The World in 2020

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

THE WORLD IN 2020 SUSTAINABLE Greenland 10 20 Iceland United States Norway 30 Finland EE Russia STABLE 40 Canada DK LV United Kingdom LI NL 50 Ireland BE Poland Belarus CZ Ukraine LX SK 60 CH AT HU MD Kazakhstan France Mongolia SI BA RS WARNING HV BG 70 GE ME MK KG North AZ United States of America Portugal Spain GR AM AL Turkey TJ 80 Japan TN Malta Syria CY China LB Iraq South 90 IL Iran JO KW Pakistan ALERT 100 Algeria BH BT Libya Western Myanmar Egypt Saudi QA Mexico Bahamas Sahara 110 AE Taiwan Cuba Arabia India Haiti BD Dominican Republic Mauritania LA 120 Puerto Rico Belize Mali Jamaica Antigua & Barbuda Niger Honduras Cape Verde Sudan ER Yemen Guatemala Chad The Gambia El Salvador Nicaragua Barbados KH Grenada Guinea-Bissau BF DJ Vietnam Philippines Trinidad & Tobago Guinea Costa Rica Nigeria Guyana Sierra Leone Ethiopia Panama Venezuela Suriname South Sri Lanka Ghana C.A.R. French Guiana Liberia Brunei Benin Micronesia Colombia Togo Malaysia GQ Maldives Sao Tome & Principe UG CG Kenya SG Ecuador Gabon RW Democratic Papua New Guinea Republic of the BI Seychelles COUNTRY ABBREVIATIONS Congo Tanzania Solomon Islands Indonesia Brazil AE U.A.E. DJ Djibouti LV Latvia Peru Timor-Leste Comoros Samoa Angola MW AL Albania DK Denmark LX Luxembourg Zambia Vanuatu AM Armenia EE Estonia MD Moldova Bolivia Fiji Zimbabwe AT Austria ER Eritrea ME Montenegro Namibia Mauritius Tonga French AZ Azerbaijan GE Georgia MK North Macedonia Botswana Australia BA Bosnia & Herz. GQ Eq. Guinea MW Malawi Eswatini BD Bangladesh GR Greece NL Netherlands South Lesotho Chile BE Belgium HU Hungary QA Qatar BF Burkina Faso HV Croatia RS Serbia Argentina Uruguay BG Bulgaria IL Israel RW Rwanda New Zealand BH Bahrain JO Jordan SG Singapore BI Burundi KG Kyrgyz Republic SI Slovenia BT Bhutan KH Cambodia SK Slovakia CG Congo (Rep.) KW Kuwait TJ Tajikistan CH Switzerland LA Laos TN Tunisia CY Cyprus LB Lebanon UG Uganda CZ Czechia LI Lithuania .

Copy Link

Recommended publications

Fragile States Index 2015
FRAGILE STATES INDEX 2015 THE FUND FOR PEACE The Fund for Peace is an independent, nonpartisan, 501(c)(3) non-profit research and educational organization that works to prevent violent conflict and promote sustainable security. We promote sustainable security through research, training and education, engagement of civil society, building bridges across diverse sectors, and developing innovative technologies and tools for policy makers. A leader in the conflict assessment and early warning field, The Fund for Peace focuses on the problems of weak and failing states. Our objective is to create practical tools and approaches for conflict mitigation that are useful to decision-makers. Copyright © 2015 The Fund for Peace. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without prior written consent from The Fund for Peace. Report Edited by Assessment Directed by J. J. Messner Nate Haken Report Written by J. J. Messner, Nate Haken, Patricia Taft, Hannah Blyth, Kendall Lawrence, Sebastian Pavlou Graham, Felipe Umaña Assessment Supported by Alex Young, Ania Skinner, Katie Cornelius Circulation: PUBLIC The Fund for Peace T: +1 202 223 7940 1101 14th Street NW, Suite 1020 F: +1 202 223 7947 Washington, D.C. 20005 www.fundforpeace.org The Fund for Peace is grateful for the support of: Foreign Policy magazine is the media partner of the Fragile States Index www.foreignpolicy.com www.fundforpeace.org Fragile States Index 2015: Overview The Fragile States Index is an annual The Index in Figures ranking of 178 nations based on their levels of Index of Country Analysis 2015 Map 4 stability and the pressures they face.
