Dr. Andrew Martin Postdoctoral Scripps Institution of Oceanography
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HMT 2019 Meeting Report
Final Report 27 May 2020 The NOAA Hydrometeorological Testbed (HMT) is a joint OAR-NWS testbed motivated to make communities that are more resilient to the impacts of extreme precipitation on lives, property, water supply and ecosystems. HMT is co-managed by the NWS Weather Prediction Center (WPC) and the OAR Physical Sciences Laboratory (PSL) in partnership with the NWS Office of Water Prediction (OWP). The mission of HMT is “Improving forecasts of extreme precipitation and forcings for hydrologic prediction.” Hydromet Testbed Executive Oversight Council: David Novak, Director, NWS Weather Prediction Center (WPC) Robert S. Webb, Director, OAR/ESRL Physical Sciences Laboratory (PSL) Ed Clark, Director, NWS National Water Center (NWC) Report writing team: Andrea J. Ray, PSL HMT Coordinator James Correia, WPC HMT Coordinator James Nelson, Development and Training Branch Chief, WPC Acknowledgements: Barbara DeLuisi, PSL, report cover design, and Lisa Darby for comments on the report. Cover photo credits: Snow plow: USAF Flooded street: USGS Flood in Denham Springs, LA: DOD People pushing car: DLA Page | 1 Executive Summary The Nation has experienced increasing devastation from heavy precipitation events recently. In just the past 3 years, 13 precipitation-related billion-dollar disasters in the Nation have resulted in over 200 deaths. This trend has dramatically increased the demand and expectations from core decision makers for accurate, consistent, and understandable rainfall forecasts. Heavy precipitation and resulting flash flooding occur across the year with seasonal and geographic variations. The predictability of these events varies with event type, region, and season. Several ongoing NOAA efforts might aid in improving forecasts of extreme precipitation, however, precipitation forecasting from minutes to 10 days is not a focus among these efforts. -
Curriculum Vitae ROBERT JEFFREY TRAPP Department of Atmospheric
Curriculum Vitae ROBERT JEFFREY TRAPP Department of Atmospheric Sciences University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign 105 S. Gregory Street Urbana, Illinois 61801 [email protected] EDUCATION The University of Oklahoma, Ph.D. in Meteorology, 1994 Dissertation: Numerical Simulation of the Genesis of Tornado-Like Vortices Principal Advisor: Prof. Brian H. Fiedler Texas A&M University, M.S. in Meteorology, 1989 Thesis: The Effects of Cloud Base Rotation on Microburst Dynamics-A Numerical Investigation Principal Advisor: Prof. P. Das University of Missouri-Columbia, B.S. in Agriculture/Atmospheric Science, 1985 APPOINTMENTS Professor, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, August 2014-current. Professor, Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Purdue University, August 2010- July 2014. Associate Professor, Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Purdue University, August 2003-August 2010 Research Scientist, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies, University of Oklahoma, and National Severe Storms Laboratory, July 1996-July 2003 Visiting Scientist, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Mesoscale and Microscale Meteorology Division, August 1998-December 2002 National Research Council Postdoctoral Research Fellow, at the National Severe Storms Laboratory, July 1994-June 1996 GRANTS AND FUNDING Principal Investigator, Modulation of convective-draft characteristics and subsequent tornado intensity by the environmental wind and thermodynamics within the Southeast U.S, NOAA, $287,529, 2017-2019 (pending formal approval by NOAA Grants Officer). Principal Investigator, Collaborative Research: Remote sensing of electrictrification, lightning, and mesoscale/microscale processes with adaptive ground observations during RELMPAGO, NSF-AGS, $636,947, 2017-2021. Co-Principal Investigator, Remote sensing of electrification, lightning, and mesoscale/microscale processes with adaptive ground observations (RELMPAGO), NSF-AGS, $23,940, 2016–2017. -
An Idealized Physical Model for the Severe Convective Storm
Generated using the official AMS LATEX template—two-column layout. FOR AUTHOR USE ONLY, NOT FOR SUBMISSION! J OURNALOFTHE A TMOSPHERIC S CIENCES An idealized physical model for the severe convective storm environmental sounding Accepted in Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 2020-10-26, there may still be copy-editing errors DANIEL R. CHAVAS* Purdue University, Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, West Lafayette, IN DANIEL T. DAWSON II Purdue University, Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, West Lafayette, IN ABSTRACT This work develops a theoretical model for steady thermodynamic and kinematic profiles for severe con- vective storm environments, building off of the two-layer static energy framework developed in Agard and Emanuel (2017). The model is phrased in terms of static energy, and it allows for independent variation of the boundary layer and free troposphere separated by a capping inversion. An algorithm is presented to apply the model to generate a sounding for numerical simulations of severe convective storms, and the model is compared and contrasted with that of Weisman and Klemp. The model is then fit to a case-study sounding associated with the 3 May 1999 tornado outbreak, and its potential utility is demonstrated via idealized nu- merical simulation experiments. A long-lived supercell is successfully simulated with the historical sounding but not the analogous theoretical sounding. Two types of example experiments are then performed that do simulate a long-lived supercell: 1) a semi-theoretical experiment in which a portion of the theoretical sound- ing is modified to match the real sounding (low-level moisture); 2) a fully-theoretical experiment in which a model physical parameter is modified (free-tropospheric relative humidity). -
