Numerical Simulation of Intense Multi-Scale Vortices Generated by Supercell Thunderstorms

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

Numerical Simulation of Intense Multi-Scale Vortices Generated by Supercell Thunderstorms Numerical Simulation of Intense Multi-Scale Vortices Generated by Supercell Thunderstorms by Catherine A. Finley PI: Roger A. Pielke Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado State University Fort Collins, Colorado NSF ATM-9306754 and ATM-9420045 NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF INTENSE MULTI-SCALE VORTICES GENERATED BY SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS by Catherine A. Finley Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado State University Fort Collins, CO 80523 Research Supported by National Science Foundation under Grants ATM-9306754 and ATM-9420045 December 19, 1997 Atmospheric Science Paper No. 640 ABSTRACT NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF INTENSE MULTI-SCALE VORTICES GENERATED BY SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS A nested grid primitive equation model (RAMS version 3b) is used to study various aspects of tornadoes and the thunderstorms that produce them. A unique aspect of these simulations is that the model was initialized with synoptic data, and telescoping grids allow atmospheric flows ranging from the synoptic-scale down to sub-tornado-scale vortices to be represented in the model. Two different case studies were simulated in this study: June 30, 1993, and May 15, 1991. The June 30, 1993, simulation produced a classical supercell storm which developed at the intersection between a stationary front and an outflow boundary generated by previ­ ous convection. As the simulation progressed, additional storms developed west of the main storm along the stationary front. One of these storms interacted with the main storm to pro­ duce a single supercell storm. This storm had many characteristics of a high-precipitation (HP) supercell, and eventually evolved into a bow-echo. The transition of the storm into a bow-echo is discussed and possible physical processes responsible for the transition are presented. The June 30, 1993, simulated supercell produced two weak tornadoes. The first tor­ nado developed along the flanking line of the storm to the southeast of the mesocyclone. The second tornado developed along a strong horizontal shear zone beneath the rotating comma-head structure of the HP supercell. Neither tornado was clearly linked to the meso­ cyclone in the parent storm, and both tornadoes formed first near the surface and then developed upward with time. Circulation and vorticity analyses were used to investigate the tornadogenesis process in this case. Results from these analyses indicated that the circulation associated with both tornadoes was already present at low-levels in the storm environment 15-20 minutes before the tornadoes developed. Although the baroclinic term associated with the downdraft air made a negligible contribution to the circulation in this case, the downdraft played an important role in tilting horizontal vorticity into the verti- cal just above the surface in the near tornado environment where horizontal convergence could then act to amplify it. A comparison with the proposed tornadogenesis process( es) in classical supercells is also presented. The May 15, 1991, simulation produced a classical supercell which developed along the dryline in the Texas panhandle. This supercell in turn produced a tornado which lasted for 50 minutes in the simulation. During a ten minute period toward the end of the simulation, six secondary vortices developed within the main tornado vortex. The simulated secondary vortices had many features in common with multiple-vortex tornadoes and secondary vortices produced in laboratory vortices. The evolution and structure of the simulated secondary vortices is presented, and physical mechanisms responsible for their development and dissipation are discussed. Catherine A. Finley Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado State University Fort Collins, Colorado 80523 Spring 1998 11 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS There are many people who have contributed greatly to my graduate experience here at CSU. First I would like to thank my advisor, Roger Pielke, for allowing me to pursue my own path through my graduate studies. Bill Cotton, Sonia Kreidenweis and Bob Meroney are thanked for taking the time to serve on my committee. Special thanks are given to Bill Cotton who also acted in the unofficial role of co-advisor. Without his support, completion of this work would not have been possible. John