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ECE 333 – Renewable Energy Systems OUTLINE

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ECE 333 – Renewable Energy Systems OUTLINE ECE 333 – Renewable Energy Systems Lecture 16: PV Status and Issues George Gross Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign ECE 333 © 2002 – 2018 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 1 OUTLINE PV solar system status PV technology benefits Key drivers of the PV system growth PV system installation costs Major challenges facing the PV solar resources ECE 333 © 2002 – 2018 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 2 Page 1 2017 WORLD STATUS OF THE PV SYSTEMS More than 99 GW of new capacity additions increased the worldwide cumulative PV capacity to over 400 GW The Asia-Pacific region with more than 221 GW is now the world’s leading region in terms of total installed capacity – about 55 % of the global PV capacity ECE 333 © 2002 – 2018 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 3 2017 WORLD STATUS OF PV SYSTEMS European PV investment picked up in 2017 after a downward trend for the last few years – primarily due to Turkey’s additions to PV capacity 9.2 GW of PV capacity were connected to the grid in Europe with Turkey leading with 2.6 GW Solar PV is covering more than 8 % of electricity demand in Italy, Germany and Greece ECE 333 © 2002 – 2018 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 4 Page 2 2017 WORLD STATUS OF PV SYSTEMS China, US and India were the top three nations in terms of PV capacity additions in 2017 China installed 52.8 GW of PV , a growth of 53 % from 34.5 GW in 2016 The US solar power growth was 10.6 GW in 2017 , down from a record of 15.1 GW in 2016 In India, 9.6 GW of PV capacity was installed, a growth of 127 % from 4.3 GW in 2016 ECE 333 © 2002 – 2018 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 5 2017 WORLD CUMULATIVE PV CAPACITY Source: Global Market Outlook for Solar Power 2018-2022. Page: 13 ECE 333 © 2002 – 2018 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 6 Page 3 GLOBAL CUMULATIVE PV CAPACITY: 2000 – 2017 Source: Global Market Outlook for Solar Power 2018-2022. Page: 10 ECE 333 © 2002 – 2018 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 7 2009 – 2017 GLOBAL CUMULATIVE PV CAPACITY 450,000 405,400 400,000 12 350,000 /t/5b32a79288251b 306,500 Page: . 300,000 2018-2022 250,000 237,000 rket+outlook+2018.pdf MW 200,000 178,391 150,000 138,856 100,504 100,000 70,469 40,336 50,000 23,185 0 d500c9328c/1530046374882/Global+ma 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 https://static1.squarespace.com/static/597512eb579fb3d3de0207aa Source: Global Market Outlook for Solar PowerSolar for OutlookMarket Source: Global ECE 333 © 2002 – 2018 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 8 Page 4 2009 – 2017: GLOBAL PV ELECTRICITY GENERATION 500 rgy.pdf 450 previous year generation gy- 400 114.40 350 increase from 300 75.17 250 previous year TWh 62.26 200 48.18 328.20 150 40.67 253.03 100 190.77 38.08 142.59 50 30.50 101.92 12.83 63.84 8.28 economics/statistical-review/bp-stats-review-2018-renewable-ene 20.50 33.33 0 12.22 Source: https://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/en/corporate/pdf/ener 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 ECE 333 © 2002 – 2018 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 9 2008 – 2017 PV CAPACITY ANNUAL ADDITIONS IN EUROPE 120,000 previous year capacity 9,200 100,000 7,000 12 8,000 /t/5b32a79288251bd . Page: . added capacity 6,915 80,000 10,445 2018-2022 p 60,000 17,650 MW 103,008 96,008 88,008 40,000 22,340 81,093 882/Global+market+outlook+2018.pdf 70,648 52,998 13,588 20,000 6,528 30,658 5,754 17,070 10,542 500c9328c/1530046374 0 4,787 https://static1.squarespace.com/static/597512eb579fb3d3de0207aa 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 PowerSolar for OutlookMarket Source: Global ECE 333 © 2002 – 2018 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 10 Page 5 2007 – 2017 EUROPEAN ELECTRICITY GENERATION FROM WIND AND PV 600 PV 500 statistical-review- 124.10 400 wind 109.30 113.30 98.40 300 86.40 TWh 71.50 46.70 200 383.40 23.30 317.80 322.20 14.20 7.50 247.50 263.70 3.80 214.60 100 186.60 135.30 153.40 105.70 121.30 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 http://www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/energy-economics/ Source: of-world-energy/downloads.html ECE 333 © 2002 – 2018 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 11 2009 – 2017: PV ELECTRICITY GENERATION BY LEADING NATIONS 120 US China Japan 100 statistical-review-of- 80 Italy 60 Germany TWh 40 20 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 world-energy/downloads.html Source: http://www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/energy-economics/ Source: ECE 333 © 2002 – 2018 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 12 Page 6 2002 – 2017 US ANNUAL PV CAPACITY ADDITIONS 16,000 15,200 14,000 /t/5b32a79288251b 12,000 . 