Predictability of the Variable Solar-Terrestrial Coupling Ioannis A
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Space Climate Characterization Via Geomagnetic Indices. an Attempt of Integrating Solar, Heliospheric, and Geomagnetic Indices at Various Time-Scales
Geophysical Research Abstracts Vol. 15, EGU2013-8930, 2013 EGU General Assembly 2013 © Author(s) 2013. CC Attribution 3.0 License. Space climate characterization via geomagnetic indices. An attempt of integrating solar, heliospheric, and geomagnetic indices at various time-scales Crisan Demetrescu and Venera Dobrica Institute of Geodynamics, Bucharest, Romania ([email protected]) The so-called space climate concerns the long-term change in the Sun and its effects in the heliosphere and upon the Earth, including the atmosphere and climate. Annual means of measured and reconstructed solar, heliospheric, and magnetospheric parameters are used to infer solar activity signatures at the Hale and Gleissberg cycles timescales. Available open solar flux, modulation strength, cosmic ray flux, total solar irradiance data, reconstructed back to 1700, solar wind parameters (speed, density, dynamic pressure) and the magnitude of the heliospheric magnetic field at 1 AU, reconstructed back to 1870, as well as the time series of geomagnetic activity indices (aa, IDV, IHV), going back to 1870, have been considered. Also, shorter time series of some other geomagnetic indices, designed as proxies for specific current systems, such as the ring current and the auroral electrojet, that develop in the magnetosphere and ionosphere as a consequence of the interraction with the solar wind and heliosperic magnetic field (the Dst and, respectively, AE indices), as well as the merging electric field and convection in the polar ionosphere (the PC index) have been taken into -
Is Earth's Magnetic Field Reversing? ⁎ Catherine Constable A, , Monika Korte B
Earth and Planetary Science Letters 246 (2006) 1–16 www.elsevier.com/locate/epsl Frontiers Is Earth's magnetic field reversing? ⁎ Catherine Constable a, , Monika Korte b a Institute of Geophysics and Planetary Physics, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093-0225, USA b GeoForschungsZentrum Potsdam, Telegrafenberg, 14473 Potsdam, Germany Received 7 October 2005; received in revised form 21 March 2006; accepted 23 March 2006 Editor: A.N. Halliday Abstract Earth's dipole field has been diminishing in strength since the first systematic observations of field intensity were made in the mid nineteenth century. This has led to speculation that the geomagnetic field might now be in the early stages of a reversal. In the longer term context of paleomagnetic observations it is found that for the current reversal rate and expected statistical variability in polarity interval length an interval as long as the ongoing 0.78 Myr Brunhes polarity interval is to be expected with a probability of less than 0.15, and the preferred probability estimates range from 0.06 to 0.08. These rather low odds might be used to infer that the next reversal is overdue, but the assessment is limited by the statistical treatment of reversals as point processes. Recent paleofield observations combined with insights derived from field modeling and numerical geodynamo simulations suggest that a reversal is not imminent. The current value of the dipole moment remains high compared with the average throughout the ongoing 0.78 Myr Brunhes polarity interval; the present rate of change in Earth's dipole strength is not anomalous compared with rates of change for the past 7 kyr; furthermore there is evidence that the field has been stronger on average during the Brunhes than for the past 160 Ma, and that high average field values are associated with longer polarity chrons. -
Doc.10100.Space Weather Manual FINAL DRAFT Version