[Show full text]
Fragile Contexts in 2018
CHAPTER ELEVEN Leaving No Fragile State and No One Behind in a Prosperous World: A New Approach Landry Signé undreds of millions of people are left behind in fragile states despite the efforts of the international community to make progress on development Hand alleviate conflict. People in fragile states are victim to persistent poverty,1 enduring violence, poor public facilities, deteriorating infrastructure,2 limited civil and political liberties,3 deteriorating social conditions,4 minimal to nonexistent economic growth,5 and, often, humanitarian crises.6 Research and policies on state fragility build on concepts of limited state capacity, legitimacy, insecurity, stability and socioeconomic, demographic, human development, environmental, humanitarian, and gender contexts to determine states’ apparent effectiveness or ineffectiveness in fulfilling the role of the state. Within this -con text, fragility has become a catch- all concept encompassing fragile states, weak states, failed states, collapsing or decaying states, conflict- affected countries, post- conflict countries, brittle states, and states with limited legitimacy, author- ity, capacity, governance, security, and socioeconomic and human development. 1. Collier (2007). 2. Rotberg (2011). 3. Bah (2012). 4. Van de Walle (2004). 5. Brainard and Chollet (2007). 6. Nwozor (2018). The author would like to express his sincere appreciation to Payce Madden, Genevieve Jesse, and Elise El Nouchi, who contributed to the research, data analysis, fact- checking, and visual elements of this chapter. 239 Kharas-McArthur-Ohno_Leave No One Behind_i-xii_1-340.indd 239 9/6/19 1:57 PM 240 Landry Signé When used without conceptual clarification and contextual consideration, as is often the case, the concept of fragility lacks usefulness for policymakers, as the various types, drivers, scopes, levels, and contexts of fragility require differ- ent responses.
[Show full text]
The Fragility-Grievances-Conflict Triangle in the Middle East
social sciences $€ £ ¥ Article The Fragility-Grievances-Conflict Triangle in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA): An Exploration of the Correlative Associations † Timo Kivimäki Department of Politics, Languages and International Studies, University of Bath, Bath BA2 7AY, UK; [email protected] † For fruitful comments on previous version of this article, I am grateful to Talip Alkhayer, Rana Jawad and Olivia Perry as well as to the three anonymous referees of Social Sciences. I am also grateful for the UK Global Challenges Research Fund project “Conflict and peace-building in the MENA region: is social protection the missing link?” (Grant number AH/T003537/1) for funding this research. My funders or the commentators of this paper are naturally not responsible for the interpretations and possible mistakes in this study. Abstract: The intention of this special issue of Social Sciences is to study state fragility and its relationship with conflict and grievances in the post-Cold War Middle East and North Africa (MENA). This article will lay the foundation for such a study by offering a conceptual foundation, data and the identification of the correlative associations that are specific to the MENA region. This article suggests that the relationship between political legitimacy, factionalism of the state, and conflict needs special, MENA-specific emphasis, as this relationship seems more prominently different in the MENA region, compared to the rest of the world. While in the rest of the world, different aspects of state fragility all relate to grievances and conflict dynamics, in the MENA region political factionalism has a disproportionate role in the explanation of conflict grievances and violence.
[Show full text]
The Fund for Peace Fragile States Index 2015: Country Indicator Scores
FRAGILE STATES INDEX 2015 THE FUND FOR PEACE The Fund for Peace is an independent, nonpartisan, 501(c)(3) non-profit research and educational organization that works to prevent violent conflict and promote sustainable security. We promote sustainable security through research, training and education, engagement of civil society, building bridges across diverse sectors, and developing innovative technologies and tools for policy makers. A leader in the conflict assessment and early warning field, The Fund for Peace focuses on the problems of weak and failing states. Our objective is to create practical tools and approaches for conflict mitigation that are useful to decision-makers. Copyright © 2015 The Fund for Peace. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without prior written consent from The Fund for Peace. Report Edited by Assessment Directed by J. J. Messner Nate Haken Report Written by J. J. Messner, Nate Haken, Patricia Taft, Hannah Blyth, Kendall Lawrence, Sebastian Pavlou Graham, Felipe Umaña Assessment Supported by Alex Young, Ania Skinner, Katie Cornelius Circulation: PUBLIC The Fund for Peace T: +1 202 223 7940 1101 14th Street NW, Suite 1020 F: +1 202 223 7947 Washington, D.C. 20005 www.fundforpeace.org The Fund for Peace is grateful for the support of: Foreign Policy magazine is the media partner of the Fragile States Index www.foreignpolicy.com www.fundforpeace.org Fragile States Index 2015: Overview The Fragile States Index is an annual The Index in Figures ranking of 178 nations based on their levels of Index of Country Analysis 2015 Map 4 stability and the pressures they face.