Lee is thanked for 'showing me the ropes' with the RAMS model. His willingness to share his knowledge of numerical modeling benefited me greatly throughout the course of this work. I would also like to thank Bob Walko for patiently answering questions about the model, and for his help and advice when model problems arose or when code modifications were needed. Louie Grasso and Bob Walko are thanked for many thought-provoking discussions on tornadoes, tornadogenesis and related topics, from which I benefited greatly. Ligia Bernardet and Jason Nachamkin are thanked for their moral support, and for many en­ lightening discussions on the dynamical and modeling aspects of convective systems. My office mates Tom Chase, Jerry Harrington and Mark Sellers are thanked for providing comic relief in times of extreme stress, and for insightful discussions on science, philosophy, and the MRHLF. I would also like to thank the following people who have provided moral and/or technical support during the course of my graduate work: Donna Chester, James Cizek, Jeff Copeland, Brian Gaudet, Louie and Karen Grasso, Richard and Margaret Finley, Abby Hodges, Tara Jensen, Dallas McDonald, Brenda Thompson, Bill Thorson and Jane Wilkins. Finally I would like to acknowledge the people who have had the greatest impact on my life. I would like to thank my parents, Emil and Mary Hamann, for supporting and encouraging me to 'take the road less traveled' and pursue a career in science. Lastly and iii most importantly, I would like to thank my husband Steve for his unwaivering support and love during this long and arduous journey. lV TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Introduction 1 2 Background 4 2.1 Environmental Factors. 4 2.2 Supercell Thunderstorms 6 2.2.1 The Supercell Spectrum 8 2.2.2 Origins of Updraft Rotation. 14 2.3 Tornadoes and Tornadogenesis 21 2.3.1 Observations ......... 22 2.3.2 Modelling Studies ...... 27 2.4 Secondary Vortices and Vortex Stability 35 2.4.1 Observations . 35 2.4.2 Laboratory Studies. 37 2.4.3 Analytical/Numerical Modeling Studies 44 3 Case Overviews 62 3.1 June 30, 1993 Case. 62 3.2 May 15, 1991 Case . 63 4 Model Description and Configuration 74 4.1 PE Model ............ 74 4.2 Data Sets and Initial Conditions 76 4.3 Model Configuration . 78 4.3.1 June 30, 1993 Case. 78 4.3.2 May 15, 1991 case . 79 5 Simulated June 30, 1993 HP Supercell 84 5.1 Storm Evolution and Structure ..... 84 5.2 Further Analysis of Bow-echo Transition .. 93 5.2.1 Gravity Waves . 94 5.2.2 Cold Pool Dynamics .. 100 5.3 Summary and Discussion 104 6 June 30, 1993 Simulated Tornadoes 146 6.1 Development and Evolution of T1 148 6.2 Development and Evolution of T2 153 6.3 Tornadogenesis . 158 6.3.1 Circulation and Vorticity 158 6.3.2 June 30-T1 . 162 6.3.3 June 30-T2 ....... 171 v 6.4 Comparison of Tornadogenesis Processes with Previous Studies 180 7 Simulated Secondary Vortices-May 15, 1991 Case 224 7.1 Overview of May 15,1991 Simulation ....................... 225 7.2 Evolution and Structure of the Secondary Vortices . .. 227 7.3 Comparison of Model Results with Observations, Laboratory Studies and Pre- vious Modeling Work . 233 7.4 Summary and Discussion .............................. 237 8 Summary, Conclusions, and Future Work 270 8.1 June 30, 1993, HP Supercell Simulation .. 270 8.2 June 30, 1993 Tornado Simulation .. 271 8.3 Simulated Secondary Vortices-May 15, 1991 Case. 272 8.4 Suggestions for Future Research .......... 272 vi LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS API Antecedent Precipitation Index BLV Boundary Layer Vortices BRN Convective Bulk Richardson Number BWER Bounded Weak Echo Region CAPE Convective Available Potential Energy CCOPE Cooperative Convective Precipitation Experiment DPE Dynamic Pipe Effect FFD Forward Flank Downdraft HP High Precipitation HSI Horizontal Shear Instability LCL Lifting Condensation Level LFC Level of Free Convection LP Low Precipitation MCC Mesoscale Convective Complex MCS Mesoscale Convective System NCEP National Center for Environmental Prediction NST Non-Supercell Tornado PBL Planetary Boundary Layer PV Parent Vortex RAMS Regional Atmospheric Modeling System Re Reynolds Number RFD Rear Flank Downdraft SREH Storm-Relative Environmental Helicity SST Sea Surface Temperature SV Secondary Vortex TVS Tornado Vortex Signature UTC Universal Time Coordinate VORTEX Verifications of the Origins of Rotation in Tornadoes EXperiment vii Chapter 1 INTRODUCTION We were among the first to arrive at the scene of the disaster; and our pen fails entirely to depict the sight which met our view. We found the town, as the messenger had reported, literally blown to pieces, and destruction and