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Second Report MAY JUNE 14 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 28 29 30 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 ELECTION DAY 22 23 24 25 26 27 31 EMR #01 PRESIDENTIAL DEBATE ELECTION MONITORING 02 REPORT TWITTER DATA OVERALL TWEET FREQUENCY ABOUT THE DATA This report draws on data collected on social media between May 22 and May 27. There were 14,464 tweets that included the Iranian 1483 331 presidential candidates' names. The most GHARAZI AREF tweeted about candidate was Saeed Jalili, Iran's nuclear negotiator. 1638 881 ROWHANI HADDAD-ADEL 2117 REZAEI 14464 TOTAL TWEETS 1140 GHALIBAF 977 VELAYATI 5897 SAEED JALILI ABOUT THE DATA PEOPLE WORTH FOLLOWING We've been keeping an eye on a few influential people as well, including disqualified candidates Rafsanjani (who already had two terms as president in the 1990s) and Mashaei, and the well known reformist Mohammad 2420 Khatami. Will fervour for them fade? ESFANDIAR RAHIM MASHAEI 684 MOHAMMAD KHATAMI 11642 TOTAL TWEETS 8538 ALI-AKBAR HASHEMI RAFSANJANI WORD FREQUENCY MAY 21 MAY 22-27 This comparison shows the comparison between the top words from the previous reporting period and the data gathered during this period. We'll continue to follow the word frequency on Twitter as we move through to the elections, and map out the transformations in narrative. HASHEMI IRAN DISQUALIFIED ROWHANI IRAN VOTE PRESIDENTIAL PRESIDENCY JALILI ELECTORAL MASHAEI JALILI RAFSANJANI PLAN ANNOUNCED PEOPLE VOTE CANDIDATE SMALLMEDIA.ORG.UK ©SMALL MEDIA 2013 // ALI HONARI // DR BRONWEN ROBERTSON // MARAL POURKAZEMI CANDIDATE PROFILE: Politician and academic. The vice president under President Mohammad Khatami MOHAMMAD REZA AREF from 2001-2005, and also served as Minister of Technology in Khatami's first cabinet. FACEBOOK DATA ABOUT THE DATA On Facebook we are monitoring the campaign and support pages for each of the candidates and tracking the growth of their 'likes' over MAY 27 time. These are not official Facebook pages for the candidates, because that would not be permitted in Iran. facebook.com/ facebook.com/ DRMOHAMMADREZAAREF CAMPAIGN OF HOPE MAY 21 TWITTER DATA MOST SHARED TWEET TWEET SENTIMENT @SAYEHFEYZI 34% POSITIVE “LAST TIME THE REFORMISTS’ 331 CANDIDATE WAS MOEEIN, TOTAL TWEETS THIS TIME ITS AREF!“ NEGATIVE NEUTRAL WORD FREQUENCY MAY 22 - MAY 28 59% MOEEIN (Previous Candidate) 7% SATIRICAL REFORMIST ABOUT THE DATA We have coded a sample of tweets for each LAW of the candidates to assess whether the senti- ment of online communication is typically positive/negative/neutral or satirical. The most re-shared tweets are typically satirical and DISCONNECT make fun of the elections and the prevailing attitude is quite negative among those on ROWHANI Twitter. PLAN SMALLMEDIA.ORG.UK ©SMALL MEDIA 2013 // ALI HONARI // DR BRONWEN ROBERTSON // MARAL POURKAZEMI CANDIDATE PROFILE: Politician, professor and former military/police commander. He has been mayor of Tehran since 2005, when the previous mayor, Mahmoud Ahma- MOHAMMAD-BAGHER GHALIBAF dinejad, left the role for his presidency. FACEBOOK DATA ABOUT THE DATA On Facebook we are monitoring the campaign and support pages for each of the candidates and tracking the growth of their 'likes' over time. These are not official