Warren Up, Harris Down, but Biden Leads Among U.S. Dems Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; 14 Dems Have Less Than 1 Percent

Tim Malloy, Assistant Director (203) 645-8043

Rubenstein Pat Smith (212) 843-8026

FOR RELEASE: AUGUST 6, 2019

WARREN UP, HARRIS DOWN, BUT BIDEN LEADS AMONG U.S. DEMS QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NATIONAL POLL FINDS; 14 DEMS HAVE LESS THAN 1 PERCENT

Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren is the big winner in the second round of Democratic presidential debates, but former Vice President Joseph Biden retains his front-runner status with 32 percent of Democrats and independent voters who lean Democratic, according to a Quinnipiac University National Poll released today. Sen. Elizabeth Warren has 21 percent among Democrats, with 14 percent for Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and 7 percent for California Sen. Kamala Harris. This compares to results of a July 29 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh- pe-ack) University National Poll, showing Biden with 34 percent, Warren with 15 percent, Harris with 12 percent and Sanders with 11 percent. In today’s results: • Biden gets 47 percent of black Democrats, with 16 percent for Sanders, 8 percent for Warren and 1 percent for Harris; • Women Democrats go 31 percent for Biden, 24 percent for Warren, 10 percent for Sanders and 7 percent for Harris; • Very liberal Democrats go 40 percent for Warren, 20 percent for Sanders, 19 percent for Biden and 7 percent for Harris; • Somewhat liberal Democrats go 28 percent for Biden, 20 percent for Warren, 14 percent for Sanders and 10 percent for Harris; • Moderate/conservative Democrats go 43 percent for Biden, 11 percent for Warren, 9 percent for Sanders, and 4 percent each for Harris and South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg. Buttigieg gets 5 percent and New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker and former U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke have 2 percent each. There are 4 candidates with 1 percent each and 14 candidates at less than 1 percent each. “Biden survives, Warren thrives and Harris dives as debate number two shakes up the primary,” said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. -more-

Quinnipiac University Poll/August 6, 2019 – page 2 “Sen. Elizabeth Warren’s policy heavy presentation and former Vice President Joseph Biden’s ability to handle the heat from all corners put them on top,” Malloy added. “Sen. Kamala Harris, whose 20 percent score put her neck-and-neck with Biden in a Quinnipiac University poll July 2 after the first debate, is now a distant fourth with 7 percent. “Take a snapshot now, because for most of the contenders registering one percentage point or less, there will likely be no debate number three.” Biden would be the best leader, 33 percent of Democrats and Democratic leaners say, with 22 percent for Warren, 13 percent for Sanders and 7 percent for Harris. Warren has the best policy ideas, 32 percent of Democrats say, with 17 percent for Biden, 16 percent for Sanders and 5 percent each for Harris and Buttigieg. Biden has the best chance of beating President Donald Trump in the general election, 49 percent of Democrats say, with 12 percent for Sanders, 9 percent for Warren and 6 percent for Harris. While 50 percent of Democrats and Democratic leaners prefer a presidential candidate who is “most electable,” 46 percent prefer a candidate who most shares their views on issues. Scoring the Debate A total of 81 percent of Democrats and Democratic leaners watched or listened to all or most of the two-night Democratic presidential debate or paid close attention to media stories about the debate. Of that group, 28 percent say Warren did the “best job” in the debate, with 15 percent for Biden, 8 percent for Sanders and 8 percent for Harris. Of that same group, 9 percent say Biden and another 9 percent say self-help advisor Marianne Williamson did the “worst job,” with 7 percent for Harris and 6 percent each for New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio and former U.S. Rep. John Delaney. From August 1 – 5, Quinnipiac University surveyed 807 Democrats and independent voters leaning Democratic with a margin of error of +/- 4.1 percentage points, including the design effect. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts gold standard surveys using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts nationwide surveys and polls in more than a dozen states on national and statewide elections, as well as public policy issues. Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll. 1. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) How much attention have you been paying to the election campaign for president; a lot, some, only a little, or none at all?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS...... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No

A lot 58% 69% 53% 55% 59% 57% 64% 53% 63% 67% Some 25 18 32 24 24 26 23 22 27 17 Only a little 13 11 11 16 13 13 10 17 8 14 None at all 4 1 4 5 3 4 2 7 2 3 DK/NA - 1 - - - - - 2 - -

PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS...... INCOME...... Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+

A lot 59% 55% 45% 51% 66% 68% 50% 63% 63% Some 25 26 26 31 21 21 25 22 25 Only a little 12 16 19 17 8 9 19 12 8 None at all 4 3 10 1 3 2 6 3 4 DK/NA 1 - - - 1 1 - - -

DEBATE Q7...... Paid Watch Attn No Attn

A lot 84% 55% 15% Some 12 31 34 Only a little 3 12 36 None at all 1 2 14 DK/NA - - 2

TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) How much attention have you been paying to the election campaign for president; a lot, some, only a little, or none at all?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS...... OnlyA None A lot Some Little AtAll DK/NA

Aug 06, 2019 58 25 13 4 - Jul 02, 2019 50 33 12 5 -

2. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) If the Democratic primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were: Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Beto O'Rourke, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Cory Booker, Kirsten Gillibrand, Amy Klobuchar, Julian Castro, Tulsi Gabbard, Jay Inslee, John Hickenlooper, John Delaney, Pete Buttigieg, Andrew Yang, Marianne Williamson, Wayne Messam, Tim Ryan, Seth Moulton, Michael Bennet, Steve Bullock, Bill de Blasio, Mike Gravel, Joe Sestak, and Tom Steyer, for whom would you vote?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS...... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No

Biden 32% 19% 28% 43% 33% 31% 30% 47% 25% 38% Sanders 14 20 14 9 19 10 10 16 11 9 O'Rourke 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 - Harris 7 7 10 4 6 7 8 1 8 7 Warren 21 40 20 11 16 24 27 8 28 26 Booker 2 1 2 3 3 2 2 - 3 2 Gillibrand ------1 - Klobuchar 1 - 1 2 1 2 2 - 2 1 Castro 1 1 - 2 1 1 1 - 1 - Gabbard 1 - 1 1 2 - 1 - 1 1 Inslee - 1 ------1 - Hickenlooper - - - 1 1 - - 1 1 - Delaney ------Buttigieg 5 5 8 4 5 5 7 1 8 5 Yang 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 - Williamson - - 1 1 - 1 - - - 1 Messam - - 2 - - 1 - 2 - - Ryan ------Moulton ------Bennet - - - 1 1 - 1 - - 1 Bullock - - - 1 ------de Blasio ------Gravel ------Sestak ------Steyer ------SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - 1 - - - 1 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 - 1 1 1 - 1 DK/NA 10 4 11 11 7 11 8 18 9 8

Cont’d

2 cont’d. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) If the Democratic primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were: Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Beto O'Rourke, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Cory Booker, Kirsten Gillibrand, Amy Klobuchar, Julian Castro, Tulsi Gabbard, Jay Inslee, John Hickenlooper, John Delaney, Pete Buttigieg, Andrew Yang, Marianne Williamson, Wayne Messam, Tim Ryan, Seth Moulton, Michael Bennet, Steve Bullock, Bill de Blasio, Mike Gravel, Joe Sestak, and Tom Steyer, for whom would you vote?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS...... PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS...... INCOME...... Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+

Biden 33% 29% 15% 30% 39% 42% 33% 32% 31% Sanders 12 17 24 19 6 5 19 11 6 O'Rourke 2 1 2 1 2 1 - 2 3 Harris 7 4 5 7 7 7 5 5 10 Warren 22 17 25 19 23 18 20 25 19 Booker 2 2 3 2 2 2 3 1 3 Gillibrand - 1 ------Klobuchar 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 Castro 1 2 2 2 - - 1 2 1 Gabbard 1 2 1 1 2 - 1 1 2 Inslee ------1 - - Hickenlooper - - - 1 1 - 1 - - Delaney ------Buttigieg 4 8 9 4 4 5 2 6 9 Yang 1 4 4 1 1 1 1 1 2 Williamson - - - - 1 - - - 1 Messam 1 - 2 - - - 1 - - Ryan ------Moulton ------Bennet - - - - - 1 - - - Bullock - 1 - 1 - - - 1 - de Blasio - 1 1 - - - 1 - - Gravel ------Sestak ------Steyer ------SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - 1 - 1 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - - 1 - 1 1 - 1 DK/NA 10 9 5 9 10 14 10 9 9

