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1997/98 NSW Redistribution: Analysis of Significant Changes to Draft Boundaries

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1997/98 NSW Redistribution: Analysis of Significant Changes to Draft Boundaries NSW PARLIAMENTARY LIBRARY RESEARCH SERVICE 1997/98 NSW Redistribution: Analysis of Significant Changes to Draft Boundaries by Antony Green UPDATE TO: Background Paper No 2/98 NSW PARLIAMENTARY LIBRARY RESEARCH SERVICE Dr David Clune, Manager ..........................(02) 9230 2484 Dr Gareth Griffith, Senior Research Officer, Politics and Government / Law ......................(02) 9230 2356 Ms Honor Figgis, Research Officer, Law ...............(02) 9230 2768 Ms Rachel Simpson, Research Officer, Law ............(02) 9230 3085 Mr Stewart Smith, Research Officer, Environment .......(02) 9230 2798 Ms Marie Swain, Research Officer, Law/Social Issues ....(02) 9230 2003 Mr John Wilkinson, Research Officer, Economics ........(02) 9230 2006 ISSN 1325-4456 ISBN 0 7313 1612 6 © 1998 Should Members or their staff require further information about this publication please contact the author. Information about Research Publications can be found on the Internet at: http://www.parliament.nsw.gov.au/gi/library/publicn.html INTRODUCTION This update contains estimates of the political impact of the Significant Changes to Draft NSW Electoral Boundaries released on 3 June 1998. They are based on re-assigning the polling place level results of the 1995 election to the new electorates. For details on how this allocation process has taken place and how to read the tables see the Introduction to Background Paper 2/98 1998 NSW REDISTRIBUTION : SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO DRAFT BOUNDARIES BANKSTOWN 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB DEM OTH Transfers from : Bankstown (13916 Voters1 Bankstown, Bankstown Central, Bankstown East (30%), Bankstown Hospital, Bankstown North, Bankstown South, Bankstown West, Condell Park South, Declaration votes (34%) Votes 12683 8264 3257 8087 3109 285 184 % 71.7 28.3 69.3 26.7 2.4 1.6 Transfers from : Lakemba (24513 Voters) Chullora, Chullora South, Etela Street, Gosling Park, Greenacre, Greenacre North, Greenacre South, Lakemba, Lakemba North, Mount Lewis (75%), Paxton Avenue, Wiley Park West (25%), Declaration votes (60%) Votes 21904 12454 5732 11686 5258 962 1963 % 68.5 31.5 58.8 26.5 4.8 9.9 Transfers from : Auburn (103 Voters) Yagoona East (10%). Declaration votes (0%) Votes 104 64 31 63 30 0 6 % 67.4 32.6 63.6 30.3 0.0 6.1 Transfers from : Canterbury (4588 Voters) Belmore Central, Belmore North, Enfield West, Harcourt North (50%), Declaration votes (1 1%) Votes 4193 2161 1582 2074 1513 131 140 % 57.7 42.3 53.8 39.2 3.4 3.6 BANKSTOWN 38885 22943 10602 21910 9910 1378 2293 % of Vote 68.4 31.6 61.7 27.9 3.9 6.5 CANTERBURY P-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB IND DEM GRN OTH Transfers from : Canterbury (31187 Voters) Campsie, Campsie South, Canterbury, Canterbury Hospital (50%). Canterbury North, Canterbury South, Clemton Park East (25%), Cup & Saucer (50%), Earlwood, Earlwood North, Earlwood South, Harcourt, Harcourt Central, Harcour-t North (50%), Hurlstone Park, Sutton Park, Undercliffe, Declaration votes (76%) Votes 28092 15337 9025 14473 8380 0 756 0 1501 % 63.0 37.0 57.6 33.4 0.0 3.0 0.0 6.0 Transfers from : Ashfield (5293 Voters) Dulwich Hill West (25%), Riverside (50%), Riverside North (50%), Summer Hill South (50%), Yeo Park, Declaration votes (I 3%) Votes 4453 2451 1299 1888 1050 703 159 290 65 % 65.4 34.6 45.4 25.3 16.9 3.8 7.0 1.6 Transfers from : Strathfield (7352 Voters) Ashbury, Enfield East, Enfield South, Declaration votes (19%) Votes 6135 3117 2579 2952 2488 0 248 0 83 % 54.7 45.3 51.2 43.1 0.0 4.3 0.0 1.4 CANTERBURY 38680 20905 12903 1931311918 703 1163 290 1649 % of Vote 61.8 38.2 55.1 34.0 2.0 3.3 0.8 4.7 1 CRONULLA 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB DEM OTH Transfers from : Cronulla (37498 Voters) Burraneer Bay, Caringbah, Caringbah Central, Caringbah North, Caringbah West, Cronulla, Cronulla Central, Cronuila North, Cronulla South, Dolans Bay, Kotara Place, Kurnell, Lilli Pilli, Sylvania Waters, Taren Point, Wanda Beach, Woolooware, Declaration votes (96%) Votes 34019 11991 18258 9238 16348 1001 6204 % 39.6 60.4 28.2 49.9 3.1 18.9 Transfers from : Miranda (6116 Voters) Miranda North, Sutherland Hospital, Sylvania, Vickery Village (75%), Declaration votes (16%) Votes 5480 2051 3012 1844 2838 142 447 % 40.5 59.5 35.0 53.8 2.7 8.5 CRONULLA 39499 14042 21270 11082 19186 1143 6651 % of Vote 39.8 60.2 29.1 50.4 3.0 17.5 ..-. EAST HILLS P-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB DEM OTH Transfers from : East Hills (31346 Voters) East Hills, Milperra, Milperra East, Padstow (60%), Padstow North, Panania, Panania East, Panania North, Panania South, Panania West, Picnic Point North, Revesby, Revesby East, Revesby North, Declaration votes (84%) Votes 30175 16329 10375 14260 7346 0 7174 % 61.1 38.9 49.5 25.5 0.0 24.9 Transfers from : Bankstown (12762 Voters) Bass Hill South (75%). Condell Park, Georges Hall (50%). Wattawa Heights, Declaration votes (31%) Votes 11633 6708 3956 6502 3778 373 191 % 62.9 37.1 60.0 34.8 3.4 1.8 EAST HILLS 41808 23037 14331 20762 11124 373 7365 % of Vote 61.6 38.4 52.4 28.1 0.9 18.6 FAIRFIELD 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB DEM OTH Transfers from : Fairfield (33701 Voters) Adams Park, Cambridge Street, Fairfield, Fairfield East, Fairfield Heights, Fairfield North [To%), Fairfield South, Fairfield West, Thorney Road, Villawood, Villawood North, Wakeley, Woodville Road, YennOra, Declaration Votes (83%) Votes 29947 17610 8435 16742 7845 1406 958 % 67.6 32.4 62.1 29.1 5.2 3.6 Transfers from : Bankstown (9991 Voters) Bass Hill (75%), Bass Hill West, Chester Hill (25%), Georges Hall (50%), Villawood Central, Villawood East, Declaration votes (25%) Votes 9033 5236 3066 5078 2923 297 149 % 63.1 36.9 60.1 34.6 3.5 1.8 Transfers from : Granville (336 Voters) Chester Hill West (15%), Declaration votes (1%) .