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Quarterly Report on the Political Situation in Georgia and Related Foreign Malign Influence
REPORT QUARTERLY REPORT ON THE POLITICAL SITUATION IN GEORGIA AND RELATED FOREIGN MALIGN INFLUENCE 2021 EUROPEAN VALUES CENTER FOR SECURITY POLICY European Values Center for Security Policy is a non-governmental, non-partisan institute defending freedom and sovereignty. We protect liberal democracy, the rule of law, and the transatlantic alliance of the Czech Republic. We help defend Europe especially from the malign influences of Russia, China, and Islamic extremists. We envision a free, safe, and prosperous Czechia within a vibrant Central Europe that is an integral part of the transatlantic community and is based on a firm alliance with the USA. Authors: David Stulík - Head of Eastern European Program, European Values Center for Security Policy Miranda Betchvaia - Intern of Eastern European Program, European Values Center for Security Policy Notice: The following report (ISSUE 3) aims to provide a brief overview of the political crisis in Georgia and its development during the period of January-March 2021. The crisis has been evolving since the parliamentary elections held on 31 October 2020. The report briefly summarizes the background context, touches upon the current political deadlock, and includes the key developments since the previous quarterly report. Responses from the third sector and Georgia’s Western partners will also be discussed. Besides, the report considers anti-Western messages and disinformation, which have contributed to Georgia’s political crisis. This report has been produced under the two-years project implemented by the Prague-based European Values Center for Security Policy in Georgia. The project is supported by the Transition Promotion Program of The Czech Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the Emerging Donors Challenge Program of the USAID. -
Georgian Media Environment from 2012 Parliamentary Elections Till Present Since 2012, the Georgian Media Has Experienced Signifi
Georgian Media Environment from 2012 Parliamentary Elections till Present Since 2012, the Georgian media has experienced significant changes to become much more pluralistic, as confirmed by respective international ratings. In summer 2015, Georgia fully switched to digital broadcasting, which definitely should be regarded as a positive development for the Georgian media environment. Furthermore, several new TV stations were launched and some old ones resumed broadcasting. New TV “Pirveli” emerged in the Georgian television space, TV Company “Iberia” resumed its broadcasting as well. Over the last four years, position of Georgia in the media independence ratings has significantly improved. From 2012 onwards, Georgia has moved a few points ahead in the ranking of the international organization – “Reporters without Borders”. The given progress can be explained on the one hand by certain improvements in the Georgian media landscape and successful transition to digital broadcasting and on the other, by aggravated situation with regard to human rights and democracy in a number of countries worldwide. Substantial changes occurred not only with respect to media outlets, their owners and leading journalists, but in the advertising market as well. For the first time over the recent years, advertising revenues started to experience substantial shrinkage in 2015. Compared to the previous year, 2016 advertising income dropped by 33%, as declared by TV stations. Nevertheless, it is noteworthy that present advertising market is not as much monopolized as it used to be before 2012. There is no gross interference with the advertising market on the part of the State as well. Developments unfolded in the television space deserve particular attention. -
Weekly News Digest on Georgia June 29-July 6, 2021
Compiled by: Aleksandre Weekly News Digest on Georgia Davitashvili June 29-July 6, 2021 Compiled on: July 7, 2021 Content Internal Affairs Internal Affairs Political Developments Political Developments 1. Parliament Amends Election Code 1. Parliament Amends Georgian Parliament adopted late on June 28, with 86 votes to three, Election Code amendments to the Election Code, a reform envisaged in the April-19 EU- 2. Central Election Commission Chair brokered deal signed by the ruling Georgian Dream and most of the opposition Resigns parties. 3. Orthodox Church Speaks The amendments introduce new rules to the election system, pre-election Out Against Pride Week campaigning and staffing the Election Administrations. As per the changes, the 4. Diplomatic Missions Central Election Commission Chair will be nominated by the President and Urge Gov’t to Protect approved by 2/3 of votes in the legislature. The number of CEC members Pride Activists increases from 12 to 17, of which eight will be “professional” and nine will be 5. President Defends Tbilisi Pride party-selected. The CEC Chair will have two deputies, one “professional” and one 6. 20 detained while trying selected from the opposition-selected members. to disrupt Tbilisi Pride The changed legislation also increases proportional representation in local events elections and imposes a 40% threshold in the majoritarian part. For example in 7. Former MP Accused of Tbilisi City Council (Sakrebulo), out of 50 members 40 will be elected through Sexual Violence Released proportional lists, while 10 will be majoritarian – as opposed to the previous on Bail allocation of 25 – 25 (Civil.ge, June 29, 2021). -