Cont’d

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS...... DEBATE Q7...... ATTN TO PRES CAMPAIGN Q1 Paid Little/ Watch Attn No Attn A lot Some None

Biden 34% 28% 38% 32% 31% 30% Sanders 8 18 12 11 19 16 O'Rourke 1 2 1 1 - 4 Harris 7 6 7 8 7 2 Warren 24 23 9 25 17 13 Booker 3 3 - 3 2 - Gillibrand - - 1 - - 1 Klobuchar 2 1 1 1 1 2 Castro - 2 1 1 1 3 Gabbard 2 1 - 1 - 2 Inslee - - 1 - - 1 Hickenlooper - 1 1 - 1 - Delaney ------Buttigieg 7 6 2 6 6 3 Yang 2 1 2 1 2 2 Williamson - 1 1 - 1 - Messam - - 2 - 2 - Ryan ------Moulton ------Bennet ------Bullock - - - - - 1 de Blasio - - 1 - 1 - Gravel ------Sestak ------Steyer ------SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - 2 - - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - - 1 - - DK/NA 7 8 19 8 7 19

TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) If the Democratic primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were: Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Beto O'Rourke, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Cory Booker, Kirsten Gillibrand, Amy Klobuchar, Julian Castro, Tulsi Gabbard, Jay Inslee, John Hickenlooper, John Delaney, Pete Buttigieg, Andrew Yang, Marianne Williamson, Wayne Messam, Tim Ryan, Seth Moulton, Michael Bennet, Steve Bullock, Bill de Blasio, Mike Gravel, Joe Sestak, and Tom Steyer, for whom would you vote?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS...... Aug 06 Jul 29 Jul 02 Jun 11 May 21 Apr 30 Mar 28 2019 2019 2019 2019 2019 2019 2019

Biden 32 34 22 30 35 38 29 Sanders 14 11 13 19 16 11 19 O'Rourke 2 2 1 3 2 5 12 Harris 7 12 20 7 8 8 8 Warren 21 15 14 15 13 12 4 Booker 2 1 3 1 3 2 2 Gillibrand ------Klobuchar 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 Castro 1 - 1 - 1 1 1 Gabbard 1 1 1 - 1 - - Inslee - - - - - 1 - Hickenlooper ------1 Delaney ------Buttigieg 5 6 4 8 5 10 4 Yang 1 2 1 1 1 1 - Williamson - 1 - - - - - Messam ------na Ryan - - - 1 - - na Moulton ------na Bennet - - - - - na na Bullock - - - - - na na de Blasio - - - - - na na Gravel - - - - na na na Sestak - - - na na na na Steyer - - na na na na na Swalwell na na - - - - na SMONE ELSE ------1 WLDN'T VOTE 1 1 3 1 - 2 1 DK/NA 10 12 12 13 11 8 14

3. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think - would be the best leader?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS...... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No

Biden 33% 20% 30% 42% 35% 31% 31% 47% 26% 38% Sanders 13 17 14 9 15 11 9 16 9 9 O'Rourke 1 - 2 2 1 2 - - 1 - Harris 7 9 8 6 8 7 7 6 8 6 Warren 22 40 25 10 18 24 28 12 27 30 Booker 2 2 2 3 3 2 3 - 3 1 Gillibrand - 1 ------1 - Klobuchar 1 - 1 2 1 1 2 - 2 - Castro 1 1 - 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 Gabbard 1 - 1 1 2 - 1 - - 2 Inslee - - - - 1 - - - 1 - Hickenlooper ------Delaney ------Buttigieg 5 4 5 5 6 4 6 3 9 1 Yang 1 1 - 1 1 1 - - - - Williamson - - 1 ------Messam ------Ryan ------Moulton ------Bennet ------1 Bullock ------de Blasio ------Gravel ------Sestak ------Steyer ------SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - 1 1 - - - - - DK/NA 12 6 10 16 8 15 11 16 12 10

Cont’d

3 cont’d. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think - would be the best leader?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS...... PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS...... INCOME...... Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+

