Missional Opportunities in the Emerging Energy Crisis Brandon D

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

Missional Opportunities in the Emerging Energy Crisis Brandon D Digital Commons @ George Fox University Doctor of Ministry Seminary 1-1-2013 Re-placing the church: missional opportunities in the emerging energy crisis Brandon D. Rhodes George Fox University This research is a product of the Doctor of Ministry (DMin) program at George Fox University. Find out more about the program. Recommended Citation Rhodes, Brandon D., "Re-placing the church: missional opportunities in the emerging energy crisis" (2013). Doctor of Ministry. Paper 57. http://digitalcommons.georgefox.edu/dmin/57 This Dissertation is brought to you for free and open access by the Seminary at Digital Commons @ George Fox University. It has been accepted for inclusion in Doctor of Ministry by an authorized administrator of Digital Commons @ George Fox University. RE-PLACING THE CHURCH: MISSIONAL OPPORTUNITIES IN THE EMERGING ENERGY CRISIS GEORGE FOX EVANGELICAL SEMINARY PORTLAND, OREGON FACULTY ADVISOR: DR. DWIGHT J. FRIESEN EXPERT ADVISOR: DR. DAN LIOY JANUARY 7, 2013 BRANDON D. RHODES George Fox Evangelical Seminary George Fox University Portland, Oregon CERTIFICATE OF APPROVAL ________________________________ DMin Dissertation ________________________________ This is to certify that the DMin Dissertation of Brandon D. Rhodes has been approved by the Dissertation Committee on March 12, 2013 for the degree of Doctor of Ministry in Semiotics and Future Studies. Dissertation Committee: Primary Advisor: Dwight Friesen, DMin Secondary Advisor: Daniel Brunner, DPhil Lead Mentor: Leonard I. Sweet, PhD Expert Advisor: Daniel Lioy, PhD Copyright © 2013 Brandon Rhodes ii CONTENTS List of Figures, Tables, & Illustrations............................................................ vi Glossary ............................................................................................................vii Abstract .............................................................................................................xi SECTION 1: THE PROBLEM ............................................................................1 1.1 Focusing the Inquiry .................................................................................1 1.1.1. Beginning a conversation, not ending one ..................................1 1.1.2 The road ahead .............................................................................2 1.2 Suburbia, Consumerism, & Automobility Go Together ........................4 1.3 Automobility’s Historical Legacy for Society .........................................10 1.3.1 Why America adopted the car ......................................................10 1.3.2 Human-scaled life ........................................................................13 1.3.3 Automobility emerges ..................................................................14 1.3.4 Oil becomes useful .......................................................................16 1.3.5 A magical and revolutionary product ...........................................17 1.3.6 Suburbia emerging........................................................................ 20 1.3.7 Stuck in the gridlock of automobility ..........................................27 1.4 Automobility’s Historical Legacy in the American Church ..................28 1.4.1 Mapping the silence .....................................................................28 1.4.2 1870’s to 1960: Church in crisis and flux..................................... 32 1.4.3 Mainline comity........................................................................... 39 1.4.4 Evangelical invasion ....................................................................42 1.4.5 Changing Tides: Freedom of choice in religion ...........................43 1.4.6 Consumerism helps churches adapt to suburbia ..........................46 1.4.7 Refrain: Pick your Sunday........................................................... 50 1.4.8 Big-box Christianity? ...................................................................51 iii 1.4.9 Automobilized diaspora of the ministries ....................................56 1.4.10 Other shifts................................................................................. 59 1.5 Testing the Argument So Far ...................................................................62 1.5.1 The Blind Men .............................................................................63 1.5.2 The Elephant ................................................................................78 1.6 The Problem in Our Past: We’ve Told Our Story Poorly...................... 83 1.7 The Limits of Automobility’s Scope in History ......................................88 1.7.1 Oil from the rock.......................................................................... 88 1.7.2 Not all oil is alike .........................................................................90 1.7.3 Oil production’s total lifespan...................................................... 92 1.7.4 Estimates & eventualities .............................................................98 1.7.5 Economic demand, geopolitics, and other uncertainties ..............99 1.8 The Problem in Our Future: An Un(der)charted Tomorrow................ 101 SECTION 2: OTHER PROPOSED RESPONSES & MITIGATIONS ..........103 2.1 Preparatory Reflections............................................................................ 103 2.1.1 Solutions vs. responses ................................................................103 2.1.2 Guiding principles for Section 2 ..................................................104 2.2 Proposed Cultural Trajectories & Mitigations....................................... 