizes remains below the median sale price across East Lothian In Musselburgh West however the median sale price of houses with two or more bedrooms is consistently higher than the median sale price across East Lothian for houses of a similar size. This suggests that local households may face more significant affordability pressures in relation to family housing than in other parts of East Lothian
4 It should be noted that ESPC data only includes sales recorded by ESPC solicitors (estimated to be 9 out of 10 solicitors in East Central Scotland). It does not include new build sales.
46 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 Figure 53 ‐ ESPC House Sales 2012 (East Lothian Council 2013)
2012 House sales* in the Musselburgh East ward 2012 House sales* in the Musselburgh West ward Lower Lower Number Median Quartile Number Median Quartile of sales price price* of sales price price* 1 Bed 1 Bed properties 11 £90,000 £82,350 properties 18 £92,498 £ 75,125 2 Bed 2 Bed properties 32 £108,750 £ 87,750 properties 38 £125,000 £110,625 3 Bed 3 Bed properties 22 £146,998 £133,750 properties 31 £200,000 £171,000 4 Bed 4 Bed properties 9 £232,000 £213,000 properties 8 £260,000 £214,000 5 Bed+ 5 Bed+ properties 5 £352,500 £300,000 properties n/a n/a n/a * the lower quartile is used to measure property prices within the bottom 25% of all sales, this is used as an indication of entry level property prices.
Both of these figures are significantly below the median East Lothian price of £167,000 One method of calculating how affordable the owner occupied sector is for residents is to measure house prices against income levels. In 2012 the median income across East Lothian was £28,542 and the lower quartile income £14,230 (CACI, 2012). This means that a household with a median income would be required to borrow 4.38 times their salary in order to by a three bedroom median priced property in the Musselburgh East ward (assuming they had a 15% deposit £22,050) ‐ compared to needing 5.36 times their salary if looking at the median price for 3 bedroom homes across East Lothian as a whole A household with the same income however would have to borrow 5.96 times their salary in order to buy a median priced 3 bedroom house in Musselburgh West For entry level buyers on a lower quartile income the difference was more substantial. To buy a 3 bedroom house at the lower quartile price in East Lothian a household would have to borrow 8.87 times their salary (assuming they had a 15% deposit) To buy a 3 bedroom house at the lower quartile price in Musselburgh East a household with the same income, and with a 15% deposit, would have to borrow 7.99 times their salary To buy a 3 bedroom house at this entry level in Musselburgh West a household with a lower quartile income would have to borrow 10.21 times their annual salary
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 47 Housing Quality Social Sector Social housing stock across East Lothian is generally considered to be of good quality. By March 2012 62% of Council stock and over 95% of Registered Social Landlord (RSL) homes met the Scottish Housing Quality Standard (SHQS). By 2015, based on existing budgets and programmes of work, it is projected that 100% of all social housing stock will meet the standard. Private Sector A private sector stock condition survey was carried out in 2010/11 to provide information on the condition of private housing. Overall the private housing stock was found to be generally better than or in line with the Scottish average across all key condition indicators however poor property conditions were found in some areas, particularly within town centres and rural areas. 54.7% of private sector housing fails the SHQS across East Lothian, with 71.1% of private rental properties failing compared to 52.7% of owner occupied homes. The proportion of properties failing is higher both in Musselburgh town centre (63.2%) and across the rest of the ward (58.4%) Across East Lothian 9.3% of dwellings required extensive repairs and 2.1% of dwellings fell below the tolerable standard5 Across the Musselburgh area however only 1.3% of properties require extensive repairs and less than 1% failed to meet the tolerable standard In Musselburgh town centre just 5.4% of properties require extensive repair (the 2nd lowest town centre rate across East Lothian after North Berwick), although 2.6% of dwellings did fall below tolerable standard. Disrepair was shown to be more prevalent in the private rented sector and 17.4% of private rented properties failed the Repairing Standard6* In Musselburgh however houses were shown to be in comparably good repair. Despite 25% of the total number of private rental properties across East Lothian being in the Musselburgh area only 16.5% of properties failing to meet the Repairing Standard are in this area (East Lothian Council 2011) Fuel Poverty A household is considered to be in fuel poverty if it spends more than 10% of income on household fuel costs. Alongside low incomes a major contributor to levels of fuel poverty is the quality and energy efficiency of the residence. Research commissioned by East Lothian Council in 2010/11 into private sector housing (which accounts for approximately 2/3 of all dwellings in East Lothian) showed that:
11.9% of private households were living in fuel poverty 1.8% were found to be living in extreme fuel poverty
5 The tolerable standard is the minimum standard for a property to be considered habitable. It applies to all tenures. 6 The Repairing Standard is a mandatory standard which applies to most private rented housing. Private landlords must ensure the property meets the Repairing Standard at the time of let and throughout the tenancy.