Curriculum Vitae
CURRICULUM VITAE CLIFFORD F. MASS Updated: 04/30/2021 Personal Data Address: Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Box 351640 University of Washington Seattle, Washington 98195 [email protected] (206) 685-0910 Education B.S., Cornell University 1974 Major - Physics Ph.D., University of Washington 1978 Atmospheric Sciences Doctoral Thesis: "A Numerical and Observational Study of African Wave Disturbances." J. R. Holton, adviser. Professional Experience Mid 1981 to Assistant, Associate Professor, and Professor, Department of present Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington. 1978 to mid Assistant Professor, Department of Meteorology, University of 1981 Maryland. Books The Weather of the Pacific Northwest, University of Washington Press The Secrets of Weather Prediction, in preparation. Mass, C., D. Ovens, R. Conrick, and J. Saltenberger, 2021: The 2020 Labor Day wildfires over the Pacific Northwest. Wea. Forecasting. In review. Mass, C., E. Salathe, R. Steed, and J. Baars, 2021: Analysis of the Mesoscale Response to Global Warming over the Pacific Northwes Using a Regional CliMate Model EnseMble. J. AtMos. Sci. In review Weber, N., D. Kim, and C. Mass, 2020: Convectively coupled Kelvin waves in a global convection- permitting model. J. Atmos. Sci,. 78, 1039-1055 Weber, N. J., C. F. Mass, and D. KiM, 2020: The iMpacts of horizontal grid spacing and cumulus paraMeterization on subseasonal prediction in a global convection-permitting model. Mon. Wea. Rev., Accepted for publication. doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0171.1. McClung, B., and C. F. Mass, 2020: The strong, dry winds of Central and Northern California: cliMatology and synoptic evolution. Wea. Forecasting, 35, 2163–2178 Mass, C. -
Hydrometeorology
Hydrometeorology Kevin Sene Hydrometeorology Forecasting and Applications Second Edition Kevin Sene United Kingdom ISBN 978-3-319-23545-5 ISBN 978-3-319-23546-2 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-23546-2 Library of Congress Control Number: 2015949821 Springer Cham Heidelberg New York Dordrecht London © Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2016 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifi cally the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfi lms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specifi c statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained herein or for any errors or omissions that may have been made. Printed on acid-free paper Springer International Publishing AG Switzerland is part of Springer Science+Business Media (www.springer.com) Preface to the Second Edition In addition to the many practical applications, one of the most interesting aspects of hydrometeorology is how quickly techniques change. -
CARIWIN Hydrometeorology and Water Quality Field Course October 1St – 12Th, 2007
CARIWIN Hydrometeorology and Water Quality Field Course October 1st – 12th, 2007 Jointly delivered by: Brace Centre for Water Resources Management, McGill University Caribbean Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology, Barbados Hydrometeorological Service, Min. of Agriculture, Guyana Guyana Water Incorporated CARIWIN Logo Introductions • Field Course Delivery Staff – CIMH – Guyana Ministry of Agriculture – GWI – Brace Centre for Water Resources Management • Attendees – Name – Place of employment – Job title/tasks What do you want to learn from this course? Brace Centre for Water Resources Management Background/Past and Present Projects Outline • History: McGill University • Background: Brace Centre for Water Resources Management • Past and Present Projects McGill University • Oldest university in Montréal (found in 1821) • Two campuses • 11 faculties • Some 300 programs of study • More than 32000 students Macdonald Campus • Located on the western tip of Montréal Island • 650 hectares of facilities and fields • Location for Brace Centre for Water Resources Management Brace Centre for Water Resources Management Mission Statement “The Centre is devoted to the development and promotion of sound economical water management and conservation practices which protect the environment, and land and water resource base, in order to sustain food and fibre production, and enhance quality of life.” Where does the name come from? • Major James Henry Brace (1870-1956): civil engineer who devoted much of his career to water and construction projects in the -