105 2.2.1 Techno-progress & silver bullets .................................................106 2.2.2 Greenurbia.................................................................................... 114 2.2.3 Collapse, doom, survivalism ........................................................116 2.2.4 Transition Towns.......................................................................... 119 2.3 Proposed Church Trajectories .................................................................121 2.3.1 TGIF (Twitter, Google, iPhone, Facebook) .................................122 2.3.2 Peak Church .................................................................................124 2.3.3 The Great Emergence / Great Awakening ....................................126 2.3.4 Our future’s blind spot .................................................................128 2.4 Proposed Church Mitigations ..................................................................129 2.4.1 Virtual Church ..............................................................................130 2.4.2 Broadcast/Multisite/Satellite Church ...........................................131 2.4.3 Missional: Colonial Edition .........................................................133 iv 2.4.4 Missional: Parish Edition .............................................................135 SECTION 3: THESIS........................................................................................... 138 3.1 Full-Court-Press Conversation ................................................................138 3.2 The Conversation’s Conjectures.............................................................. 140 3.2.1 Everything will relocalize ............................................................140 3.2.2 Church will relocalize ..................................................................143 3.2.3 Pastoral priorities .........................................................................146 3.3 The Conversation’s Contours ..................................................................148 3.4 Cautions for the Conversation .................................................................151 SECTION 4: ARTIFACT DESCRIPTION ........................................................153 SECTION 5: TRACK 02 ARTIFACT SPECIFICATION ................................155 5.1 Artifact Considerations, Standards of Publication, and Action Plan... 155 5.2 Book Proposal............................................................................................ 155 SECTION 6: POSTSCRIPT ................................................................................166 6.1 Execution ...................................................................................................166 6.2 Efficacy....................................................................................................... 167 6.3 Concluding Thoughts, Lessons, and Trajectories ..................................168 APPENDIX A: SAMPLE MANUSCRIPT CHAPTERS................................ 170 BIBLIOGRAPHY............................................................................................. 171 v List of Figures, Tables, & Illustrations Figure 1: Automobility, Suburbia, and Consumerism Go Together 6 Figure 2: Defend/Agitate, React Against/Adapt Spectrums 30 Figure 3: American Megachurches 51 Figure 4: Scattered Life 78 Figure 5: Missional Map 79 Figure 6: Emerging Map 80 Figure 7: New Monastic Map 81 Figure 8: Megachurch Map 82 Figure 9: Hubbert Curve, 8 Wells 93 Figure 10: Uppsala Chart 95 Figure 11: World Oil Production by Type in New Policy Scenario 97 Figure 12: Price, GDP, Max Production Scenario 100 vi Glossary My arguments in the following pages are for the most part accessible, and will not lean on unexplained jargon to get any points across. This glossary shows that my most recurring terms are ones you’ve probably already used or can easily infer their
Recommended publications
  • Equinor Environmental Plan in Brief
    Our EP in brief Exploring safely for oil and gas in the Great Australian Bight A guide to Equinor’s draft Environment Plan for Stromlo-1 Exploration Drilling Program Published by Equinor Australia B.V. www.equinor.com.au/gabproject February 2019 Our EP in brief This booklet is a guide to our draft EP for the Stromlo-1 Exploration Program in the Great Australian Bight. The full draft EP is 1,500 pages and has taken two years to prepare, with extensive dialogue and engagement with stakeholders shaping its development. We are committed to transparency and have published this guide as a tool to facilitate the public comment period. For more information, please visit our website. www.equinor.com.au/gabproject What are we planning to do? Can it be done safely? We are planning to drill one exploration well in the Over decades, we have drilled and produced safely Great Australian Bight in accordance with our work from similar conditions around the world. In the EP, we program for exploration permit EPP39. See page 7. demonstrate how this well can also be drilled safely. See page 14. Who are we? How will it be approved? We are Equinor, a global energy company producing oil, gas and renewable energy and are among the world’s largest We abide by the rules set by the regulator, NOPSEMA. We offshore operators. See page 15. are required to submit draft environmental management plans for assessment and acceptance before we can begin any activities offshore. See page 20. CONTENTS 8 12 What’s in it for Australia? How we’re shaping the future of energy If oil or gas is found in the Great Australian Bight, it could How can an oil and gas producer be highly significant for South be part of a sustainable energy Australia.