Monitoring the Implementation of the Code of Conduct by Political Parties in Georgia
REPORT MONITORING THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE CODE OF CONDUCT BY POLITICAL PARTIES IN GEORGIA PREPARED BY GEORGIAN INSTITUTE OF POLITICS - GIP MAY 2021 ABOUT The Georgian Institute of Politics (GIP) is a Tbilisi-based non-profit, non-partisan, research and analysis organization. GIP works to strengthen the organizational backbone of democratic institutions and promote good governance and development through policy research and advocacy in Georgia. It also encourages public participation in civil society- building and developing democratic processes. The organization aims to become a major center for scholarship and policy innovation for the country of Georgia and the wider Black sea region. To that end, GIP is working to distinguish itself through relevant, incisive research; extensive public outreach; and a bold spirit of innovation in policy discourse and political conversation. This Document has been produced with the financial assistance of the Swiss Federal Department of Foreign Affairs. The contents of this document are the sole responsibility of the GIP and can under no circumstance be regarded as reflecting the position of the Swiss Federal Department of Foreign Affairs. © Georgian Institute of Politics, 2021 13 Aleksandr Pushkin St, 0107 Tbilisi, Georgia Tel: +995 599 99 02 12 Email: [email protected] For more information, please visit www.gip.ge Photo by mostafa meraji on Unsplash TABLE OF CONTENTS 4 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 5 KEY FINDINGS 7 INTRODUCTION 8 METHODOLOGY 11 POLITICAL CONTEXT OF 2020 PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS AND PRE-ELECTION ENVIRONMENT -
Policy P Aper Series
saqarTvelos strategiisa da saerTaSoriso urTierTobebis kvlevis fondi sajaro politikis dokumentebi POLICY SERIES PAPER Mentors: Ekaterine Metreveli Vladimer Papava Aleksandre Kvakhadze Editor: Rusudan Margishvili Technical Editor: Artem Melik-Nubarov All rights reserved and belong to Georgian Foundation for Strategic and International Studies. No part of this publication may be reproduced in any form, including electronic and mechanical, without the prior written permission of the publisher Copyright © 2020 Georgian Foundation for Strategic and International Studies ABOUT THE PROJECT The Policy Paper Series include policy documents developed within the framework of the project - National Minorities in Political Processes – Engagement for Better Future. The papers were elaborated by the young representatives of political parties, for whom it was the first attempt to work on an analytical document. The papers address the challenges and solutions for the ethnic minorities engagement in the political, economic or social life of Georgia. The project was implemented by the Rondel Foundation with the support and active participation of the OSCE High Commissioner on National Minorities (OSCE HCNM). The project aims to increase the political and social inclusion of ethnic minorities and to facilitate healthy policy debate on the issues of national minorities among the political parties, thus overall contributes to the good governance practices. Within the framework of the multi-component project, members of Tbilisi-based political party youth organizations, young people living in Samtskhe-Javakheti and Kvemo Kartli and active representatives of the local community attended various thematic seminars. The project also included thematic meetings of representatives of political parties and government agencies with the representatives of national minorities, the preparation of TV programs, and internships for young people representing ethnic minorities in political parties. -
The Relevance of the Actual Values of the Political Actors of Georgia with the Ideologies Declared by Them
The Relevance of the Actual Values of the Political Actors of Georgia with the Ideologies Declared by Them Dr. Maia Urushadze1, Dr. Tamar Kiknadze2 1Caucasus International University 2Head of the Doctoral Program in Political Science, Caucasus International University Abstract The permanent ideological impact of the propaganda narratives of powerful political entities on the international community is perceived as one of the most important challenges of the 21st century. The international agenda is full of controversial interpretations, produced by powerful international political actors. As a result, the international media agenda is getting like the battlespace for the struggle of interpretations, where the ruthless kind of "frame-games" between the strongest global agenda-setting political entities takes place. The information field is open for all countries, including the small states, where political parties are not strong enough to have their propaganda to resist the ideological pressure from outside. Due to this, the societies of these countries are still easily influenced by the narratives of global political actors creating a suitable psychological environment for internal conflicts in societies. We consider Georgia among these states. Therefore, our research aimed to study the relevance of the actual values of local (Georgian) political actors with the ideologies declared by them. In this regard, our primary objective was to understand the specifics of strategic communication of local political actors, then, to compare their narratives with the rhetoric of international actors, and finally, to determine the strength of local society's resistance to these narratives. We hope that in this way we can assess the long-term impact of global actors’ propaganda communication could have on a small country. -