death scattered everywhere with the sweep of destruction. The first pile that met our eye was the ruins of the Millard House, occupied by H.G. Sessions, formerly of Erie, Pa. This was a three-story brick hotel; and it could not have been more effectively destroyed had a barrel of gunpowder exploded within its walls. The inmates were all more or less hurt. From this we proceeded to look about the town, and we found that hardly a house was left uninjured, and that many of them were swept entirely away. -Press report printed in the Lyons City Advocate (Iowa), June 4, 1860 The above quotation was taken from a press report describing the scene in the town of Camanche, Iowa, following the passage of a tornado late in the day on June 3, 1860 (Stanford 1987). Tornadoes are among the most violent storms on earth. Winds associated with tornadoes can reach in excess of 100ms-1 (225 mph) leaving damage paths 3km wide in extreme cases (Davies-Jones 1983). Fortunately, less than 10% of all reported thunderstorms produce severe weather (Doswell 1985) and few of these actually produce tornadoes.
Recommended publications
  • Art Directable Tornadoes
    ART DIRECTABLE TORNADOES A Thesis by RAVINDRA DWIVEDI Submitted to the Office of Graduate Studies of Texas A&M University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MASTER OF SCIENCE May 2011 Major Subject: Visualization Art Directable Tornadoes Copyright 2011 Ravindra Dwivedi ART DIRECTABLE TORNADOES A Thesis by RAVINDRA DWIVEDI Submitted to the Office of Graduate Studies of Texas A&M University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MASTER OF SCIENCE Approved by: Chair of Committee, Vinod Srinivasan Committee Members, John Keyser Wei Yan Head of Department, Tim McLaughlin May 2011 Major Subject: Visualization iii ABSTRACT Art Directable Tornadoes. (May 2011) Ravindra Dwivedi, B.E., Rajiv Gandhi Proudyogiki Vishwavidyalaya Chair of Advisory Committee: Dr. Vinod Srinivasan Tornado simulations in the visual effects industry have always been an interesting problem. Developing tools to provide more control over such effects is an important and challenging task. Current methods to achieve these effects use either particle systems or fluid simulation. Particle systems give a lot of control over the simulation but do not take into account the fluid characteristics of tornadoes. The other method which involves fluid simulation models the fluid behavior accurately but does not give control over the simulation. In this thesis, a novel method to model tornado behavior is presented. A tool based on this method was also created. The method proposed in this thesis uses a hybrid approach that combines the flexibility of particle systems while producing interesting swirling motions inherent in the fluids. The main focus of the research is on providing easy-to-use controls for art directors to help them achieve the desired look of the simulation effectively.
    [Show full text]
  • Central Region Technical Attachment 95-08 Examination of an Apparent
    CRH SSD APRIL 1995 CENTRAL REGION TECHNICAL ATTACHMENT 95-08 EXAMINATION OF AN APPARENT LANDSPOUT IN THE EASTERN BLACK HILLS OF WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA David L. Hintz1 and Matthew J. Bunkers National Weather Service Office Rapid City, South Dakota 1. Abstract On June 29, 1994, an apparent landspout occurred in the Black Hills of South Dakota. This landspout exhibited most of the features characteristic of traditional landspouts documented in eastern Colorado. The landspout lasted 3 to 8 minutes, had a width of less than 20 m and a path of 1 to 3 km, produced estimated wind speeds of Fl intensity (33 to 50 m s1), and emanated from a towering cumulus (TCU) cloud located along a quasi-stationary convergencq/cyclonic shear zone. No radar echo was observed with this event; however, a supercell thunderstorm was located 80-100 km to the east. National Weather Service meteorologists surveyed the “very localized” damage area and ruled out the possibility of the landspout being related to microburst, gustnado, or dust devil activity, as winds away from the landspout were less than 3 m s1. The landspout apparently “detached” from the parent TCU and damaged a farm which resulted in $1,000 dollars in expenses. 2. Introduction During the late 1980’s and early 1990’s researchers documented a phe­ nomenon with subtle differences from traditional tornadoes and waterspouts, herein referred to as the landspout (Seargent 1994; Brady and Szoke 1988, 1989; Bluestein 1985). The term “landspout” was actually coined by Bluestein (I985)(in the formal literature) when he observed this type of vortex along an Oklahoma squall line.