    [Show full text]
  • Part I: Introduction
    Part I: Introduction “Perhaps the sentiments contained in the following pages are not yet sufficiently fashionable to procure them general favor; a long habit of not thinking a thing wrong gives it a superficial appearance of being right, and raises at first a formidable outcry in defense of custom. But the tumult soon subsides. Time makes more converts than reason.” -Thomas Paine, Common Sense (1776) “For my part, whatever anguish of spirit it may cost, I am willing to know the whole truth; to know the worst and provide for it.” -Patrick Henry (1776) “I am aware that many object to the severity of my language; but is there not cause for severity? I will be as harsh as truth. On this subject I do not wish to think, or speak, or write, with moderation. No! No! Tell a man whose house is on fire to give a moderate alarm; tell him to moderately rescue his wife from the hands of the ravisher; tell the mother to gradually extricate her babe from the fire into which it has fallen -- but urge me not to use moderation in a cause like the present. The apathy of the people is enough to make every statue leap from its pedestal, and to hasten the resurrection of the dead.” -William Lloyd Garrison, The Liberator (1831) “Gas is running low . .” -Amelia Earhart (July 2, 1937) 1 2 Dear Reader, Civilization as we know it is coming to an end soon. This is not the wacky proclamation of a doomsday cult, apocalypse bible prophecy sect, or conspiracy theory society.
    [Show full text]
  • Anatomy of the 10-Year Cycle in Crude Oil Prices Philip K. Verleger
    Anatomy of the 10-Year Cycle in Crude Oil Prices Philip K. Verleger, Jr. David Mitchell/EnCana Professor of Strategy and International Management Haskayne School of Business University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada March 2009 John Wiley & Sons published Twilight in the Desert in 2005. The book’s author, Mat- thew Simmons, contends the world will confront very high and rising oil prices shortly because the capacity of Saudi Arabia, the world’s largest oil producer, is insufficient to meet the future needs of oil consumers. In 448 pages, Simmons extensively discusses his views regarding Saudi Arabia’s future production levels. He asserts that the Saudis have refused to provide details about their reserves, insinuating at several points that the Kingdom’s leaders withhold information to keep the truth from the public. At its core, Simmons’ book is no more than a long exposition of the peak oil theory first espoused by King Hubbert in 1956. Hubbert, it may be recalled, studied the pattern of discovery of super giant oil fields. His review led him to conclude that world productive capacity would peak and then begin to decline. In 1974, Hubbert suggested the global zenith would occur around 1995. Simmons and other adherents to the “peak oil theory” enjoyed great prominence in the first half of 2008. Again and again, one read or heard that the oil price rise was occurring be- cause the flow from world oil reserves had reached or was approaching the maximum while de- mand was still growing. Here’s what one economist wrote just as prices peaked: Until this decade, the capacity to supply oil had been growing just as fast as de- mand, leaving plenty of room to expand production at the first sign of rising pric- es.
    [Show full text]
  • Big Dog Days by Hannah Nussbaum
    It was the penultimate night of August and I was ready for anything, dressed in a gauzy PG-13 outfit, standing on the patio of a soft-boiled party filled with talking backs and healthy-looking pink mouths. Things were just starting to get boisterous and someone standing near me was vaporizing chartreuse liquor, and wisps of green gas were wafting around the patio like little souls on their way to the underworld. I sipped and shuffled, posed and pouted, eyes on a platter of finger food balanced on the bar. Eventually I was approached by a beautiful boy with big rubber shoes and a blue hood pulled tightly around his ears. He introduced himself and complimented my look and soon we were talking about the beach, which was all anybody talked about those days—the liminal state of affairs down there, the big weird question mark stamped on our city. The beach in our city had once been a normal, generic beach, you know the kind, with sand, surf and all the regular seaside fixings. Then one summer the entire coast had been purchased by either an asset management company or a real estate investment trust—it wasn’t clear which—and what happened next was a series of ownership changes, financing issues, construction delays, legal challenges and chronically delayed re-opening dates. The beach changed hands several times and some scaffolding was erected around it while the project plans were being ironed out. We were told that the 587 acres of coastal wetlands were supposed to be renovated into 2.1 million square feet of beachfront space and 1 million square feet of to-be-determined on a 206-acre tract, with the remainder to be converted into stormwater retention basins.
