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Published by Homemade Entertainment and Platinum Publications T H E A C A D E M Y AW A R D S® PREVIEW BEST PICTURE BEST ACTOR BEST ACTRESS BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS BEST DIRECTOR BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY BEST FOREIGN FILM BEST ORIGINAL SCORE BEST ORIGINAL SONG BEST ANIMATED FILM T H E A C A D E M Y AWA R D S® PREVIEW A WELCOME MESSAGE From the Co-Publisher & Founder 14 THE NUMBERS 2006 Box Office Results 16 ® THE RACE FOR OSCAR 2005’s Best Picture: Crash AAP’s Guide To Handicapping 2006’s “Bests” 24 BEST PICTURE 24 BEST ACTOR 26 BEST ACTRESS 28 BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR 30 BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS 32 BEST DIRECTOR 34 BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY 36 t BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY 38 a d r a a BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY 40 B i o r g e BEST FOREIGN FILM 42 S 7 0 0 BEST ORIGINAL SONG 44 2 © BEST ANIMATED FILM 46 Film Eligibility, The Voting Process & 46 Academy Membership Composition A Pre-Award Rundown 48 Best Guess Predictions from Our Publisher, 48 Our Editor, “Deep Vote” & What Fits the Trends The 2007 Academy Awards® Ballot 49 AAP’S SPECIAL REPORTS: INSIDE HOLLYWOOD TODAY2 THE RED, THE BLUE AND THE UGLY / by AS 50 HOLLYWOOD ARCHETYPES / by MPS 54 RED CARPET RULES / by SR 58 DRIVE, DRIVE CROSSWORD / by FP 62 A MONTH BEFORE: THE LIFE OF A NOMINEE / by PSM 64 THE SOUL OF HOLLYWOOD / by IL 66 OSCAR NIGHT ® DINNERS / by MPS 69 BEHIND THE SCENES / by PSM 72 © A.M. P. A.S. ® Co-Publishers: Marcie Polier Swartz, Suzanne Lynn Wolk / Editor: Penelope Shane McTaggart / Art Director: Marcie Rozalsky Cover Illustration: Sergio Baradat (www.baradat.com) / Contributing Writers: Molly Busch (Oscar Race Pages), Irene Lacher, Dan Marks, Sam Rubin, Alex Simon / Photography: © A.M.P.A.S. / Advertising: Rod Hunsaker, Janet Tinkle Printing: Graphic Visions, LA, CA Las Vegas odds courtesy of John Avello, Wynn Las Vegas The Academy Awards Preview is published annually by Platinum Publications, LLC and Homemade Entertainment, Inc. © 2007 Platinum Publications LLC. and Homemade Entertainment, Inc. All Rights Reserved. For subscriptions, additional copies or to contact us visit aapreview.com or call (310) 312-3663. All statistics and data have been compiled from readily available sources including Nielsen EDI Flash, IMDbpro.com and various other websites. We have made every effort to report or compile information accurately. We are not responsible for any errors or omissions. Portions of this magazine may be printed provided proper credit is given to The Academy Awards Preview. This publication is neither endorsed by nor affiliated with the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences. BEST PICTURE BEST ACTOR BEST ACTRESS BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS BEST DIRECTOR BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY BEST FOREIGN FILM BEST ORIGINAL SCORE BEST ORIGINAL SONG BEST ANIMATED FILM THE WELCOME Do I dare welcome you to this year’s Academy Awards ® Preview ? But once there, we fell in love all over again with the experience of movie Is there anything to celebrate about the movies of 2006? As we . magic in a big dark elegant room shared d e r v s e struggled along with Hollywood this past year, we have endeav- with strangers. It is the best place to let r e t s h our hearts jump on a roller coaster and g i r ored to give you insights and an analysis that will help readers l feel the thrill for two wonderful hours. A . E Wordplay, Little Miss Sunshine, The Queen, T understand how the looming changes in technology and A I C Babel, and The Last King of Scotland, The D N Y distribution are affecting Hollywood’s present and future. Prestige, The Illusionist, Dreamgirls and S S S E Stranger than Fiction were among our R P L ost media has reported that DirecTV Tivo, and forgone the movies favorites, and Borat: Cultural Learnings... A S R Hollywood is ‘saved’ and unless a rave review or someone’s knocked our socks off. We had not E I V M N overall the business is up persistent urging lures you out into a been among the faithful watchers of Da U f o n over last year. However, this year was in theatre’s darkness? Do you find yourself Ali G Show, so everything was new and o i s i s fact disappointing. Why? Because when ever more