Facebook pages for MAY 21 the candidates, because that would not be facebook.com/ MAY 27 permitted in Iran. HAVADAR.MAHBOB facebook.com/ WWW.HAVADAR.IR facebook.com/ GHALIBAFOFFICIAL TWITTER DATA MOST SHARED TWEET TWEET SENTIMENT @ANBARBAZAN 19% POSITIVE “WOOD IS BECOMING AN IMPORTANT 1140 ICON FOR THE ELECTIONS. FIRST GHALIBAF, TOTAL TWEETS WHO BEAT PEOPLE WITH A TRUNCHEON DURING THE [1998 STUDENT] PROTESTS, NOW JALILI, WHO THINKS WE CAN 41% NEGATIVE BUILD OUR ECONOMY ON ICECREAM STICKS“ NEUTRAL WORD FREQUENCY MAY 22 - MAY 28 11% JALILI 15% SATIRICAL ELECTION ABOUT THE DATA We have coded a sample of tweets for each VOTE of the candidates to assess whether the senti- ment of online communication is typically positive/negative/neutral or satirical. The most VELAYATI re-shared tweets are typically satirical and make fun of the elections and the prevailing attitude is quite negative among those on PRESIDENT Twitter. TRUNCHEON SMALLMEDIA.ORG.UK ©SMALL MEDIA 2013 // ALI HONARI // DR BRONWEN ROBERTSON // MARAL POURKAZEMI CANDIDATE PROFILE: Allegedly a member of the MEK until 1983, he served as Minister of Petroleum and Minister of Post and MOHAMMAD GHARAZI belonged to the Iranian parliament. He has been relatively absent from politics for the past decade. FACEBOOK DATA ABOUT THE DATA On Facebook we are monitoring the campaign and support pages for each of the candidates and tracking the growth of their 'likes' over time. These are not official Facebook pages for the candidates, because that would not be permitted in Iran. facebook.com/ MAY 21 KMPYNHMAYTAZMHNDSM HMDGHRDYDRANTKHABAT92 MAY 27 TWITTER DATA MOST SHARED TWEET TWEET SENTIMENT @AMMARHZR 8% POSITIVE “I’M PRETTY SURE GHARAZI GIVES HIS 1483 MOBILE PHONE TO HIS WIFE AND ASKS TOTAL TWEETS HER TO FILM HIM SPEAKING AND THEN USES THOSE CLIPS AS HIS CAMPAIGN VIDEOS“ 17% NEGATIVE 21% NEUTRAL WORD FREQUENCY MAY 22 - MAY 28 VOTE 54% SATIRICAL ELECT ABOUT THE DATA We have coded a sample of tweets for each JALILI of the candidates to assess whether the senti- ment of online communication is typically positive/negative/neutral or satirical. The most re-shared tweets are typically satirical and QUALIFICATION make fun of the elections and the prevailing attitude is quite negative among those on REZAEI Twitter. PLAN SMALLMEDIA.ORG.UK ©SMALL MEDIA 2013 // ALI HONARI // DR BRONWEN ROBERTSON // MARAL POURKAZEMI CANDIDATE PROFILE: Member of the Society of Devotees of the Islamic Revolution, he is a philosopher, politician, and is the former chairman of the Iranian parliament. His daughter is mar- GHOLAM-ALI HADDAD-ADEL ried to the son of the Supreme Leader of Iran. FACEBOOK DATA ABOUT THE DATA On Facebook we are monitoring the campaign and support pages for each of the candidates and tracking the growth of their 'likes' over MAY 27 time. These are not official Facebook pages for the candidates, because that would not be permitted in Iran. facebook.com/ facebook.com/ HADADADEL HADADADEL.IR MAY 21 TWITTER DATA MOST SHARED TWEET TWEET SENTIMENT @VAHID 6% POSITIVE “MEDIA FRENZY SAYS: 881 POLITICAL BACKBENCHERS ARE TOTAL TWEETS USELESS, HADAD IS USELESS“ 56% NEGATIVE 6% NEUTRAL WORD FREQUENCY MAY 22 - MAY 28 33% SATIRICAL HASHEMI ABOUT THE DATA RACE We have coded a sample of tweets for each of the candidates to assess whether the senti- ment of online