48 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 across East Lothian there are significantly higher levels of fuel poverty evident in the private rental sector, pre‐1919 housing (which tend to be less energy efficient), the rural east of the county and in town centres in Musselburgh Town Centre 14.8% of private households are assessed as living in fuel poverty and 4.1% as living in extreme fuel poverty, both above the East Lothian average Across the whole of the area however these rates fell to 9.7% living in Fuel Poverty and only 1.2% in extreme fuel poverty The National Home Energy Rating (NHER)7 for private housing in East Lothian is 7.0, compared to a Scottish average of 6.7. In Musselburgh town centre this rises to 7.8, (placing it within the good range of the national scale) Homelessness Since 2007 homeless applications in East Lothian have averaged at between 2.6% ‐ 2.9% of all households across the county – tracking approximately 0.3% above the national average. Since 2011/12 homeless applications in East Lothian have reduced significantly as a result of the introduction of a Housing Options approach however homelessness remains a significant issue, particularly for younger people. This is another indicator of issues relating to a lack of affordable housing options. East Lothian Council Homelessness figures show that: 674 households across East Lothian were assessed as homeless in 2012/13 In 2011 the homeless presentation rate from the Musselburgh area was the highest in the county at 27 per 10,000 people, compared to a rate of 23 per 10,000 people across East Lothian. In the Musselburgh West ward 6% of respondents reported in the East Lothian Residents’ Survey (2011) that homelessness was a ‘very serious’ problem in their area (compared to 3% across the county) Figure 54 ‐ Geographic Source of Homeless Applications (East Lothian Council 2011)
Geographic Source of Homeless Applications 16% The graph to the right shows the 26% geographic source of homeless applications across East Lothian in 4% 2011. Although the eventual location of applicants upon re‐housing is not 9% tracked these figures do give an indication of demand across the county and it can be assumed that there is a 11% 18% strong correlation between the applicant’s area of origin and their re‐ 16% housing area of preference. Musselburgh wards Preston Seton Gosford Fa'side Haddington & Lammermuir Dunbar and East Linton North Berwick Coastal Out of area
7 The National Home Energy Rating (NHER) is an indicator of energy efficiency based on the total energy costs per square metre of floor area required to achieve a satisfactory heating regime. The NHER of a property is assessed on a scale of 0‐10 with ranges of: poor 0‐2, moderate 3‐6 and good 7‐10.
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 49 Crime and Safety East Lothian is a relatively safe place to live, with levels of serious crime and disorder that are significantly below the Scottish average. However crime, anti‐social behaviour and the fear of crime can undermine community cohesion and have an impact upon local people’s quality of life. This section therefore focuses not only on official crime statistics but also how people feel about the safety of their area.
HEADLINES – Crime and Safety In the East Lothian Residents Survey 2017, 78% of respondents in the Musselburgh ward felt the crime rate had stayed about the same during the last 2 years Lothian and Borders Police figures in 2011/12 show that the number of reported crimes in the ward had decreased in the last year The number of reported crimes in the Musselburgh West ward however, at 894 per 10,000 people, is more than double the East Lothian rate of 394 per 10,000 11 data zones are within the 20% most crime deprived in East Lothian, 4 of which are within the 20% most crime deprived in Scotland 87% of respondents in the ward felt ‘very/fairly safe’walking alone in their local neighbourhood after dark (compared to 85% in East Lothian as a whole)
How do people think crime rates have changed? The East Lothian Residents Survey (2017) asked residents how they thought crime rates had changed in their neighbourhood. Figure 55 ‐ Perceptions of Crime Rates (East Lothian Residents Survey 2017)
How much would you say the crime rate in your local area has changed in the last 2 years ?