Biden 34% 28% 15% 33% 38% 44% 31% 35% 32% Sanders 12 16 25 14 7 5 19 12 4 O'Rourke 2 - 4 1 1 - - 2 3 Harris 8 6 6 10 8 4 9 5 9 Warren 23 19 26 23 21 19 19 27 22 Booker 2 2 2 2 3 2 3 1 2 Gillibrand - 1 ------1 Klobuchar 1 1 1 - 1 2 1 1 2 Castro 1 1 2 1 1 - 1 1 1 Gabbard 1 2 1 1 1 - 1 - 1 Inslee - - 1 ------Hickenlooper ------Delaney ------Buttigieg 4 8 6 4 5 5 2 3 11 Yang - 3 3 - - 1 1 - 1 Williamson ------1 Messam ------Ryan ------Moulton ------Bennet - - - - - 1 - - - Bullock ------de Blasio ------Gravel ------Sestak ------Steyer ------SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - 1 - - - - DK/NA 12 14 7 11 12 17 12 11 9

Cont’d

3 cont’d. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think - would be the best leader?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS DEBATE Q7...... Paid Watch Attn No Attn

Biden 36% 29% 33% Sanders 7 16 16 O'Rourke - 2 1 Harris 8 7 6 Warren 25 24 10 Booker 4 1 - Gillibrand - - 1 Klobuchar 2 1 1 Castro 1 1 1 Gabbard 1 1 - Inslee - - - Hickenlooper - - - Delaney - - - Buttigieg 6 6 1 Yang 1 - 2 Williamson - - 1 Messam - - - Ryan - - - Moulton - - - Bennet - - - Bullock - - - de Blasio - - - Gravel - - - Sestak - - - Steyer - - - SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - 1 DK/NA 7 10 25

TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think would be the best leader?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.. Aug 06 Jul 29 Jul 02 Apr 30 2019 2019 2019 2019

Biden 33 36 26 44 Sanders 13 12 15 11 O'Rourke 1 1 1 3 Harris 7 9 16 6 Warren 22 17 15 11 Booker 2 1 3 2 Gillibrand - - - 1 Klobuchar 1 1 1 1 Castro 1 - 1 1 Gabbard 1 - 1 - Inslee - - - - Hickenlooper - - - - Delaney - - - - Buttigieg 5 5 4 7 Yang 1 1 - - Williamson - 1 - - Messam - - - - Ryan - - - - Moulton - - - - Bennet - - - na Bullock - - - na de Blasio - - - na Gravel - - - na Sestak - - - na Steyer - - na na Swalwell na na - - SMONE ELSE - - - - DK/NA 12 15 15 12

4. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think - has the best policy ideas?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS...... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No

Biden 17% 13% 13% 22% 16% 18% 17% 19% 11% 26% Sanders 16 18 18 13 21 13 11 22 11 12 O'Rourke 1 - - 2 1 1 1 - - 1 Harris 5 6 6 5 4 6 6 4 5 6 Warren 32 47 38 21 31 33 38 29 41 34 Booker 1 - 1 2 1 1 2 - 2 2 Gillibrand ------1 - Klobuchar 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 - 2 1 Castro - - - 1 - - - 2 - - Gabbard 1 - 2 1 3 - 1 2 1 1 Inslee 1 2 - - 1 1 1 - 2 - Hickenlooper - - 1 ------1 Delaney ------Buttigieg 5 4 4 5 5 4 4 5 6 - Yang 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 - 1 1 Williamson ------Messam ------Ryan ------Moulton ------Bennet ------1 - Bullock ------de Blasio ------Gravel ------Sestak ------Steyer ------SMONE ELSE(VOL) ------DK/NA 17 7 15 22 14 19 16 18 16 14

Cont’d

4 cont’d. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think - has the best policy ideas?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS...... PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS...... INCOME...... Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+

Biden 17% 17% 4% 14% 23% 26% 16% 17% 14% Sanders 16 15 30 18 8 7 24 14 9 O'Rourke 1 - 2 2 - - - 2 2 Harris 6 4 5 6 4 3 5 6 5 Warren 35 24 33 36 35 28 27 37 39 Booker 1 1 1 - 1 3 2 1 1 Gillibrand - 1 - - 1 - - - 1 Klobuchar 1 1 - - 2 2 1 1 1 Castro - 1 - 1 1 - - - 1 Gabbard 1 2 2 1 1 - 2 1 1 Inslee 1 - - 1 1 - - 1 1 Hickenlooper - - - - - 1 - 1 - Delaney ------Buttigieg 4 6 4 5 5 5 1 6 8 Yang 1 3 4 1 - 1 2 1 2 Williamson ------Messam ------Ryan ------Moulton ------Bennet - - - - - 1 - - - Bullock - 1 - 1 - - - 1 - de Blasio ------Gravel ------Sestak ------Steyer ------SMONE ELSE(VOL) ------DK/NA 15 26 14 12 17 22 19 10 16

