Florida Division of Emergency Management State Watch Office Morning Situation Report Wednesday, January 22, 2020 State Emergency Operations Center Activation Level

Level 3 Monitoring SERT On-Call Personnel

Position Personnel Phone Email Operations Chief Ashley Davis (850) 544-8373 [email protected] Watch Officer Axel Runtschke (850) 841-9619 [email protected] Duty Officer Justin Lazzara (850) 519-6961 [email protected] Operations Officer- Day Matthew Peloso (850) 815-4001 [email protected] Operations Officer- Swing Amanda Holcomb (850) 815-4001 [email protected] Operations Officer- Night Jim Lawhon (850) 815-4001 [email protected] Meteorologist Michael Spagnolo (850) 508-0245 [email protected] Plans Chief Ryan Lock (850) 841-9484 [email protected] Logistics Chief Alonna Vinson (850) 901-8456 [email protected] Human Services Director Pam Hughes (850) 528-5638 [email protected] Emergency Services Director Rob Dietrich (850) 727-3414 [email protected] Infrastructure Branch Director Danny Kilcollins (850) 519-8581 [email protected] ESF 8 On-Call Chris Dorans (866) 786-4673 [email protected] Public Information Officer Jason Mahon (850) 294-2169 [email protected] DEM Finance and Admin Kaitlyn Hunt (850) 694-0312 [email protected] Regional Coordination Team

Team County Location Status / Activities RC Manager: Jim Roberts Okaloosa County EM Visit Region 1: Jim Roberts Region 2: Brian Bradshaw Franklin County EM Visit Region 3: Gina Lambert Annual Leave Off and See Coverage Region 4: Paul Siddall Hillsborough Reunification Planning Meeting Region 5: Claudia Baker Martin LMS Meeting Region 6: Jodie Fiske Lee Vehicle Maintenance / IEMC Planning Region 7: Willie Bouie Miami-Dade Healthcare Coalition Meeting

R5 covering all of Region 3 RC Status Normal Operations Delayed Response Out of Service / Unavailable Summary

Threat R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 Lightning Flooding Damaging Wind Hail Freeze Fire M M M M M M M Rip Currents M M H H H H H Space Weather Very Low Lake Okeechobee Status: Elevation is at 12.85 ft Keetch-Byram Drought Index: 275 (+/-0) on a scale from 0 (very moist) to 800 (very dry)

Today’s Weather Map

Rainfall Totals Chance of Rain Next 24 Hours Today Meteorology Summary Statewide Overview, Next 24 Hours: After a frigid night, temperatures are quickly on the way up this morning. All Freeze Warnings and Wind Chill Advisories have expired. In the Panhandle, high clouds are on the increase as the next storm system approaches. Winds will eventually turn to Maximum the south and gradually bring in warmer and more humid air. Wind Gusts High temperatures will be in the middle 50s. Overnight, Next 24 Hours isolated showers will develop in the western Panhandle. Cloudy skies will keep temperatures well above freezing with lows in the 40s. In the Peninsula, skies will be sunny with the exception of along the Atlantic coast. Along the coast, low clouds and bands of showers will move through today and into tonight. Rainfall will generally be light, but cumulative rainfall totals Forecast Low are possible up to a 0.5”. Wind gusts could reach 45 mph and Temperatures Wind Advisories are in effect for the Space and Treasure Tonight Coast. With winds shifting to the northeast and coming off the water, temperatures will be mild this afternoon and tonight- in the 60s. Across inland areas and the West Coast, skies will be sunny with no chance of rainfall. High temperatures will be around 60 degrees but winds will remain breezy (10-20 mph). Coastal Hazards & Hydrology

Rip Currents: Strong winds and high seas will result in a high risk of rip currents for all Atlantic beaches and West Coast beaches from Pinellas to Lee County. A moderate risk is expected at Panhandle beaches from Walton to Franklin County and Collier County. Wave heights will be 2-3’ in the Gulf but High Surf Advisories are in effect for Atlantic beaches with breaking wave heights of 5-10’. For the latest Rip Current Outlook, visit www.weather.gov/beach. Rip Current Marine Hazards: Red Tide has been observed at low levels offshore of Lee County. No respiratory irritation is expected at Florida beaches. Outlook Warnings are in effect for Atlantic waters through this evening.

Coastal Flooding: Minor and beach erosion is possible at high tide in Northeast Florida through Thursday night. Coastal Statements are in effect from Nassau to Flagler.

Lake Okeechobee average elevation is 12.85 feet, which is 1.85 feet Current & Forecast below normal for this time of year. The lake level will slowly fall over the River Conditions next few days due to a lack of significant rainfall.

Hydrology: A River is in effect for the Apalachicola River near Blountstown. The Apalachicola River is cresting today in minor flood stage and may finally fall below flood stage later this week. Impacts are confined to boat ramps and lowlands. A few other rivers in the Panhandle are elevated, but have crested below flood stage. For more information on specific rivers, please visit the Southeast River Forecast Center here. Drought & Fire Weather

Fire Weather: While soil and fuel moisture is high in the Panhandle from recent rainfall, the rest of the state has started to dry out once again (especially in South Florida). Low relative humidity (near critical levels of 25-35% in North Florida) and breezy winds (10- 20 mph, gusts up to 40 mph in the Peninsula) will result in a moderate threat statewide today. There are currently 12 active across the state burning a total of 207.4 acres. A County Burn Ban is in effect for Duval, Orange, Hillsborough, Pinellas, and Sarasota (prohibited year-round). The Keetch-Byram Drought Index average for Florida is 275 (+/-0) on a scale from 0 (very moist) to 800 (very dry). There are 4 Florida counties with an average KBDI at or above 500 (DeSoto, Hendry, Miami-Dade, and Monroe). Forestry district averages are over 460 for the Myakka, Caloosahatchee, and Everglades.

Drought Monitor

Active Wildfires per FFS Space Weather

Current Sunspots Solar Flare Active Watches Past 24 Risk & Warnings hours M-class: Geomagnetic A9 Solar 1% Storm: No Flare

X-class: Radiation Storm: No Radio 1% No Blackouts

48 Hour Geomagnetic Forecast 1/22 1/23 Max Kp= 3 (G0) Max Kp= 2 (G0) Chance of Chance of minor activity = 10% minor activity = 5% severe activity = 1% severe activity = 1% Space Weather: The sun is spotless, and there is no risk for a significant solar flare. Solar winds are expected to remain below storming thresholds for the next several days. The space weather threat to Florida remains very low. Coronal holes on the Earth- facing side of the sun SWO Communications Systems & Contact Information

Equipment Contact Status Comments Phone: 800-320-0519, 850-815-4001, 850-591-0071 (Backup Cell) Operational Fax: 850-815-4979 Operational Email: [email protected] Operational SWO Tracker: https://apps.floridadisaster.org/SWO/ Operational SLERS: DEM Statewide Operational FNARS: WGY974 Operational NAWAS: State Watch Office Operational FL NAWAS: State Watch Office Operational EMnet Message: FL.000- State Watch Office Operational EMnet Voice: FL SWP- State Watch Office Operational IPAWS: LP.1 Stations via Emnet Operational FIN: SOFEOC Operational Satellite Phones: 888-890-5178 or 480-263-8838 Operational Website: http://www.floridadisaster.org Operational WebEOC: https://eoc.floridadisaster.org/eoc7/ Operational

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