Musselburgh East Lothian
81% 76%
15% 9% 8% 9% 1% 1%
A little/ a lot more About the same A little/ a lot less Don't know
In Musselburgh the majority of people thought that the crime rate in their local area had remained about the same In Musselburgh 8% believed that crime had gone up in their local area
50 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 Reported Crimes in the Ward Lothian and Borders Police regularly published the number of crimes reported in each ward, organised in five crime groups. Figure 56 shows the number of crimes: reported in each area how many crimes are reported for every 10,000 people living in the area; and whether the number of reported crimes has gone up or down compared to the previous year
Figure 56 ‐ Rates of Reported Crime (Lothian and Borders Police March 2012) East Lothian Musselburgh East Musselburgh West 2011/ 2012 2011/ 2012 2011/ 2012 Number Crimes % Number Crimes % Number Crimes % of / change of / change of / change reported 10,000 from reported 10,000 from reported 10,000 from crimes people 2010/11 crimes people 2010/11 crimes people 2010/11
Group 1: Crimes of Violence 98 10 29% 12 9 57% 19 19 24%
Group 2: Sexual Crimes 95 10 34% 14 10 40% 9 9 44%
Group 3: Crimes of Theft / Dishonesty 1940 198 4% 231 165 7% 509 503 33%
Group 4: Vandalism, Fire raising, 1057 108 15% 140 100 14% 215 212 6% malicious mischief Group 5: Other Crimes – including Drug Related Crimes 666 68 39% 94 67 52% 153 151 42% and offensive weapons TOTAL 3856 393 15% 491 351 24% 905 894 1% This Lothian and Borders Police publication shows that for most categories of crime the rate of reported incidences is dropping across the county and across the Musselburgh area The exception is ‘sexual crimes’ where there has been a 34% increase across East Lothian in reported crimes from 2010/11, and a 40% increase in Musselburgh East (although an equally significant drop in Musselburgh West) At the same time ‘crimes involving theft/ dishonesty’ increased by 33% in Musselburgh West where the rate of these types of crimes per 10,000 people is more than double the rate in Musselburgh East and across East Lothian as a whole Across Musselburgh West the total rate of crimes per person is more than double the rate across East Lothian, although it is important to note that the number of crimes relates to where the crime was committed rather than the residence of the perpetrator In Musselburgh East a significant drop in the number of reported crimes in the last year has brought the rate of reported crimes per person below the East Lothian average
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 51 Crime Domain The SIMD Crime Domain is based on the following factors: Recorded SIMD crime rates for domestic house breaking, drug offences, common assault, crimes of violence, vandalism and sexual offences.
Musselburgh wards data zones ranked by Crime Domain Figure 57 ‐ SIMD Crime Domain (www.sns.gov.uk/Simd/)
Crime East Crime domain 2016 SIMD Crime Lothian DZ2011 New Ward rank 2012 rank Rank S01008186 Millhill / Eskside East 663 218 3 S01008177 Olivebank / Eskview 752 2300 4 S01008192 Wanless Ct / Windsor Pk / Loretto 849 1042 5 S01008184 North High St / Eskside West / Hercus Lo 881 146 6 S01008182 New St / North High St / Prommenade 1402 1566 12 S01008176 Inveresk / Eskmills / Lewisvale 1606 3227 15 S01008175 Eskview Terr / Haugh 1645 1713 16 S01008181 Newhailles Cr / Edinburgh Rd 1821 3757 20 S01008187 Goosegreen / Fisherrow Links 1890 1467 21 S01008188 Dalrymple Lo / Mansfield 2158 2225 24 S01008195 Macbeth Moir Rd / Moir Cr 2166 490 25 S01008171 Stoneybank Cr / Monktonhall Terr 2423 1906 32 S01008190 Edenhall / Pinkie Terr 2607 3082 33 S01008193 Linkfield Rd / Woodside 2620 5043 34 S01008185 Fisherrow / Beach Ln / Brunton 2965 3028 38 S01008183 West Holmes Gdns / Market St 3177 1563 43 S01008196 Delta Dr / Galt Av / Battlefield Dr 3302 4413 47 Newhailles Rd / Clayknowes / Newhailles S01008180 House 3466 4927 52 S01008189 Rothesay Pl / Park Ln 3939 3695 60 S01008194 Levenhall 4529 2322 69 S01008191 Park Gr / Pinkie Farm 4900 4741 81 S01008170 Monktonhall 4935 4728 83 S01008178 Stoneyhill 5310 5202 92 S01008179 Denholms 5787.5 5760 103 S01008174 Stoneybank Terr / Whitehill Dr 6090 3989 110 S01008172 Mucklets / Mayfield Cr 6235 5243 113 S01008173 Whitehill / Stoneyhill Sch 6645 4580 125 11 data zones are within the 20% most crime deprived in East Lothian, 5 of which are within the 10% most crime deprived 4 data zones are within the 20% most crime deprived in Scotland, 1 of which is within the 10% most crime deprived 3 data zones are within the 20% least crime deprived in East Lothian 1 of which is within the 10% least crime deprived 4 data zones are within the 20% least crime deprived in Scotland, 1 of which is within the 10% least crime deprived
52 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 Fear of Crime People’s fear of crime does not always reflect the actual rate of crime occurring in their local areas. The East Lothian Resident Survey (2017) asked ‘To what extent do you feel threatened by crime in your neighbourhood?’ The results are shown in Figure 58. 92% of adult residents in the ward did not feel significantly threatened by crime in their neighbourhoods
Figure 58– Perceived Threat of Crime in Local Neighbourhoods (East Lothian Residents Survey 2017)
To what extent do you feel threatened by crime in this neighbourhood these days?