Cont’d

4 cont’d. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think - has the best policy ideas?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS DEBATE Q7...... Paid Watch Attn No Attn

Biden 20% 14% 17% Sanders 9 18 24 O'Rourke - 2 1 Harris 5 6 4 Warren 38 35 15 Booker 2 1 - Gillibrand - - 1 Klobuchar 2 1 1 Castro 1 - - Gabbard 2 1 - Inslee 2 - - Hickenlooper 1 - - Delaney - - - Buttigieg 6 6 1 Yang 2 1 2 Williamson - - - Messam - - - Ryan - - - Moulton - - - Bennet 1 - - Bullock - - - de Blasio - - - Gravel - - - Sestak - - - Steyer - - - SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - DK/NA 10 16 33

TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think has the best policy ideas?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.. Aug 06 Jul 29 Jul 02 Apr 30 2019 2019 2019 2019

Biden 17 21 11 23 Sanders 16 16 18 16 O'Rourke 1 1 - 2 Harris 5 6 8 7 Warren 32 26 31 19 Booker 1 1 2 1 Gillibrand - - - 1 Klobuchar 1 1 1 1 Castro - 1 1 - Gabbard 1 1 1 - Inslee 1 - - 1 Hickenlooper - - - - Delaney - - - - Buttigieg 5 5 3 9 Yang 1 2 - 1 Williamson - 1 - - Messam - - - - Ryan - - - - Moulton - - - - Bennet - - - na Bullock - - - na de Blasio - - - na Gravel - - - na Sestak - - - na Steyer - - na na Swalwell na na - - SMONE ELSE - - - - DK/NA 17 20 22 19

5. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think - has the best chance of winning against Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS...... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No

Biden 49% 45% 44% 56% 49% 49% 53% 54% 50% 58% Sanders 12 16 13 10 19 9 8 14 9 7 O'Rourke 2 - 2 2 - 2 - - - - Harris 6 5 7 5 4 6 6 3 6 7 Warren 9 16 8 6 10 9 10 7 11 9 Booker 1 - 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Gillibrand ------Klobuchar - 1 - - - - 1 - - 1 Castro ------Gabbard - - 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 1 Inslee ------Hickenlooper ------Delaney ------Buttigieg 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 - 3 - Yang 1 1 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 - Williamson ------Messam ------Ryan 1 - - 1 - 1 - 3 - - Moulton ------Bennet ------Bullock ------de Blasio ------Gravel ------Sestak ------Steyer ------SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 - 1 1 - 1 - DK/NA 17 13 20 15 10 20 16 19 16 17

Cont’d

5 cont’d. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think - has the best chance of winning against Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS...... PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS...... INCOME...... Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+

Biden 49% 49% 32% 46% 57% 60% 44% 53% 54% Sanders 12 14 26 16 5 3 18 11 6 O'Rourke 2 - 4 1 - - - 4 2 Harris 6 5 7 5 4 6 3 5 10 Warren 11 6 14 10 10 6 11 9 8 Booker 1 1 1 - 1 1 1 - 1 Gillibrand - 1 ------Klobuchar - - - 1 - - - 1 1 Castro ------Gabbard - 2 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 Inslee ------Hickenlooper ------Delaney ------Buttigieg 1 3 1 3 1 1 - 1 3 Yang 1 1 1 - - 1 - 1 1 Williamson ------Messam ------Ryan 1 - 2 - 1 - 1 - - Moulton ------Bennet ------Bullock ------de Blasio ------Gravel ------Sestak ------Steyer ------SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 1 - 1 1 1 - - DK/NA 17 17 11 17 17 21 20 15 12

Cont’d 5 cont’d. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think - has the best chance of winning against Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS DEBATE Q7...... Paid Watch Attn No Attn

Biden 54% 48% 43% Sanders 8 15 15 O'Rourke - 3 1 Harris 9 4 2 Warren 10 10 7 Booker 1 1 - Gillibrand - - 1 Klobuchar - 1 - Castro - - - Gabbard 1 - - Inslee - - - Hickenlooper - - - Delaney - - - Buttigieg 1 2 1 Yang 1 - - Williamson - - - Messam - - - Ryan 1 - 2 Moulton - - - Bennet - - - Bullock - - - de Blasio - - - Gravel - - - Sestak - - - Steyer - - - SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 - DK/NA 13 15 28

TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think has the best chance of winning against Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.. Aug 06 Jul 29 Jul 02 Apr 30 2019 2019 2019 2019

Biden 49 51 42 56 Sanders 12 10 13 12 O'Rourke 2 - - 3 Harris 6 8 14 2 Warren 9 8 9 3 Booker 1 1 1 3 Gillibrand - - - 1 Klobuchar - - - - Castro - - - - Gabbard - - 1 - Inslee - - - - Hickenlooper - - - - Delaney - 1 - - Buttigieg 1 1 1 4 Yang 1 - - - Williamson - - - - Messam - - - - Ryan 1 - - - Moulton - - - - Bennet - - - na Bullock - - - na de Blasio - - - na Gravel - - - na Sestak - - - na Steyer - - na na Swalwell na na - - SMONE ELSE 1 - - 1 DK/NA 17 20 17 15

6. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Thinking about the 2020 Democratic primary for president, if all other things are equal, would you prefer a candidate that most shares your views on issues or a candidate that you think is the most electable?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS...... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No

Shares views 46% 52% 43% 44% 44% 47% 42% 46% 36% 52% Most electable 50 47 53 52 53 49 55 46 61 45 DOESN'T MATTER(VOL) 1 - 1 2 - 2 - 5 1 - DK/NA 3 1 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3

PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS...... INCOME...... Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+

Shares views 45% 50% 57% 54% 42% 31% 49% 47% 38% Most electable 52 46 43 41 54 63 45 49 61 DOESN'T MATTER(VOL) 1 2 - 2 2 2 3 1 - DK/NA 3 2 - 3 3 4 3 3 1

DEBATE Q7...... Paid CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q2 Watch Attn No Attn Biden Sanders Warren

Shares views 36% 51% 54% 40% 67% 46% Most electable 62 46 40 57 28 53 DOESN'T MATTER(VOL) 1 2 - 1 3 - DK/NA 2 1 5 3 2 1

TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Thinking about the 2020 Democratic primary for president, if all other things are equal, would you prefer a candidate that most shares your views on issues or a candidate that you think is the most electable?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.. Shares Most DOESN'T views elect MATTER DK/NA

Aug 06, 2019 46 50 1 3 Mar 28, 2019 51 45 1 3

7. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) As you may know, there were two debates among the Democratic presidential candidates on Tuesday, July 30th and Wednesday, July 31st. Which of the following statements best describes you: I watched or listened to all or most of the debates; I did not watch or listen to the debates, but I paid close attention to news stories about them afterwards; I did not watch or listen to the debates or pay close attention to news stories about them?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS...... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No

Watched/listened 35% 34% 37% 34% 36% 34% 39% 26% 38% 42% Paid attn to news 46 55 43 43 46 46 44 50 47 39 No attn to debate 18 11 19 22 18 19 16 24 14 18 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 - 1 1 - 1 1

PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS...... INCOME...... Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+

Watched/listened 36% 33% 25% 24% 38% 50% 30% 38% 38% Paid attn to news 48 39 47 56 46 36 45 45 48 No attn to debate 16 27 27 19 16 13 25 17 14 DK/NA - 1 - 1 - 2 1 - -

TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) As you may know, there were two debates among the Democratic presidential candidates on Tuesday, July 30th and Wednesday, July 31st. Which of the following statements best describes you: I watched or listened to all or most of the debates; I did not watch or listen to the debates, but I paid close attention to news stories about them afterwards; I did not watch or listen to the debates or pay close attention to news stories about them? (Note: Dates are based on most recent debate)

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.. Watch/ Paid No listen attn attn DK/NA

Aug 06, 2019 35 46 18 1 Jul 02, 2019 40 40 18 1

7a. (If watched/listened to debate or paid close attention q7) Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you think did the best job in the recent debates: Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Beto O'Rourke, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Cory Booker, Kirsten Gillibrand, Amy Klobuchar, Julian Castro, Tulsi Gabbard, Jay Inslee, John Hickenlooper, John Delaney, Pete Buttigieg, Andrew Yang, Marianne Williamson, Tim Ryan, Michael Bennet, Bill de Blasio, or Steve Bullock?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS...... WATCHED/LISTENED TO DEBATE OR PAID CLOSE ATTENTION Q7...... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No

