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Protokoll Zum Vorbereitungsseminar Für Die Beantragung Des DFG-Projektes Vom 4. Bis 7. November 2007 in Jerusalem

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Protokoll Zum Vorbereitungsseminar Für Die Beantragung Des DFG-Projektes Vom 4. Bis 7. November 2007 in Jerusalem ECONOMIC INTEGRATION OF THE AGRICULTURAL SECTOR IN ISRAEL AND PALESTINE Protokoll zum Vorbereitungsseminar für die Beantragung des DFG-Projektes vom 4. bis 7. November 2007 in Jerusalem Rico Ihle 21. November 2007 Inhaltsverzeichnis 4. November 20071 5. November 20073 6. November 20075 7. November 2007 12 Zusammenfassung Im Protokoll werden folgende Abkürzungen für die Namen der Beteiligten verwendet: AA Adar Assaf (Agrexco) HA Hillel Adiri (IPCRI/Parc) HG Harald Grethe IF Israel Finkelshtain LG Linde Götz MK Mahmoud El-Jafari RI Rico Ihle SC Stephan von Cramon-Taubadel UK Uli Kleinwechter YK Yael Kachel 4. November 2007 Zusammenfassung Exkursion mit Mahmoud El-Jafari nach Jericho Organisator: Dr. Mahmoud K. El-Jafari Professor of Economics & Director Al-Quds University of Jerusalem Faculty of Graduate Studies, Institute of Business & Economics PO Box 1012 Betlehem, West Bank, Palestine Tel Fax(office) +972-2-279-9497, Tel Fax(home) +972-2-274-4218 E-mail: [email protected] Homepage: http://www.alquds.edu/ Gesprächspartner: Azzam Tubaileh (PhD) Deputy Minister Palestinian National Authority, Ministry of Agriculture PO Box 197 Ramallah, West Bank, Palestine Tel Fax(office) +972-2-240-3320, Tel Fax(home) +972-2-240-3312 E-mail: [email protected] Ibrahim Qtishat Director Palestinian National Authority, Ministry of Agriculture Jericho Agriculture Department Jericho City, West Bank, Palestine Tel +972-2-232-2425/4460, Tel +972-2-232-1280, Mobile +972-59-956-9014 E-mail: [email protected] Ibrahim Id’iq Director of Jericho Palm Association Jericho City, West Bank, Palestine Muhammad Hamidaan Manager of Dates Packing Factory Parc Jericho City, West Bank, Palestine 2 5. November 2007 Zusammenfassung Exkursion mit Israel Finkelshtain, Yael Kachel und israelischen Partnern Organisator: Liron Tamir Head Economist Israel Dairy Board (Production & Marketing) Aderet House 46 Derech Hamaccabim PO Box 15578 Rishon-Le’Zion 75054, Israel Tel +972-3-956-4753/50, Fax +972-3-956-4766, Mobile +972-50-569-7063 E-mail: [email protected] Homepage: http://www.israeldairy.com/ Excursion Israeli Milk Market - 5/11/2007 (by Liron Tamir) • Sion - Israeli Company for Artificial Insemination & Breeding Ltd (Kibbutz Cha- fetz Chaim): Dr. Yoel Zaron - professional manager Main insemination facility in Israel (more than 90% of inseminations), company is owned by the growers • Presentation on the Israeli milk sector - Ralf Ginsburg, responsible for milk quality, and Liron Tamir, economist, both from the Milk Marketing Board • Food Center Kvutzat Yavne (Kibbutz) - Zwika Sarid, Manager The food center supplies food to about 6000 milk cows (I remember 9000???) in 60 farms (10 Kibbutzim and 50 family farms). The center sells about 300 ton mixed fodder per day, some of it as far away as cowsheds in the Arava area south of the Dead sea. For family farms the service includes also food distribution in the cowshed. • Cowshed Kvutzat Yavne - Assaf, responsible for the cowshed First-rate cowshed. Milk quota 4.2 million liter, actual production is higher - pro- duction over quota is supplied to the kibbutz for own consumption (Kvutzat Yav- ne is a religious kibbutz, which still adheres to the collective ideology). 350-400 milk cows + 80% heifers. Fattening of own calves. Food is supplied from the food center. We observed the showering of the cows for cooling and the milking. • Farm Chanan Cohen, Moshav Bnaia: Family cowshed, Quota 520,000 liter (about 50 milking cows). The farmer Cha- nan works with one Thai worker, food is supplied by the food center Kvutzat Yav- ne. Fattening of own cows. In addition to cowshed some field crops are grown. • Farm Yaakov Kabala, Moshav Bnaia: Family cowshed and small dairy, Quota about 500,000 liter. The farmer Chanan works with one Thai worker, food is supplied by the food center Kvutzat Yavne. Fattening of own cows. In addition to cowshed some field crops are grown. The dairy produces about 300 t of cheese per year from own milk, milk from other cowsheds and milk powder (3 kinds of soft, salty cheeses - Bulgarit, Zfatit and cheese for backing and cooking). The cheese is sold to shops, bakeries and the institutional sector (catering). • Farm Shmuel Aharon, Moshav Bnaia: Family cowshed (father and son). Quota ca. 2 million liter (= the farmer has a joint venture with another farmer from Bnaia and produces also the milk for an additional farmer from another Moshav), about 200 milking cows. The farmer produces his own food. Fattening o f calves. 4 6. November 2007 Zusammenfassung Arbeitstreffen im Notre Dame Hotel. 