Musselburgh East Lothian 92% 94%
7% 6% 1% 1%
A great deal/ a fair amount Not very much/not at all Don't know
The East Lothian Resident Survey (2017) asked residents how safe they felt walking alone at night in their neighbourhood. After dark 78% of those in the ward reported that they felt ‘very/fairly safe’ walking alone in their local neighbourhood (compared to 85% in East Lothian as a whole) 10% of those in the ward reported feeling ‘fairly unsafe’ or ‘very unsafe’ (compared to 7% in East Lothian)
Figure 59 ‐ Perceptions of Safety after dark (East Lothian Residents Survey 2017)
How safe or unsafe do you feel walking alone outside in your local neighbourhood afterdark ?
Musselburgh East Lothian
85% 79%
13% 8% 7% 8%
Very/fairly safe A bit/very unsafe Don't know
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 53 The Students Evaluation of Experience Survey 2016 also included questions about how safe people felt in their local communities. 92.6% of the P6 students, and 94.3% of S2, questioned in 2016 agreed that they felt safe in their local area during the day (compared with 95% and 97.3% respectively for East Lothian as a whole) 70.7% of P6 students 78.5% of S2 agreed they felt ‘safe to go out in their local neighbourhood during the evening (compared with 75.1% and 83.4% respectively for East Lothian as a whole)
Anti‐Social Behaviour Anti‐social behaviour covers a range of incidents reported to the police and East Lothian Council’s Anti‐Social Behaviour Hotline including noise complaints, street disorder, hate crimes, snowball incidents, neighbour disputes and more. Figure 60‐ ASB Complaints to East Lothian Council (East Lothian Council 2017)
ASB Complants to Council by Ward (2015/16) 37.0%
25%
18.8% 17.7% 16.8% 17.6% 12.1% 13.1% 13.5% 10.0% 9.4% 8.9%
0.4%
Musselburgh Fa'side Preston Seton Haddington & North Berwick Dunbar & East More than one West & Gosford Lammermuir Coastal Linton ward Musselburgh East and Carbery
ASB Complaints Population of East Lothian
East Lothian Council received 1,444 anti social behaviour complaints during 2015/16.
Musselburgh which houses 25% of East Lothian’s population, generated 37% of ASB complaints
54 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 Fire incidences across the ward Across East Lothian around 100 uniformed and support staff are employed by the Fire and Rescue Service within 6 community fire stations based at Musselburgh, East Linton, North Berwick, Tranent, Dunbar and Haddington. The number of false alarm calls remains at a high level In 2015/16, Musselburgh West had the highest rate of incidences in East Lothian for Deliberate Primary Fires, and Non Fatal Fire Casualties. The only fire fatality occurred in this ward In 2015/16, Musselburgh East had the highest rate of incidences in East Lothian for Deliberate Secondary Fires
Figure 61 ‐ Fire Service attendances Musselburgh East (Lothian & Borders Fire & Rescue Service 2017) 2015/16 Incidencies as a % of East Lothian Musselburgh East 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 Incidences Accidental Dwelling Fires 17 12 16 8 10 13% Deliberate Primary Fires 18 7 5 14 13 21% Deliberate Secondary Fires 105 33 47 22 38 28% Non‐fatal Fire Casualties 2 3 1 1 0 0% Fire Fatalities 0 0 0 0 0 0% Road traffic Collisions attended by the Fire Service 6 2 5 9 4 7% Unwanted Fire Signals 144 149 141 149 146 21%
Figure 62 ‐ Fire Service attendances Musselburgh West (Lothian & Borders Fire & Rescue Service 2017) 2015/16 Incidencies as a % of East Lothian Musselburgh West 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 Incidences Accidental Dwelling Fires 9 13 9 10 10 13% Deliberate Primary Fires 9 4 6 5 17 27% Deliberate Secondary Fires 35 28 20 18 11 8% Non‐fatal Fire Casualties 2 2 0 2 3 43% Fire Fatalities 0 0 0 0 1 100% Road traffic Collisions attended by the Fire Service 6 4 4 8 12 21% Unwanted Fire Signals 118 147 125 102 118 17%
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 55 Transport and Travel Access to transport is fundamental to maintaining today’s lifestyles, whether it is for work, education, leisure or to attain the goods and services people rely on in their daily lives. The dispersed, rural nature of many of East Lothian’s settlements also increases the need for travel. While the personal freedoms offered by the car are recognised, the downside is traffic congestion and, until alternative technologies become widespread, the problem of exhaust emissions. A key way for East Lothian to reduce its carbon footprint would be to improve connections between communities, encourage the use of more sustainable modes of transport (where practical) including walking, cycling and public transport and investigate ways of reducing the overall need for travel.
HEADLINES – Transport and Travel The Musselburgh ward has the lowest car ownership in East Lothian In 27% of working households in the Musselburgh ward the main earner commutes to work outside East Lothian In 69% of working households in the Musselburgh ward the main earner travels to work by car, the lowest rate in East Lothian 2 data zones in the Musselburgh ward are in the 20% most access deprived in East Lothian, 1 of which is in the 20% most access deprived in Scotland
The East Lothian Residents Survey 2017 showed that 68% of respondents in the ward had a car/light van in the household, the lowest car ownership rate in East Lothian (East Lothian average 85%). Figure 63 – Do you have a car/light van in household? (East Lothian Residents Survey 2017)
Do you have a car/light van in household ?