[Show full text]
Normandy Index
Mapping threats to peace and democracy worldwide Normandy Index 2020 STUDY EPRS | European Parliamentary Research Service Members' Research Service PE 652.039 – September 2020 EN Mapping threats to peace and democracy worldwide Normandy Index 2020 The 'Normandy Index', now in its second year, aims to measure the level of threats to peace, security and democracy around the world. It was presented for the first time on the occasion of the Normandy Peace Forum in June 2019, as a result of a partnership between the European Parliament and the Region of Normandy. The Index has been designed and prepared by the European Parliamentary Research Service (EPRS), in conjunction with and on the basis of data provided by the Institute for Economics and Peace. This paper sets out the findings of the 2020 exercise and explains how the Index can be used to compare peace – defined on the basis of a given country's performance against a range of predetermined threats – across countries and regions. It is complemented by 40 individual country case studies, derived from the Index. EPRS | European Parliamentary Research Service AUTHORS Editors: Étienne Bassot and Monika Nogaj Author: Elena Lazarou, Members' Research Service Graphics by Nadejda Kresnichka-Nikolchova This paper has been drawn up by the Members' Research Service, within the Directorate-General for Parliamentary Research Services (EPRS) of the Secretariat of the European Parliament. The underlying data have been supplied by the Institute for Economics and Peace. The author would like to acknowledge the contribution of Philippe Perchoc to the conception and elaboration of the Normandy Index and to parts of this study.
[Show full text]
To Download the Fragile States Index Annual Report 2019 in PDF Format
FRAGILE STATES INDEX ANNUAL REPORT 2019 For over 60 years, The Fund for Peace (FFP) has been a world leader in developing practical tools and approaches for reducing conflict. With a clear focus on the nexus of human security and economic development, FFP contributes to more peaceful and prosperous societies by engineering smarter methodologies and smarter partnerships. FFP empowers policy-makers, practitioners, and populations with context-specific, data -driven applications to diagnose risks and vulnerabilities and to develop solutions through collective dialogue. FFP is an independent tax-exempt non-governmental organization headquartered in Washington, D.C. with offices in Abuja, Nigeria and Tunis, Tunisia. FFP boasts six decades of programmatic experience in over 40 countries, focused on conflict early warning, peacebuilding, and sustainable development. Copyright © 2019 The Fund for Peace. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without prior written consent from The Fund for Peace. Cover images: Freeshot via 123RF Contents Page Image: Bumbledee via 123RF Report designed and edited by J.J. Messner. Assessment directed by Charles Fiertz. The Fragile States Index Team: J.J. Messner Charles Fiertz Nate Haken Patricia Taft Hannah Blyth Marcel Maglo Daniet Moges Christina Murphy Wendy Wilson Amanda Quinn Kevin Obike Kat Meyer Rhea Bhambani Chris Merriman Ignatius Onyekwere The Fund for Peace 1101 14th Street NW, Suite 1020 Washington, D.C. 20005 T: +1 202 223 7940
[Show full text]
The Lingering Problem of Fragile States
Charles T. Call The Lingering Problem of Fragile States During his campaign, Donald Trump pledged a “very swift and decisive end” to nation-building if elected.1 His statement—identical to the pledge made by then-candidate George W. Bush—marks a reversal of a strong emphasis on failed and fragile states initiated by none other than President George W. Bush. In the wake of 9/11, President Bush declared that “America is now threatened less by conquering states than we are by failing ones.”2 He subsequently made “failed states” a cornerstone of U.S. foreign policy. He reoriented military and civi- lian capabilities toward these states, a practice continued by the Obama adminis- tration even as Obama sought to draw those two wars to a close. A policy paradigm of “failed states” emerged as U.S. allies, the European Union (EU), and the United Nations (UN) built new institutions to address these priority countries under the rubric of “state-building,”“reconstruction and stabilization,”“conflict mitigation” and “peacebuilding.” As Trump’s campaign rhetoric indicates, the failed states paradigm has receded. Traditional security challenges posed by Russia and China as well as nuclear threats from North Korea and Iran are higher priorities, and the U.S. military is pulling back from its decade-old emphasis on large-scale stabilization operations. Last year, the Defense Department expressed skepticism about a “fragile states strategy” proposed by the White House,3 and the Congress has no enthusiasm for ambitious new state-building operations. Michael Mazarr, political scientist at the RAND Corporation, argued: “the decline of the state-building narrative reflects a more profound underlying truth: the obsession with weak states was always more of a mania than a sound strategic doctrine.”4 Indeed, the failed- Charles T.