    [Show full text]
  • Doppler Radar Observations of Anticyclonic Tornadoes in Cyclonically Rotating, Right-Moving Supercells
    APRIL 2016 B L U E S T E I N E T A L . 1591 Doppler Radar Observations of Anticyclonic Tornadoes in Cyclonically Rotating, Right-Moving Supercells HOWARD B. BLUESTEIN School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma, Norman, Oklahoma MICHAEL M. FRENCH School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, New York JEFFREY C. SNYDER Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies, University of Oklahoma, and NOAA/OAR National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, Oklahoma JANA B. HOUSER Department of Geography, Ohio University, Athens, Ohio (Manuscript received 31 August 2015, in final form 27 January 2016) ABSTRACT Supercells dominated by mesocyclones, which tend to propagate to the right of the tropospheric pressure- weighted mean wind, on rare occasions produce anticyclonic tornadoes at the trailing end of the rear-flank gust front. More frequently, mesoanticyclones are found at this location, most of which do not spawn any tornadoes. In this paper, four cases are discussed in which the formation of anticyclonic tornadoes was documented in the plains by mobile or fixed-site Doppler radars. These brief case studies include the analysis of Doppler radar data for tornadoes at the following dates and locations: 1) 24 April 2006, near El Reno, Oklahoma; 2) 23 May 2008, near Ellis, Kansas; 3) 18 March 2012, near Willow, Oklahoma; and 4) 31 May 2013, near El Reno, Oklahoma. Three of these tornadoes were also documented photographically. In all of these cases, a strong mesocyclone (i.e., vortex signature characterized by azimuthal shear in excess of ;5 3 2 2 2 10 3 s 1 or a 20 m s 1 change in Doppler velocity over 5 km) or tornado was observed ;10 km away from the anticyclonic tornado.
    [Show full text]
  • Storm Spotting – Solidifying the Basics PROFESSOR PAUL SIRVATKA COLLEGE of DUPAGE METEOROLOGY Focus on Anticipating and Spotting
    Storm Spotting – Solidifying the Basics PROFESSOR PAUL SIRVATKA COLLEGE OF DUPAGE METEOROLOGY HTTP://WEATHER.COD.EDU Focus on Anticipating and Spotting • What do you look for? • What will you actually see? • Can you identify what is going on with the storm? Is Gilbert married? Hmmmmm….rumor has it….. Its all about the updraft! Not that easy! • Various types of storms and storm structures. • A tornado is a “big sucky • Obscuration of important thing” and underneath the features make spotting updraft is where it forms. difficult. • So find the updraft! • The closer you are to a storm the more difficult it becomes to make these identifications. Conceptual models Reality is much harder. Basic Conceptual Model Sometimes its easy! North Central Illinois, 2-28-17 (Courtesy of Matt Piechota) Other times, not so much. Reality usually is far more complicated than our perfect pictures Rain Free Base Dusty Outflow More like reality SCUD Scattered Cumulus Under Deck Sigh...wall clouds! • Wall clouds help spotters identify where the updraft of a storm is • Wall clouds may or may not be present with tornadic storms • Wall clouds may be seen with any storm with an updraft • Wall clouds may or may not be rotating • Wall clouds may or may not result in tornadoes • Wall clouds should not be reported unless there is strong and easily observable rotation noted • When a clear slot is observed, a well written or transmitted report should say as much Characteristics of a Tornadic Wall Cloud • Surface-based inflow • Rapid vertical motion (scud-sucking) • Persistent • Persistent rotation Clear Slot • The key, however, is the development of a clear slot Prof.