Musselburgh East Lothian
49% 47%
32% 29% 19% 16%
3% 5%
Yes,one Yes, two Yes, three No
56 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 The East Lothian Residents Survey 2017 showed that in 27% of working households in the ward the chief earner commutes to work outside of East Lothian (compared to 30% for East Lothian as a whole). The same survey also showed that 69% of the ward’s working households used the car as their main means of transport for commuting to work, the lowest rate in East Lothian (85% for East Lothian as a whole). Figure 64 shows how households reported that the chief earner commuted to work. Figure 64 ‐ Main Method of Commuting to Work (East Lothian Residents Survey 2017)
Main method of travel to work
Musselburgh East Lothian
80% 66%
17% 7% 10% 3% 5% 1% 2% 1% 1% 4% 1% 1% 0% 0%
Car as Car as Train Bus Bicycle Walk Other Don't know driver passenger
The national ‘Hands‐Up’ survey records annually how children and young people travel to school. The 2015 results for schools in the Musselburgh area are shown in Figure 65 below. Loretto RC Primary School had the highest rate for pupils being driven to school (32.5%), compared to an overall East Lothian average of 10%
Figure 65 – Main Method of Travel to School (Hands‐Up 2015)
Main Method of Travel to School (2015)
Walk Cycle Scooter / Skate Park & Stride Driven Bus
All East Lothian Schools 52.1% 10.0%
Musselburgh Grammar School 64.8% 5.6%
Stoneyhill Primary School 59.2% 10.7%
Pinkie‐St Peter's Primary 61.6% 5.2%
Musselburgh Burgh Primary School 55.5% 21.5%
Loretto RC Primary School 26.0% 32.5%
Campie Primary School 51.0% 18.6%
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 57 Access Deprivation As would be expected in a predominantly urban area there is very little evidence of access deprivation across the Musselburgh area.
SIMD Geographic Access Domain This domain is intended to capture the issues of financial cost, time and inconvenience of having to travel to access basic services, and is based on travel time to 6 key services. It consists of two sub‐domains, one for public transport journeys and one for journeys made by private car. This accounts for the fact that not everyone will have access to a car and therefore may be dependent on public transport.
2 data zones are in the 20% most access deprived in East Lothian, 1 of which is in the 20% most access deprived in Scotland 3 data zones are in the 20% least access deprived in East Lothian, 1 of which is within the 10% least access deprived in East Lothian 2 data zones are in the 20% least access deprived in Scotland, 1 of which is within the 10% least access deprived in Scotland Figure 66 ‐ Access Deprivation (www.sns.gov.uk/Simd/)
Access Access East domain 2016 domain Lothian Data zone Data zone name rank 2012 rank Rank S01008190 Edenhall / Pinkie Terr 1274 1731 22 S01008172 Mucklets / Mayfield Cr 1461 1320 25 S01008170 Monktonhall 1516 1299 27 S01008195 Macbeth Moir Rd / Moir Cr 1779 1680 34 S01008179 Denholms 1836 1861 37 S01008193 Linkfield Rd / Woodside 1867 2424 39 S01008194 Levenhall 1894 2260 40 S01008187 Goosegreen / Fisherrow Links 1959 2322 42 S01008174 Stoneybank Terr / Whitehill Dr 2002 2649 43 S01008175 Eskview Terr / Haugh 2141 2527 47 S01008173 Whitehill / Stoneyhill Sch 2151 2257 48 S01008196 Delta Dr / Galt Av / Battlefield Dr 2224 1399 51 S01008191 Park Gr / Pinkie Farm 2334 2889 54 Newhailles Rd / Clayknowes / Newhailles S01008180 House 2490 3194 58 S01008171 Stoneybank Cr / Monktonhall Terr 2684 2176 62 S01008178 Stoneyhill 3187 3825 70 S01008192 Wanless Ct / Windsor Pk / Loretto 3394 3803 74 S01008189 Rothesay Pl / Park Ln 3589 4358 76 S01008176 Inveresk / Eskmills / Lewisvale 3675 3895 77 S01008177 Olivebank / Eskview 3737 4043 79 S01008181 Newhailles Cr / Edinburgh Rd 4005 4513 85 S01008186 Millhill / Eskside East 4612 5252 96 S01008183 West Holmes Gdns / Market St 4804 5499 97
58 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 S01008185 Fisherrow / Beach Ln / Brunton 5119 5622 103 S01008182 New St / North High St / Prommenade 5367 6172 108 S01008188 Dalrymple Lo / Mansfield 5834 5923 116 S01008184 North High St / Eskside West / Hercus Lo 6431 6273 126
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 59 Environment The quality of the natural environment is one of East Lothian`s greatest assets. Across the county communities have access to a wide range of public open/green spaces including coastal and countryside sites, woodlands, parks, amenity open spaces, green corridors, village greens, play areas, school grounds and civic spaces which offer positive benefits to the health and well‐being of local communities. Figure 68 over the page illustrates the availability of green space in this ward. At a neighbourhood level however environmental quality concerns – like dog fouling, litter, traffic congestion, graffiti, abandoned vehicles, etc – can affect people’s perceptions of their environment and influence their quality of life.