    [Show full text]
  • Ecologise Reading Material for Ecologise Camps
    ECOLOGISE READING MATERIAL FOR ECOLOGISE CAMPS Sangatya Sahitya Bhandar CONTENTS 1. Ecologise Camps: An Introduction Page 2 2. Nature's Methods Of Soil Management Albert Howard Page 5 3. Humanity Does Not Know Nature Masanobu Fukuoka Page 8 4. On a Perspective for Renaissance of Agriculture Venkat Page 11 5. Walking Henry David Thoreau Page 15 6. The Proper Use of Land E F Schumacher Page 19 7. Gaia’s Will Manu Kothari and Lopa Mehta Page 24 8. Fire & Accounting Mansoor Khan Page 34 9. Waiting for a Genius Page 38 Lu Hsun For more information, visit: www.ecologise.in 1 Ecologise Camps: An Introduction “When the last tree has been cut down, the last fish caught, the last river poisoned, only then will we realize that one cannot eat money.” Native American Saying We now live in an age of ecological change and turmoil that is unprecedented in scale and rapidity in the history of the earth. We are grappling with a slew of converging crises, most of which are the direct result of human activity and the ‘religion’ of ‘Growth and Development’ that we have embraced in the past 250 years of industrialisation. Climate change, natural resource depletion, species extinction, environmental degradation, population pressure and human conflict resulting in large scale refugee crises are some of the problems we have to contend with. Some of these, like climate change, are reaching tipping points beyond which changes become irreversible. Humans are the only species on earth that have had such a massive direct impact on the environment in which we live, by virtue of the tools and technologies that we have developed, in the process of the ‘development’ of our ‘civilization’.
    [Show full text]
  • Migration and Irregular Work in Austria: a Case Study of the Structure And
    www.ssoar.info Migration and irregular work in Austria: a case study of the structure and dynamics of irregular foreign employment in Europe at the beginning of the 21st Century Jandl, Michael; Hollomey, Christina; Gendera, Sandra; Stepien, Anna; Bilger, Veronika Veröffentlichungsversion / Published Version Monographie / monograph Zur Verfügung gestellt in Kooperation mit / provided in cooperation with: OAPEN (Open Access Publishing in European Networks) Empfohlene Zitierung / Suggested Citation: Jandl, M., Hollomey, C., Gendera, S., Stepien, A., & Bilger, V. (2008). Migration and irregular work in Austria: a case study of the structure and dynamics of irregular foreign employment in Europe at the beginning of the 21st Century. (IMISCoe Reports). Amsterdam: Amsterdam Univ. Press. https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-271786 Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Dieser Text wird unter einer CC BY-NC-ND Lizenz This document is made available under a CC BY-NC-ND Licence (Namensnennung-Nicht-kommerziell-Keine Bearbeitung) zur (Attribution-Non Comercial-NoDerivatives). For more Information Verfügung gestellt. Nähere Auskünfte zu den CC-Lizenzen finden see: Sie hier: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/deed.de Migration and Irregular Work in Austria IMISCOE (International Migration, Integration and Social Cohesion) IMISCOE is a Network of Excellence uniting over 500 researchers from various institutes that specialise in migration studies across Europe. Networks of Excellence are cooperative research ventures that were created by the European Commission to help overcome the fragmentation of international studies. They amass a crucial source of knowledge and expertise to help inform European leadership today.
    [Show full text]
  • Energy Perspectives 2017 Long-Term Macro and Market Outlook Energy Perspectives 2017
    Energy Perspectives 2017 Long-term macro and market outlook Energy Perspectives 2017 Acknowledgements The analytical basis for this outlook is long-term research on macroeconomics and energy markets undertaken by the Statoil organization during the winter of 2016 and the spring of 2017. The research process has been coordinated by Statoil’s unit for Macroeconomics and Market Analysis, with crucial analytical input, support and comments from other parts of the company. Joint efforts and close cooperation in the company have been critical for the preparation of an integrated and consistent outlook for total energy demand and for the projections of future energy mix. We hereby extend our gratitude to everybody involved. Editorial process concluded 31 May 2017. Disclaimer: This report is prepared by a variety of Statoil analyst persons, with the purpose of presenting matters for discussion and analysis, not conclusions or decisions. Findings, views, and conclusions represent first and foremost the views of the analyst persons contributing to this report and cannot be assumed to reflect the official position of policies of Statoil. Furthermore, this report contains certain statements that involve significant risks and uncertainties, especially as such statements often relate to future events and circumstances beyond the control of the analyst persons and Statoil. This report contains several forward- looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. In some cases, we use words such as "ambition", "believe", "continue", "could", "estimate", "expect", "intend", "likely", "may", "objective", "outlook", "plan", "propose", "should", "will" and similar expressions to identify forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements reflect current views with respect to future events and are, by their nature, subject to significant risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future.