9:15 Eröffnung und Begrüßung durch Stephan, Material Göttingen verteilt SC Vortrag "German Research Council Trilateral Projects" Tasks of the workshop: • Commitment to proposed cooperation • Ex ante assessment of contribs • Critical assessment of pre-proposal • Comprehensive to-do-list: – Who is going to contribute what? – And by when? • Deadline: April 2008, extension (hopefully) not necessary • Starting date: fall 2008, Sep1 / Dec 1 2008 • Finish proposal by early march 2008 (or Jan 2009 in case of delays etc.) IF How modelling consistent with publication focus? ! to be discussed MJ Why no post-doc for Palestine? How lond post-doc position? SC Send presentations around and create project homepage with presentations etc. IF Replacing PhD students by Master studs? - possible as long as budget neutral SC Data - Costs? Availability? Collection necessary? ! determines time line IF Funds for data collection possible? Of for hiring company services for this task? yes, but DFG favours incorporation of MSc/ BSc students into projects MJ Topics: • Labour not the whole subject • Palestinians leaving for Israel & coming back from Israel ! technology transfer • Trade more important • Data available to a broad extent, but reliability problematic SC • Broaden focus to movement of agric. products & inputs, away from labour mi- gration • Data necessary, part. prices in high frequency MJ Vortrag: Structure of Pal agriculture (Vortrag noch nicht eingesandt) 10:00 • Main indicators of agr sector – Increasing importance (share in prod sector %/ little in GDP) – # employees in agr 45.000 - 85.000 – Cultivated area constant: only 10% of territories – Allocations to crops change – Detailed stats 1993/94 - 2004/05 for wide range of products – Vegs & field crops: increasing val of prod – Data on district level 6 • Westbank (WB): 10% irrigated, mainly dayland agr: olives, figs etc. • Consumer prices generally lower than Is prices • Time series 1995 - 2005: monthly for beef, lamb, chicken (strong fluctuatioins), eggs, milk, fish, cucumbers cheaper than fish • Pal agr exports: & due to mobility restrictions (1996-2004), shift from perishable to non-persihable prods • Total exports: roughly constant, but also highly variable • Pal imports: stable, slightly %, some transshipment not recorded, not entirely registered, size: around 10-fold of exports HG Estimates for error of non-recorded trade? MJ Up to 50%, problems regarding recording • Export data by origin & destination • Re-exporting to Israel occurs, but to very small extent (East Jerusalem e.g.) • Pal prices lower than Is ones ! consumer movements to Pal markets • Contraints facing the agr sector in Pal (own article) SC Could this paper be cited in the proposal? • For export to Is: cars from Is have to be rented • (Policy) objectives from the Pal perspective: increase local prod & decrease imports for improvement of trade balance • Trilateral agr trade agreements (Is,Pal, Jordan): some contradictions SC Possible to include fourth country into proposal, e.g. Jordan MJ Majool, oranges exported via Jordan ! Jordan will be involved in any way • Some specialisation on prod in WB: – Vegetables & fruits (v&f) in North & Jordan valley – Lifestock in South • Prod not enough • Some seasons shortages: produce from Is imported • Monthly price data available, but strong daily changes ! not reflected in month- ly averages ! higher frequency data required, e.g. during holidays prices % (because of insufficient infrastructure) SC Daily/ weekly data available? Feasable to collect? MJ Wholesale/ auction prices, very small margins (differences of 0.5-1 NIS) SC Same frequency data on Is side necessary YK Daily, weekly & monthly prices for v&f on wholesale level available MJ • Farmers in Jenin & Nablus: from farm direct delivery to retailers • 6-7 wholesale markets in WB in major cities (Jenin, Nablus, Ramallah, Betle- hem, Hebron etc.) 7 • For producers in WB very small margin (Jenin/ Tulkarem and Jericho production centers, consumption centers Ramallah, Hebron) • For imports from Is larger margins • Why shift of consumption towards meat during the last 10 years? SC Coping strategies: consumer behaviour acc. to supply fluctuations might be very interes- ting to study MJ Ramadan & Sept/ Oct/ Dec: consumption % appr. 200.000 foreign Pal workers from Gulf states in summer back home: consump- tion % 10:45 Break YK Vortrag: "Agriculture in Israel" 10:55 11:20 Coffee break SC New topic/ changes of focal points Consider barriers inside WB? MJ High frequency for observing price variation necessary Political contraints first IF How to measure barriers? MJ Trancactions costs (TC) ! shift of production as a result IF Try to quantify waiting costs for trucks etc. Study by Kislev: incorporation of sectors other than dairy for modelling, compare "Economic Aspects of Trade Relations - Efrat Hadas 2001" HG Initial idea: General Equilibrium Model (CGE) for agr as a whole - update exiting SAMs? Partial Equ. Model (PE) for dairy sector Followed by lively discussion concerning component 2A) of preproposal Is a zero-tariff trade policy really the optimal solution for Pal? IF ! Talk to more people about this option Trade regime driven by revenue considerations SC in some cases YK Compontent 1B) of preproposal: branding • Real coop between Is & Pal exporters working under 1 common brand • Collective brands • Involvement of government in branding on Is side (Jaffa, Carmel) • Consumer precetion of diff branding, e.g. Is-Pal coop, fair tradem common brands HG "Peace dates from the moon valley" • Talk to experts for background, e.g.
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