HEADLINES – Environment 97% of residents in the Musselburgh ward were satisfied with the parks, gardens and open spaces in East Lothian 101 (36%) reports of fly‐tipping occurred in the Musselburgh ward. The percentage of fly‐ tipping in the Musselburgh ward was higher with what would be expected from its share of the East Lothian population 71.8% of P6 students and 43.9%of S2 students agreed that they had the opportunity to get involved with environmental issues in their neighbourhood.
The quality of the local environment The East Lothian Residents Survey (2017) showed that: 6% of respondents in the Musselburgh ward reported that they considered parks and open spaces to be a priority for making somewhere a good place to live, which was the lowest percentage for any ward 99% of respondents in the ward felt that high a quality natural environment was a very important/important priority for the East Lothian Partnership, compared to 96% for East Lothian Figure 67 shows that, 97% of respondents in the Musselburgh ward were very satisfied/satisfied with the parks, gardens and open spaces provided in East Lothian Figure 67 – Satisfaction with parks, gardens and open spaces in East Lothian (East Lothian Survey 2017)
Satisfaction with parks, gardens and open spaces
East Lothian Average
100% 97% 94% 91% 89% 93% 84%
Haddington & Musselburgh Preston, North Tranent, Dunbar & Lammermuir Seton & Berwick Wallyford & East Linton Gosford Coastal Macmerry
60 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 Figure 68 – Green Space Map (East Lothian Council)
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 61 Air quality and pollution The East Lothian Residents Survey (2017) reported that 4% of respondents in the ward felt that traffic congestion was the most important thing in making somewhere a good place to live, compared to 10% across East Lothian. Carbon emissions:‐ In East Lothian there has been an overall decrease of 27.1% in CO2 emissions per capita. This was the second highest rate in Scotland out of the 32 local authorities. Figure 71 shows the estimated C02 emissions per capita for East Lothian and Scotland from 2005 to 2014. Industry and commercial accounted for 62.6% of CO2 emissions, followed by Transport (16.7%) and Domestic (16.5%).
Figure 69: C02 Emission estimates per capita (tonnes per capita) in East Lothian and Scotland (UK Government 2016)
CO2 emissions estimates 2005‐2014 18.0 16.0
(t) 15.6
14.0 12.0 11.4 10.0 8.4 Emissions
East Lothian 8.0 6.0 Scotland
Capita 5.7
4.0 Per 2.0 0.0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Local Environmental Concerns Litter and Waste Management
East Lothian Council monitors all customer contacts, complaints and incident reports on a geographical basis.
Figure 70 – Fly‐tipping by Ward (East Lothian Council 2017)
East Lothian Flytipping by Ward (2014‐2016)
East Lothian Flytipping by Ward (2014‐2016) Population of East Lothian 2016 28.0% 21.5% 18.8% 20.7% 20.1% 17.5% 17.3% 16.4% 13.5% 13.2% 8.0% 5.2%
Musselburgh Tranent Preston Seton Haddington & Dunbar & East North Berwick Wallyford & Gosford Lammermuir Linton Coastal Macmerry
62 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017
101 (28%) reports of fly‐tipping occurred in the Musselburgh ward. The percentage of fly‐tipping in the Musselburgh ward was higher with what would be expected from its share of the East Lothian population. Figure 71 – Percentage of Dog Fouling Incidents (East Lothian Council 2017)
Percentage of Dog Fouling Incidents (Oct 2016 to Feb 2017)
Number of Dog Fouling Incidents Population of East Lothian 2016
20.2% 20.7% 18.8% 18.3% 17.5% 17.9% 17.5% 16.4% 15.5% 13.5% 13.2% 10.7%
Tranent, Preston Seton Musselburgh Haddington & Dunbar & East North Berwick Wallyford & Gosford Lammermuir Linton Coastal Macmerry
45 (17.9%) of the 252 customer contacts regarding dog fouling were in the Musselburgh ward. The percentage of dog fouling incidents was lower with what would be expected from its share of the East Lothian population. Young People and the Environment In the Student Evaluation of Experience Survey 2016, 71.8% of P6 students and 43.9% of S2 students agreed that they had opportunities to get involved with environmental issues in their local neighbourhood, compared with 69.1% (P6) and 54.2% (S2) across East Lothian.