    [Show full text]
  • A WSR-88D Approach to Waterspout Forecasting
    A WSR-88D Approach to Waterspout Forecasting LT(jg) Barry K. Choy, NOAA Corps and Scott M. Spratt National Weather Service Office Melbourne, FL Abstract The WSR-88D is being installed at National Weather Service (NWS) forecast and warning offices and many military installations across the county. The added capabilities of the WSR-88D over conventional radar provides the forecaster a multitude of products which allow a more complete interrogation of small scale weather features. In Florida, waterspouts and weak tornadoes account for much of the state's severe weather. They have been observed to form under certain synoptic conditions, most often during the summer and fall. Along the east-central Florida coast, waterspouts and weak tornadoes are most frequent in a relatively small area near Cape Canaveral. Observing and identifying small scale boundary interactions and the intensification of convective cells in this region using WSR-88D products from the Melbourne NWS office has proven useful in forecasting these situations. This paper will begin by providing a brief overview of the waterspout formation process. It also offers a forecast strategy developed for the east central Florida coast using specific WSR-88D products to recognize precursor signatures to waterspout and weak tornado formation. Once a high potential for waterspout formation exists, a special statement can be issued to heighten public awareness. An example of such a statement is provided. While the techniques introduced here were designed for the east-central Florida coast, they may be applicable at other coastal offices equipped with the WSR-88D. 1. Introduction The east-central Florida coast is affected by several waterspouts and tornadoes each year.
    [Show full text]
  • Warm-Core Formation in Tropical Storm Humberto (2001)
    APRIL 2012 D O L L I N G A N D B A R N E S 1177 Warm-Core Formation in Tropical Storm Humberto (2001) KLAUS DOLLING AND GARY M. BARNES University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, Hawaii (Manuscript received 27 July 2011, in final form 18 October 2011) ABSTRACT At 0600 UTC 22 September 2001, Humberto was a tropical depression with a minimum central pressure of 1010 hPa. Twelve hours later, when the first global positioning system dropwindsondes (GPS sondes) were jettisoned, Humberto’s minimum central pressure was 1000 hPa and it had attained tropical storm strength. Thirty GPS sondes, radar from the WP-3D, and in situ aircraft measurements are utilized to observe ther- modynamic structures in Humberto and their relationship to stratiform and convective elements during the early stage of the formation of an eye. The analysis of Tropical Storm Humberto offers a new view of the pre-wind-induced surface heat exchange (pre-WISHE) stage of tropical cyclone evolution. Humberto contained a mesoscale convective vortex (MCV) similar to observations of other developing tropical systems. The MCV advects the exhaust from deep con- vection in the form of an anvil cyclonically over the low-level circulation center. On the trailing edge of the anvil an area of mesoscale descent induces dry adiabatic warming in the lower troposphere. The nascent warm core at low levels causes the initial drop in pressure at the surface and acts to cap the boundary layer (BL). As BL air flows into the nascent eye, the energy content increases until the energy is released from under the cap on the down shear side of the warm core in the form of vigorous cumulonimbi, which become the nascent eyewall.
    [Show full text]
  • Mesoscale Convective Complexes: an Overview by Harold Reynolds a Report Submitted in Conformity with the Requirements for the De
    Mesoscale Convective Complexes: An Overview By Harold Reynolds A report submitted in conformity with the requirements for the degree of Master of Science in the University of Toronto © Harold Reynolds 1990 Table of Contents 1. What is a Mesoscale Convective Complex?........................................................................................ 3 2. Why Study Mesoscale Convective Complexes?..................................................................................3 3. The Internal Structure and Life Cycle of an MCC...............................................................................4 3.1 Introduction.................................................................................................................................... 4 3.2 Genesis........................................................................................................................................... 5 3.3 Growth............................................................................................................................................6 3.4 Maturity and Decay........................................................................................................................ 7 3.5 Heat and Moisture Budgets............................................................................................................ 8 4. Precipitation......................................................................................................................................... 8 5. Mesoscale Warm-Core Vortices.......................................................................................................