Guidelines on Ensemble Prediction System Postprocessing
Guidelines on Ensemble Prediction System Postprocessing 2021 edition WEATHER CLIMATE WATER CLIMATE WEATHER WMO-No. 1254 Guidelines on Ensemble Prediction System Postprocessing 2021 edition WMO-No. 1254 WMO-No. 1254 © World Meteorological Organization, 2021 The right of publication in print, electronic and any other form and in any language is reserved by WMO. Short extracts from WMO publications may be reproduced without authorization, provided that the complete source is clearly indicated. Editorial correspondence and requests to publish, reproduce or translate this publication in part or in whole should be addressed to: Chair, Publications Board World Meteorological Organization (WMO) 7 bis, avenue de la Paix Tel.: +41 (0) 22 730 84 03 P.O. Box 2300 Fax: +41 (0) 22 730 81 17 CH-1211 Geneva 2, Switzerland Email: [email protected] ISBN 978-92-63-11254-5 NOTE The designations employed in WMO publications and the presentation of material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of WMO concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area, or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. The mention of specific companies or products does not imply that they are endorsed or recommended by WMO in preference to others of a similar nature which are not mentioned or advertised. PUBLICATION REVISION TRACK RECORD Part/chapter/ Date Purpose of amendment Proposed by Approved by section CONTENTS Page ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS . vii EXECUTIVE SUMMARY . viii KEY RECOMMENDATIONS . ix CHAPTER 1 . INTRODUCTION . 1 CHAPTER 2 . PHYSICAL POSTPROCESSING . 5 2.1 Meteorological diagnostic information. -
Meteorological Systems for Hydrological Purposes
WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION OPERATIONAL HYDROLOGY REPORT No. 42 METEOROLOGICAL SYSTEMS FOR HYDROLOGICAL PURPOSES WMO-No. 813 Secretariat of the World Meteorological Organization – Geneva – Switzerland THE WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION The World Meteorological Organization (WMO), of which 187* States and Territories are Members, is a specialized agency of the United Nations. The purposes of the Organization are: (a) To facilitate worldwide cooperation in the establishment of networks of stations for the making of meteorological observations as well as hydrological and other geophysical observations related to meteorology, and to promote the establishment and maintenance of centres charged with the provision of meteorological and related services; (b) To promote the establishment and maintenance of systems for the rapid exchange of meteorological and related infor- mation; (c) To promote standardization of meteorological and related observations and to ensure the uniform publication of observations and statistics; (d) To further the application of meteorology to aviation, shipping, water problems, agriculture and other human activi- ties; (e) To promote activities in operational hydrology and to further close cooperation between Meteorological and Hydrological Services; and (f) To encourage research and training in meteorology and, as appropriate, in related fields and to assist in coordinating the international aspects of such research and training. (Convention of the World Meteorological Organization, Article 2) The Organization -
Numerical Weather Prediction Basics: Models, Numerical Methods, and Data Assimilation
Cite this entry as: Pu Z., Kalnay E. (2018) Numerical Weather Prediction Basics: Models, Numerical Methods, and Data Assimilation. In: Duan Q., Pappenberger F., Thielen J., Wood A., Cloke H., Schaake J. (eds) Handbook of Hydrometeorological Ensemble Forecasting. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg Numerical Weather Prediction Basics: Models, Numerical Methods, and Data Assimilation Zhaoxia Pu and Eugenia Kalnay Contents 1 Introduction: Basic Concept and Historical Overview .. .................................... 2 2 NWP Models and Numerical Methods ...................................................... 4 2.1 Basic Equations ......................................................................... 4 2.2 Numerical Frameworks of NWP Model ............................................... 7 2.3 Global and Regional Models ........................................................... 12 2.4 Physical Parameterizations ............................................................. 13 2.5 Land-Surface and Ocean Models and Coupled Numerical Models in NWP . 18 3 Data Assimilation ............................................................................. 22 3.1 Least Squares Theory ................................................................... 22 3.2 Assimilation Methods .................................................................. 24 4 Recent Developments and Challenges ....................................................... 28 References ........................................................................................ 29 Abstract Numerical -
Seasonal and Subseasonal Forecasts: Overview and Applications for Economics Bibliography