10,600 10,000 2018-2022 8,000 7,286 rket+outlook+2018.pdf MW 6,247 6,000 4,782 4,000 3,373 1,926 2,000 852 23 45 58 79 105 160 298 385 0 d500c9328c/1530046374882/Global+ma https://static1.squarespace.com/static/597512eb579fb3d3de0207aa Source: Global Market Outlook for Solar PowerSolar for OutlookMarket Source: Global ECE 333 © 2002 – 2018 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 13 2008 – 2017 US CUMMULATIVE AND INSTALLED PV CAPACITY 60,000 previous year capacity 50,000 10,600 /t/5b32a79288251bd added capacity . 40,000 2018-2022 p 15,100 30,000 MW 7,286 20,000 40,734 882/Global+market+outlook+2018.pdf 6,247 25,634 10,000 4,782 18,348 298 285 852 3,373 12,101 783 7,319 485 500c9328c/1530046374 1,926 3,946 0 1,168 2,020 https://static1.squarespace.com/static/597512eb579fb3d3de0207aa 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 PowerSolar for OutlookMarket Source: Global ECE 333 © 2002 – 2018 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 14 Page 7 JANUARY – APRIL 2015 U.S. AVERAGE MONTHLY PV POWER OUTPUT RATIO monthly energy output() kWh PV system capacity() kW p or-january-april-2015/ Source: http://solartoday.org/2015/07/pv-generation-potential-f Source: ECE 333 © 2002 – 2018 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 15 THE 2017 STATUS OF US PV SYSTEMS US is a small, but growing, player in the global solar capacity and energy arena The 2017 US cumulative PV capacity increased to roughly 51.5 GW, with 10.6 GW of new PV capacity added in 2017 The 10.6 GW PV capacity installed in 2017 was over 14 times the 2009 amount of installed PV capacity ECE 333 © 2002 – 2018 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 18 Page 8 US SOLAR ENERGY IS BOOMING PV solar installation costs fell 70 % since 2010 The community solar grew 112 % from 387 MW in 2016 to 734 MW in 2017 Conformance with state RPS requirements is no longer as key a driver, as many of the new projects are corporate procurements of off–site solar ECE 333 © 2002 – 2018 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 19 2017 US STATUS OF PV SYSTEMS BY STATES Nearly two–thirds of the US PV capacity installa– tions were in CA and NC CA, AZ and NC account for nearly 60 % of the cumulative PV capacity in the U.S. The solar industry in NC is growing rapidly thanks in part to the state’s Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Portfolio Standard (REPS) ECE 333 © 2002 – 2018 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 20 Page 9 US TOP 10 STATES WITH LARGEST PV CAPACITY ADDITIONS IN 2017 5,000 4,500 4,300 solar- 4,000 3,500 p 3,000 2,600 2,500 MW 2,000 1,500 1,000 749 715 566 437 500 414 410 386 381 https://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/renewable/solar/u-s- 0 installations-2017/ NC CA FL TX MA MN AZ SC NV VA Source: ECE 333 © 2002 – 2018 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 21 TOP 10 US STATES WITH THE LARGEST 2017 PV CAPACITY 25,000 22,777 20,000 p 15,000 MW 10,000 4,491 5,000 3,613 2,658 2,624 2,526 2,226 1,942 1,627 1,556 0 https://www.seia.org/solar-industry-research-data CA NC AZ NV TX NJ MA FL UT GA Source: ECE 333 © 2002 – 2018 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 22 Page 10 2017 US UTILITY – SCALE SOLAR PROJECTS /research-resources/major- solar-projects-list Source: https://www.seia.org Source: ECE 333 © 2002 – 2018 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 23 THE 2017 FIVE LARGEST US PV INSTALLATIONS capacity electricity plant location year built owner _sta ( MW ) purchaser Rosamond, BHE Solar Star 579 2015 SCE CA Renewables Copper PG&E & SC Boulder City, Sempra Mountain Solar 552 2015 Public Power NV Generation Facility Authority Berkshire Topaz Solar San Luis ki/List_of_photovoltaic_power 550 2014 Hathaway PG&E Farm Obispo, CA Energy Desert Sunlight Riverside NextEra, PG&E & 550 2013 Solar Farm County, CA Sumitomo SCE SCE Mount Signal 8minutenergy Calexico, CA 452 2014 & SD Gas & Solar Renewables tions Electric Source:https://en.wikipedia.org/wi ECE 333 © 2002 – 2018 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved.
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