Biden 15% 14% 10% 18% 12% 16% 11% 16% 7% 18% Sanders 8 11 5 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 O'Rourke 2 - - 3 1 2 1 - - 1 Harris 8 7 12 6 7 8 7 6 7 8 Warren 28 33 34 23 30 27 32 23 36 26 Booker 7 4 8 9 5 8 7 7 9 4 Gillibrand - - 1 - - - - 1 - - Klobuchar 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 - 3 1 Castro 1 - 3 1 2 1 1 3 1 1 Gabbard 3 4 1 3 5 1 3 - 1 7 Inslee - 1 - 1 - 1 1 - 1 - Hickenlooper ------Delaney - - 1 - 1 - - 1 - - Buttigieg 4 3 3 5 3 4 4 5 4 3 Yang 2 3 3 1 2 2 2 4 2 1 Williamson 2 4 2 1 2 2 2 5 1 3 Ryan - - - 1 - - - - - 1 Bennet 1 - - 2 - 1 1 2 - 2 de Blasio - - - - 1 - - - - 1 Bullock ------DK/NA 17 15 16 18 19 17 17 19 19 15

Cont’d

7a cont’d. (If watched/listened to debate or paid close attention q7) Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you think did the best job in the recent debates: Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Beto O'Rourke, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Cory Booker, Kirsten Gillibrand, Amy Klobuchar, Julian Castro, Tulsi Gabbard, Jay Inslee, John Hickenlooper, John Delaney, Pete Buttigieg, Andrew Yang, Marianne Williamson, Tim Ryan, Michael Bennet, Bill de Blasio, or Steve Bullock?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS...... WATCHED/LISTENED TO DEBATE OR PAID CLOSE ATTENTION Q7...... PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS...... INCOME...... Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+

Biden 16% 10% 7% 14% 17% 17% 14% 16% 10% Sanders 8 7 15 7 5 4 11 6 4 O'Rourke 2 1 3 2 1 - - 2 2 Harris 7 11 9 5 8 8 8 9 8 Warren 28 27 26 29 31 30 23 28 38 Booker 8 5 7 12 6 6 10 6 8 Gillibrand - 1 - 2 - - - - 1 Klobuchar 2 1 - - 3 2 - 3 1 Castro 1 - 4 - 1 - 2 - 2 Gabbard 2 6 7 2 2 1 3 3 2 Inslee 1 - - - 1 1 - - 1 Hickenlooper ------Delaney - - - 1 - - - 1 - Buttigieg 2 9 1 5 3 5 3 4 5 Yang 2 2 5 2 1 1 1 2 3 Williamson 1 4 2 3 1 2 4 1 1 Ryan - - - - - 1 1 - - Bennet 1 - - - 2 1 - 1 1 de Blasio - - 1 - - - - 1 - Bullock - 1 - - 1 - - - 1 DK/NA 18 17 13 17 19 20 17 18 12

DEBATE Q7.. Paid Watch Attn

Biden 16% 14% Sanders 5 10 O'Rourke 1 2 Harris 9 7 Warren 33 24 Booker 9 6 Gillibrand - - Klobuchar 3 - Castro - 2 Gabbard 3 3 Inslee 1 - Hickenlooper - - Delaney 1 - Buttigieg 4 3 Yang 3 1 Williamson 2 2 Ryan 1 - Bennet 2 - de Blasio 1 - Bullock 1 - DK/NA 6 26

TREND: (If watched/listened to debate or paid close attention) Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you think did the best job in the recent debates: Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Beto O'Rourke, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Cory Booker, Kirsten Gillibrand, Amy Klobuchar, Julian Castro, Tulsi Gabbard, Jay Inslee, John Hickenlooper, John Delaney, Pete Buttigieg, Andrew Yang, Marianne Williamson, Tim Ryan, Michael Bennet, Bill de Blasio, or Steve Bullock?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS...... WATCHED DEBATE OR PAID CLOSE ATTENTION Aug 06 Jul 02 2019 2019

Biden 15 6 Sanders 8 5 O'Rourke 2 1 Harris 8 47 Warren 28 17 Booker 7 1 Gillibrand - - Klobuchar 1 1 Castro 1 3 Gabbard 3 1 Inslee - - Hickenlooper - - Delaney - - Buttigieg 4 3 Yang 2 - Williamson 2 1 Ryan - - Bennet 1 - de Blasio - - Bullock - na Swalwell na - DK/NA 17 14

7b. (If watched/listened to debate or paid close attention q7) And which of those candidates do you think did the worst job in the recent debates?