communication is typically JALILI positive/negative/neutral or satirical. The most re-shared tweets are typically satirical and make fun of the elections and the prevailing attitude is quite negative among those on ELECTION Twitter. WRESTLE VOTE SMALLMEDIA.ORG.UK ©SMALL MEDIA 2013 // ALI HONARI // DR BRONWEN ROBERTSON // MARAL POURKAZEMI CANDIDATE PROFILE: Is known as a 'living martyr', having lost his leg during the Iran-Iraq War. and runs his campaign under the slogan "Resistance". He is currently the Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council and the SAEED JALILI country's chief nuclear negotiator. FACEBOOK DATA ABOUT THE DATA On Facebook we are monitoring the campaign and support pages for each of the candidates and tracking the growth of their 'likes' over MAY 21 time. These are not official Facebook pages for facebook.com/ MAY 27 the candidates, because that would not be TERIBON permitted in Iran. facebook.com/ DR.SAEED.JALILI facebook.com/ SAEIDJALILI92 TWITTER DATA MOST SHARED TWEET TWEET SENTIMENT @AMIRAZAD_ 21% POSITIVE “GIVEN THE FACT THAT JALILI’S ACADEMIC 5897 EXPERTISE IS ON INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS TOTAL TWEETS DURING THE EARLY YEARS OF ISLAM, NEGATIVE I THINK THE FIRST THING ON HIS AGENDA 46% AS PRESIDENT OF IRAN SHOULD BE TO BUILD A MOAT [REFERRING TO THE BATTLE OF KHANDAQ] AROUND IRAN“ 12% NEUTRAL WORD FREQUENCY MAY 22 - MAY 28 PRESIDENT 21% SATIRICAL ABOUT THE DATA CATHERINE ASHTON We have coded a sample of tweets for each of the candidates to assess whether the senti- ment of online communication is typically positive/negative/neutral or satirical. The most HASHEMI re-shared tweets are typically satirical and make fun of the elections and the prevailing attitude is quite negative among those on VOTE Twitter. AHMADINEJAD RACE SMALLMEDIA.ORG.UK ©SMALL MEDIA 2013 // ALI HONARI // DR BRONWEN ROBERTSON // MARAL POURKAZEMI CANDIDATE PROFILE: Politician, economist, and former military commander who is currently the secretary of Iran's Expedien- cy Discernment Council. He is closely affiliated with the news website Tabnak. He focuses on economic MOHSEN REZAEI issues for his campaign. FACEBOOK DATA ABOUT THE DATA On Facebook we are monitoring the campaign and support pages for each of the candidates and tracking the growth of their 'likes' over MAY 27 time. These are not official Facebook pages for the candidates, because that would not be permitted in Iran. facebook.com/ facebook.com/ WWW.REZAEE.IR MREZAEI.IR MAY 21 TWITTER DATA MOST SHARED TWEET TWEET SENTIMENT @MOHAM_MADR 13% POSITIVE “MOHSEN REZAII WILL NEVER BE DISQUALIFIED 2117 AND WILL NEVER BE ELECTED, HE WILL JUST TOTAL TWEETS 13% NEGATIVE MOVE FROM ONE ELECTION TO ANOTHER / ACCORDING TO THE LAW OF CONSERVATION OF ELECTIONS [REFERRING SATIRICALLY TO THE LAW OF CONSERVATION OF ENERGY]“ 14% NEUTRAL WORD FREQUENCY MAY 22 - MAY 28 61% SATIRICAL VOTE ABOUT THE DATA We have coded a sample of tweets for each of the candidates to assess whether the senti- ment of online communication is typically QUALIFICATION positive/negative/neutral or satirical. The most re-shared tweets are typically satirical and make fun of the elections and the prevailing DISQUALIFICATION attitude is quite negative among those on Twitter.
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