[Show full text]
Fragility in the Data
APRIL 2018 Fragility in the data Hannes Mueller Hannes Mueller is a tenured scientist at the Institute for Economic Analysis (IAE- CSIC) and a Barcelona Graduate School of Economics Affiliated Professor. About the commission The LSE-Oxford Commission on State Fragility, Growth and Development was launched in March 2017 to guide policy to address state fragility. The commission, established under the auspices of the International Growth Centre, is sponsored by LSE and University of Oxford’s Blavatnik School of Government. It is funded from the LSE KEI Fund and the British Academy’s Sustainable Development Programme through the Global Challenges Research Fund. Cover photo: Flickr/Will De Freitas Fragility in the data Contents Background and definitions .................................................................................................... 2 Past fragility explains present welfare ..................................................................................... 3 Implications ...........................................................................................................................11 Indicators of fragility and failure .............................................................................................13 Fragility index data and welfare .............................................................................................15 Predictive capacity of fragility index data on future failure ......................................................17 Developing a model of risk of future failure ............................................................................18
[Show full text]
Global Peace Index 2020: Measuring Peace in a Complex World, Sydney, June 2020
GLOBAL PEACE INDEX PEACE GLOBAL GLOBAL PEACE 2020 INDEX 2020 MEASURING PEACE IN A COMPLEX WORLD Institute for Economics & Peace Quantifying Peace and its Benefits The Institute for Economics & Peace (IEP) is an independent, non-partisan, non-profit think tank dedicated to shifting the world’s focus to peace as a positive, achievable, and tangible measure of human well-being and progress. IEP achieves its goals by developing new conceptual frameworks to define peacefulness; providing metrics for measuring peace; and uncovering the relationships between business, peace and prosperity as well as promoting a better understanding of the cultural, economic and political factors that create peace. IEP is headquartered in Sydney, with offices in New York, The Hague, Mexico City, Brussels and Harare. It works with a wide range of partners internationally and collaborates with intergovernmental organisations on measuring and communicating the economic value of peace. For more information visit www.economicsandpeace.org Please cite this report as: Institute for Economics & Peace. Global Peace Index 2020: Measuring Peace in a Complex World, Sydney, June 2020. Available from: http://visionofhumanity.org/reports (accessed Date Month Year). Contents EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 2 Key Findings 4 RESULTS 5 Highlights 6 2020 Global Peace Index Rankings 8 Regional Overview 13 Improvements & Deteriorations 20 TRENDS IN PEACEFULNESS 25 GPI Trends 26 GPI Domain Trends 28 Civil Unrest 32 ECONOMIC IMPACT OF VIOLENCE 41 The Economic Value of Peace 2019 42 Methodology at a Glance 50 POSITIVE PEACE 53 What is Positive Peace? 54 Positive Peace and the COVID-19 Pandemic 57 Trends in Positive Peace 67 ECOLOGICAL THREAT REGISTER 71 Introduction 72 The Types of Ecological Threat 74 APPENDICES 83 Appendix A: GPI Methodology 84 Appendix B: GPI indicator sources, definitions & scoring criteria 88 Appendix C: GPI Domain Scores 96 Appendix D: Economic Cost of Violence 99 GLOBAL PEACE INDEX 2020 | 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This is the 14th edition of the Global Peace Index (GPI), North America.
[Show full text]
Fragilestatesindex-2016.Pdf