Main Findings of Monitoring # 20, 7-20 July
MAIN FINDINGS OF MONITORING # 20, 7-20 JULY The following tendencies have been statements made by Patriots’ Alli- revealed over the period from 7 to 20 ance again (Davit Tarkhan- July: Mouravi); The use of hate speech towards the Xenophobia observed in statements United National Movement (Giorgi concerning social issues, including Shengelaia, a film director), also in the abolition of moratorium on the the context of developments in sale of land to foreign citizens by Ukraine with regard to the current the decision of the Constitutional Ukrainian government and so- Court. Such rhetoric alongside poli- called Mason-Zionist regime (a ticians was also applied by repre- viewer, Obiektivi); sentatives of wider public; Islamophobic and Turkophobic Continued on p.11 Joint Statement of Non-governmental Organizations Concerning Sexist Fragment of TV Program on GDS TV July 14, 2014 We would like to react to a fragment from the TV pro- INSIDE THIS ISSUE gram “Bina -18,” aired by GDS TV Studio on July 9, which contained humiliating visualization of a female Hate Speech 2 body. We believe that aforementioned footage repre- 2 sents openly sexist interpretation of roles of women and Islamophobia/Turkophobia men in society and further reinforces negative stereotypes among the society. Xenophobia 3 Therefore, this fragment requires adequate assessment. Sale of land to foreign citizens 3-4 No doubt that the freedom of expression implies the right to express any idea and opinion; however legal guarantees of the freedom of speech and expression do not Discrimination on religious ground 4-5 relieve media from responsibilities and duties inherent to this profession. -
Technical Election Assessment Mission: Georgia 2020 Parliamentary Election Interim Report
TECHNICAL ELECTION ASSESSMENT MISSION: GEORGIA 2020 PARLIAMENTARY ELECTION INTERIM REPORT TECHNICAL ELECTION ASSESSMENT MISSION: GEORGIA 2020 PARLIAMENTARY ELECTION INTERIM REPORT International Republican Institute IRI.org @IRI_Polls © 2020 All Rights Reserved Technical Election Assessment Mission: Georgia 2020 Parliamentary Election Interim Report Copyright © 2020 International Republican Institute. All rights reserved. Permission Statement: No part of this work may be reproduced in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, or by any information storage and retrieval system without the written permission of the International Republican Institute. Requests for permission should include the following information: • The title of the document for which permission to copy material is desired. • A description of the material for which permission to copy is desired. • The purpose for which the copied material will be used and the manner in which it will be used. • Your name, title, company or organization name, telephone number, fax number, e-mail address and mailing address. Please send all requests for permission to: Attn: Department of External Affairs International Republican Institute 1225 Eye Street NW, Suite 800 Washington, DC 20005 [email protected] IRI | Technical Electoral Assessment Mission: Georgia 2020 Parliamentary Election Interim Report 3 INTRODUCTION In June and July of 2020, the government of Georgia adopted significant constitutional and election reforms, including a modification of Georgia’s mixed electoral system and a reduction in the national proportional threshold from 5 percent to 1 percent of vote share — presenting an opportunity for citizens to pursue viable third-party options and the possibility of a new coalition government after decades of single-party domination. -
Latest Polling Shows Consistent Lead for Georgian Dream Ahead of October 31 Parliamentary Elections
Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 09/22/2020 11:44:54 AM Rebecca Neville From: Georgian Dream <[email protected]> Sent: Tuesday, September 22, 2020 11:29 AM To: Rebecca Neville Subject: Latest Polling Shows Consistent Lead for Georgian Dream Ahead of October 31 Parliamentary Elections View this email in your browser CO A “0 & a *0 G 6 0 Latest Polling Shows Consistent Lead for Georgian Dream Ahead of October 31 Parliamentary Elections Detailed polling in Georgia is now underway, ahead of 31 October Parliamentary elections, and two most recent polls show a clear and consistent trend pointing towards a re-election victory for Georgian Dream. The two recent polls released can be found here and here, conducted by the respected UK-based polling organisation Survation, which correctly predicted the UK General Election in December 2019. The Survation poll from 10th September shows the following level of party i Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 09/22/2020 11:44:54 AM Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 09/22/2020 11:44:54 AM support: • Georgian Dream: 55.7% . UNM: 16.2% • Strategy Aghmashenebeli: 6% • European Georgia: 5.6% • Labor party: 4.5% • Alliance of Patriots: 3.9% A poll from Survation with fieldwork from 15-24th July showed a similar level of party support: • Georgian Dream: 52% . UNM: 19% • European Georgia: 8% • Alliance of Patriots: 5% . Lelo: 5% . NG: 4% • Others: 7% In June 2020, a GORBI poll showed: • Georgian Dream: 63% . UNM: 14% • Alliance of Patriots: 7% . Lelo: 3% . Others: 14% 2 Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 09/22/2020 11:44:54 AM Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 09/22/2020 11:44:54 AM This fits with a consistent trend in polling throughout 2020. -