contented with the inventive fresh. What an amazing take on the m e r you adjust for ticket price inflation, the long form TV shows? Our kids first dis- world these films represent. p h i t total revenue for ’05 and ’06 was sepa- covered them and now have gotten us This year, on February 15, Women w d t e n rated by only $62 million dollars! addicted. Consumers are constantly and Wine threw us a launch party at i r e p Furthermore, last year the Academy faced with increased options for home LA’s Fashion Institute. As our little R . e r i r reached back to May ’05 to nominate entertainment. According to recent data magazine grows, watch our progress at u q n Crash, while this year distributors had released by Nielsen Media Research, for www.aapreviews.com. And yes, we are E i t a n to reach ahead to push up the release of the first time in history more Americans daring enough to welcome you back. n i c i n Letters from Iwo Jima in hopes of a criti- own DVD players than VCRs confirming Happy Handicapping, C 6 0 cal success and an Academy-worthy the trend to invest in technology and 0 2 candidate for best picture. stay home for filmed entertainment. A © N A Clearly this year will be labeled ‘tran- movie had to be pretty special to com- M G R sitional’ in the history books. Have you pel us to fight traffic, pay the price and Marcie Polier Swartz O B M fallen victim to the simplicity of your venture out into the dark. Founder/Co-Publisher J I © 14 BEST PICTURE BEST ACTOR BEST ACTRESS BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS BEST DIRECTOR BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY BEST FOREIGN FILM BEST ORIGINAL SCORE BEST ORIGINAL SONG BEST ANIMATED FILM THE NUMBERS WILL HOLLYWOOD BENEFIT FROM THE RISING TIDE? by Dan Marks BEST PICTURE BOX OFFICE STAKES Crash* 2005 53.4 / 53.4 / 1.2 / 54.6 * DVD sales increased 32% when noms were Opened May 5 Annual Rank: 49 announced and a whopping 237% after the win Million Dollar Baby 2004 8.5 / 55.6 / 36.2 / 100.4 Opened Dec. 15 Annual Rank: 23 338.3 / 25.8 / 12.9 / 377.0 2003 Lord of the Rings: Return of the King Opened Dec. 17 Annual Rank: 1 Best Picture Chicago 2002 63.8 / 70.2 / 36.7 / 170.7 Opened Dec. 27 Annual Rank: 10 Winners 10-year Averages* Beautiful Mind 2001 113.3 / 41.4 / 16.0 / 170.7 Average Total B.O. Opened Dec. 21 Annual Rank: 11 $152,244,000 Gladiator 2000 186.6 / 0.3 / 0.8 / 187.7 Average Opened May 5 Annual Rank: 4 Before Noms $101,922,000 (67%) American Beauty 1999 74.8 / 33.7 / 21.6 / 130.1 Opened Sept. 15 Annual Rank: 13 Average From Noms To Awards Shakespeare in Love 1998 36.4 / 36.8 / 27.1 / 100.3 $31,644,000 (21%) Opened Dec. 11 Annual Rank: 18 337.4 /157.1 /106.3 / 600.8 1997 Titanic Opened Dec. 19 Annual Rank: 1 Average 1996 English Patient 42.2 / 21.0 / 15.5 / 78.7 After Win Opened Nov. 15 Annual Rank: 19 $18,670,000 (12%) B.O. Before Noms B.O. From Noms to Awards B.O. After Best Picture Win Total grosses are in boldtype. Domestic B.O. in millions of dollars. *Due to its unprecedented box office performance, Titanic is excluded from these calculations in order to provide a more accurate profile of the typical best picture. ©A.M.P.A.S.® Box office figures never seem to be a factor with Academy Look at these movies and performances. nominees, and that’s the way it should be. After all, this is not a They are wonderful films and you’re going to love them.” But it’s like one beauty contest where the best looking or most popular films are hand clapping if audiences do not share the same opinion. When the public the only ones in the contest. But the film industry benefits when through its attendance at the movies has the public has an affinity for the Oscar contenders. connected to the nominees, it creates the excitement that lifts Hollywood up. The emember the abysmal box the increase, keep in mind that the Oscar telecast then has higher ratings office of last year’s nomi- comparison year, 2005, represented a (last year was the lowest rating year ever, R nees? Only two of them had sharp downturn in box office achieve- corresponding to the lowest box office squeaked over $50 million ment, and besting a feeble target is not for the nominees), there is more antici- at the time of the nominations. This a tremendous achievement. When pation for new movies from the nomi- year’s nominees are 31% ahead of their adjusting for ticket price inflation, using nated stars and directors and next year’s 2005 peers ($243 million vs.