    [Show full text]
  • Chapter 3 Mesoscale Processes and Severe Convective Weather
    CHAPTER 3 JOHNSON AND MAPES Chapter 3 Mesoscale Processes and Severe Convective Weather RICHARD H. JOHNSON Department of Atmospheric Science. Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado BRIAN E. MAPES CIRESICDC, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado REVIEW PANEL: David B. Parsons (Chair), K. Emanuel, J. M. Fritsch, M. Weisman, D.-L. Zhang 3.1. Introduction tion, mesoscale phenomena occur on horizontal scales between ten and several hundred kilometers. This Severe convective weather events-tornadoes, hail­ range generally encompasses motions for which both storms, high winds, flash floods-are inherently mesoscale ageostrophic advections and Coriolis effects are im­ phenomena. While the large-scale flow establishes envi­ portant (Emanuel 1986). In general, we apply such a ronmental conditions favorable for severe weather, pro­ definition here; however, strict application is difficult cesses on the mesoscale initiate such storms, affect their since so many mesoscale phenomena are "multiscale." evolution, and influence their environment. A rich variety For example, a -100-km-Iong gust front can be less of mesocale processes are involved in severe weather, than -1 km across. The triggering of a storm by the ranging from environmental preconditioning to storm initi­ collision of gust fronts can actually occur on a ation to feedback of convection on the environment. In the -lOO-m scale (the microscale). Nevertheless, we will space available, it is not possible to treat all of these treat this overall process (and others similar to it) as processes in detail. Rather, we will introduce s~veral mesoscale since gust fronts are generally regarded as general classifications of mesoscale processes relatmg to mesoscale phenomena.
    [Show full text]
  • Presentation
    5.4 A SUMMARY OF DATA COLLECTED DURING VORTEX2 BY MWR-05XP/TWOLF, UMASS X-POL, AND THE UMASS W-BAND RADAR Howard B. Bluestein*, M. M. French, J. B. Houser, J. C. Snyder, R. L. Tanamachi School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma, Norman I. PopStefanija and C. Baldi ProSensing, Inc., Amherst, Massachusetts G. D. Emmitt Simpson Weather Associates, Charlottesville, Virginia V. Venkatesh, K. Orzel, and S. J. Frasier Microwave Remote Sensing Laboratory, University of Massachusetts, Amherst R. T. Bluth CIRPAS, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, California 1. INTRODUCTION During VORTEX2, three scanning, mobile, truck-mounted Doppler radars and a mobile, scanning Doppler lidar were used in the field by a group of faculty and graduate students from the University of Oklahoma (OU), supported by personnel from the institutions given above. These platforms were part of the VORTEX2 armada. A scout car from OU assisted with field operations. The U. Mass. W-band radar (Fig. 1) (e.g., Bluestein et al. 2007a) has been used since 1993. It has a half-power beamwidth of 0 0.18 and is used mainly to probe tornadoes Figure 1. U. Mass. W-band radar probing a at high spatial resolution, near the ground, tornado in Goshen County, Wyoming on 5 June from a range of 10 - 15 km or less. 2009. © R. Tanamachi The U. Mass. X-Pol radar (Fig. 2) is an X- band, polarimetric radar, whose antenna has identify polarimetric signatures in supercells 0 a half-power beamwidth of 1.25 . It has (Snyder et al. 2010). been used since 2001 without Doppler or The MWR-05XP (Fig.