Doc 10100 Manual on Space Weather Information in Support of International Air Navigation Approved by the Secretary General and published under his authority First Edition – 2018 International Civil Aviation Organization TABLE OF CONTENTS Page Chapter 1. Introduction ..................................................................................................................................... 1-1 1.1 General ............................................................................................................................................... 1-1 1.2 Space weather indicators .................................................................................................................... 1-1 1.3 The hazards ........................................................................................................................................ 1-2 1.4 Space weather mitigation aspects ....................................................................................................... 1-3 1.5 Coordinating the response to a space weather event ......................................................................... 1-3 Chapter 2. Space Weather Phenomena and Aviation Operations ................................................................. 2-1 2.1 General ............................................................................................................................................... 2-1 2.2 Geomagnetic storms .......................................................................................................................... -
Effect of the Solar Wind Density on the Evolution of Normal and Inverse Coronal Mass Ejections S
A&A 632, A89 (2019) Astronomy https://doi.org/10.1051/0004-6361/201935894 & c ESO 2019 Astrophysics Effect of the solar wind density on the evolution of normal and inverse coronal mass ejections S. Hosteaux, E. Chané, and S. Poedts Centre for mathematical Plasma-Astrophysics (CmPA), Celestijnenlaan 200B, KU Leuven, 3001 Leuven, Belgium e-mail: [email protected] Received 15 May 2019 / Accepted 11 September 2019 ABSTRACT Context. The evolution of magnetised coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and their interaction with the background solar wind leading to deflection, deformation, and erosion is still largely unclear as there is very little observational data available. Even so, this evolution is very important for the geo-effectiveness of CMEs. Aims. We investigate the evolution of both normal and inverse CMEs ejected at different initial velocities, and observe the effect of the background wind density and their magnetic polarity on their evolution up to 1 AU. Methods. We performed 2.5D (axisymmetric) simulations by solving the magnetohydrodynamic equations on a radially stretched grid, employing a block-based adaptive mesh refinement scheme based on a density threshold to achieve high resolution following the evolution of the magnetic clouds and the leading bow shocks. All the simulations discussed in the present paper were performed using the same initial grid and numerical methods. Results. The polarity of the internal magnetic field of the CME has a substantial effect on its propagation velocity and on its defor- mation and erosion during its evolution towards Earth. We quantified the effects of the polarity of the internal magnetic field of the CMEs and of the density of the background solar wind on the arrival times of the shock front and the magnetic cloud. -
Predicting the Magnetic Vectors Within Coronal Mass Ejections Arriving at Earth: 2
Space Weather RESEARCH ARTICLE Predicting the magnetic vectors within coronal mass ejections 10.1002/2015SW001171 arriving at Earth: 1. Initial architecture Key Points: N. P.Savani1,2, A. Vourlidas1, A. Szabo2,M.L.Mays2,3, I. G. Richardson2,4, B. J. Thompson2, • First architectural design to predict A. Pulkkinen2,R.Evans5, and T. Nieves-Chinchilla2,3 a CME’s magnetic vectors (with eight events) 1 2 • Modified Bothmer-Schwenn CME Goddard Planetary Heliophysics Institute (GPHI), University of Maryland, Baltimore County, Maryland, USA, NASA 3 initiation rule to improve reliability Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Maryland, USA, Institute for Astrophysics and Computational Sciences (IACS), of chirality Catholic University of America, Washington, District of Columbia, USA, 4Department of Astronomy, University of • CME evolution seen by remote Maryland, College Park, Maryland, USA, 5College of Science, George Mason University, Fairfax, Vancouver, USA sensing triangulation is important for forecasting Abstract The process by which the Sun affects the terrestrial environment on short timescales is Correspondence to: predominately driven by the amount of magnetic reconnection between the solar wind and Earth’s N. P. Savani, magnetosphere. Reconnection occurs most efficiently when the solar wind magnetic field has a southward [email protected] component. The most severe impacts are during the arrival of a coronal mass ejection (CME) when the magnetosphere is both compressed and magnetically connected to the heliospheric environment. Citation: Unfortunately, forecasting magnetic vectors within coronal mass ejections remain elusive. Here we report Savani, N. P., A. Vourlidas, A. Szabo, M.L.Mays,I.G.Richardson,B.J. how, by combining a statistically robust helicity rule for a CME’s solar origin with a simplified flux rope Thompson, A. -