    [Show full text]
  • The Current Peak Oil Crisis
    PEAK ENERGY, CLIMATE CHANGE, AND THE COLLAPSE OF GLOBAL CIVILIZATION _______________________________________________________ The Current Peak Oil Crisis TARIEL MÓRRÍGAN PEAK E NERGY, C LIMATE C HANGE, AND THE COLLAPSE OF G LOBAL C IVILIZATION The Current Peak Oil Crisis TARIEL MÓRRÍGAN Global Climate Change, Human Security & Democracy Orfalea Center for Global & International Studies University of California, Santa Barbara www.global.ucsb.edu/climateproject ~ October 2010 Contact the author and editor of this publication at the following address: Tariel Mórrígan Global Climate Change, Human Security & Democracy Orfalea Center for Global & International Studies Department of Global & International Studies University of California, Santa Barbara Social Sciences & Media Studies Building, Room 2006 Mail Code 7068 Santa Barbara, CA 93106-7065 USA http://www.global.ucsb.edu/climateproject/ Suggested Citation: Mórrígan, Tariel (2010). Peak Energy, Climate Change, and the Collapse of Global Civilization: The Current Peak Oil Crisis . Global Climate Change, Human Security & Democracy, Orfalea Center for Global & International Studies, University of California, Santa Barbara. Tariel Mórrígan, October 2010 version 1.3 This publication is protected under the Creative Commons (CC) "Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 3.0 Unported" copyright. People are free to share (i.e, to copy, distribute and transmit this work) and to build upon and adapt this work – under the following conditions of attribution, non-commercial use, and share alike: Attribution (BY) : You must attribute the work in the manner specified by the author or licensor (but not in any way that suggests that they endorse you or your use of the work). Non-Commercial (NC) : You may not use this work for commercial purposes.
    [Show full text]
  • The Effects of Different Soil Amendments on Fertility and Productivity in Organic
    The Effects of Different Soil Amendments on Fertility and Productivity in Organic Farming Systems A thesis presented to the faculty of the College of Arts and Sciences of Ohio University In partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree Master of Science Scott E. Fisher November 2011 © 2011 Scott E. Fisher. All Rights Reserved. 2 This thesis titled The Effects of Different Soil Amendments on Fertility and Productivity in Organic Farming Systems by SCOTT E. FISHER has been approved for the Program of Environmental Studies and the College of Arts and Sciences by Jared L. DeForest Assistant Professor of Environmental and Plant Biology Howard Dewald Interim Dean, College of Arts and Sciences 3 ABSTRACT FISHER, SCOTT E, M.S., November 2011, Environmental Studies The Effects of Different Soil Amendments on Fertility and Productivity in Organic Farming Systems Director of Thesis: Jared L. DeForest Productivity and soil fertility are two of the most important factors in farming. Many organic farmers fertilize their crops with composted plant or animal waste. Some organic farmers who do not have access to large amounts of compost utilize processed fertilizers that are acceptable under certified organic standards. I hypothesized that soils fertilized with composted organic matter would be more fertile and productive than soils fertilized with processed organic fertilizer. To test the hypotheses, I measured nutrient content and availability at three organic farms, each of which uses a different type of fertilizer (animal manure, composted mushroom growing medium, and processed fertilizer). I also grew beans (Phaseolus vulgaris) in soil from each of the farms to measure bean weight as an estimate of productivity.