Seasonal and Subseasonal Forecasts: Overview and applications for Economics Bibliography Jamie Roberts, Librarian, NOAA Central Library Hope Shinn, Librarian, NOAA Central Library Trevor Riley, Head of Public Services, NOAA Central Library NCRL subject guide 2018-17 doi:10.7289/V5/SG-NCRL-18-17 June 2018 U.S. Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research NOAA Central Library – Silver Spring, Maryland Contents Background & Scope ................................................................................................................................. 3 Sources Reviewed ..................................................................................................................................... 3 Section I: Overview of Seasonal and Subseasonal Forecasts .................................................................... 4 Section II: Agriculture ................................................................................................................................ 7 Section III: Aquaculture and Fisheries ..................................................................................................... 23 Section IV: Water Resource Management .............................................................................................. 25 Section V: Health and Safety ................................................................................................................... 28 2 Background & Scope Per the Weather Research and Forecasting Innovation -
Owen-Rhea-Meteorological-Library
May 2014 Owen Rhea’s Meteorological Library 1 John Owen Rhea’s Meteorological Library Inventory Contact Rosemary Rhea: 530-823-0549 [email protected] Topic Directory: General Meteorology 2 Climatology 5 Forecasting and Analysis 9 General Circulation and Fluid Dynamics 12 Tropical Meteorology 17 Air Pollution and Dispersion 19 Mesoscale Modeling 20 Cloud Physics and Convection Modeling 24 Remote Sensing, Instrumentation and Measurement 28 Mountain Meteorology 33 Snow & Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting 35 Hydrology and Snow Hydrology 37 Water Management 41 Weather Modification 44 Colorado Weather Modification 48 Utah Weather Modification 50 California Weather Modification 50 AMS Journals 64 Papers written by Owen Rhea 65 May 2014 Owen Rhea’s Meteorological Library 2 General Meteorology THE ATMOSPHERE - A CHALLENGE The Science of Jute Gregory Charney Richard S. Lindzen, Edward N. Lorenz, George W. Platzman American Meteorological Society Boston, Massachusetts Copyright 1990 by the American Meteorological Society ISBN l-R7R220-03-9 Library of Congress catalog card number 90-81190 PROCEEDINGS OF THE FOREST-ATMOSPHERE INTERACTION WORKSHOP Lake Placid, New York October 1-4, 1985 Published: May 1987 Coordinated and Edited by Harry Moses, Volker A. Mohnen, William E. Reifsnyder, and David H. Slade Workshop cosponsored by: U.S. Department of Energy State University of New York - Albany Yale University UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY Office of Energy Research Office of Health and Environmental Research Washington, D.C. 20545, New York, Toronto, London Historical Essays on Meteorology 1919-1995 The Diamond Anniversary History Volume of the American Meteorological Society Edited by James Rodger Fleming American Meteorological Society 1996 ISBN 1-878220-17-9 Paper) May 2014 Owen Rhea’s Meteorological Library 3 WEATHER AND LIFE An Introduction to Biometeorology William P. -
Severe Deep Moist Convective Storms: Forecasting and Mitigation David L
Geography Compass 2/1 (2008): 30–66, 10.1111/j.1749-8198.2007.00069.x SevereBlackwOxford,GECOGeography17©J06910.Oct030???66???Origournal 49-819820071111/jober inal deepell ComT UK2007Art.he17 Publishing Com icles 49-8Autmoist pilatho pass 198io rconvective n .©2007 Lt 2007d .00069. Blackw stormsx ell Publishing Ltd Severe Deep Moist Convective Storms: Forecasting and Mitigation David L. Arnold* Department of Geography, Frostburg State University Abstract Small-scale (2–20 km) circulations, termed ‘severe deep moist convective storms’, account for a disproportionate share of the world’s insured weather-related losses. Spatial frequency maximums of severe convective events occur in South Africa, India, Mexico, the Caucasus, and Great Plains/Prairies region of North America, where the maximum tornado frequency occurs east of the Rocky Mountains. Interest in forecasting severe deep moist convective systems, especially those that produce tornadoes, dates to 1884 when tornado alerts were first provided in the central United States. Modern thunderstorm and tornado forecasting relies on technology and theory, but in the post-World War II era interest in forecasting has also been driven by public pressure. The forecasting process begins with a diagnostic analysis, in which the forecaster considers the potential of the atmos- pheric environment to produce severe convective storms (which requires knowl- edge of the evolving kinematic and thermodynamic fields, and the character of the land surface over which the storms will pass), and the likely character of the storms that may develop. Improvements in forecasting will likely depend on technological advancements, such as the development of phased-array radar sys- tems and finer resolution numerical weather prediction models.