Identification of Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejection with Magnetic Cloud in Year 2005 at 1 AU
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF SCIENTIFIC & TECHNOLOGY RESEARCH VOLUME 3, ISSUE 6, JUNE 2014 ISSN 2277-8616 Identification Of Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejection With Magnetic Cloud In Year 2005 At 1 AU D.S.Burud, R .S. Vhatkar, M. B. Mohite Abstract: Coronal mass ejection (CMEs) propagate in to the interplanetary medium are called as Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejection (ICME). A set of signatures in plasma and magnetic field is used to identify the ICMEs. Magnetic Cloud (MC) is a special kind of ICMEs in which internal magnetic field configuration is similar like flux rope. We have used the data obtained from ACE Advance Composition Explorer (ACE) based in-situ measurements of Magnetic Field Experiment (MAG) and Solar Wind Electron, Proton and Alpha Monitor (SWEPAM) experiment for the data of magnetic field and plasma parameters respectively. The magnetic field data and plasma parameters of ICMEs used to distinguish them as magnetic cloud, non magnetic cloud. We analyzed eighteen ICMEs observed during January 2005 to December 2005, which is the beginning of declining phase of solar cycle 23. The analysis of magnetic field in the frames of the flux ropes like structure using a Minimum Variance Analysis (MVA) method, and have identified 30% ICMEs in the year 2005, which shows magnetic field rotation in a plane and confirmed as ICMEs with MCs. Keywords: magnetic cloud (MC), interplanetary coronal mass ejection (ICME), minimum variance analysis (MVA). ———————————————————— Introduction:- Table No: 1 Signatures used to identify ICMEs in the Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are an energetic Heliosphere phenomenon originated in the Sun‘s corona, CMEs are eruptions of plasma and magnetic fields that drive space Sr.no. -
Solar Wind Properties and Geospace Impact of Coronal Mass Ejection-Driven Sheath Regions: Variation and Driver Dependence E
Solar Wind Properties and Geospace Impact of Coronal Mass Ejection-Driven Sheath Regions: Variation and Driver Dependence E. K. J. Kilpua, D. Fontaine, C. Moissard, M. Ala-lahti, E. Palmerio, E. Yordanova, S. Good, M. M. H. Kalliokoski, E. Lumme, A. Osmane, et al. To cite this version: E. K. J. Kilpua, D. Fontaine, C. Moissard, M. Ala-lahti, E. Palmerio, et al.. Solar Wind Properties and Geospace Impact of Coronal Mass Ejection-Driven Sheath Regions: Variation and Driver Dependence. Space Weather: The International Journal of Research and Applications, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 2019, 17 (8), pp.1257-1280. 10.1029/2019SW002217. hal-03087107 HAL Id: hal-03087107 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-03087107 Submitted on 23 Dec 2020 HAL is a multi-disciplinary open access L’archive ouverte pluridisciplinaire HAL, est archive for the deposit and dissemination of sci- destinée au dépôt et à la diffusion de documents entific research documents, whether they are pub- scientifiques de niveau recherche, publiés ou non, lished or not. The documents may come from émanant des établissements d’enseignement et de teaching and research institutions in France or recherche français ou étrangers, des laboratoires abroad, or from public or private research centers. publics ou privés. RESEARCH ARTICLE Solar Wind Properties and Geospace Impact of Coronal 10.1029/2019SW002217 Mass Ejection-Driven Sheath Regions: Variation and Key Points: Driver Dependence • Variation of interplanetary properties and geoeffectiveness of CME-driven sheaths and their dependence on the E. K. J. Kilpua1 , D. Fontaine2 , C. Moissard2 , M. Ala-Lahti1 , E. Palmerio1 , ejecta properties are determined E. -
Ten Years of PAMELA in Space