    [Show full text]
  • Recent Development
    SHUFF RD_FORMAT_PAGINATED_FINAL-4_8.DOC 04/08/2008 1:27:58 PM RECENT DEVELOPMENT OF SLIPPERY SLOPES AND PIGS: IMPACTS OF THE PRUDHOE BAY SHUT-IN I. INTRODUCTION In the spring of 2006, a leaky pipe led to a flood of problems for the world’s third largest oil company. British Petroleum (“BP”) owns a 26% interest in Alaska’s Prudhoe Bay oil field and operates the property on behalf of itself and the other owners, ExxonMobil, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, and Forest Oil.1 On March 2, 2006, more than 200,000 gallons of crude oil—“the largest spill” on record in the North Slope of Alaska—leaked from a corroded transit pipeline maintained by BP.2 Following this disaster and the discovery of a second leak in its transit pipeline, BP partially shut-in production of the Prudhoe Bay field.3 In both cases, the culprit was a dangerously corroded length of transmission pipe entrusted to the care of BP.4 Section I of this Recent Development explains the events leading to the March spill, the subsequent discovery of pipeline corrosion, and the gap, if any, between what BP was obligated to do and what it actually did to try to prevent this catastrophe. Section II considers the potential effects BP’s curtailment of Prudhoe Bay crude production might have on domestic oil supply and whether or not some early forecasts of doom and gloom are 5 accurate assessments of the supply picture or simply hyperbole. 1. Wesley Loy & Richard Mauer, Prudhoe Bay: Prudhoe Owners Face Subpoenas, ANCHORAGE DAILY NEWS, Aug.
    [Show full text]
  • Preparing Virginia for Liquid Fuel Shortages
    7/17/2008 Preparing Virginia for Liquid Fuel Shortages Background, Timing & Ramifications Robert L. Hirsch, Ph.D. Senior Energy Advisor, MISI Briefing for Virginia Legislators July 17, 2008 1 Overview • World oil production is either at or near maximum. • Declining oil production will mean liquid fuel shortages that increase year-after year. • Oil prices will escalate & economic damage will increase each year until effective mitigation takes hold, which will take much more than a decade. • It’s too late to avoid this world problem, but it’s not too late to begin Virginia planning. 2 1 7/17/2008 The Situation • WHY THE PROBLEM? – World conventional oil resources are finite. – Oil resources are being rapidly depleted. • WHEN WILL PEAKING OCCUR? – Many think now or very soon. – The exact date is dwarfed by the need for urgent action. • WHY CAN’T THE PROBLEM BE FIXED QUICKLY? – The scale of consumption worldwide is enormous. – Mitigation will involve many actions & take time. Peaking = The world’s first forced energy transition 3 How We Use Oil Gasoline for our automobiles, SUVs & light trucks Diesel fuel for heavy trucks, trains, airplanes, ships, etc. Heating oil Lubrication Plastics Pharmaceuticals Building just about everything Etc. 4 2 7/17/2008 This Presentation • Background • Some important basics • Timing • Mitigation • Ramifications • Final Remarks 5 Oil is essential….. • World economic growth has been fueled proportionally by growing world oil production for decades. • When world oil production declines, the resulting oil shortages & super high prices will lead to economic contraction, which will catapult oil decline mitigation to public priority #1. 6 3 Oil fields peak & decline World oil production peaking & Production decline are unavoidable.
    [Show full text]
  • What Is Peak Oil?
    What Is Peak Oil? 1. What is peak oil? ―Peak oil‖ is the term used to describe the situation when the amount of oil that can be extracted from the earth in a given year begins to decline because geological limitations are reached. Extracting oil becomes more and more difficult, so that costs escalate and the amount of oil produced begins to decline. The term peak oil is generally used to describe a decline in worldwide production, but a similar phenomenon exists for individual countries and other smaller areas. 2. Why would oil production begin to decline? Can’t we extract oil as fast as we want, until it finally runs out, many years from now? What happens isn’t quite as simple as ―running out‖. Oil production in an oil field usually starts at a low level and increases as more oil wells are added. Eventually some of the older wells start producing more and more water mixed with the oil, and pressure declines. Oil companies do what they can to maintain production – drill new wells nearby, inject gas or water to maintain pressure, and apply other newer production techniques. Eventually, the proportion of oil in the oil/water mix becomes very low and the cost of extraction becomes very high. When it costs more to produce the oil than the oil is worth, production is abandoned. On a worldwide basis, the phenomenon of peak oil can be thought of as a crisis in resources needed to produce oil. It’s the size of the tap, not the size of the tank.
    [Show full text]