    [Show full text]
  • Synoptic Conditions Favorable for the Formation of the 15 July 1995 Southeastern Canada/Northeastern U.S
    SYNOPTIC CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR THE FORMATION OF THE 15 JULY 1995 SOUTHEASTERN CANADA/NORTHEASTERN U.S. DERECHO EVENT Mace L. Bentley Climatology Research Laboratory Department of Geography The University of Georgia Athens, Georgia Abstract On 15 July 1995, a derecho-producing mesoscale convective system inflicted considerable damage through southeastern Canada and the northeastern U.S. The synoptic-scale environ­ ment that precluded and persisted during this event is examined \ using swface and upper-air observations, satellite imagery v""--- and numerical model data. Evidence suggests that low-level ~~- - . -,.~ .... moisture inflow and forcing were major factors in initiating \ .-..... ~".... ". and sustaining this progressive warm season derecho event. : "?-.,. ~.:"... Favorable upper-level dynamics produced by jet streak induced Kingston. Ontario circulations were also found over the region. Products from ..------------.:t i the Eta model run initialized 12 hours prior to the event were ". used in the study to fill in between the 0000 UTC and 1200 UTC upper-air sounding times. Manipulation of these data sets was accomplished using GEMPAK 5.2.1. Calculation of 850 hPa moisture transport vectors andfrontogenesis were found to be particularly useful in determining the derecho producing mesoscale convective system's genesis and propagation regions. Future investiga­ tions of these systems should employ these techniques in order to assess their forecast applications. Fig. 1. Approximate track of the DMCS cloud shield on 15 July 1995. 1. Introduction In the early morning hours of 15 July 1995, a derecho­ producing mesoscale convective system (hereafter, DMCS) moved from southern Canada through the northeastern United States (Fig. 1). Widespread wind damage was reported through­ out the Northeast.
    [Show full text]
  • Weather - Tornadoes
    Ducksters Reading- Tornadoes Weather - Tornadoes Tornadoes are one of the most violent and powerful types of weather. They consist of a very fast rotating column of air that usually forms a funnel shape. They can be very dangerous as their high speed winds can break apart buildings, knock down trees, and even toss cars into the air. How do tornadoes form? When we talk about tornadoes, we are usually talking about large tornadoes that occur during thunderstorms. These types of tornadoes form from very tall thunderstorm clouds called cumulonimbus clouds. However, it takes more than just a thunderstorm to cause a tornado. Other conditions must occur for a tornado to form. The typical steps for the formation of a tornado are as follows: 1. A large thunderstorm occurs in a cumulonimbus cloud 2. A change in wind direction and wind speed at high altitudes causes the air to swirl horizontally 3. Rising air from the ground pushes up on the swirling air and tips it over 4. The funnel of swirling air begins to suck up more warm air from the ground 5. The funnel grows longer and stretches toward the ground 6. When the funnel touches the ground it becomes a tornado Characteristics of a Tornado Shape - Tornadoes typically look like a narrow funnel reaching from the clouds down to the ground. Sometimes giant tornadoes can look more like a wedge. Size - Tornadoes can vary widely in size. A typical tornado in the United States is around 500 feet across, but some may be as narrow as just a few feet across or nearly two miles wide.
    [Show full text]
  • Some Basic Elements of Thunderstorm Forecasting
    (] NOAA TECHNICAL MEMORANDUM NWS CR-69 SOME BASIC ELEMENTS OF THUNDERSTORM FORECASTING Richard P. McNulty National Weather Service Forecast Office Topeka, Kansas May 1983 UNITED STATES I Nalion•l Oceanic and I National Weather DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Almospheric Adminislralion Service Malcolm Baldrige. Secretary John V. Byrne, Adm1mstrator Richard E. Hallgren. Director SOME BASIC ELEMENTS OF THUNDERSTORM FORECASTING 1. INTRODUCTION () Convective weather phenomena occupy a very important part of a Weather Service office's forecast and warning responsibilities. Severe thunderstorms require a critical response in the form of watches and warnings. (A severe thunderstorm by National Weather Service definition is one that produces wind gusts of 50 knots or greater, hail of 3/4 inch diameter or larger, and/or tornadoes.) Nevertheless, heavy thunderstorms, those just below severe in­ ·tensity or those producing copious rainfall, also require a certain degree of response in the form of statements and often staffing. (These include thunder­ storms producing hail of any size and/or wind gusts of 35 knots or greater, or storms producing sufficiently intense rainfall to possess a potential for flash flooding.) It must be realized that heavy thunderstorms can have as much or more impact on the public, and require as much action by a forecast office, as do severe thunderstorms. For the purpose of this paper the term "signi­ ficant convection" will refer to a combination of these two thunderstorm classes. · It is the premise of this paper that significant convection, whether heavy or severe, develops from similar atmospheric situations. For effective opera­ tions, forecasters at Weather Service offices should be familiar with those factors which produce significant convection.
    [Show full text]