SOMALIA SOUTH SUDAN CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC SUDAN YEMEN SYRIA CHAD DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF CONGO AFGHANISTAN HAITI IRAQ GUINEA NIGERIA PAKISTAN BURUNDI ZIMBABWE GUINEA BISSAU ERITREA NIGER KENYA COTE D'IVOIRE CAMEROON UGANDA ETHIOPIA LIBYA MYANMAR LIBERIA MAURITANIA MALI NORTH KOREA REPUBLIC OF CONGO RWANDA NEPAL SIERRA LEONE TIMOR-LESTE BANGLADESH ANGOLA EGYPT DJIBOUTI LEBANON BURKINA FASO MOZAMBIQUE SRI LANKA MALAWI SWAZILAND CAMBODIA IRAN GAMBIA ZAMBIA PAPUA NEW GUINEA TOGO SOLOMON ISLANDS EQUATORIAL GUINEA PHILIPPINES LAOS MADAGASCAR COMOROS TAJIKISTAN SENEGAL UZBEKISTAN GUATEMALA TANZANIA VENEZUELA KYRGYZ REPUBLIC RUSSIA LESOTHO COLOMBIA HONDURAS ISRAEL AND WEST BANK INDIA NICARAGUA BENIN GEORGIA THAILAND BOLIVIA ALGERIA JORDAN BHUTAN TURKEY MICRONESIA AZERBAIJAN FIJI TURKMENISTAN ECUADOR UKRAINE CHINA INDONESIA BOSNIA & HERZEGOVINA TUNISIA MOROCCO MALDIVES BELARUS MOLDOVA SAO TOME & PRINCIPE PARAGUAY EL SALVADOR SAUDI ARABIA GABON PERU SERBIA CAPE VERDE GHANA NAMIBIA GUYANA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC VIETNAM MEXICO SOUTH AFRICA ARMENIA SAMOA MACEDONIA SURINAME KAZAKHSTAN CUBA MALAYSIA BELIZE BRAZIL JAMAICA CYPRUS BOTSWANA BAHRAIN GRENADA BRUNEI DARUSSALAM ALBANIA SEYCHELLES KUWAIT TRINIDAD & TOBAGO MONGOLIA ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA GREECE MONTENEGRO BULGARIA PANAMA ROMANIA HUNGARY CROATIA OMAN BAHAMAS BARBADOS ARGENTINA LATVIA COSTA RICA QATAR SLOVAKIA UNITED ARAB EMIRATES ESTONIA MAURITIUS ITALY LITHUANIA CHILE CZECHIA POLAND SPAIN MALTA URUGUAY SOUTH KOREA JAPAN FRANCE UNITED STATES SLOVENIA SINGAPORE UNITED KINGDOM PORTUGAL BELGIUM GERMANY
[Show full text]
Aid Effectiveness in Fragile States How Bad Is It and How Can It Improve?
NUMBER 5 | DECEMBER 2016 BROOKE SHEARER SERIES Aid effectiveness in fragile states How bad is it and how can it improve? LAURENCE CHANDY, BRINA SEIDEL, AND CHRISTINE ZHANG BROOKE SHEARER SERIES This series is dedicated to the memory of Brooke Shearer (1950-2009), a loyal friend of the Brookings Institution and a respected journalist, government official and non-governmental leader. This series focuses on global poverty and development issues related to Brooke Shearer’s work, including women’s empowerment, reconstruction in Afghanistan, HIV/AIDS education and health in developing countries. Global Economy and Development at Brookings is honored to carry this working paper series in her name. Laurence Chandy is a fellow in the Global Economy and Development program at the Brookings Institution. Brina Seidel is a research assistant in the Global Economy and Development program at the Brookings Institution. Christine Zhang is a former research analyst in the Global Economy and Development program at the Brookings Institution. She is currently a 2016 Knight-Mozilla Open News Fellow based at the Los Angeles Times Data Desk. Acknowledgements: The authors are grateful to Julie Biau and Natasha Ledlie for leading earlier, exploratory research on this topic, and to John McArthur and Homi Kharas for comments on an earlier draft. Author’s Note: The Brookings Institution is a nonprofit organization devoted to independent re- search and policy solutions. Its mission is to conduct high-quality, independent research and, based on that research, to provide innovative, practical recommendations for policymakers and the public. The conclusions and recommendations of any Brookings publication are solely those of its author(s), and do not reflect the views of the Institution, its management, or its other scholars.
[Show full text]
To Download the Fragile States Index Annual Report 2018 in PDF Format
T The Fund for Peace is an independent, nonpartisan, 501(c)(3) non-profit research and educational organization that works to prevent violent conflict and promote sustainable security. We promote sustainable security through research, training and education, engagement of civil society, building bridges across diverse sectors, and developing innovative technologies and tools for policy makers. A leader in the conflict assessment and early warning field, The Fund for Peace focuses on the problems of weak and failing states. Our objective is to create practical tools and approaches for conflict mitigation that are useful to decision-makers. Copyright © 2018 The Fund for Peace. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without prior written consent from The Fund for Peace. Report Edited by Assessment Directed by J. J. Messner Nate Haken and Charles Fiertz THE FRAGILE STATES INDEX TEAM J. J. Messner, Nate Haken, Patricia Taft, Hannah Blyth, Marcel Maglo, Charles Fiertz, Christina Murphy, Amanda Quinn, Trace Carlson, Oliver Chandler, McKenzie Horwitz, Lauren Jesch, Becca Mathias, Wendy Wilson The Fund for Peace T: +1 202 223 7940 1101 14th Street NW, Suite 1020 F: +1 202 223 7947 Washington, D.C. 20005 www.fundforpeace.org The Fragile States Index (FSI) is an annual ranking of 178 countries FRAGILE STATES INDEX 2018 based on the different pressures they face that impact their levels of 2018 Map … … … … … … 4 fragility. The Index is based on The Fund for Peace’s proprietary 2018 Total Scores and Rankings … … … … 6 Conflict Assessment System Tool (CAST) analytical approach.
[Show full text]