__ Votes 318 175 110 169 98 0 27 % 61.4 38.6 57.5 33.3 0.0 9.2 FAIRFIELD 39297 23021 11611 21989 10866 1703 1134 % of Vote 66.5 33.5 61.6 30.4 4.8 3.2 GEORGES RIVER 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB OTH Transfers from : Georges River (30326 Voters) Bell Park, Grove Park, Lugarno, Mortdale, Mortdale Central, Mondale East, Mortdale Heights, Mortdale West, Oatley, Oatley West, Peakhurst South, Peakhurst West, Penshurst, Woniora, Declaration votes (81 %I Votes 28243 ’ 11359 13962 9564 12560 4871 % 44.9 55.1 35.4 46.5 18.0 Transfers from : Hurstville (14022 Voters) Arcadia Street, Banner Road, Beverly Hills, Beverly Hills South, Hurstville (50%), Hurstville North (70%1, Kingsgrove Central (50%), Narwee (50%). Ponyara Road (75%). Declaration votes (36%) Votes 12441 6305 5254 6097 5133 454 % 54.5 45.5 52.2 43.9 3.9 GEORGES RIVER 40683 17664 19216 15661 17693 5325 % of Vote 47.9 52.1 40.5 45.7 13.8 GRANVILLE 2CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB DEM OTH Transfers from : Granville (38894 Voters) Blaxcell, Cardinal Gilroy Vill, Chester Hill North, Chester Hill South, Chester Hill West (85%), Fowler Road, Granville, Granville East, Granville Park, Granville South, Guildford, Guildford East, Guildford South, Hilltop Road, Merrylands East, Merrylands North, Monterey Street, Rawson, Declaration votes (99%) Votes 35284 20290 11153 19724 9988 0 2842 % 64.5 35.5 60.6 30.7 0.0 8.7 Transfers from : Fairfield (1567 Voters) Guildford Central, Guildford West (30%), Declaration votes (4%) Votes 1259 680 436 636 406 82 36 % 60.9 39.1 54.8 35.0 7.1 3.1 Transfers from : Smithfield (3023 Voters) Boronia Street, Merrylands West (50%). Ringrose (25%). Sherwood Grange (50%). Declaration votes (7%) Votes 2970 1658 1025 1598 942 206 0 ..-. % 61.8 38.2 58.2 34.3 7.5 0.0 GRANVILLE 39513 22628 12614 21958 11336 288 2878 % of Vote 64.2 35.8 60.2 31.1 0.8 7.9 LAKEMBA P-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB DEM OTH Transfers from : Lakemba (16121 Voters) Belmore, Belmore South, Lakemba Central, Mccallums Hill, Mount Lewis (25%), Punchbowl, Wiley Park East, Wiley Park West (75%), Declaration votes (40%) Votes 13938 7996 3572 7429 3221 682 1505 % 69.1 30.9 57.9 25.1 5.3 11.7 Transfers from : Hurstville (20863 Voters) Beverly Hills North, Clemton Park, Hannans Road, Kingsgrove Central (50%), Narwee (50%), Ogilvy, Peakhurst, Peakhurst East, Ponyara Road (25%), Remly Street, Riverwood North, Riverwood South, Rossmore Avenue, Declaration votes (54%) Votes 19364 11291 6642 10939 6438 0 753 % 63.0 37.0 60.3 35.5 0.0 4.2 Transfers from : Canterbury (5155 Voters) Canterbury Hospital (50%), Clemton Park East (75%), Cup & Saucer (50%), Kingsgrove North, Declaration votes (13%) Votes 4781 2407 1758 2245 1634 128 300 % 57.8 42.2 52.1 37.9 3.0 7.0 Transfers from : Bankstown (852 Voters) Bankstown East (70%), Declaration votes (2%) Votes 821 509 225 498 214 15 18 % 69.3 30.7 66.8 28.7 2.0 2.4 LAKEMBA 38904 22203 12197 21111 11507 825 2576 % of Vote 64.5 35.5 58.6 31.9 2.3 7.2 4 2CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB DEM OTH Transfers from : Miranda (32545 Voters) Grays Point, Gymea, Gymea North, Gymea South, Kareela, Kirrawee, Kirrawee South, Miranda, Miranda Central, Sylvania Central, Sylvania Heights, Vickery Village (25%), Yowie Bay, Declaration votes (84%) Votes 30366 12189 15609 10509 14261 1115 3434 % 43.8 56.2 35.8 48.6 3.8 11.7 Transfers from : Sutherland (9916 Voters) Caravan Head, Como, Jannali East, Oyster Bay, Sutherland North (75%).
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