Biden 9% 13% 8% 8% 10% 8% 10% 7% 8% 14% Sanders 3 2 2 4 2 4 3 3 3 3 O'Rourke 3 4 4 3 2 4 3 2 4 1 Harris 7 8 5 8 5 8 5 8 6 4 Warren - - - 1 1 - - - 1 - Booker 3 1 3 3 3 2 2 5 1 3 Gillibrand 1 - 1 2 1 1 2 - 2 1 Klobuchar 1 - 4 1 1 2 2 1 1 3 Castro - - - - 1 - - - - - Gabbard 1 2 - 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 Inslee 1 2 2 - - 2 1 2 1 2 Hickenlooper 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 5 4 5 Delaney 6 9 9 3 9 4 6 2 7 4 Buttigieg - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - 1 Yang 2 - 4 3 1 3 1 4 1 1 Williamson 9 10 10 8 10 8 11 2 15 5 Ryan 2 2 3 2 2 2 3 - 2 5 Bennet 1 2 2 - 2 1 2 1 2 1 de Blasio 6 6 5 7 7 5 7 8 7 5 Bullock 1 - 1 1 2 - 1 - 1 1 DK/NA 38 35 35 41 35 40 36 48 35 39

Cont’d

7b cont’d. (If watched/listened to debate or paid close attention q7) And which of those candidates do you think did the worst job in the recent debates?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS...... WATCHED/LISTENED TO DEBATE OR PAID CLOSE ATTENTION Q7...... PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS...... INCOME...... Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+

Biden 8% 12% 16% 10% 7% 5% 11% 5% 10% Sanders 3 2 1 2 5 3 2 4 3 O'Rourke 4 2 4 4 4 2 4 2 5 Harris 8 3 10 7 6 4 5 8 8 Warren - 1 - - - 1 - - - Booker 3 3 3 1 4 2 1 5 1 Gillibrand 1 1 2 - 1 1 - 2 2 Klobuchar 1 2 4 1 - 2 1 - 3 Castro - - 1 ------Gabbard 1 - 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 Inslee 1 - - 2 1 1 3 - - Hickenlooper 4 3 1 5 5 3 4 4 3 Delaney 6 5 10 3 7 3 5 7 7 Buttigieg - - - - 1 1 1 - - Yang 2 3 3 3 3 2 1 5 2 Williamson 10 7 5 10 11 10 5 10 14 Ryan 2 4 1 3 3 2 2 3 3 Bennet 1 1 3 - 2 2 - 3 1 de Blasio 6 5 2 10 6 7 4 6 8 Bullock 1 - 1 1 1 - 1 - - DK/NA 36 46 34 37 32 48 47 34 27

DEBATE Q7.. Paid Watch Attn

Biden 10% 8% Sanders 4 2 O'Rourke 3 3 Harris 6 7 Warren - - Booker 3 2 Gillibrand 2 1 Klobuchar 3 - Castro - - Gabbard 1 1 Inslee - 1 Hickenlooper 6 2 Delaney 9 4 Buttigieg 1 - Yang 2 2 Williamson 10 9 Ryan 4 1 Bennet 3 - de Blasio 9 4 Bullock 1 - DK/NA 22 50

TREND: (If watched/listened to debate or paid close attention) And which of those candidates do you think did the worst job in the recent debates?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS...... WATCHED DEBATE OR PAID CLOSE ATTENTION Aug 06 Jul 02 2019 2019

Biden 9 15 Sanders 3 3 O'Rourke 3 7 Harris 7 2 Warren - 1 Booker 3 3 Gillibrand 1 1 Klobuchar 1 1 Castro - 1 Gabbard 1 - Inslee 1 1 Hickenlooper 4 1 Delaney 6 1 Buttigieg - 1 Yang 2 7 Williamson 9 16 Ryan 2 1 Bennet 1 1 de Blasio 6 2 Bullock 1 na Swalwell na 1 DK/NA 38 36