Ten Years of PAMELA in Space The PAMELA collaboration O. Adriani(1)(2), G. C. Barbarino(3)(4), G. A. Bazilevskaya(5), R. Bellotti(6)(7), M. Boezio(8), E. A. Bogomolov(9), M. Bongi(1)(2), V. Bonvicini(8), S. Bottai(2), A. Bruno(6)(7), F. Cafagna(7), D. Campana(4), P. Carlson(10), M. Casolino(11)(12), G. Castellini(13), C. De Santis(11), V. Di Felice(11)(14), A. M. Galper(15), A. V. Karelin(15), S. V. Koldashov(15), S. Koldobskiy(15), S. Y. Krutkov(9), A. N. Kvashnin(5), A. Leonov(15), V. Malakhov(15), L. Marcelli(11), M. Martucci(11)(16), A. G. Mayorov(15), W. Menn(17), M. Mergè(11)(16), V. V. Mikhailov(15), E. Mocchiutti(8), A. Monaco(6)(7), R. Munini(8), N. Mori(2), G. Osteria(4), B. Panico(4), P. Papini(2), M. Pearce(10), P. Picozza(11)(16), M. Ricci(18), S. B. Ricciarini(2)(13), M. Simon(17), R. Sparvoli(11)(16), P. Spillantini(1)(2), Y. I. Stozhkov(5), A. Vacchi(8)(19), E. Vannuccini(1), G. Vasilyev(9), S. A. Voronov(15), Y. T. Yurkin(15), G. Zampa(8) and N. Zampa(8) (1) University of Florence, Department of Physics, I-50019 Sesto Fiorentino, Florence, Italy (2) INFN, Sezione di Florence, I-50019 Sesto Fiorentino, Florence, Italy (3) University of Naples “Federico II”, Department of Physics, I-80126 Naples, Italy (4) INFN, Sezione di Naples, I-80126 Naples, Italy (5) Lebedev Physical Institute, RU-119991 Moscow, Russia (6) University of Bari, I-70126 Bari, Italy (7) INFN, Sezione di Bari, I-70126 Bari, Italy (8) INFN, Sezione di Trieste, I-34149 Trieste, Italy (9) Ioffe Physical Technical Institute, RU-194021 St. -
Diapositiva 1
PAMELAPAMELA SpaceSpace MissionMission FirstFirst ResultsResults inin CosmicCosmic RaysRays Piergiorgio Picozza INFN & University of Rome “ Tor Vergata” , Italy Virtual Institute of Astroparticle Physics June 20, 2008 Robert L. Golden ANTIMATTERANTIMATTER Antimatter Lumps Trapped in our Galaxy antiparticles Antimatter and Dark Matter Research Wizard Collaboration -- BESS (93, 95, 97, 98, 2000) - MASS – 1,2 (89,91) - - Heat (94, 95, 2000) --TrampSI (93) - IMAX (96) -CAPRICE (94, 97, 98) - BESS LDF (2004, 2007) - ATIC (2001, 2003, 2005) - AMS-01 (98) AntimatterAntimatter “We must regard it rather an accident that the Earth and presumably the whole Solar System contains a preponderance of negative electrons and positive protons. It is quite possible that for some of the stars it is the other way about” P. Dirac, Nobel lecture (1933) 4% 23% 73% Signal (supersymmetry)… … and background )(GLAST AMS-02 pCR p+ → ISM p + p+ + p p + + + +pCR pISM →π → μ e → →π0 → γγ e+ → e − Another possible scenario: KK Dark Matter Lightest Kaluza-Klein Particle (LKP): B(1) Bosonic Dark Matter: fermionic final states no longer helicity suppressed. e+e- final states directly produced. As in the neutralino case there are 1-loop processes that produces monoenergetic γγin the final state. P Secondary production (upper and lower limits) Simon et al. ApJ 499 (1998) 250. from χχ Secondary annihilation production (Primary Bergström et production al. ApJ 526 m(c) = 964 (1999) 215 GeV) Ullio : astro- ph/9904086 AntiprotonAntiproton--ProtonProton RatioRatio Potgieter at -
Properties and Geoeffectiveness of Magnetic Clouds During Solar Cycles 23 and 24 N. Gopalswamy1, S. Yashiro1,2, H. Xie1,2, S. Akiyama1,2, and P
Properties and Geoeffectiveness of Magnetic Clouds during Solar Cycles 23 and 24 N. Gopalswamy1, S. Yashiro1,2, H. Xie1,2, S. Akiyama1,2, and P. Mäkelä1,2 1Solar Physics Laboratory, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD 20771 2The Catholic University of America, Washington DC 20064 Corresponding author email: [email protected] Key points • Properties of magnetic clouds in cycle 23 and 24 are significantly different • Anomalous expansion of CMEs cause the magnetic dilution in clouds • Reduced magnetic content and speed of clouds lead to low geoeffectiveness • Accepted for publication in J. Geophys. Res. October 2, 2015 1 Abstract We report on a study that compares the properties of magnetic clouds (MCs) during the first 73 months of solar cycles 23 and 24 in order to understand the weak geomagnetic activity in cycle 24. We find that the number of MCs did not decline in cycle 24, although the average sunspot number is known to have declined by ~40%. Despite the large number of MCs, their geoeffectiveness in cycle 24 was very low. The average Dst index in the sheath and cloud portions in cycle 24 was -33 nT and -23 nT, compared to -66 nT and -55 nT, respectively in cycle 23. One of the key outcomes of this investigation is that the reduction in the strength of geomagnetic storms as measured by the Dst index is a direct consequence of the reduction in the factor VBz (the product of the MC speed and the out-of-the-ecliptic component of the MC magnetic field). The reduction in MC-to-ambient total pressure in cycle 24 is compensated for by the reduction in the mean MC speed, resulting in the constancy of the dimensionless expansion rate at 1 AU. -