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 63 Perceptions of East Lothian Council & Satisfaction with Services East Lothian Council is the principle service provider within the county – with a responsibility for providing many of the services and facilities residents rely on in their daily lives. This section draws from the 2017 East Lothian Residents Survey to give an indication of how people across the ward felt about the services provided to their community.
HEADLINES – Perceptions of East Lothian Council & Satisfaction with Services The East Lothian Residents Survey showed that 80% of the Musselburgh ward agreed that East Lothian Council provided a high quality service (compared to 72% across the country) 84% of the ward thought that the Council does the best it can with the money available (compared to 79% across East Lothian) Musselburgh ward residents reported higher levels of satisfaction with the majority of Council provided services (East Lothian Residents Survey 2011)
The East Lothian Residents Survey (2017) showed that 80% of respondents in the Musselburgh ward felt that the council provided a high quality service, compared with the overall East Lothian average of 72%. Figure 72 ‐ Overall satisfaction with ELC’s Performance (East Lothian Residents Survey 2017)
My local Council provides high quality services
East Lothian Average
80% 75% 74% 74% 72% EL average 68%
60%
Musselburgh Haddington & North Berwick Preston Seton Dunbar & East Tranent, Lammermuir Coastal Gosford Linton Wallyford & Macmerry
Respondents were also asked whether they agreed with a range of statements about the Council. Musselburgh respondents tended to give more positive responses (as shown in Figure 73)
64 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 Figure 73 – % agreeing with the statements (East Lothian Residents Survey 2017)
% agreeing with the statements
Musselburgh East Lothian 84% 79% 73% 77% 68% 70% 69% 68% 61% 62% 44% 38% of the at
at who
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well
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letting
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services local My
best views it at My My affecting My My needs how letting addressing listening My The survey also asked people about their level of satisfaction with the East Lothian Council Services they used. Figure 74 –Satisfaction with Council Services (East Lothian Residents Survey 2017)
% satisfaction with council services
Musselburgh East Lothian
Council house repair service 21% 62% Roads maintenance 64% Children's play services 74% Street cleaning
Support for frail/older people to allow them in their… 76%
Libraries 85%
Local schools 89%
Waste & recycling services 92%
Local bus services 95%
Parks, gardens and open spaces 97%
Swimming pools/sport centres 97%
Residents in the Musselburgh ward expressed higher levels of satisfaction when compared to East Lothian in the majority of categories.
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 65
Table of Figures Figure 1 ‐ Ward Map (East Lothian Council) ...... 4 Figure 2‐ Age Distribution (National Records of Scotland, 2016 mid‐year estimates) ...... 5 Figure 3 – Length of residence in the UK (Scotland’s Census 2011) ...... 6 Figure 4 ‐ Ethnic identity (Scotland’s Census 2011) ...... 6 Figure 5 ‐ Proficiency in English (Scotland’s Census 2011) ...... 7 Figure 6 ‐ Household Composition (Scotland’s Census 2011) ...... 7 Figure 7 ‐ Deprivation in the Musselburgh ward map (East lothian Council) ...... 9 Figure 8 ‐ SIMD ranking for data zones in the Musselburgh area (SIMD 2016) ...... 10 Figure 9 ‐ Employment by Industry Category (Scotland’s Census 2011) ...... 12 Figure 10 ‐ Employment across Occupational Groups (Scotland’s Census 2011) ...... 13 Figure 11 ‐ Rates of Economic Activity (Scotland’s Census 2011) ...... 14 Figure 12 ‐ Employment Deprivation (SIMD2016) ...... 15 Figure 13 ‐ % of the working age population on Universal Credit (DWP2016) ...... 16 Figure 14 ‐ Median gross household income (Statistics.govt.Scot 2017) ...... 17 Figure 15 ‐ How households are managing financially (East Lothian Residents Survey 2017) ...... 17 Figure 16 – Household Savings (East Lothian Residents Survey 2017) ...... 18 Figure 17 ‐ Income deprivation (SIMD2016) ...... 19 Figure 18 ‐ Concentrations of Child Poverty (www.sns.gov.uk/Simd/) ...... 20 Figure 19 ‐ Qualifications among adults (Scotland's Census 2011) ...... 21 Figure 20 ‐ SIMD Education, Skills and Training domain (SIMD2016) ...... 