Georgia Capital: Tbilisi Population: 3.72 Million GNI/Capita, PPP: $9,530
Georgia Capital: Tbilisi Population: 3.72 million GNI/capita, PPP: $9,530 Source: World Bank World Development Indicators. Nations in Transit Ratings and Averaged Scores 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 National Democratic 6.00 6.00 5.75 5.75 5.50 5.50 5.50 5.50 5.50 5.50 Governance Electoral Process 5.25 5.25 5.00 5.00 4.75 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 Civil Society 3.75 3.75 3.75 3.75 3.75 3.75 3.75 3.75 3.75 3.75 Independent Media 4.25 4.25 4.25 4.25 4.25 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.25 Local Democratic 5.50 5.50 5.50 5.50 5.50 5.50 5.25 5.25 5.25 5.25 Governance Judicial Framework 4.75 4.75 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 4.75 4.75 5.00 and Independence Corruption 5.00 5.00 4.75 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 Democracy Score 4.93 4.93 4.86 4.82 4.75 4.68 4.64 4.61 4.61 4.68 NOTE: The ratings reflect the consensus of Freedom House, its academic advisers, and the author(s) of this report. If consensus cannot be reached, Freedom House is responsible for the final ratings. The ratings are based on a scale of 1 to 7, with 1 representing the highest level of democratic progress and 7 the lowest. -
Residents of Georgia August 4-21, 2020 Detailed Methodology
Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Georgia August 4-21, 2020 Detailed Methodology • The fieldwork was carried out by the Institute of Polling & Marketing. The survey was coordinated by Dr. Rasa Alisauskiene of the public and market research company Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization on behalf of the Center for Insights in Survey Research. • Data was collected across Georgia between August 4 and August 21, 2020 through face-to-face interviews in respondents’ homes. • The sample consisted of 1,500 permanent residents of Georgia aged 18 and older and eligible to vote. It is representative of the general population by age, gender, region and size of the settlement. • A multistage probability sampling method was used with the random route and next birthday respondent’s selection procedures. • Stage one: All districts of Georgia are grouped into 10 regions. All regions of Georgia were surveyed (Tbilisi city – as separate region). • Stage two: selection of the settlements – cities and villages. • Settlements were selected at random. The number of selected settlements in each region was proportional to the share of population living in a particular type of the settlement in each region. • Stage three: primary sampling units were described. • The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 2.5 percent and the response rate was 75 percent. • Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding. • The survey was funded by the U.S. Agency for International Development. 2 Frequently Cited Disaggregates Disaggregate Disaggregation Category Base Male n=691 Gender Female n=809 Age 18-29 n=299 Age Groups Age 30-49 n=567 Age 50 and older n=635 Secondary/Incomplete secondary n=714 Education level Vocational n=223 Higher/Incomplete higher n=557 Rural n=634 Settlement type Urban (excluding Tbilisi) n=414 Tbilisi n=452 *Cited bases are weighted. -
Weekly News Digest on Georgia March 16-22, 2021
Compiled by: Aleksandre Weekly News Digest on Georgia Davitashvili March 16-22, 2021 Compiled on: March 23, 2021 Content Internal Affairs Internal Affairs Politics Politics 1. Parliament Endorses Education, Culture Ministry Split 1. Parliament Endorses The Parliament of Georgia with 79 votes in favor on March 16 unanimously Education, Culture Ministry Split approved splitting the Ministry of Education, Science, Culture, and Sport into two 2. Key Watchdogs on GD, separate bodies. Citizens’ Draft Electoral The Ministry of Education and Science, on one hand, and the Ministry of Culture Amendments and Sport, on the other, will operate as independent Ministries. 3. “Georgia Must Deliver on The split has been anticipated since December 2020, with media reports claiming Justice, Electoral that the Georgian Dream MP and former Justice Minister Tea Tsulukiani was Reforms,” HR Borell Tells PM Garibashvili expected to head the new Culture and Sport Ministry (Civil.ge, March 16, 2021). 4. EU top official Borrell: 2. Key Watchdogs on GD, Citizens’ Draft Electoral Amendments political actors in On March 16, ISFED and TI Georgia, key local election watchdogs said in their Georgia should put joint assessment of the draft election amendments, initiated earlier in March interest of people first, after the ruling Georgian Dream party and the Citizens’ agreement, that find compromises proposed changes left some persisting issues unaddressed. 5. CSOs Propose Judicial Reform Concept International Society for Fair Elections and Democracy (ISFED) and Transparency 6. “NATO Expects Georgia International (TI) Georgia said that as per the bill, the boycotting opposition to Uphold Democratic parties will remain unable to nominate members to the election administrations, Standards,” Stoltenberg as the amendments envisage that only parties who have at least one active MP Tells Georgian PM and receive state funding are allowed be represented at the election 7.