Magnetic Cloud Field Intensities and Solar Wind Velocities
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 25, NO. 7, PAGES 963-966, APRIL 1, 1998 Magnetic cloud field intensitiesand solar wind velocities W. D. Gonzalez, A. L. (",Idade Go•zalez, A. Da.1La,go Institute Nacional de PesquisasEspaciais, She Jos6dos Campos, SP, Brasil B. T. Tsurutani, .1. K. Arballo, G. K. La,klfina,B. Butt, C. M. SpacePla.sma Physics, Jet PropulsionLaboratory, C, Mifornia Institute of Technology,Pasadena, S.-T. Wu (',enterfor SpacePlasma and AeronomicResearch, and Departmentof Mechanicaland Aerospace Engineering,The 11niversityof Alabamain Huntsville,Huntsville Abstract. For the sets of magnetic clo•ds studied in this work [Dungcy,1961 ]. In the aboveexpression, v is the so- we have shown the existence of a relationship between lar wind velocity and Bs is the southward component their peak magneticfield strength and peak velocity of the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF). Gonzalez values, with a clear tendencythat, cloudswhich move and Tsurutani [1987]have establishedempirically that at,higher speeds also possess higher core magnetic field the interplanetary electric field must be greater than 5 strengths.This resultsuggests a possibleintrinsic prop- mV/m for longerthan 3 hoursto createa Dst _• --100 erty of magneticclouds and alsoimplies a geophysical nT magnetic storm. This correspondsto a southward consequence.The relativelylow field strengthsat low field component larger than 12.5 nT for a solar wind velocitiesis pres•mablythe causeof the lackof intense speedof • 400 km/s. stormsduring low speede. jecta. There is alsoan indi- Although the positive correlation })el,weenfast (',MEs cation that, this type of behavior is peculiar for mag- and magnetic storms have been stressedand is reason- netic clouds, whereas other types of non cloud-driver ably well understood, little attention has been paid to gasevents do not,seem to showa similarrelationship, the opposite question, why don't, slow CMEs lead to at least,for the data studied in this paper. -
Extreme Solar Eruptions and Their Space Weather Consequences Nat
Extreme Solar Eruptions and their Space Weather Consequences Nat Gopalswamy NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD 20771, USA Abstract: Solar eruptions generally refer to coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and flares. Both are important sources of space weather. Solar flares cause sudden change in the ionization level in the ionosphere. CMEs cause solar energetic particle (SEP) events and geomagnetic storms. A flare with unusually high intensity and/or a CME with extremely high energy can be thought of examples of extreme events on the Sun. These events can also lead to extreme SEP events and/or geomagnetic storms. Ultimately, the energy that powers CMEs and flares are stored in magnetic regions on the Sun, known as active regions. Active regions with extraordinary size and magnetic field have the potential to produce extreme events. Based on current data sets, we estimate the sizes of one-in-hundred and one-in-thousand year events as an indicator of the extremeness of the events. We consider both the extremeness in the source of eruptions and in the consequences. We then compare the estimated 100-year and 1000-year sizes with the sizes of historical extreme events measured or inferred. 1. Introduction Human society experienced the impact of extreme solar eruptions that occurred on October 28 and 29 in 2003, known as the Halloween 2003 storms. Soon after the occurrence of the associated solar flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs) at the Sun, people were expecting severe impact on Earth’s space environment and took appropriate actions to safeguard technological systems in space and on the ground.