22 Figure 21 –Early Development Instrument scores (Offord Centre for Childstudies) ...... 23 Figure 22 ‐ P1 baseline scores compared across Musselburgh (East Lothian Council) ...... 24 Figure 23 ‐ Attendance and Exclusion rates (East Lothian Council, Education Div.) ...... 25 Figure 24 – Student Evaluation of Experience Survey (East Lothian Council 2013) ...... 25 Figure 25 ‐ S4 Exam Results by ward of residence (East Lothian Council 2013) ...... 26 Figure 26 – School staying on Rates (www.Itscotland.org.uk/scottishschoolonline) ...... 27 Figure 27 – Attainment at S5 (East Lothian Council) ...... 27 Figure 28 – Positive Destinations (East Lothian Council) ...... 28 Figure 29 – Life Expectancy by Intermediate zone (ScotPHO‐Community Health and Well‐being ) ...... 29 Figure 30 – Self‐assessment of Health (Census 2011) ...... 30 Figure 31 ‐ Hospital Admissions (ScotPHO ‐ Community Health and Well ‐ being Profile) ...... 30 Figure 32 –SIMD Health Domain (SIMD2016) ...... 31 Figure 33 –Early Deaths per 100,000 people (ScotPHO – Community Health and Well‐being Profile 2016) . 32 Figure 34 – Breastfeeding rates (ScotPHO‐Community Health and Well‐being Profile 2016) ...... 33 Figure 35 – Young People’s Attitudes to Health (SEE Survey Results 2015‐16) ...... 33 Figure 36 – Hours of voluntary care provided (Census 2011) ...... 34 Figure 37 – Hours of Home Care by client group (East Lothian Residents Survey 2017) ...... 35 Figure 38 – Population Projections for Older People (National Records of Scotland) ...... 35 Figure 39 – Perception of their neighbourhood (East Lothian Residents Survey 2017) ...... 37 Figure 40 – What makes somehere a good place to live (East Lothian Residents Survey 2017) ...... 38 Figure 41 – Perceived change in local neighbourhoods (East Lothian Residents Survey 2017) ...... 38 Figure 42 – Neighbourhood Improvements (East Lothian Residents Survey 2017) ...... 39 Figure 43 ‐ Town Centre Vacancy Rates (East Lothian Council) ...... 40 Figure 44 – Weekly Town Centre Footfall (East Lothian Council) ...... 40 Figure 45 – Annual Librarty Visits (East Lothian Council) ...... 41 Figure 46 – Access to Leisure Card Users (East Lothian Council) ...... 41 Figure 47 – Involvement in Local Decision Making (East Lothian Residents Survey 2017) ...... 42 Figure 48 – Population by Urban/Rural Classification (National Records of Scotland) ...... 43 Figure 49 – Types of Housing (National Records of Scotland) ...... 44 Figure 50 – Dwellings by Council Tax Band (National Records of Scotland) ...... 44
66 MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017
Figure 51 –Number of Rooms per Residence (National records of Scotland) ...... 45 Figure 52 – Housing Tenure (East Lothian Council) ...... 45 Figure 53 – ESPC House Sales (East Lothian Council) ...... 47 Figure 54 – Geographic Source of Homelessness (East Lothian Council) ...... 49 Figure 55 – Perceptions of Crime (East Lothian Residents Survey) ...... 50 Figure 56 – Rates of Reported Crime (Lothian and Borders Police) ...... 51 Figure 57– SIMD Crime Domain (SIMD 2016) ...... 52 Figure 58 – Perceived threat of crime in Local Neighbourhood (East Lothian Residents Survey 2017) ...... 53 Figure 59 – Perceptions of Safety After Dark (East Lothian Residents Survey 2017) ...... 53 Figure 60 – ASB Complaints to East Lothian Council (East Lothian Council 2017) ...... 54 Figure 61 – Fire Service attendances Musselburgh East (East Lothian Council 2017) ...... 55 Figure 62 – Fire Service attendances Musselburgh West (East Lothian Council 2011) ...... 55 Figure 63 – Do you have a car/light van in the household (East Lothian Residents Survey 2011) ...... 56 Figure 64 – Main Method of Commuting to Work (East Lothian Residents Survey 2017) ...... 57 Figure 65 – Main Method of Travel to School (Hans_Up Survey) ...... 57 Figure 66 – Access Deprivation (SIMD2016) ...... 58 Figure 67 – Satisfaction with parks, gardens and open spaces in East Lothian (East Lothian Residents Survey 2017) ...... 60 Figure 68 – Green Space Map (East Lothian Council) ...... 61 Figure 69 – CO2 Emission estimates per capita (UK Government 2016) ...... 62 Figure 70 – Fly‐tipping by Ward (East Lothian Council 2017)...... 62 Figure 71 – Percentage of Dog Fouling incidents (East Lothian Residents Survey 2017) ...... 63 Figure 72‐ Overall satisfaction with ELC’s Peformance (East Lothian Residents 2017) ...... 64 Figure 73 ‐ % agreeing with the statements (Hands‐Up 2012) ...... 65 Figure 74 – Satisfaction with Council Services (East Lothian Residents Survey 2017) ...... 65
MUSSELBURGH AREA PROFILE – November 2017 67